51
Capacity, Pressure, Demand, and Flow: A conceptual framework for analyzing ecosystem service provision and delivery Amy M. Villamagna a *, Paul L. Angermeier b , Elena M. Bennett c a Department of Fish and Wildlife Conservation, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA 24061-0321, USA *Corresponding author, [email protected] ; b U.S. Geological Survey, Virginia Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit 1 , Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA 24061-0321, USA [email protected] ; c Department of Natural Resource Sciences and McGill School of Environment, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, CANADA [email protected] 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Analyzing the demand, flow, and provision capacity for ...€¦  · Web viewCapacity, Pressure, Demand, and Flow: A conceptual framework for analyzing ecosystem service provision

  • Upload
    doananh

  • View
    219

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Capacity, Pressure, Demand, and Flow:

A conceptual framework for analyzing ecosystem service provision and delivery

Amy M. Villamagnaa*, Paul L. Angermeierb, Elena M. Bennettc

a Department of Fish and Wildlife Conservation, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA 24061-

0321, USA *Corresponding author, [email protected] ; b U.S. Geological Survey, Virginia

Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit1, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA 24061-

0321, USA [email protected]; c Department of Natural Resource Sciences and McGill School

of Environment, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, CANADA

[email protected]

1

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

ABSTRACT

Ecosystem services provide an instinctive way to understand the trade-offs associated with

natural resource management. However, despite their apparent usefulness, several hurdles have

prevented ecosystem services from becoming deeply embedded in environmental decision-

making. Ecosystem service studies vary widely in focal services, geographic extent, and in

methods for defining and measuring services. Dissent among scientists on basic terminology and

approaches to evaluating ecosystem services create difficulties for those trying to incorporate

ecosystem services into decision-making. To facilitate clearer comparison among recent studies,

we provide a synthesis of common terminology and explain a rationale and framework for

distinguishing among the components of ecosystem service delivery, including: an ecosystem’s

capacity to produce services; ecological pressures that interfere with an ecosystem’s ability to

provide the service; societal demand for the service; and flow of the service to people. We

discuss how interpretation and measurement of these four components can differ among

provisioning, regulating, and cultural services. Our flexible framework treats service capacity,

ecological pressure, demand, and flow as separate but interactive entities to improve our ability

to evaluate the sustainability of service provision and to help guide management decisions. We

consider ecosystem service provision to be sustainable when demand is met without decreasing

capacity for future provision of that service or causing undesirable declines in other services.

When ecosystem service demand exceeds ecosystem capacity to provide services, society can

choose to enhance natural capacity, decrease demand and/or ecological pressure, or invest in a

technological substitute. Because regulating services are frequently overlooked in environmental

assessments, we provide a more detailed examination of regulating services and propose a novel

2

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

34

35

method for quantifying the flow of regulating services based on estimates of ecological work.

We anticipate that our synthesis and framework will reduce inconsistency and facilitate

coherence across analyses of ecosystem services, thereby increasing their utility in

environmental decision-making.

KEYWORDS: ecological pressure, ecosystem services, inventory and assessment, regulating

services, service capacity, service demand, service flow

3

36

37

38

39

40

41

42

1. Introduction

Ecosystem services (ES) have great potential to influence environmental decisions

because they link ecosystem functions and conditions to anthropocentric interests that resonate

with a broad spectrum of people. ES provide new currencies, often not represented in markets,

for understanding the tradeoffs associated with natural resource management (Raudseppe-Hearne

et al., 2010; Chan et al., 2012). Because of this, efforts to assess and inventory ES have been

extensive (Peterson et al., 2003; MA, 2005; Tallis and Polasky, 2011; Burkhard et al., 2012);

however, several hurdles have prevented ES from becoming deeply embedded in environmental

decision-making (Daily et al., 2009; de Groot et al., 2010). However, a fundamental hurdle in

using ES in decision-making is the inconsistency with which scientists have conceptualized

delivery of ES to society (Tallis et al., 2012). Recent strides towards greater consideration of ES

have been made in the European Union (TEEB, 2010; European Commission, 2011; Hauck et

al., 2013); however, use of the ES concepts in policy-making remains limited (Fisher et al.,

2009) and many questions persist over how ES relate to each other, how ecosystems produce

services, how to consistently quantify ES flows, and how changes in landscapes are likely to

affect future delivery of ES (Chan et al., 2006; Carpenter et al., 2009; de Groot et al., 2010;

Hauck et al., 2013).

Despite real differences, few researchers distinguish among the capacity of an ecosystem

to produce a service, actual production or use of that service, societal demand for that service,

and the natural and anthropogenic pressures on the service (Burkhard et al., 2012; Nedkov and

Burkhard, 2012; van Oudenhoven et al., 2012). For example, the capacity of an ecosystem to

generate services differs from the actual services delivered to society. A farm may produce less

food than it could under different management choices, or a wetland may have greater capacity

4

43

44

45

46

47

48

49

50

51

52

53

54

55

56

57

58

59

60

61

62

63

64

65

to filter nitrogen than is ultimately needed in the system. The benefits actually delivered depend

not only on an ecosystem’s capacity to provide services, but also on demand for these services,

which is, in turn, driven by biophysical setting, population size, cultural preferences, and the

perceived value of the service. Demand for an ES can change independently of capacity, and

vice versa. Thus, measurements of any one component of ES delivery cannot capture the full ES

dynamic from production to benefit (Fig. 1). Despite this, studies that measure only one or two

components of ES provision are common (Tallis et al., 2012).

