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Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory
Systems Analysis
Finis Southworth, PhDDepartment Manager Systems & Decision Science
DOE Hydrogen, Fuel Cells, and Infrastructure Technologies ProgramSystems Analysis WorkshopJuly 28-29, 2004Washington, D.C.
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory
CharterSystems & Decision Science Mission: Develop and
apply science-based systems, systems engineering, and decision science capabilities that result in successful projects and effective, defensible decisions
Systems & Decision Science Funding:
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
$M
National & HomelandSecurity
Systems Integration andAnalysis
Other (YMP, Cleanup, etc.)
Energy
Current S&DS Funding = $18MFY04FY03
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory
HistoryThe S&DS group has been performing detailed systems
analysis since 1993
Examples Include:• New Production Reactor (1989-1993)• Air Support Operations Center (1995)• Long-term Stewardship Science and Technology Roadmap (2002)
Remote Standoff Explosive Detection System (2003)• Nuclear Hydrogen Initiative R&D Plan (2003)• Advanced Fuel Cycle Repository Futures Analysis (2004)• Future Combat System of Systems Integration (2004)• NGNP Independent Technology Review (2004)• Pine Bluff Mobile Munitions Assessment System (2004)• Yucca Mountain Requirements Management (2004)• Yucca Mountain System Design Description (2004)
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory
Skill Set – People
Total Personnel As Of 06/28/04 – 48
Bob Caliva, Group LeadDecision Support Systems Support
Ron Klingler, Group Lead
Finis Southworth, ManagerCheryl Noble, Department Support
Systems & Decision Science Department
Bob KorenkeSam AlessiJohn CoxEd Gorski Dennis Harrell George HaynerBurton Koske (DC)Dana Meyer Cathy Plowman
Project Support
Lori BraaseJennifer CameronAlison ConnerBrent DixonClint GradenDoug HamelinDarcie MartinsonJames MurphyKyle OswaldBryan ParkerMarty PlumKaren ScottLinda SewardBob TurkBuck West
Ron BardenBrion BennettJames CaseNorm ColeRamona DunihooBrad GardnerDonna GuillenHarold HeydtMindy KirkpatrickEd LeePatricia McGrathRay McKenzieBruce NielsonCharles ParkTracy RicksRafael SotoMike WalrathScott WoldRob ZamecnikLarry Zirker
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory
Skill Set – ModelsHydrogen Related Models• High Temperature Electrolysis Hydrogen Production Parameters
– Excel spreadsheet to develop a self-consistent set of plant parameters for a High Temperature Electrolysis plant powered by a high temperature gas reactor. Model still under development, internal review completed.
Models Adaptable to Hydrogen• APSEN - Aspen Engineering Suite (AES
– Chemical engineering mass balance program to determine overall plant parameters which includes equilibrium for all unit operations. Commercial software from Aspentech. No limitations.
• SAPHIRE (Systems Analysis Programs for Hands-on Integrated Reliability Evaluations)
– Probabilistic Risk Assessment to determine safety risk, reliability, life-cycle cost/risk. Limited by resources to identify lowest level of cause and effect and disk space on large analyses.
• RELAP5-3D– General-purpose system analysis code for thermal hydraulic analyses. Originally
developed for light water reactors analyses, but can analyze a variety of complex systems with different fluids and materials. Does not include chemical reactions and currently limited by those fluid properties in code, but other fluids can be added.
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory
Skill Set – Capabilities Summary
YesHTE Process Parameters,
MODELS SPECIFIC TO H2?
YesPropane and Natural Gas
Transportation
YesNavy Diesel H2 Reformer Optimization,
NGNP H2 Pilot Plant Requirements
YesPhoenix, AZ Hydrogen Fueling Station
Parameters
YesNHI R&D Plan, GIF VHTR R&R Plan
STUDIES SPECIFIC TO H2?RESIDENT CAPABILITY?
TYPE OF ANALYSIS
YesEnergy Market Analysis
YesInfrastructure Development Analysis
YesDelivery Analysis
YesEnvironmental Analysis
YesTechnoeconomic Analysis
YesResource Analysis
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory
StudiesPast H2 Studies• NHI R&D Plan• NGNP Pilot Plant Infrastructure Needs• GenIV International Forum Very High Temperature Reactor R&D Plan
(including H2)
Planned H2 Studies• Identify key technical Issues for reactor heat transfer loop (2004)• Assess reactor interface requirements (2004)• Assess code and standard impacts on co-siteing hydrogen production
and nuclear reactor (2005)• Analysis of material compatibility for high-temperature heat exchangers
(2005)
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory
FutureThe INEEL has the primary role of integrating
advanced hydrogen production capability with a high-temperature gas-cooled reactor. This demonstration is essential to increase U.S. energy independence,
enhance environmental quality, and provide affordable energy.
S&DS will continue to play a central role in nuclear/ hydrogen systems integration. Contributions include:
decision analysis, systems engineering, systems analysis, systems integration, and systems science products and expertise resulting in project success.
