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7/27/2019 ApparelApparel Production in Georgia
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Greenfield Investment
Apparel Production in
Georgia
Transaction Services
Opportunity
18January 2012
Strictly Privateand Confidential
See important notice onthe next page
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Important Notice
Partnership Fund (PF).
The attention of recipients of this document is drawn to the comments inthe letter to PF in the document. We emphasize that the information in
the Report is, in general, as at December 2011 or earlier and thus is out ofdate.
Provision of this document to recipients, other than PF, is intended onlyfor information purposes and it does not represent any form of
PwCApparel Production in Georgia Greenfield Invest ment Opportunity
investment advice or recommendation by PwC to any such recipient orany other person. PwC accepts no duty of care (whether in contract, tort
(including negligence) or otherwise) to any person other than PF.
03 October 2012
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18 January 2012
JSC Partnership Fund15, Tamar Mepe Avenue,Tbilisi 0112 ,
Dear Sirs,
In accordance with our contract with you dated 22 October 2011 (the Contract), we provide you with the report on the Apparelindustry (the Report).
The Report has been prepared solely for you and the project purposes referred to on the next page. You may not make copies ofthis report available to other parties except as described in the Contract, and subject to the conditions described therein. We willnot accept any duty of care (whether in contract, tort (including negligence) or otherwise) to any person other than you.
We draw your attention to important comments regarding the scope and process of our work, set out immediately following thisletter.
Under certain circumstances, PwC may receive a success fee if it finds investors for the project.
If ou re uire additional clarification on an of the matters included in our re ort lease do not hesitate to contact Yuri Dolidze.
Daneil CappellettiPartnerT: +420 251151 250F: +420 251 156 [email protected]
Altaf TapiaPartnerT: +995 32 2508 (061/561)F: +995 32 250 80 [email protected]
Yuri DolidzeDirectorT: +995 32 250 80 62F: +995 32 250 80 60
Yours faithfully,
PricewaterhouseCoopers Central Asia and Caucasus B.V. Georgia Branch; Address: #7 Bambis Rigi Street, Business Center Mantashevi,Tbilisi0105, Georgia, T: +995 (32) 250 80 50, F:+995 (32) 250 80 60, www.pwc.com/ge
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Scope and Process
Scope Process
Scope of our work The scope of our service is an independent conceptual study of the potential Greenfield projects in the Apparelindustry having the following business model Contract manufacturing of clothes from fabric. A description ofthe sco e is rovided in A endix 2 which has been extracted from the Contract.
Access t o information The Report is based on publicly available information, PwC search engines, other secondary data, industryspecialists and knowledge of the industry gathered and/or used during its preparation as part of the analytical
work.
Basis of our work We have not carried out anything in the nature of an audit, due diligence, valuation, nor, except where otherwisestated, have we subjected the financial or other information contained in this report to checking or verification
procedures. Accordingly, we assume no responsibility and make no representations with respect to the accuracyor completeness of the information in this report, except where otherwise stated. Our work did not involve specialengineering, technical or legal qualification.
Important notice As described in the Contract, this Report is intended to be used, among other supporting materials, by us and PFin discussions with various third parties such as, without limitations, fund providers or other third partiesrelevant for the purposes of the project (Potential recipient). Provision of Report to Potential recipients isintended only for information purposes and it does not represent an investment advice or recommendation to itsemployees or advisers. Therefore, items of possible interest to any Potential recipients may not have beenspecifically addressed for the purposes of the Report.
Any Potential recipient shall comply with applicable copyright and other third party licensing requirementsrelating to his use of this Report. Any Potential recipient is also required to ensure that any notice or disclaimerand any copyright notice included in the Report are incorporated on any copy thereof. If any Potential recipientincludes any part of the Report in his own reports or any other documents, he/she shall ensure that the relevantpart of the Report is included accurately and not misrepresented in any way and any such report or documentshall incorporate any notice or disclaimer and any copyright notice included in the Report.
For the above reasons, this report m ay not have identified all maters t hat might be of concern to you.
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JSC Partnership Fund ("Fund") is an investment fund established by the Government of Georgia. The Fund has over $1,5 billion worth ofasse s un er managemen
The Fund has two main products: Insurance and Investment.Insurance is mostly applied in energy sector through guaranteeing the off take agreement liabilitiesInvestment is usually made in SPVs though preferred equity of sub-debt
The Fund is aiming to be concentrated on four main sectors: Energy, Agriculture, Manufacturing and Real Estate.Current portfolioconsists of Transport, Oil & Gas and Energy assets.
Objective of the Fund is to maximize risk-adjusted return.
