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8/6/2019 Analyst Call - Feb 2011
1/28
1
Jubilant FoodWorks Limited
Q3&9MFY2011Investors/AnalystsConferenceCallFebruary8,2011
UrvashiButani:Thankyou.Goodevening ladiesandgentleman.WelcometoJubilantFoodworks Conference Call for Investors and Analysts. The call has been hosted to
discuss to the financial performance and share operating highlights for the quarter
endedDecember 31 2010. I havewithme on this call todayMr.Ajay Kaul, CEO of
Jubilant FoodWorks and Mr. Ravi Gupta, CFO. We will commence the call with
comments fromMr.AjayKaul followedbyMr.RaviGuptaandpost thatwe should
openthefloorforQ&Asessionwherethemanagementwillbeverygladtorespondto
anyqueriesyoumayhave. Iwouldalso liketomentionthatcertainstatementsmade
wouldbeforwardlooking innatureandtheactualresultsmayvarysignificantlyfrom
thesestatementsandthecompanydoesnotoffertoupdatethesepubliclytoreflect
thechangesinperformance.AdetailedstatementinthisregardisalsoavailableinJFL
Q3 FY11 Release,which is available on the companys website under the investors
section.IwouldknowliketoinviteMr.AjayKaultocommencebysharinghisviewson
theperformanceforQ3and9MFY2011. Overtoyousir.
AjayKaul:Thankyou,averywarmwelcometoeveryonejoiningusthisafternoon.ThequarterhasbeenyetagainanexcitingoneforJFLanditisclearthatthestrategyand
ideologiesputinplaceovertheyearscontinuetogaintraction.Wearepleasedwith
ourresultsforthethirdquarterofthefiscal.Clearlythemomentumthatwehadseen
inthefirsthalfofthisyearhascontinuedforJFLeveninthethirdquarter.Movingon
tothefinancialhighlightsforthethirdquarterandalsofortheninemonthending31
December,2010.
OurbusinesscontinuedtobuildmomentumwithTotalIncomeofRs.1857.1millionin
the quarter, up 58.2% yearonyear. Our Net Profit for the quarter was Rs. 189.6
millionup66.7%ascomparedtoRs.113.7million inQ3FY2010.Fortheninemonth
period, JFLsTotal Income stoodatRs.4846.4million.Thecorrespondingnetprofit
stoodatRs.526.7millionupby133.4%overthesameperiodlastyear.
It'sbeenasuccessfulquarterandtherereallyisalottobeexcitedabout.Webelieve
we have built an authentic brand which provides great value and consequently
customersatisfaction.Thisquarterwaspartofmanyfestivitiesaswellastheendof
the year celebration, which was also one of the factors behind our higher sales.
Besides this, we remained focused on our key initiative which is to expand our
presence inexistingandnewcities. WehaveduringQ3FY2011continuedthisdrive
onanationalbasiswithcommitmentonenhancingpenetration levels in tier II& IIIcities.Todayourstoresarespreadacross87cities in India.Today therearetotalof
364stores includingtwosubfranchisedstores inoperation.Thisquarterwesetout
our footprints for the first time in several new cities such as Patna, Bhubaneswar,
B - 214, Phase II, District Gautam Budh Nagar, Noida - 201 305, Uttar Pradesh, India
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Bhopal,Howrah,Salem,Saharanpur,ZirakpurandBilaspur.Whenwelookatthesales
figuresofthesetowns,weareextremelyexcitedwiththepositiveresponsewehave
received.Everywherewegotheresponsehasbeenveryheartening;thereissomuch
pentup demand for the products offer and plus our consistent communication
through
national
media
has
created
a
strong
affinity
for
the
Dominos
brand.
We
are
no longersurprised toseehardcorepizzaenthusiasts in these towns,whicharenot
behind at all,when it comes to consumption. This is very encouraging for us as a
companyas itreinforcesthesuccessandthebondweareabletoestablishwithour
consumersacrossthecountry.
Forusinnovationandqualityformtheessenceofourproductsandtheirsuccess.This
iswhat keeps rolling.During thequarter,we saw the introduction of thedelicious
DoubleBurstPizza,whichisourefforttocreateanewexperienceforourcustomers.
We have received positive feedback and this encourages us to further strive for
innovation. Besides this,we also continue to receive appreciation for our previous
launchessuchasPastaItalianoandMexicanWrap.
Movingahead,thefoodindustryandthepizzaspaceinspecificcontinuetooffergreat
opportunitiesforustoprogressand increaseourfootholdacrossthecountry.There
continuestobeamajorshift in foodhabits inmetropolitancities,whichwebelieve
bringsgrowthintheQSRspace.Factorssuchasriseindualincomelevelandstandard
oflivingandconveniencecontinuetodrivethegrowthintheQSRspace.
We believe that JFL is well positioned to capitalize on such opportunities in the
industry. We have all the right ingredients to scale up our model in my belief.
Moreover,
we
do
realize
that
in
such
a
dynamic
market,
we
need
to
constantly
keep
ourselvesabreastwith theneedsof thecustomerspalate.Whileat thesame time,
makeemployeeempowermentakeyresultarea.Wehavealwaysbeenaheadofthe
curvewithrespecttoindustrylearning,consumerengagement,tasteandinnovation.
Weviewitimperativetoconsistentlyinvestinourbrandstodrivegrowthinorderto
furtherscaleourbusiness.
Withthisinmind,wehopetocontinuetoimproveouroperationalperformanceand
expecthealthyrevenuegrowthandexpansionasanaturaloutcome.Thisbringsmeto
theendofmyremarks.IwouldnotliketohandovertoMr.RaviGupta,ourCFOwho
willtakeyouthroughourfinancialperformanceingreaterdetail.Thankyou.
RaviGupta ThankyouAjay,awarmwelcometoallonceagain.IshallbrieflyprovideyouwithanoverviewofourCompanysperformanceforthequarterandninemonths
ended31December,2010.
Wearedelightedtoshareasolidsetofnumberswithyouthisevening.InQ3FY2011,
ourTotalIncomewasRs.1857.1millionwitharobustgrowthof58.2%overthethird
8/6/2019 Analyst Call - Feb 2011
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quarter last year. Growth is our sales is primarily related to the increase in our
networkofstorestoatotalof364storeswhichincludes2franchisedstoresandalso
theadditionofthenewvariantssuchastheDoubleBurstPizzatoourmenu.
OursamestoresalesgrowthforQ3FY2011wasat35.7%ascomparedto23.1%inQ3
2010 and this growth is attributable to enhanced penetration together with an
increaseinnumberofordersreceived.
Moving ahead, with respect to profitability during the quarter, our EBITDA was
reportedatRs.322.5millioncompared toRs.197.2million in the sameperiod last
year.WhileourEBITDAmarginswereat17.4%ascomparedto16.8% inQ3FY2010.
Wearepleasedtonotethatourprincipledapproachrightfromthestartistranslating
intosuchexcellentnumbers.
Webelieve inpressingahead systematicallywithutmost importance toour criteria
suchasquality,value,andinnovationforourcustomers.
ForFY2011,wehadsetatargetofopening70storesofwhichwehavesuccessfully
launched and inaugurated 58 stores, across the country. This quarter, we set our
footprints in8cities inthisquarter,18cities in9M,andtoday,wehavepresence in
totalof87cities.
Giventhepaceofourbusinessexpansion,wemaintainourcommitmenttoimplement
an efficient expense management system at every level. While we are optimistic
about our growth and that of the industry,we certainly do not discount the risks
intrinsictoourbusiness.Aspartofthefoodindustry,JFLisconstantlyfacedwiththe
concernofthe inflation,whichcanputpressureonourmargins.However,ourscale
and prudent measures of cost containment, which we religiously apply at every
functional levelthathavehelpedusgeneratehealthyearnings inascenarioofrising
costs.
Another important area that helps us curb our exposure to inflation is an efficient
logistics system operating at JFL. Our robust supply chain, follows a policy of
centralized sourcing from an optimal number of vendors, warehousing and
distribution, this further facilitatescostefficiencies.Further,wecontinue innovating
andworkingonnewingredients,newrecipes,andmoreefficientprocessestoensure
thatweareable to reduce cost.We alsowork closelywithour vendorsand share
knowledgetohelpthemimprovetheirproductivityandreducecost.Suchfocusonthe
logisticshelpsJFLattainconsistentquality,getbetterpricesfromvendorsandensure
timebounddeliveryofarticlestothestore.Insuchamanner,weareabletoalignour
coststotheincreasingsaleswitnessed.
