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AFRREV VOL. 11 (1), S/NO 45, JANUARY, 2017
115
Copyright © IAARR, 2006-2017: www.afrrevjo.net. Indexed African Journals Online: www.ajol.info
AN INTERNATIONAL MULTI-DISCIPLINARY JOURNAL,
ETHIOPIA
AFRREV VOL. 11 (1), SERIAL NO. 45, JANUARY, 2017: 115-135
ISSN 1994-9057 (Print) ISSN 2070-0083 (Online)
DOI : http://dx.doi.org/10.4314/afrrev.v11i1.9
An Appraisal of the Utilisation of Social Media for Political
Communication in the 2011 Nigerian Presidential Election
Okoro, Nnanyelugo, Prof
Department of Mass Communication
University of Nigeria, Nsukka
E-mail: [email protected]
----------------------------------------------
Santas, Tsegyu
Doctoral Student,
Department of Mass Communication,
University of Nigeria, Nsukka
E-mail: [email protected]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Abstract
The study is a survey aimed at examining the utilisation of social media for political
communication during the 2011 presidential election in Nigeria. The rationale behind
the study was to determine whether voters’ choice of presidential candidates was
influenced by their social media use. 249 respondents selected through random
sampling responded to 249 copies of questionnaire administered. The results of the
descriptive statistics show that majority of the respondents’ choice of presidential
candidates during the 2011 presidential election was influenced by the use of social
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media as indicated by high value of mean (1.5805). Similarly, the respondents were of
the opinion that the two selected presidential candidates were popular because they
used social media in their political campaign (mean value of 1.5575). In addition, the
respondents affirmed that their voting pattern during the 2011 presidential elections
was influenced by social media usage. This was validated by a high mean value of
(1.6667). Similarly, the result of the test of hypothesis indicated that voters’ choice of
political candidates was influenced by political communication on social media. The
findings further indicated that religious affiliations and ethnicity were also factors that
influenced voter’s choice of candidates. In view of the findings of this study, it was
therefore concluded that social media have redefined the landscape of political
communication in Nigeria and it should continue to be used in future elections in
Nigeria. It is also recommended that electorate should also ensure that they
deemphasized ethnic and religious considerations in their voting patterns in future
elections; only credible candidates should be voted into power.
Key words: Communication, Election, Politics, and Social media
Introduction
The influence of new media technology in political communication across the globe
cannot be overemphasized. In recent times, the social media are playing a dominant
role in political mobilization, participation and electioneering campaigns in both
developed and developing countries across the continent of the world. It is on record
that since President Barrack Obama of the United State of America efficient use of the
social media, there has been a growing use of new media technologies in facilitating
political communication in contemporary times. Obama’s victory is largely attributed
to the massive deployment of social media by his campaign organization which
provided inspiration to other world leaders. For instance, President Goodluck Jonathan
and other political candidates equally used the social media to execute their political
campaign during the 2011 presidential elections. Throughout history, political
campaigns have evolved around the advancing technologies that are available to
political candidates. As technology develops, politicians are able to deploy them to
facilitate the dissemination of their manifestos (Emruli & Baca, 2011 p. 155).
In Nigeria, the 2011 general elections were the first litmus test of the use of social
media by political parties, political candidates, and the civil society organizations. The
election was historic in the sense that it was the first time ever that new media
technologies like Facebook, Blogs, LinkedIn and other social networks facilitated
political communication and participation in Nigeria (Dagona, Karick, & Abubakar,
2013, p.2). Thus, these new media technologies have redefined methods of political
communication in contemporary times and thereby led to significant shift towards the
utilization of these modern tools in the electoral process. This new paradigm shift has
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challenged previous methods used for political communication where television, radio
and newspapers dominated coverage of political campaigns, and thus became the
primary source of election-related information. However, today, the social media have
become a major avenue where political parties and candidates connect with the
electorate to share vital information about their policies, programmes and manifestos.
Because of the ease, reach and speed associated with the social media, it has become a
tool revolutionizing the field of political communication globally. It is upon this
paradigm shift in the communication industry that this study appraised the utilization
of social media during the 2011 presidential electioneering campaign.