Fund's ultimate shareholder is the Government of Georgia.
www.PartnershipFund.ge
PwC 5
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PageOverview
Table of Contents
1 Project Idea 7
2 Findings and recommendations 9
3 Industry overview 11
3.1 Apparel industry in Georgia 18
4 Competitive edge of Georgia 20
4.1 Market regulation 26
5 Business development options 28
5.1 Business case 29
5.2 Sales and marketing strategy 31
5.3 Organizational chart and staffing 33
5.4 Financial projections 35
6 Global apparel 38
Appendices
1 Glossary 44
2 Terms of reference 46
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Section 1
Project idea
PwCApparel Production in Georgia Greenfield Invest ment Opportunity
7
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Partnership Fund is inviting strategic investors to co-invest in a USD 9.5 mil.Greenfield project aiming at full service apparel manufacturing plantdevelopment
Section 1 Project idea
Business Case Investment Case Analysed
T e g o a USD 44 n. appare manu actur ng n ustry un ergoessignificant changes. An increasing number of customers demandingquality products at reasonable prices with shorter lead times and valueadded services.
The study encompasses the establishment of a Greenfield full serviceapparel manufacturing plant in western Georgia with an annualproduction capacity of six mil. pieces of wide variety of designed
garments manufactured for global wholesalers and retailers undertheir private labels.
The business is aiming to leverage Georgias unique position in termsof:
1. Availability of affordable and qualified workforce
2. Location - proximity to markets and sourcing destinations withdevelo ed infrastructure and trans ortation s stem
T e nvestment requ rement stan s at USD 9.5 m . F nanc ngstructure considered is as follows:
1. TheInvestors contributionof USD 2.4 mil. in common equity
2. Partnership Funds matching contributionof USD 2.4 mil. inpreferred equity
3. Debt of USD 4.7 mil. acquired with the assistance of Partnership
Fund (if needed)
30% of investment is allocated to the production facility development.the remaining 70% covers initial working capital requirements .
PwC
3. Liberal business environment and preferential terms of access tokey regional markets
4. Government support
5. Availability of competitively priced inputs (energy, water, etc.)
... to enjoy shorter lead times, competitive quality and lower cost baseadvantage for western markets compared to major Asian sourcingdestinations.
Investment Return Indicators (USD mil.)
Common Equity Holder NPV 3.1
Project NPV 7.2
Project IRR 25%
Payback Period 5 Yrs.
Discounted Payback Period 7 Yrs.
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Section 2
Findings and recommendations
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9
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Recommendations
Section 2 Findings and recommendations
Business Viability Findings Pg.
Market Viability Global USD 448 bn. apparel manufacturing industry is expected to grow ca. 3% in 2011 and medium termforecasts are favourable too. The industry undergoes significant changes, such as: strengthening pressure on
cost of production and lead times. Georgias location, availability and costs of quality workforce and energycreates opportunities for international players to gain competitive edge over Asian counterparts and supplywestern markets, namely Europe. In addition, most west ern markets impose smaller regulation and tariffs toapparel imports from Georgia compared to imports from most Asian countries.
8-18, 30-32, 34
Technical Viability Organized apparel manufacturing in Georgia dates back to the beginning of 20th century. A number ofinternational and local apparel companies with diversified customer portfolio are already operating inGeorgia
As all of key raw materials (fabric, buttons, threads, labels, zippers) can only be sourced from outside ofGeorgia, because there is no local production, the total cost of sourcing possesses some challenge to thebusiness to be competitive on a global marketplace
The manufacturing facility can be developed using used equipments (from closed factories in Europe forexample) that could bring investment requirement down to 50%
13, 15-16,22, 24, 33
Business Model Viability Full service apparel contract manufacturing that accesses markets through intermediaries is a welldeveloped and established business model in the industry globally
10
Economic and FinancialModel Viability
The project has a positive NPV of USD 10,4 mil. over 10 years span . The investment yields a 39% IRR (forthe common equity investor). Investment payback period is 4 years.
25-26
PwC
Recommendations Key to attracting investors is development of a business environment that brings significant competitive advantages compared to competing destinations
- E.g. Georgia should consider reaching preferential trading terms on apparel with US (largest apparel market) as enjoyed by Mexico and several central and southAmerican countries, and with Japan (3rd largest importer of apparel) as enjoyed e.g. by Indonesia.
