Appetite for AnalyticsBasic LMI Training

November 27, 2018

Connect to internet

• Connect to the internet

• Open data files

2

Welcome & Introductions

1. Your name and your role

2. How do you use labor market information?

3. What was your first or most interesting job?

Today’s Agenda

o What is Labor Market Information?o Labor Forceo Industry Employmento Occupationso COE Demand and Supply Toolso Group Activitieso Demographics (if there’s time)

Introduction to CoreLabor Market Information

Important Concept

6

Timeliness Vs. Reliability

The Beginning of LMI

Chester A. Arthur, 21st President of the United States

Why is it important?

• LMI helps customers make informed plans, choices, and decisions for a variety of purposes, including

• Business investments

• Career planning and preparation

• Education and training offerings

• Job search opportunities

• Hiring and compensation

• Public or private workforce investments

What are the underlying values of the LMI system?

• Unbiased

• Known reliability

• Timely

• Free or affordable

Who produces LMI?

• Federal

• Bureau of Labor Statistics

• US Census Bureau

• State

• Employment Development Department

• Labor Market Information Division

Who uses LMI?

• Education and training providers

• Workforce development/Economic development

• Policy makers and researchers

• News media

Core BLS Programs

• Current Population Survey (CPS)

• Household survey 60K/month

• Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)

• State and local unemployment rates 7.5K+ areas

• Current Employment Statistics (CES)

• Total nonfarm employment

• Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW)

• Jobs and payroll by industry at county level

• Occupational Employment Statistics (OES)

• Types of jobs and wage estimates

Understanding CoreLabor Market Information

Three Basic Types of LMI

Labor Force

• Count of People where they live

• Unemployment Rate

Industry

• What business do

• Count of Jobswhere they are located

Occupation

• What people do for pay

• Occupational and wage data

Civilian Employment

Labor Force

• Also known as Civilian Labor Force or Civilian Employment.

• Counts People who work where they live.

• Counted once, no matter how many jobs they hold.

• Includes residents with Wage and Salary job and business

owners or self-employed, private-household worker or unpaid

workers in a family enterprise.

Labor Force• Civilian labor force. Included are all persons in the civilian

noninstitutionalized population ages 16+, either employed or

unemployed.

• Employed. These are all persons who, during the reference week,

did any work as paid employees, sole proprietors, temporarily

absent or helped at a family business for no pay.

• Each employed person is counted only once, even with more than

one job

• Unemployed. All persons who had no employment during the

reference week, were available for work and looked for work

during the previous month.

• Unemployment rate. Unemployed / civilian labor force

Basic Concepts of Employment and Unemployment

• People with jobs are employed

• People who are jobless, looking for a job, and available for

work are unemployed

• The labor force is the sum of the employed and the unemployed

• People who are neither employed nor unemployed are not in the

labor force

Unemployment Rate

21.6

24.6

19.4 19.2

6 64.7 4.1

Jan

Feb

Mar Ap

r

May Jun Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov De

c

Jan

Feb

Mar Ap

r

May Jun Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov De

c

Jan

Feb

Mar Ap

r

May Jun Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

2016 2017 2018

Imperial IE

Number of Unemployed

118,500 119,500

94,800 86,000

16,600 19,400 14,200 14,400

Jan

Feb

Mar Ap

r

May Jun Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov De

c

Jan

Feb

Mar Ap

r

May Jun Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov De

c

Jan

Feb

Mar Ap

r

May Jun Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

2016 2017 2018

IE Imperial

Alternative Measures

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Industry Employment

Industry Employment

• Also known as Wage and Salary Employment.

• Counts Jobs where they are located.

• Counts each job, even if multiple jobs are held by the same

person.

• Excludes business owners, self-employed, unpaid volunteers,

family workers, and private household workers.

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NAICS Structure

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NAICS Structure

Farm

Nonfarm

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NAICS Structure

Public

Private

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NAICS Structure

Service Providing

Goods Producing

Industry Definitions

North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) Classification of business establishments for the purpose of

collecting, analyzing, and publishing statistical data.

