20
1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Mean -1000000 -500000 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 Annual Flow (ac-ft) Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA SFWMM (V5.4) Simulated Compared with Historical (1984-1995) Historical Runoff Simulated Runoff Historical Supply Simulated Supply Mean Annual Runoff: Historical=1083 kaf; Simulated=1084 kaf Mean Annual Supply: Historical=-354 kaf; Simulated=-355 kaf For Planning Purposes Only Run date: 04/05/04 07:11:15 SFWMM V5.4 Script used: pm_eaa_calib.scr Filename: annual_ts_calib.fig

Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

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Page 1: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

Mea

n

−1000000

−500000

0

500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

Ann

ual F

low

(ac

−ft)

Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAASFWMM (V5.4) Simulated Compared with Historical (1984−1995)

Historical RunoffSimulated RunoffHistorical SupplySimulated Supply

Mean Annual Runoff: Historical=1083 kaf; Simulated=1084 kaf

Mean Annual Supply: Historical=−354 kaf; Simulated=−355 kaf For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/05/04 07:11:15

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_calib.scrFilename: annual_ts_calib.fig

Page 2: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

−1000000

−500000

0

500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

Ann

ual F

low

(ac

−ft)

Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAASFWMM (V5.4) Simulated Compared with Historical (1979−1983 and 1996−2000)

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

−1000000

−500000

0

500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

Ann

ual F

low

(ac

−ft)

Historical RunoffSimulated RunoffHistorical SupplySimulated Supply

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

Mea

n

Mean Annual Runoff: Historical=1058 kaf; Simulated=1077 kaf

Mean Annual Supply: Historical=0319 kaf; Simulated=0363 kaf For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/20/04 12:38:57

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_verif_79_83_96_00.scr

Filename: annual_ts_verif.fig

Page 3: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

1−84

12−8

4

12−8

5

1−87

1−88

12−8

8

12−8

9

12−9

0

12−9

1

12−9

2

12−9

3

12−9

4

−10000 −10000

0 0

10000 10000

20000 20000

30000 30000

40000 40000

50000 50000

Dai

ly F

low

(ac

−ft)

Dai

ly F

low

(ac

−ft)

Daily Runoff and Supplemental Flows for the EAAComparison of Historical and Simulated Values Period 1984 to 1995

Historical RunoffSimulated RunoffHistorical SupplySimulated Supply

For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/05/04 07:11:18

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_calib.scr

Filename: daily_ts_calib.fig

Page 4: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

−10000 −10000

0 0

10000 10000

20000 20000

30000 30000

40000 40000

50000 50000

Mon

thly

Flo

w (

ac−

ft)

Mon

thly

Flo

w (

ac−

ft)

Daily Runoff and Supplemental Flows for the EAAComparison of Historical and Simulated Values Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000

1−79

1−80

1−81

1−82

1−83

Historical RunoffSimulated RunoffHistorical SupplySimulated Supply

1−96

12−9

6

1−98

1−99

1−20

00

For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/20/04 12:38:59

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_verif_79_83_96_00.scr

Filename: daily_ts_verif.fig

Page 5: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000Historical Daily Flow (ac−ft)

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000S

imul

ated

Dai

ly F

low

(ac

−ft)

Daily Historical and Simulated EAA RunoffCalibration Period 1984 − 1995

DataPerfect Agreement

Bias (Hist−Sim): −2.9 ac−ft

RMSE: 2873.45 ac−ft

Coefficient of Determination: 0.7534

Efficiency: 0.6829

For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/05/04 07:11:20

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_calib.scr

Filename: daily_xy_runoff_calib.fig

Page 6: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000Historical Daily Flow (ac−ft)

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000S

imul

ated

Dai

ly F

low

(ac

−ft)

Daily Historical and Simulated EAA RunoffVerification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000

DataPerfect Agreement

Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft

RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

Coefficient of Determination: 0.7411

Efficiency: 0.6614

For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/20/04 12:39:01

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_verif_79_83_96_00.scr

Filename: daily_xy_runoff_verif.fig

Page 7: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000Historical Daily Flow (ac−ft)

