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APPENDIX A

ANTICIPATED DEVELOPMENT IN AJAX

2013-2031


A-1


APPENDIX A - ANTICIPATED DEVELOPMENT IN AJAX

2013-2031

Appendix A provides the growth forecast of the anticipated development for which the Town of

Ajax will be required to provide services for over a 10-year (mid 2013-mid 2023) and 18-year

(mid 2013-mid 2031) time horizon. The population and employment forecast which has been

prepared herein is derived from the Province’s October 27, 2010 ROPA 128 approval (Table 1)

which is under appeal.

TABLE 1

POPULATION, HOUSEHOLD AND EMPLOYMENT FORECAST

AS PER PROVINCE’S ROPA 128 APPROVAL (UNDER APPEAL)

POPULATION, HOUSEHOLDS AND EMPLOYMENT

Ajax Year

2011 2016 2021 2026 2031

Urban

Population

110,535 125,490 131,480 135,010 136,795

Rural

Population

825 835 850 860 875

TotalPopulation(includesundercount)

111,355 126,325 132,325 135,870 137,670

Households 34,490 40,090 42,885 44,610 45,835

Employment 34,810 40,665 46,115 48,575 49,290

A.1 Basis of Population, Household and Non-Residential Gross

Floor Area Forecast

In compiling the growth forecast for Ajax the following reports were consulted:

Town of Ajax Development Charge Background Study For Town-Wide Development

Charge By-law, Watson & Associates Economists Ltd., June 2, 2008;

Town of Ajax Employment Report, Recommended Report, June 15, 2009;

Growing Durham Recommended Growth Scenarios and Policy Directions, Final Report,

November 18, 2008;

Town of Ajax, Official Plan Amendment No. 41, 2012;

Province’s ROPA 128 Approval, October 27, 2010.

A-2


In addition to reviewing the above-mentioned documents, the following key indicators were also

considered in generating the population, household and non-residential forecast;

1996, 2001, 2006 and available 2011 Census data;1

historical residential and non-residential building permit activity;

proposed residential units in the development approvals process by dwelling type and

location; and

1996, 2001 and 2006 Census employment data.

A.2 Summary of Growth Forecast

The discussion provided herein, summarizes the anticipated growth for Ajax and describes the

basis for the forecast. The result of the growth forecast analysis is summarized in Schedule 1.

The population is anticipated to reach 128,983 by mid 2023 and 131,697 by mid 2031 (which is

134,860 and 137,700, respectively, including the undercount estimated at 4.55%). This results

in an increase of 14,859 persons over the 10-year period and 17,573 over the 18-year period.

1. Unit Mix (Schedules 1 and 2)

The unit mix for Ajax was derived from historical development activity, units in the

development approvals process (as per Schedule 5), as well as discussions with

staff, regarding anticipated development trends for the Town.

Based on the above indicators, the long-term growth forecast is premised upon a

unit mix of 24% low density (single family and semi-detached), 16% medium

density (multiples except apartments) and 60% high density (apartments). This

allocation varies slightly from the allocation from “Growing Durham”, in that the

current inventory of housing identifies more low density dwellings. The increase

in low density dwellings is offset by a decrease in medium density dwellings, and

does not significantly change the long-term weighted density of approximately 60

units per net hectare.

2. Geographic Location (Schedule 5 and Map A-1)

Appendix A, Schedule 5 summarizes the supply of future housing within Ajax,

which are either pending, draft approved and registered units, as well as

approved and pending site plans. In terms of the geographic location (Map A-1)

of the residential inventory for new development, 59% of the supply is located

within Areas 1, 2, and 4, 20% is located in the Southwest (Area 6), and the

remaining 21% is located within Areas 3, 5, 7, 8, and Rural Ajax.

3. Planning Period

Short and longer-term time horizons are required for the DC process. The DCA

limits the planning horizon for certain services, such as parks, recreation and

1The 2011 Census regarding total population and total number of occupied private dwellings by structuraltype of dwelling has been incorporated into the 2013 DC growth forecast.