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory
Analysis Issues• Tendency to assume that a detailed analyses of parts
of the system is sufficient. Systems Integration is needed to understand, make decisions about, and optimize the overall system of systems
• Lack of access to and the validation of information from a multitude of organizations (national laboratories, industry, government, academia, and international participants)
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory
Backup Slides
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory
Backup Slides
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory
Nuclear Hydrogen R&D Plan
June 13, 2003
John Kotek -- ANLCharles Park -- INEEL
David Henderson – DOE-NEPaul Pickard -- SNL
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental LaboratoryNuclear Hydrogen Production R&D Plan - Participants
Charles Park (INEEL)R&D Plan Technical Integrator
Paul Pickard (SNL)GenIV Energy Conversion NTD
John Kotek (ANL-W)ANL Hydrogen Initiative
Charles Forsberg (ORNL)865 574-6783
Michele Lewis (ANL)630 252-6603
Thermchemical Cycles
Steve Herring (INEEL)208 [email protected]
Hot Electrolysis
Dave King (PNNL)509 375-3908
Tim Armstrong (ORNL)865 574-7996
Membrane & Other
Mel Buckner (SRS)803 725-0596
Blaine Grover (INEEL)208 [email protected]
Infrastructure & BOP
David Hendserson (NE-20)Program Manager, Nuclear Hydrogen Research
C. Park April 26, 2003
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental LaboratoryNuclear Hydrogen R&D PlanR&D Plan Outline
1. Goals and Objectives
- Nuclear hydrogen role, potential benefits
- Cost effective ( < conventional electrolysis), GHG free H2
2. R&D Plan Approach
- Scope, schedule, economic context / metrics
- Gen IV heat source, not fossil based
3. Description of Candidate Hydrogen Production Cycles
- Process, Status, Issues, benefits, R&D needed, priority
- Thermochemical, electrolysis, alternative, barrier
- IHX, balance of plant R&D needs
4. Nuclear Hydrogen R&D Plan
- Baseline (TC, HTE) development plan, priorities, decision points
- Advanced/Alternative options, R&D to support go or no-go decision
- IHX design, materials needs to support process development
5. Demonstration approach
- Scaling issues, criteria / goals, decision points
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental LaboratoryNuclear Hydrogen R&D PlanR&D Plan Development Stages
Options – Technical Leads
• Consider sufficient range of options to assure promising approaches have been considered.
• Define advantages, issues, status, and R&D needed
• Include thermochemical, electrolysis, barrier, alternative processes, balance of plant issues
Prioritization – Tech Leads & Integration Team
Criteria include:
• Advantages (efficiency, simplicity, costs, projected economics, ..)
• Technical difficulty (temp, materials, rx’s, probability of success…)
• Technical maturity, related R&D, ready by 2015, ..)
Develop R&D plans for evaluated set of production options (TC,HTE, alternatives, associated BOP)
Promising longer term options would be identified -- but not as current R&D priorities
R&D Plan – Integration team (Tech Leads, DOE)
• Establish critical decisions and down select process/milestones
• Define R&D sequence for highest priority technologies
• Develop integrated budget, schedules,
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory
Gen IV
Area Generation IV Hydrogen R&D Plan - Major Milestones
Draft
Core design, fuels, materials
Systems, BOP
Baseline Comp tests
H2 Technology H2 System Scale-up 2003
Demo
Component testing VHTR Operational
IHX, design, ma t IHX dev for PP
ConstructDesign
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
VHTR VHTR Construction
R&D PlanH2 Demo Decision
H2 Demo Commercial Scale
Syst Integ
Pilot Plant(s)
Initial Exps
Prelim design
Commercial Scale Demo
ConstructFinal design
Baseline H2 Production Technologies
Operational
Conceptual Design Final Design
Hydrogen Systems
Conceptual
Production Technologies
R&D Plan Demo Design Decision
Pilot Plant & Prod Method Decision
Alternative, Advanced Cycles
Baseline Prod Technologies
Longer term Technologies
Baseline Process Improvements
Pilot Plant Decision
Advanced Cycle R&D and Scaleup Program
S-I Lab Scale Demo
High Temp Electrolysis
Pilot Plant(s)
H2 Demo Plant
Alternative, Backup Cycle R&D
Adv Tech - membranes
Other TC Cycle
Alternative Tech
Adv tech for baseline cycles
R&D to develop most promising next generation plants
Mods Process Imp/Scale
Gen IV
Area Generation IV Hydrogen R&D Plan - Major Milestones
Draft
Core design, fuels, materials
Systems, BOP
Baseline Comp tests
H2 Technology H2 System Scale-up 2003
Demo
Component testing VHTR Operational
IHX, design, ma t IHX dev for PP
ConstructDesign
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
VHTR VHTR Construction
R&D PlanH2 Demo Decision
H2 Demo Commercial Scale
Syst Integ
Pilot Plant(s)
Initial Exps
Prelim design
Commercial Scale Demo
ConstructFinal design
Baseline H2 Production Technologies
Operational
Conceptual Design Final Design
Hydrogen Systems
Conceptual
Production Technologies
R&D Plan Demo Design Decision
Pilot Plant & Prod Method Decision
Alternative, Advanced Cycles
Baseline Prod Technologies
Longer term Technologies
Baseline Process Improvements
Pilot Plant Decision
Advanced Cycle R&D and Scaleup Program
S-I Lab Scale Demo
High Temp Electrolysis
Pilot Plant(s)
H2 Demo Plant
Alternative, Backup Cycle R&D
Adv Tech - membranes
Other TC Cycle
Alternative Tech
Adv tech for baseline cycles
R&D to develop most promising next generation plants
Mods Process Imp/Scale
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory
Schedule
Outline
Prioritize, develop R&D plan, sched, $
HTE, concept design, cell design , materials options,
High T IHX options, requirements
Technical Section Development Integrate/Prioritize Integrated Draft
4/29/2003 7/15/2003 8/15/2003 9/1/2003TLs identify process families, adv, issues, status, R&D needs
Draft TC Section
R&D needs, gaps plan, $, t
Draft HTE Section
Draft IHX Section
Membrane assessment, TC, alt.
