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Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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Page 1: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

Analyst Meeting December 2004Paul CutlerTreasurer

Page 2: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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Cautionary Statements And Risk Factors That May Affect Future Results

Any statements made herein about future operating results or other future events are forward-looking statements under the Safe Harbor Provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from such forward-looking statements. A discussion of factors that could cause actual results or events to vary is contained in the Appendix herein.

Page 3: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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FPL Group

FPL FPL Energy

Two Strong Businesses

1 As of 9/30/042 Year ended 12/31/03

• Largest electric utility in Florida• Vertically integrated, retail rate- regulated utility• 4.2 million customers 1

• $8.3 billion operating revenue 2

• Successful wholesale generator• U.S. market leader in wind-

generation • 10,795 mw in operation 1

• $1.3 billion operating revenue 2

Page 4: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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FPL Group At-A-GlanceRank among U.S. Electric

Utilities(In USD$ millions, except per share amounts)

Recent Stock Price 72.51

Market Capitalization 13,457 7

Enterprise Value 22,731 9

Generating Capacity (mw) 29,600

Utility Customer Accounts (thousands) 4,239

Annualized Dividend per Share 2.72

Current Yield (%) 3.8

Payout Ratio (%) ~ 55

Market data as of 12/10/04.

Page 5: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

Paul Cutler

Treasurer

Kathy Beilhart

Assistant Treasurer

Page 6: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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FPL: A Leading Electric Utility

• Attractive growth• Superior cost performance• Operational excellence• Constructive regulatory

environment• Delivering value to customers

and shareholders

Page 7: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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Florida Ranks 1st in Growthamong Largest States

Growth of Most Populous States

1 Estimated population as of 7/1/03Source: U.S. Census Bureau

State

Population in 20031

(millions)CAGR (%)2000-2003

California 35.5 1.4

Texas 22.1 1.8

New York 19.2 0.3

Florida 17.0 2.0

Illinois 12.7 0.6Pennsylvania 12.4 0.2

Ohio 11.4 0.2

Michigan 10.1 0.4

Georgia 8.7 1.8

New Jersey 8.6 0.8

FPL serves roughlyhalf of the state

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99.4

79.0 75.068.4 68.3

53.0 52.2 52.2 47.8 43.7

FPLTXU

Georg

ia P

ower

ComEd

VEPCO DESCE

APC

PG&E

DetEd

FPL #1 in Total Retail SalesTotal mwh Retail Sales

(millions)

Source: Energy Information Administration, 2003

Page 9: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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FPL: Strong Top-Line Growth

37%

36%

3%19%

3%4%

Other

Industrial

Commercial

Residential

Strong Demand Growth(10 years)

• Customer growth of 2.1% 1

• Underlying usage growth of 1.5% 1

1 From 1993-20032 From 1992-20023 As of 12/31/034 In 2002. Source: EEI Statistics Department

% of Revenues by Customer Class

FPL 3 IndustryAverage 4

56%

42%

3.6%

2.4%

Av

g a

nn

ua

l kW

h

FPL 1 IndustryAverage 2

Page 10: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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FPL: Substantial Regulated Generation Fleet

• 18,837 1 MW of generating capability in Florida

– 1,900 MW to be added in 2005

– 1,100 MW to be added in 2007

• Diverse fuel mix– Evaluating LNG

34%

21%

20%

19%6%

Oil

Natural Gas

Nuclear

Coal

Purchased Power

Energy Sources(based on kWh produced in 2003)

1 As of 09/30/04

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High Plant AvailabilityFossil Nuclear

FPL data as of 2003; industry average data as of 2002

90%85%

FPL IndustryAverage

89% 88%

FPL IndustryAverage

Page 12: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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0.92

2.181.81

5.78

Emission Rates – Leadership Position

0.72

1.28

Nitrogen Oxide and Sulfur Dioxide (lbs/mwh)

Industry Average

FPL

Carbon Dioxide(lbs/kwh)

Industry Average

FPL

2003 projected resultsReflects FPL ownership share only, purchased power not included Electric Utility Industry projected data from DOE's EIA “Annual Energy Outlook 2003” (1/03)