A-3


libraries, to a 10-year planning horizon. Roads and related services and

stormwater management are able to utilize a longer planning period.

4. Population in New Units (Schedules 2, 3 and 4)

The number of housing units to be constructed in Ajax during the short, medium and long term

period is presented on Schedule 1 (average of approximately 521 units per annum over the 18-

year time horizon).1 As well, this schedule graphically illustrates the forecast unit development

for the 18-year forecast period in comparison to building activity over the past 10 years.

Population in new units is derived from Schedules 2, 3 and 4, which incorporate

historical development activity, anticipated units (see unit mix discussion), and 1996,

2001 and 2006 Census data.

Schedule 7 summarizes the PPU for the new housing units by age and type of dwelling

based on 2006 custom census data. The 20-year average PPU’s used in the forecast

are:

Low-density: 3.72

Medium-density: 2.91

High-density: 1.80

5. Existing Units and Population Change (Schedules 2, 3 and 4)

Existing households for mid 2013 are based on the 2011 Census households,

plus estimated residential units constructed between mid 2011 and mid 2013

assuming a lag between construction and occupancy.

The decline in average occupancy levels for existing housing units is calculated

in Schedules 2, 3 and 4, by aging the existing population over the forecast

period.

6. Employment (Schedules 9, 10, and 11)

Employment projections are derived from the Town of Ajax’s Employment

Recommended Report, June 15, 2009, which is largely based on the activity rate

method of forecasting, which is defined as the number of jobs in Ajax divided by

the number of residents. Key employment sectors include primary, industrial,

commercial, institutional, and work at home, which are considered individually

below.

2006 employment data for the Town is outlined in Schedule 9. The 2006 total

employment is broken out by the following sectors:

o 150 primary (0.5%);

o 2,600 work at home employment (8.6%).

1The unit forecast contained herein is consistent with the ROPA 128 household total as opposed to theresidential unit total from OPA 41 (i.e. OPA 41 refers to “dwelling units”, some of which contain multiplehouseholds).

A-4


o 8,120 industrial (26.9%);

o 10,040 commercial/population-related (33.2%);

o 5,030 institutional (16.7%);

o 4,270 no fixed place of work1 (14.1%).

This provides a total employment (including NFPOW and work at home) figure of

30,210 based on the Town’s 2007 Employment Survey. Additional details

regarding historical employment trends by sub-sector based on the 2006 Census

are summarized in Schedule 11.

Total employment for the Town is anticipated to reach approximately 45,139 by

mid 2023 and 49,300 by mid 2031. The employment increase for the 10-year

period is 10,394 and 14,555 for the 18-year period.

7. Non-Residential Sq. Ft. Estimates (Gross Floor Area (GFA), Schedule 9)

Square footage estimates were calculated in Schedule 9 based on the following

employee density assumptions;

O 950 sq. ft. per employee for industrial;

O 500 sq. ft. per employee for commercial/population-related; and

O 700 sq. ft. per employee for institutional.

The incremental Gross Floor Area (GFA) increase for the Town is approximately

7,031,526 sq. ft. over the 10-year projection period and 10,131,176 over the 18-

year projection period.

The 18-year forecast incremental GFA by sector is as follows:

o industrial 71.9%;

o commercial/population-related 20.6%; and

o institutional 7.5%.

1Statistics Canada defines “No Fixed Place of Work” (NFPOW) employees as “persons who do not gofrom home to the same work place location at the beginning of each shift. Such persons include buildingand landscape contractors, travelling salespersons, independent truck drivers, etc.