Example:44-45 Retail Trade441 Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers4412 Other Motor Vehicle Dealers44122* Motorcycle, Boat, and other Vehicle Dealers441221 Motorcycle, ATV, and Personal Watercraft Dealers

NAICS

https://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics/

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Major Industry Groups, Annual 2017

279,659214,578

191,990

149,443

122,578

127,623

118,363

102,571

74,699

65,605

55,507

30,789

26,465

25,041

25,705

15,987

12,942

8,424

5,208

962

Government

Health Care and Social Assistance

Retail Trade

Accommodation and Food Services

Transportation and Warehousing

Construction

Admin, Sppt, Waste Mmgt, Rem Serv.

Manufacturing

Other Services (except Public Administration)

Wholesale Trade

Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services

Finance and Insurance

Educational Services

Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation

Real Estate and Rental and Leasing

Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting

Information

Management of Companies and Enterprises

Utilities

Mining

2017 Jobs1,661,055

Industry Data• https://www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov/

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Types of Industry Data• Current Industry Employment

• Monthly • Annual average

• Projections• 10-year (2016-2026 coming soon!)

• QCEW• Size of business• Payroll

• Employers by Industry (Find local employers)• Staffing Patterns

• Agricultural Employment

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Industry Data

What data is available?

# of jobs

# of establishments

average earnings

employment projections

occupations employed by

industry (staffing patterns)

location quotient

Labor Force vs. Industry EmploymentIndustry Employment Civilian Employment

The number of jobs in an area for which employers pay workers wages or salaries.

The number of residents in an area who work.

Excludes business owners, self-employed, etc.

Includes residents with wages and salaryjobs and business owners or self-employed.

Includes the number of jobs in an area held by commuters and residents.

Includes area residents who travel to jobs in other areas. Excludes non-residents.

Counts all full-time and part-time jobs. Counts all residents with full-time and part-time jobs.

Counts each job, even if one person holds multiple jobs.

Residents with more than one job are counted once.

Does not count jobs held by those not working because of labor-management dispute.

Includes residents with jobs, but are not working because of labor-management dispute.

Occupational Employment

Occupation QuestionsWorkforce questions

• What occupations are in demand?

• Is demand for these occupations increasing or

decreasing?

• What is the typical path to employment?

• How much do these professionals earn?

• What other characteristics of this job are

important to know? (Self-employment, length of

workday/week, 3rd-party licensing

requirements, etc.)

Occupations

• An category of jobs with similar work and skills possessed by

the incumbents.

• Currently 800 detailed occupations organized into 23 major

occupational groups in the SOC system.

• O*NET-SOC taxonomy contains 974 occupations.

Major Occupational Groups11 Management Occupations

13 Business & Financial Operations 31 Healthcare Support

15 Computer & Mathematical 33 Protective Service

17 Architecture & Engineering 35 Food Preparation & Serving Related

19 Life, Physical, & Social Science 37 Building &Grounds Cleaning & Maint.

21 Community & Social Services 39 Personal Care & Service

23 Legal 41 Sales & Related

25 Education, Training, & Library 43 Office & Administrative Support

27 Arts, Design, Ent., Sports, & Media 45 Farming, Fishing, & Forestry

29 Healthcare Practitioners & Technical 47 Construction & Extraction

49 Installation, Maintenance, & Repair

51 Production

53 Transportation & Material Moving

55 Military Specific

Occupation Definitions

Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) System used to classify workers into occupational categories for the

purpose of collecting, analyzing, and publishing statistical data

Example:15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations15-1100 Computer Occupations15-1120 Computer and Information Analysts15-1121 Computer Systems Analysts

SOC 2018• https://www.bls.gov/soc/2018/home.htm

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https://www.onetonline.org/Identify Occupations – O*NET

Type in your search here

https://www.onetonline.org/Identify Occupations

Identifying Occupational Demand

• Identifying occupational codes (SOC) with highest relevance to curriculum

• Dental Assistants (SOC 31-9091)

• Typical educational requirements (BLS), O*NET, and CPS attainment by

occupation

• Postsecondary nondegree award (BLS)

• Job Zone Three: Medium Preparation Needed; 63% of sample report

Postsecondary Award (O*NET)

• 61% of current Dental Assistants report some college thru Associate

degree attainment (CPS)

Most Useful Data in Analysis

CA LMID Occupational Research• https://www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov/data/occupations-

data.html• Occupational Guides (Qualitative)

• Occupational Profiles (Quantitative)

Center of Excellence website• http://coeccc.net/

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• Password is GetLMI (case sensitive).