FPL Industry Average

SO2NOx

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1.79 1.78

1.79

1.26

1.00

1.25

1.50

1.75

2.00

93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03

Cen

ts

FPL: Consistent Track Record of Cost Management

O&M per Retail kwh

Industry

FPL

Page 14: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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FPL: Constructive Regulatory Environment

• Florida regulation is structurally sound– appointed commission– pass-through of fuel and purchased power costs

• Commission has a long history of “win-win” regulatory agreements– mid 1990’s: accelerated amortization of regulatory assets and plant– 1999 - 2002: 6% price reduction; revenue sharing introduced; no official

ROE– 2002 - 2005: 7% price reduction; revenue sharing continued; no official ROE

• Current agreement expires Dec 31, 2005– commission has indicated a preference for negotiated solutions– company will be prepared for either negotiated settlement or full rate review

Page 15: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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Current Rate Agreement

• Commenced April 15, 2002; expires December 31, 2005Commenced April 15, 2002; expires December 31, 2005• Incentive-based agreementIncentive-based agreement

– no ROE limitsno ROE limits– shareholders benefit from productivity improvementsshareholders benefit from productivity improvements

• Depreciation expense reduced by $125 million per yearDepreciation expense reduced by $125 million per year• Revenue sharing thresholdsRevenue sharing thresholds

• Commenced April 15, 2002; expires December 31, 2005Commenced April 15, 2002; expires December 31, 2005• Incentive-based agreementIncentive-based agreement

– no ROE limitsno ROE limits– shareholders benefit from productivity improvementsshareholders benefit from productivity improvements

• Depreciation expense reduced by $125 million per yearDepreciation expense reduced by $125 million per year• Revenue sharing thresholdsRevenue sharing thresholds

1 Refund was limited to 71.5% of the revenues from base rate operations exceeding the thresholds (representing the period April 15 through December 31, 2002)

($ Millions) 20021 2003 2004 2005

66 2/3% to customers 3,580 3,680 3,780 3,880

100% to customers 3,740 3,840 3,940 4,040

Page 16: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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Hurricanes Financial Implications

• Restoration costs of approximately $710 million recoverable from the storm reserve

• Storm reserve balance of $349 million• Charges of $361 million in excess of storm

reserve were deferred• Revenue losses of approximately $36

million due to outages in the third quarter

As 09/30/04

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Recovery of Hurricane-related Costs

• Filed with FPSC on 11/04/04 to recover costs

• Recovery via storm restoration surcharge of $2.09/month (1,000 kWh residential bill)

• If approved, surcharge will be spread over two year beginning in 01/01/05

Page 18: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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FPL Value Proposition• Growing demand for electricity in our

service territory• Collaborative and progressive regulatory

environment• Outstanding operating performance• Low environmental risk

•Premier utility franchise•Strong earnings and cash flow potential

Page 19: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

Steve Schauer

Assistant Treasurer

Page 20: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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FPL Energy: A DisciplinedWholesale Generator

• Moderate risk approach– diversified by region, fuel source– well hedged portfolio– emphasis on base-load assets

• Low cost provider– modern, efficient, clean plants– operational excellence

• Industry leader in wind generation

• Conservative, integrated asset optimization function • 10,763 1 net MW

in operation

• presence in 24 states

1 As of 11/30/04

FPL Energy operations

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Northeast

Mid-Atlantic24%

25%

17%

34%

West

Regional Diversity

Wind

Diversified Portfolio at FPL EnergyYear-end 2004 (Projected)

(11,507 1 Net MW in Operation)

Central

Fuel Diversity

Gas57%

24%Other1%

Hydro3% 6%

Oil Nuclear9%

1 As of 11/30/04

Page 22: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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FPL Energy Contract Coverage2005

Asset Class Available

mw 1

% mw under

Contract Wind 2, 3 2,746 100 Contracted 2,170 99 Merchant

NEPOOL 2, 4 2,301 64 ERCOT 4 2,732 69 All other 4 1,275 8

Total portfolio 4 11,224 74

1 Weighted to reflect in-service dates, planned maintenance, and refueling outages at Seabrook2 Reflects Round-the-Clock mw3 Excludes 241 mw of new wind generation announced in October 2004 and 71 mw for plant power uprate at Seabrook in 20054 Reflects on-peak mwAs of 9/30/04