A-5


Singles & Semi-

Detached

Multiple

Dwellings2 Apartments

3 OtherTotal

Households

Person Per

Unit (PPU)

Mid 1996 64,430 67,370 14,915 2,290 3,160 10 20,375 3.16

Mid 2001 73,753 77,120 17,345 2,720 3,100 5 23,170 3.18

Mid 2006 90,167 94,280 21,040 4,255 3,310 0 28,605 3.15

Mid 2011 109,600 114,600 25,110 6,345 3,580 0 35,035 3.13

Mid 2013 114,124 119,330 25,972 6,832 3,639 0 36,443 3.13

Mid 2023 128,983 134,860 28,232 8,222 7,469 0 43,923 2.94

Mid 2031 131,697 137,700 28,272 8,322 9,239 0 45,833 2.87

Mid 1991 - Mid 1996 7,080 7,400 14,915 2,290 3,160 10 20,375

Mid 1996 - Mid 2001 9,323 9,750 2,430 430 -60 -5 2,795

Mid 2001 - Mid 2006 16,414 17,160 3,695 1,535 210 -5 5,435

Mid 2006 - Mid 2011 19,433 20,320 4,070 2,090 270 0 6,430

Mid 2011 - Mid 2013 4,524 4,730 862 487 59 0 1,408

Mid 2013 - Mid 2023 14,859 15,530 2,260 1,390 3,830 0 7,480

Mid 2013 - Mid 2031 17,573 18,370 2,300 1,490 5,600 0 9,390

Source: Watson & Associates Economists Ltd., October, 2012. Derived from Growing Durham Recommended Growth Scenarios and Policy Directions, Final Report, November 18, 2008.

1. Census Undercount estimated at approximately 4.56%. Note: Population Including the Undercount has been rounded.

2. Includes townhomes and apartments in duplexes.

3. Includes bachelor, 1 bedroom and 2 bedroom+ apartments.

Source: Historical housing activity (2003-2012 est.) based on Statistics Canada building permits, Catalogue 64-001-XIB

1. Growth Forecast represents start year.

Source: Historical housing activity (2001-2010) based on CMHC Completions data less Statistics Canada Demolitions (2002-2010).

Source: Historical housing activity (2002-2011) based on Statistics Canada building permits, Catalogue 64-001-XIB

SCHEDULE 1

TOWN OF AJAX

RESIDENTIAL GROWTH FORECAST SUMMARY

Population

(Excluding

Census

Undercount)

Population

(Including

Census

Undercount)¹

Year

Housing Units

1,476

1,298

1,963

1,872

927

655

915

718773

635710

1,000

880 880 880

780

700

600550

500

400360

225 225 200 200150 150

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

HousingUnits

Years

FIGUREA-1

2013-2031 HOUSING FORECAST¹

Historical Low Density Medium Density High Density Historical Average

A-6


POPULATION

Mid 2011 Population 109,600

Occupants of Units (2) 1,408

New Housing Units, multiplied by persons per unit (3) 3.36

Mid 2011 to Mid 2013 gross population increase 4,726 4,726

Decline in Housing Units (4) 35,035

Unit Occupancy, multiplied by ppu decline rate (5) -0.0058

Mid 2011 to Mid 2013 total decline in population -202 -202

Population Estimate to Mid 2013 114,124

Net Population Increase, Mid 2011 to Mid 2013 4,524

(1) 2011 population based on StatsCan Census unadjusted for Census Undercount.

(2)

(3) Average number of persons per unit (ppu) is assumed to be:

Persons % Distribution Weighted Persons

Structural Type Per Unit¹ of Estimated Units² Per Unit Average

Singles & Semi Detached 3.72 61% 2.28

Multiples (6) 2.91 35% 1.01

Apartments (7) 1.80 4% 0.08

Total 100% 3.36

¹Based on 2006 Census custom database

² Based on Building permit/completion acitivty

(4) 2011 households taken from StatsCan Census.

(5) Decline occurs due to aging of the population and family life cycle changes, lower fertility rates and

changing economic conditions.

(6) Includes townhomes and apartments in duplexes.

(7) Includes bachelor, 1 bedroom and 2 bedroom+ apartments.

SCHEDULE 2

TOWN OF AJAX

CURRENT YEAR GROWTH FORECAST

MID 2011 TO MID 2013

Estimated residential units constructed, Mid 2011 to the beginning of the growth period, assuming a sixmonth lag between

construction and occupancy.