10
Management Model andExit Strategy Viability
Bringing in a strategic investor as considered by the Partnership Fund should enable unwindingestablishment and developing needed industry contacts rapidly
5
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Section 3
Industry overview
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Global apparel manufacturing is forecast to generate revenue of USD 448.5 bn.in 2011, a 3% increase over 2010. Global production is concentrated in Asia
Apparel Manufacturing Turnover, 2011
Section 3 Industry overview
AsiaUSD 260,1 bn.
EuropeUSD 132,3 bn.
North America
USD 22,4 bn.
Africa & MiddleEast
PwC
Source: IBIS
South America
USD 22,4 bn.
, .
OceaniaUSD 2,2 bn.
12Apparel Production in Georgia Greenfield Invest ment Opportunity
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China is the main exporter in apparel industry accounting for 40% of the globalexport, USA being the leading importer. International trade in apparel isgrowing steadily at 2.5% CAGR (2007-2011). The forecast is that during next 6
years average growth rate will be 3,8 % annually
Top Exporters (USD mil.) Top Importers (USD mil.)
Section 3 Industry overview
Global apparel trade in USD bn., 2007-2011
Source: Comtrade, PwC analysis
China 121,072 40%
Italy 18,505 6%
Turkey 12,382 4%
India 10,604 3%
France 9,221 3%
Indonesia 6,501 2%
Others 125,115 41%
USA 75,647 25%
Germany 32,693 11%
Japan 25,262 8%
United Kingdom 21,959 7%
France 20,357 7%
China, Hong Kong SAR 15,709 5%
Others 111,773 37%
PwC
268.8 278.7 282.3 296.1 303.4
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
USD
bn.
Source: IBIS, PwC analysis
CAGR 2.5%
13Apparel Production in Georgia Greenfield Investm ent Opportunity
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The apparel industry consists of seven basic lines. Key segment at ca. 59% ofthe market is womens and girls wear
Primary apparelcategories: Product revenue split by customer group,2011
Section 3 Industry overview
Manufacture of
Children'sand baby
clothes
Coats andwinter
clothes
LeisureSuits for
Workclothing and
ethnicclothes 37%
59%
Men's and boys' wear
Other apparel
Women's and girls'wear
PwC
clothes
NightwearSportswear
women 5%
Source: IBIS
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Different market segments have different needs and success in marketplacedependent on businesses ability to adjust to changing needs effectively
Segmentation by Type
Perform manufacturing
Section 3 Industry overview
aute outure
Dior, Chanel, Armani
Ready to Wear/Designer
Chanel, D&G, Prada, Gucci
Diffusion
D&G, CK, Emporio Armani, Versus, Hugo Boss
Bridge
Patricia Pepe,Lacoste,Ann Taylor,Max.&Co.,Brooks BrothersMass Market
Zara, H&M, GAP, Puma, Lotto, Marks & Spencer, Lebeck
D
egreeof
ou
tsourcing
High
Low
Market & Typical Order Size by Volume HighLow
w n own ac es anemployees
Contract some or all ofthe manufacturing
functions to other firms.
Full package program (FPP): source materials
High
PwC
Source: PwC Analysis
and develop patterns as well as makegarments. Greater f inancial responsibility.
Cut-make-trim (CMT) contactors: supplyoperators, machines, and thread and makegarments.
Specialty contractors: provide services such aspattern grading, cutting, embroidering, beltmaking, fabric pleating, or screen printing.
LowHigh
Orderdifficultylevel
Price Range
Large customers (like Zara, Gap, etc.)basically demand CMT services with
large orders and little value added
Smaller brands and retail chains areafter FPP services with smaller ordersand greater value added
Order Size (volume)
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The biggest share of value in apparel industry is captured by retailers (ca. 65%of retail value). Ca. 11% - is captured by apparel manufacturers
Section 3 Industry overview
Apparel value chain
7%
11%
1% 2% 13%
65%
100%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
supplier manufacturerAgent Transportation Wholesaler Retailer Total value
PwC
Prices LabourEnergy
R&D Marketing
Keys areas forcompetiveness
PriceQuality
PriceQuality
PriceOrders ScaleQuality
PriceTime Options
PriceQualityService
BrandPrice
Concentration Low Low Low Medium Medium Low
Source: PwC Analysis
16Apparel Production in Georgia Greenfield Invest ment Opportunity
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Differentiation in apparel is limited. Apparel manufacturers have to competebased on costs. Cost of material accounts for majority of the total costs andcomprises on average 56 % of the apparel manufacturings costs
Section 3 Industry overview
58%
18%14%
3% 3% 2% 2%
0%
10%
20%30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Purchases Wages General & Other Rent Depretiation Interest Taxation
Global apparel industry typical cost structure, 2011
Source: IBIS
PwC
Purchases include materials such as fabrics, yarns, textiles, lace, buttons, zippers and so on.