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Movingon,our interestcost inthequarterstoodatRs.0.14millionascomparedto
Rs.20.8millioninQ3FY2010.Thereasonforsuchadeclineisprimarilytherepayment
oftermloansinthepreviousquartersinthisyear.
Finally, our PAT of the quarterwitnessed a robust increase of 66.7% to Rs. 189.6
millionascomparedtoRs.113.7millioninQ3FY2010.Thisisagainrelatedtooursolid
performanceattheoperatinglevel.
Now coming to our performance for the nine month duration. JFLs Total Income
stoodatRs.4846.4millionregisteringagrowthof61.5%ascomparedto9MFY2010.
Ourexpansionduringninemonthperiodhasbeenincreasingatasteadypaceandasa
result,wetodayhave364DominosPizzastoresoperatingatthenational level.We
arealsointroducedsomeofthenewproductsinthisperiod.Westartedtheyearwith
thesuccessful launchandpositiveacceptanceofWheatThinCrustPizza.Bypopular
demand,werelaunchedPizzaMania,whichcontinuestobetrulylikedbycustomers.
InJulythisyear,introducedPastaItalianoandMexicanWrap,addingmorevarietyand
choicetoourexistingmenuandthusgivingmorereasonstoourconsumerstoorder
from Dominos Pizza. This quarter we also introduced the Double Burst Pizza, an
indulgentanddeliciouspizzafortheconnoisseur,whichagainhasbeenwellaccepted
byourcustomers.
OurEBITDA for9MFY2011wasRs.871.2millioncomparedwithRs.471.4million in
thecorrespondingperiodlastyear.TheEBITDAmarginsstoodat18%ascomparedto
15.7%9MFY2010.Lastly,JFLsPATfortheninemonthperiodwasatRs.526.7million
witnessingagrowthof133.4%ascomparedtoPATofRs.225.7millionin9MFY2010.
ThecorrespondingPATmarginswereat10.9%and7.5%respectively.
DominosPizzaIndiaisveryseriousaboutdeliveringqualityproducttoourconsumers
andqualityperformancetoallourstakeholders.Ourrealgrowthdriverisourfocuson
our core consumers. This keeps us pointed in the right direction. We have quite
amicablymanagedthefoodpriceinflation,launchednewcampaignsandproductsand
havedeliveredgrowth.TheopportunitiesforQSRaregrowingandwebelieveweare
a player that can move cleverly in this crowded market place first to reap rich
performancedividend.
Insummary,weare lookingforwardtoendtheyearwithapositivenoteandexpect
continued accelerations in our overall growth aswell asmarket share.With this I
wouldliketoconcludemyopeningremarksandwouldliketorequestthemoderator
toopen thecall forQ&A. Ajayand Iwillbehappy toaddressanyqueries thatyou
have.
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Moderator Thank you verymuch sir.Our firstquestion is from the lineofPriteshCheddafromEmkayGlobal.Pleasegoahead.
Pritesh Chedda: We have seen for the quarter that the cost of goods sold as apercentageofsaleshasincreasedandthegrossmarginhastakenabitofhit,(a)What
is the year to date cost inflation that we are seeing in the business and
correspondingly,whatarethepriceincreasesthatwehaveimplemented?
RaviGupta: Pritesh,thepriceincreasesthatwehavetakenareconsistent.Moreovertheprice increasedecisionsarenormallytakenabout23months inadvanceforthe
particular timewhenwewant to implement it. So typically, likeprice increasewas
2%2.5% twice inayearand thatswhatwehavedoneso far in thisyear.However
foodinflationisslightlyhigherthanthatoneandthishasslightlyimpactedourmargin
forthisquarter.Wecouldnot increaseourpriceshigherthanwhatwenormallydo,
becausethepriceincreasedecisionsarenormallytaken23monthsinadvance.Soit
takesaboutaquarterortwoforallthistoadjust.
Pritesh Chedda: So at this juncture, the price increase is not equal to thecorrespondingmaterialpriceincreasethatweareseeinginthesystem.
Ajay Kaul: Absolutely, if I mayjust add to that, inflationary pressures have beenpresent in thepast aswell; it isnot somethingwhich isnew.However, in the last
couple ofmonths, Imust admit, that the pressure is coming particularly fromone
ingredientwhich ismilk leading tocheese,which isobviouslyourbreadandbutter,
thatsourcoreingredientandisputtingabitmorepressure. Iamsure,youmusthave
readarticlesaboutit.Havingsaidthat,Imustalsosayonethingthatbeingthefastest
growingbrandinthecountry,therebyourrequirementsbeingmorethanlotofpeople
put together, in allmodesty, I am saying this,we are able towork alongwithour
businesspartnerstoeitherhelpthemgeteconomiesofscaleor inadvancetheyare
ableto invest infurthercapacitiesandmanufacturingthattheyareabletobringthe
unitcostdown.Sodespitewhateveryoumaybereadingthatthereis15%16%kindof
inflationinthemarket,itisfarlowerthanthatforJFLsofar.SoIamjusttryingtogive
you some comforton that the fact that it isnot that ashigh aswhat youmay be
reading inthenewspapers, infact it is far, far lower.Buthavingsaid that, firstlyour
intention is never to pass on huge increases to the customer despite whatever
pressures, so twiceayear,2%2.5%webelieve isgoodenough for theelasticity to
existwherecustomersdontfeelthepinch.Inthisparticularinstance,withinthelast
couple ofmonths inNovemberDecember, the increase in inflation has been a bit
morewhichisreflectedinourCOGSorcallitrawmaterialcost.
PriteshChedda:Okay,soifIjusttakecuefromwhatyousaidcurrentlyandmostlikelythattheyeartodatepriceincreasethatwemusthavetakenshouldbeabout4%5%.
8/6/2019 Analyst Call - Feb 2011
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RaviGupta: Thisyearwehavetaken4%5%priceincrease.Pritesh Chedda: Secondly on the employee cost side, any significant action takenthere. I know quarter three generally is a high employee cost typically because of
beingamuch largerseasonandabetterseason foryou,versusotherquarters,but
otherthanthatifthereisanyinputontheemployeecostside.
RaviGupta: Pritesh, if you recall in the last concall, we had discussed that inSeptember,which is at the end ofQ2,we had increased the salaries of the team
membersatthestorelevel.Andatthatpoint,Ihaddiscussedthatthiswillimpactthe
wholeofthenextquarter.SoithasimpactedonlyonemonthinQ2andallthethree
months inQ3. There isno further increasewhichhashappenedspecifically for the
team members level in this quarter. Although, we have put our new scheme of
incentive for the next level to the store managers, which is a level below store
managers we call it Shift Manager. So that is a new development which has
happened,butthegoodimpactisfortheincreasewhichwehavedoneinSeptember.
PriteshChedda:Okay.But thesearequarterly incentivesor theseare actual salaryincreasestakenwherebythebaseforthenextyearthenhastobeconsidered?
RaviGupta:Theseareperformancedriven incentiveswhicharegiven fromOctoberonwards.
PriteshChedda:Okay.Onlyforthatquarter?RaviGupta: No,IsayQ3onwards.PriteshChedda: Okay,it'songoing.AjayKaul:Seejust tokindofhighlightone thingagainherePritesh foreverybodysbenefit. One, our own requirement of people at all levels is far, far higher than
anybodyinindustry.Secondly,havingcreated,inallmodestyagain,afairlysuccessful
food brand,we become almost a pot of good people,which is easily available for
otherstokindofgofor.Wearenotasmuchfussedaboutthesecondpart,because
wehaveenoughexitbarrierswhichwecreateforourpeople intermsofculture, in
termsoftheenvironmentwegivethem.Youareawarethatwehaveoneofthebest
employersinthecountry. Butthisisbeingdonetomakesurethatwearedeveloping
goodmanagersforourfutures,sothatprogressivelyaswe increasesimilarnumbers
ofstoresinfuture,wehavestaffwhohavebeenwithusforsometime,whoknowthe
DominoswayofworkingorusedtotheDominoscultureandarejustreadythento
take charge of these stores. So for your information, this incentiveplan is actually
unique,becausenobodyelseatthat level inour industryoffersan incentiveplan.A
8/6/2019 Analyst Call - Feb 2011
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variable incentiveplanwhich isEBITDA led,which isdrivenbytheEBITDAgenerated
bythestores.
PriteshChedda:Yourexpansion inthesenewercities,just ifyoucouldhighlightMr.Kaul,generally these cities,what is theupper limit foropeningpizza stores,maybe
DominosormaybePizzaHutdoingof it, sogenerally thesecities canabsorbwhat
countofstoresifitispossibleto?
