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ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN 2014 Back to Table of Contents A MERICAN H OUSEHOLDS AND P OPULATIONS

AmericAn HouseHolds And PoPulAtions - Boy Scouts of … U.S. Census Bureau, Age and Sex Composition and Overview of Race and Hispanic Origin POPULATIOn In MILLIOnS 0 100 200 300 400

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E n v i r o n m E n t a l S c a n 2 0 1 4

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AmericAnHouseHolds

And PoPulAtions

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E n v i r o n m E n t a l S c a n 2 0 1 4

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and ethnicity

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Age and Sex Composition and Overview of Race and Hispanic Origin

POPULATIOn In MILLIOnS0 100 200 300 400

2000

2010

American Indian/Alaskan Native

Asian

Black/African American

Hispanic*

White, non-hispanic

Ages 65 and over

Ages 45–64

Ages 25–44

Ages 18–24

Ages 5–17

Ages Under 5

Total Population 308.75

20.2019.18

53.9853.12

30.6727.14

40.2734.99

196.82194.55

50.4835.31

38.9334.66

14.6710.24

2.932.48

281.42

82.1385.04

81.4961.95

*Hispanic can be any race

U.S. Population by age

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• The population of the U.S. increased by 9.7 percent, from 281.42 million in 2000 to 308.75 million in 2010.

• Between 2000 and 2010, the population under the age of 18 grew at a rate of 2.6 percent. The growth rate was even slower for those aged 18–44 (0.6%). This con-trasts with the substantially faster growth rates seen at older ages. The population aged 45–64 grew at a rate of 31.5 per-cent; and the population aged 65 and over grew at the rate of 15.1 percent.

—U.S. Census Bureau, Age and Sex Composition

• Between 2000 and 2010, the Hispanic population grew by 43 percent—rising from 35.3 million in 2000, when this group made up 13 percent of the total population, to 50.5 million, composing 16 percent of the U.S. population.

• The Asian population alone increased by 43 percent between 2000 and 2010 and moved from about 4 percent of the U.S. population in 2000 to 5 percent in 2010.

—U.S. Census Bureau, Overview of Race and Hispanic Origin

• Since 2000, more Asians were added to the population than blacks (4.3 million and 3.7 million, respectively).

— USA Today.com, 2011,How America Changed

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PERC

EnT

OF C

HIL

DREn

Un

DER

AGE

18

YEAR

Projected Percentages of Children Under Age 18 by Race and Hispanic Origin

Source: Racial and Ethnic Composition of the Child Population, Child Trends Data Bank, november 2012

hiSPanic trendschild Race and

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

White

Hispanic*

Black

Asian

38.0%41.7%

46.4%

50.9%53.6%

61.2%

38.8%35.5%

31.1%

26.9%

23.2%17.2%

11.2%11.8%12.5%13.0%14.4%14.8%

6.0%5.6%5.0%4.7%4.4%3.5%

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

*Hispanic origin may be of any race and is not included in the percentages by race.

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• The number of children in the U.S. under age 18 is expected to grow from 72.4 million in 2000 to 101.6 million in 2050.

• By 2050, children of Hispanic origin are expected to represent the largest percent-age of the child population (38.8%), followed by the white/Caucasian child population of 38.0 percent.

• The percentage of black/African American children is expected to decline from 14.8 percent in 2000 to 11.2 percent in 2050.

• The percentage of Asian children is expected to grow from 3.5 percent in 2000 to 6.0 percent of the child population in 2050.

—Racial and Ethnic Composition of the Child Population, Child Trends Data Bank,

November 2012

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yOUth2013–2018

total available

Program national northeast Region Southern Region Central Region Western RegionTiger Cub-Age (Boys age 6)

2013 TAY 2,093,382 403,124 711,039 458,879 520,340

2018 TAY 2,140,454 401,924 735,883 460,998 541,649

% change 2013-2018

2.25% -0.30% 3.49% 0.46% 4.10%

Wolf/Bear-Age (Boys ages 7 and 8)

2013 TAY 4,181,430 813,124 1,414,633 922,634 1,031,039

2018 TAY 4,237,509 803,062 1,451,587 919,714 1,063,146

% change 2013-2018

1.34% -1.24% 2.61% -0.32% 3.11%

Webelos Scout-Age (Boys ages 9 and 10)

2013 TAY 4,181,812 818,712 1,417,086 923,797 1,022,217

2018 TAY 4,348,217 831,784 1,491,797 947,469 1,077,167

% change 2013-2018

3.98% 1.60% 5.27% 2.56% 5.38%

Total Cub Scout-Age (Boys ages 6–10)