More than 85 percent of expected 2005 gross margin hedged

Page 23: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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Significant Growth Opportunities

• World-leader in wind• 84 net-mw Seabrook uprate• Asset optimization growth across our portfolio• Origination growth• Upside leverage from merchant fleet• Asset acquisition opportunities

Page 24: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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Wind Leadership• Since 2000, FPL Energy has

added an average of 565 mw of wind per year

• Long-term potential average of 200 - 500 mw per year

• $125 - $150/kw of estimated shareholder value creation

• PTC program expiration has resulted in “lumpiness” of investment opportunities

• Approximately 3,000 mw in development pipeline

• PTCs extended through 2005

17%18%

22%

33%

37%

43%

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

98 99 00 01 02 03

mw

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

FPL Energy Total Industry FPL Energy Market Share

Page 25: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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Seabrook Margin Improvement Potential

• Seabrook capacity is 1,024 net-mw• 84 net-mw uprate planned

– 71 net-mw in Spring 2005

– 13 net-mw in Fall 2006

• Future output being hedged at prices higher than realized today

• 60% of capacity is already hedged for 2007

Roughly $85 million in incremental net contribution margin expected by 2007 from uprate and better pricing

Page 26: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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FPL Energy Business Strategies• Maximize value of current portfolio

– cost control– operational reliability– risk management– asset optimization

• Expand market-leading wind position– new development– support policy trends– acquisitions– explore international

• Build portfolio incrementally and selectively– nuclear– fossil (includes QF partners)– criteria: accretive, strategically attractive and financeable

Page 27: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

Paul Cutler

Treasurer

Page 28: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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Liquidity Resources($ millions)

Revolvers 3 Year1 5 Year2 Total

Florida Power & Light Company

$500 $1,000 $1,500

FPL Group Capital $1,000 $1,000 $2,000

Total $1,500 $2,000 $3,500

1 Oct. 2006 maturity, executed Oct. 2003 2 Oct. 2009 maturity, executed Oct. 2004

• FPL lead arrangers – J.P. Morgan & Wachovia• FPL Group Capital lead arrangers – Citibank

& Bank of America

Page 29: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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Credit Profile: FPL Group Credit Remains Strong

S&P Moody’s Fitch

FPL Group, Inc. Issuer A/Negative - A/Stable

FP&L First Mortgage Bonds

A/Negative Aa3/Stable AA-/Stable

FPL Group Capital Senior Unsecured

A-/ Negative A2/ Negative A/Stable

Page 30: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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Outlook for 2004

• FPL– Expect earnings contribution of $4.10 to $4.15 per share

assuming normal weather ($4.25 to $4.30 prior to hurricanes’ impact)

• FPL Energy– Expect earnings contribution of $1.15 to $1.25 per share

• Corporate and Other– Modestly dilutive results at FPL FiberNet– Higher interest expense– Net drag of $0.35 to $0.40 per share

EPS of $4.90 to $5.00 1

1 Excluding the cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards as well as the mark-to-market effect of non-qualifying hedges neither of which can be determined at this time. Including the impact of hurricanes Charley, Frances, and Jeanne.

Page 31: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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Outlook for 2005

• FPL– Expect earnings contribution of $3.95 to $4.10 1 per share

assuming normal weather

• FPL Energy– Expect earnings contribution of $1.30 to $1.45 1 per share

• Corporate and Other– Modestly negative results at FPL FiberNet– Higher interest expense– Net drag of $0.30 to $0.35 1 per share

EPS of $5.00 to $5.20 1, 2

1 Estimates include share dilution of 3-4% 2 Excluding the cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards as well as the mark-to-market effect of

non-qualifying hedges neither of which can be determined at this time

Page 32: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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Strong, Tangible Growth Prospects

• Customer and usage growth at FPL• Growing wind business• Seabrook Station improvements• Contract restructurings• Asset acquisitions• Upside leverage on merchant fossil fleet• Acquisitions of regulated distribution

companies and/or regulated integrated utilities• Gas infrastructure / LNG

Page 33: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer
Page 34: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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Cautionary Statements And Risk Factors That May Affect Future Results