Frameworks for conceptualizing and analyzing ES are rapidly evolving (Boyd and

Banzhaf, 2007; Wallace, 2007; Costanza, 2008; de Groot et al., 2010; Nedkov and Burkhard,

2012; van Oudenhoven et al., 2012), with little consensus on which framework or analytical

products are most useful for environmental decision-makers. Some recent conceptual

frameworks distinguish components of ES delivery (e.g. demand; Tallis et al., 2012), but

definitions of components and relations among them differ widely across authors. For example,

capacity has also been referred to as potential supply (Burkhard et al., 2012), ecosystem potential

(van Oudenhoven et al., 2012), stocks of nature, and ES per se (Norgaard, 2009; Layke, 2009),

yet the basic concept behind each term is the same. In contrast, there seems to be weaker

consensus on how service flows, the benefits actually delivered to people, are measured or

defined (Fig. 1). Terminology often differs along an ecology-economics continuum, ranging

from economic concepts such as benefits (Wallace, 2007; Balmford et al., 2008) or supply (Hein

et al., 2006) to ecological concepts like performance indicators (de Groot et al., 2010) or flow

(Beier et al., 2009; Layke 2009). Moreover, some studies focus on the mechanics of ES delivery

(Bagstad et al., 2012) while others emphasize the ecosystem properties and processes that

influence the service production (de Groot et al., 2010; van Oudenhoven et al., 2012). While the

5

66

67

68

69

70

71

72

73

74

75

76

77

78

79

80

81

82

83

84

85

86

87

88

breadth of approaches has surely furthered the exploration of services and has likely enhanced

our ability to evaluate services, the disparate terminology and subtle differences among

frameworks can inhibit managers and decision-makers from choosing an approach appropriate to

their needs. To enhance our ability to quantify, map, and ultimately make ES information more

accessible to decision-makers, we must acknowledge the inherent differences among ES types

(Table 1), the dynamic process by which ES are produced (Fig. 1), and how ES benefit people

(Carpenter et al., 2009; Bagstad et al., 2012; Chan et al., 2012). The key is finding a flexible and

adaptive approach that still allows consistency while avoiding rigid, one-size-fits-all frameworks.

Ecosystem services are categorized in multiple ways, with different categories being

amenable to different analytical approaches and providing distinctive societal benefits (MA,

2005). However, incorporating differences among service categories in ES assessments while

acknowledging their interconnectedness has been difficult. Some researchers group ES based on

their contribution to human well-being: services that directly benefit people (e.g. water supply)

are considered final or end services while many regulating and supporting services that

contribute to provision of final services are considered to be intermediate services. Intermediate

services are often excluded from economic valuations to avoid double counting (Boyd and

Banzhaf, 2007; Fisher and Turner, 2008; Wallace, 2008), but, in some cases, changes in

intermediate service provision are central to the potential societal trade-offs associated with

environmental management decisions. Limiting ES assessments to final services precludes

considering environmental and economic trade-offs, often resulting in the undervaluation of

services across the board (Keeler et al., 2012). Improving ES assessments requires development

of methods for quantifying intermediate or regulating service capacity, demand, and flow in

biophysical terms (Layke, 2009; Chan et al., 2012; Keeler et al., 2012).

6

89

90

91

92

93

94

95

96

97

98

99

100

101

102

103

104

105

106

107

108

109

110

111

To help advance a common language associated with ES assessments and further the

application of ES frameworks, we reviewed and synthesized the literature on basic components

of ES delivery. From this synthesis we promote a framework in which an ES delivery model

comprises four distinct components: capacity (i.e. the potential to provide a service), ecological

pressures (i.e. anthropogenic and natural stressors on ES provision), demand (i.e. the amount of

service required or desired by society), and flow (i.e. the actual production of a service

experienced by people). Second, we discuss how the interpretation and measurement of these

components of ES differ among provisioning, regulating, and cultural ES and how measures of

each can be used to evaluate sustainability. Third, we discuss a new approach to evaluate

capacity, ecological pressure, demand, and flow specifically for regulating services (RS), which

are often left out of ES assessments due to complexities associated with quantifying them. To

strengthen the methodology for assessing RS, we describe how to quantify RS flow using

estimates of ecological pressure and environmental quality.

2. Distinguishing service capacity, pressure, demand, and flow

Separately measuring the components of ES delivery adds clarity to ES analyses and can

enhance integration into environmental planning and development. By distinguishing among ES

capacity, demand, ecological pressures, and flow we can 1) assess the current and future

biophysical capacity of an area to produce ES, 2) evaluate the sustainability of ES use under

different scenarios of ES demand, pressure, and capacity, and 3) examine how ES demand and

ecological pressures influence biophysical capacity via feedback loops in which pressure may

7

112

113

114

115

116

117

118

119

120

121

122

123

124

125

126

127

128

129

130

131

132

133

exceed ecological thresholds (Carpenter et al., 2009). By comparing measures of current and

future capacity, ecological pressures, demand, and flow planners can evaluate whether a) the

needs of people can be met by existing ecosystem properties and processes, b) technological

substitutes are needed to supplement service production, c) ES flows will be equitable, and d) the

flow of services is sustainable (i.e. doesn’t degrade ES capacity).

2.1. Service capacity

Service capacity is an ecosystem’s potential to deliver services based on biophysical

properties, social conditions, and ecological functions (Cairns, 1997; Chan et al., 2006; 2011;

Egoh et al., 2008; Daily et al., 2009; van Oudenhoven et al., 2012). ES capacity is site- and time-

specific, but not static; capacity responds to natural or anthropogenic changes over time and

space. Land use and human population changes have an acute effect on ES capacity as well as

ES demand, ecological pressures and ES flows (Fig. 2; also Burkhard et al., 2012; van

Oudenhoven et al., 2012). Capacity can be measured and mapped by integrating the natural and

anthropogenic factors that influence the ecological properties and functions that provide services

regardless of how many people use or benefit from the services in question (Table 1).

Provisioning service capacity is typically measured directly by ecosystem properties (e.g.,

volume of water supply). Although more difficult to measure, cultural service capacity depends

on a mix of biophysical (e.g. climate, topography, presence of key species) as well as

anthropogenic conditions (e.g. accessibility by humans, site management actions; Villamagna et

al., in review). Capacity of an ecosystem to provide regulating services is also challenging to

measure. Regulating service capacity tends to comprise several interconnected ecosystem

8

134

135

136

137

138

139

140

141

142

143

144

145

146

147

148

149

150

151

152

153

154

155

processes that each rely on a suite of ecosystem properties (Fig. 3). Thus measuring regulating

service capacity requires extensive knowledge of ecological processes, understanding of

ecological and hydrologic processes, process-based models and their limitations (e.g. Revised

Soil Loss Equation), and/or extensive field data .

