5
AP Statistics Page 1 of 5 Study Sheet: Discrete Probability Distributions Copyright © 2011 Apex Learning Inc. (See Terms of Use at www.apexvs.com/TermsOfUse) TI-83 screens are used with the permission of the publisher. Copyright © 1996, Texas Instruments, Incorporated. These exercises focus on discrete probability distributions and random variables. You’ve seen how to compute the probabilities associated with the outcomes of a discrete random variable and how to create probability histograms to display these distributions. In this activity, you’ll use your calculator to simulate probability questions of dice rolls and candy sampling. Throughout this exercise, we’ll give you directions on how to conduct the various simulations, produce probability distributions, and create probability histograms. 1. Identify the following as discrete or continuous random variables: A. Increase in the length of life attained by a cancer patient as a result of surgery B. Tensile breaking strength (in pounds per square inch) of one-inch diameter steel cable C. Number of deer killed per year in a state wildlife preserve D. Number of overdue accounts in a department store at a particular time E. Your blood pressure 2. A random variable X has the following probability distribution: X 1 2 3 4 5 P(x) .087 ? .453 .234 .095 A. What is P(2)? B. Construct a probability histogram of the distribution. 3. A pet shop has two job openings for dog groomers. Of the 10 applicants, 4 live in Bellevue, 3 live in Seattle, and 3 live in Renton. All 10 are equally qualified for the position. Let (x) equal the probability that the 2 who get the job both live in Bellevue. A. Calculate P(x). B. Create a probability histogram for this distribution.

AP Statistics Study Guide

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Discrete Probability Distributions

Citation preview

Page 1: AP Statistics Study Guide

AP Statistics Page 1 of 5 Study Sheet: Discrete Probability Distributions

Copyright © 2011 Apex Learning Inc. (See Terms of Use at www.apexvs.com/TermsOfUse) TI-83 screens are used with the permission of the publisher. Copyright © 1996, Texas Instruments, Incorporated.

These exercises focus on discrete probability distributions and random variables. You’ve seen how to compute the probabilities associated with the outcomes of a discrete random variable and how to create probability histograms to display these distributions.

In this activity, you’ll use your calculator to simulate probability questions of dice rolls and candy sampling. Throughout this exercise, we’ll give you directions on how to conduct the various simulations, produce probability distributions, and create probability histograms.

1. Identify the following as discrete or continuous random variables:

A. Increase in the length of life attained by a cancer patient as a result of surgery

B. Tensile breaking strength (in pounds per square inch) of one-inch diameter steel cable

C. Number of deer killed per year in a state wildlife preserve

D. Number of overdue accounts in a department store at a particular time

E. Your blood pressure

2. A random variable X has the following probability distribution:

X 1 2 3 4 5 P(x) .087 ? .453 .234 .095

A. What is P(2)?

B. Construct a probability histogram of the distribution.

3. A pet shop has two job openings for dog groomers. Of the 10 applicants, 4 live in Bellevue, 3 live in Seattle, and 3 live in Renton. All 10 are equally qualified for the position. Let (x) equal the probability that the 2 who get the job both live in Bellevue.

A. Calculate P(x).

B. Create a probability histogram for this distribution.

Page 2: AP Statistics Study Guide

AP StaStudy

Copyright TI-83 scre

4. Use y

A. Rth

T

12

3

4

5

6

atistics Sheet: D

© 2011 Apex eens are used w

your graphin

Roll two normhe two dice.

o simulate 2

. Press MA

. Press 1, "randInt(from 1 -

. Press 2nd

press ENTENTER. T

. Press STAand pressL1, +, 2n

"L3 = L1 . Use STAT

shown us

. Make surturned of

iscrete P

Learning Inc. with the permi

ng calculato

mal dice (dic. What is P(x

Outco

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

101112

200 rolls of

ATH, arrow t,, 6, ,, 2, 0(1,6,200)6 in L1. , ENTER to TER so thatThis will placAT, ENTER. s ENTER. Wnd, L2. The c + L2." PresT PLOT 1 to sing the give

re that no otff. Now pres

Probabilit

(See Terms ofssion of the pu

or to create

ce with six fx)? In other

ome TheoProb

1/36 2/36 3/36 4/36 5/36 6/36 5/36 4/36

0 3/361 2/362 1/36

a pair of dic

to PRB and 0, 0, ), STOL1." Press E

retrieve "rat your screece 200 rand Put the sum

With the curscommand liss ENTER. T draw a histen window:

ther STAT Pss GRAPH to

ty Distrib

f Use at www.aublisher. Copyr

a probabilit

faces) a totar words, com

oretical bability

E

6 = .028 6 = .056 6 = .083 6 = .111 6 = .139 6 = .167 6 = .139 6 = .111 6 = .083 6 = .056 6 = .028

ce on the TI

press 5 to g , 2nd, L1 soENTER and

andInt(1,6,2n now readsom integers

m of L1 and sor blinking ne at the bo

This will placogram of th

LOTs are ono see the his

butions

apexvs.com/Teright © 1996,

y simulation

al of 200 timmplete the f

ExperimentaResults

/200 = /200 = /200 = /200 = /200 = /200 = /200 = /200 = /200 = /200 = /200 =

I-83 or TI-8

get "randInto that your this will pla

200) L1". s "randInts from 1-6 i L2 in L3. Mat the bottoottom of thece the sum ohe data in L3

n and that astogram of y

ermsOfUse) Texas Instrum

n of rolling d

mes. Let x efollowing ta

al

84, do the fo

t(" on your hscreen nowce 2000 ran

Change the (1,6,200)Ln L2.