In connection with the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (Reform Act), FPL Group, Inc. (FPL Group) and Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) are hereby filing cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause FPL Group's or FPL's actual results to differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements (as such term is defined in the Reform Act) made by or on behalf of FPL Group and FPL in this presentation, in response to questions or otherwise.  Any statements that express, or involve discussions as to expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but not always, through the use of words or phrases such as will likely result, are expected to, will continue, is anticipated, believe, could, estimated, may, plan, potential, projection, target, outlook) are not statements of historical facts and may be forward-looking. Forward-looking statements involve estimates, assumptions and uncertainties.  Accordingly, any such statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to, and are accompanied by, the following important factors (in addition to any assumptions and other factors referred to specifically in connection with such forward-looking statements) that could cause FPL Group's or FPL's actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of FPL Group and FPL.

Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made, and FPL Group and FPL undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which such statement is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.  New factors emerge from time to time and it is not possible for management to predict all of such factors, nor can it assess the impact of each such factor on the business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement.

The following are some important factors that could have a significant impact on FPL Group's and FPL's operations and financial results, and could cause FPL Group's and FPL's actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking statements:

FPL Group and FPL are subject to changes in laws or regulations, including the Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act of 1978, as amended (PURPA), and the Public Utility Holding Company Act of 1935, as amended (Holding Company Act), changing governmental policies and regulatory actions, including those of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), the Florida Public Service Commission (FPSC) and the utility commissions of other states in which FPL Group has operations, and the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), with respect to, among other things, allowed rates of return, industry and rate structure, operation of nuclear power facilities, operation and construction of plant facilities, operation and construction of transmission facilities, acquisition, disposal, depreciation and amortization of assets and facilities, recovery of fuel and purchased power costs, decommissioning costs, return on common equity and equity ratio limits, and present or prospective wholesale and retail competition (including but not limited to retail wheeling and transmission costs).  The FPSC has the authority to disallow recovery by FPL of costs that it considers excessive or imprudently incurred.

The regulatory process generally restricts FPL's ability to grow earnings and does not provide any assurance as to achievement of earnings levels.

FPL Group and FPL are subject to extensive federal, state and local environmental statutes, rules and regulations relating to air quality, water quality, waste management, wildlife mortality, natural resources and health and safety that could, among other things, restrict or limit the output of certain facilities or the use of certain fuels required for the production of electricity and/or increase costs.  There are significant capital, operating and other costs associated with compliance with these environmental statutes, rules and regulations, and those costs could be even more significant in the future.

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FPL Group and FPL operate in a changing market environment influenced by various legislative and regulatory initiatives regarding deregulation, regulation or restructuring of the energy industry, including deregulation of the production and sale of electricity.  FPL Group and its subsidiaries will need to adapt to these changes and may face increasing competitive pressure.

FPL Group's and FPL's results of operations could be affected by FPL's ability to renegotiate franchise agreements with municipalities and counties in Florida.

The operation of power generation facilities involves many risks, including start up risks, breakdown or failure of equipment, transmission lines or pipelines, use of new technology, the dependence on a specific fuel source or the impact of unusual or adverse weather conditions (including natural disasters such as hurricanes), as well as the risk of performance below expected or contracted levels of output or efficiency.  This could result in lost revenues and/or increased expenses. Insurance, warranties or performance guarantees may not cover any or all of the lost revenues or increased expenses, including the cost of replacement power. In addition to these risks, FPL Group's and FPL's nuclear units face certain risks that are unique to the nuclear industry including the ability to store and/or dispose of spent nuclear fuel, as well as additional regulatory actions up to and including shutdown of the units stemming from public safety concerns, whether at FPL Group's and FPL's plants, or at the plants of other nuclear operators.  Breakdown or failure of an FPL Energy, LLC (FPL Energy) operating facility may prevent the facility from performing under applicable power sales agreements which, in certain situations, could result in termination of the agreement or incurring a liability for liquidated damages.

FPL Group's and FPL's ability to successfully and timely complete their power generation facilities currently under construction, those projects yet to begin construction or capital improvements to existing facilities is contingent upon many variables and subject to substantial risks.  Should any such efforts be unsuccessful, FPL Group and FPL could be subject to additional costs, termination payments under committed contracts, and/or the write-off of their investment in the project or improvement.

