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An introduction from Lord Stern…
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Main Points
▪ A major shift in the global economy is underway
▪ Leading companies are already mainstreaming
sustainability into their core business
▪ Tata is uniquely positioned to take advantage of these
new models for growth
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As growth slows across in China and the OECD, India’s trajectory
remains uncertain
SOURCE: OECD Data, World Bank data
2.32.3
3.83.2
6.3
9.39.2
10.4
7.47.58.0
5.5
2006-2014 2015-2017 projected1996-20051985-1995
ChinaOECD India
Average GDP growth rates
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1. Growing political
economy issues
Political economy trends
raise questions about the
model for future growth
– Global anti-trade
sentiments
– Uncertainty regarding the
future of work
– Growing inequality
– Reduced trust in
corporations
The overuse of our planet’s
resources continues to get
worse…
Global growth remains precarious due to growing short term political
economy pressures and long term environmental constraints
2. Massive environmental
constraints
…while four trends in particular
pose a serious challenge to our
existing model of economic
growth:
– Growing resource demand
– Growing resource insecurity
– Rapid urbanisation
– Environmental degradation
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Political economy uncertainties raise questions about India’s model for
future growth
Increasing
protectionism
Currency wars
Instability from
loose monetary
policy
Automation could
eliminate 45% of
current jobs
“Gig economy” is
changing firm-
employee
relations
Corporate profits
at cyclical high
Digital economy
challenging
traditional tax
regimes
Top 1% own more
than the bottom
99% combined
Growing evidence
suggests
inequality is a
drag on growth
SOURCE: McKinsey Global Institute, Oxfam
Glo
ball
y
Future of workAnti- trade
sentiments
Reduced trust in
corporations
Growing inequality
1
How will India
participate in global
value chains to drive
growth
Will automation at
scale prevent India
industrialising with its
service model?
How will Indian
business build trust
with its customers?
Will India’s income
distribution support
sustained growth?
Qu
es
tio
ns
for
Ind
ia
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1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
July
June
September
August
May
December
November
October
SOURCE: http://www.overshootday.org/newsroom/past-earth-overshoot-days/
Earth Overshoot Day from 1970-2015
The overuse of our planet’s resources continues to get worse…
1972 – Limits of Growth
1983 – Greens elected into
German Parliament
2015 – Papal encyclical
1986 – Chernobyl
2005 – Hurricane Katrina
Second Indonesian haze
1997 – First Indonesian haze
2011 – Fukushima
Last northern white Rhino
1987 – Brundtland Commission
1992 – Rio Earth Summit
2009 – Copenhagen
Climate Summit
1984 – Bhopal Disaster
Earth Overshoot Day marks the date when humanity’s demand for ecological resources
and services in a given year exceeds what Earth can regenerate in that year
2
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…while four trends in particular pose a serious challenge to our existing
model of economic growth
Up to 3 billion more
middle-class
consumers will
emerge in the next 20
years, driving energy
consumption up by
roughly 1/3
Depletion of known
reserves driving costs
up e.g., copper price
rises due to 1% p.a
decline in ore grades
Current urban
migration & income
growth trends mean
~1.6bn people will
occupy crowded or
inadequate or
housing by 2025
Majority of urban
population is in cities
with air pollution at
least 5x higher than
WHO guidelines
SOURCE: McKinsey STAC center, McKinsey Global Institute and Growth Within: A circular economy vision for a competitive Europe, New Climate Economy
1 Ernst & Young report The Paris Agreement: what it means for India
Glo
ball
yIn
In
dia
India is projected to
grow by 255m by
2040, the largest
absolute growth in the
world
From 2015 to 2030
India will need to
spend an ~£20b on
adaptation1 to manage
strained water supplies.