The industry is labour intensive; labour costs account for an estimated 18% of revenue. This is down from approximately 19.0% in 2006.
General & Other costs include administrative and marketing costs.
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Section 3.1
Apparel industry in Georgia
PwCApparel Production in Georgia Greenfield Invest ment Opportunity
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Organized apparel manufacturing in Georgia dates back to the beginning of20th century. Industry collapsed after the breakdown of Soviet Union in early1990s. Qualified personnel of that time is still available. Number of local andinternational apparel companies with diversified customer portfolio areoperating in Georgia
Section 3.1 Apparel industry in Georgia
Local apparel manufacturers in Georgia
NameParent
companyEstablished
Number of
employees
Revenue
(USD mil.)
BTM TextileATK Textile /
Turkey2006 600 6.1
Adjara TextileMilteks Tekstil
/ Turkey
2009 487 1.0
Georgian Textile - 2006 280 0.8
LTD Apparel
Manufacturing Factory- 2010 220 -
Mileri - 2011 170 1.8
163 small scale apparel manufacturers mainly servicing custom orders on localmarkets
Source: PwC Analysis
KAKHETIIMERETI
KVEMOKARTLI
GURIA
MTSKHETA-
MTIANETI
RACHA-LECHKHUMI
AND
KVEMOSVANETI
SAMTSKHE-
JAVAKHETI
SAMEGRELO-
ZEMOSVANETISokhumi
ABKHAZI
A
ADJARA
Batumi
Ambrolauri
Akhaltsikhe
Georgia TskhinvaliBlack Sea
0 25 50 75 Kilometers
75 Miles50250
Senaki
Poti
Sarpi
Samtredia
Vale
Kartsakhi
SOUTH
OSSETIA
Tbilisi
Larsi
Sadakhlo
RedBridge
Lagodekhi
TelaviGoriZestapho
niKhashuri
Zugdidi
Kulevi Kutaisi
- Factory
PwC Source: GeoStat
Apparel Trade Data for Georgia (USD mil.), 2010
Country Import Export
Turkey 21,6 12,7
China 12,7 -
Italy 3,4 -
France 3,0 0
Germany 1,8 0,5
United Kingdom 0,5 -
Others 7,5 0,1
Total 50,5 13,3
0
50
100
1980 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Appare manu actur ng n Georg a, stor cdevelopment
Apparel Manufacturing in Million UnitsSource: Soviet Encyclopaedia, GeoStat, PwC analysis
CAGR (for 2006-2010)27,8%
Apparel Production in Georgia Greenfield Invest ment Opportunity
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Section 4
Competitive edge of Georgia
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Fabric and other supplies constitute 56% of total costs. Proximity and access tomajor supply destinations (Turkey, Italy) gives the potential Georgianmanufacturers competitive edge
Section 4 Competitive edge of Georgia
Cotton price trend (USD cent per pound), 2006-2010
Average CIF Price of Fabric in InternationalTrade (USD/m), 2006-2010
0
2040
60
80
100
120
140
160
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: USDA, PwC analysis
Currently local manufacturers in Georgia are sourced from Turkey
-
24
6
8
10
12
14
16
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
CAGR 4%CAGR 23,2%
PwCApparel Production in Georgia Greenfield Invest ment Opportunity
As all of key raw materials (fabric, buttons, threads, labels, zippers) can only be sourced from outside of Georgia, because there is no localproduction, the total cost of sourcing possesses some challenge to the business to be competitive on a global marketplace
21
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Labour cost represents 17% of total production costs. We see a trend ofincreasing wages in main producing countries. The low cost yet educated labouravailability and high unemployment rate along with liberal labour legislation
and low level of unionization makes Georgia an attractive destination forapparel manufacturing
Section 4 Competitive edge of Georgia
0 1,0002,0003,0004,0005,000
Morocco
Armenia
Uzbekistan
Georgia
China
Bangladesh
Ukraine
Belarus
AzerbaijanIndia
Turkey
Greece
Italy
France
Germany
United Kingdom
USA
Average monthly wages(USD)
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
BelarusUzbekistan
ChinaBangladeshAzerbaijan
GermanyUnited Kingdom
ItalyArgentina
UkraineFrance
USAIndia
GreeceMorocco
IranTurkey
GeorgiaArmenia
Relative unemployment2010
0 % 2 0% 40 % 6 0% 80 %
Bangladesh
China
India
Turkey
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Ukraine
Germany
Italy
France
UK
USA
% involved inTertiary Education
0% 50% 100%
Bangladesh
Morocco
India
Turkey
China
Chile
Greece
ItalyAzerbaijan
USA
United Kingdom
Germany
France
Armenia
Ukraine
Belarus
Georgia
Literacy rate 2010
PwC
The largest group of unemployed, ca. 50% is aged between 20-34 years
Salary levels differ across Georgian regions. The highest average salary is in Tbilisi (ca. 25% above the national average), in regions weanalysed as a potential location for the apparel factory an average salary level is 25-30% below country s average.
