Hi there!

A packed issue this month, so not space forchit-chat. Let’s get straight down to work...

How to pocket multipleand virtually guaranteed3-7% returns every 2weeks on the FinancialFixed Odds markets

I’ve done a little experimenting and found amethod that lets us profit comfortably and

relatively risk-free from placing specific bet types onbetonmarkets.com, without the need for exhaustivetechnical analysis.

I came to the conclusion that I should let the websitetell me when my bets look most likely to be winners –this I surmised could be related to the % of stake that weget returned for each bet – surely the lower thepercentage the greater the likelihood of successBECAUSE the folks at betonmarkets are ensuring thatpayouts for events most likely to occur will be kept at aminimum.

What if I could tweak the parameters of the bet insuch a way that I could make a bet most likely tosucceed, judged on the % of stake that betonmarkets werewilling to pay out on winnings?

So far, I have had 26 winning bets out of 27 returning,variously 3-7% profits every 2 weeks! The loss I putdown to initial experimentation, and with my new rules inplace, I confidently expect a close to 100% strike rate forvery little effort.

Want to find out how? Just follow these steps

• Go to www.betonmarkets.com

• Concentrate your attention solely on barrier rangebets and one touch bets. Here I will start with barrierrange bets.

Fig 1: FTSE 100 90-Day Chart

• Fig 1 above is what the barrier range screen willlook like. Set the screen to show a 90-day chart. The onething that’s strikes you immediately here is the generaluptrend of the FTSE. The chart is divided by 10 verticallines – each box between the lines represents 2 weeks’worth of data. If we look at the last 3 boxes we see that

please turn over

What Really Wins MoneyAn Independent review of tipsters and betting systems

April 2006

IN THIS ISSUE:How to pocket multiple and virtually guaranteed 3-7% returns every 2 weeks on the Financial FixedOdds markets....................................................page 1

Financial Fixed Odds Reviews: Are there anyFinancial Fixed Odds Tipsters out there? ....... page 3

Review: The Ultimate Betting System Introducing the lazy punters guide to sound money management ............................. page 4

System Blueprint from The Highlander! The Man With 50 Year’s Worth of Betting SystemsReveals a Proven Rating System that Can Uncover the Hottest Horses to Back! ............. page 5

Tipsters and Systems Update! ........................ page 6

System Review: A.D. Associates’ Premiership Bet: Could you really “Make Over £7,846 Betting on Premiership Football in 12 weeks or less Guaranteed”?............................................ page 9

Review: The Secrets Of Successful Gambling: XXXIntroducing The Open University of betting courses .page 11

Steal This Business and Make £30,000 – £75,000 in the next 12 months! ................... page 12

WRWM_Apl06.qxd 19/4/06 13:01 Page 1

the FTSE has remained between 5900 and 6100 for muchof this period.

• We choose our lower barrier – this is a point atwhich the FTSE must remain above for the next 2weeks. With the FTSE moving upwards, andremaining within the 5900-6100 barrier for the last 2weeks, I think that 5800 is a safe bet here. Make5800 our low barrier target.

• We now need to look for a high barrier target.Although the FTSE is now rising, it hasn’t movedmuch in the last month and is yet to break 6100. Solet’s set 6300 as our high target. Will the FTSEreally move up 200 points in the next 2 weeks?Highly unlikely.

• We place our bet. Following the instructions, in thisexample, we wish to win USD 50 if during the next(and we have chosen 14 ) days, the FTSE indexnever touches or trades through (low barrier) 5800nor (high barrier) 6300.

• Entering this bet, the betonmarkets software calculatesa 4% return if our prediction is correct – a very safebet. With a quick look at the graph, only economicmeltdown will make the FTSE touch the 5800 barrier.Similarly, only some spectacular movements by FTSEshares will move the index 200 points to our higherbarrier range of 6300. Confidence is further increasedby the fact that as we can see, the FTSE has remainedconstant within the 5900-6100 range.

That’s all there is to it – simply engineer the barrier insuch a way that we end up with a return of 3-7%.

Let me take you through another example usinganother index. In this instance we’ll look at the DowJones Index – first port of call is to take a look at the 90-day graph (Fig 2):

Fig 2: Dow Jones 90 Day Chart

As you can see, the general trend is up – this isobvious just using the naked eye and does not really needany technical analysis to confirm.

Again we are going to use a barrier range bet. Eachbox now represents one month’s worth of data. So lookingat the most recent box, we can see that the Dow Jones hasstayed comfortably within the range 11000 and 11400.

I will set my lower limit at 10700 here, which is thelow reached in the middle of January, and highly unlikelyto be reached in 2 weeks time (George Bush – pleasedon’t do anything silly!)

I have set the high range at 11700. Although the DowJones trend is upwards, as you can see, it zigzags its wayrather than shooting straight up. I am confident with theselimits. Plugging these levels into betonmarkets gives me asolid 5% return if my prediction comes true.

More profit opportunities using the ‘NoTouch’ Bet

Another relatively risk free bet to use is the No TouchBet only when there is a marked trend in the indices.Referring back to the FTSE graph earlier (Fig 1), we cansee the trend is predominantly upwards. Again thisrequires no technical analysis, moving averages,Fibonacci retracements or support /resistance indicators.We can simply see this by viewing the graph. Take a lookat the GDAX Frankfurt 90 day graph (Fig 3).

Fig 3: German DAX 90 Day Chart

Again, we can clearly see that the trend is upwardsand has been for some time. Surely then, if we want toplace a bet where the index will NOT TOUCH a specificpoint, we should concentrate on a figure which is belowrather than above the current point. With such a strongand sustained move upwards, it will take some time forthe trend to reverse. So let’s pick a point where it ishighly unlikely that the index won’t touch.

With the GDAX staying comfortably between 5800and 6000, I initially chose 5600, but the software wasunable to take this figure. I then changed to 5700, whichrepresents a 6% return.

I am happy to take this bet. Why? With the generaltrend upwards, I believe it is highly unlikely that theGDAX will suddenly drop to 5700 in 2 weeks time.

As you can see, this represents a headache freemethod of betting on financial fixed odds!