2.2. Ecological pressure

Ecological pressures are biophysical influences that interfere with an ecosystem’s ability

to provide the service. They do so by increasing the work (i.e. effort) needed to provide the

service or by reducing an ecosystem’s capacity to deliver service (MA, 2005; WRI, 2012).

Ecological work includes the processes that generate the service and are discussed further in

sections 2.4 and 4.2. Pressures make it more difficult for an ecosystem to meet societal demand

for that service (see section 2.3) and sustained or extreme pressures can alter the future capacity

of an ecosystem to deliver services (Carpenter et al., 2009). Pressures on ES can be natural, like

periodic weather fluctuations, or anthropogenic, like increases in impervious surfaces. The

source of the pressure can be related to overuse, like overfishing or crowding in recreation areas

(Fig. 1), or it can be a by-product of ES trade-offs, like aquatic nutrient inputs from agricultural

production. The World Resources Institute (WRI) manages an online database on ES indicators

including direct and indirect drivers and service pressures (WRI, 2012). Our use of “pressure”

varies slightly from that of the WRI in that we include direct drivers as service pressures if they

are measured in the same units as the flow of the service (e.g. nutrient inputs conveyed through

fertilizers and changes in land cover).

2.3. Service demand

9

156

157

158

159

160

161

162

163

164

165

166

167

168

169

170

171

172

173

174

175

176

177

Demand for ES, the amount of service desired by society, has been measured by a variety

of indicators (Table 1). Human population density combined with average consumption rates is a

common indicator (Burkhard et al., 2012; Nedkov and Burkhard, 2012), especially for services

that directly impact human well-being, such as water supply or crop production. For many

provisioning services, demand is concisely represented by market prices. For experience-based

cultural services, the number of people wanting to experience the ES (e.g. visitors to a park) can

indicate demand. Since RS produce or maintain desirable environmental conditions, societal

demand should be expressed as the amount of regulation needed to meet a desired end condition

(e.g. the percentage reduction needed to meet numeric criteria for a pollutant). Estimating RS

demand is inherently challenging because it requires information about desired end conditions as

well as the ecological pressures or inputs needing regulation. To date, few assessments have

quantified RS demand biophysically. Instead, RS demand has been measured in terms of human

population (Burkhard et al., 2012; Nedkov and Burkhard, 2012), which is weakly related to the

amount of regulation actually occurring.

For all ES, demand -- an outcome of socio-cultural preferences -- can exceed capacity,

but capacity ultimately sets the limit on long-term service provision. Burkhard et al. (2012) and

Nedkov and Burkhard (2012) found that demand for services as measured by population density

of beneficiaries largely exceeds service capacity in urban areas, whereas the opposite is true in

less-populated rural areas. While demand for provisioning and cultural services can be met by

moving resources or people, demand for RS must often be met locally. Sometimes this demand

can be met by a technological substitute, but often the substitute meets a single demand rather

than the suite of demands that might be met by natural systems. For example, ecosystems with

high capacity to purify water provide clean drinking water, healthy aquatic habitats, and sources

10

178

179

180

181

182

183

184

185

186

187

188

189

190

191

192

193

194

195

196

197

198

199

200

of aquatic recreation (Keeler et al., 2012), but water treatment plants may only address the

drinking water demand.

2.4. Service flow

We consider service flow to be the service actually received by people, which can be

measured directly as the amount of a service delivered, or indirectly as the number of

beneficiaries served. Total service flow can be quantified as the service delivery per beneficiary

multiplied by the number of beneficiaries (Table 1). Like other components of the ES delivery

process, we suggest incorporating differences among ES types into measurements of service

flow (Table 1). For provisioning services, the conventional metric of service flow is the

equivalent of the end good (e.g. timber production). Cultural services are similar to provisioning

in that the flow of cultural service is conventionally measured in terms of the duration and

quality of the experience with nature. Although inherently challenging to analyze because they

are individualistic, difficult to aggregate, and sometimes influenced by social or moral factors

(Chan et al., 2012), many cultural service flows are estimated using market and non-market

techniques. In contrast, regulating services lack a clear end product that is tractable or

commonly represented in markets. Instead, environmental quality has been adopted as a

convenient metric of service flow and ecosystem state (Dale and Polasky, 2007; Martinez et al.,

2009). However, simply measuring environmental quality does not necessarily convey the

amount of ecological work or regulation that has occurred because the amount of ecological

pressure on the ecosystem itself and the capacity to regulate also play a role. Environmental

quality is the result of multiple services, regulating and provisioning, working against ecological

pressures. Instead, we propose that the flow of a regulating service be measured in terms of the

11

201

202

203

204

205

206

207

208

209

210

211

212

213

214

215

216

217

218

219

220

221

222

ecological work required to mitigate pressures and deliver the service demanded. We further

discuss ecological work in measures of regulating service flow in section 4.2.

While service capacity is site-specific, service flow is not limited to the site of

production. Consider downstream benefits of clean water from upstream soil or nutrient

retention. Where benefits can be experienced, given natural and anthropogenic pathways, is the

benefit zone (Bagstad et al., 2012) and the people within the benefit zone are potential

beneficiaries (Hein et al., 2006; Boyd and Banzhaf, 2007; Johnston and Russell, 2011; Martin-

López et al., 2011). The proximity and capacity of ES sources and pathways defines the potential

benefit zone, but natural and anthropogenic connectivity across landscapes influences

spatiotemporal patterns of ES flow (Fig. 4; also Fisher et al., 2008; Bagstad et al., 2012).

Moreover, some services are passively delivered to beneficiaries (e.g. clean air), while others

require additional capital inputs on the part of the beneficiary (e.g. financial or physical capacity

to access recreation services). Sometimes long-distance ES flows are fundamentally

asymmetrical, creating social inequity in terms of the human well-being derived from ES

management (Carpenter et al., 2009; Tallis et al., 2012).

The terms and methods used to describe ES flow are especially wide-ranging relative to

other components of ES delivery (Fig. 1). Although service flow represents the actual delivery of

services and capacity represents the potential production of services, these concepts are

sometimes used interchangeably (Layke, 2009), which can lead to misinterpretations of ES

condition that affect decision-making. Service flow is an important measure of current ES

delivery, whereas capacity provides a measure of the potential of the system. Flow and capacity,

and their measures, must be consistently distinguished in order to accurately evaluate changes in

service delivery over time and to identify areas of potential ES production in the future.