India’s cities are
vulnerable to natural
disasters due to a
combination of rising
sea levels & changing
wind patterns
Only 2 of India’s 148
largest cities had
passable air quality
in 2014.2
Growing resource
insecurity
Growing resource
demand
Rapid urbanisation Environmental
degradation
2
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8SOURCE: Growth Within: A circular economy vision for a competitive Europe
Drivers of current
unsustainability…
..by transformation of housing practices
and the built environment
… but opportunity to capture
positive trends…
Population growth:
9.6b people by 2050
Urbanization: 4.2bn
people by 2020; 70%
of 2050 population
19 new megacities1 by
2020
Cities account for 70%
of global energy
demand and
greenhouse gas
emissions
Only 2 of India’s 148
largest cities had
passable air quality in
20141
Urban sprawl in India is
estimated to reduce
GDP by 5.7% or %80b
annually2
Shared spaces – e.g. AirBnB had
$56m impact in San Francisco in 2012
alone
Innovative technology: 3D printing
used in construction
▪ e.g., WinSun built 10 houses in 24
hours using 30-60% less material
and costing €5k per house
Factory-based industrial processes
used in construction cutting costs by
30% and delivery times by 50%
These growing environmental threats are a trigger of industry change, and
innovation offers hope of seizing the growth opportunity – e.g. Real Estate
1 Indian Central Pollution Control Board
2 New Climate Economy Report, 2014
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Further opportunities exist from industry change in Agriculture
SOURCE: FAO
Drivers of current
unsustainability…
..by transformation of agricultural
practices
▪ Population growth:
9.6 billion people by
2050
▪ Urbanization: 70% of
2050 population
▪ Diet shifts: more
wealth = more protein
… but opportunity to capture
positive trends…
▪ 1/3 of all food
produced is lost before
consumption
▪ Complete loss of
Earth’s top soil within
60 years if
degradation rates
continue
▪ Nutritional content of
vegetables have
fallen; increasing
prevalence of obesity
▪ Innovative technology – 75%
reduction in input costs through
adoption of precision agriculture1
▪ Regenerative farming practices –
increasing organic land 6% p.a in
Europe
▪ Restoration of nature capital –
e.g., restoring degraded land in
Loess, China, lifted 2.5m people
out of poverty and increased per
capita grain output by 60%
▪ Digital supply chain – IT/big data
to improve inventory management
e.g., Tesco using local weather
forecasts
1 E.g. whole-farm management approach leveraging IT, big data, remote sensing and satellite
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Investors are beginning to understand the potential to outperform through
investing in companies positioning themselves for these new markets
SOURCE: Carbon Disclosure Project; Global Insights World Industry Service (Capex data); McKinsey analysis
S&P 500 companies rated as climate change leaders1 performed better:
1 Companies in CDP’s Climate Performance Leadership Index
18%
50%
21%
Higher RoE than low scoring peers
Lower volatility of earnings over the past decade
than low-scoring peers
Stronger dividend growth than low scoring peers
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Stocks with high exposure to sustainability have positive financial and
valuation characteristics
SOURCE: Morgan Stanley
NOTE: Number of stocks in each exposure category: Zero: 2,048; Low exposure1: 348; High exposure2: 438
1 Low exposure = lower than median; Average exposure of these stocks to sustainability themes = 4%
2 High exposure = higher than median; Average exposure of these stocks to sustainability themes = 21%
High
Exposure2
11.3%11.2%
Zero
Exposure
Low
exposure1
9.9%1.04
0.78
Low
Exposure1
Zero
Exposure
1.07
High
Exposure2
Current ROE 5 year beta
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Main Points
▪ A major shift in the global economy is underway
▪ Leading companies are already mainstreaming
sustainability into their core business
▪ Tata is uniquely positioned to take advantage of these
new models for growth
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The best companies serving this opportunity by tackling three horizons
Leading companies are acting on all three horizons simultaneously
Horizon 3
Horizon 2
Optimising within
today’s business
model, e.g.
