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An Improved Model for Risk Management NCSHA Conference 2015 September 28, 2015 Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

An Improved Model for Risk Management NCSHA Conference 2015 September 28, 2015 Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

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Page 1: An Improved Model for Risk Management NCSHA Conference 2015 September 28, 2015 Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

An Improved Model for Risk Management

NCSHA Conference 2015September 28, 2015

Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

Page 2: An Improved Model for Risk Management NCSHA Conference 2015 September 28, 2015 Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

Overview

• Recognized need for position to monitor multifamily performance portfolio

• Risk Rating Model created in 2012 to make system more proactive, as well as:– Promote efficiencies in data collection/storage

– Provide comprehensive evaluation of property performance, condition and owner/management capacity

– Provide ability to share most current site operating data between divisions to facilitate data-backed decisions

September 28, 2015

Page 3: An Improved Model for Risk Management NCSHA Conference 2015 September 28, 2015 Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

Overview (cont.)

September 28, 2015

• Multifamily Risk Rating Model utilizes existing staffing, software, infrastructure & reporting systems, but integrates them to maintain robust “point in time” repository of data

• Reports extracted from database have expanded proactive portfolio management in many areas:– Workout Committee analysis: problem loans, site issues,

decision-making reviews for potential loan workouts & reserve withdrawals

– Portfolio monitoring purposes

Page 4: An Improved Model for Risk Management NCSHA Conference 2015 September 28, 2015 Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

Overview (cont.)

September 28, 2015

– Identification of trends in operating performance– Determine compliance inspections to be waived in

following year, or which ones may require increase in visits

– Comparison tool in review of proposed pro forma data on contemplated financial transactions

Page 5: An Improved Model for Risk Management NCSHA Conference 2015 September 28, 2015 Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

A Better Model for Assigning Risk

• Risk-rating system based on specific point system• Grades each multifamily property in 4

performance categories & assigns points (max of 25 points in each category) according to:– Current and historic operating– Projected financial health– Physical condition of property– Strength of management

September 28, 2015

Page 6: An Improved Model for Risk Management NCSHA Conference 2015 September 28, 2015 Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

New Features

• 2014-2015: Added fields to further enhance ability to assess & compare developments:

- Development Type (Family vs. Elderly)- Sponsor Type (For-Profit vs. Nonprofit)- Location (City or Town)- # of buildings

September 28, 2015

Page 7: An Improved Model for Risk Management NCSHA Conference 2015 September 28, 2015 Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

New Uses for Risk Rating Model in 2015

• Review most recent operating performance data of real estate owned by developers being considered for new tax credit allocations

• Integrated data into application review process:– Historical performance of developer’s portfolio – Allows those allocating credits to have most

comprehensive data available for financial decisions

September 28, 2015

Page 8: An Improved Model for Risk Management NCSHA Conference 2015 September 28, 2015 Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

Data Collection

• Data comes from variety of sources within agency: Loan Servicing/Asset Management, Development, Finance, & Resident Services divisions

• Utilizing existing software (ACCESS) & Loan Servicing/Asset Management staff, initiative does not require additional infrastructure and remains cost-effective

• Bonus: Undertaking analysis using own employees results in deeper level of understanding of unique conditions at each development

September 28, 2015

Page 9: An Improved Model for Risk Management NCSHA Conference 2015 September 28, 2015 Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

2014 Highest 25 Overall Risk Rating Scores

September 28, 2015

Page 10: An Improved Model for Risk Management NCSHA Conference 2015 September 28, 2015 Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

For Profit Sponsors vs. Nonprofit Sponsors(with highest 25 overall scores)

September 28, 2015

Page 11: An Improved Model for Risk Management NCSHA Conference 2015 September 28, 2015 Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

Score Change Percentages from 2013-2014

September 28, 2015

-54

Page 12: An Improved Model for Risk Management NCSHA Conference 2015 September 28, 2015 Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

Management Companies overseeing sites with 25 lowest & highest scores

September 28, 2015

Page 13: An Improved Model for Risk Management NCSHA Conference 2015 September 28, 2015 Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

Outcomes

• Turning point for our Loan Servicing/Asset Management division– Easy to pinpoint sites struggling financially or suffering

from physical deficiencies

• New fields allow us to watch for trends in various geographic areas & compare developments

September 28, 2015

Page 14: An Improved Model for Risk Management NCSHA Conference 2015 September 28, 2015 Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

Outcomes (cont.)

• Collaborative interdivisional effort, which improved communication & established more evidence-based feedback

• System has streamlined processes within division and increased overall reliability of documentation & analysis

• Produces more robust reporting & executive dashboards

September 28, 2015

Page 15: An Improved Model for Risk Management NCSHA Conference 2015 September 28, 2015 Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset Management

Thank you!Contact Information:Leslie McKnight, Director of Loan Servicing & Asset ManagementPhone: 401-457-1184Email: [email protected]

September 28, 2015