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Applied Statistical Programme As a Tool to Encourage Public Participation of In-School Youth

Date: 13 September 2013Presenter: Mr. Sakhile Mpanza

District Manager: ILembe DistrictISIbalo Conference

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Presentation Outline

Chapter 1: Introduction

- Background

- Statement of the research problem

- Aim and objectives of the study

- Limitations of the study

Chapter 2: Literature Survey

- Introduction

- The statistical programme

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Presentation Outline ……

Chapter 3: Research Methodology

- Introduction

- Research design

Chapter 4: Research findings of the study

- Research Findings

- Recommendations

Way forward and concluding remarks

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Chapter 1: Introduction

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Introduction

• Statistics South Africa conducted census in 2011, and the release was in 2012, a year after data collection.

• Municipalities and other sectors use census data for planning and evidence-decision making.

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Introduction….

• As part of Stats SA initiative, ILembe District Office (Stats SA Office) has embarked on census dissemination in all the four local municipalities in ILembe District. and

• The district Office has also disseminated in various forums such as Sukuma Sakhe, Intergovernmental forums, and Planners forum, War rooms and others

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Statement of the research problem

• A study was conducted to measure how in-school youth participate in IDP road shows organized by Mandeni municipality.

• It also measured learners’ perceptions and interest in pursuing a career in statistics, as well as subjects that has potential of producing Statisticians and Town Planners.

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Aim and objectives of the study

The ultimate goal of the study is to:• Ensure that in- school youth is aware of

the service delivery plan (IDP) • Instil a culture of consulting statistics when

analyzing service delivery issues.• Lastly, expose them to applied statistics

and eradicate a fear of numbers.

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Limitations of the study

• The study focused on a sample of three High Schools instead of ten profiled Senior Schools.

• Not all learners in different streams participated in the survey due to time constraints and third term examination.

• Other data items were not measured, such as the use of census data when conducting school research.

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Limitations of the study......

• Not all learners in different grades were afforded the opportunity to complete the questionnaire.

• Instrument used to collect data was not scientifically researched; it was specific to need.

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Chapter 2

Literature Survey

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Introduction

The previous chapter provided the overview of this study by dealing with the background, Statement of the research problem, aims and objectives of the study, and limitation of the study.

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Population of Mandeni municipality

Gender  Male  Female  Total 

KZN291: Mandeni  65,332 72,746 138,078

Ward 1  3,817 4,357 8,174

Ward 2  4,035 4,469 8,503

Ward 3  4,025 4,139 8,163

Ward 4  4,742 5,110 9,852

Ward 5  3,160 3,894 7,054

Ward 6  3,135 3,724 6,859

Ward 7  4,628 4,887 9,516

Ward 8  4,623 4,734 9,357

Ward 9  4,305 4,917 9,222

Ward 10  3,953 4,262 8,216

Ward 11  3,772 4,166 7,938

Ward 12  6,057 6,900 12,957

Ward 13  1,689 1,871 3,560

Ward 14  4,507 5,267 9,774

Ward 15  1,931 2,127 4,059

Ward 16  4,322 4,863 9,185

Ward 17  2,632 3,059 5,691

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The structure of the populationAge Male Female   Age Male Female

00 - 04 8864 8786   00 - 04 14 12

05 - 09 7283 7209   05 - 09 11 10

10 - 14 7203 6897   10 - 14 11 9

15 - 19 7754 7675   15 - 19 12 11

20 - 24 7436 7763   20 - 24 11 11

25 - 29 6314 7420   25 - 29 10 10

30 - 34 4712 5457   30 - 34 7 8

35 - 39 3942 4355   35 - 39 6 6

40 - 44 2904 3544   40 - 44 4 5

45 - 49 2428 3493   45 - 49 4 5

50 - 54 1907 2602   50 - 54 3 4

55 - 59 1588 2013   55 - 59 2 2

60 - 64 1226 1941   60 - 64 2 3

65 - 69 753 1099   65 - 69 1 2

70 - 74 480 969   70 - 74 1 1

75 - 79 251 706   75 - 79 1 1

80 - 84 165 482   80 - 84 1 1

85+ 122 334   85+ 0 0

  65332 72745     -101 101

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Chapter 3: Research Methodology

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Introduction

• Providing knowledge to in-school youth on how municipality plans for service delivery and type of data used to support planning is of paramount for the youth of Mandeni.

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Research design

a) Sample Survey

A sample survey was chosen for this study, due to the following reasons:

• Low-cost• Greater speed for collection• Greater scope• Greater accuracy

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Research design

Sampled Schools

The following three schools were selected:• Isinyabusi High School, • Udumo High School, and • Tugela High School. • The two schools are from urban area while

the other school is located in a rural area.