upgrading
product
Horizon 1
Preparing for and
influencing the
next business
modelGreening today’s
products and
supply chain
▪ Reducing
emissions
along value
chain
▪ Reducing
resource
consumption
▪ Changing
products
through
innovation
▪ Collaborating
with industry
▪ Moving to a
service model
▪ Changing
consumer
behaviorExam
ple
s
Embedding
sustainability
to create
value
▪ 10-15 year
systemic view
▪ Clear link to
shareholder
value creation
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Unilever has placed sustainability at the heart of its strategy, reaping
significant economic rewards
Horizon 3
Horizon 2
Horizon 1
▪ Unilever will be
carbon negative
in its operations
by 2030
▪ Unilever
achieved €200m
annual cost
reduction from
sustainability
initiatives
▪ Unilever spent
2.1% of 2014
revenue in R&D
to build
sustainable
brands
▪ Unilever aims to
change the
hygiene behaviour
of 1bn consumers
by 2020.
In 2014, this
initiative reached
313 million
people and
resulted in a 7-
20% increase in
sales across
different brands
▪ Sustainable
living brands
grew at 2x the
rate last year
compared to
other brands
▪ €400m total
savings
through eco-
efficiency since
2009
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MORE
GROWTH
MORE
TRUST
LOWER
COSTS
LESS
RISK
OVER
€600mcumulative cost
avoidance made since
2008
30%
60%of our agricultural raw
materials were sustainably
sourced by 2015
No. 1employer in 34 countries
Sustainable Living brands
grew 30% faster than the
rest of the business
Unilever’s Sustainability Framework helps unlock
value from sustainability for better business
performance
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▪ The BMW i3 is an
all-electric
vehicle
leveraging
lithium-ion high-
voltage battery
for emission-free
city driving.
▪ BMW is starting
to offer mobility
services:
– DriveNow: Car
sharing service
– ParkNow: App-
&web-based
parking service
▪ The BMW’s i-
Series uses 25%
renewable raw
materials &
recycled
plastics in the
interior
▪ 95% of the
materials can be
recycled
Horizon 3
Horizon 2
Horizon 1
SOURCE: Company websites; Spiegel Online; Car and Driver Blog, The Telegraph
▪ BMW Group
achieved its best
ever sales in
2015 (up by 14%
from 2014) and
set new UK
records.
▪ The i-Series sold
3,000+ electric
vehicles, growing
sales +80% from
2014
BMW has undergone a structured end-to-end sustainability
transformation
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Dow is maximizing growth from science-driven sustainable innovation
Horizon 3
Horizon 2
Horizon 1
▪ Natural capital
commitment
through Seadrift,
will use
reconstructed
wetlands for waste
water treatment
and yield >$200
million in NPV.
▪ In 2014, Dow
reduced 110
trillion BTUs of
energy
consumption
▪ In 2014 Dow
reused 344m
lbs of by-
products in
manufacturing
▪ In 2014, Dow
generated $13b
in revenue from
products highly
advantaged by
sustainable
chemistry
SOURCE: Dow sustainability reports, Dow annual reports, company website
▪ Dow developed a
more effective
Reverse Osmosis
purification system
that delivers:
– 40% better
water
purification
with
– 30% less
energy.
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Embed
sustainability to
create value
Set up
organization to
succeed
✔
Engage with the
external world✔
Make a more
sustainable
value chain
✔
Ten critical actions to drive sustainable value creation
Take a 10-15 year systemic view
Use the 3 Horizon approach
Explicitly link to shareholder value creation
✔
Drive sustainability through tier 1 & 2 suppliers
Implement a Circular Economy strategy: Zero waste, Design
for remanufacturing
Make your brand portfolio mission-driven
Shift the dialogue with regulators towards industry transformation
Use clear metrics and KPIs to track progress
Provide incentives for hitting sustainability targets
Use leadership to embed sustainability values into the
culture
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What do leading companies NOT do?