12

223

224

225

226

227

228

229

230

231

232

233

234

235

236

237

238

239

240

241

242

243

244

245

Recognizing the differences between ES capacity and ES flow is an important step towards

better understanding how changes in policy and management can affect ES values accruing to

beneficiaries.

3. Service delivery and sustainability

The benefit of the conceptual framework we have laid out here is that distinguishing

among measures of ES capacity, demand, pressure, and flow enables assessment of ecological

sustainability and identification of key trade-offs (McDonald, 2009). Given that areas of high ES

capacity and flow are often spatially mis-matched and that ES demand is influenced by many

factors extraneous to service production (e.g. technological substitutes for ES, cultural values,

and behavioral norms), quantifying ES components separately is an important step towards

enhancing the ability of ES assessments to inform environmental decision-making. Spatially

explicit ES budgets, the comparison of ES demand and capacity, can identify areas where

technological substitutes or additional capital inputs will be needed to meet demand, and,

likewise, areas where greater development and ES flow can be supported. ES flow is sustainable

when demand is met by flow without decreasing capacity for future provision of that service

(Fig. 1). ES flow is not sustainable when demand cannot be met by current capacity or when

meeting demand causes undesirable declines in other services or in the future provision of the

same service. For example, the flow of water purification services from a watershed would be

considered unsustainable if the quality of the water produced consistently failed to meet stated

criteria or the only way to meet those criteria was to significantly reduce food production.

13

246

247

248

249

250

251

252

253

254

255

256

257

258

259

260

261

262

263

264

265

266

267

Trade-off analyses (Rodríguez et al., 2006; Daily et al., 2009; Raudsepp-Hearne et al.,

2010) can help assess landscape-level ES sustainability. Prolonged periods of excess ecological

pressure or overuse may shift ecosystem functions in ways that permanently alter ES capacity

and delivery (Scheffer and Carpenter, 2003; MA, 2005). For example, protracted over-

exploitation of tree, fish, and game populations decreases stocks and regenerative capacity of

provisioning services (Hilborn et al., 1995; Larkin, 2000). When ES demand exceeds ecosystem

capacity to provide services, society generally has three choices to avoid environmental damage

and decreases in human well-being. First, people can enhance the system’s natural capacity to

provide the services demanded, for example by applying fertilizers to increase food production.

Second, people can recognize that supply is limited and reduce their demand appropriately.

Third, people can invest in technology to help avoid the outcomes of diminished services. For

example, we build dams, levees, and seawalls to reduce flood damage when landscapes cannot

adequately modulate flood magnitude and frequency. While some technological solutions

address a single service (e.g. water treatment plant) and fail to restore all potential benefits from

a non-degraded system (e.g. habitat provision), others create novel ecosystems that enhance

multiple services (e.g. a reservoir provides water supply, flood regulation, and recreation). In

contrast, management choices can negatively impact the capacity of other services (Bennett et

al., 2009) and a change in the flow of one service can greatly influence the ecological pressures

on another service (Rodríguez et al., 2006; Barbier, 2009). Given the complex interactions

among services, understanding ES trade-offs based on analyses that quantify capacity, demand,

pressure, and flow are potentially valuable contributions of ES science to environmental

decision-making.

14

268

269

270

271

272

273

274

275

276

277

278

279

280

281

282

283

284

285

286

287

288

289

290

4. Moving forward with regulating services

We suggest that distinguishing among the four components of ES delivery will provide

planners with better information for decision-making. To successfully integrate this multi-

component framework into ES assessments, we must enhance our understanding of how RS

function and develop stronger methods for quantifying the demand for and flow of RS.

Regulating services are integral to the delivery of provisioning and cultural services, yet RS are

declining globally (MA, 2005; Carpenter et al., 2009). Regulating services are process-driven

and, unfortunately, the data needed to directly measure their condition are often unavailable at

scales large enough to support policy-making (Layke, 2009). Below, we review how RS differ

from other service types and how this impacts the way we should quantify the components of

RS.

4.1. Regulating services are inherently different

Regulating services are distinct in that they often exert significant influence on the

capacity to provide other services (de Groot et al., 2002; Boyd and Banzhaf ,2007), but direct

impacts of RS on human well-being can be difficult to measure (Keeler et al., 2012). Even

though RS provide important benefits for humans (e.g. water and air purification, drought or

flood control, and regulation of disease), they tend to change slowly and are thus less amenable

to typical scientific study. Few comprehensive and reliable ecological indicators are monitored

for RS (Layke, 2009), which makes their value difficult to express in biophysical or monetary

15

291

292

293

294

295

296

297

298

299

300

301

302

303

304

305

306

307

308

309

310

311

units. In addition, without market prices as indicators of their supply and demand, changes in

capacity may go largely unnoticed (Cairns, 1997). Often, the value of RS is not apparent until the

declines cause problems for other, more commonly measured services (e.g. floods or droughts

affecting agricultural production). Together, the lack of economic and biophysical evaluations

leads to the general undervaluation of RS and their absence in many planning decisions.

4.2. Measuring demand for and flow of regulating services

Regulating services help maintain environmental quality within socially desirable

ranges. The amount of RS delivered will vary among ecosystems depending on ecological and

social pressures and capacities. Based on our four component framework, measuring regulating

service flow requires information about both ecological pressures on the ecosystem providing the

service and societal demand for the service itself. However, environmental quality (e.g. water

quality) is often used as an indicator of regulating service flow (Dale and Polasky, 2007;

Martinez et al., 2009; Shibu, 2009). Key strengths of using environmental quality as a proxy for

some RS is that it is readily measured, meaningful to society, and changes in quality can be

expressed in economic terms through market and non-market valuation (Farber et al., 2006).

However, environmental quality is not equal to the capacity, pressure, demand, or flow of the

service; instead it depends on the service capacity, relative pressure on the ecosystem and service

processes, and for some, the flow of other services (e.g. nitrogen regulation is affected by

stormwater regulation).