A-7


POPULATION



NewHousing Units, multiplied by persons per unit (3) 2.58




Mid 2013 to Mid 2023 total decline in population -4,459 -4,459



(1) Mid 2013 Population based on:

(2) Based upon forecast building permits/completions assuming a lag between construction and occupancy.





Multiples (6) 2.91 19% 0.54

Apartments (7) 1.80 51% 0.92

one bedroom or less 1.26

two bedrooms or more 2.09

Total 100% 2.58

¹Persons per unit based on adjusted Statistics Canada Custom2006 Census database.

² Forecast unit mix based upon historical trends and housing units in the development process.

(4) Mid 2013 households based upon 35,035 (2011 Census) + 1,408 (Mid 2011 to Mid 2013 unit estimate) = 36,443

(5) Decline occurs due to aging of the population and family life cycle changes, lower fertility rates and changing economic conditions.



MID 2013 TOMID 2023

2011 Population (109,600) + Mid 2011 to Mid 2013 estimated housing units to beginning of forecast period (1,408 x 3.36 = 4,726)

+ (35,035 x -0.0058 = -202) = 114,124

SCHEDULE 3

TOWN OF AJAX

TEN YEAR GROWTH FORECAST

A-8


POPULATION



New Housing Units, multiplied by persons per unit (3) 2.44




Mid 2013 to Mid 2031 total decline in population -5,361 -5,361



(1) Mid 2013 Population based on:

(2) Based upon forecast building permits/completions assuming a lag between construction and occupancy.





Multiples (6) 2.91 16% 0.46

Apartments (7) 1.80 60% 1.07

one bedroom or less 1.26

two bedrooms or more 2.09

Total 100% 2.44

¹Persons per unit based on adjusted Statistics Canada Custom2006 Census database.

² Forecast unit mix based upon historical trends and housing units in the development process.

(4) Mid 2013 households based upon 35,035 (2011 Census) + 1,408 (Mid 2011 to Mid 2013 unit estimate) = 36,443

(5) Decline occurs due to aging of the population and family life cycle changes, lower fertility rates and changing economic conditions.



MID 2013 TO MID 2031

2011 Population (109,600) + Mid 2011 to Mid 2013 estimated housing units to beginning of forecast period (1,408 x 3.36 = 4,726)

+ (35,035 x -0.0058 = -202) = 114,124

SCHEDULE 4

TOWN OF AJAX

18 - YEAR GROWTH FORECAST

A-9


Singles & Semi-

DetachedMultiples

2Apartments

3 Total

AREA 1 650 235 996 1,881

AREA 2 1,197 523 400 2,120

AREA 3 95 53 281 429

AREA 4 867 755 1,720 3,342

AREA 5 152 173 242 567

AREA 6 10 250 2,288 2,548

AREA 7 561 445 0 1,006

AREA 8 410 56 70 536

RURAL 26 0 0 26

Total (as of June 2010) 3,968 2,490 5,997 12,455

% Breakdown 32% 20% 48% 100%

BP's since 2009 1,659 1,000 2,659

Estimated Total (as of end 2012) 2,309 1,490 5,997 9,796

Town of Ajax Planning Department, July 2012.

1. All of the units listed are either pending, draft approved and registered units, as well as approved and pending site plans.



TOWN OF AJAX

SUMMARY OF UNITS IN THE DEVELOPMENT PROCESS AS OF JUNE, 20101

SCHEDULE 5

Development Location

Density Type

A-10


MAP A-1

TOWN OF AJAXLOCATION OF RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT

Source: Town of Ajax, Planning Department

A-11


RESIDENTIAL BUILDING PERMITS

Year Total

562 49 0 611

2002 811 260 31 1,102

2003 1,215 182 79 1,476

2004 1,055 187 56 1,298

2005 1,489 435 39 1,963

2006 1,221 599 52 1,872

Sub-total 5,791 1,663 257 7,711

Average (2002 - 2006) 1,158 333 51 1,542

% Breakdown 75.1% 21.6% 3.3% 100.0%

2007 715 120 92 927

2008 487 134 34 655

2009 545 256 114 915

2010 349 338 31 718

2011 457 281 35 773

Sub-total 2,553 1,129 306 3,988

Average (2007 - 2011) 511 226 61 798

% Breakdown 64.0% 28.3% 7.7% 100.0%

2002 - 2011

Total 8,344 2,792 563 11,699

Average 834 279 56 1,170

% Breakdown 71.3% 23.9% 4.8% 100.0%

Sources:

Building Permits - Statistics Canada Publication, 64-001XIB



SCHEDULE 6

TOWN OF AJAX

HISTORICAL RESIDENTIAL BUILDING PERMITS

YEARS 2002 - 2011

Singles & Semi

DetachedMultiples

1Apartments

2

A-12


Age of SINGLES AND SEMI-DETACHED

Dwelling < 1 BR 1 BR 2 BR 3/4 BR 5+ BR Total 20 Year Average

1-5 - 3.250 2.895 3.394 5.105 3.512

6-10 - - 2.636 3.584 4.395 3.608

11-15 - - - 3.940 5.214 4.070

16-20 - - 2.581 3.590 4.875 3.679 3.72

20-25 - - 2.621 3.326 4.333 3.328

25-35 - - 2.267 2.948 3.920 3.014

35+ - 2.000 2.097 2.679 4.280 2.612

Total - 2.676 2.445 3.346 4.732 3.389

Age of MULTIPLES2


1-5 - - 2.273 2.801 - 2.728

6-10 - - 1.818 3.233 - 3.195

11-15 - - - 3.102 - 3.057

16-20 - - 1.941 2.884 3.333 2.651 2.91

20-25 - - 1.600 3.181 - 3.010

25-35 - - - 2.770 - 2.662

35+ - - 2.500 2.700 - 2.579

Total - 1.676 2.083 2.941 4.161 2.835

Age of APARTMENTS3


1-5 - - - - - -

6-10 - - 2.357 - - 2.043

11-15 - 1.231 1.778 - - 1.506

16-20 - 1.370 1.813 2.467 - 1.835 1.80

20-25 - 1.000 2.000 2.214 - 1.877

25-35 - 1.682 1.740 2.500 - 1.851

35+ - 1.639 2.061 3.000 - 2.225

Total 0.952 1.432 1.885 2.677 - 1.929

Age of ALL DENSITY TYPES

Dwelling < 1 BR 1 BR 2 BR 3/4 BR 5+ BR Total

1-5 - 2.778 2.755 3.296 5.145 3.383

6-10 - 2.417 2.362 3.492 4.660 3.460

11-15 - 1.227 2.279 3.701 5.219 3.400

16-20 - 1.378 2.083 3.505 4.628 3.415

20-25 - 1.810 2.158 3.283 4.414 3.172

25-35 - 1.654 1.825 2.867 3.643 2.609

35+ 0.909 1.731 2.103 2.711 3.906 2.524

Total 1.417 1.690 2.112 3.263 4.636 3.137



Note: Does not include Statistics Canada data classified as 'Other'

PPU Not calculated for samples less than or equal to 50 dwelling units, and does not include institutional population

(2006 CENSUS)

1. The Census PPU has been adjusted to account for the downward PPU trend which has been recently experienced in both new and older units,

largely due to the aging of the population

TOWN OF AJAX

SCHEDULE 7

PERSONS PER UNIT BYAGE AND TYPE OF DWELLING

A-13

Watson&AssociatesEconomistsLtd.