Financial Fixed Odds Tips1. A check on your position every few days will help toalleviate any fears you may have that your bet may not

2

WRWM_Apl06.qxd 19/4/06 13:01 Page 2

3

work. It will also give you ampleopportunity to sell the bet if you feelthere is any way that it won’t pay out.In order to sell your bet, go to“PORTFOLIOS” and there will be alist of current bets. Hit the ‘sell’ buttonto cancel the bet. See box to the right.

2. Always place your bets at pointsjust above a round number for thehigher barrier point or just belowthe rounded number for lowerbarrier bets. Let me give you anexample. If our higher barrier rangepoint is 6700, I would recommendplacing the bet at 6730. If our lowertarget is 5700, I would recommend placing the bet at5670 or thereabouts. My reasoning? Rounded figuressuch as 6500, 6600, 6700 etc are all psychologicalbarriers in the financial markets. Usually when such apoint is reached, the market may find it difficult topenetrate beyond this point (known as resistance).

In a lower barrier range point such as 5800, themarket may also find it difficult to penetrate this pointand may gain support.

If you want to sell your bet, press “go” and you willbe returned the figure on the right. As you can see in thebox above, the majority of my recent bets are profitable.In some cases I must wait for the bets to be realised, BUTI could sell the majority now for a profit, albeit small.

3. I would not advise the use of triggers in such lowrisk bets. They are just not needed.

4. Use multiple bets for multiple profits! I wouldrecommend a mix of NO TOUCH and BARRIERRANGE BETS for each of the indices to be placed at onetime to win between 3% – 7% of stakes. This increasesyour returns and will absorb any losses.

Financial Fixed Odds Reviews:

Are there any profitableFinancial Fixed Oddstipsters out there?

Yes there are! More fixed odds financial tipstersare emerging, all hoping to ride the wave of this

new form of betting. So who’s in the market and arethey any good?

1. Matt Shaw’s Fixed Odds Trader from Fleet StreetPublications Ltd: Already familiar to readers of WRWMfrom our previous excursion into this field, how has thisservice been performing recently? Matt Shaw seems to betreading water at present. After a very rough patch, he hasclawed back with a string of wins. The potential % profits

are in stark contrast to my relatively small and risk free 3-7 % returns: his are more 23%-64%, though his strikerate is much reduced. The profit as it stood at thebeginning of the year is roughly similar to how he standsas of 4th April 2006, albeit with a couple of bets awaitingsettlement. Should some of these 30%+ bets come in,then results will pick up considerably.

Fixed Odds Trader can absorb a few losses, but 6losses and 11 winners have left us pretty much “as is”.

The price is £495 a year. To subscribe go tohttp://www.fsponline-recommends.co.uk/fota0905. Or callMark Rose at FSP Ltd on 020-7633-3732. His emailaddress is markr@f-s-p.co.uk.

2. Jack Milton’s Marketbet Profits: I have receivedsome rather unfavourable feedback regarding JackMilton, and at this juncture would like to ask readers fortheir experiences to verify our initial feedback. JackMilton’s service is available from Streetwise Publications.Streetwise Publications, Eden House, Genesis Park,Sheffield Road, Rotherham, S60 1DX, United Kingdom.Telephone 01709 820033 or emailinfo@streetwisepublications.co.uk

3. Market Excellence: This service was tipped by areader who has experienced good returns and a 100%strike rate! But before we get carried away, you must gainan element of perspective. Market Excellence look forbets similar to the ones I’m targeting, with a relativelysecure return of 3-9%. One loser therefore can undo a lotof previous winners, so it is quite important that an “asclose to” 100% strike rate is secured.

Market Excellence have been profiting regularly nowover the last year and experienced a recent loss whichbroke the impressive 100% record.

The Service: I receive my tips via email, withwelcome analysis behind the bets and a constant reminderthat the watchwords of patience and discipline are the keyto success. With frequent bets during the week,sometimes daily, some as high as 7 and 10%, this serviceoffers something a little different. I like the frequency ofthe bets and the additional commentary whichaccompanies it, providing important advice if you cannotget your bets matched, or reasoning behind a no bet onany particular day. Typical bet length is 9 days whichensures a good turnaround of profit.

Recent figures for one of the team shows a nominalbetting bank has increased from £1000 on Jan 1st 2006 to£1547 by 15th March 2006. The trading records ofanother of the tipsters in the team, Martin Corkish, havealso profited consecutively since inception in March2004, and have been very impressive with acompounding of profits money management system.

With a strict rule not to risk more than 10% of yourbank on any one bet, and highly selective placing of bets,the recent loss on the Gold Barrier range bet (which lost

please turn over

WRWM_Apl06.qxd 19/4/06 13:01 Page 3

4

5% of the bank), has been, and will be more than offsetby the frequency of future bets, and consistent strike rate.

I have a good feeling about this service (and yes I didhave initial enthusiasm regarding Matt Shaw) andmonthly monitoring will hopefully back my initialinstincts.

Market Excellence deal predominantly with barrierrange and no touch bets – the same bets I have chosen aswell as the most profitable and easily executable. If youwant to place the bets yourself, using my simplifiedstrategy, then great. If you want a team of consistentperformers, then Market Excellence may be the guys foryou. One caveat – a betting bank of £800 isrecommended to make the service pay and to reach ourbreak-even point where subscription fees have been paidfor by the winnings.

The advantage over horse racing tipsters isimmediately identifiable. No ludicrous over night riches,no 300% strike rate and a zillion pounds a week –guaranteed – only a bet that either profits or it doesn’t.

Available at www.marketexcellence.co.uk, these guysare well worth checking out if you don’t have theconfidence to go it alone. Starting at £89 for a 3-monthtrial, this represents great value.

Review: The Ultimate Betting System

Introducing the lazypunters guide to soundmoney management

Good money management is something I bringup again and again. And now there’s a package

on the market called the Ultimate Betting Systemwhich could help you to maximise your bettingbank.

At first glimpse this is a professionally put togetherpackage, with all angles covered, and with the novicebettor very much at heart. The focus is predominantly onthe staking plan rather than the selection systems,although a selection method, albeit simple to follow andwith favourable results is included.

The package consists of a comprehensive user guide,video tutorials and the actual software package. Does itprovide good value for money and a workable system?Does it live up to the promises and are the testimonialsbelievable?