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000S

imul

ated

Dai

ly F

low

(ac

−ft)

Daily Historical and Simulated EAA SupplyCalibration Period 1984 − 1995

DataPerfect Agreement

Bias (Hist−Sim): −3.789 ac−ft

RMSE: 981.633 ac−ft

Coefficient of Determination: 0.5975

Efficiency: 0.5443

For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/05/04 07:11:21

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_calib.scr

Filename: daily_xy_supply_calib.fig

Page 8: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000Historical Daily Flow (ac−ft)

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000S

imul

ated

Dai

ly F

low

(ac

−ft)

Daily Historical and Simulated EAA SupplyVerification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000

DataPerfect Agreement

Bias (Hist−Sim): −119.209 ac−ft

RMSE: 931.699 ac−ft

Coefficient of Determination: 0.6368

Efficiency: 0.5219

For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/20/04 12:39:02

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_verif_79_83_96_00.scr

Filename: daily_xy_supply_verif.fig

Page 9: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100% of Time Equaled or Exceeded

0 0

5000 5000

10000 10000

15000 15000

20000 20000

25000 25000

30000 30000

35000 35000

40000 40000

45000 45000

Dai

ly F

low

(ac

−ft)

Dai

ly F

low

(ac

−ft)

Flow Duration − Daily EAA RunoffCalibration Period 1984 − 1995

HistoricalSimulated

For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/05/04 07:11:23

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_calib.scr

Filename: fldur_runoff_calib.fig

Page 10: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100% of Time Equaled or Exceeded

0 0

5000 5000

10000 10000

15000 15000

20000 20000

25000 25000

30000 30000

35000 35000

40000 40000

Dai

ly F

low

(ac

−ft)

Dai

ly F

low

(ac

−ft)

Flow Duration − Daily EAA RunoffVerification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000

HistoricalSimulated

For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/20/04 12:39:03

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_verif_79_83_96_00.scr

Filename: fldur_runoff_verif.fig

Page 11: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100% of Time Equaled or Exceeded

0 0

2000 2000

4000 4000

6000 6000

8000 8000

10000 10000

Dai

ly F

low

(ac

−ft)

Dai

ly F

low

(ac

−ft)

Flow Duration − Daily EAA SupplyCalibration Period 1984 − 1995

HistoricalSimulated

For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/05/04 07:11:24

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_calib.scr

Filename: fldur_supply_calib.fig

Page 12: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100% of Time Equaled or Exceeded

0 0

2000 2000

4000 4000

6000 6000

8000 8000

10000 10000

Dai

ly F

low

(ac

−ft)

Dai

ly F

low

(ac

−ft)

Flow Duration − Daily EAA SupplyVerification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000

HistoricalSimulated

For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/20/04 12:39:05

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_verif_79_83_96_00.scr

Filename: fldur_supply_verif.fig

Page 13: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecMonth

−100000

−50000

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

Mea

n M

onth

ly F

low

(ac

−ft)

Mean Monthly Runoff & Supply ComparisonCalibration Period 1984 − 1995

Historical RunoffSimulated RunoffHistorical SupplySimulated Supply

Mean Annual Runoff: Historical=1083 kaf; Simulated=1084 kaf

Mean Annual Supply: Historical=0354 kaf; Simulated=0355 kaf For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/05/04 07:11:14

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_calib.scrFilename: mean_mon_calib.fig

Page 14: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecMonth

−100000

−50000

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

Mea

n M

onth

ly F

low

(ac

−ft)

Mean Monthly Runoff & Supply ComparisonVerification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000

Historical RunoffSimulated RunoffHistorical SupplySimulated Supply

Mean Annual Runoff: Historical=1058 kaf; Simulated=1077 kaf

Mean Annual Supply: Historical=0319 kaf; Simulated=0363 kaf For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/20/04 12:38:57