Labor Market Demand Tool

Occupational DemandCurrent employment (2017 Jobs)

• Approximately 5,000 Dental Assistants currently in Inland Empire/Desert.

Projected growth/decline

Potential salary range

Most Useful Data in Analysis

Occ Title 2017 Jobs 2022 Jobs Change %

Change Openings Annual Openings

Dental Assistants 4,997 5,714 717 14% 3,591 718

Occ Title Pct. 10 Hourly Earnings

Median Hourly Earnings

Dental Assistants $11.70 $15.50

Regional Living Wage is: $12.30/hour

What to Look for in the Data

• Job growth/decline

• Most job openings (absolute number)

• Fastest growth (percentage)

• Annual Openings (new jobs + replacement need)

Occupations with the Most Job Openings, CA

Occupational Title (SOC)Total Job Openings 2014-2024

Median Hourly

Personal Care Aides (39-9021) 230,500 $10.68Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food (35-3021) 209,600 $9.69

Retail Salespersons (41-2031) 194,700 $11.31Cashiers (41-2011) 192,300 $10.16Waiters and Waitresses (35-3031) 184,600 $11.41Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand (53-7062) 133,700 $12.30

General and Operations Managers (11-1021) 110,000 $51.47Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse (45-2092) 105,100 $9.62

Registered Nurses (29-1141) 104,700 $48.97Office Clerks, General (43-9061) 103,700 $16.15

Fastest Growing Occupations

Occupational Title (SOC)Estimated

Employment 2014

Projected Employment

2024

% Change 2014-2024

Median Hourly

Brickmasons and Blockmasons (47-2021) 5,500 8,600 56.4% $28.23Roofers (47-2181) 16,400 24,400 48.8% $24.37Web Developers (15-1134) 24,200 35,900 48.3% $37.29Software Developers, Applications (15-1132) 121,200 172,700 42.5% $58.40

Operations Research Analysts (15-2031) 12,500 17,800 42.4% $44.03

Biomedical Engineers (17-2031) 5,600 7,900 41.1% $47.67Home Health Aides (31-1011) 32,900 45,700 38.9% $11.65

Nurse Practitioners (29-1171) 10,800 15,000 38.9% $57.55

Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers (47-2051) 19,200 26,400 37.5% $23.26

Cooks, Restaurant (35-2014) 122,100 167,100 36.9% $12.12Interpreters and Translators (27-3091) 9,300 12,700 36.6% $21.84

• Wages

• Entry-level wage (10th percentile). PROXY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

• Median (50th percentile) or average wage (mean).

• Experienced-level wage (90th percentile). PROXY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

• Know the living wage in your area!

• IE region: $12.30 single adult, $26.96 1 adult, 1 child

• MIT Living Wage Calculator

• http://livingwage.mit.edu/metros/40140

What to Look for, cont.

Low Sample Wages

Occupation Title (SOC) Pct. 10 Hourly Earnings

Median Hourly

Earnings

Pct. 90 Hourly Earnings

Avg. Hourly Earnings

Childcare Workers (39-9011) $7.32 $8.78 $11.12 $9.02

Manicurists and Pedicurists (39-5092) $8.14 $9.13 $11.27 $9.38

Barbers (39-5011) $8.58 $9.75 $10.86 $9.76

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists (39-5012) $9.52 $10.64 $14.67 $11.58

Home Health Aides (31-1011) $8.96 $11.21 $22.33 $13.11

Recreation Workers (39-9032) $9.13 $11.83 $17.62 $12.70

High Sample Wages

Occupation Title (SOC)Pct. 10 Hourly

Earnings

Median Hourly

Earnings

Pct. 90 Hourly

Earnings

Avg. Hourly Earnings

First-Line Supervisors of Fire Fighting and Prevention Workers (33-1021) $42.41 $74.88 $129.32 $76.53