Personally, I get a good vibe from the creator, PhilMoulds. He claims to know nothing about horse racing,but plenty about profiting from it! I believe he is a man ofintegrity who really has covered all of the angles.

As to the software – once uploaded, the software isvery effective and comprises of:

• The staking plan – chose from a profit target perday (% of betting bank), straight profit target perday, profit target per race, and profit target per cycle.(We came across this term cycle when looking atprogressive staking). It also includes a stop losswhere you can enter the amount you are willing tolose on any particular day – again discipline!

• Bookies list – provides a list of bookmakers andcurrent concessions

• Balance sheet – keep a profit/loss – good recordkeeping

• Odds calculator – converts decimals (bettingexchange norm prices) into industry standardfractionals (e.g. 6/4)

• Live page which automatically brings up theracing post website

• Results page which is automatically linked intowww.sportinglife.com

• Tipsters – I have been unable to verify the efficacyof these tipsters, and suspect they are there to earnthe system creator some additional affiliate income

• Systems – again see above, some selected systems toearn the creator some more money. I wouldn’trecommend The Football Cash Generator. TheProfessional Gambling System package is good andI have some favourable reports from a reader trialingthe BOSS Soccer Strategy.

• All of the other aspects of the software can belumped together under the heading“resource/help”

It is the staking plan, “cycle” aspect of the softwarethat is its key, and is something close to my own thinking:money management is the key to success – even morethan the selection strategy, because if you can at least getthe occasional winner and protect your betting bankagainst the losers, then you will be ‘in play’ for anotherday.

Profit Target Per Day: The software allows you toset a predetermined profit target per day, depending onyour betting bank size and selection criteria. This methodinstills discipline and a ‘stop at a winner’ approach. Ifyou don’t reach your intended target for that day, thesoftware will carry it over to the next.

Profit Target Per Day (% of betting bank): This iswhere we can look for our 2%, or higher, compoundedprofits, by setting this as our target for the day. Oncereached we have the discipline to stop. The HTB systemselections I have made, as well as my use of dutching, hasenabled me to set a target profit to earn, and stop once it isearned. Please don’t lose sight if you use this method of

WRWM_Apl06.qxd 19/4/06 13:01 Page 4

the relative small daily gains. As long as they areconsistently produced, compounding will take hold, andit’ll be like pushing a small snowball down a long hill.

Profit Target Per Race: This is an interestingalternative if you’re able to follow the live racing. Set aprofit target per race and carry on through yourpreselected races. There is an element of progression tothis particular strategy, so those of you familiar withprevious articles will know that progressive staking ishighly aggressive and very much a risk/reward plan.

Profit Target Per Cycle: I sense the system creatorhas included this element in for completeness sake. It isthe standard progressive staking (or loss chasing!)strategy. It’s the most aggressive plan and most likely toresult in huge stakes if you are unable to match up with aconsistent selection strategy.

Do you need this software? Well, in a word no – I’llqualify this by saying that you can do all of thecalculations yourself with a calculator. You can keeprecords yourself with a tool such as excel or the low techversion (pen and paper). You can access the Sporting Lifeand Racing Post websites for free – 2 of the sections ofthe Ultimate Betting System are devoted solely toflogging you other systems and creating a further incomestream for the system creator.

The software package falls short in the selectionsystems. Marry good selection with good moneymanagement and you will win. Only one selection systemis covered in the package. It is a simple system to use andincorporates elements of my HTB points system. You cantell that the author is a relative novice to racing but hedoesn’t claim to be a “Paul Howell svengali” promisingyou squillions a day, or your money back!

This truly would have been a superb product with afew more coherent and useable betting systems tocompliment the money management aspect. That said, Ibelieve that the Ultimate Betting System software offersthe convenience of doing all calculations for you, has allresources in the one place and above all, it will make youmoney because it actually incorporates the DISCIPLINEand PATIENCE required to make horse racing work foryou.

If you have a good foundation of selection systems(and remember these need not be solely for horse racing),then use the software’s money management plans. Pickthe one which is most suitable for you and your financialgoals. The % of betting bank is my weapon of choice asit utilises the power of compound interest to the max andyou will succeed – and if you set a predetermined stoploss, you can leave a bad day as just that, a bad daywithout turning it into a “ call the Samaritans I’ve justblown my betting bank” day!

For more information go towww.ultimatebettingsystem.com/wrw. Normal price £97.

The good news is there’s a 25% discount for WRWMreaders but only between 1st May and 31st May 2006.

System Blueprint from The Highlander!

The man with 50 year’sworth of betting systemsreveals a proven ratingsystem that can uncoverthe hottest horses to back!

Let me introduce myself. If you’ve seen Page 12of February’s WRWM – Desperately Seeking

The Man With 50 Year’s Worth of Betting Systems’– well I’m that man and I’m more than willing toshare it all with you! I certainly don’t pretend tohave all the answers – not by a distance – and likeall other systemites I’ll go on searching for the HolyGrail.

So where does one start after all those years ofsearching, and with boxes and boxes and files and morefiles to delve into?

How about a system that has been on sale and usedprofitably for all those 50 years, and is still beingmarketed today. Add on the fact that the very samesimple idea has been sold (at big prices) under a varietyof names over that period, and the further fact that I’veadded on my own ideas to improve it considerably; wehave our starting post.

The 2 factors that form the core of this system are:

• Good recent form and the

• Ability to win over the present course and distance.

To put figures to these, the usual approach is to lookat the horse’s form in its last two races and award pointsas follows:

For a win give 5 points, for a second give 3, for thirdgive 2 and for fourth give 1. For a course win award 1point, for a distance win award 1 point and for course anddistance award 3. Thus the maximum points to be scoredfor the horse winning its last two races and for being awinner over course and distance are 13. Such maximumselections are often touted and sold as banker bets to bebacked indiscriminately on the Flat, A.W. and N.H – andyes they do win!

Despite this, I was always left with a number ofquestions that bothered me.

