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From www.insidehighered.com/blogs/technology_and_learning/amazing_slide_deck_from_gates 20 October 2010

Amazing Slide Deck From Gates By Joshua Kim October 19, 2010 8:30 pm EDT Here is a slide dec [khttp://www.slideshare.net/PostsecondaryImprovement/next-generation-learning-and-the-innovation-imperative] from a presentation that Josh Jarrett, Senior Program Officer in Education, Postsecondary Success at the Gates Foundation, gave on the 9/10/10. If I could think of any slide deck that I think should be passed around the higher ed world, this would be it. Ideally, all of us would be able to get Jarrett to come to our campuses - this talk is now first on my list of presentations that I think would draw the most productive discussion and debate. What is most interesting from my perspective are the "five trends" that Jarrett is watching (starting slide 21), and the challenges enumerated as "waves" (on slide 39). What has your institution / organization's reaction been to the Next Generation Learning Challenges? How can we join the Gates Foundation in supporting and participating in their efforts? The accompanying SlideShare advertisement:

From www.insidehighered.com/blogs/technology_and_learning/amazing_slide_deck_from_gates 20 October 2010

Next Generation Learning and the Innovation ImperativeJosh Jarrett, Senior Program Officer September 10th, 2010

Source: Seattle Times, Tuesday, January 26, 2010

© 2009 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation |

Motivations:• Increased access to

opportunity• Hard problems• Problems that matter• Impatient actors

My frame of reference

2

9 years in the private sector:• Strategy and management

consultant• Software entrepreneur• MBA

6 years in the nonprofit sector:• Consultant to National Park

Service, charter schools, and health services

• Foundation program officer –innovative technology and delivery in postsecondary ed


Our foundation’s work

Improve College-Ready

Graduation Rates from High School

Double the Number of Low-Income Young

Adults Who Earn A

Postsecondary Credential With

Value in the Labor Market

COLLEGE-READY POSTSECONDARY SUCCESS

Expandedopportunity for all Americans

US PROGRAM-WIDE GOAL

3

“All lives have equal value”

http://www.gatesfoundation.org/topics/Pages/high-schools.aspx

http://www.gatesfoundation.org/postsecondaryeducation/Pages/default.aspx

http://www.gatesfoundation.org/united-states/Pages/program-overview.aspx


The Innovation Imperative

The Innovator’s Dilemma

Five Trends I'm Watching

Co-Designing the Future

4


Four Challenges for the Next Decade

Completion challenge Stagnant ~40% AA+

attainment levels Middle skill job demand Low completion rates

Demographic challenge Increasing diversity Low academic readiness “Non-traditional” new

normal

Funding challenge State budget cuts Limits to student and

family ability to pay and to borrow

Scaling challenge “Islands of innovation”

Fragmented decision-making and incentives

5


Completion challenge

Average income

• Bachelors: $59,635

• H.S. diploma: $33,609

United States postsecondary attainment:

• 1980: #1

• 2010: #10

• 2020: #15

100 9275

54

Total Graduate H.S. + GED

Attempt college Complete post-H.S. certificate+

Source: Bureau of the Census, Bureau of Labor Statistics. OECD, National Longitudinal Survey of Youth. Note: Low income defined as 185% of poverty line, consistent with K-12 free and reduced lunch threshold

Average income

• Bachelors: $59,635

• H.S. diploma: $33,609

United States postsecondary attainment:

• 1980: #1

• 2010: #10

• 2020: #15

Educational attainment for non-low-income 26 year olds

10073

4526

Total Graduate H.S. + GED

Attempt college Complete post-H.S. certificate+

Educational attainment for low-income 26 year olds


Demographic challenge

75%

25%

“Traditional”

• Enter college directly after high school

• Enroll fulltime• Financially

dependent on their parents

“Non-traditional”

• Financially independent (>50%)

• Have dependents of their own (27%)

• Work full time (38%)

• Enroll part time (49%)

Source: The Other 75%: Government Policy & Mass Higher Education., Paul Attewell (unpublished).

© 2009 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation |Source: Association of American Publishers (AAP)

Funding challenge

http://www.cbpp.org/cms/?fa=view&id=711


Scaling challenge2007 Education market

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Actual companiesProjected distribution

RevenueUS$ Millions

Number of companies

Source: McKinsey analysis of EMR 2007 K-12 report and Berkerey Noyes 2007 investment analysis (unpublished)

Only 2 of 67 orgs funded by US Department of

Education innovation grants scaled/are still

operational

1 5 20 100 400


The innovation imperative

• Scalable seat capacity• Flexibility to meet non-traditional students’ needs

• Higher engagement, relevance, and retention• Increased participatory and peer-to-peer learning• Accelerated learning pathways• Integration of technical skills, soft skills, and 21st

century skills• Clearer, shared measures of success• Improved cost-effectiveness






11


Innovator’s Dilemma

12

http://www.amazon.com/dp/0060521996/?tag=mh0b-20&hvadid=151583039&ref=pd_sl_3822g0u0vg_e

http://www.amazon.com/Disrupting-Class-Expanded-Disruptive-Innovation/dp/0071749101/ref=sr_1_2?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1284413057&sr=1-2


The “Iron Triangle” suggests a degree of paralysis

Source: The Iron Triangle: College Presidents Talk About Costs, Access, and Quality, Public Agenda, October 2008.

“In the view of many college and university

presidents, the three main factors in higher education—cost, quality, and access—exist in what we call an iron triangle. These factors are linked in an unbreakable reciprocal relationship, such that any change in one will inevitably impact the others.”