AjayKaul:See itdepends fromcitytocity, if I lookatquarterthreealone,wehaveopened8newcitiesfromPatnaandBhubaneswarandBhopalwhichare likealmost
capitalcities,toZirakpurandSaharanpur,whichare intheirownrights,much,much
smallercitiesandsoon.Sothepotentialineachisdifferent,onecan'tputtheminthe
samebucketorcategory.
PriteshChedda: Ifyoucouldtaketwocities,BhopalononeendandZirakpuronotherend.
AjayKaul: I thinkZirakpur inall fairness, is likea suburbofChandigarh, I thinkonegoodstorethatwehaveopenedisgoodenoughfor,Iwouldsaytheforeseeableone
totwoyears.ButBhopalforexample,wealreadyhaveopenedthesecondstorealso
inBhopal.SotherearealreadytwostoresinBhopal.Similarlyifyouaregoingtolook
atBhubaneswarandPatna,theyareclearlyatwotothreestoresmarket,soallthat
huntisalreadyhappening.Soit'samixofthisandthat,butImustalsotellyouthat,
ononesidethereisthepentupdemandandallthosefactorswhichRaviwastalking
aboutearlier,butmorethanthatthepaceofchangeintermsofhabitsisalsopretty
stupendous and as a result what may be relevant or what may be yardstick or
benchmark today,becomesalmost irrelevantayear,yearandahalfor faster than
that from now because there is such an upsurge in terms of consumption and
acceptanceforfastfoodlikeours.
PriteshChedda:SowhenyousayonestoreforZirakpurwith50%marketshare,therecanbeapossibilityofonemorestorefromothercompetitor,ifIjusttakeitforward?
AjayKaul:No,50%marketshare,Inevermentioned,wheredidthatcomefrom.PriteshChedda:No,Iamjustputtinganexample.AjayKaul:ThewayDominosmodelworks,itisdeliverycentric,wegobyhouseholdsin that neighbourhoodwhichwe address and there is a certain numberwhichwe
normally feel should be adequate for it to become sustainable. It is almost
independentofwhatourcompetitionisdoingbecausetheirmodelsarefootfalldriven
andtheircustomerscouldbecomingtothemfromanywhere.
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JaibirSethi: And during say the seasonal peaks for example, what you had seenaroundDecember,doyoubringinalotoftemporarystaffintothestorelevelaswell
oristhatapractice,whichyouavoid?
AjayKaul:Youseeithappens,seeunlikeatapwhichyoucanopenandclosesoeasily,in this case, you have to bring in people, you have to train them and, yes this is
probablytheonlyseasonalityinourbusinesswhereDecembertendstobeadefinitely
higherthanlet'ssayNovemberandtothatextentabitforJanuaryalso.SoDecember
we do tend to rely a bitmore on call it parttimers,wherever they are available,
although it's not so easily available in India, butwe do have part timers.We also
believeonweekendersespeciallytalkingaboutthe25th
Decemberand31stDecember
partoftheyear.Andaswemove into Januaryandsoon, it'ssomeofthesepeople
thatobviouslyarenotapartofthesystemandsoon.
JaibirSethi: Okay,butthat'snotamajorcomponentforyou?AjayKaul:See, it iscomponenttoanextentthat it isa labor lineand it is importantand given the fact that we had increased salaries recently, we constantly watch
productivityinourstores,howourefficiencyandlaborproductivityonlyincreasesand
doesnt go down.Wewatch such aspects very, very closely.We have productivity
models,wehavemanpowermodelsandweareconstantlyworkingonthem.
JaibirSethi: Alright.Thanksalot.Moderator: Thankyou.Ournextquestion is from the lineofAmnishAgarwal from
MotilalOswalSecurities.Pleasegoahead.
Amnish Agarwal: I have a question which is primarily related to our new stores,becausewe have added around 25 stores in the currentquarter. So howmanyof
these storesare in theTier II,Tier IIIcities?Howmanyof these storesareactually
havingsomefinediningassociatedwiththemandhowhasthestoreeconomics,the
storesintheTierII,TierIIIcitiesarepanningoutvisvisthestoreswhichareinthe
metros?
AjayKaul:Speakingspecificallyofquarterthree,wehaveentered8newcitiesinthequarterandthetotalnumberofstores inthese8citiesare9,because inplaces like
Bhopalwehaveopenedmore thanone store.But if Iwere to gobeyond thisand
classifystoresintothetop10citiesandthenthenextsetoftheothercitieswherewe
arealreadypresent,Iwouldhavetotakeaguessrightnow,butprobably50%ofour
storeswouldbecomingfromtheTierII,TierIIIcitiesandtheother50%,asofthumb
ruleingeneralwouldcomefromourtop10cities.
AmnishAgarwal:Okayandthetop10wouldobviouslyincludeallthemajormetros
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AjayKaul: Itwill include rightup toAhmedabadand Hyderabad,Chennai,Kolkata,Bangalore, Mumbai, Delhi of course, Pune, so it would be all these who would
contributetomaybe50%andeverybodyelsewouldcontributeto50%.Igivetakeone
or twopoints; Iam speakingabit frommymemory rightnow.But in the50%and
there
would
be
a
substantial
portion
which
has
this
time
come
from
new
cities
becausethereareasmanyas8newcities.
AmnishAgarwal:Okay.Andoutofthesestores,whichyouhaveopened,howmanyofthemhavefinedining?
AjayKaul:InfactallTierII,Tier IIIcitieshave,Iwouldnotcallitfinedining,becausethatsnotwhatweare in.Wehavecreateddiningenvironmentwhicharegoodand
congenialforconsumingfastfood,whereyoucansitwithyourfamilyandfriendsand
maybechillout tosomeextent.Soagain it'sgoing intermsofnumberofseating is
thatqualifiedmystatement,anythingfrom4060seatinginsuchplaces,becausereal
estateandallthatinsuchplacesdoesnotplaysuchasignificantrole.Ofthesestores
whichhavebeenopened, let's say in the top10 cities, thebigones, inDelhisand
Mumbais,thenumberofcoverswenormallygoforis2025andinotherplacesitcan
gouptoeven3035inplaceslikelet'ssayBangalore,Kolkata,Chennai,andsoon.And
interesting piece is that our delivery business is growing as fast as our dineinbusiness.
AmnishAgarwal:Okay.And ifyouhave to lookat this storeeconomics then thesecities particularly in Tier II, Tier III where we are having some sort of a dinning
environmentbeingprovidedtotheconsumers,sohowdifferentisstoreeconomicsin
these
cities
vis
vis
the
store
which
are
not
having
the
dining
environment
experience?
RaviGupta:Thecriteriaweuseinternallyisthesamecriteriawhichweapplywhetherweopenastore inmetroorweopenstore inTier IIorTier IIIstore.Thecriterion is
that thestoreshouldpayback the investment inthreeyearsor less.As longas the
storepaybackwithin threeyearsor less,wenormallydonotdifferentiatebetween
howmuchbottomlineastoregeneratesordoesntgenerateorthetopline. Togive
anexample,astoremayhaverental4timeshigherthananotherstore, inthatcase,
thefirststorehastogeneraterevenuewhichismuchinexcessthanthesecondstore.
Intermsofpercentageyoumustsayitisstilllower.Butwedontatlookpercentage,
we look at the absolute amount of payback, the absolute amount whether it's
contributing toanextentthatwegetourpayback from thestore in lessthan three
years. Solongthathappens,wearehappyto invest. Andweareprettyhappywith
the performance of the stores in the new cities and they have been meeting our
benchmarks.
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AmnishAgarwal:Okay. Ifwehavetospecifically lookatthestoreswhichhavebeensay opening in the say past twelve months or so, if you look at your aggregated
EBITDAmargin of say around about 18% odd, so are the storeswhich have been
opened in the past 12 months also around the same level or is there a huge
differential
between
the
stores
opened
recently
in
those
opened
2
3
years
back?
RaviGupta Amnish,whathappens is thatwhenanewstore isopened, typically itssalesarelowerthanthesalesofthematuredstores.Thereisnodefinitionofamature
store,;but you can say these are storesopenedmaybe 34 yearsearlier,because
whenastoreisopened,penetrationandfrequencykeeponincreasinginthedelivery
areaandasaresultsaleskeepongrowing.Whensaleskeepongrowing,marginsalso
keeponrising.Sowheneverweopenanewstore,themarginscomparedtotheolder
storesarelower.Andastheymature,theirmarginskeeponincreasing.
AmnishAgarwal:No, toput itdifferently, if Ihave to lookat say the5or10beststoresofyours in thecountry,would theybemaking sayanEBITDAmarginof25%
plus?