The first was that not all wins are the same, andtherefore they shouldn’t all be worth 5 points. To go toextremes, the winner of a lowly seller at Folkestone is

5please turn over

WRWM_Apl06.qxd 19/4/06 13:01 Page 5

6

clearly not the same as a Classic winner at Newmarket orEpsom. Yet they each get 5 points. And the winner of a 3-horse maiden at Catterick is just as clearly not to beequated with the winner of a 29 runner handicap at York.I could go on – the time of the winning performance, howfar it won by, the going etc. But then we come to the oldproblem of how much detail the ordinary punter has thetime, opportunity and inclination to consider. It’s abalancing act. I am aware that some modern softwareprogrammes that can take into account literally thousandsof factors – and maybe that is the way ahead. But for thisold-timer, let’s be realistic and stick to what we canreasonably manage.

Let’s take an imaginary race with 8 runners. Firstof all we look at the horses with some form that are in thefirst 4 or 5 in our betting forecast. Three stand out –Sheik’s Gold 11 C and D, the 6-4 favourite, CoolmoreStar 12 C, the 5-2 second favourite and Bonzo 34 at 6-1is the fourth in the forecast. Using the traditional ratingsSheik’s Gold is a maximum bet with 13 points. CoolmoreStar has 9 and Bonzo a meagre 3. The betting toosuggests that Sheik’s Gold is our winner. But is he?

Here’s where I introduce my own ratings – slightlymore complicated, but still easy enough to apply:

• Points for winning are awarded according to thenumber of runners. And other placings too. So if ahorse wins a 10 runner race it gets 10 points. If it issecond in a 10 runner race it gets 10-2 = 8 points.Third would get 7 and fourth 6. And so on.

• Points are also awarded for the value of the racein which the horse ran. For a £4,000 race award 4points, for a £10,000 race 10 points etc. Round upwhen a figure is half or more, so a £6,500 racewould get 7 points.

• For course and distance give 2 points for a coursewinner, 2 for a distance winner and 5 for course anddistance.

Let’s return to our imaginary race and see how itworks out. Sheik’s Gold’s 2 wins were in fields of 5 and6 respectively, so he gets 5 + 6 for them. The values ofthe two races were £4,000 and £5,000 so we award afurther 4 + 5 points. And he gets 5 points for his courseand distance win, making a total of 25 points. Next welook at Coolmore Star. It won a 7 runner race worth£6,500 and was second in a 6 runner race value £5,800.For winning the 7 runner race it gets 7 points and forbeing second of 6 it has 4 points. Race values add on afurther 7 points and 6 points. It gets 2 points for itscourse win. Our total therefore is 7 + 4 +7 + 6 +2 = 26points. Contrary to the earlier ratings he is 1 point aheadof Sheik’s Gold, the maximum bet.

Now we come to Bonzo. He was third of 12 in a raceworth £11,200 and then fourth of 14 in a race of £11,750.For being third of 12 he gets 9 points and for fourth of 14

we award 10 points. The race values add on a further 11and 12 points. Altogether Bonzo collects 42 points.Against opponents with 25 and 26 points, and being 6-1in the betting, I know what horse I would back in thatrace.

To illustrate the idea further with two good actualraces for 2 year-olds from an Ascot meeting, here’s how itworked out. Remember, too, that we are looking for raceswith fields of a reasonable size and where most of therunners have some form.

In our first race from Ascot, Elshadi was the forecastfavourite and the pick of the majority of tipsters. Its formin its last two races was 11 and it was a distance winner.It looked good. Using the traditioinal 50-year old ratingsit had 11 points. The other two contenders from thebetting forecast with form were Menokee and FantasticView. Menokee’s form was 51 and a distance win, givingit 6 points, old style. Fantastic View’s form was 21 and acourse and distance winner, making 11 points, the sameas Elshadi. Very close.

Now, using my ratings, Elshadi was first of 5 in a raceworth £9,773 and before that, first of 12 in a race value£4,290. Points are 5 +10 + 12 +4 + 2 = 33. Menokeewas first of 8 in a race worth £3, 562 and fifth of 14 in arace of £6,370. So the points for Menokee are 8 + 4 + 9 +6 + 2 = 29. That puts it 4 points behind Elshadi, as thebetting forecast would suggest, for Menokee was thirdfavourite at 4-1. Then we come to Fantastic View, secondin the betting. It was first of 8 in a race with a value£14,500, and before that second of 7 in a race of £4, 693.The points therefore are 8 +15 +5 + 5 + 5 = 38. At 5points better than Elshadi I had to back it and it won.

The second example that day was the CornwallisStakes where I backed Majestic Missile. It won at 11-4,the second favourite. My ratings will show why. It wassixth of 9 in a race worth £72,500 and before that first of9 in a race of £23,000. It was also a distance winner.With 3 + 73 + 9 + 23 + 2 = 110 it was well clear ofCartography the favourite and Tahreeb. Cartography’sfigures were 8 + 3 +6 + 17 + 2 = 36. And Tahreeb had 7+ 33 + 6 + 10 = 56. Incidentally, the old-time ratings putCartography on 8, Tahreeb on 7 and Majestic Missilewith 6.

I’m sorry if all these figures are a bit tedious, but I feltthat I had to make some effort to make all clear – the oldand the new.

A final thought about figures which was true 50 yearsago and is still true today. Eighty percent of all races arewon by only 20% of all horses in training. There’s alesson for us all!

Happy Hunting!

The Highlander

WRWM_Apl06.qxd 19/4/06 13:01 Page 6

Tipsters and SystemsUpdate! GOOD RESULTS FROM JOHN BUDDEN: a readerhas kept me informed of the great results from Budden.He is delighted by % profit total and the quality of hisinfrequent bets – I say infrequent only to emphasise thequality over quantity method Mr Budden seems toemploy.

With a connection to Musselburgh racecourse andprevious journalistic experience, I believe this could be atipster worth following. As always I must sound a wordof caution that past results can in no way reflect futureperformance but with our reader’s level stake profit to£100 stakes of £1,050 in 3 months, and a further profitsince, he is more than happy.

From 46 bets tracked thus far over 4 months, therehave been 19 winners, and 10 placed horses. Theseresults span early December to present and bearing inmind the winter month’s are notoriously difficult, this is agood sign. John Budden’s service is priced at £109 forthe full year and is available from Offices 133, 28 ElmStreet, Edinburgh, EH7 4RR tel 08000193154.