Labour legislation is one of the most liberal in the region
Level of unionization is low
The average number of workers in one establishment worldwide is 60-70 employee.
The average salary globally in this industry is USD 700. In Georgia this would be 450 less, USD 250.
Source: Wordlbank; ICIA, PwC Analysis
Apparel Production in Georgia Greenfield Invest ment Opportunity
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Georgia has a stable and secured energy supply which is cost competitive
Section 4 Competitive edge of Georgia
0.12Cost of electricity USD/kwh, 2010
2.6Cost of natural gas USD/m3, 2010
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
TK CN IN RU AZ AM KZ GE PK US EG0.0
0.2
0.40.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
.
TK IN GE CN AM PK RU US AZ KZ EG
Cost of electricity is USD 0.5 (per kwh) cheaper in Georgia compared to Turkey.
1 2
1
Source: World bank; PwC analysis
PwCApparel Production in Georgia Greenfield Invest ment Opportunity
Cost of natural gas is USD 2.52 (m3), while in Georgia it is only 1.13.2
23
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Transportation costs account
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Georgias location enables it to reach over 260 mil. people in medium incomecountries in two days period
Number of Customers Reached
Section 4 Competitive edge of Georgia
72,921,5 7,6
74,8
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
IRRO
BG
TR
UK
64,5FR
60,8
82,3
DE
PwC 25
4,5 3,1 8,8 5,1
15,9
46,0
-
50
100
- 4h 8h 13h 20h 25h 30h 35h 35h 40h 24d 25d 28d
GE ARAZ KZTM
Source: PwC Analysis
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Section 4.1
Market regulation
PwCApparel Production in Georgia Greenfield Invest ment Opportunity
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Assistance Regulations
Industry regulations vary greatly among countries. Georgia possessesadvantage of zero tariffs and duties to the European markets compared to most
Asian counterparts
Section 4.1 Market regulation
Quotas Practices vary by countries. Mostly no quotas or safeguards since 2009
Subsidies In most Asian countries governments subsidize the industry either byproviding cheap financing or export support.
Special Regulation and Quality Control Certificate of OriginISO9001GMP
Company specific requirements
Average Import Duties and Tariffs Applicable to Apparel, 2011
Exporter
Georgia Turkey China India Indonesia
PwC
Importer
France 0,00% 0,00% 11,79% 9,43% 9,43%
Germany 0,00% 0,00% 11,79% 9,43% 9,43%Japan 9,60% 9,60% 9,60% 9,60% 0,00%
UK 0,00% 0,00% 11,79% 9,43% 9,43%
USA 14,26% 14,26% 14,26% 14,26% 14,26%
Source: ITC, PwC Analysis
27
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Section 5
Business development options
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Section 5.1
Business case
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We specified the case for a greenfield full service apparel manufacturing plantoffering wide variety of designed garments manufactured for globalwholesalers and retailers under their private labels
Section 5.1 Business case
Key characteristics Layout design
Installed capacity 1250 pcs/h
Land plot m2 4,000
Buildings
Three story building with 2,000 m2 base
Total area (m2) 6,000
Sampling & Pattern Making & Cutting 700
Area for sewing 3,700
Office Area 600Packaging & Quality Control 400
Storage 300
Infrastructure
Road Connection
Local road with connection to arterials or freewaysRailway Connection
Optional
Ifloor
II/IIIfloor
PwC 24Apparel Production in Georgia Greenfield Investm ent Opportunity
Note: Layout is not to scale;
30
Location
Poti area has the following favourable characteristics:
Availability of labour
Developed infrastructure (roads, sea port, Internationalairport[under construction], railway)
Free industrial zone
Proximity to TurkeyKAKHETIIMERETI
KVEMOKARTLI
GURIA
MTSKHETA-
MTIANETI
RACHA-LECHKHUMI AND
KVEMOSVANETI
SAMTSKHE-
JAVAKHETI
SAMEGRELO-
ZEMOSVANETI
ABKHAZIA
ADJARA
Georgia
Black Sea
0 25 50 7 5 Kilometres
75 Miles50250
Poti
SOUTH
OSSETIA
Tbilisi
MRN
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Section 5.2
Sales and marketing strategy
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Full service quality offerings at competitive prices and results-orientedmarketing efforts will build up critical mass of customer orders and develop
portfolio of loyal customers and partners
Section 5.2 Sales and marketing strategy
Key demand drivers in the apparel industry are: Service offering Promotion
Disposable income of inhabitants