2013 TAY 10,456,624 2,034,960 3,542,758 2,305,310 2,573,596

2018 TAY 10,726,180 2,036,770 3,679,267 2,328,181 2,681,962

% change 2013-2018

2.58% 0.09% 3.85% 0.99% 4.21%

Boy Scout-Age (Boys ages 11–13)

2013 TAY 6,429,995 1,270,862 2,170,766 1,421,981 1,566,386

2018 TAY 6,512,476 1,256,334 2,229,077 1,421,597 1,605,468

% change 2013-2018

1.28% -1.14% 2.69% -0.03% 2.50%

Venturing-Age (Girls and Boys ages 14–16)

2013 TAY 12,623,930 2,560,328 4,173,352 2,806,110 3,084,140

2018 TAY 12,726,759 2,510,602 4,289,039 2,789,992 3,137,126

% change 2013-2018

0.81% -1.94% 2.77% -0.57% 1.72%

Total Available Youth

2013 TAY 29,510,549 5,866,150 9,886,876 6,533,401 7,224,122

2018 TAY 29,965,415 5,803,706 10,197,383 6,539,770 7,424,556

% change 2013-2018

1.54% -1.06% 3.14% 0.10% 2.77%

Source: Experian Information Solutions, Inc., 2013

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• The Boy Scouts of America defines Total Available Youth (TAY) as boys ages 6 to 16 and girls ages 14 to 16.

• The number of available youth is projected to increase nationally by 1.54 percent from 2013 to 2018. The number of youth in the Southern and Western Regions is expected to increase around 3 percent. The youth population in the Central Region will remain the same, while the youth population in the Northeast Region is expected to decline slightly.

• The Western Region is expected to see the greatest increase of Cub Scout-age boys (4.21%), including an increase of more than 5 percent (5.38%) in Webelos-age boys. The Southern Region projections are similar (3.85% for all Cub Scout-age and 5.27% for Webelos-age boys).

• For all regions, the increase in the youth population will be greater for the Cub Scout ages, with little change in the youth population of Boy Scout- and Venturing-age youth.

• Overall, the total available youth population is expected to grow from 29,485,186 in 2010 to 29,965,415 in 2018, an increase of 1.63 percent.

—Experian Information Solutions, Inc., 2013

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ethnicitytotal available Youth by

3.8  

5.7  5.0  

3.6  

0.8  

1.9  

0.7  

0.3  

0.8  

1.8  

0.5  

2.3  

0.3  

0.3  

0.2   0.6  

0.1  

0.3  

0.2  0.4  

0.0  

2.0  

4.0  

6.0  

8.0  

10.0  

NORTHEAST   SOUTHERN   CENTRAL   WESTERN  

OTHER  RACES  

ASIAN  

HISPANIC/LATINO  

AFRICAN  AMERICAN  

CAUCASIAN  

BSA Total Available Youth – By Region and Ethnicity (2013)

YOU

TH P

OPU

LATI

On (

In M

ILLI

OnS)

• The Boy Scouts of America defines Total Available Youth (TAY) as boys ages 6 to 16 and girls ages 14 to 16.

• Nationally, the TAY in 2013 is 61.5 percent Caucasian, 18.4 percent Hispanic/Latino, 12.4 percent African American, 4.7 percent Asian, and 3.1 percent other races.

—Experian Information Solutions, Inc., 2013

Source: Experian Information Solutions, Inc., 2013

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Fastest Growing StatesState % change 2000-2010Nevada 35.1%Arizona 24.6%Utah 23.8%Idaho 21.1%Texas 20.6%North Carolina 18.5%Georgia 18.3%Florida 17.6%Colorado 16.9%South Carolina 15.3%

Slowest Growing StatesState % change 2000-2010Michigan -0.6%Rhode Island 0.4%Louisiana 1.4%Ohio 1.6%New York 2.1%West Virginia 2.5%Vermont 2.8%Massachusetts 3.1%Illinois 3.3%Pennsylvania 3.4%

• Nevada was the fastest-growing state between 2000 and 2010, growing by 35.1 percent. It has been the fastest-growing state for five straight decades.

• Michigan was the only state that declined in population from 2000 to 2010, losing 0.6 percent of its population.

—U.S. Census Bureau, Population Distribution and

Change 2000 to 2010• More than half of Americans—about

158 million—are suburbanites. Rural residents now make up only 16 percent of the total population, down from 20 percent in 1990.