______________________________

RICHARD MARK – NOT QUITE ON TARGET! Afootball tipster still to avoid I’m afraid based on currentform (he is the Sunderland of football tipsters – he keepslosing!)

______________________________

JOHN MCCRACKEN WARNING! I feel I must startwith a quick warning regarding John McCracken and hisrecent altruistic offer to make us all millionaires in a fewyears. I only know he has our financial wellbeing atheart, but I must sound a word of caution regarding MrMcCracken’s past and why he has been banned fromcourses throughout the UK. It is not down do his Midastouch and ability to pick winners again and again, butrather a more sinister reason. Mr McCracken, it isalleged, has been involved in race fixing involving anumber of horses. He has also had links with high profilejockeys, one of which is Mattie Batchelor. He seems tosee this as a selling point, but alleged involvement inhorse doping does not sit well with me!

Mr McCracken’s unwillingness to appear before aJockey Club hearing resulted in this nationwide ban beingimposed. From a personal perspective, I could not trustthis type of person, regardless of whether the allegationsare true or not.

______________________________

ISIRIS – WHY THE PRICES DON’T ADD UP!Having received the results database for March, I was notenamoured to see the number of “L’s” (indicating losers),amongst the selections. This guy is supposed to be a

professional tipster, yet with a couple of systems of myown, I’m getting 14/1 placed horses regularly, and mylosing runs do not last into double figures. Staking plan tothe rescue again? Well, let’s take a look. Being unwillingto allow me to track their service via their daily update, Iam unable to verify the authenticity of the prices quotedon the spreadsheet I receive. I suspect some of the pricesare a lot lower in the real world due to market forcesamongst other things.

The Isiris Version: I had an inkling that the prices Iwas being supplied for results were unrealistic in thecontext of the live betting market, and from a customer’spoint of view. Using Isiris’ prices, we could have reacheda heady £18000 before plummeting to £13,000 as of thebeginning of April, a profit on the month of £3000+.

The SP Version: A totally different picture emergeswhen I use the actual starting prices. Let’s take a coupleof instances. One that stands out is Lucky Luck who Isirisput down ,and calculated as a winner at 14/1, when theactual starting price was 3/1. Whether you were quickenough to get bigger odds I don’t know. Whether theprice was available at 14/1 I don’t know, but what I doknow is that profits suddenly do not appear as spectacularas Isiris had led me to believe. We actually only reached£11500 and plummeted to a figure lower than when westarted on March 1st.

Personally, the SP figure will be more closer the mark,and I will ensure this is done in future rather than theunrealistic prices at Isiris.

______________________________

THE TRADING POST – HIGHLYRECOMMENDED FOR FOOTIE TRADERS! I’vebeen tracking this service now for some time and havebeen very impressed with the analysis provided onweekend and midweek selected football matches. As youmay realise, this is my preferred method of involvementin single games (apart from the HTB style system Ifollow as referred to in last month’s newsletter) especiallyin running games. The Trading Post focuses on one ortwo matches in particular and offer a trading strategysingular to those games. Let me give you a recentexample:

“Liverpool V Bolton: 9th April: FA Premier League:Bolton travel the short distance to Anfield chasing asecond consecutive European slot. However they arehaving real problems at present on the road. During thelast month, Sam Allardyce’s side have lost away games toMiddlesbro’(3-4), West Ham(1-2), Newcastle(1-3) andperhaps most embarrassing of all, Birmingham onMonday night, 1-0. The wheels have fallen off at exactlythe wrong time for Big Sam and he will be keen to shoreup his defensive side of his team before anything else.

Liverpool, on the other hand, are in a rich vein ofgoal-scoring form as they have scored a staggering 20

7please turn over

WRWM_Apl06.qxd 19/4/06 13:01 Page 7

goals in only four games after struggling to find the net intheir previous nine. The strikers finally seem to havelocated the net and it will be of a major concern toBolton that they are playing so well at present. Benitez’sprimary objective is to hold on to third place in thePremiership but he will also be keen to bring somesilverware back to Anfield and he may well rest a coupleof players to get them ready for FA Cup clash withChelsea on the 22nd.

The general cognoscenti believe that Liverpool’s goal-scoring problems are a thing of the past but I believe thatAllardyce will set his stall up by making his team difficultto break down with two banks of five and this will setLiverpool a problem. Gerrard will return fromsuspension, probably at the expense of Djibril Cisse andthe Reds midfielder is THE driving influence and eventhough Liverpool were in cruise control for the WestBrom game, his invention was sorely missed in the secondhalf when Liverpool really should have put the Baggies tothe sword. We’re going to go against the generalconsensus of opinion here and back the “under 2.5goals” and then trade out after around 30-35 minutes.

Recommendation: BACK the “under 2.5 goals” andthen trade out after 30-35 minutes.”

The game finished 1-0 to Liverpool, and is typical ofthe successes I’ve had with this service. Trading Post is asubscription publication and costs:

1 month: 30GBP

3 months: 81GBP (10% discount)

6 months: 150GBP (15% discount)

12 months:250 (20% discount)

Individual copies can be purchased at £10 per copy.Available at www.betexchangetraders.com/tradingpost/tradingpost.htm

I haven’t experienced a losing trade so far, althoughMilan v Lyon was a close shave with 2 very late goals!The synopsis on the matches is usually spot on. Ofcourse, I have always emphasised research and moreresearch, and there is nothing stopping us taking a lessonfrom this service – ie concentrate on one or 2 matches,probably in the premier league and look at recent resultstrends for both teams, note who’s home and away andcheck out their respective stats for home/away matches.

This service does use the “lay the draw and reverseout when a goal is scored – hopefully by the favourite”tool effectively. We can do the same without paying, butif you want someone else to do the research, The TradingPost is the service I would recommend for bettingexchange football traders.

NEW SERVICE! The Racing Information Database joinsforces with WRWM!

In an effort to cover as many tipsters as possible, wehave joined forces with the Racing Information database,long-time trackers of UK tipsters. I think their editorial issomething that should be shared, especially concerningthe mailshots that bombard us daily. So what’s the latestfrom RID?

