Applications in Acquisition

Changing Defense Environment

21st Century Environment

Early 21st CenturyWorld Population 8B+Terrorism 500+ incidentsNuclear States 5 admitted (4 more?)Refugees 25M+Major Conflicts 50+ (100s minor)U.S. Drug Costs $220BU.S. Defense $580B approx

Emerging Security Environment

• Global threat environment– Rogues, renegades, outlaws– Terrorism– Transnational crimes– Technology development and proliferation

• Critical Uncertainties– Strategic nuclear threats– Regional WMD– Large regional militaries

Emerging Security Environment

• New and modified warfare– Information warfare– Cybernetic warfare– Transnational infrastructure– Asymmetric warfare– Asynchronous warfare

• Who knows what’s next?

Revolution in Military Affairs

• Revolution is a major, discontinuous leap in effectiveness typically characterized by:

– Rapidly emerging technologies making new military systems possible

– New tools and options – New operational concepts use tools– New organizations to use the options

Revolution in Business Affairs

• Three broad streams of activity:

– Acquisition reform – Civil-Military Integration– Reducing support infrastructure

• More teeth less tail

Transformation

Fundamental Changes in the way the DoD conducts it’s business

RMA RBADriven by technology

MISSION focus

Driven by technology

Value focus

RMA + RBA = DoD Transformation

Quadrennial Defense Review

• QDR report is the Strategic Plan for the DoD• The Military Force Structure Review Act of 1996 • Every 4 years (1 year after election)• Content and purpose

– defense strategy, force structure, force modernization plans, infrastructure, and other elements of the defense program and policies with an intent of establishing a revised defense program

Quadrennial Defense Review

• 1997– Assumed Strategic Pause until 2015– Balance power projection and peacetime

presence– 2 Major Theatre Wars(MTWs)

• Still respond to Small Scale Contingencies (SSCs)

– Joint Vision 2010

Quadrennial Defense Review

• 2006– Fighting the Long War– Prolonged Irregular Conflict

• Afghanistan• Iraq

• Fight beyond Iraq and Afghanistan– Philippines– Korea– Horn of Africa

Quadrennial Defense Review 2010

• Humanitarian and Early prevention– Tsunami– Pakistan Earthquake– Haiti– Liberia

• Home Security– 9/11– Hurricanes

QDR 2010

• Rebalances US military capabilities and reforms Defense processes and institutions to:

– Prevail in today’s wars

– Prevent and deter conflict

– Prepare to defeat adversaries and succeed in a wide range of contingencies

– Preserve and enhance the All-Volunteer Force

• Emphasizes flexibility of the force and investment in key enablers

• Sets the force on a path toward sustainable rotation

• Integrates activities with other U.S. Government agencies and allies

and partners

• Initiates a cooperative, tailored approach to global defense posture

QDR 2010• Defend the United States and support civil authorities at home

– Improve flexibility and responsiveness of consequence management support• Succeed in counterinsurgency, stability, and counterterrorism

operations

– Increase rotary wing, ISR, and other key enablers; improve counter-IED capabilities

• Build the security capacity of partner states

– Institutionalize and reform security force assistance in the general purpose force

• Deter and defeat aggression in anti-access environments

– Enhance the resiliency of U.S. forward posture and base infrastructure• Prevent proliferation and counter weapons of mass destruction

– Secure vulnerable nuclear materials worldwide and enhance WMD interdiction

• Operate effectively in cyberspace

– Stand up Cyber Command and grow a cadre of cyber experts

Quadrennial Defense Review 2010

Irregular

DisruptiveTraditional

Catastrophic

Defeat Terrorism

WMDHomeland Security

Shape Countries Decisions

Quadrennial Defense Review

• Joint Ground Forces• Special Operations Forces• Joint Air Capabilities• Joint Maritime Capabilities• Tailored Deterrence• Combat WMD• Joint Mobility• Intelligence, Surveillance, Reconnaissance• Net-Centricity• Joint Command and Control

President

National Security Strategy

Chairman Joint Chiefs

Joint Strategy Review

National Military Strategy (NMS)

Joint Planning Document

Defense Planning Guidance

Program Objective Memorandum

Budget

QDR

Threats

New Technologies

Mission Need Determination

Defense PlanningGuidance(CinCs)

National SecurityStrategy(Intelligence)

Threats

Mission Area AnalysisSearch for Capabilities Deficiencies

Mission Need Determination

Mission Area AnalysisSearch for Capabilities Deficiencies

Strategy to Task focus

Mission Need AnalysisMission Needs/Timeframe Needs

Task to Need Focus

Material Solution Needed?

Mission Need Determination

Material Solution Needed?

YesNo

Mission Need Statement

Other Changes:•Doctrine•Organization•Training•Leadership•Personnel

Mission Need Statement

The Mission Need Statement is the approval document at the mission need decision. It summarizes the decision factors relevant to a capability shortfall the agency should address or technological opportunity for satisfying mission responsibility more efficiently or effectively. Approval by the Joint Resources Council authorizes entry into investment analysis to determine the best overall solution to mission need.

Mission Need Statement

•Justify Need to fulfill a shortfall•Rigorous, analytical

•Sufficient Quantifiable data to make decision

•Does not suggest or justify specific solutions

•Updated at any major change to mission or world situation

Content

• Signature page• Mission Area • Need Capability• Current Capability• Capability Shortfall• Impact • Benefits• Timeframe• Criticality• Resources/Funding

Mission Need Statement

The Mission Need Statement is a summary document that describes the operational problem and presents the major decision factors that the Joint Resources Council should evaluate in considering the need. Detailed quantitative and analytical information should be included as attachments .

Summary

• World is Changing

• U.S. Need to Change– New strategies– New Acquisition

• Fast Response

• Anticipate Change

Assignment

• Paper on the “super-committee” and sequestration

• What does it mean?

• What do you think it will cause?