In real landscapes, high environmental quality may be the result of high capacity to

regulate anthropogenic stress or weak ecological pressures. High-capacity systems are capable of

16

312

313

314

315

316

317

318

319

320

321

322

323

324

325

326

327

328

329

330

331

332

333

greater ecological work to regulate pressures, resulting in slower or less change in environmental

quality (i.e. more regulation). A system with no (or very low) capacity to regulate (Fig. 5A)

experiences quick decline in environmental quality (y axis) with increases in ecological pressure

(x axis), while systems with higher capacity (Fig. 4B) can maintain acceptable environmental

quality under great ecological pressure. Similarly, systems with identical capacity can differ in

environmental quality due to differences in ecological pressures. Consider two watersheds in

which water quality is equal and meets societal standards (i.e. demand), but differ in contaminant

loading. One receives heavy nutrient loading as it flows through a mixed crop-forest landscape

with fertilizer inputs while the other flows through a similar landscape mosaic without fertilizer.

Although downstream nutrient concentrations are similar, ecological pressures differ markedly

and the ecological work occurring is greater in the fertilized watershed. Simply using ambient

water quality as a surrogate for RS flow cannot distinguish these two systems since it not only

ignores the relationship between ES capacity and pressure, but does not differentiate among the

multiple processes that affect water quality (e.g. filtration, sedimentation, volatilization, plant

uptake; Fig.3).

Instead of using environmental quality as an indicator of RS flow, we propose estimating

the ecological work performed as the difference between ecological pressures and measured

environmental quality. For example, the flow of sediment filtration services can be estimated by

calculating the difference between ambient sediment concentrations (e.g. total suspended solids)

and cumulative sediment loading throughout the watershed. Likewise, the flow of carbon

sequestration should be measured as the amount of carbon taken up and stored in vegetation,

rather than the amount of atmospheric carbon. Ecological work provides a measure of RS flow

that cannot be deduced from environmental quality measures alone. Ecological pressures, like

17

334

335

336

337

338

339

340

341

342

343

344

345

346

347

348

349

350

351

352

353

354

355

356

sediment loading, can be quantified in several ways, including direct field monitoring or

estimated by widely accepted models, like the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE)

or Soil and Water Assessment Tool (Sahu and Gu, 2009). Since absolute values may not exist for

all ecological pressures or for environmental quality in all areas, relative measures can be used.

Where neither relative measures nor appropriate models exist, expert judgment is an alternative

(MA, 2005; Burkhard et al., 2012; Nedkov and Burkhard, 2012). The analytical goal is to

incorporate spatiotemporal variability in ecological pressures to better evaluate RS flow. By

evaluating ecological pressures in conjunction with environmental quality, we get a more reliable

estimate of RS flow which can be compared to estimates of capacity to assess the state of the

ecosystem, the condition of the service, and sustainability of current land practices.

Our approach to estimating RS flow is designed to provide information to avoid

ecological degradation, but may also be helpful in developing mitigation strategies to reduce

existing degradation. Once areas of high ecological pressure and low capacity are known,

degradation can be avoided by reducing pressures, increasing capacity (e.g. via restoration or

best management practices), or enhancing the capacity of other services that influence pressures.

Identifying which ecosystem properties and processes contribute to RS capacity and which land

use practices influence ecological pressure (Fig. 2) can help managers develop strategies to plan

for or mitigate changes in environmental quality.

5. Conclusions

Our approach to assessing ES, using separate measurements of ES capacity, pressure,

demand, and flow, is useful and innovative in that it quantifies the components of ES delivery

rather than merely measuring final services or environmental quality. By so doing, we can more

18

357

358

359

360

361

362

363

364

365

366

367

368

369

370

371

372

373

374

375

376

377

378

accurately characterize service delivery, sustainability, and ES trade-offs across space and

through time. Using information about all four aspects of ES, planners can more effectively

evaluate whether the needs of people can be met sustainably (i.e. without degradation) by

existing capacity or if alternative measures are needed (e.g. restoration or technological

substitutes). This multi-component ES approach also enables scientists to assess regulating

services more accurately by measuring RS flow as the regulation of ecological pressures, rather

than measures of environmental quality. Measuring the actual flow of services provides a metric

for assessing ES equity, while capacity measures inform decisions about future development and

management. Collectively, our multi-component framework offers a more comprehensive

assessment of ES delivery, sustainability, and the trade-offs associated with land use. Our

approach also accounts for temporal variability in all components of ES provision, especially

ecological pressures and societal demand, which are likely to change through time.

To facilitate widespread use of ES knowledge in environmental management and

conservation planning, we need a more flexible, coherent, and informative framework that

accounts for spatiotemporal differences in how ES are produced and delivered (de Groot et al.,

2010; Chan et al., 2012). This framework should distinguish between potential service

production and the flow of services and be applicable across a wide range of ecosystems and

services (de Groot et al., 2010; Tallis et al., 2012). Our approach for analyzing ES represents

significant steps toward meeting these needs as this ES framework can be applied at virtually any

spatial resolution or extent for which ES components are measured separately. Furthermore, the

framework can be easily incorporated into scenario analyses (MA, 2005; Troy and Wilson, 2006)

to produce more objective and accurate assessments of service capacity, ecological pressure,

19

379

380

381

382

383

384

385

386

387

388

389

390

391

392

393

394

395

396

397

398

399

400

expected demand, and service flow which can better guide land management decisions (van

Oudenhoven et al., 2012).

Acknowledgments

This work was funded by the U.S. Geological Survey’s National Aquatic Gap Analysis

Program. We thank D. Beard, C. Beier, E. Frimpong, K. Limburg, B. Mogollon and anonymous

reviewers for their valuable input and feedback throughout the development of this and related

studies. The Virginia Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit is jointly sponsored by the

U.S. Geological Survey, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Virginia

Department of Game and Inland Fisheries, and Wildlife Management Institute. Use of trade

names or commercial products does not imply endorsement by the U.S. government.

References

Bagstad, K.J., Johnson, G.W., Voigt, B., Villa, F. 2012. Spatial dynamics of ecosystem service

flows: A comprehensive approach to quantifying actual services. Ecosyst. Serv. In press.

