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Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. [email protected] Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. [email protected] Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

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Page 1: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

Ann S. Bisconti, PhDBisconti Research, Inc.

[email protected]

Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

Page 2: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

Buzz: Nuclear Energy is “Cool”

Page 3: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

So Nuclear Energy is Cool

• This is a big change • What’s behind the change?

• How do people feel about building new nuclear power plants?

Page 4: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

Public Opinion Surveys

• 23-year trends, latest Sept 2006

• National random samples of 1,000 U.S. adults age 18+

• Interviewed by phone

• Margin of error plus or minus three percentage points

Page 5: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

Changing Attitudes

68% Now Favor Use of Nuclear Energy

20

40

60

80

1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006

Oppose

Favor

49

46

29

68

Page 6: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

Changing Perceptions of Nuclear Power Plant Safety

0

25

50

75

1985 1987 1989 1991 1994 1997 2001 2003 2005 Sep-06

% Low Safety Rating (1-3)

% High Safety Rating (5-7)

50

32

22

60

Page 7: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

All Regions Favor Use of Nuclear Energy

West66%

Midwest70%

Northeast70%

South67%

Page 8: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

All Subgroups Favor Use of Nuclear

Energy

67

6877

6873

63

0 25 50 75 100

Page 9: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

What’s Behind the Change?

Page 10: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

Changing TimesChanging Times

EnergySupply

Oil and Gas Costs

Geopolitical Consequences

Climate Change/Clean Air

Energy Demand

Page 11: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

High Awareness of Hearing About Nuclear Energy Topics in Past Year

44

47

49

58

0 20 40 60 80

Nuclear for global warming

Need to build more nuclearpower plants

Page 12: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

Buzz About New Nuclear Power

Page 13: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

Buzz About New Nuclear Power

Page 14: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

Nuclear Industry Communicating More Actively

Page 15: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

Workforce Engaged

Page 16: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

What about New Nuclear Power Plants?

Page 17: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

Prepare to build

76%

Definitely build

63%

Renew licenses

83%

NEI Poll, September 2006:Public Support for Nuclear Power Plants

Page 18: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

3 National Polls in 2006: 61-63% Favor Building More Nuclear Power Plants or

Using More Nuclear Energy

63

61

63

0 25 50 75

Bri Poll in September (build

more)

LA Times Poll in August (use

more)

BBC Poll in June (build more)

Page 19: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

Majorities Said New Reactor Acceptable at Nearest Plant Site

7

25

68

0 20 40 60 80

Don't know

Not

acceptable

Acceptable

Page 20: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

National Survey in 2005 of Nuclear Power Plant

Neighbors

• Residents within 10-mile radius of plants

• 18 adults at each of the 64 sites

• 1,152 total • Electric company

employees excluded

Page 21: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

87% of Plant Neighbors Have Favorable Impression of

Plant

10

87

3

3

7

27

60

0 25 50 75 100

Don't know

Very unfavorable

Somewhat unfavorable

Somewhat favorable

Very favorable

UNFAVORABLE

FAVORABLE

Page 22: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

76% of Plant Neighbors Said New Reactor Acceptable

at Nearest Plant Site

2

22

76

0 25 50 75 100

Don't know

Not

acceptable

Acceptable

Page 23: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

Determinants of Support

• Perception of need: energy for quality of life, less dependence on fossil fuels,

global warming

• Perception of nuclear energy’s benefits to meet the need

• For plant neighbors: familiarity

• For everyone: safety first

Page 24: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

Electric Companies Planning for the Future

• Americans like planning for the future

• They like an energy mix• There is growing support for

nuclear energy • Steps toward about

30 new reactors• Preparing now for when she’s

10

Page 25: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

Panel DiscussionClimate Change

and the

Pros and Cons of Nuclear Power

David Ropeik Jay Maisler Ann Bisconti Seth Kaplan

Alan Nogee

Page 26: Ann S. Bisconti, PhD Bisconti Research, Inc. ann@bisconti.com Why Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy is Changing

New Nuclear Power and Climate Change:

Issues and Opportunities

Thank you for Attending