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An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

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Page 1: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the

South African Telecommunications Industry

By: Luke HardmanSupervisor: John Ebden

2 November 2004

Page 2: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

Project Outline

• Investigation into the South African Telecommunications industry with reference made to special cases from around the world.

• Include:– Taiwan– U.S.A– India– South Africa

Page 3: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

Project Outline

• Assess the liberalisation processes of countries that have been successful in telecommunications liberalisation

• Assess the economic issues of having a telephone monopoly and the positive effects of liberalisation.

Page 4: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

Approach

• Case Study based approach– Allows isolation and comparison of different cases– Broad spectrum coverage of the topic rather than

individual laws affecting South Africa• Assumption that laws could change in the course of the

project• VoIP liberalisation an example

• The case studies chosen for:– Representation of different countries around the world– Different stages of telecommunications liberalisation.

• Compare and contrast different cases so as to learn lessons from each.

Page 5: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

Taiwans Telecommunication Reforms

• Initially controlled by government owned Directorate General of Telecommunications (DGT)

• Stunted growth in telecommunications industry although profitable

• Taiwanese government saw the importance of liberalisation in developing their economy and catching up with major industrialised nations

Page 6: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

Taiwans Telecommunication Reforms

• In 1996 three new telecommunications laws were introduced which paved the way for industry liberalisation.

Page 7: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

Taiwan: Main points to come from the liberalisation bills

• There should be a separation of operator and regulator and the regulator should ensure that:– Contractual obligations are met by the

licensees – A fair and competitive market is

maintained

• DGT (Regulator) separated from Chunghwa Telecom Co. (Operator)

Page 8: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

Taiwan: Main points to come from the liberalisation bills

• Chunghwa Telecom would continue to operate but be privatised at a later stage

• Telecommunication services divided into two types– Type 1:

• Primary infrastructure and basic services. i.e. fixed lines, submarine cables etc.

– Type 2:• Value added services. i.e. Internet Services, Domestic

Satellite communication

• Reason for this was to maintain control over different sectors of the market independently.

Page 9: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

Taiwan: Developments since 1996

• Taiwanese telecommunications has flourished and government has liberalised other businesses with success using this case as a template for liberalisation.

• Growth

• Cellular phone penetration rate: 20th to 1st

Page 10: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

Taiwan: Developments since 1996

• Also notable is the growth in number of both type 1 and type 2 companies

July 1996 Dec 1999 Dec 2002

Type 1 1 36 73

Type 2 67 207 380

Source: Telecom Database on www.dgt.gov.tw

Page 11: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

Taiwan: Developments since 1996

• Taiwans internet population has also grown rapidly.– Doubled in the last 4 years with

penetration of 51.1%

• Government also actively promoting broadband usage.– Decreased operating costs– 200 000 to +3,000,000 users in 4 years

(>15x)

Page 12: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

South Africa’s Telecommunications Reforms• The South African Industry was a monopoly

controlled by the SAPT (South African Posts and Telecommunications)

• Liberalisation began in 1991 with separation of telecommunications arm of SAPT into Telkom.

• Government saw it as a loss making division which it thought would better serve the public if privatised. – South African government was using SAPT for its

benefit without considering the costs of doing so ie. Low productivity resulted

Page 13: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

South Africa’s Telecommunications Reforms• In 1993 and 1994 the two cellular providers

Vodacom and MTN were given licences to operate as cellular service providers and are both very successful.

• In November 2001 Cel C, the third cellular provider was announced.

• In 1994 South Africa sold 30 percent of Telkom to investors

• Privatisation halted to achieve government goals (more phone lines)

Page 14: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

South Africa’s Telecommunications Reforms• In 2000 Independent Broadcast

Authority and South African Telecommunication Regulatory Authority merged to form Independent Communication Authority of South Africa (ICASA).

Page 15: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

South Africa’s Telecommunications Reforms• Main functions of ICASA:

– Make regulations and policies– Issue licenses to providers of

telecommunications services and broadcasters

– Monitor the environment– Protect customers

Page 16: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

South Africa’s Telecommunications Reforms• In March of 2001 Second Network

Operator (SNO) announced

• Competition intended to bring prices down

• High prices affecting individuals as well as businesses

Page 17: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

South Africa’s Telecommunications Reforms• On the 2nd May 2002 Telkoms exclusive

rights over services came to an end but we are still awaiting the arrival of the SNO for which the license has already been awarded.

• SNO expected early next year.

Page 18: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

VoIP

• VoIP legalised– Effective as of 1 February 2005– Consumers have a choice of provider for the

first time (Competition)– Should see downwards pressure on prices.

Page 19: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

Comparison of Cases

• Regulation of the industry is important for fair competition and making sure service providers meet customers needs

• Greater bandwidth should be a priority of the South African government and those within the telecommunication industry.

• Efforts should be made to decrease prices in all services, especially broadband.

Page 20: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

Comparative Prices of Services

  SA Taiwan USA Nigeria England

ADSL R1,000,00 pm R133.00pm R251.00pm R280.00pm

ISDN R198,00 pm

Installation = R40, thereafter pay per minute with minimum of R20 pm. R129.254 R316,33

Data/56K R79,00 pm Almost non-

existent R58, 146 R195,00 R163.00

Page 21: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

Penetration Rates of Countries Studied

Penetration Rate as a Percentage of Population

United States 68.8%

Taiwan 58.1%

South Africa 7.4%

Egypt 3.9%

Nigeria 0.5%

Average of Africa 1.4%Source: www.internetworldstats.com

Page 22: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

Benefits of Complete Liberalisation

• Downward pressure on prices for services.• Better standard of serives.• Improved telecommunications infrastructure.• Greater Foreign Direct Income (FDI) from

investors.• Total predicted gain to South African economy of

+- R1.3 billion (0.05 percent of GDP).– Depends on barriers to trade in the sector.

• High barriers to trade = high gains• Low barriers to trade = small gains

Page 23: An Investigation into the Optimum way Forward for the South African Telecommunications Industry By: Luke Hardman Supervisor: John Ebden 2 November 2004

Questions?