Barbier, E. B. 2009. Ecosystem service trade-offs. In: Mcleod, K., Leslie, H. (Eds.), Ecosystem-

based management for the oceans. Island Press, New York, pp. 129-144.

Bennett, E. M., Peterson, G. D., and Gordon, L. J. 2009. Understanding relationships among

multiple ecosystem services. Ecol. Letters 12, 1394-1404.

20

401

402

403

404

405

406

407

408

409

410

411

412

413

414

415

416

417

418

419

420

421

422

Beier, C.M., Patterson, T.M., Chapin, F.S. 2008. Ecosystem services and emergent vulnerability

in managed ecosystems, a geospatial decision-support tool.  Ecosystems 11, 923-938.

Boyd, J., Banzhaf, S. 2007. What are ecosystem services? The need for standardized

environmental accounting units. Ecol. Econ. 63, 616-626.

Burkhard, B., Kroll, F. Nedkov, S., Muller, F. 2012. Mapping ecosystem service supply, demand

and budgets. Ecol. Indicators 21, 17-29.

Carpenter, S., Defries, R., Dietz, T., Mooney, H.A., Polasky, S., Reid, W.V., Scholes, R.J. 2006.

Millennium Ecosystem Assessment: Research Needs. Science 314, 257-258.

Chan K., Shaw, M.R., Cameron, D.R., Underwood, E.C., Daily, G.C .2006. Conservation

planning for ecosystem services. PLoS Biol. 4, 2138-2152.

Chan, K., Satterfield, T., Goldstein, J. 2012. Rethinking ecosystem services to better address and

navigate cultural values. Ecol. Econ. 74, 8-18.

Costanza, R., 2008. Ecosystem services: Multiple classification systems are needed. Biol.

Conservation 141, 350-352.

Daily, G. C., Polasky, S., Goldstein, J., Kareiva, P. M., Mooney, H. A., Pejchar, L., Ricketts, T.

H., Salzman, J., Shallenberger, R., 2009. Ecosystem services in decision making: time to

deliver. Frontiers Ecol. Environ. 7, 21-28.

Daily, G., Kareiva, P., Polasky, S., Ricketts, T., Tallis, H., 2011. Mainstreaming natural capital

into decisions, In: Kareiva, P., Tallis,H., Ricketts, T., Daily, G., Polasky, S. (Eds.),

Natural Capital: Theory and Practice of Mapping Ecosystem Services. Oxford University

Press. Oxford. pp. 3-12

Dale, V. H., Polasky, S., 2007. Measures of the effects of agricultural practices on ecosystem

services. Ecol. Econ. 64, 286-296.

21

423

424

425

426

427

428

429

430

431

432

433

434

435

436

437

438

439

440

441

442

443

444

445

de Groot, R.S., Alkemade, R., Braat, L., Hein, L., Willemen, L., 2010. Challenges in integrating

the concept of ecosystem services and values in landscape planning, management and

decision making. Ecol. Complexity 7, 260-272.

Egoh, B., Reyers, B., Rouget, M., Richardson, D. M., Le Maitre, D. C. , van Jaarsveld, A. S.,

2008. Mapping ecosystem services for planning and management. Agric. Ecosyst.

Environ. 127, 135-140.

Eigenbrod, F., Armsworth, P. R., Anderson,B. J., Heinemeyer, A., Gillings, S., Roy, D. B.,

Thomas C. D., Gaston, K. J., 2010. The impact of proxy-based methods on mapping the

distribution of ecosystem services. J. Appl. Ecol. 47, 377-385.

European Commission. 2011. Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament,

the Council, the Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions. Our

life Insurance, Our Natural Capital: An EU Biodiversity Strategy to 2020. COM(2011).

Farber, S., Costanza, R., Childers, D. L., Erickson, J., Gross, K., Grove, M., Hopkinson, C. S.,

Kahn, J., Pincetl, S., Troy, A., Warren, P., Wilson, M., 2006. Linking ecology and

economics for ecosystem management: a services-based approach with illustrations from

LTER sites. Biosci. 56, 117-129.

Fisher, B., Turner, K., 2008. Ecosystem services, Classification for valuation. Biol. Conservation

141, 1167-1169.

Fisher, B., Turner, K., Zylstra, M., Brouwer, R., de Groot, R., Farber, S., Ferraro, P., Green, R.,

Hadley, D., Harlow, J., Jefferiss, P., Kirkby, C., Morling, P., Mowatt, S., Naidoo, R.,

Paavola, J., Strassburg, B., Yu, D., Balmford, A., 2008. Ecosystem services and

economic theory: integration for policy-relevant research. Ecol. Appl. 18, 2050–2067.

22

446

447

448

449

450

451

452

453

454

455

456

457

458

459

460

461

462

463

464

465

466

467

Haines-Young, R., Potschin, M.,. 2010. The links between biodiversity, ecosystem services and

human well-being. In: Raffaelli, D. Frid, C., (Eds.), Ecosystem Ecology, a new synthesis.

BES Ecological Reviews Series, CUP. Cambridge. pp 1-31.

Hauck, J., C. Görg, R. Varjopuro, O. Ratamäki, K. Jax, 2013. Benefits and limitations of the

ecosystem services concept in environmental policy and decision making: Some

stakeholder perspectives, Environ. Sci. Pol. 25, 13-213.

Hein, L., van Koppen, K., de Groot, R. S., van Ierland, E. C., 2006. Spatial scales, stakeholders

and the valuation of ecosystem services. Ecol. Econ. 57, 209-228.

Hilborn, H., Walters, C. J., Ludwig, D., 1995. Sustainable exploitation of renewable resources.

Annu. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 26, 45-67.

Johnston, R. J., Russell, M., 2011. An operational structure for clarity in ecosystem service

values. Ecol. Econ. 70, 2243-2249.

Keeler, B. L., Polasky, S., Brauman, K. A. Johnson, K. A. Finlay, J. C., O’Neille, A., Kovacsf,

K., Dalzellg, B., 2012. Linking water quality and well-being for improved assessment

and valuation of ecosystem services. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 109, 18619-18624.