H:\AJAX\DC2012-2013\dcstudy.docx

3.51

3.61

4.07

3.68

3.33

3.01

2.61

2.73

3.20

3.06

2.65

3.01

2.66

2.58

0.00

2.04

1.51

1.84

1.88

1.85

2.23

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

1-5

6-10

11-15

16-20

20-25

25-35

35+

PersonsPerDwelling

AgeofDwelling

SCHEDULE8

PERSONSPERUNITBYSTRUCTURALTYPEANDAGEOFDWELLING

(2006CENSUS)

SinglesandSemi-Detached

Multiples

Apartments

TOWNOFAJAX

A-14



20061

90,167

0.002

0.029

0.090

0.111

0.056

0.288

150

2,600

8,120

10,040

5,030

25,940

4,270

30,210

Mid2013

114,124

0.002

0.028

0.097

0.104

0.055

0.286

160

3,206

8,543

11,713

6,748

30,370

4,375

34,745

8,116,253

5,856,468

4,723,603

18,696,324

Mid2023

128,983

0.001

0.032

0.104

0.118

0.060

0.314

160

4,085

13,421

15,201

7,682

40,549

4,590

45,139

12,749,950

7,600,500

5,377,400

25,727,850

Mid2031

131,697

0.001

0.034

0.123

0.121

0.060

0.339

160

4,500

16,210

15,880

7,840

44,590

4,710

49,300

15,399,500

7,940,000

5,488,000

28,827,500

2006-Mid2013

23,957

-0.0002

-0.0006

0.0068

-0.0071

-0.0003

-0.0014

10

606

423

1,673

1,718

4,430

105

4,535

Mid2013-Mid2023

14,859

-0.0003

0.0034

0.0072

0.0136

0.0041

0.0281

0879

4,878

3,488

934

10,179

215

10,394

4,633,697

1,744,032

653,797

7,031,526

Mid2013-Mid2031

17,573

-0.0003

0.0059

0.0263

0.0164

0.0040

0.0523

01,294

7,667

4,167

1,092

14,220

335

14,555

7,283,247

2,083,532

764,397

10,131,176

2006-Mid2013

3,993

0.0000

-0.0001

0.0011

-0.0012

0.0000

-0.0002

2101

71

279

286

738

18

756

Mid2013-Mid2023

1,486

-0.00003

0.00034

0.00072

0.00136

0.00041

0.00281

088

488

349

93

1,018

22

1,039

463,370

174,403

65,380

703,153

Mid2013-Mid2031

879

-0.00001

0.00030

0.00131

0.00082

0.00020

0.00261

065

383

208

55

711

17

728

364,162

104,177

38,220

506,559

Source:Watson&AssociatesEconomistsLtd.,October,2012.DerivedfromTownofAjaxEmploymentRecommendedReport,June15,2009.

1.2006basedon2007EmploymentSurvey.