“Some good performances this month but on thewhole the services are well below average and there isplenty of room for improvement….As usual the rubbishhas started to come through the letterbox and in thesporting press from services that had a brilliantlyprofitable flat season last year even though nobody hasheard of them before, as usual ignore them, most arecons” Wise words indeed!

The premium rate lines that proved most profitablewere Safebet showing a profit to £100 level stakes of£873 for the month followed by the Isiris Losers line at£1,574 and Lee Keys Maximum at £776. Lee Keys isbehind BIRT, the free software application, and ex of theWinning Line and is predominantly a trader on theexchanges.

The big profit makers for sports betting includeSport4Profit Golf Service with a whopping £5,163 profitto £100 level stakes and sportonlinegambling.com with aprofit of £6,023, well worth tracking.

Racing Information Database will be supplying uswith ones to avoid and ones to bin. I want to ensure wehave access to the best information out there, and if newscomes up between newsletters, I will inform all by e-letter. We will also be receiving traditional horse racingtipsters top 10’s for the previous months – they coverhundreds of tipsters and I think focusing on the cream ofthe crop is the way to go.

If you would like to receive RID’s full monthlyprintouts, which include detailed profit-and-loss figuresand lots of other useful information (including longestwinning and losing runs for each service), write to themat Racing Information Database, PO Box 3336, Sheffield,S14 1WY. You can also e-mail them atracingdatabase@hotmail.com. A subscription to RIDcurrently costs £99 a year and a sample issue is £10.

______________________________

For the 5 tipsters I have highlighted recently – it’sbeen a bad month. Alex Gorrie is some £950 down to£100 level stakes, Winning line are at just under breakeven, Henry Rix is £440 down. Nick Mordin and theSweeney, who had an atrocious last year, are both inprofit by £980 and £3000 respectively.

This part of the newsletter I hope to improveconsiderably, and include good and bad performers.

8

WRWM_Apl06.qxd 19/4/06 13:01 Page 8

Reader’s personal experiences, I feel are integral, soplease get in touch with your successes and horror storiesto enable me to share the good and bad.

RTDO et al: Results to dream of has pleased a lot ofreaders which is good news, and I’ve received somepositive feedback on the lay systems, whose losers faroutweigh the winning horses, which equals profit.

I’m looking at adapting the HTB system to become alay system after one clever reader’s spark of wisdom, andwill keep you informed. Free workable systems are betterthan forking out!. Personally, I have been able tohighlight potential HTB horses who I wouldn’t back,BUT if I’m not going to back them, then why not laythem? I’ll keep you posted.

System Review: A.D. Associates’Premiership Bet

Could you really “Make Over £7,846Betting on PremiershipFootball in 12 weeks orless Guaranteed”?

Alot of readers will have received thePremiership Bet offer from A D Associates

recently, and have asked if it lives up to its promises.Here’s what our tester had to say, having tried thebetting strategy. He wants to remain anonymous, butI’d like to thank him for his time and effort.

The Promises:1. Make money betting on premiership football “£27,879

Last Season”

2. “You will be shown exactly how to calculate thissimple bet”.

3. You will see proof of past success “Yes completeproof”.

4. I will get “A master class in football betting.”

5. “You don’t even have to pick the teams! The methodsyou will learn will pick them for you.”

A brief overview suggested that “this simple bet”would be quite complicated. I do the calculations andproduce a table, which tells me the 5 home teams mostlikely to win on Saturday. This takes an hour, which Icould reduce to 30 minutes with practice but doubt if the15 minutes the publisher claims is possible.

Next step – enter these 5 selections on the long listFixed odds coupon. I write out a trial form as per theclear and precise instructions supplied, and paper trade.

The system claims to predict 5 home wins accurately(apparently). You then place an accumulator using tne top3 predictions, applying the accumulated winnings fromall matches that result in a 1-1 draw using one couponand all matches that have a 2-1 results on a secondcoupon.

The minimum cost is 5p a line, for 47 lines forEnglish football. This costs £4.84 per coupon or £9.68 forthe two coupons. It is very difficult to work out what you“could win”. The publishers say that on average there willbe between 8 and 25 winning lines of either 1-1 or 2-1results. So what actually happened on the 25th March?

I did the ‘simple calculations’. Bearing in mind I onlyhave a degree level experience of statistical analysis Imay have got this wrong!

The 5 most likely home wins are Barnsley, NottsForest, Cardiff, Southend and Wolves.

I choose the top three. Remember all three must provewins for the bet to work at all!

The actual results were:

Barnsley 0-0

Notts Forest 3-1

Cardiff 0-0

Southend 3-1

Wolves 1-3

This is a total loss. Two correct out of 5 or 40% doesnot represent high certainty!

Early days... and I may have made mistakes. Ouraccumulated winnings will then go forward to be put onlines where the outcome was 1-1 draw or a 2-1 homewin.

Two coupons each with 47 lines - that’s 94 lines in all.If successful how many winning lines would we of hadon Saturday 26th March?

The Answer is 5 out of 94. About 4.5%.

There were 1-1 results at Brighton, Ipswich, Leicesterand Port Vale.

There was a 2-1 at Bury.

I now know how to put on a 2 part bet. Both parts hadto work to win. Neither part worked. They give exampleswhere they are placing £500 bets using this method –hmmmm!

An assessment of 0/10 of this system at this timewould seem a little over generous!

This AD package came with lots of freebies. I founda simple football bet. I jotted this down, found relevantteams and subsequently looked at what the outcomewould have been. Had I backed it with £40 I would havebeen £110 better off! I may try that for real next week!

Sat 25/03: reviewed the bet. It would have lost – only

9please turn over

WRWM_Apl06.qxd 19/4/06 13:01 Page 9

2 of the 5 teams won. Also using 3 team accumulator noway was a win possible.

1/4/06: I was a lot quicker to work out the bet thisweek. I decided to include the top Scottish fixtures aswell. The 5 teams most likely to win at home wereMotherwell, St Johnstone, Mansfield, Reading and QPR.