Statement of the Problem
Nigeria held its general election in 2011 which provided an opportunity for voters to
elect the president that would pilot the activities of the state for the next four years.
Apart from the conventional media of communication like radio, television and the
newspapers available to political candidates and major stakeholders in the
electioneering process to communicate their messages to the electorate, the social
media were massively deployed for the dissemination of political messages during the
elections.
It is an incontrovertible fact that new media technologies have become an integral tool
of political communication on a global scale. The medium is gradually becoming a
dependable tool in influencing and changing the opinions and behaviour of the public.
Recognizing the huge benefits derived from the social media for political
communication, Nigerian politicians have embraced and exploited it for political
campaigns during the 2011 presidential elections. According to Facebook statistics
(2010, p.2) “at least one million, seven hundred and fourteen Nigerians use the social
media especially Facebook, with a good number of them being young”. However, there
is no comprehensive knowledge of how this “new form of media” can facilitate as well
as impact on political communication in Nigeria. This study therefore investigated how
social media were utilized for political communication during the 2011 presidential
elections.
Aim and Objectives of the Study
The aim of the study is to basically evaluate the extent to which social media are
redefining the landscape of political communication in Nigeria. In doing this, the 2011
general election was critically examined to show how social media were used to
communicate political messages by the various presidential aspirants. The specific
objectives of the study are to:
(1) Assess the influence of social media on voter’s choice of political
candidates during the 2011 presidential election in Nigeria.
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(2) Find out whether the popularity of the presidential candidates during the
2011 presidential election has any significant relationship with their use
of social media.
(3) Determine the influence of social media on the voting pattern of the
electorate during the 2011 presidential election.
Research Questions
(1) To what extent did social media influence voters’ choice of political
candidates during the 2011 presidential election
(2) Was the popularity of presidential candidates during the 2011
presidential election influenced by their social media usage?
(3) To what extent did social media influence voting pattern of electorate
during the 2011 presidential election.
Research Hypotheses
Ho 1: Voter’s choice of political candidates in the 2011 presidential election was
not influenced by political communication on social media.
Ho 2: The popularity of Presidential aspirants in the 2011 general election has no
significant relationship with their social media use during the election.
Ho 3: Electorate voting pattern during the 2011 elections was not influenced by
their exposure to political messages on social media.
Significance of the Study
Being a relatively new field in the ever-dynamic field of communication in Nigeria, the
study will provide additional knowledge on the subject matter. It is hoped that the study
in its practical value will educate politicians and political parties on the importance of
social media in contemporary political communication, since social media tools are yet
to be fully explored for political campaigns in Nigeria. Also, this study will provide
insights to the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and civil society
organizations in designing programmes that would promote the use of new media
technologies in the political process in Nigeria. Lastly, the findings of this study would
serve as a springboard for future research in the field of political communication.
Theoretical Framework: Uses and Gratifications Theory
Uses and Gratifications Theory provided the framework for this study. According to
Baran and Davis (2003), the origin of the theory is often credited to Herta Herzog. They
went further to establish that Herzog’s article entitled “motivations and gratifications
of daily serial listeners” was the first published research to provide an in-depth
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examination of media gratifications. Sweetser and Kaid (2008) opined that the theory
has been more recently used to determine the gratifications of entertainment media.
The theory also has a long history of investigating political information seeking
motivations.
Blumer and McQuail (1969) found that gratifications sought from watching political
broadcasts clustered into three constructs; political reason such as reinforcement or vote
guidance; surveillance for keeping up with the issues; and excitement such as seeing
which political party would win. With the development of the internet and its
subsequent deployment for the dissemination of political information, researchers have
applied the uses and gratifications perspective to online political information seeking.
Kaye and Johnson (2002) examined gratification for seeking political information
online and found that primary motivations to be guidance, information seeking and
surveillance, entertainment and social utility. These scholars also link media use
political attitudes and behaviours. To buttress this assertion, Kaye and Johnson (2002)
in a study reported that higher levels of self-efficacy are associated with information
seeking and surveillance, and higher interest in politics is correlated with accessing
political information online for social utility and information seeking surveillance.