✗
✗
✗
✗
Make claims that they cannot deliver
(“greenwashing”)
Treat sustainability as CSR
Hold sustainability as a CEO “pet Davos
topic”
Get too far out ahead of the curve (e.g.,
Beyond Petroleum)
✗ Be half-baked
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Main Points
▪ A major shift in the global economy is underway
▪ Leading companies are already mainstreaming
sustainability into their core business
▪ Tata is uniquely positioned to take advantage of these
new models for growth
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Tata is strongly placed to create value in this new environment
Geographic
Footprint
Portfolio
Ownership
Model
▪ Tata’s presence in India enables it to harness
potentially rapid Indian growth
▪ Tata’s global presence positions it to capitalize on
demands for global infrastructure investment that
‘lock in’ to smart systems
▪ Tata’s diverse portfolio is conducive to cross sector
sustainability measures
▪ Tata’s portfolio covers digital & hardware
industries, both of which are required to pioneer
cutting edge smart systems
▪ Tata is 66% owned by the Tata Foundation which
means it is able to take a longer term, systemic
view
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There is a huge market opportunity from viable growth
Circular industrial
systems
ResidentialBuilding
Total opportunityIndustry Area
Energy
Production
Automotive
Became 100% circular? What would it be worth? What would it cost?
Became the world leader in renewable infrastructure development?
What if Tata…
Became the world leading shared mobility platform?
Became the world leader in smart, affordable housing development?
$2trn+
$410b
$1trn
$165b
Total power investment per annum
Opportunity for improvingmunicipal water systems
Opportunity fromnew car economy2
Opportunity from affordable housing
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Tata has already made significant progress across a number of key
elements of its business
Horizon 3
Horizon 2
Horizon 1
▪ Jaguar Land
Rover’s
REALCAR2 builds
lightweight auto
bodies using
lower-cost,
energy efficient
sources, with an
increased amount
of aluminium scrap
from post-
consumer waste
streams.
▪ Tata Power
Company’s Club
Enerji has saved
~3.06m units and
sensitized 3.5m
citizens
▪ Jaguar Land Rover
reduced energy
use by 32% per
vehicle produced
Tata aims to be
amongst the 25
most admired
corporate and
employer
brands globally,
with a market
capitalization
comparable to
the 25 most
valuable
companies in
the world.
SOURCE: Tata Sustainability Group report
▪ Tata’s HIsarna pilot
plant has reduced
CO2 by reducing
pretreatment of the
iron ore
▪ Tata Power
company will install
the first floating
concentrated
solar PV plant in
India.
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Questions for discussion
▪ What the major opportunities for Tata that also drive sustainable
development in India and globally?
▪ How well-prepared is Tata for the major sustainability-risks it will face
over the next 15 years?
▪ What are the real-world trade-offs between business performance
and sustainability?
▪ What new business models are needed to get after these
opportunities?
▪ What should Tata stop doing around sustainability in order to create
greater focus?
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25
APPENDIX
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The Sustainable Development Goals: Inclusive growth in an environmentally
sustainable way
The 17 new, universal goals for global prosperity aimed at transforming the world by 2030:
▪ Zero poverty
▪ Wide, interconnecting targets
United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
Integrates private sector
Strong focus on growth
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There is a huge market opportunity from viable growth
Water Infrastructure Management
Residential Building
$45trn
$410b
$1trn
Total opportunityIndustry Area
Energy
Production
Automotive
Improve community-based water systems by working with Piramal Sarvajal to install smart, data-driven water infrastructure in Indian urban slums
Partner with organizations like Mera Gao Power to install low-cost solar powered microgrids to rural Indian villages.
WRI estimates the Indian market for this at $2b/year1
What if Tata…
Launch a ride sharing platform to develop sector in India
Develop best in class electric vehicle for Indian urban
businesses and consumers
Integrate biomimicry design concepts into architectural design of new structures to optimize sustainable building efficiency
- For example using REGEN’s EnviroGrid, a wireless energy management system based on insect’s swarm logic which cuts electric costs by 5-10% or more
$165b
Total power generation installed by 2040
Opportunity for improvingmunicipal water systems
Opportunity fromnew car economy2
Opportunity from affordable housing
Source: Alpha Beta analysis 1 MIT Technology Review 2 includes automotive vehicles, car sharing and electric and hybrid vehicle market sizes