RaviGupta:Seewewillstillnot like tocommentspecificallyabouttop10storesorbottom10stores,buttheydefinitelymakehighermarginsthanthebottomstores.
AmnishAgarwal:Okay,thanksalot.Moderator: Thankyou.OurnextquestionisfromthelineofHirenDasaniofGoldmanSachs.Pleasegoahead.
Hiren Dasani: Hi thank you for the opportunity. Just in terms of store opening,consideringthatwealreadyopened58storessofar,arewestillstickingwith70orit
couldbesomewhatbetterthanthat?
AjayKaul:Of theguidancewehadgiven in thebeginningof theyearandwehaveconsistently maintained is 70 stores and we believe we will definitely meet that
number.
HirenDasani:Meetingisobviouslyaveryeasytasknowconsideringthat58isalreadyout.
RaviGupta:Butweneedtoappreciatethatfirsttwoquarters,wecouldopenonly33stores,sowecansayanaverage16stores, it'sverydifficult tosay atthismoment
thatwhetherwecanexceedthetarget,sowewillliketostaywithtargetof70right
now.
HirenDasani:Okay.Andanysenseonthenextyear,woulditbesimilartothisyearaswell?
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AjayKaul:Giventhatoverthelast3yearswehadbeendoing60odd,lastyearwedid65, this year we will definitely end at 70, given this pace and given that at the
consumers sentiment level and the opportunity level, there dont seem to be any
majorchangesornegativeappraisalhappening.Wedobelievethatyoucan logically
extend
the
past,
present,
into
the
future.
HirenDasani:Asfarasthestoreopeningareconcerned?AjayKaul:Yesthestoreopeningpart.Hiren Dasani: Okay. And few data points in terms of what would be number ofemployeesattheendofthequarter?
AjayKaul:Seethenumberwouldbeonhigherside,somebodyrightlytoldusthatinDecemberwehavetobeefupourstaff,Ithinktheexactnumberprobablywouldbein
thevicinityof12,000orso.ButasyoumoveintotheJanuary,thisnumberwouldtend
tofallbecausefortheDecemberduetoactuallywehavebeefupourstorestrength
andeverything.
HirenDasani:Sure,itwas10,750asofSeptemberifIamnotwrongAjayKaul:Right.HirenDasani:Andgrossdebtandcashandcashequivalentattheendofthequarter?RaviGupta:Thedebt isnotthere inbooksatall.Andwehavecash inhandisaboutRs.45croreasofDecemberend.
HirenDasani:AndwhatwouldbetheCapEx fortheninemonths,cumulativelyovertheninemonths?
AjayKaul:AboutRs.55crore.HirenDasani:Andvirtuallyallofthatwouldbeonthestorerelatedonly?RaviGupta:Mostof it is store related, Iwould say,both fornew storesaswellasexisting store. Sincewe are doing 39% same store growth,we need to reinvest inexistingstoresalso,intermsofadditionalequipmentandotherthings.Sowekeepon
reinvestinginexistingstores,somajorityoftheportiongoestothestores.
HirenDasani:Whetheritwouldbeaboutmorethan90%roughly.RaviGupta: Yes close to90% you can say, forbothnew storesaswellasexistingstores.
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HirenDasani:Okay.Andnewwouldbe60%ornewexistingwouldbe6040orwoulditbeequalintermsofnewversusexisting?
RaviGupta:Ballparkyoucansay7030newVsexistingbutitcouldvaryyeartoyear.HirenDasani:Okay,greatthankyou.Moderator:Thankyou.Ournextquestion is from the lineofNatraj fromQuantumMutualFund.Pleasegoahead.
Natraj:How longorhow far can the same store sales keepgoing,andata certainstageyouwilldecide toputanotheroutletnear thesameoutlet, is thathow itwill
work,orhowshouldwereadthelongtermscenarioonthatside?
RaviGupta:Seeperiodicallywekeepondoingthisexercisewhatyoujustmentionedandwedothisnotbecauseofthestorevolumesaregrowing,orsomethinglikethat.
Whathappensis,astorehasadefineddeliveryarea,overaperiodoftimebecauseof
trafficcongestionandotherfactors,ourservicetotheperipheryareasstartssuffering,
andwhentheconsumersstartreceivingtheorderonthe30th
minuteor32nd
minute
ormaybein29minutesandthepizzaisnotveryhot,hedoesntenjoythepizzaandin
amatteroftime,hisfrequencyreduces.Nowwedontwantthatsituationtoarise.So
before that happens we tend to open another store in the vicinity of the store,
althoughthestore isabletodeliverthemwithin30minutesbutstillto improveour
customer satisfaction,wenormallyopenanother store in thevicinity.Andwehave
beendoingthatconsistently.Atanypointoftime, isyouconsiderthe lastcoupleof
years,ateverypointoftimetherewillbeabout30storeswhichwecallsplitstoresat
anypointoftime.
Natraj:Okay.Soatanypointoftimethereinvestmenthastokeephappeningsotheexisting360storesmayentailoverit5yearperiod,youcouldbedoublingwithinthe
samecitiesitself,ifatallthesamestoreskeepgoingatthesamerate.Iamsayingthat
samestoressalescontinuetokeepgoingatthesameleveloratthelowerlevel,inthe
existingcitiesthatyouhavealreadyapresence,thenumberofstoreshavetoincrease
significantly.
Ravi Gupta: See number of stores in the same cities has been growing, we justmentioned earlier in the concall saying that in the top 10 cities alsoweopen the
storesandstillthesamestoresalegrowthisat39%forfirstninemonths,itisafterthe
splittingofthestore,inthesensethatwheneveryouopenastoreinthevicinity,sales
reducesforthestoreafteraccountingforthereductionalsothereisagrowthof39%
inthefirstninemonths.
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Natraj:Okay Iamjustone last sir,youhaveplans to launchanotherbrandof foodchains,anyupdatesonthat.AnyotherbrandifyoulookatbesidesDominos.
AjayKaul:Yes,letmeupdateeverybodyonthat.Comparedtoourlastdiscussionwewhen we had also talked about new brand but being discrete about it;we still
haventreachedastage,althoughImustadmitthatwehaveclearlyprogressedinour
discussion with I would say more than one brand. The idea is not to launch the
multiplebrands,the idea isto launchonebrandbutweare indiscussionwithmore
thanone.AndIwouldreckonthatwehavereachedthestagewhereinthenext4to6
months,weshouldbe inapositiontoannounceandhopefullyalsostarttheactivity
relatedto launchofthebrand.Why itmayhavetakenabit longer is,thatfirstlythe
brands both organizations us as well is them, they need to come close not only
commerciallywhichismostobviousbutevenideologicallyintermsofthewaywelook
at customers, employees and everything thewhole ecosystem and that is taking a
littlebitofatime.But I'mhopefulthat innext4to6monthsweshouldnotbeonly
abletoannouncebutstartfromreallymaterialworkinthisdirection.
Natraj:Thankyou.Moderator: Thank you.Ournextquestion is from the lineofAtulBhole fromTataMutualFund.Pleasegoahead.
AtulBhole:Howmanyemployeesare thereon theadminandbackendandsecondquestion is how do you see the leverage panning out as you grow the number of
storesandstoresmaturefromthesupplychain,backendemployeeside,etc.?
RaviGupta:Seeinthecommissaryandthebackendsoastosaythereareabout700employeesandrestareallrelatedtovariousfrontsinoperations.
AtulBhole: Okayandtherewouldnotbeanygrowthinthatnumberofemployees?RaviGupta:No, that has to grow but that does not grow at same pace as in thegrowthinthebusinessnormally.
AtulBhole:OkayandmyquestionisoverFY09youhaveseensome5%improvementinmarginsandoverFY10some2%to3%.Sohowdoyouseethemarginpanningout
further,next2to5yearsthatperiodnotforthenextquarterorso?
AjayKaul:Wewillnotbeabletocommentintermsofquantifiedprojectiononthose.WhiletheplanfornextyearisunderwayandwearekindoffreezingthatbutwhatI
cansayisthatwehavemoved2% 3%pointsimprovementinlastyearcomparedto
theyearbeforethatandsofarthisyearagainithasbeenaround2%.Webelievethat
therewillbemarginalimprovementsinourmargininoverthenext4to5years.
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Atul Bhole: Okay and you mentioned about maintaining bench strength, so canquantifythat,willthatbe10%to15%oftheemployeesonbenchorlesserthanthat?