The theory according to Anaeto, Onabanjo and Osifeso (2008, p.71) is concerned with
what people do with the media instead of what the media do to people. The major trust
of the theory subscribes to the assumption that consumers of mass media content
influence the effect of the mass media on them. Hence media consumers are not
passive but active in determining what they use the media for. Folarin (2005) observed
that mass media audience have some certain needs that are dear to them that is why
they are exposed to, attend to, and retain media messages because of the perceived
gratification derivable from such messages. The theory is relevant to this study
because users of social media feel that the medium will satisfy their curiosity and meet
their information need, and thus make them active participants in the political
communication process. Therefore, they are able to select specific messages on a
variety of social media platforms to connect to political activities within and outside
their geographical location.
Literature Review
An Overview of Social Media
According to Sherman (2000) the term “social media” was in 2007 coined by Danah
in Boyed of the school of information at the University of California and Nicole B.
Ellison of the Department of Telecommunications, information studies and media at
Michigan State University. Even though the term is usually regarded by several
people to mean the same with similar concepts like new media and social networking
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sites, however, the two concepts are not actually the same. In order to rightly
contextualize the concept of social media, it is imperative to consider what social
networking sites are. Boyd and Ellison (2008, P. 21) opined that “social networking
sites are web-based services that allow individuals to construct a public or semi-
public profile within a bounded system, articulates a list of other users with whom
they share a common connection, and view and traverse their list of connections and
those made by others within the system”. Boyd and Ellison’s definition provides us
with an understanding for describing social media. According to them, social media
is a medium that allows individuals to share important information with friends.
Social media therefore, is a subset of information communication technologies.
Corroborating Boyed and Ellison’s definition, Chijioke (2013) asserted that “social
media are simply internet based interactive platforms through which people can
create and exchange information in a participatory manner on a real-time basis.” He
went further to note that they are online democratic and participatory communication
channels that allow inhibited exchange of information and documents among users.
According to Arthur (2011), social media are internet-based tools and services that
allow users to engage with each other, generate content, distribute, and search for
information online. It is the interactive or collaborative nature of the medium that
makes them “social”.
In a nutshell, this paper defined social media as online tools that allow
communication of information online and make participation and collaboration
possible. Specifically, social media here is used to refer to Facebook, Twitter,
YouTube, Blogs, MySpace, Friendster, Linkedin and many others. The advent of the
internet which brought about the development of different forms of social media
platforms is increasingly supporting democratic participation and free flow of
information between individuals in emerging democracies. Citizens are not merely
consuming information content, but are privileged to become content producers,
thereby encouraging participatory democracy which is the hallmark of democracy.
Conceptualizing Political Communication
According to Agudosi (2007), political communication is the dissemination of
information about the functioning of a political entity in order to influence the
behaviour of the audience in a variety of ways. He went further to say that it is also
the interactive process concerning transmission of information among politicians, the
news media and the public. On the same view, Graber and Smith (2005) opined that
political communication involves the construction, sending, receiving, and
processing of messages that potentially have significant direct or indirect impact on
politics. Political communication is an increasingly important area in communication
and media studies. A study by Okoro and Diri (2009) has shown the importance of
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the media in contributing significantly in creating public awareness and mobilizing
participation in the political process. The media therefore help citizens to reach
informed decisions about what course of action to take and also offer the populace
the platform to be educated on political relevant information. It is on this premise
that Rush and Althoff (1972) cited in Akasoro (2011) conceived political
communication to be:
The process by which politically-relevant information is transmitted
from one part of the political system to another, and between the social
and political systems. It is a continuous process involving the
exchange of information between individuals and groups of
individuals at all levels of society, and includes not only the expression
of the views and wishes of members of society, but also the means by
which the views and proposals of those in power are transmitted to the
society and the latter’s reaction to those views and proposals.