Population size
Cultural factors
As the industry is highly commoditized it isextremely important to be competitive on keysuccess factors, namely:
Ability to meet customers requirement onquality & price & time
Good suppliers
Access to low cost resources
Effective quality control
Economies of scale
Capable of offering full range ofservices including design
Best positioned to offer shorterlead times. This is increasinglydemanded by customers
ISO 9001, GMP certified
Business needs to consider ownbrand development in the future.However it also increases the costsassociated with advertising andmaintaining brand equity
Apparel contract manufacturers arerarely engaged in promotionactivities through trade fairs orfashion shows. Key to new customeracquisitions in this industry arecontacts. Thus promotion activitiesfocused on agents and makingconnectionswith apparel industryplayers are vital, especially duringinitial phases of the businessdevelopment
Pricing Distribution
PwC
Economies of scope important to offer competitiveprices along with quality service to
build up customer base
At the initial phase of the projectpromotionalpricing with discountsshould be considered
reach markets throughintermediaries. Apparel buying
Agents play significant role in thevalue chain. At the initial stageapparel agents residing in Turkey
will be main targets for distributionarrangements.
32
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Section 5.3
Organisational chart and staffing
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The plant will offer employment opportunities to ca. 1,500 persons
Section 5.3 Organisational chart and staffing
GeneralDirector
Chief FinancialOfficer
Sales andMarketing
Director
ChiefOperation
Officer
Designers &Developers
ProductionLine Chiefs
AdministrativeProcurement
Director
PwCApparel Production in Georgia Greenfield Invest ment Opportunity
White Collar 75
Blue Collar 1,411
Total 1,486
Salesman
Production line chiefs
Fashion designers
Technical designers
Pattern Makers
Seamstress
QA Staff
Others
Most of key personnel needs formal training orapprentice.Three weeks on-job training is sufficient for most oflow-skilled workers (Seamstress, etc.)Training for maintenance staff is delivered byequipment suppliers and included in the price
34
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Section 5.4
Financial projections
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Investment requirement at USD 9,5 mil. produces common equity holders IRRof 32%. The project has positive NPV of USD 7,2 mil. The investment payback
period is 5 years
Section 5.4 Financial projections
Investment requirements (USD mil.) Financials (USD mil.) Yr. 1 Yrs. 2 - 1 0
Equipment 1.0
Land 0.1
Buildings 1.5
Other 0.4
Working Capital 6.5
Total 9.5
Revenue 22.7 45.4
Operating Costs 22.8 42.6
Finance Costs 0.7 0.7
Net Profit (0.8) 1.7
EBITDA Margin % 1% 7%
EBITDA Margin (Global industry benchmark) 11%
Operating coststructure (USD mil.)
Amount % Investment returns indicators (USD mil.)
PwCApparel Production in Georgia Greenfield Invest ment Opportunity
.
Auxiliary Materials 5.3 12%
Utilities 0.3 1%
Sales Commission 3.6 8%
Labour 4.1 10%
Fixed Costs 2.6 6%
Depreciation 0.3 1%
Total 42.6 100%
Common Equity Holder NPV 3.1
Project NPV 7.2
Common Equity Holder IRR 32%
Project IRR 25%
Payback Period 5 Yrs.
Discounted Payback Period 7 Yrs.
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Analysis of the international apparel markets shows favourable trends
Section 5.4 Financial projections
Selling price and variable cost estimates are based on the apparel manufacturing industrys typical figures in Georgia
All revenue and cost estimates are based on constant dollar approach
Capital investment estimates are for indicative purposes and might fluctuate as much as 20% or more depending on peculiarities of detailedtechnical desi n and characteristics of area considered for the facilit develo ment
Main assumptions
Operating period of the project is 10 years.
Salvage value discount factor from last year operating income is 25%
Business is assumed to achieve an optimal capacity utilization of 80% in the second year of operations, during the first year 40% of capacityutilization is considered
Labour salaries are USD 250 and above.
Discount rate of 14% considered by Partnership Fund was incorporated in the analysis. Sensitivity analysis to discount rate is provided
Analysis shows that ability to ensure costeffective sourcing of major raw materials(fabric, etc.) is vital for financialsustainability of the business.