2.SquareFootPerEmployeeAssumptions

Industrial

950

Commercial/PopulationRelated

500

Institutional

700

EMPLOYMENTANDGROSSFLOORAREA(GFA)FORECAST,2013TO2031

IncrementalChange

AnnualAverage

Employment

Industrial

Commercial/

Population

Related

Institutional

Workat

Home

Industrial

Commercial/

Population

Related

Institutional

Total

exclNFPOW

SCHEDULE9

TOWNOFAJAX

GrossFloorAreainSquareFeet(Estimated)2

Total

Period

Population

Primary

Workat

Home

Industrial

Commercial/

Population

Related

Institutional

Total

Primary

NFPOW

Total

ActivityRate

A-15



2001

42,066

Sub-total

Average

New

ImproveAdditions

Total

New

Improve

Additions

Total

New

Improve

Additions

Total

New

Improve

Additions

Total

2002

607

503

01,110

11,135

3,894

015,029

427

3,953

28,804

33,184

12,169

8,350

28,804

49,323

2003

164

290

0454

2,756

7,505

532

10,793

16,497

546

017,043

19,417

8,341

532

28,290

2004

392

847

01,239

4,420

4,740

09,160

8,570

89

08,660

13,382

5,676

019,058

2005

2,228

1,484

03,712

54,723

2,938

057,662

11,482

869

2,905

15,256

68,433

5,291

2,905

76,629

2006

549

329

0878

126,181

10,427

0136,608

9,430

784

010,214136,160

11,540

0147,700

2007

205

845

1,231

2,281

24,925

4,461

029,386

328

595

62,219

63,143

25,458

5,901

63,450

94,809

2008

616

1,904

02,521

28,018

4,956

1,485

34,460

25,965

743

026,709

54,600

7,604

1,485

63,689

2009

20,752

47

020,799

22,790

9,099

2,185

34,074

380

1,010

4,760

6,150

43,923

10,156

6,945

61,023

2010

1,708

292

02,000

12,570

11,455

35,835

59,861

176

1,401

1,854

3,431

14,454

13,148

37,690

65,292

2011

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

Subtotal

27,221

6,541

1,231

34,993

287,519

59,475

40,037

387,032

73,256

9,991

100,542

183,789387,996

76,007

141,811

605,814

PercentofTotal

78%

19%

4%

100%

74%

15%

10%

100%

40%

5%

55%

100%

64%

13%

23%

100%

Average

3,025

727

137

3,888

31,947

6,608

4,449

43,004

8,140

1,110

11,171

20,421

43,111

8,445

15,757

67,313

2001-2010

10YearTotal

39,887

392,387

215,606

605,814

10YearAverage

3,989

39,239

21,561

60,581

%Breakdown

6.6%

64.8%

35.6%

100.0%

SOURCE:STATISTICSCANADAPUBLICATION,64-001-XIB

Note:Inflatedtoyear-end2011(January,2012)dollarsusingReedConstructionCostIndex

Commercial

4,893

6,026

3,013

Industrial

5,355

21,223

10,611

YEAR

52,299

Total

156,897

21,391

31,818

Institutional

42,783

SCHEDULE10

TOWNOFAJAX

NON-RESIDENTIALCONSTRUCTIONVALUE

YEARS2001-2010

(000's2012$)

A-16


1991 1996 2001 2006 91-96 96-01 01-06Comments

Employment by industry

1.0 Primary Industry Employment Categories which relate to

1.1 All primary 205 165 160 175 -40 -5 15 local land-based resources.

Sub-total 205 165 160 175 -40 -5 15

2.0 Industrial and Other Employment

2.1 Manufacturing 5,180 5,225 5,560 3,925 45 335 -1,635 Categories which relate

2.2 Wholesale trade 530 830 935 1,345 300 105 410 primarily to industrial land

2.3 Construction 1,085 585 815 770 -500 230 -45 supply and demand.

2.4 Transportation, storage, communication and other utility 1,146 720 1,385 1,565 -426 665 180

Sub-total 7,941 7,360 8,695 7,605 -581 1,335 -1,090

3.0 Population Related Employment

3.1 Retail trade 2,355 2,425 3,595 4,490 70 1,170 895 Categories which relate

3.2 Finance, insurance, real estate operator and insurance agent 885 880 1,035 1,390 -5 155 355 primarily to population

3.3 Business service 685 1,190 1,710 2,020 505 520 310 growth within the

3.4 Accommodation, food and beverage and other service 1,574 2,195 2,985 3,580 621 790 595 municipality.

Sub-total 5,499 6,690 9,325 11,480 1,191 2,635 2,155

4.0 Institutional

4.1 Government Service 550 440 650 510 -110 210 -140

4.2 Education service, Health, Social Services 2,955 3,420 4,215 4,645 465 795 430

Sub-total 3,505 3,860 4,865 5,155 355 1,005 290

Total Employment 17,150 18,075 23,045 24,415 925 4,970 1,370

Population 57,350 64,430 73,753 90,167 7,080 9,323 16,414

Employment to Population Ratio

Industrial and Other Employment 0.14 0.11 0.12 0.08 -0.02 0.00 -0.03

Population Related Employment 0.10 0.10 0.13 0.13 0.01 0.02 0.00

Institutional Employment 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.00 0.01 -0.01

Primary Industry Employment 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Total 0.30 0.28 0.31 0.27 -0.02 0.03 -0.04

Source: Statistics Canada Employment by Place of Work

Note: 1996-2006 employment figures are classified by Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) Code

Change

SCHEDULE 11

TOWNOF AJAX

EMPLOYMENT TO POPULATION RATIO BY MAJOR EMPLOYMENT SECTOR, 1991 TO 2006

Year

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