From all the above definitions given by various scholars, political communication is
essentially important in a democratic society since the mass media are the purveyor
of political information and education of the electorates.
Review of Empirical Studies
According to Clark and Aufderheide (2009, p.1), social media are increasingly
becoming popular among politicians and their organizations as a means to disseminate
political messages, learn about the interest and needs of constituents and the broader
public, raise funds, and build networks of support. Lending credence to this assertion,
Hong and Nadler (2011) observed that in a very short space of time, politicians in
modern democracies across the world have eagerly adopted social media for engaging
their constituents, entering into direct dialogs with citizens and enabling vivid political
discussions. Raiz (2010) equally posited that in the past five years, elections conducted
in Africa witnessed a massive use of social media during electioneering campaigns by
key political figures, political parties and civil society organizations. This
development has made researchers in recent times to investigate the influence of social
media in the sphere of political communication. This perhaps explains why
researchers like Graber and Smith (2005) contend that a great deal of research efforts
has gone into assessments of the role played by new media in providing information
to those citizens and politicians alike who need to fulfil their civic duties.
A number of studies have been conducted by scholars on the growing influence of
social media during political campaigns, for instance, a study by Kushin and
Yamamoto (2010) attempted to determine whether social media usage actually impact
on political self-efficacy and involvement of electorates during the 2008 US
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presidential election. Their findings show that there was a drastic rise in the use of
social media by political candidates as well as the electorates. According to them, 27%
of young people reported obtaining political information from the social media.
Corroborating their finding, Owen, Soule, Nairne, Chalif, House., and Davidson,
(2011) remarked that the 2008 US election marked a breakthrough year for political
use of new media and social networks specifically. They further opined that social
networking websites played an especially innovative and important role in the
protracted primary race between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton. Obama
subsequent victory at the main election was largely attributed to his massive use of the
social media during the electioneering campaigns.
Similarly, Warren (2009) investigated the use of social networking site Facebook in
2008 presidential election in America. The study was specifically design to analyze
whether Facebook might be a practical campaign tool to target young voters,
particularly college students. A survey research method was adopted for the study to
collect data from 212 students at the University of Central Missouri to determine if
Facebook was a viable campaign tool. The study concludes that college students that
participated in the political activities on Facebook felt more motivated to vote in 2008
presidential election and the students who had Facebook account had better identified
with the candidates due to their presence and the information they received on face
book.
McLaughlin and Osborne (1997, p.10) Cited in Alakali, Titus, Akpan and Tarnongo
(2013) revealed that nearly three-quarter (73%) of American internet users, or 54% of
all voters went online in 2010 for news or information about midterm elections or
communicate with others about campaign and the information voters are getting
online, appears to have sway. In addition, one third of respondents said the information
they saw online made them to vote for or against a particular candidate. This
underscored the role of social in the US presidential election.
In another related study, Larsson and Moe (2011) conducted a study on Twitter use
during the 2011 Swedish election and found that Twitter also serves as a channel for
disseminating political information and not for political dialog with the electorates.
Larsson and Moe study revealled that Swedish political elites see Twitter as a medium
to communicate political contents to the people and not necessarily as a tool to engage
the electorates in political conversation. On the contrary, Williams and Gulati (2009)
research on the extent of Facebook use by congressional candidates during election
campaigns, discovered that the number of facebook supporters can be considered a
valid indicator of electoral success. In the context of Dutch election, Utz (2009)
showed that social networking sites provided an opportunity for politicians to reach
individuals interested in politics. Their view of candidates’ profiles further
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strengthened their exiting attitudes. Confirming Utze’s study the Pew Research Centre
(2014) examined the use of new media techniques in Iowa and New Hampshire. The
aim of the study was to determine whether or not the websites of political candidates
were being utilized by potential voters. They found that 30% of likely voters in Iowa
and 29% in New Hamshire said they visited candidate’s websites. Roughly the same
percentage has viewed political candidate’s videos online as well. Meanwhile, quite
few of the respondents have joined a social networking page such as Facebook or
MySpace.