IRR Selling Price Change
25% -20% -10% - 10% 20%
-20% -3% 38% 67% 94% 120%
-10% #NUM! 14% 46% 73% 98%
-aterial
hange
Sensitivities
PwCApparel Production in Georgia Greenfield Invest ment Opportunity
10% #NUM! #NUM! -1% 34% 59%
20% #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! 13% 41%RawCost
IRR Selling Price
25% 9.5$ 10.0$ 10.5$ 11.0$ 11.5$
-20% 30% 44% 58% 72% 85%
-10% 27% 42% 56% 70% 83%
- 25% 40% 54% 68% 81%
10% 23% 38% 52% 66% 79%
20% 21% 36% 50% 64% 77%FixedCost
Change
37
-3000
2000
7000
12000
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
NPVUSD000
Disc. RateBasecase @14% Disc.Rate
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Section 6
Global apparel
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Global Apparel Manufacturing industry has a low level of marketconcentration. None of the large global companies account for more than 1.0%of the industry revenue. However the level of industry concentration is
expected to increase in the future
Section 6 Global apparel
Selected potential customers
Name Symbol OriginPrincipal
MarketsTurnover USD Bn. Key Sourcing Destinations
AdidasFWB: ADS;OTC Markets Group: ADDYY
Germany Global 18.83India, Thailand, Turkey, China, Germany, Hong Kong,Indonesia, Mexico, Brazil, Pakistan, Taiwan
Chicos FAS NYSE:CHS USA USA 1.713
China, Vietnam, USA, Indonesia, India, Sri Lanka,
Philippines, Bangladesh
Christian Dior
CDI:FPEN Paris, CDIF:PZPLUSMkt GrpCHDRY:USOTC US,CDI:BQEquiductCHDRF:USOTC US,DIO:GRFrankfurtCDI:TQTurquoise, CDI:EBBATS
France Global 29.56 France, United States, Canada, and Japan
PwC
EuropeCDI:ROBucharest
Coco Chanel N/A France Global 2.398 Hong Kong, China
Dolce & Gabbana N/A Italy Global 0.987 Italy , China
GAP NYSE:GPS USA Global 14.664 United Kingdom, France, Ireland, Korea, Japan and China
Guess? NYSE: GES USA Global 1.19 USA, Mexico, Italy, Hong Kong
H&M HMb.ST Sweden Global 127China, Bangladesh, India, Indonesia, South Korea,Pakistan and Sri Lanka , Turkey, Italy, Portugal,Greece, Bulgaria, Poland, England
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Selected potential customers
Name Symbol OriginPrincipal
MarketsTurnover USD Bn.Key Sourcing Destinations
evi Strauss & Co JSE:LVISF USA Global 4.303Argentina, Canada, China, HongKong, India, Indonesia, Italy, Turkey, UnitedStates Vietnam
Section 6 Global apparel
ike NYSE: NKE USA Global 19.014 China, Vietnam, USA, THAILAND.
olo Ralph Lauren NYSE: BKE USA Global 4.979Australia/New Zealand, Central America, Korea, Hong
Kong
uma SEFWB: PUM
Germany Global 3.79
Canada, the United States, Mexico, Brazil, the CzechRepublic, Poland, Italy, Greece, Syria, Spain, Jordan,Morocco, Tunisia, Turkey, Egypt, India, Bangladesh,Vietnam, Thailand, Taiwan, Malaysia, Indonesia,
Philippines, Singapore,rue Religion Brandeans
NASDAQ: TRLG USA Global 0,36 USA, Mexico, Asia, Italy
F Corporation NYSE: VFC USA Global 7.703Hong Kong, Poland and Turkey, China, Bangladesh,Vietnam, Indonesia, Thailand, Cambodia, the Philippines,Pakistan and India.
olcom NASDAQ:VLCM USA Global 0,3 China, Mexico
PwC
Source: Publicly available sources, PwC Analysis
ara
IDEXY:US - USA; ITX:SM -Spain; IDEXF:US - USA;ITX:EB - UK; ITX:IX - UK;ITX:LI - UK; ITX:NR -UK;ITX:S1 -UK; ITX:TQ -UK;ITXS:PZ -UK; IXD:GR -Germany; IXD:TH -Germany
Spain Global 8,1 Spain, Portugal, India, Turkey
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Apparel industry players are increasingly trying to do business in countrieswith cheap labour. The key for success will be to leverage Georgias productioncompetitive advantage to eat share from main competitors
We have studied the competition level in this industry. The fact is that As of 3rd quarter of 2011 the number of apparel manufacturing
Section 6 Global apparel
the number of apparel manufacturers is increasing. However it is noteasy to find contractor with good combination of price, quality andtime delivery options. The last is becoming more and more importantevery year and Georgia has a good opportunity to use its location as oneof the main competitive advantages.
establishments worldwide is estimated around 148,726 owned byca. 132,791 enterprises.