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Chapter 4

Research findings of the study and recommendations

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Positive perceptions & interests

Data items Isinyabusi High School: 26 Learners

Udumo High School:

Tugela High School: 29 Learners

20 Learners

Knows Stats SA 46% 70% 49% Want to study statistics 77% 70% 52% Want be Statistician 73% 60% 41% Have been to Mandeni municipality 50% 10% 41%

Participated in IDP initiatives 15% 0% 17%

Willing to participate in IDP initiatives 46% 75% 41%

Want to study Town Planning 8% 40% 28%

Parents participate in IDP initiatives 42% 5% 14%

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Negative perceptions & Interests

Data items Isinyabusi High School: 26 Learners

Udumo High School:

Tugela High School: 29 Learners

20 Learners

Don’t know Stats SA 12 (46%) 6(30%) 13(45%)

Don’t want to study statistics 6(23%) 6(30%) 13 (45%)

Don’t want to be a Statistician 4(15%) 6(30%) 14(48%)

Have not been to Mandeni municipality 11(42%) 18(90%) 12(41%)

Not Participated in IDP initiatives 20(77%) 20(100%) 23(79%)

Not willing to participate in IDP initiatives

6(23%) 1(5%) 12(41%)

Don’t want to study Town Planning 11(42%) 10(50%) 16(55%)

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Learners Future prospect

Data items Isinyabusi High School: 26 Learners (Grade 11)

Udumo High School:

Tugela High School: 29 Learners (Grade 12)

20 Learners (Grade 12)

Mathematics 54% 100% 69%

Accounting 100% 0% 52%

Economics 100% 0% 0%

Geography 0% 95% 100%

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Learners Future prospect......

Mathematics Accounting Economics Geography 0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

Isinyabusi High School: 26 Learners (Grade 11)

Udumo High School:

Tugela High School: 29 Learners (Grade 12)

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Comparative Study findings: Three Senior Schools

• The above findings indicate that in-school youth are so keen to study statistics, though some of them don’t know Statistics SA.

• About 70% of learners in Udumo High School know Statistics SA and willing to enrol a degree in statistics, and 60% of them want to be Statisticians.

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Comparative Study findings: Three Senior Schools....

• On the other hand, about 77% of the learners in Isinyabusi indicated that they want to enrol statistics, and only 23% that showed no interest in studying statistics.

• About 73% of the learners in Isinyabusi High School want to be future Statisticians, while 15% showed no interest and 12% did not indicate.

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Partic

ipate

d in

IDP in

itiativ

es

Willi

ng to

par

ticipa

te in

IDP in

itiativ

es

Wan

t to

stud

y Tow

n Plan

ning

Paren

ts p

artic

ipate

in ID

P initia

tives

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Isinyabusi High School: 26 Learners 46% 77% 73% 50%

Udumo High School: 20 Learners 70% 70% 60% 10%

Tugela High School: 29 Learners 49% 52% 41% 41&

Comparative Study findings: IDP Analysis and Public Participation

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Comparative Study findings: IDP Analysis and Public Participation

In terms of IDP initiatives, in-school youth (learners) indicated the following:

• Learners from Udumo High School are willing to participate in IDP initiatives or road shows, whereas Isinyabusi and Tugela showed less interest.

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Comparative Study findings: IDP Analysis and Public Participation

• In terms of participation in IDP road shows, none of the learners from Udumo High school, while 15% at Isinyabusi and 17% in Tugela High school have participated in the programme.

• When asked if they want to consider a career in Town Planning, about 40% of the learners at Udumo High School like to consider this career, whereas, Tugela (28%) and Isinyabusi (8%) showed less interest.

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Comparative Study findings: IDP Analysis and Public Participation

• In terms of knowing if parents participate in IDP road shows, about 42% of learners at Isinyabusi indicated that indeed, their parents participate in IDP initiative, however, at Tugela, only 14% that confirmed parents’ involvement while it is 5% at Udumo High School.

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Recommendations

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Recommendations

• As the findings indicate that Stats SA and IDP initiatives are not known by some of these in-school youth, therefore, Stats SA, Mandeni municipality & DoBE partnered to roll-out the programme on IDP and Statistics.

• This initiative still requires intensive consultations with other stakeholders.

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Required intervention

Data items Isinyabusi High School: 26 Learners

Udumo High School:

Tugela High School: 29 Learners20

Learners

Don’t know Stats SA 46% 30% 45%

Don’t want to study statistics 23% 30% 45%

Don’t want to be a Statistician

15% 30% 48%

Have not been to Mandeni municipality

42% 90% 41%

Not Participated in IDP initiatives

77%) 100% 79%

Not willing to participate in IDP initiatives

23% 5% 41%

Don’t want to study Town Planning

42% 50% 55%

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Recommendation....

• The above highlighted areas in the table, needs intervention.

• The data indicate that almost 90% of the learners (in-school youth) at Udumo High School, which is located in Sundumbili, have not been to Mandeni municipality (Grade 12).

• Municipality should encourage In-school youth to participate in IDP road shows to avoid service delivery protest, e.g. Enyoni.

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Recommendations

• About 41% of the learners from Tugela High school which is located at High View Park are not willing to participate in IDP initiatives, therefore, it is more likely that they don’t even know the war rooms in their areas of residence.

• War room conveners and youth ambassadors should visits schools and alert in-school youth about municipality’s programme.

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Way forward....• Stats SA & Mandeni municipality should roll-out

a talk show or Symposium where learners will use census data to analyze municipality IDP.

• For this initiative, 10 Secondary Schools have already been profiled for this purpose.

• Three Learners per each school to present their findings and advise municipality

• Trophy and certificate to be awarded in participating schools (Learners)

• The SG and Mayor to award learners with the certificate

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Way forward.....• Both Stats SA and Mandeni municipality should

organize the Task Team that will make sure that this initiative is realized.

• Invitation will be extended to DoBE & Youth Commission

• Mandeni Municipality and Stats SA should show case their functions and plans as well as career guidance

• If available, the Statistician General should address the learners.

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Concluding Remarks

• This study provided the snapshot of the outcome that can be achieved by South Africa if Mandeni municipality and Stats SA partner in empowering youth with knowledge and career opportunities.

• The programme itself has a potential of producing Statisticians and Town Planners for South Africa and the world.

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Thank You