The 2011 general elections provided political aspirants the avenue to use social media
tools to connect with voters and constituents for the first time in Nigeria political
arena; for instance, Ekine (2010) reported that President Goodluck Jonathan had
nearly 3000,000 followers on his Facebook account following the step of president
Barrack Obama of the United State. Corroborating further, Okoro and Nwafor (2013)
conducted a study titled “social and political participation in Nigeria during the 2011
general elections: The lapses and the lessons”. The objectives of the study were to find
out the role played by social media in the political participation of Nigerians, observe
the lapses in the use of social media during the elections, and the lessons learnt from
social media use in the course of the election. The findings of their study revealled
that 93% of the respondents attested to the fact they used social media for political
participation during the election. Respondents also said they used different social
media platforms like Facebook, Twitter, SMS calls, and YouTube to participate during
the election. The study also identified some lapses in the cause of the use of social
media in the electioneering process.
Furthermore, civil society groups and activists were not left out in the political process.
Groups such as “Safe Nigeria Group”, “Vote or Quench”, “Enough is Enough”, “Light
up Nigeria” and “Sleeves up Nigeria”, and “Reclaim Naija”, among others were
formed in order to mobilize and create awareness for mass participation in the election.
Since these groups were mostly dominated by young people, they heavily employed
social media to initiate and put up a youth presidential debates, and share intelligence
to push forward the campaign for creditable elections on social media platforms. In
doing this, the mainstream media struck a working relationship with social media
platforms that enhance both citizen’s participation and professional journalist
practices.
Journalists from various media organizations in the country engaged with citizens on
Facebook and citizen’s contributions informed the journalist’s questions during
interview with political institution such as INEC. For instance, there was convergence
of different media of communication like the print media and television and social
networking sites to monitor, cover and report election proceedings from different
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polling stations. In regard to this, Channels Television features regular live coverage
through their websites, ipad, iphone, and other devices. During the elections, the
organization established a four-person social media team, with one each handling the
website, Twitter, Facebook, and the fourth feeding information from the newsroom to
the other three members of the team (Asuni & Farris, 2011). This therefore facilitated
simultaneous transition on Television, Twitter, and Facebook respectively. In the
same vein, Thisday Newspaper and Tell magazine were able to used Facebook to
update people with proceedings of the election as well as provided the avenue for
members of the public to post their comments on Facebook.
Methodology
The survey research design method was used to execute the study. The study utilized
the instrument of the questionnaire to collect data for the study. In collecting data for
the study, primary and secondary sources were used. For the primary data, the
questionnaire was used as an instrument to elicit response from the respondents.
The study population is made up of Mass Communication Department students of three
universities in North Central Nigeria. The schools include; Ibrahim Badamasi
Babangida University, Lapai, Niger State; Nasarawa State University, Keffi;
University of Mkar, Benue State. The study considered only students in 300 Level and
400 Level, and this formed the sample frame. The population (sum total) from these
institutions is 662.
The simple random sampling technique was used in the administration of
questionnaires to respondents in the three universities as follows: First, stratified
sampling was used, thus a total of 249 questionnaires were distributed to the
institutions.
The sample size was calculated using Guilford and Flruchter formula for estimating
sample size as presented below:
Where: N = Population size = 662
Q = alpha = 0.05
Thus, the sample size is 249
Secondly, simple random sampling technique was further adopted to select
respondents from the three selected schools. 113 copies were distributed to students of
the department of Mass Communication, Ibrahim Badamasi Babangida University,
Lapai, 68 copies of the questionnaire were administered to students in the department
NQ
N21
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of Mass Communication, Nasarawa State University, Keffi, and the other 68 copies of
the questionnaire were distributed to Mass Communication students of the University
of Mkar, Benue State. It is also instructive to note that this study was carried out during
the 2014/2015 academic session.
The data obtained from the study were analysed quantitatively in three stages: First,
frequency table was used to analyse the demographic data and other questions that
were framed in the questionnaire to elicit more information on the subject matter.
