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Annex 1 Global maps

Annex 1 Global maps

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Page 1: Annex 1 Global maps

Annex 1

Global maps

Page 2: Annex 1 Global maps

323

Annex 1

Global maps

Map 1 Extent of cropland in 2000 325

Map 2 Forest transition and land degradation in dry lands 326

Map 3 Estimated distribution of human population 327

Map 4 Estimated net primary productivity in areas dominated by pasture 328

Map 5 Estimated maize production for animal feed 329

Map 6 Estimated barley production for animal feed 330

Map 7 Estimated wheat production for animal feed 331

Map 8 Estimated cumulated maize, wheat and barley production for animal feed 332

Map 9 Estimated soybean bean production for animal feed 333

Map 10 Current dominant land-use in areas with high suitability

for pasture and not currently used as pasture 334

Map 11 Estimated suitability for rainfed cereal production – high level of input 335

Map 12 Estimated suitability for soybean production – maximising technology 336

Map 13 Estimated distribution of livestock production systems 337

Map 14 Estimated distribution of industrially produced poultry populations 338

Map 15 Estimated distribution of industrially produced pig populations 339

Map 16 Estimated distribution of poultry 340

Map 17 Estimated distribution of pigs 341

Map 18 Estimated distribution of cattle 342

Map 19 Estimated distribution of small ruminants 343

Map 20 Estimated aggregated distribution of pigs, poultry, cattle and small ruminants 344

Map 21 Estimated feed surplus/deficit - cereals (pig and poultry) 345

Map 22 Estimated feed surplus/deficit - soymeal (pig and poultry) 346

Map 23 Estimated poultry meat surplus/deficit 347

Map 24 Estimated pig meat surplus/deficit 348

Map 25 Estimated beef surplus/deficit 349

Map 26 Pasture degradation risk in the dry and cold lands 350

Map 27 Human infringement on environmental water demand

(water withdrawal as a proportion of water available for human use) 351

Map 28 Ecoregions affected by livestock 352

Page 3: Annex 1 Global maps

324

livestock’s long shadow

Map 29 Livestock as an important cause behind global biodiversity hotspots 353

Map 30 Total greenhouse gas emissions from enteric fermentation and manure

per species and main production system 354

Map 31 Total methane emissions from enteric fermentation and manure

per species and main production system 355

Map 32 Total nitrous oxide emissions from manure per species and

main production system 356

Map 33A Projected expansion of cropland and pasture into Neotropical forest

from 2000 to 2010 357

Map 33B Projected expansion of cropland and pasture into Neotropical forest

from 2000 to 2010 358

Page 4: Annex 1 Global maps

Annex1 - Global maps

325

M

ap1

Ex

ten

t o

f c

rop

lan

d i

n 2

00

0

So

urc

e:

FA

O,

20

06

f.

Page 5: Annex 1 Global maps

326

livestock’s long shadow

M

ap2

Fo

res

t tr

an

sit

ion

an

d l

an

d d

eg

rad

ati

on

in

dry

la

nd

s

So

urc

e:

ME

A,

20

05

a.

Page 6: Annex 1 Global maps

Annex1 - Global maps

327

M

ap3

Es

tim

ate

d d

istr

ibu

tio

n o

f h

um

an

po

pu

lati

on

So

urc

e:

La

nd

Sca

n,

20

05

.

Page 7: Annex 1 Global maps

328

livestock’s long shadow

M

ap4

Es

tim

ate

d n

et

pri

ma

ry p

rod

uc

tivi

ty i

n a

rea

s d

om

ina

ted

by

pa

stu

re

So

urc

e:

Esti

ma

ted

ne

t p

rim

ary

pro

du

cti

vity

(P

rin

ce a

nd

Go

wa

rd,

19

95

) is

dis

pla

yed

in

ce

lls f

or

wh

ich

at

lea

st

on

e-t

hir

d o

f th

e a

rea

is u

se

d a

s p

astu

re (

FA

O,2

00

6f)

.

Page 8: Annex 1 Global maps

Annex1 - Global maps

329

M

ap5

Es

tim

ate

d m

aiz

e p

rod

uc

tio

n f

or

an

ima

l fe

ed

So

urc

e:

LE

AD

. T

he

fra

cti

on

of

tota

l p

rod

ucti

on

de

dic

ate

d t

o f

ee

d w

as e

sti

ma

ted

at

na

tio

na

l le

vel

(FA

O,

20

06

b)

an

d t

he

ra

tio

s a

pp

lie

d t

o t

he

cro

p p

rod

ucti

on

ma

p (

You

et

al.

, 2

00

6).

Page 9: Annex 1 Global maps

330

livestock’s long shadow

M

ap6

Es

tim

ate

d b

arl

ey

pro

du

cti

on

fo

r a

nim

al

fee

d

So

urc

e:

LE

AD

. T

he

fra

cti

on

of

tota

l p

rod

ucti

on

de

dic

ate

d t

o f

ee

d w

as e

sti

ma

ted

at

na

tio

na

l le

vel

(FA

O,

20

06

b)

an

d t

he

ra

tio

s a

pp

lie

d t

o t

he

cro

p p

rod

ucti

on

ma

p (

You

et

al.