Move the curom of the sce screen shoof L1 and L23. Set up ST

all equationsyour simula

Page

ments, Incorpor

dice.

equal the suble:

ollowing:

homescreenw says ndom intege

e L1 to L2 anL2". Press

rsor on top creen, pressould now re2 into L3. TAT PLOT 1

s are emptytion. Use th

2 of 5

rated.

m of

n.

ers

nd

of L3 s 2nd, ad

as

y or he

Page 3: AP Statistics Study Guide

AP StaStudy

Copyright TI-83 scre

B. Rlois

T

1

2

atistics Sheet: D

© 2011 Apex eens are used w

TRACE kewhen we differ som

The heighvalues ar

Roll two modower values P(x)? That

LV

o simulate 3

. Following(randInt(

. Now you intensive number iyou seve

Enter theprograms

iscrete P

Learning Inc. with the permi

ey to find th did the simmewhat from

ht of the bare what you

dified dice we of the two t is, complet

Lower Value

F(o

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

10

300 rolls of

g the proced(1,10,300)

need to tall way to do tn each caseral minutes

e following ps, consult yo

Probabilit

(See Terms ofssion of the pu

he height of mulation (sinm these) an

rs will repre need to com

with ten face dice. (If a 3te the follow

Frequency out of 300)

a pair of mo

dures in part L1) and 30

ly the lowerthis is to sime. The proble.

program in your calculato

ty Distrib

f Use at www.aublisher. Copyr

each bar. Tce this is a d shows tha

esent the numplete the r

es for a tota3 and 9 are wing table:

P(x)

odified dice

t A, enter 3000 into L2 (

r number formply scroll dem is that t

your calculaor manual):

butions

apexvs.com/Teright © 1996,

The followin random proat, of the 20

umber of ourequired tab

al of 300 tim rolled, the

on your cal

00 random (randInt(1,1

r each pair odown L1 andthere are 30

tor (for com:

ermsOfUse) Texas Instrum

g is the histocess, your 00 trials, the

tcomes of eble.

mes. Now let3 is the low

lculator, do

numbers fro10,300) L2

of numbersd L2 and tal00 pairs and

mplete instru

Page

ments, Incorpor

togram we gresults shouere were 31

each sum. T

t x equal thewer value.) W

the followin

om 1-10 int2).

. One labor-lly the lower

d this might

uctions ente

3 of 5

rated.

got uld 1 6's:

These

e What

ng:

to L1

-r take

ering

Page 4: AP Statistics Study Guide

AP StaStudy

Copyright TI-83 scre

5. You hfollow

155811

You r(X) fo

6. Accoaccor

412255

You adiffer

To do1, 2, usingto th(just this sred osecon(.4)(

atistics Sheet: D

© 2011 Apex eens are used w

Run this be listed on. The eand TRAC

have a very wing compo

0 red green brown yellow orange blue

randomly seor the numb

rding to therding to the

0% red 0% green 0% brown 0% yellow % orange % blue

are to createrent sizes.

o this, we’ll 3, 4 to be “g randInt(1,e STAT EDI scroll downsample of siout of the sand attempt 20) = 8.

iscrete P

Learning Inc. with the permi

program anin L3. Now

easiest way CE to count

large bag osition:

elect two caber of yellow

e manufactu following d

e a samplin

consider ra“red.” Gene10,20)L1. TT screen an

n L1 until yoze 20. For e

ample of sizturned up 6

Probabilit

(See Terms ofssion of the pu

d, for each you only neto do this is the frequen

of candies th

ndies from tw candies ch

rer, a certaistribution:

g distributio

ndom numbrate 20 randThen, sort Lnd simply coou find the laexample, whe 20 (that is

6 red candie

ty Distrib

f Use at www.aublisher. Copyr

of the 300 eed to counts to draw a ncy of each

hat the man

the bag. Yohosen from

in type of ca

on for the pe

bers from 1-dom numbe1 by pressin

ount how maast 4) and then we did ts, there wer

es. Note that

butions

apexvs.com/Teright © 1996,

pairs, the lot the numbefrequency hvalue.

nufacturer c

u're interes the bag. W

andy is prod

ercentage o

-10. Since 4ers from 1-1ng STAT, 2,any 1's, 2's,that's how mthis once, wre 7 numbet the theore

ermsOfUse) Texas Instrum

ower of the er of 1's, 2'shistogram (a

laims has, o

ted in the rahat is P(x)?

duced, on a

of red candie

40% are red10 on your T, 2nd, L1, ), , 3's, and 4'many red cawe found 7 crs equal to

etical expect

Page 4

ments, Incorpor

two values s, 3's, and sas in part A)

on average,

andom varia

verage,

es in sample

d, we’ll consTI-83/TI-84 ENTER. No's there are andies you gcandies wer4 or less). Ated value is

4 of 5

rated.

will so )

the

able

es of

sider

ow go got in re A

Page 5: AP Statistics Study Guide

AP Statistics Page 5 of 5 Study Sheet: Discrete Probability Distributions

Copyright © 2011 Apex Learning Inc. (See Terms of Use at www.apexvs.com/TermsOfUse) TI-83 screens are used with the permission of the publisher. Copyright © 1996, Texas Instruments, Incorporated.

A. Repeat the simulation, described above, 50 times and identify the “likely” outcomes. This may take you a few minutes to complete all 50 trials.

Acknowledgments Question 1: This question 4.77 (a, b, c, d, e) from page 165 of Introduction to Probability and Statistics, Tenth Edition, by Mendenhall, R. Beaver, and B. Beaver. Copyright © 1999 by Brooks Cole, division of Thompson Learning Inc. Further reproduction is prohibited without permission of the publisher.

# red candies (#1s, 2s, 3s, 4s)

Tally Frequency (Tally/50)

0 1 2 3 4 … 18 19 20

Total 50 1.00