—How America Changed, USAToday.com, 2011

• Eight states gained seats in the House of Representatives after the 2010 Census: Texas (four seats), Florida (two seats), Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina, Utah, and Washington (one seat each).

• Ten states lost seats in the House of Representatives after the 2010 Census: New York and Ohio (two seats each), Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, Missouri, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania (one seat each).

—Congressional Apportionment, 2010 Census Briefs

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Disribution and Change 2000 to 2010

geOgRaPhyPopulation Shifts by

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Source: 2011 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates

U.S. RegiOnSPopulation Shifts by

Midwest887,803 moved out759,587 moved in

Decreased 128,216

West878,209 moved out825,287 moved in

Decreased 52,922

Northeast732,080 moved out

545,453 moved in

Decreased 186,627

South1,129,793 moved out

1,497,558 moved in

Increased 367,765

+ 14,426 -98,049

521,969

398,829

267,

785

248,

283 313,563

479,504

112,475

496,085 417,401- 78,684 +

+ 6,260 - - 123,140 +

- 19,502

+

- 165,941

+

133,841

140,101

Population Changes Between U.S. Regions from 2010–2011

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• The South is the only region with a net increase in population from 2010 to 2011. Almost half (45.1%) of the popu-lation increase of 367,765 moved from the Northeast.

• The Northeast showed a net decrease of population moving to each of the other regions. The largest percentage of the negative shift was to the South (88.9%).

• The West had a net population increase from the Northeast (6,260) and the Mid-west (19,502). However, 78,684 more residents moved from the West to the South than from the South to the West.

• The Midwest had a net population increase from the Northeast (14,426). However, this is offset by a shift of 19,502 to the West and 123,140 to the South.

• In addition to the numbers above, the U.S. population increased another 1.8 million by movers from abroad: 680,000 into the South, 500,000 into the West, 360,000 into the Northeast, and 280,000 into the Midwest.

—2011 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates

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10 Oldest StatesState Median AgeMaine 42.7Vermont 41.5West Virginia 41.3New Hampshire 41.1Florida 40.7Pennsylvania 40.1Connecticut 40.0Montana 39.8Rhode Island 39.4Massachusetts 39.1

10 Youngest StatesState Median AgeUtah 29.2Texas 33.6Alaska 33.8Idaho 34.6California 35.2Georgia 35.3Louisiana 35.8Arizona 35.9Mississippi 36.0Kansas 36.0

• The median age for the overall U.S. is 37.2.

• The median age for the District of Columbia is 33.8.

• The West is the youngest region, with a median age of 35.6. The South (37.0) and Midwest (37.7) are the next young-est regions. The Northeast is the oldest region, with a median age of 39.2.

—U.S. Census Bureau, Age and Sex Composition: 2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Age and Sex Composition: 2010

agePopulation Shifts by

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Family hOUSehOldS

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2011

• A family household is defined as at least two members related by birth, marriage, or adoption.

• In 2012, 66 percent of households were family households, down from 81 percent in 1970.

• The percentage of married-couple fam-ily groups with children under 15 with a stay-at-home parent has remained about the same from 2005 to 2012. Around 23 percent of married mothers and 0.8 per-cent of married fathers stay at home with children under 15.

—America’s Families and Living Arrangements:

2012, U.S. Census Bureau

characteristics of

Characteristic Total Households

Married Couple

Male Householder

Female Householder

All family households 76,084,006 55,519,648 5,457,141 15,107,217

Caucasian alone 58,946,781 45,982,567 3,802,675 9,161,539African American alone 8,726,419 3,804,021 836,460 4,085,938American Indian/ Alaska Native alone 557,425 315,753 61,588 180,084

Asian alone 3,446,258 2,787,491 219,358 439,409Native Hawaiian/ Pacific Islander alone 100,674 67,105 11,180 22,389

Some other race alone 3,026,253 1,759,462 404,534 862,257Two or more races 1,280,196 803,249 121,346 355,601

Hispanic (any race) 10,541,142 6,528,120 1,212,573 2,800,449

No children under 18 42,320,866 32,958,335 2,805,085 6,557,446Children under 18 33,763,140 22,561,313 2,652,056 8,549,771

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One PaRent

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement, 2012

• Approximately 21 million children (28.3% of the child population) lived with one parent in 2012. This percentage varies depending on race and Hispanic origin, ranging from 55.2 percent of African American children to 12.9 percent of Asian children.

• Of the 16 million children who lived below the poverty level in 2012, 31 percent lived with two married parents —a percentage that is statistically unchanged compared with 2002.