Our analysis indicate that average employment per establishment isca. 60-70 person.
Selected sizable apparel producers
Name Symbol Business Origin Key CustomersTurnover USD
bn.No. of Employees EBIT Margin ROE ROA
VFCorporation
NYSE: VFC Apparel USA
Wrangler, Lee JeansRiders, Rustler
Chic, 20X, MaverickRock & Republic at Kohl's
7,7 47,000 13.3% 14.8% 8.8%
PwC
Bosideng 3998:HK Apparel ChinaBosideng, Snow Flying,
Kangbo, BengenShuangyu and Shangyu
5,7 30,000 18.1% 16.4% 13.4%
BGTCorporation
BGT-R:TB Apparel ThailandBody Glove, People's
market0,026 - 10.5% 19.3% 10.5%
DevernoisSA
DEVR:FP Apparel FranceInnos, Corte Ingles,
Loeb0,056 - 3,6% 3,4% 2,5%
41
Source: Publicly available sources, PwC Analysis
Apparel Production in Georgia Greenfield Invest ment Opportunity
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Technological advancement in the Global Apparel Manufacturing industry isdeemed to be low. Much of production is very labour intensive as it comprisessewing and cutting machines that need to be operated by man
Section 6 Global apparel
SamplingPatternMaking
FabricCutting
Input OutputFinal
QualityCheck
Packaging
Quality Control
PotentialSuppliers
Origin of Supplier Contact Information
Gerber USA www.gerbertechnology.com
Juki Japan www.juki.co.jp
Janome USA www.janome.com
Equipment Needed
Plotters
Stitch Machines
Cutters
PwC
The use of technology is increasing. For high productivity of the manufacturingprocess it is essential to use modern technologies. However, some functions aredifferent to automate and therefore will remain labour intensive in the near future.
Jinan China www.jqlaser.comEmbroidery Sewing Machines
Digitizers
Flat Lock Machines
Bar Tracking Machines
Source: PwC Analysis
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The top three traders (the United States, Germany and China) represent 28% ofworld merchandise trade. Asia accounts for almost 30% of world merchandisetrade
Section 6 Global apparel
PwC
USD 0-250 bn.
USD250-500 bn.
USD 500-1000 bn.
>USD 1000 bn.
Source: WTO
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Appendix 1
Glossary
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Glossary of terms and abbreviations
Term Definition
Appendix 1 Glossary
CAGR Compound annual growth rate
CNF Cost and Freight included
EBIT Earnings before interest and tax
EBITDA Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation
FOB Free on Board
GMP Good Manufacturing Practice quality management system in manufacturing
IRR Internal Rate of Return
PwC
ISO xxxxx Global quality management standards
NPV Net Present Value
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Terms of reference
Appendix 2
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Terms of reference
Appendix 2 Terms of reference
Objective of the assignment is to reveal business opportunities in manufacturing and agriculture fields identifiedby PF and to find investors for projects with high business potential.
The conceptual study, covers evaluation of the business opportunities identified by PF.
For each business field identified by PF conceptual study will include at least the following:
1. Executive Summary
2. Description of Products or Services
3. Evaluation of value chain of the product/service includingintermediate and final products.
4. Evaluation of local, regional and international markets for output,intermediate and final products including
a. Market size and historical growthb. Regulation and legal environmentc. Potential customers/contracts and customer concentrationd. Competition at local, regional and international level
5. Technology Considerations and investments, including evaluation ofpossible locations
6. Marketin Strate includin
b. Energyc. Other inputs9. Initial planning of the plant/asset (when applicable) including:
a. Manufacturing basic design layout plan/assetb. An initial plan of the production's array and the RFI definitions for theplant/process.c. Initial planning of the transportation's system and the distribution
chain.d. Defining critical raw materials and recommended purchasing costsagainstdestination prices.e. Defining necessary training programs for the operators.f. Produce the following documents:
i) Civil engineering RFI
a. Pricing andb. Distribution
7. Organization and Staffing8. Evaluation of supplies for the product or service including
a. Raw materials and suppliers of raw materials
iii) Erection RFIiv) Other required RFI
10. Financial Projections for short, medium and long term includinglocal, regional and international markets
11. Findings and Final Recommendations
Apparel Production in Georgia Greenfield Invest ment Opportunity