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• Senior Risk Engineer Property in EMEA Engineering Team with focus on German and French speaking Countries
• Expertise in Risk Engineering Services for manufacturing, machinery breakdown and heavy Industry Segments
• Swiss Re Corporate Solutions digital Champion for Industrial Internet of Things and Industry 4.0 risk transfer solutions
• Previously Brilliant Factory Leader for GE Power implementing Industry 4.0 at GE's global Supply Chain
• 23 Years Industry track record in working with large Turbomachines from Field Service Eng. up to leading a global PMO for digital manufacturing transformation
• Holds a BSc in mechanical Engineering from ABB-Technical College in Baden and an EMBA from the International Management Institute in Zürich
André Kreul, Swiss Re Corporate Solutions
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General Public Release
Predictive maintenance from risk engineering perspectiveAndré Kreul, Property Risk Engineering Service
General Public Release
General Public Release
André Kreul I Risk Engineering Service 3
Agenda
• Predictive maintenance industry status
• Predictive maintenance from insurers perspective
• Swiss Re Corporate Solutions risk transfer solutions
Data is the new Oil. It’s only useful when
refined!Jess Greenwood, Contagious
Today only 1% of the data generated in
Industry is analysedIBM Martina Köderitz, IBM IBV
General Public Release
André Kreul I Risk Engineering Service 5
Predictive maintenance success stories
Rio Tinto GESandvik Trenitalia
saves daily 2m$ from pdminsights on the mining truck fleet
saves 130m € annually with dynamic train maintenance
avoids machine downtime increasing productivity by 9%
reduced downtime by 50% in some of their manufacturing plants
Elisa
halved its number of telecom network faults in 4 years.
General Public Release
André Kreul I Risk Engineering Service
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Yes, currently workingon it
Yes, we start next Year Yes, we start within 3Years
Yes, no start date No
25%
4%7%
24%
40%
Future plans for predictive maintenance
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Yes, currently working onit
Yes, we start next Year Yes, we start within 3Years
Yes, no start date No
25%
4%7%
24%
40%
20%
6% 6%
17%
51%
Future plans for predictive maintenance
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Predictive maintenance industry status
PwC survey PDM 4.0 in September 2018
PwC survey PDM4.0 in June 2017
General Public Release
André Kreul I Risk Engineering Service
Operations process transformation;
• integration with all information technology
• roll-out throughout the whole Plant
• connecting all machines and adding sensors to old equipment & manual processes
Indicative benefits;
• maintenance cost optimization 20-30%
• machine downtime optimization 15-30%
• improved quality 10-35%
• new business models
Operations process transformation => Industry 4.0
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Predictive Maintenance
Manufacturing Execution System
Enterprise Resource Planning
information technology
operation technology
General Public Release
André Kreul I Risk Engineering Service
improved risk factors;
machinery breakdown
business interruption
supplementing OEM maintenance schedules
enterprise risk management
AI-Predictive maintenance from insurers perspectiveHypothesis => risk is improving?
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new risk factors;
cyber vulnerability
data stream reliability
data accuracy & completeness
prediction uncertainty ERM
∑ =>cumulative risk remains similar
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André Kreul I Risk Engineering Service 9
Insurance Expertise
Data Analytics Capabilities
Swiss Re Corporate Solutions your partner for non/standard risk transfer solutions<< let’s engage to discuss your developing needs>>
Risk TransferPartnership
Track RecordCreation of
value for Client
Swiss Re Value Proposition
Innovation Track record
Standard solutions;
property damage / BI
casualty / liability
construction & engineering
marine / transport
cyber
Non-Standard solutions
non damage business interruption
unplanned maintenance cover
extended warranty
data based parametric solutions
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André Kreul I Risk Engineering Service 10
“Is … growth over?”1
… "Not a chance. It's just being held back by our ability to process all the new ideas fast enough.“2
1R. J. Gordon, "Is US economic growth over? Faltering innovation confronts the six headwinds." CEPR Policy Insight No. 63
2E. Brynjolfsson, A. MacAfee; The Second Machine Age
General Public Release
BackupInnovative Risk Solutionsfour underlying trends that drive innovation in commercial insurance risk transfer
General Public Release
André Kreul I Risk Engineering Service
Machinery breakdownservice after sales / epidemic failure
Case 1: Recovery Guarantee in combination with Service and After Sales
A heavy machinery manufacturer wanted to enhance its product offerings and create a client loyalty program at the same time
Swiss Re Corporate Solutions developed an innovative machinery break-down insurance solution as an integral part of the client's service package for their products. We used an established line of business but applied it as a 3rd
party product benefiting the buyer
Case 2: Bespoke Field Equipment Machinery Guarantee insurance
A world-leading provider of intelligent energy and water metering solutions contributes to one of the biggest smart metering projects in Scandinavia
Swiss Re Corporate Solutions offered a Field Equipment insurance to cover the accumulated risk of a high failure rate on installed meters. This could in a worst-case scenario threaten the equity of the client when the majority of the meters are installed
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Generator owners and unit-contingent off-takers face two kinds of risk during an outage or derate:
volume (unknown duration) and
price (exposure to higher spot market)
Additionally, outages often cause or exacerbate high price events
Unplanned outage
Losses hedged
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
Strike Price
Unplanned outageelectricity price and outage protection
Discount to traditional hedges. Simultaneous management of price and volume risk is difficult and very expensive to hedge dynamically
Automatic / perfect look-back settlement against transparent price indices
General Public Release
André Kreul I Risk Engineering Service
Suite of parametric nat perils solutionsSTORM, QUAKE, HazeShield, Insure8, SMOKE
QUAKE
Insure8
STORM
HazeShield
Smoke / Blaze
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General Public Release
André Kreul I Risk Engineering Service
Force Majeurereturn of pre-payments
Operator enters into a long-term lease of capital goods to be purchased by Special Purpose Vehicle financed via equity and debt
Tri-partite manufacture sales agreement (owner, operator, manufacturer) includes contract cancellation option for the owner in case a force majeure event renders the project uneconomical
Guaranteed pre-payments
In the event of a cancellation of the contract, the manufacturer is obliged to return all pre-payments / instalments made for goods not yet delivered to and accepted by the owner
Cover pays time-dependent return of pre-payments / instalments in accordance with the underlying tri-partite manufacture and lease agreement
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Legal notice
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©2019 Swiss Re. All rights reserved. You are not permitted to create any modifications or derivative works of this presentation or webinar or to use it for commercial or other public purposes without the prior written permission of Swiss Re.
The information and opinions contained in the presentation are provided as at the date of the presentation and are subject to change without notice. Although the information used was taken from reliable sources, Swiss Re does not accept any responsibility for the accuracy or comprehensiveness of the details given. All liability for the accuracy and completeness thereof or for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information contained in this presentation is expressly excluded. Under no circumstances shall Swiss Re or its Group companies be liable for any financial or consequential loss relating to this presentation.
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