Results would have been better. The top three teamswon. By my calculations they would have increased a10p a line stake to 35p a line. There were 5 1-1 scoredraws at an odds average of 4 a line which wouldproduce a total of £7.13. There were 5 2-1 scores draw at7 producing £12.25. So the return on 122 lines at 10p aline (£12.20) would have been £19.38 making a profit£7.18. The book says that “on average there would be 8-25 winning lines”

The Trixie and Football Trading Free Strategies:the package also includes a simple trixie bet and afootball trading strategy, which mirrors the Football CashGenerator. Our tester tried it. Here’s what he found:

“I tried the trixie bet that won last week. The top awayteams were Chelsea, Arsenal and Liverpool. Chelsea drewbut Arsenal and Liverpool won. Stake: £10 a line costing£40. As a consolation I got £28 back. I am told this betworks 80% of the time, it is simple and easy to place andI will give it another go. (Editor’s note – I suspect thistrixie bet involves backing 3 away teams priced at lessthan evens – a trixie being a 3 match accumulator – thissystem has been around for years).

For two weekday matches I tried a free simple footballbetting strategy. At the beginning of a match you “lay thedraw”. You lose if a draw but gain if either side win.Reverse your bet to backing the draw when the first goalis scored – bet on the draw at higher odds than the lay toneutralise liability and create a profit on all outcomes.

Middlesbrough v Basel: I intended to equalise my betimmediately the first goal was scored but next time Ilooked Basel were two up! I went to Betfair – the oddshad swung my way. To ensure that whatever the outcomeI would win I bet on the draw. I had laid the draw for£100 at 3.35 giving a liability of £235. I later bet £15.00on the draw at 14.00 giving me £85 if either team won ora £10.00 loss if it was a draw.

Was this a one off? I managed a £22 profit the nextnight on Crystal Palace v Watford.

On Saturday I chose Fulham v Portsmouth and Boltonv Man U. I placed both bets before the matches startedand then found that the Fulham match did not have livebetting. I was therefore stuck with the “not a draw”situation.

Lesson to be learnt: bet on matches as soon as theyare in play to ensure that they are available to bet on.Bolton scored first but no shift in the draw odds. ManUequalised – but I’d opposed the draw! 1-1 at half time.75th minute – still a draw! Arrrgh! Unless I got out I

would lose £133 on my £50 stake. Then MU score andthe odds change. Lay the draw at 4.5 liability £133. Beton the draw at 12 profit £40.00 Phew!

(Editor’s note – please email me if you would likemore on this bet)

Week 3: The following teams emerged as ‘highlylikely’ home winners: Oldham, Southend, Liverpool,Rangers and Bristol Rovers.

We select 3 of the teams as an accumulator bet whichwill then be applied to all lines on a coupon with theresult 1-1 and all lines on another coupon with theoutcome 2-1.

I tried something different. Rather than place the full-blown coupon bets I placed a trixie with the top threeteams. I’ll compare the trixie with the result I would havegot from placing the coupon bets to the same cost.

A TRIXIE – calculated on the three teams winning. Ifall the teams win the bets become accumulators. The totalof aXb, aXc, cXb, aXbXc (editor’s note – forclarification the x is multiplication (in football circles thex also denotes draw)) would payout if all teams win. Ifany of the three teams lose then the lines with them inbecome void. Now the advantage is that if two teams winand one loses then there is still a return from one line.

E.g. If team “a” lose then the line cXb would stillpayout giving a partial refund of the stake.

What happened? Trixie on the top teams, Oldham,Liverpool, Southend.

Oldham then lost at home, Liverpool and Southendwon. Of the two teams I did not include - Rangers wonand Bristol Rovers lost. If I had gone with the full 2coupon bet at £0.40 a line, and backed 50 lines on eachcoupon I would have lost £40.00!

The second part of the coupon bet relies on the firstpart of the bet being successful which it wasn’t. It needsa number of matches with the score line 1-1 and 2-1.Within the 50 backed on each coupon, there were 5 1-1sand 6 2-1s. This would have paid out about £8.00 profiton coupon 1 and £38 profit on coupon 2 making a total of£46.00 profit had the accumulator proved successful.

My Trixie would have paid £101.20 or £61.20 profit ifI had backed it for £10 a line making a £40 total stake.Much better value! And the slightly better news is that ofthe £40 stake it returned me £22.50, so my loss on thiswas reduced to £17.50

Over the past three weeks the whole football betsystem has failed to deliver twice!

Summary: A&D recommend a complicated 2-couponaccumulator bet. Instead I have been taking the top threepredictions and placing them as a Trixie. By week 3 theTrixie is showing a miniscule profit while the couponbets are showing a considerable loss.

10

WRWM_Apl06.qxd 19/4/06 13:01 Page 10

11please turn over

From 25/3/06 to 7/4/06

Week stake coupon Stake trixie bets outcome outcome

1 £40 -£40 £40 -£40

2 £40 +£44 £40 +£60

3 £40 -£40 £40 -£17.50

Running totals -£36 +£3.50

So what’s the bottom line on the ADAssociates’ service?

“I am impressed with Pro Select,the people behind thefootball bet. The literature is clear and friendly and theyhave just sent me a newsletter with a simple system forbetting on Greyhounds! Had I have applied it toyesterdays results and I would have been £102 up. Theyseem like a reliable and clever bunch.”

For those of you interested in receiving furtherinformation on the other selection strategies in this article(which are available free elsewhere) – I would be happyto enlighten you – drop me an email atwhatreallywins@yahoo.co.uk.

AD Associates offer a 20 Times your money backguarantee lasting for 12 weekend matches. Further more“if you are still not convinced it doesn’t do precisely aspromised and produces at least 20 times your money,simply just return it and we’ll happily refund you!”

Our tester hasn’t reaped his £640 per week (part of the£7846... in 12 weeks or less).

WARNING: If you are going to purchase thispackage, I would check that the guarantee holds up. ADAssociates publish business opportunity packages thathave similar seemingly strong guarantees. Unfortunately,the small print is often used to refuse a refund – so bewarned!

The added bonuses are in no way valued at £487(perhaps AD Associates would like to value some stuffI’ve got lying around the house!) – the DVD’s on thehistory of racing and Lester Piggott are not connectedwith making money.