AjayKaul:The rateatwhichwearegrowing,wehavenotquantified it in termsofpercentages.Welookatitmoreintermsofwhatourplanareforopeningstoresand
what level of requirement is there because there could be store managers, there
couldbedistrictmanagers,therecouldalsobepeoplewhowetakeasbenchstrength
tofillupthesecondlevelofmanagementwithinthestorewhoareabletopickup&
growas managerstoreaftermaybe1.5to2years.Butclearlywearebringinginour
scienceintothat,wemaynotbeabletoexpressandpercentage.
AtulBhole:Okaythankyou.Moderator: Thank you. A next question is from the line of Krishnendu Saha fromQunatumAMC.Pleasegoahead.
KrishnenduSaha: Ijustwant tounderstandyourbusinessa littlebitbetter,doyoutakepriceriseequallyallthroughoutinthesensePizzaissellingforRs100inbigcityis
itsellingforRs100inTierIIcity?
RaviGupta Allourpricesarealmostuniformacrossthestores.Weprocurecentrallyalltheingredientsatthefourcommissariesandthishappensinthosefourpoints.We
thushavethebenefitfromvolumesleverage,evenforthestoreswhicharemaybein
farflungareas.Thusweareleveragingourvolumeswithourvendorssothatwecan
negotiateabetterrate.Sothatisthereasonfromaconsumerpointofviewwehave
kept
the
same
rates.
Otherwise
somebody
can
argue
the
other
side
saying
that
tier
II,
tier III citiesyou shouldhavea lowprice.One canalsoargue saying thatyouhave
highercostofdeliverythere,youshouldhavehigherprice.Theycanargueeitherway
actually.Butwehavekeptthepricesalmostuniform.
KrishnenduSaha:ReasonI'maskingisifIamlookingatforthepastcoupleofquartersyourcostshavebeenaround24% to25%,26%of thisquarteracceptedbecauseof
inflationwhatsoeverand thepricesare fixed.Where Iam trying tounderstand the
pricesarefixed,isuniformallthroughoutIndia.Sowheredoyougettheleverage,you
gettheleverageinrentalsandotherincomewhichhasbeengoingonconstantlyfrom
11%to8%rightnoworonotherexpenseswhichisgoingdownfrom29%from31%?
I'mjusttryingtofindtheleveragefactorandwhereiswillcomefrom.
RaviGupta: Leveragemaycomefrommostoftheheads,but inshorttermwedon'tforeseealeveragecomingfromrawmaterialsandstaffcosts.Sointheshorttermwe
don'texpectany leveragetocomefromtherebutona longtermbasis leveragecan
comefromtherebecausewekeeponworkingoninnovationinrawmaterials.Asand
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when innovation happens normally we keep that margin with us, although our
endeavour istokeepondelightingtheconsumerssothatoverallfoodcostsremains
around25%range.Butifthereisinnovationwemayhaveamarginallygrowthinthat
case.
KrishnenduSaha:SotheEBITDAlevelsthatcanexpectleverageinthisquarterfromtherentalsandallthoseotherexpenditure?
Ravi Gupta: SG&A will always give you leverage, rentals will always provide youleverage.Wehaveseenthatinthepasttoo,Ithink78quartersresultsareavailable
withyounow,andyoucansee thatconsistently factors like rentalsandother fixed
costscangiveyouleverage.
KrishnenduSaha:ArethosearebasicallySG&A?RaviGupta:Theyarekindoffixedcostsorsomevariablecostsofstoresorcorporate;exclusivelyyoucan'tcallthemSG&A.
Krishnendu Saha:And thenat theEBIT levels thedepreciationkicks in through.AllrightIgetthat,thankyou.
AjayKaul:Thankyou.Moderator: Thank you. Our next question is from line of Subramanyam PS fromSundaramMutualFund. Pleasegoahead.
SubramanyamPS:Thesame storessaleshowmuchwould itbeasapercentageofyourtotalsales?
AjayKaul:Wecan speak in termsofnumberof stores,whenwe started theyear Ithink241storeswerequalifyingforthesamestorecalculation,outofthetotalof306
stores.Sorightnow,aswespeak,wehave241storeswhichfallintothesamestore
category.Thereare65 storeswhicharenot same storebutwhichhadopened last
yearbutwillrunforthefullyearthisyear,buttheyarenotsamestoresandwehave
opened58 freshstores thisyearso far.So thereare threebucketsbasically.So the
numberisvariableatthebeginningoftheyearitprobablywas241by306andbynow
ithasbecome241dividedby364soitisamuchsmallernumber.
SubramanyamPS:Howmuchwouldthese241storesbecontributingintermsofyouroverallsalesofRs.183croreduringthequarter?
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RaviGupta:Approximatelyitwillbeabout75%.Butatthispointinthisit isclosetotheratio,justsay241dividedby339(storeatthebeginningofthequarter)youwill
getsimilarkindofratio,withadifferenceoffewpercentagepointshereandthere.
SubramanyamPS:
But
ideally
this
percentage
should
be
higher
than
the
store?
RaviGupta:Thiswillbehigherdefinitelybutverysignificantly.AjayKaul:Anotherway to lookat it isas thesearepublishednumbers,our systemlevel growth for this quarter is 58% and our same store growth is 35%. So the
differentialobviouslyiscomingfromeverythingelsewhichisnonsamestore.Sothat
mayhelpyoutoalsoarriveatsomenumbersintermsofpercentages.
Subramanyam PS: Okay and of your same stores, what kind of same store salesgrowthwouldyoubeexpecting? Doyou think someof themhavehita saturation
pointandyouneedtoopenupnewstores?
Ajay Kaul: See new stores will keep happening and I do admit that new storessometimes can cannibalize a little bit of sale from the existing stores. But let me
answer thisquestionwithoutactually talkingabout the futureverydirectlybecause
wedonotdothat,ataprinciplelevel.Wedonotgivetheclearguidanceonwhatour
samestoresnumberis. IfItakeyouthatintohistory,thisyearsofarisunprecedented
andImustadmitthat.Asperourforfirstninemonths,samestoregrowthnumberis
ataround38.7%whichisunprecedented,inourhistorywehaveneverdonethat.Last
yearwedid22%samestoregrowthandifIlookattheblockof5yearsbeforethatour
averagedoutsamestoresgrowthwouldbeinthevicinityofaround18%.IfyouweretobackoutonebadyearwhenthedownturnhadhappenedIthinkalmosteveryyear
wehadbeendoingaround18%to20%samestoregrowth.Thisispast.Inthepresent
yearweareclockingataround38%,thisquarterhasbeen35.7%.Icaneasilysaythat
thesenumbersarenotsustainable in futuresuchhighgrowthnumbers35%andall
that.However,wherewilltheygoandgravitatetowards issomethingwhich Iwould
nothazardaguessrightnow.
SubramanyamPS:Anyguidanceonyouroverseasstoresexpansionplans?AjayKaul:YesallIcansayisthatwehadsaidwewouldwanttoenterSriLankaandopenourfirststorethisyear.Ithinkweareoncourseofthat,itmaybeendofMarch
oritwouldbeearlyApril,butweshouldbeabletoopenourfirststoreinSriLankain
thenext2to3months.Ourcommissaryorfactoryisalsounderconstructionthereso
thatwill allhappen simultaneously andwhile thepotentialof Sri Lankadespite an
improvedtouristyclimate,improvedeconomicclimatelooksverypositivebutitisstill
far, far lower thanwhat Indiawould offer or for thatmatter issue as a compared
Colombo toDelhiandsoon.ButnonethelessweareupbeataboutSriLankaand in
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due course our plan for Sri Lankawould also unfold.We are in themidst of also
finalizingourplanfornextyearforSriLanka.
SubramanyamPS:Okaythanksalot.Moderator: Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Umesh Gupta fromRelianceWealth.Pleasegoahead.
UmeshGupta:Youmentionedinthebeginningthatinflationisnotabigriskasfarasyour rawmaterial side isconcerned;youhavebeen fairlyable topasson.And the
secondthingyoumentionedyourMRPsaremoreorlesssameacrossthestoresbeit
TierI,TierII,sofromthedemandsidethisinflationespeciallyinthesmallercitiesthe
waythepricesarerisingnotforthepizzabutfortheotherthings.Sofromthewallet
shareperspectivewhatkindofriskareyouforeseeingoristhereanyriskinyourview
fromthedemandpointofview?
RaviGupta: Consumer is experiencing this inflation across all categories. Income isalsoprobablyrisinghigherthaninflationrightnowbecauseinrealtermstheincomeis
also increasing for theconsumer.Foraconsumer, themoment thedisposal income
rises,thefirstcategorywhichgetsimpactedisalwaysfood.Sohetendstospendmore
on food. Our belief is so long as the income keeps on rising, inflation should not
impacthisspendingonthefood.
