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Active Labor Market Program (ALMP) Policy Structure Study on East Asia November 18, 2012 Sam Gorham G2 Strategic Partners

ALMP Policy Structure on East Asia

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Active Labor Market Program (ALMP) Policy Structure Study on East Asia

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Page 1: ALMP Policy Structure on East Asia

Active Labor Market Program (ALMP) Policy Structure Study on East Asia

November 18, 2012Sam GorhamG2 Strategic Partners

Page 2: ALMP Policy Structure on East Asia

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What We’ll Cover …

Active Labor Market Program (ALMP) Overview

Multi-Factor Productivity (MFP) Overview

East Asia Historical Trends

Scenario Overview

Interventions Overview

Policy Options

Recommendation

Page 3: ALMP Policy Structure on East Asia

3

What is ALMP?

An employment policy tool intended to increase the quality of the labor supply and demand

Includes job creation, training, and employment services that can affect labor demand and labor supply

The overall objective is to increase employment and income

Page 4: ALMP Policy Structure on East Asia

What is MFP & Why is this used in this study?

Multifactor productivity, known as MFP, includes assumptions and estimates of the growth of human and social capital as the knowledge growth and diffusion of knowledge into the growth rate (MFR)

The MFP model combines capital, labor, and MFR in the computation of GDP

Analyzing the MFP model will help policy-makers assess if ALMP is warranted

Page 5: ALMP Policy Structure on East Asia

East Asia Historical Trend Examples

Population has increased 93% from 1960 and 2010

GDP per capita has increased 671% from 1960 to 2010

Adult literacy rate has increased 61% since 1970

R&D per capita increased 122% between 1996 and 2006

Page 6: ALMP Policy Structure on East Asia

Scenario Overview

Base case Policy First scenario Sustainability First scenario

Page 7: ALMP Policy Structure on East Asia

Interventions Overview Results

As the multi-factor productivity growth additive factor increases, the region’s economic freedom increases

As the growth rate of a system leader increases, the productivity rate in the region increases

As the number of networked people increases, East Asia’s potential for growth increases

As health spending decreases, the MFP growth rate decreases

As the value of education increases, GDP increases

Page 8: ALMP Policy Structure on East Asia

Policy Options

As East Asia policy-makers review investment opportunities for ALMP, they should carefully consider that ALMPs include a wide range of activities to stimulate employment and productivity

Page 9: ALMP Policy Structure on East Asia

Recommendation & Conclusion

Recommendation: East Asia should gradually continue investment in ALMP but be realistic about what ALMPs can do

Page 10: ALMP Policy Structure on East Asia

4098 Volley LaneNorcross, GA 30092

Contact:

Sam Gorham at 404-932-5662 or [email protected]

Page 11: ALMP Policy Structure on East Asia

Bibliography

Active labor market programs & activation policies. Retrieved on November 2, 2012 from web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/TOPICS/

Barro, R. & Sala-i-Martin, X. (1995). Economic Growth, McGraw-Hill, New York.

Betcherman, G., Dar, A., Luinstra, A., & Ogawa, M. (2000, January). Active labor market programs: policy issues for East Asia. The World Bank.

Hughes, B. & Hillebrand, E. (2006) Exploring and Shaping International Futures. Boulder, CO: Paradigm Press.

International Futures. Hughes, B. (2011). University of Denver. Retrieved on September 30, 2012 from http://www.ifs.du.edu/