FPL Group and FPL use derivative instruments, such as swaps, options, futures and forwards to manage their commodity and financial market risks, and to a lesser extent, engage in limited trading activities.  FPL Group could recognize financial losses as a result of volatility in the market values of these contracts, or if a counterparty fails to perform.  In the absence of actively quoted market prices and pricing information from external sources, the valuation of these derivative instruments involves management's judgment or use of estimates.  As a result, changes in the underlying assumptions or use of alternative valuation methods could affect the reported fair value of these contracts.  In addition, FPL's use of such instruments could be subject to prudency challenges and if found imprudent, cost recovery could be disallowed by the FPSC.

There are other risks associated with FPL Group's non-rate regulated businesses, particularly FPL Energy.  In addition to risks discussed elsewhere, risk factors specifically affecting FPL Energy's success in competitive wholesale markets include the ability to efficiently develop and operate generating assets, the successful and timely completion of project restructuring activities, maintenance of the qualifying facility status of certain projects, the price and supply of fuel, transmission constraints, competition from new sources of generation, excess generation capacity and demand for power.  There can be significant volatility in market prices for fuel and electricity, and there are other financial, counterparty and market risks that are beyond the control of FPL Energy.  FPL Energy's inability or failure to effectively hedge its assets or positions against changes in commodity prices, interest rates, counterparty credit risk or other risk measures could significantly impair FPL Group's future financial results.  In keeping with industry trends, a portion of FPL Energy's power generation facilities operate wholly or partially without long-term power purchase agreements.  As a result, power from these facilities is sold on the spot market or on a short-term contractual basis, which may affect the volatility of FPL Group's financial results.  In addition, FPL Energy's business depends upon transmission facilities owned and operated by others; if transmission is disrupted or capacity is inadequate or unavailable, FPL Energy's ability to sell and deliver its wholesale power may be limited.

Page 36: Analyst Meeting December 2004 Paul Cutler Treasurer

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FPL Group is likely to encounter significant competition for acquisition opportunities that may become available as a result of the consolidation of the power industry.  In addition, FPL Group may be unable to identify attractive acquisition opportunities at favorable prices and to successfully and timely complete and integrate them.

FPL Group and FPL rely on access to capital markets as a significant source of liquidity for capital requirements not satisfied by operating cash flows.  The inability of FPL Group and FPL to maintain their current credit ratings could affect their ability to raise capital on favorable terms, particularly during times of uncertainty in the capital markets, which, in turn, could impact FPL Group's and FPL's ability to grow their businesses and would likely increase interest costs.

FPL Group's and FPL's results of operations can be affected by changes in the weather.  Weather conditions directly influence the demand for electricity and natural gas and affect the price of energy commodities, and can affect the production of electricity at wind and hydro-powered facilities.  In addition, severe weather can be destructive, causing outages and/or property damage, which could require additional costs to be incurred.

FPL Group and FPL are subject to costs and other effects of legal and administrative proceedings, settlements, investigations and claims, as well as the effect of new, or changes in, tax laws, rates or policies, rates of inflation, accounting standards, securities laws or corporate governance requirements.

FPL Group and FPL are subject to direct and indirect effects of terrorist threats and activities.  Generation and transmission facilities, in general, have been identified as potential targets.  The effects of terrorist threats and activities include, among other things, terrorist actions or responses to such actions or threats, the inability to generate, purchase or transmit power, the risk of a significant slowdown in growth or a decline in the U.S. economy, delay in economic recovery in the United States, and the increased cost and adequacy of security and insurance.

FPL Group's and FPL's ability to obtain insurance, and the cost of and coverage provided by such insurance, could be affected by national events as well as company-specific events.

FPL Group and FPL are subject to employee workforce factors, including loss or retirement of key executives, availability of qualified personnel, collective bargaining agreements with union employees or work stoppage.

The issues and associated risks and uncertainties described above are not the only ones FPL Group and FPL may face.  Additional issues may arise or become material as the energy industry evolves.  The risks and uncertainties associated with these additional issues could impair FPL Group's and FPL's businesses in the future.