UmeshGupta:OnyourEBITDAmargins,Idon'tknowwhetheryousaiditclearlythatyou expect a little growth in EBITDAmargins going forward. Since your tax rate is
goingtoworksignificantlyfromthisyeartonextyear,sountilandunlessthereisnotadramaticimprovementinEBITDAmarginbutyouneedasignificantimprovementin
EBITDAmargintomitigatetheimpactofthetaxrateonthebottomline.Soonecould
saythatsinceyouareearlierinthelossesandtheyhavebeenaccumulatedandnow
sinceyouarecomingintoprofit.Soforthefirstfewyearswhichwehavealreadyseen
inthe lasttwobuttillthetimeyoumove intothefulltaxrateyourmarginsshould
keeponimprovingcontinuouslyatleastmyopinionisabout200300basispointsnext
year foryou tomitigate that risk.Sodoyousee thatscenariogoing forwardornot
thatmuch?
RaviGupta:Asfarasnextyear isconcernedwewillcomewithathoughtprocessattheendoftheyearbecauseweare inthemidstofthepreparingplans forthenext
year.
UmeshGupta:Thatstruebutasfarastaxrate isconcernedyouarefairlyawareofthesame.
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RaviGupta:Lastyearalsowehadasimilarquestionsayingthenextyearyouwillstartpayingtax,yourmarginwillget impactedbutstillweareaheadrightnow.Soatthis
pointof time Iwillnothazardaguess forthenextyearsincewearealready in the
exerciseofbusinessplanningfornextyear.Probablywhenwearethroughwiththat
exercise
we
have
some
better
thoughts
at
that
point
of
time.
UmeshGupta:Okayonyoursamestoregrowthandthesystemwisegrowth.Isthereanysignificantdifferenceintermsoftheveryoldstoresgrowthandthegrowthinthe
maybetheoneyearoldbetweenandthethreeyearoldkindofgrowthnumbers?
RaviGupta:OnlyonethingIcansaythere,thereisnosignificantdifference.Whenwesay39%growthistherefortheninemonths.Definitelytheolderstoresarecoupleof
percentagepoint lowerandthenewerstoresarecoupleofpercentagehigher.But I
willsaythatnosignificantdifferencebetweenthegrowthrate.Theolderstoresare
alsogrowingataveryfantasticrateexceptforcaseswedecidetosplitthem.
UmeshGupta:Okayandoutofthetotalstoreswhatisthebreakupintermsoftop10cities,howmanystoresyouhaveandtheremaining?
RaviGupta:Top10citieswewillhaveabout65%stores.UmeshGupta:Okaythankyou.Moderator: Thankyou.Anextquestion is from the lineofKalpeshMakwana fromQuantCapital. Pleasegoahead.
KalpeshMakwana:WhenweconsiderthestaffcostlastquarterwasaroundRs.32.5crore. Ithas sequentiallygrownbyonly18%. Frankly Iwasexpecting it togrowat
muchhigherrateconsideringtheflightthatyouhadtaken18%to20%wagehike in
thatquarterandadditionallyyouhave increased theworkforcebyaround16% this
quarter.SowasthereanynonrecurringnumberinthelastquarterthatIshouldtake
offtocomeatarecurringnumber?
RaviGupta: Kalpesh only thing that I can add here is increasewas done effectiveSeptember.
KalpeshMakwana:Correctsothatwasforonemonth?RaviGupta: Yesonemonthwasthere inQ2andsoastosayadditionaltwomonthscameinthisquarterincomparison.Andwereportthetotalnumberofemployeesat
theendofthequarter.Sotheymaynotbeemployedforthewholeofthequarter.So
thisDecembermonthisagreatmonthforus.WestartrecruitingbyendofNovember
or so. So that will get tilted in terms of numbers, so exactly working will not be
possibleforyoutoworkoutthingslikethese.
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KalpeshMakwana:Was there any oneoff number in Q2 staff cost which is notrecurring?
RaviGupta:Notatall.KalpeshMakwana:Andoutofthese25newstoresthisquarterhowmanyweredoneinthelastmonthofthequarter?
AjayKaul:ThelastmonthofthequarterwhichmeansDecember?KalpeshMakwana:Yes.RaviGupta: About8to10storeswerethere.Ajay Kaul: Probably around 8 to 10 stores, maybe onethird number would be inDecember.
KalpeshMakwana:Okaythankyou.Moderator: Thankyou.Anextquestion is from the lineofPrachiKodikal fromBayCapital.Pleasegoahead.
Prachi Kodikal: How much of your same store sales growth comes from newproducts?
RaviGupta: Wedon'tdifferentiatebetweenwhichproductsare contributing to thesamestoresgrowth.Whathappens iswekeepaddingnewproductstotheportfolio
andalsodiscontinuingsomeproducts.Becausewehavetokeepourmake linevery
simple,sothat itfacilitatesthe30minutesdelivery.So inordertokeepthatsimple,
wheneverweintroducenewproductsthereisapressureforustotakeouroneofthe
oldproductsfromthekitchen.Sointhatcontext,wedon'tdifferentiatebetweenwhat
isthecontributionofthenewproduct,olderproductbecausethatisourdecision,to
introduceaproductortodiscontinueaproduct.Ihopethatclarifies
Prachi Kodikal: Okay, out of the total 364 stores how many would have dineinfacility?
RaviGupta: AsofnowmaybeasignificantmajorityIcansayhavesomekindofdinein;nowtheextentofdiningcanvaryanditisnotafinediningwhereyoucanhavea
cutleryandallwedon'toffer inacutleryanywhere. It isakindoffunctionaldinein
wherethereisselfservice;peoplehavetotakeandeatoutofthebox.Sosignificant
majorityofthestorestherearesometableandchairsthere,wecallthemcover.
PrachiKodikal:Okaythankyou.
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Moderator: Thankyou.AnextquestionisfromthelineofNishaHarchekarfromWay2wealth.Pleasegoahead.
NishaHarchekar:Whatisyourfranchiseefeeperstore?RaviGupta:Nishawedon'twanttodisclosethatfranchiseefee.YoumeanwhatwerecoverfromthefranchiseeorwhatwepaytotheDomino'sInternational?
NishaHarchekar:WhatyoupaytoDomino'sinternational?RaviGupta: Wepay3%ofallthesalestoDomino'sInternational.NishaHarchekar:Alrightthanks.Moderator:Thankyou.Ournextquestion isfromthe lineofBrijeshVedfromEnamAssetManagement.Pleasegoahead.
BrijeshVed:Iwouldjustliketobroadlyunderstandthemanagementphilosophy;youhavementionedaboutonemorebrandcominginatsomepointintime,probablyin4
to6monthstime.Justwhenyouprobablygetintoabusinesswhichwillbeasimilar
businesslikethiswhereyourequiredtodoalittlebitofinvestment,whatwillbeyour
philosophyoncapitaldilution?Alsotheoverallcapitalemployedinbusinessrightnow
shouldbearoundRs.150to200crore,sowherewouldthatgointermsofwhenyou
aregettingintonextphaseofbusinessgrowth?
AjayKaul:ThecapitalemployedisclosetoaboutRs.150croreorso.Thatiswhathasbeenalreadydeployed inthebusiness.Thephilosophy issimplethathavingcreated
the leveragable strength let us say the Domino's brand under the JFL umbrella of
people,ofsupplychainefficiencies,ofsharedserviceswhichcouldbeintheareasof
legal, finance,HRand soon.Webelieve thatwhatever thenewbrand isand itwill
definitely require some capital expenditure and I do agree there but therewill be
leveragablenoncapitalexpenditure/servicesorcall it leveragablefeatureswhichare
goingtobringinprofitabilityfasterthanwhatprobablywasseenintheDomino'scase
yearsago.SohowitisgoingtounfoldintermsofexactP&Lsandsoonovera5year
period or 10 year period is something which we can't hazard a guess right now
because thebrand isnot finalized.But the intent isobviously all thesebrandsput
together will be delivering enough return on investment, and return on capital
employedandas importantlyEBITDAandPAT, to thebottom lineof the combined
entity.
BrijeshVed:Sure and of course right now you are not leveraged at all and yourbusinessdoesn't requirecapitalas such forgrowth.Butwhatareyour thoughtson
capitaldilutionsincaseifitisrequiredforanextbrandorforfurtherexpansion,what
isthethoughtprocessofthemanagement?
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AjayKaul:IthinkweareopentothatandthereareenoughexamplesevenwithinourownsystemwhereoutsideofIndia,weremultiplebrandswehavebeenbroughtand
theyhavemadeverysuccessfulbusinessesoutofthem.Soweareabsolutelyopento
that.