Larkin, P.A. 2000. Toward Sustainable Development: An Ecological Economics Approach. CRC

Press. Boca Raton, Florida.

Layke, C. Measuring Nature’s Benefits: A Preliminary Roadmap for Improving Ecosystem

Service Indicators. World Resources Institute, Working Paper. 36pp

Martin-Lopez, B., Iniesta-Arandia, I., Garcia-Llorente,M., Palomo, I., Casado-Arzuaga, I., Del

Amo, D. G., Gomez-Baggethun, E., Oteros-Rozas, E., Palacios-Agundez, I., Willaarts,

B., Gonzalez, J. A., Santos-Martin, F., Onaindia, M., Lopez-Santiago, C., Montes, C.,

2012. Uncovering Ecosystem Service Bundles through Social Preferences. Plos One 7.

23

468

469

470

471

472

473

474

475

476

477

478

479

480

481

482

483

484

485

486

487

488

489

490

Martinez, M. L., Perez-Maqueo, O., Vazquez, G., Castillo-Campos, G., Garcia-Franco, J.,

Mehltreter, K., Equihua, M., Landgrave, R., 2009. Effects of land use change on

biodiversity and ecosystem services in tropical montane cloud forests of Mexico. For.

Ecol. Manage. 258, 1856-1863.

McMichael, A, Scholes, R., Hefny, M., Pereira, E., Palm, C., Foale, S., 2005. Linking Ecosystem

services and human well-being, In: Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, (Ed.),

Ecosystems and human well-being Multiscale Assessments, Volume 4. Island Press,

Washington, D.C., USA. pp. 43-60.

MA, 2005.Ecosystems and Human Well-Being, Our Human Planet, Summary for Decision

Makers. Island Press, Washington, DC.

Naidoo, R., Balmford, A., Costanza, R., Fisher, B., Green, R.E., Lehner, B., Malcolm, T.R.,

Ricketts, T.H., 2008. Global mapping of ecosystem services and conservation priorities.

P Natl Acad Sci USA 105, 9495-9500.

Nedkov, S. Burkhard, B., 2012. Flood regulating ecosystem services-Mapping supply and

demand, in the Etropole municipality, Bulgaria. Ecol. Indicators 21, 67-79.

Norgaard, R. B. 2010. Ecosystem services: From eye-opening metaphor to complexity blinder.

Ecol. Econ. 69, 1219-1227.

Peterson, G. D., Beard, T. D., Beisner, B. E., Bennett, E. M., Carpenter, S. R., Cumming, G. S.,

Dent, C. L., Havlicek T. D., 2003. Assessing future ecosystem services a case study of

the Northern Highlands Lake District, Wisconsin. Conservation Ecol. 7, 1-24.

Raudsepp-Hearne, C., Peterson, G., Tengö, M., Bennett, E., Holland, T., Benessaiah, K.,

MacDonald, G., Pfeifer, L., 2010. Untangling the Environmentalist's Paradox: Why is

Human Well-Being Increasing as Ecosystem Services Degrade? Biosci. 60, 576-589

24

491

492

493

494

495

496

497

498

499

500

501

502

503

504

505

506

507

508

509

510

511

512

513

Rodriguez, J. P., T. D. Beard, E. M. Bennett, G. S. Cumming, S. J. Cork, J. Agard, A. P. Dobson,

and G. D. Peterson. 2006. Trade-offs across space, time, and ecosystem services. Ecol.

Soc. 11.

Rounsevell, M.D.A., Dawson, T.P., Harrison, P.A., 2010. A conceptual framework to assess the

effects of environmental change on ecosystem services. Biodivers Conserv 19, 2823-

2842.

Sahu, M. Gu, R., 2009. Modeling the effects of riparian buffer zone and contour strips on stream

water quality. Ecol. Eng. 35, 1167-1177.

Scheffer, M. Carpenter, S., 2003. Catastrophic regime shifts in ecosystems: linking theory to

observation. Trends Ecol. Evol. 18, 648–656.

Summers, J. K., Smith, L. M., Case, J., Linthurst, R. A., 2012. A Review of the Elements of

Human Well-Being with an Emphasis on the Contribution of Ecosystem Services.

AMBIO. Royal Swedish Acad. Sci. 41, 327-340.

Tallis, H., Kareiva, P., Marvier M., Chang, A., 2008. An ecosystem services framework to

support both practical conservation and economic development. Proc. Natl. Acad. of Sci.

USA 105, 9457-9464.

Tallis, H., Polasky, S., 2011. Assessing multiple ecosystem services: an integrated tool for the

real world. In: Daily, G.C., Kareiva, P., Tallis, H. Ricketts, T., Polasky, S., (Eds.)

Natural Capital: Theory and Practice of Mapping Ecosystem Services. Oxford University

Press, Oxford. pp. 34-48.

Tallis, H., Mooney, H., Andelman, S., Balvanera, P., Cramer, W., Karp, D., Polasky, S., Reyers,

B., Ricketts, T., Running, S., Thonicke, K., Tietjen, B., Walz, A., 2012. A Global System

for Monitoring Ecosystem Service Change. Bioscience 62, 977-986.

25

514

515

516

517

518

519

520

521

522

523

524

525

526

527

528

529

530

531

532

533

534

535

536

TEEB. 2010. The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity: Mainstreaming the Economics of

Nature: A Synthesis of the Approach, Conclusions and Recommendations of TEEB.

September, 15, http://www.teebweb.org.

Troy, A. Wilson, M. A., 2006. Mapping ecosystem services: Practical challenges and

opportunities in linking GIS and value transfer. Ecol. Econ. 60, 435-449.

van Oudenhoven, A., Petz, K., Alkemade, R., Hein, L., de Groot, R., 2012. Framework for

systematic indicator selection to assess effects of land management on ecosystem

services. Ecol. Indicators 21, 110-122.

Wallace, K. 2008. Ecosystem services: Multiple classifications or confusion? Biol. Conservation

141, 353-354.