- Public Agenda research on opinions of higher education presidents

http://www.publicagenda.org/reports/iron-triangle

http://www.publicagenda.org/reports/iron-triangle


The revolution will not be televised

Formal LearningInformal Learning

Emerging Product Categories

Established Product Categories

Formal LearningFormal Learning

OnlineLearning

P2P

Tutoring

Services Oriented

Community Driven

Content Driven

SocialGames

Simulation

Learning

Interven-tions

Platform Driven

Aggregators

OpenPublishing

Reference-ware

Learning Commun

ities

OnlineResources

LearningGames

MobileSocial Networks

Source: Startl

http://startl.org/






15



16

1 Lecture model challenged by virtual teams and shared courseware


“Improvement in post-secondary education will require converting teaching from a „solo-sport‟ to a community-based research activity.”

-Herbert Simon, Nobel Laureate


Carnegie Mellon Open Learning Initiative

http://oli.web.cmu.edu/openlearning/


Accelerated Learning Results

OLI students completed course in half the time with half the number of in-person course meetings

OLI students showed significantly greater learning gains (on the national standard “CAOS” test for statistics knowledge) and similar exam scores

No significant difference between OLI and traditional students in follow-up measures given 1+ semesters later


Model challengers taking many forms

http://www.wgu.edu/

http://thencat.org/

http://www.emporium.vt.edu/

http://www.apple.com/education/itunesu/

http://www.academicearth.org/

http://creativecommons.org/

http://www.ocwconsortium.org/index.php

http://www.open.ac.uk/



21

2 Amazon/Ebay style analytics unlock personalization



Amazon features

22

http://www.amazon.com/

CONNECTION ENTRY PROGRESS COMPLETION

Student Data System

Student Engagement

Leadership Focused on Completion

Applying analytics to student success• Sinclair Community College

• University of Maryland (BC)

• Capella University• Rio Salado College• Purdue University

http://www.edu1world.org/PublicForumActionAnalytics/

http://www.itap.purdue.edu/tlt/signals/




3 Horizontal platforms and networks unbundle learning



Today: Decentralized, vertically integrated silos

Pros• Local responsiveness• Academic freedom• Mission distinctiveness

Cons• Institutions, not students,

as nodes in the network• Only partial

“interoperability” of credits

• Redundancy and cross-subsidy


Emerging horizontal platform plays

Content creation/publishing

Student info/marketing

Support services

Learning experiences

Aggregation of learning experiences

Assessment and credentialing

Public/nonprofit plays For-profit plays• Excelsior College• MHEC Credit Bank

• Academy One• GuaranTeach• BettrAt

• ACE’s CREDIT

• Advanced Placement• Jack Welch MBA• Industry certifications

• FinalsClub.org • Inside Track• Starfish• Inigral

• Western Governors U.• Peer-to-Peer U.• Khan Academy

• StraighterLine• EduFire• Study Island

• NROC• CK12.org

• Flat World Knowledge

• CollegeChoicesForAdults.org

• FindMyDegree.com• UDegrees.com

•

Teacher PD/tools• WatchKnow • BetterLesson






4 DIY is for real and new brands emerge


DIY U

http://www.ratemyprofessors.com/

http://www.youtube.com/education?b=400


New Brands?

http://www.inigral.com/

http://www.ted.com/

http://learning.blogs.nytimes.com/

http://www.inigral.com/






4 DIY is for real and new brands emerge

5 Target.com style partnerships form


Remember predictions circa 1999?

Brick and MortareCommerce

VS.

http://www.amazon.com/ref=footer_logo

http://www.ebay.com/

http://www.target.com/

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/?r=1

http://www.walmart.com/

http://www.yahoo.com/


Reality: Target.com

http://www.target.com/







http://www.NextGenLearning.com

Next Generation Learning Challenges

http://www.nextgenlearning.com/

http://www.nextgenlearning.com/

http://www.nextgenlearning.com


Purpose of Next Generation Learning ChallengesWhat? To dramatically improve college

readiness and completion in the United States, especially among low-income young adults

How? Accelerate the testing and early scale of breakthrough technology-enabled learning solutions to persistent barriers to low-income learners’ college readiness and completion


Scaling, Not Inventing

Focus of initiative


Program Elements

Investment capitalEvidenceCommunity


Partners

http://www.educause.edu/

http://www.gatesfoundation.org/

http://www.league.org/

http://www.inacol.org/

http://www.ccsso.org/

http://www.hewlett.org/


Challenges Will Be Defined in “Waves”

Wave 1: Building blocks for college completion• Deploy open core courseware• Scale blended learning• Encourage deeper learning engagement• Mobilize learning analytics

Wave 2: Building blocks for college readiness

Wave 3: Innovative delivery models


Tentative timeline

Mid-Fall 2010: Formal launch and announcement of Wave I challenges RFPsMid-Fall 2010 – Winter 2011: Two rounds of

applications reviewed by challenge panels Late Winter 2011: Wave I winners announced

Early Winter 2011: Wave II challenges announced

Thank You

Josh Jarrett, Senior Program OfficerEducation – Postsecondary Success

[email protected]

mailto:[email protected]

http://www.gatesfoundation.org/

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Amazing Slide Deck From Gates - instructional media …€¦ · Amazing Slide Deck From Gates ... 1 5 20 100 400 ... •Jack Welch MBA •Industry certifications •FinalsClub.org