BrijeshVed:Okay.Thankyou.Moderator: Thank you. A next question is from the line of Sangam Iyer from ALFAccurateAdvisors.Pleasegoahead.
SangamIyer:Wouldyousharetheaveragesqftperstorethatyouhave,isthereanyballparkfigureforthat?
RaviGupta:Actuallywedon'tmeasureandkeeptrackof itbuttypicallywecansayourstoresize isonanaverage1200sq ft.Butwedon't track thisas.This isnotan
insightfulparameterofourbusiness.
SangamIyer:Okayandintermsofotherexpenditurethatweseewhichisaround26%ofthetotalrevenues,couldyougiveabreakupintermsofstoreslevelandcorporate
expenseinthat?
RaviGupta:Our SG&A are spread over across the heads. It is not a part of otherexpensesaloneanditisspreadoverthestaffcostalso,itisspreadovertherentand
otherexpensesalso.
SangamIyer:Sowhatwouldbethebreakupforotherexpenses?RaviGupta:Other expenses consist of our advertising publicity, the franchisee feepayable,powerandfuel,repairandmaintenanceandallsortofothermiscellaneous
expenses.
SangamIyer:Andfinallyonamaturestoreslevelbasis,howshouldonebelookingattheaveragemarginsfortheCompany,woulditbefairtoassumethatonthemature
basisforthelastthreeyears,maturestoresareproducingaround20%kindofEBITDA
levelor22%,ifyoucouldgivesomefigureonthatfront?
Ravi Gupta: Normally we do not share these figures. As the store matures themarginskeepongrowingandwehavenotseeingthegrowthcomingtohaltasofnowinnormal circulstances.When the storesaregrowing rightnowwhenwe saw39%
growthinthefirstninemonths,allcategoriesofstoresaregrowingandwhenstores
keepongrowing themarginskeepon improving.Soverydifficulttopinpointsaying
thatokaythisisapeakpointthestorecanreach.
SangamIyer:Okaythanks.
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Moderator: Thankyou.Thenextquestion isfromthe lineofSumitDusejafromSPASecurities.Pleasegoahead.
SumitDuseja: Canyoupleaseprovidemethebreakupofrevenuesthatcomesfromdeliveryversusfromdiningatthestore,someroughideaonthat?
AjayKaul:I'mafraid,wewillnotbeabletobecausewebelievedeliveryissomethingwhich is a key part of our business which differentiates us. And this is some
information thatwewouldnot like to talkprobablybecause itmaybe giving some
insightstoourcompetitiononwhatweareupto.
RaviGupta:But toaddwhatAjaysaid, ifyou talkabout totalPizzamarketorPizzadeliverymarketwebelieveourshareissomewherebetween67%to70%.Thisisour
ownnumber;youcanchallengethisnumberbycoupleofpercentagepointhereand
there.
Sumit Duseja: So I can take that the significant majority would be coming fromdeliveryasaroughestimate.
AjayKaul:Asaqualitativeanswertothatquestion,theanswertothatquestionisno.Whenyousaidsignificantmajority,theanswertothatquestionwillbeno.
SumitDuseja:Okayfineandhowmanystoresareownedandhowmanyarerental?Ibelievetheymostlyareonrentalbasis.
RaviGupta:Allstoresareon100%rental.SumitDuseja:WhatisthefranchiseeperiodfromDomino'sInternational?RaviGupta:Theperiodof the franchisingwas15years,starting fromApril1st2010andendingonDecember2025. It is renewable furtheratouroption foranother10
yearsafterthat.
SumitDuseja:Okayfine.Moderator:Thankyou.Ournextquestion is from the lineofRajMohanwho isanindividualinvestor.Pleasegoahead.
Raj Mohan: What I was trying to understand was, with the two major costcomponentsofstaffandmaterialsgivingpersistentpressuretoyourfinancials.Doyou
stillfeelyouhavethesameleverstokeeponimprovingyouroperatingmarginswith
your higher scale orhas that dynamic undergone some kindof a changewith this
persistenceofinflationandstaffcost?
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AjayKaul:Staffcostandfoodinflation,aswehavealwaysmaintained,theywillthrowupchallengesforyouandthisisnothingnewinthisquarter,ithasbeenallthrough.
Howdowemanagethem,howdoyoustillmakesurethatwebeingabestemployer,
being the fastestgrowing companywemanagebench strength,we stillhave salary
levels
which
makers
competitive
enough
to
retain
people.
So
it
is
a
part
and
parcel
of
gamesothat isgoingtocontinue, it isnothingnew forus.Food inflation inthe last
coupleofmonthsisprobablyabitmorethanwehaveseeninthepastbutweagain
believewhileourlastresortalwaysistopassonapartofittothecustomertokindof
coverupforit,thatisourlastresort.Byworkingcloselywiththiskindofgrowthrate
of50%to60%alongwithourvendorsandbusinesspartnerswe'reabletodiffuselot
ofthisimpactbecauseofthat.Butthesechallengesarethereandtheywillcontinue.If
youseethelastthreeyearswhiletheoperatingmarginsmayhaveincreasedforother
reasonsalsowehaveincreasedourEBITDAmarginsfrom around12%toaround17%
to18%rightnowandinflationarypressuresaswellas peoplepressurehavebeenkind
ofthereinthelastcoupleofyears.
RajMohan:Iwasessentiallyinsistentonthisquestionbecauseoverthelastcoupleofmonths or 3 months we have been talking in the global arena about inflation
persistingforaseriouslylongerperiodoftime,withfoodshortagesacrosstheglobe,
Australia everywhere andmost of the basic commodity prices showing an upward
trend.SothatiswhyIwasmoreworriedwhetherthatwillhavesomematerialimpact
onalongertermbasis.
AjayKaul:Iwouldreckonno,thepressurewillbethereandwewillhavetoworkwiththesechallengesaroundthat.
RajMohan:Andagainbasedonyourscalebasedmaterialacquisitionandtheiractualsourcinghappeningrightnow,haveyoumovedheadofthepressurecurvebecause
you said you have 2 to 3 months lag before you negotiate prices with material
suppliers.Haveyoucurrentlymovedaheadofthatpressurecurve?
RaviGupta:Normallywhathappens is from the time theprice increasehappensoftheingredients,ittakesthecoupleofmonthsforustopassontotheconsumers,that
is, ifwedecidetopassontotheconsumers. iftheprice increasehappenswemay
absorbitformorethan1or2quartersbeforewepassontotheconsumers.Thatwas
theconceptwehavenormallyuse.
RajMohan:Becauseyoualsomentionedthatyourevisepricesonlytwiceayear?RaviGupta:Typicallyweincreaseonlytwiceayearyouareright.RajMohan:Okaybut then if there isabnormalmaterialcost increase thenyouwillhavetodoyourpriceincreasemorethantwiceayearright?
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RaviGupta:Yes.AjayKaul:Infactthreeyearsbackwedidincreasepricethreetimesinayearandthequantum of increase can also vary. Right now we believe at 2% and 2.5% at the
customerlevelwedonotseeanydropsbecauseofinelasticity.Buttimewillsaywhat
thedecisionwillgettakenatthatparticulartime.
RajMohan:Okaynextforthetopline,thoughtheperformancehasbeenrobustonthe topline front. Do you think the absolute growth numbers are a shade lower
becauseinthesecondquarterofthisfinancialyearyoudidincrementalsalesofabout
Rs.28croreoverthe firstquarterwhile inthisquarteroverthesecondquarteryou
havedoneincrementalsalesofaboutRs.22croreandthisquarterissupposedtobe
thebestquarterintheyearandyouhavealsoaddedarecordnumberofstores.Sois
there isthereadisconnectorhas it largelygottodowithslightly lowersamestores
sales?
AjayKaul:Indeed,thereisacertainbitofseasonality.Soifyouweretocompareonequarterversusanother, thenhewillalsohave togo intotheprevioussalesnumber
andmakesomecomparisonsbuthavingsaidthatthereisonekeythingwhichIwant
toleavewithyou,itwassomewhereinDecemberof2009thenoursamestoressales
startedclimbingfromlessthan20%pointsinto30%plus.Andthenevenwentto40
progressively,soDecember2009andgoingintoFebruary,March,Aprilandallthatup
to2010and then thisyearstartedandwekept seeingsome reallyhigh same store
growth numbers, unprecedented numbers. Aswe hit December of 2010,wewere
comparingDecember 2010withDecemberof 2009whichwas also a 35%of same
store
growth.