Second, descriptive statistics (Mean and Standard Deviation), were used to analyse
data on research objectives. While Chi Square was used to test the hypotheses of the
study. All the analysis was done using SPSS 16.0 version.
Results and Analysis
A total of 249 questionnaires were administered, only 194 were returned. This
represents 77.9% return rate. More so, out of the 194 that were retuned, only 174 were
filled correctly and used for the analysis, 20 were considered invalid.
Two items were used to examine the demographic features of respondents (see
appendix i). This included: Gender and age bracket. The analysis shows that the
majority of the respondents (53%) were females, while the remaining 47% were males.
Similarly, the age distribution also shows that majority of the respondents are within
the age bracket of 18 – 30 years (83.3%), while 12.6% were within 30 – 35 years. More
so, 3.4% of them were within the age bracket of 41 – 50 years and only 0.6% was
51years and above.
Furthermore, analysis of other questions that were framed in the questionnaire to elicit
more information on the subject (see appendix ii) matter shows that 100% of the
respondents affirmed that they use social media tools as a communication platform.
Similarly, 68.4% respondents said they have personal profile on Face book which they
constantly use. 14.4% have profile on Google, 4.0% on Twitter, 1.1% on MySpace,
2.3% on Flicker, 7.5% on Watt sap, 1.1% on LinkedIn, 0% on YouTube and 1.1% on
Blogs.
On the eligibility of the respondents, it was observed that 86.8% of the respondents
said they were eligible during the 2011 presidential election, while 26.4% claimed they
used Google, 9.2% said Twitter, 0.6% said MySpace, 0.6% Flicker, 2.9% Watt sap, 0%
on LinkedIn, 0% on YouTube and 2.91% used Blogs. The analysis further indicated
that 43.1% of the respondents often use social media to get political information during
the 2011 presidential election, 47.7% said very often, while 9% said rarely often.
While on their choice of presidential candidates, 45.5% of the respondents said they
voted President Goodluck Jonathan, 48.3% said they voted General Mohammadu
Buhari, while 6.3% of the respondents said they were not legible to vote during the
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2011 presidential election. Also, 44.8% of the respondents affirmed that if a political
candidate does not have a web page, they may be less likely to vote for them during
election, while the remaining 55.2% of the respondents said no. In addition, 7.5% of
the respondents said they were not eligible to vote during the 2011 presidential election.
In addition, 23.0% said what influenced their decision to vote during the presidential
election was based on political party consideration, 0.8% said political pedigree of the
contestants, 14.4 said religious affiliation, 7.3% said ethnic consideration, while the
remaining 6.9% voted base on the influence of social media use by the two presidential
candidates.
As a follow-up question to question 13 which required respondents to explain which
factor had the most influence on their decision to vote for the presidential candidates
of their choice during the 2011 presidential election. Over 70% of the respondents
admitted that they were motivated to vote for President Muhammad Buhari because of
his unassailable record as past head of State. Furthermore, the respondents affirmed
that they voted for him because he is a Northerner thus they feel obliged to support a
presidential candidate from their geo-political zone. This clearly shows that the
respondents were greatly influenced to vote for General Mohammad Buhari because of
their ethnic affiliation. In addition, a considerable number of respondents also attested
to the fact that Buhari’s impeccable character of zero tolerance to corruption and a high
sense of integrity endeared him to them. On the other hand, other respondents were of
the opinion that they voted for President Goodluck Jonathan because of his religious
affiliation. Some of the respondents said they were made to believe that General
Mohammad Buhari is a religious fanatic, hence they were afraid if he is voted into
power he will Islamize the country. A fraction of the respondents also said they voted
President Goodluck Jonathan because of his political party (PDP) which has a strong
structure and track record since the inception of the fourth republic in 1999.
Table 1 below presents the result of the descriptive statistics on the items that were
used to measure objectives of the study. Analysis of the result indicates that majority
of the respondents’ choice of presidential candidate during the 2011 presidential
election was influenced by the use of social media as indicated by high value of mean
(1.5805). Similarly, a large number of respondents believed that the presidential
candidates were popular because they used social media (mean value of 1.5575).