WRI [World Resources Institute]. 2012. Ecosystem Service Indicators Database. Accessed 10

November 2012. http://www.esindicators.org/

26

537

538

539

540

541

542

543

544

545

546

547

548

Table 1

Components of ES

Delivery

ECOSYSTEM SERVICE CATEGORIES

Provisioning Regulating Cultural

ECOSYSTEM

SERVICE CAPACITY:

An ecosystem’s potential

to deliver services based

on biophysical and social

properties and functions1

Biophysical

capacity; feature-

based

(e.g. modeled water

supply)

Biophysical

capacity;

process-based

(e.g. modeled

carbon

sequestration)

Biophysical and social

capacity; feature- and

process-based

(e.g. model potential

to provide experience)

ECOLOGICAL

PRESSURES:

Anthropogenic and

natural stressors that

affect capacity or flow of

benefits; often attributed

to overuse or feedback

from land management

decision to enhance other

service capacities2

Events that reduce

stock and/or

regenerative

capacity (e.g.

overharvest; water

impoundments)

Environmental

disturbances that

increase the amount

of ecological work

required to meet

societal demands

(e.g. pollution,

impervious

surfaces)

Events that reduce

stock, regenerative, or

assimilative capacity

of a system;

commonly related to

overuse

(e.g. soil compaction,

erosion)

ECOSYSTEM

SERVICE DEMAND:

The amount of a service

required or desired by

society3

Amount of service

desired per unit

space and time

multiplied by the

number of potential

Amount of

regulation needed

to meet pre-

determined

Desired total use (if

rival service) or

individual use (if non-

rival)

27

549

users (rival service)

(e.g. liters of water

per person)

condition

(e.g. % nitrogen

reduction; TMDL)

(e.g. total visitor-days

from year prior;

individual visitation

rates)

ECOSYSTEM

SERVICE FLOW: The

actual production or use

of the service;

incorporates biophysical

and beneficiary

components4

Quantity harvested,

consumed, or used;

number of people

served; number of

industries served

Ecological work =

ecological pressures

minus

environmental

quality (same units)

(e.g. nitrogen

inputs-in-stream

load)

Amount of service

used measured in

units of time and/or

space

(e.g. total visitor-days

from current year;

individual visitation

rates)

1Cairns (1997); Chan et al. (2006); (2011); Egoh et al. (2008); Daily et al. (2009); van

Oudenhoven et al. (2012). 2Beier et al. (2008); Rounsevell et al. (2010); van Oudenhoven et al.

(2012). 3McDonald (2009); Nedkov and Burkhard( 2012). 4Beier et al. (2008); Layke (2009); de

Groot et al. (2010); Oudenhoven et al. (2012).

28

Table captions

Table 1: Ecosystem service delivery process comprises four distinct components which differ

among three ecosystem service categories. A general definition and examples are provided for

each category-component combination.

Figure captions.

Fig. 1: The main components of the ecosystem service delivery process (boxes) are

interconnected such that a change in one affects the others (arrows). A wide array of terms has

been used interchangeably throughout the literature. For each main component (box), we cite

authors who have adopted that term and provide alternative terminology cited in the literature.

Ecological pressures (pink box) have a direct effect on the capacity of an ecosystem to provide a

service and can affect the flow of the services (black box). Likewise, societal demand (red box)

can influence ecological pressures and the flow of services from ecosystems to beneficiaries

(purple box) and the needs and preferences of beneficiaries influence societal demand.

Fig. 2: Conceptual models illustrating the effects of land use (middle) and human population

(right) changes on regulating service (RS) capacity, ecological pressures, societal demand for

regulating services, and the flow of services in a watershed in which upstream areas are largely

forested e.g. 80-year rotation timber production) and downstream areas are predominantly

agricultural and rural-suburban development left). The middle panel illustrates how a clear-cut,

for coal extraction or a housing development, in the upper forested area would decrease the

landscape’s water retention capacity, which would increase runoff and ecological pressure on

flood regulation downstream. Similarly, the loss of forested cover would likely decrease the

sediment retention capacity upstream, thereby increasing ecological pressure on sediment

29

550551

552

553

554

555

556

557

558

559

560

561

562

563

564

565

566

567

568

569

570

571

572

regulation in the lower basin. In this case, service flow increases because of the additional work

the ecosystem must perform to maintain desired environmental quality. Service flow can also

increase because of additional beneficiaries. The right panel illustrates how an increase in human

population density downstream would increase the societal demand for the regulating service.

Increases in ecological pressure or societal demand will increase service flow, given that the

system has sufficient capacity to produce the service.

Fig. 3: Conceptual model illustrating water quality regulation. the movement of water across the

landscape (surface and subsurface), and the major components of the ecosystem service delivery

process, including capacity (green boxes), ecological pressures (pink ovals), demand (red

arrows), and service flow (black arrows). Beneficiaries (purple ovals) are shown as the source of

demand and the recipients of regulating service flow. As water is introduced to the ecosystem, by

means of precipitation or upland flow, a series of processes can act to regulate water quality.

High capacity of horizontal and vertical retention reduces the ecological pressures on surface

filtration and deposition.

Fig. 4: The flow of ecosystem services (ES) can vary greatly depending on area of service

production, its natural flow paths, as well as anthropogenic flow corridors. For many freshwater-

related services the flow path is naturally hydrologic where the capacity to produce a service

upstream affects the flow of benefits downstream top). Alternatively, the benefit zone can be

extended by anthropogenic corridors like roads, canals, or exportation bottom).

Fig. 5: Differences in service delivery and the effects of ecological pressure on environmental

quality and ecological work within ecosystems with little to no capacity A) compared to that of a

system with high regulating capacity B). Environmental quality is a function of regulating

30

573

574

575

576

577

578

579

580

581

582

583

584

585

586

587

588

589

590

591

592

593

594

capacity and ecological pressure. In systems with little to no capacity A), environmental quality

is quickly degraded in response to increasing ecological pressure. Systems with higher capacity

can maintain better environmental quality under greater ecological pressure B). Ecological

thresholds are determined by the ecosystem’s capacity to provide a service. Once this threshold

of ecological pressure is exceeded, environmental quality will degrade. The shaded polygon B)

illustrates the amount of ecological work performed i.e. regulating service flow), which

represents the difference between environmental quality and ecological pressure.

31

595

596

597

598

599

600

601