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_verif_79_83_96_00.scr

Filename: mean_mon_verif.fig

Page 15: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

1−84

12−8

4

1−86

1−87

1−88

12−8

8

1−90

1−91

1−92

12−9

2

1−94

1−95

−200000 −200000

−100000 −100000

0 0

100000 100000

200000 200000

300000 300000

400000 400000

500000 500000

Mon

thly

Flo

w (

ac−

ft)

Mon

thly

Flo

w (

ac−

ft)

Monthly Runoff and Supplemental Flows for the EAAComparison of Historical and Simulated Values Period 1984 to 1995

Historical RunoffSimulated RunoffHistorical SupplySimulated Supply

For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/05/04 07:11:16

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_calib.scrFilename: monthly_ts_calib.fig

Page 16: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

−200000 −200000

−100000 −100000

0 0

100000 100000

200000 200000

300000 300000

400000 400000

500000 500000

Mon

thly

Flo

w (

ac−

ft)

Mon

thly

Flo

w (

ac−

ft)

Monthly Runoff and Supplemental Flows for the EAAComparison of Historical and Simulated Values Period 1979−1983 and 1996−2000

1−79

1−80

1−81

1−82

1−83

Historical RunoffSimulated RunoffHistorical SupplySimulated Supply

1−96

12−9

6

1−98

1−99

1−20

00

For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/20/04 12:38:57

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_verif_79_83_96_00.scr

Filename: monthly_ts_verif.fig

Page 17: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 300000 350000Historical Monthly Flow (ac−ft)

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

300000

350000S

imul

ated

Mon

thly

Flo

w (

ac−

ft)

Monthly Historical and Simulated EAA RunoffCalibration Period 1984 − 1995

DataPerfect Agreement

Bias (Hist−Sim): −88.3 ac−ft

RMSE: 23644.7 ac−ft

Coefficient of Determination: 0.9320

Efficiency: 0.9314

For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/05/04 07:11:16

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_calib.scr

Filename: monthly_xy_runoff_calib.fig

Page 18: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 300000 350000 400000 450000 500000Historical Monthly Flow (ac−ft)

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

300000

350000

400000

450000

500000S

imul

ated

Mon

thly

Flo

w (

ac−

ft)

Monthly Historical and Simulated EAA RunoffVerification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000

DataPerfect Agreement

Bias (Hist−Sim): −1617 ac−ft

RMSE: 25062.9 ac−ft

Coefficient of Determination: 0.9306

Efficiency: 0.9272

For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/20/04 12:38:58

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_verif_79_83_96_00.scr

Filename: monthly_xy_runoff_verif.fig

Page 19: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

0 50000 100000 150000 200000Historical Monthly Flow (ac−ft)

0

50000

100000

150000

200000S

imul

ated

Mon

thly

Flo

w (

ac−

ft)

Monthly Historical and Simulated EAA SupplyCalibration Period 1984 − 1995

DataPerfect Agreement

Bias (Hist−Sim): −115.3 ac−ft

RMSE: 12878.7 ac−ft

Coefficient of Determination: 0.8316

Efficiency: 0.8294

For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/05/04 07:11:17

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_calib.scr

Filename: monthly_xy_supply_calib.fig

Page 20: Annual Runoff & Supplemental Flow for the EAA · Verification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000 Data Perfect Agreement Bias (Hist−Sim): −53.12 ac−ft RMSE: 3059.59 ac−ft

0 50000 100000 150000 200000Historical Monthly Flow (ac−ft)

0

50000

100000

150000

200000S

imul

ated

Mon

thly

Flo

w (

ac−

ft)

Monthly Historical and Simulated EAA SupplyVerification Periods 1979 − 1983 and 1996 − 2000

DataPerfect Agreement

Bias (Hist−Sim): −3628.9 ac−ft

RMSE: 12601.4 ac−ft

Coefficient of Determination: 0.8722

Efficiency: 0.8377

For Planning Purposes OnlyRun date: 04/20/04 12:38:59

SFWMM V5.4Script used: pm_eaa_verif_79_83_96_00.scr

Filename: monthly_xy_supply_verif.fig