OK, bear in mind that our tester was a novice. We’realso coming to a part of the season where results areunpredictable due to a number of factors such asrelegation, pushing for champion league’s spot, 4th place,and some teams have nothing to play for.

As it stands, I would suspect the £7,489 in 12 weeks isexaggerated, and based upon a much bigger betting bankthan the working man could afford to risk. We willcontinue to monitor and update as our tester gains moreexperience.

AD Associates’ The Premiership Bet

Details: £69 plus £3.00 p&p to AD Associates of 78York street London W1H 1DP

Review: The Secrets Of SuccessfulGambling

Introducing The OpenUniversity of bettingcourses!

This comprehensive course has been around foryears and to say it is comprehensive would be

something of an understatement. Coming as amonthly course in some 25 modules, every angle iscovered as regards gambling. There really is awealth of information here.

Created by a team of writers in consultation withprofessionals who know their game, this course is forthose who are willing to commit study and time tosuccessfully implementing the myriad strategies that arefound within the course material.

One of the frustrating elements of this course for me isthat it flits between one subject and the next with eachlesson. I would have much preferred to have been able toaccess all of the information pertinent to horseracing inone section, similarly, everything associated with football,greyhounds, casinos, poker, could have all been puttogether. The index at the end of the course, I suppose,does tell us where everything can be found under thegeneral sports headings...

With such a huge course, I have been unable to put allof the strategies to use, and to track their performance,but this is something I will be committed to doing in thecoming months, and will report back my findings. Thecourse cost will be fully justified with just one successfulstrategy and I would suggest that we will find more thanone strategy.

A look through the whole content of the course, andeverything is covered, although there are some horseracing systems where there are some ifs and buts. Onesuch system “should make an enviable profit” – I wouldhave preferred a “will” there rather than a should.

So what’s covered? Have you got a couple of hoursto spare? There are plenty of football systems, fromcorrect scores, permutations, the fixed odds coupon, tothe pools. The greyhound systems look intriguing andwell worth putting through their paces, but as the coursewriters admit, greyhound racing involves a lot of luck butagain there are a number of strategies, with some veryinteresting betting methods. Casinos are covered in fullincluding kenos, blackjack, poker, and craps! Withsections on cricket, rugby, and even snooker, there’ssomething for everyone.

You also get guest contributions from the “Informant”,who offers some timely, common sense and very

WRWM_Apl06.qxd 19/4/06 13:01 Page 11

12

insightful vignettes into the perils to avoid and some ofthe more intriguing horse racing methodologies.

With money management covered in depth, I reallyfeel that there is, within the hundreds of pages ofinformation, a winning system which can be found foryou to work your own niche and couple together with aprudent staking plan...

As mentioned previously, chopping and changingfrom one subject to the next is not my personalpreference, however I can understand that with a monthlyformat, it is important to include articles on all elementsof the gambling world.

Here’s a taster of one of the systems in the course.It’s called the Key System, and one testimonial shows itsapparent effectiveness: “The Key System amazinglypicked out Saffron Walden in the Irish 2000 Guineas withgreat odds. I really jumped for joy when it rompedhome…”

This system comprises the following steps and istypical of the easy to follow systems inherent within thecourse:

1. Look at all meetings and select all horses who wontheir last 2 races this season only

2. Ensure they are course and distance winners

3. Disqualify any horse running on standard, soft toheavy, or soft ground

4. No odds ons

5. For horses priced at evens – 9/2 stake 1 point

6. For horses priced at 5/1 – 9/1 stake ? point each way

7. For horses priced at 10/1 or higher, stake ? point eachway.

Bottom Line: This really is a home study course withthe emphasis on “study”. If you have the time andinclination, follow the methods, put in the time, andconcentrate on a niche area. I feel there is more thanenough here to turn your negative betting experiencesinto wholly positive ones.

Some areas of the course are closely aligned to myway of thinking, as regards money management, backingmore than one horse in a race, and staking to ensure ourbetting bank remains protected despite losers.

Included within the package is a free 3 month trial tothe Gerald Taylor Tipping Service, which I have beenunable to trial as yet and 2 free booklets on the betting

exchanges (my particular niche). These 2 booklets inthemselves have sparked the creative juices, and haveopened my eyes to a couple of “why didn’t I think ofthat?” strategies to use in my trading (again my niche).

Details: Secrets Of Successful Gambling

Website: http://www.sofsg.com/

Price: £29.97 a month (first month free). “If you decidenot to continue your membership, simply write to us tocancel before your payment for Lesson 2 is due. Yourmembership will be cancelled, you can keep Lesson One,and you won’t owe us a penny.” After that you arecovered by the 3-part guarantee:

“When you become a full member, you have twoyears to use SSG. If, after that time you don’t make atleast £31,025.17 after two years of following all 25Lessons and bonuses included in the SSG course, yourfull subscription fees will be refunded to you immediatelyby first class post. Just send us back the SSG programme,in any condition, together with your full betting recordwhen the course is complete, and your refund request.”

________________________________________

“STEAL THIS BOOK!”How to find, repackage andrepublish works you can getfor FREE in the publicdomain... selling as manycopies as you like... keeping100% of the profits... andnever having to pay a pennyin fees or royalties!

Al last! Here’s how to find, repackage andrepublish books, pictures and music you can get

for FREE in the public domain, sell as many copiesas you like, keep 100% of the profits and make atleast £30,000 – £75,000 a year – all from home!

For full details take a look at the informationpack enclosed with this month’s issue.

It is my intention to be as accurate in fact, detail and comment as possible. However, the publishers and their representatives cannot beheld responsible for any error in detail, accuracy or judgement whatsoever. What Really Wins Money is sold on

this understanding. ISSN: 1741 9018All subscription correspondence to: What Really Wins Money,

Subscription Office, Unit 1, Hainault Works, Hainault Road, Little Heath, Romford, RM6 5SS.Tel: 0208 597 0181 Fax: 0208 597 4040.Registered office: Canonbury Publishing Ltd. Curzon House, 24 High Street, Banstead, Surrey, SM7 2LJ.

Registered in England No. 4765425 Vat Reg No. 811 5700 64 © Copyright What Really Wins Money 2006

WRWM_Apl06.qxd 19/4/06 13:01 Page 12