, 2

00

6).

Page 10: Annex 1 Global maps

Annex1 - Global maps

331

M

ap7

Es

tim

ate

d w

he

at

pro

du

cti

on

fo

r a

nim

al

fee

d

So

urc

e:

LE

AD

. T

he

fra

cti

on

of

tota

l p

rod

ucti

on

de

dic

ate

d t

o f

ee

d w

as e

sti

ma

ted

at

na

tio

na

l le

vel

(FA

O,

20

06

b)

an

d t

he

ra

tio

s a

pp

lie

d t

o t

he

cro

p p

rod

ucti

on

ma

p (

You

et

al.

, 2

00

6).

Page 11: Annex 1 Global maps

332

livestock’s long shadow

M

ap8

Es

tim

ate

d c

um

ula

ted

ma

ize

, w

he

at

an

d b

arl

ey

pro

du

cti

on

fo

r a

nim

al

fee

d

So

urc

e:

LE

AD

. T

he

fra

cti

on

of

tota

l p

rod

ucti

on

de

dic

ate

d t

o f

ee

d w

as e

sti

ma

ted

at

na

tio

na

l le

vel

(FA

O,

20

06

b)

an

d t

he

ra

tio

s a

pp

lie

d t

o t

he

cro

p p

rod

ucti

on

ma

p (

You

et

al.

, 2

00

6).

Page 12: Annex 1 Global maps

Annex1 - Global maps

333

M

ap9

Es

tim

ate

d s

oyb

ea

n p

rod

uc

tio

n f

or

an

ima

l fe

ed

So

urc

e:

LE

AD

. T

he

fra

cti

on

of

tota

l p

rod

ucti

on

de

dic

ate

d t

o f

ee

d w

as e

sti

ma

ted

at

na

tio

na

l le

vel

(FA

O,

20

06

b)

an

d t

he

ra

tio

s a

pp

lie

d t

o t

he

cro

p p

rod

ucti

on

ma

p (

You

et

al.

, 2

00

6).

Page 13: Annex 1 Global maps

334

livestock’s long shadow

M

ap10

Cu

rre

nt

do

min

an

t la

nd

-us

e i

n a

rea

s w

ith

hig

h s

uit

ab

ilit

y fo

r p

as

ture

bu

t n

o c

urr

en

t u

se

as

pa

stu

re

So

urc

e:

LE

AD

. C

urr

en

t d

om

ina

nt

lan

d-u

se

is d

isp

laye

d f

or

cell

s w

ith

esti

ma

ted

hig

h s

uit

ab

ilit

y fo

r p

astu

re (

FA

O,

20

06

f) a

nd

le

ss t

ha

n o

ne

-th

ird

of

the

are

a

de

dic

ate

d t

o p

astu

re (

FA

O,

20

06

f).

Page 14: Annex 1 Global maps

Annex1 - Global maps

335

M

ap11

Es

tim

ate

d s

uit

ab

ilit

y fo

r ra

infe

d c

ere

al

pro

du

cti

on

– h

igh

le

vel

of

inp

ut

So

urc

e:

FA

O,

20

00

b.

Page 15: Annex 1 Global maps

336

livestock’s long shadow

M

ap12

Es

tim

ate

d s

uit

ab

ilit

y fo

r s

oyb

ea

n p

rod

uc

tio

n –

ma

xim

isin

g t

ec

hn

olo

gy

So

urc

e:

FA

O,

20

00

b.

Page 16: Annex 1 Global maps

Annex1 - Global maps

337

M

ap13

Es

tim

ate

d d

istr

ibu

tio

n o

f li

ves

toc

k p

rod

uc

tio

n s

yste

ms

So

urc

e:

LE

AD

. B

ase

d o

n m

eth

od

olo

gy

of

Se

ré &

Ste

infe

ld,

19

96

. O

f th

e l

an

d b

ase

d s

yste

m c

lasse

s o

nly

th

e f

irst

cla

ssif

ica

tio

n l

eve

l is

dis

pla

yed

. T

his

is b

ase

d o

n l

an

d c

ove

r d

ata

(G

lob

al

La

nd

Co

ver

20

00

, a

vail

ab

le a

t w

ww

-gvm

.jrc

.it/

glc

20

00

/) a

nd

irr

iga

ted

are

as (

Glo

ba

l M

ap

of

Irri

ga

ted

Are

as.