Furthermore, the respondents affirmed that their voting pattern during the 2011
presidential election was influenced by social media usage as shown by high mean
value (1.6667).
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Source: Author’s Computation, 2015
Test of Hypotheses
Hypothesis One: The first hypothesis was to test whether voter’s choice of political
candidates in the 2011 presidential election was not influenced by political
communication on social media. The results are presented in the tables below:
Table 2: Was your choice of President Goodluck Jonathan/ General Muhammadu
Buhari during the 2011 presidential election influenced by the use of social media?
Source: Author’s Computation, 2015
Table 1: Descriptive Statistics on Research Questions
Mean
Std.
Deviation
Was your choice of President Goodluck Jonathan/
General Muhammadu Buhari during the 2011
presidential election influenced by the use of social
media?
1.5805 .59075
Do you think that the two presidential aspirants were
popular because they utilized social media in their
political campaigns?
1.5575 .49812
Was your voting pattern during the 2011 presidential
election influenced by social media usage? 1.6667 .55175
Valid N (listwise)
Observed N Expected N Residual
Not Applicable 9 58.0 -49.0
Yes 55 58.0 -3.0
No 110 58.0 52.0
Total 174
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Table 2 presents the result of the observed and expected frequency on whether or not
the choice of presidential candidates of respondents was influenced by the use of social
media. It was observed that only 55 of respondents affirmed that their choice was
influenced by the use of social media, 110 respondents said no while 9 of the
respondents indicated that they were not eligible to vote during the 2011 presidential
election.
Table 3: Chi Square Statistics Table
Was your choice of President Goodluck Jonathan/
General Muhammadu Buhari during the 2011
presidential election influenced by the use of social
media?
Chi-Square 88.172a
Df 2
Asymp. Sig. .000
a. 0 cells (.0%) have expected frequencies less than 5. The minimum expected cell
frequency is 58.
Source: Author’s Computation, 2015
Table 3 presented the result of Chi square. The result shows that the value of chi- square
calculated X2 = 88.172 with the degree of freedom = 2, which is significant 0.000 at
1% level of significant. Therefore, based on the result (table 3), the null hypothesis is
rejected and alternative is accepted. This means that voter’s choice of political
candidates in the 2011 presidential election was influenced by political communication
on social media.
Hypothesis Two: The second hypothesis was formulated to test whether the popularity
of the presidential candidates during the 2011 presidential election
was as a result of social media usage. The results are presented in
the tables below:
Table 4 below presents the result of the observed and expected frequency on whether
or not the popularity of presidential candidates was as a result of the use of social media.
A total of 77 respondents affirmed that the presidential candidates were popular
because they used social media, while 97 respondents were of the opinion that
presidential candidates’ popularity was not linked to social media usage.
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Table 4: Do you think that the two presidential aspirants were popular because
they utilized social media in their political campaign?
Observed N Expected N Residual
Yes 77 87.0 -10.0
No 97 87.0 10.0
Total 174
Source: Author’s Computation, 2015
Table 5: Chi Square Statistics Table
Test Statistics
Do you think that the two presidential aspirants
were popular because they utilized social media
in their political campaigns?
Chi-Square 2.299a
Df 1
Asymp. Sig. .129
a. 0 cells (.0%) have expected frequencies less than 5. The minimum
expected cell frequency is 87.0.
Source: Author’s Computation, 2015
Table 5 presents the result of chi square test statistics on whether the popularity of the
presidential candidates during the 2011 presidential election was as a result of social
media usage. The result shows the calculated value of chi square X2 = 2.299 and the
degree of freedom = 1, 0.129 > 0.01., which is not significant Thus, based on the result
above, we accept the null hypothesis and reject the alternative. This means that the
popularity of Presidential aspirants in the 2011 general election has no significant
relationship with their social media use during the election.
Hypothesis Three: The third hypothesis was formulated to test whether respondents’
voting pattern during the 2011 presidential election was influenced by the use
of social media. The results are presented in the tables below:
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Table 6: Was your voting pattern during the 2011 presidential election influenced
by social media usage?