Input to TC section, $, schedule
Alternatives draft
Rev TC Plan/App, membrane
Rev HTE Plan/App
Alt’s – if req’d (App)
Rev IHX Plan
Draft Nuclear H2 R&D Plan – NE review
Section strawmen High Level Plan Draft Preliminary DraftIntegration Team
Final Draft 9/30/2003
Outline
Prioritize, develop R&D plan, sched, $
HTE, concept design, cell design , materials options,
High T IHX options, requirements
Technical Section Development Integrate/Prioritize Integrated Draft
4/29/2003 7/15/2003 8/15/2003 9/1/2003TLs identify process families, adv, issues, status, R&D needs
Draft TC Section
R&D needs, gaps plan, $, t
Draft HTE Section
Draft IHX Section
Membrane assessment, TC, alt.
Input to TC section, $, schedule
Alternatives draft
Rev TC Plan/App, membrane
Rev HTE Plan/App
Alt’s – if req’d (App)
Rev IHX Plan
Draft Nuclear H2 R&D Plan – NE review
Section strawmen High Level Plan Draft Preliminary DraftIntegration Team
Final Draft 9/30/2003
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory
Nuclear Hydrogen R&D PlanThermochemical Cycle R&D Plan Process
Tech Lead identify TC Families
Sulfur (S-I, Westinghouse, Ispra Mk13)
Fe cycles (Mk 9, Mark4, Ca- Br, etc)
Cu Cycles(Mark1C, etc)
Membraneoptions/benefits
Others as identified
TC Cycle Evaluation and Prioritzation
Advantages (eff, temp, cost, simplicity, toxicity, etc)
Issues (temp, materials, separations, etc)
Maturity (2015)
Common R&D
Related R&Defforts and support
Scaling Issues
Cycle R&D Plans–selected family / cycles
Key R&D Needs
Decision Points
Preliminary Cost
Preliminary Schedule
Draft integrated TC Cycle R&D Plan Section
Prioritized approach for TC cycle development
DescriptionAdv, Issues, R&D needs Gantt chart summaryMajor tasks Decision pointsSchedulePrelim costs
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory
Nuclear Hydrogen R&D PlanHigh Temperature Electrolysis R&D Plan
Major HTE R&D Plan Elements1. Conceptual designs for HTEx system, performance potential
2. Identify cell options, materials, technology status, current R&D
3. Develop R&D plan, cell development, scaling demonstration
HTE cell options
Cell design
Anode, cathode, electrolyte materials options
Cell design, sealing options
Stack, manifold options
HTE conceptual design
HTE process description
Technology status
Conceptual design for nuclear heat source
Define performance goals potential
R&D Needs / Gaps
Cell materials
Cell sealing, scaling, operational parameters
System (stack) issues –controls, heat transport, manifolds, sealing
HTE R&D Plan
HTE cell design, materials, fab, test, scaling
Prelim schedule, $
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory
Nuclear Hydrogen R&D PlanHigh Temperature IHX, BOP R&D Issues
Major IHX R&D Plan Elements1. Define interface requirements from TC, HTE, Alternative cycles
2. Identify IHX design and materials options
3. Develop R&D plan for IHX materials, designs, testing
IHX/BOP R&D based on H2 process requirements, focus, integrate UNLV effort
Scoping Evaluation
Define IHX options for selected cycles
IHX prelim designs, operational parameters
Materials candidates
H2 Process Requirements
Interface with TC Leads for TC cycle conditions
Interface with HTE Tech lead for range of conditions
Alternative processes if required
IHX, systems R&D Needs
Design studies to support processes
Materials testing – range of conditions
Scaled IHX fab / testing
IHX/BOP R&D Plan
IHX design, materials tests
Prelim schedule, $