Air Traffic Controllers (53-2021) $34.49 $65.10 $87.71 $61.76

First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives (33-1012) $38.98 $64.22 $83.33 $63.32

Computer Network Architects (15-1143) $28.27 $53.72 $76.23 $53.51

Detectives and Criminal Investigators (33-3021) $35.80 $51.09 $64.86 $50.06

Dental Hygienists (29-2021) $25.97 $49.98 $57.96 $46.33

What to Look for, cont.

• Education and Training

• Typical entry-level education (employer)

• CPS educational attainment

• Typical OJT

• Short Term (< one month)

• Moderate Term (one to 12 months)

• Long Term (> 12 months)

Sample Education and Training

Occupation Title (SOC)Typical Entry

Level Education

High School or

Less

Some college, no

degree

Associate's degree

Bachelor's or Higher

Typical On-The-Job Training

Registered Nurses (29-1141) Bachelor's degree 1% 5% 37% 57% None

Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers (33-3051)

High school diploma or equivalent

13% 34% 17% 35%

Moderate-term on-the-job training

Power Distributors and Dispatchers (51-8012)

High school diploma or equivalent

34% 33% 18% 16%Long-term on-the-job

training

Computer Network Architects (15-1143)

Bachelor's degree 6% 23% 14% 57% None

Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers (49-9051)

High school diploma or equivalent

45% 37% 13% 5%Long-term on-the-job

training

Occupational data

What data is available?

# of occupational jobs

projections (growth/decline)

earnings (median, average, percentile)

typical education requirement

annual jobs openings

demographics

Data to Inform Planning

Education questions

• Who is training students to enter these careers?

• Which community college partners offer

programs related to the occupation?

• What can students expect to earn after

program completion?

Educational Supply

• Identify training programs related to selected occupations

• Supply estimates in CCC system and non-CCC institutions in region

by type of certificate or degree

Most Useful Data in Analysis

Where does Supply Data come from?

California Community Colleges Chancellor’s OfficeManagement Information Systems Data Mart

Provides information about students, courses, student services, outcomes and faculty and staff.

Count of student awards (certificates & degrees). Can be broken down by college, program and award type.

Supply Tool

Student Outcomes

• Related state, region, or college-level data on student outcomes,

such as UI wage matching data and/or CTE Outcome Survey

data. CTEOS

Launchboard (Training session coming soon!)

www.calpassplus.org/LaunchBoard

Most Useful Data in Analysis

LMI Federal Resources

• Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)

• Standard Occupational Classification (SOC)

• Latest National Data – First Friday of the Month

• Occupational Information Network (O*NET)

• Emerging Occupations

• Alternative Job Titles

• United States Census

• North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)

• American Community Survey (ACS)

LMI State Resources

• CA Employment Development Department (EDD)• Latest State Data – Third Friday of the Month*• Industry data

• Down to the MSA, Region, and County Level• Projections at MSA level

• Labor Force• City and CDP level

• Occupation Data and Projections• MSA or Region level

• CA Department of Finance• Demographics

EDD monthly release

• Emerson.figuora@edd.ca.gov

• Frances.Gines@edd.ca.gov

• 3rd Friday of the Month

• Monthly Labor Force Data

• Monthly Industry Employment Data

• Job Posting Statistics (HWOL)

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Real-Time LMI

• EMSI

• Combines Data from Several Fed and State Sources

• Self-Employment Counts

• Custom Projections

• Burning Glass

• Online Job Postings

Consider multiple data sources

Short Term Long Term

Seco

ndar

y D

ata

Prim

ary

Dat

a

Direct Business Input

Industry Surveys

“Real Time” Labor Market Information

Economic, Workforce and Education Data

Time for Group Activities

Questions?

Thank You!

Michael GossInland Empire/Desert

Center of Excellence for Labor Market Researchmichael.goss@chaffey.edu

www.coeccc.net

Coming in 2019:

• Launchboard

• CTE OS