Source: Author’s Computation, 2015
Table 6 presents the result of the observed and expected frequency on whether the
voting pattern of respondents was influenced by the use of social media during the 2011
presidential election. It was found out that only 44 respondents affirmed that their
voting pattern was influenced by the use of social media while 123 respondents said
no. However, a total of 7 respondents indicated that they were not eligible to vote
during the 2011 presidential election.
Table 7: Chi Square Statistics Table
Test Statistics
Was your voting pattern during the 2011 presidential
election influenced by social media usage?
Chi-Square 121.069a
Df 2
Asymp. Sig. .000
a. 0 cells (.0%) have expected frequencies less than 5. The minimum
expected cell frequency is 58.0.
Source: Author’s Computation, 2015
As presented in table 7 above, the result of the Chi square calculated X2 = 121.069, and
the degree of freedom = 2, being significant at 0.000 at 1% significant level. Based on
the result as presented in the above table, the null hypothesis is rejected and the
alternative accepted. This means that the electorate voting pattern during the 2011
elections was influenced by their exposure to political messages on social media.
Summary of Findings
Based on the analysis of the results, the following are the findings:
Observed N Expected N Residual
Not Applicable 7 58.0 -51.0
Yes 44 58.0 -14.0
No 123 58.0 65.0
Total 174
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1. Most of the respondents (53.4%) are within the age bracket of 18 to 30
years of age.
2. Majority of the respondents (83.3%) are females and they very often use
the social media to get political information during the 2011 presidential
election.
3. Face book is the most utilized social media tool by the presidential
candidates during the elections.
4. The first and third hypothesis were significant, thus the null hypotheses
were rejected.
5. The second hypothesis was not significant, therefore the null hypothesis
was accepted, while the alternative was rejected.
Implications of Findings
The findings of this study attest to the fact that majority of people who use social media
to get political information are predominantly youths. The implication of this is that,
more youths are now being mobilized to participate in the political process through the
social media where their opinions and voices can be heard.
Voter’s choice of political candidates during electioneering campaigns was to a greater
extent influenced by politician’s use of social media. However, respondents also
affirmed that other factors such as political experience of a candidate, integrity, past
records, achievements, and political affiliation (political party) were among the factors
that influenced their voting pattern. The implication of this import is that apart from
the social media, other intervening variables plays a greater role in the voting patterns
of electorate during the elections. This reveals that voting pattern in Nigeria is influence
by these factors.
Based on the findings of the study, Facebook ranked highest among the several social
media platforms available to the electorate for political engagement during election
campaigns. This, therefore, suggests that, for Nigerian politicians to remain relevant in
contemporary politics, they have to utilize the social media so as to woo their supporters
who are mostly young people.
With the emergence of social media, traditional means of political campaigns is
gradually changing to modern means of communication. The implication of this is that
politicians must acquaint themselves with this new paradigm shift if they must mobilize
the youths in future elections.
Conclusion
In view of the findings of this study, it was concluded that social media have redefined
the landscape of political communication in Nigeria. This phenomenal change is
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brought about by development of new media technologies such as the internet and other
social media platforms. Political candidates now use these communication platforms to
engage with the electorate during political campaign. The electorate on the other hand,
finds these tools very effective to connect with their political representatives or
candidates as it is the only medium that gives them free and unlimited access to stay
connected with happenings in the political sphere.
Recommendations
Based on the findings of this study, the researchers, therefore, made the following
recommendations:
1. Nigerian politicians should continue to use the social media to engage
the electorate during political campaigns especially the youth who are
avid users of the social media.
2. Based on the findings of this study, Facebook is the most utilized social
media platform by the presidential candidates. The study therefore
recommends that in future elections, other social media platforms likes
YouTube, Instagram, and Blogs should by employ by politicians during
electioneering campaigns.
3. Nigerian electorate should ensure that their voting pattern in future
elections should not be by influenced by political candidate’s religious
affiliations or ethnic considerations but on the credibility of candidates.
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