—America’s Families and Living Arrangements:

2012, U.S. Census Bureau

31.1%  

12.9%  

55.2%  

20.7%  

23.3%  

28.3%  

0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%  

Hispanic  (any  race)  

Asian  alone  

Black  alone  

White  alone,  non-­‐Hispanic  

White  alone  

All  children  

Percent of Total Child Population Living With One Parent

children living With

55.2%

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0%

White

Millennial (ages 18-28)

Gen X (ages 29-44)

Boomer (ages 45-63)

Silent (ages 64 and older)

10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Hispanic African American Asian Other

61% 19% 13% 4% 2%

62% 18% 12% 6% 2%

73% 10% 11% 4% 2%

80% 7% 8% 4% 1%

geneRatiOnDiversity by

Race/Ethnicity in 2009

PERCEnTAGE BY GEnERATIOn

• Millennials, born after 1980, are more ethnically and racially diverse, more educated and less likely to be working.

• Sixty-one percent of Millennials lived with both of their parents most of the time while they were growing up. This is a drop from 68 percent of Generation X who lived with both parents, and significantly less than the 80 percent of Boomer and Silent generations who lived with both parents while they were growing up.

—Millennials: A Portrait of Generation Next, Pew Research Center, 2010

• Even though Millennials are open to other cultures, they also possess high levels of pride in their own culture. The majority of African American (85%) and Hispanic (76%) Millennials say they would like to participate in more activities that celebrate their culture and heritage.

—Youth Markets Alert, November 15, 2011, Yankelovich

• In 2010, the percent of multi-generational households ranged from 1.1. percent in North Dakota to 7.2 percent in Hawaii. The national average for multigenerational households was 3.8 percent.

—2010 American Community Survey Highlights

Source: Millennials: A Portrait of Generation Next, Pew Research Center, 2010Note: Percentages may not add to 100 percent due to rounding.

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Source: Characteristics of the 60 Largest Metropolitan Areas by Hispanic Population, Pew Hispanic Center, September 2012

hiSPanic POPUlatiOnareas With High

Top 10 Metropolitan Areas by Hispanic Population, 2010

0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 20.0

Hispanic population

Total population

Phoenix, AZ

San Antonio, TX

San Francisco-Oakland-Vallejo, CA

Miami-Hialeah, FL

Dallas-Forth Worth, TX

Chicago, IL

Houston-Brazoria, TX

Riverside-San Bernardino, CA

New York-Northeastern NJ

Los Angeles-Long Beach, CA 12.85.7

17.84.24.2

2.0

4.91.1

2.01.1

3.81.1

2.41.6

5.62.0

6.31.7

9.21.9

POPULATIOn In MILLIOnS

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• Nearly half (45%) of the nation’s Hispanic population lives in just 10 metropolitan areas.

• Six of the 10 largest Hispanic metropolitan populations are in just two states: California and Texas.

—Characteristics of the 60 Largest Metropolitan Areas by Hispanic Population, Pew Hispanic Center,

September 2012

• More than four in 10 Hispanics (40.1%) were under 21 years old in 2011—compared to 28.6 percent of the population as a whole. The median age of an Hispanic American in 2011 was 27.6 years old, almost 10 years younger than the median age of 37.3 for the overall population.

—U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, released May 2012;

and Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic

Supplement, 2011, released November 2012

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FOReign-bORnliving in the U.S.

YEAR

POPULATIOn In MILLIOnS

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010

number of Foreign-Born Living in the U.S.

newly Arrived Foreign-Born Population by State/Date of Entry: 2005 to 2010

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

2010 37.6

2000

1990 19.8

1980

1970 9.6

28.4

14.1

020 40 60 80 100

California19.4%

Texas10.8%

New York10.0%

Florida8.9%

All 44 other States42.5%

New

Jer

sey

4.5

%

Illin

ois

3.9

%

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• Nearly 40 million foreign-born people (12.9% of the population) lived in the United States in 2010. The majority (83%) of the foreign-born reported entering the United States prior to 2005.

• Four states are home to nearly half (49.1%) of the newly arrived foreign-born: California, Texas, New York, and Florida.

• An additional 10 states—New Jersey, Illinois, Massachusetts, Georgia, Virginia, Washington, Maryland, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Arizona—are home to between two and five percent of the recently arrived foreign-born.

• The remaining 36 states and the District of Columbia are each home to less than 2 per-cent of those who arrived in 2005 or later.

— U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2010