So
same
store
growth
in
December
has
clearly
fallen
a
little
bit
comparedtosomeoftheothermonthsandImustsayherethatexpectingsamestore
growthof35%forrestofthisyearwillnotberight.Iwillnotpledgeanumbertothat
butmywordofcautionisthatitwillnotoperateinthe35%to40%zoneforsure.
RaviGupta:ThereasonbeingthatQ4lastyearwas38%samestoregrowth,thebaseisprettyhighfromQ4lastyear.
RajMohan:OkayIwasessentiallywonderingbecauseinthepreviousquarter,whenIsaidpreviousquarter Imeant the secondquarterof this fiscalwherein youhadan
incremental sales of Rs. 28 crore while this quarter December end you had
incrementalsalesofRs/22crore.So Iwaswondering inspiteofwithbeingthebest
quarterwhyfoodintakeexceededRs.28croreincrementally.
RaviGupta:Quartertoquarterwhenwelookatthesamestoregrowthnumbersalso,thefirstquarternumberwas37%,secondquarterwas44%andnowthirdquarter is
36%.So indeed it is8%downthentheQ2andwhenyou lookatquartertoquarter
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growthandnotpreviousyears,Q2washighergrowththanQ3.Sothatmayfluctuate
slightlyhereandthere.
RajMohan:Okaythenyoudidmentionnegotiationswithmorethanonebrandtobeconsummatedwithin6months.Has itgottodowithyoucoveringyourownrisksof
negotiatingsolelywithonebrandandthedealfallingflatorareallthebrandsequally
appealingforyoutostartanegotiatingwiththemrightfromthebeginning?
Ajay Kaul: All the brands, I will not say equally appealing but all of them have adefiniteappealoftheirown.Theycanneverbeequallyappealingandgiventhechoice
wecouldgointoamarriagewithanyoneofthem.Allwe'retryingtocheckoutis,ifwe
havethelibertyofoneagainsttheotherandalsoonthestandalonebasishowmuch
do they gel with the way we have built an infrastructure, our strength and their
strengthwillsoon.Soweareinafairlyadvancedstageofdiscussionwithmorethan
one.
RajMohan:Andisthereapossibilityofconsummatingmorethanone?AjayKaul: Idon't think so. Itwillnotbe right forus toput somuch strainonourbusinessbecausetheleveragablestrengthwhichwehavetalkedaboutinthelasthalf
anhourorso,willgetoverstretchedwhetheritisoursupplychain,system,whetherit
isourpeoplebase,qualitypoolof talent. I think ifwe launch simultaneouslymore
than one brand it will definitely put more strain and that is not advisable most
certainly.
RajMohan:InthepreviouscallyouhavementionedabsorptioncapacityoftheIndianQSRmarket tobeabout1000odd restaurantsor1000outlets.Has thatundergone
some kind of a changewith the rapid urbanization happening in India or has that
figurenotbeenrevisedassuch?
AjayKaul:Nowecan'trecallwhenthisnumberhasbeenquotedbyus.Wasitinthepreviousconferencecallortodaywehavedefinitelynottalkedaboutit.
RajMohan:Nottodaybutpreviously,inoneononeinteractionIhavegatheredthatabout 1000 oddQSR potential lies in India, has thatundergone a changewith the
urbanization issomethingwhich Iwantedtounderstandonthatbroad figurewhich
youwillgobyeventoday?
AjayKaul:Nowe firstlycannotrelatetothatnumberof1000thatwewillsay1000QSR,weprobablycouldhavesaidanumberofDomino'sbecausewhatweoftensayis
thataswespeaktherecanbeasmanyas750Domino'sstoresinIndia.Butwecan't
commentaboutQSRbutIcantellyouonethingwithoutevenbattingmyeyelidsthat
whatevermaybethenumberquotedbyanybody,coupleofyearsbackthepotential
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todaywould have grown significantly. That is the pace atwhich theQSR space is
growing.I'mnottalkingaboutthisPizzaalonehereandIamtalkingofQSRspace.
RajMohan:Okaythanks.Moderator: Thank you.Ournextquestion is from the lineofAbhijeetKundu fromAntiqueStockBroking.Pleasegoahead.
AbhijeetKundu:Couldcategorizethetop10citiesandtierII,tierIIIcitiesverybroadlywhatwouldhavebeenthesamestoregrowth?
RaviGupta:Coupleofpercentagepointshereandtherekeepsonmovingbecausewesplitthestore.Sothereisnosignificantvariation.
AbhijeetKundu:Okayand in termsofcontribution from theTier2andTier3cities,howhasitchangedoverthelastthreeyearsinaway?
RaviGupta:WehavebeenopeningquitealotofstoresinTier2,Tier3citieswhereasearlier saythreeyearsbackwehadonly47citiesandtodaywehaveabout87cities.
So40newcitieswehaveentered into.Soearlierourconcentrationwasthemetros
andstatecapitalsandallthat.Sogoingforwardweareputtingabout50%ofstores
arecominginTier2,Tier3citiesandTier4citiesbutstillaproportionoftop10cities
intheoverallnumberremainaround65% . It issignificantnumberrightnow; itwill
continuetosignificantifyoudoanyarithmeticandkeeponaddingeven50%storesin
theTier2,Tier3stores.
Abhijeet Kundu: I'm saying in the top 10 cities, the per store revenue would besubstantiallyhigherthantheTier2cities?
RaviGupta:Whathappens istherevenueperstore is linkedtotheageofthestorealso.Wearepresentinthetop10citiesearliercomparedtothecities likewhichwe
haveenteredrecently,sodefinitelyitistrue.Asthestorematuresthesalekeepson
risingbecausepenetrationandfrequencykeepsongrowing.Peopleshabitstowards
Pizzaeatingkeepsonchanging.
AbhijeetKundu:NowhatIwaspointingatwasifyoulookatastoreinatop10city,anew store as compared to a new store in the Tier2, Tier3 city so obviously the
spendinghabitsintop10citieswouldbefarhigherright?
Ravi Gupta: We dont look at the business that way; we look at what is thecontributionastoremakestothebottomline.Ourtargetisthereturnoninvestment.
Becausepointis,ifsupposeametrostorehas fourtimestherentalsascomparedto
nonmetrostores,thenitwilldefinitelydesirehighersalessothenitiscontributesthe
sameamountofmargintous.Sopointisitisadifferentwayoflookingatit.
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AbhijeetKundu:Okaythankyousir.Moderator:Thankyou.AnextquestionisfromthelineofAnikhetThakkarfromKarvyStockBroking.Pleasegoahead.
AnikhetThakkar:Couldyou share some statistics relating tobillsper customerperyear, maybe you have these WOW clubs so any unique customer and average
numberofbillsfromthoseones?
AjayKaul:Sorrywewillnotbeabletosharethisspecializedinformationwithyou.AnikhetThakkar:Okayyoujustmentionedthatyouhavea lotofoutletopeningsattheTier2,Tier3 levelofcitiesalsoandyouhavementionedpreviouslythatthere is
beenthisrequestfrompublicasintorelaunchthePizzamaniaandallsothatsimply
formsanopinionthatfortheTier2,Tier3 levelofcustomersPizza is likethesimply
vegPizza andPizzamanias and all aremore famous.As theirwallet cannot afford
thoseones,soanyplanstolaunchanysimplelevelPizzasinfuture?
Ajay Kaul: See we are constantly evaluating options that we can offer to ourconsumers.ThereareentrylevelPizzasinsmallercitiesormaincitieswhereweenter,
thereisabitmorefocusonPizzaManiaasanentrylevelPizzabuthavingsaidthatwe
areconstantlyevaluatingourportfolioormixofproductsanddependingonwhatthe
customerwantsattheendofthedayiswhatwewillkeeplaunching.
AnikhetThakkar:Okaythanksalot.Modertaor:Thankyou.Ladiesandgentlementhatwasthelastquestion.IwouldnowliketohandthefloorovertoMr.AjayKaulforclosingcomments.
AjayKaul:Thankyouverymuchforjoiningustodayeverybody.Itwasreallynicewehadanencouragingninemonthsperiodandweareoptimisticaboutourgrowthgoing
ahead.Shouldyouhaveanymorequeries,questionspleasedoget in touchwithus
andwewouldbehappytoaddressthem.Thankyouverymuch frommyandRavis
side.
RaviGupta Thankyou.Moderator Thank you. On behalf of Jubilant FoodWorks Ltd that concludes thisconferencecall.Thankyouforjoiningusandyoumaynowdisconnectyourlines.
_____________________________________________________________________Thisisatranscriptionandmaycontaintranscriptionerrors.TheCompanyorsendertakesnoresponsibilityforsucherrors,althoughanefforthasbeenmadetoensurehighlevelofaccuracy.