Ve

rsio

n 2

.1,

Sie

be

rt e

t a

l.,

20

01

). I

nd

ustr

ial

(la

nd

less)

pro

du

cti

on

do

min

ate

d

are

as r

efe

rs e

xclu

siv

ely

to

mo

no

ga

str

ic p

rod

ucti

on

. L

an

d-b

ase

d s

yste

m h

eld

pig

an

d p

ou

ltry

po

pu

lati

on

s a

re e

sti

ma

ted

lo

ca

lly

acc

ord

ing

to

th

e a

pp

roa

ch

of

Gil

be

rt e

t a

l. (

20

04

), u

sin

g

tota

l lo

ca

l a

nim

al

po

pu

lati

on

da

ta (

se

e M

ap

s 1

6 a

nd

17

), n

ati

on

al

leve

l la

nd

-ba

se

d p

rod

ucti

on

esti

ma

tes (

Gro

en

ew

old

, 2

00

4),

na

tio

na

l h

um

an

ag

ricu

ltu

ral

po

pu

lati

on

s (

FA

O,

20

06

b)

an

d a

g

lob

al

rura

l p

op

ula

tio

n d

en

sit

y g

rid

(L

an

dS

ca

n,

20

03

). A

rea

s d

om

ina

ted

by

ind

ustr

ial

pro

du

cti

on

sys

tem

s a

re s

ub

-na

tio

na

l a

dm

inis

tra

tive

are

as i

n w

hic

h t

he

ag

gre

ga

ted

la

nd

ba

se

d s

yste

m

po

pu

lati

on

s p

rod

uce

le

ss t

ha

n h

alf

of

the

are

as t

ota

l p

rod

ucti

on

, a

cco

un

tin

g f

or

the

hig

he

r p

rod

ucti

vity

of

ind

ustr

ial

sys

tem

s.

Page 17: Annex 1 Global maps

338

livestock’s long shadow

M

ap14

Es

tim

ate

d d

istr

ibu

tio

n o

f in

du

str

iall

y p

rod

uce

d p

ou

ltry

po

pu

lati

on

s

So

urc

e:

LE

AD

. T

he

in

du

str

ial

po

ult

ry p

op

ula

tio

ns r

esu

lt f

rom

th

e d

iffe

ren

ce b

etw

ee

n t

he

lo

ca

l to

tal

po

pu

lati

on

an

d t

he

lo

ca

lly

esti

ma

ted

la

nd

-ba

se

d s

yste

m h

eld

po

pu

lati

on

(se

e M

ap

13

).

On

ly t

he

su

b-n

ati

on

al

are

as w

he

re i

nd

ustr

ial

pro

du

cti

on

is d

om

ina

nt

are

co

nsid

ere

d (

se

e M

ap

13

). T

he

co

rre

sp

on

din

g i

nd

ustr

ial

po

ult

ry p

op

ula

tio

ns h

ave

be

en

ag

gre

ga

ted

wit

hin

ea

ch

ce

ll

of

a g

lob

al

gri

d o

f 2

50

x 2

50

km

ce

ll s

ize

(cyl

ind

rica

l e

qu

al

are

a p

roje

cti

on

, h

ere

re

-pro

jecte

d t

o R

ob

inso

n).

On

ly i

nd

ustr

ial

po

pu

lati

on

s p

er

cell

of

ove

r 1

mil

lio

n h

ea

ds a

re r

ep

rese

nte

d.

Page 18: Annex 1 Global maps

Annex1 - Global maps

339

M

ap15

Es

tim

ate

d d

istr

ibu

tio

n o

f in

du

str

iall

y p

rod

uce

d p

ig p

op

ula

tio

ns

So

urc

e:

LE

AD

. T

he

in

du

str

ial

po

ult

ry p

op

ula

tio

ns r

esu

lt f

rom

th

e d

iffe

ren

ce b

etw

ee

n t

he

lo

ca

l to

tal

po

pu

lati

on

an

d t

he

lo

ca

lly

esti

ma

ted

la

nd

-ba

se

d s

yste

m h

eld

po

pu

lati

on

(se

e M

ap

13

).

On

ly t

he

su

b-n

ati

on

al

are

as w

he

re i

nd

ustr

ial

pro

du

cti

on

is d

om

ina

nt

are

co

nsid

ere

d (

se

e M

ap

13

). T

he

co

rre

sp

on

din

g i

nd

ustr

ial

po

ult

ry p

op

ula

tio

ns h

ave

be

en

ag

gre

ga

ted

wit

hin

ea

ch

ce

ll

of

a g

lob

al

gri

d o

f 2

50

x 2

50

km

ce

ll s

ize

(cyl

ind

rica

l e

qu

al

are

a p

roje

cti

on

, h

ere

re

-pro

jecte

d t

o R

ob

inso

n).

On

ly i

nd

ustr

ial

po

pu

lati

on

s p

er

cell

of

ove

r 1

mil

lio

n h

ea

ds a

re r

ep

rese

nte

d.

Page 19: Annex 1 Global maps

340

livestock’slongshadow

M

ap1

6Es

timat

ed d

istr

ibut

ion

of p

oult

ry

Sour

ce: F

AO, 2

006g

.

Page 20: Annex 1 Global maps

Annex1 - Global maps

341

M

ap17

Es

tim

ate

d d

istr

ibu

tio

n o

f p

igs

So

urc

e:

FA

O,

20

06

g.

Page 21: Annex 1 Global maps

342

livestock’s long shadow

M

ap18

Es

tim

ate

d d

istr

ibu

tio

n o

f c

att

le

So

urc

e:

FA

O,

20

06

g.