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Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT 05405

Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

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Page 1: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling

law

Catherine C. FarrellNicholas J. Gotelli

Department of BiologyUniversity of VermontBurlington, VT 05405

Page 2: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Gotelli lab, May 2005

Page 3: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT
Page 4: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Allometric Scaling

• What is the relationship metabolic rate (Y) and body mass (M)?

Page 5: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Allometric Scaling

• What is the relationship metabolic rate (Y) and body mass (M)?

• Mass units: grams, kilograms

• Metabolic units: calories, joules, O2 consumption, CO2 production

Page 6: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Allometric Scaling

• What is the relationship metabolic rate (Y) and body mass (M)?

• Usually follows a power function:

• Y = CMb

Page 7: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Allometric Scaling

• What is the relationship metabolic rate (Y) and body mass (M)?

• Usually follows a power function:

• Y = CMb

• C = constant

• b = allometric scaling coefficient

Page 8: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Allometric Scaling: Background• Allometric scaling equations relate basal

metabolic rate (Y) and body mass (M) by an allometric exponent (b)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

M

Y

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

Log (M)

Log (Y)

Y = YoMb Log Y = Log Yo + b log M

Page 9: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Allometric Scaling: Background• Allometric scaling equations relate basal

metabolic rate (Y) and body mass (M) by an allometric exponent (b)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

M

Y

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

Log (M)

Log (Y)

Y = YoMb Log Y = Log Yo + b log M

b is the slope of the log-log plot!

Page 10: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Allometric Scaling

• What is the expected value of b?

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

Log (M)

Log (Y)

??

Page 11: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Hollywood Studies Allometry

Godzilla (1954)

A scaled-up dinosaur

Page 12: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Hollywood Studies Allometry

The Incredible Shrinking Man (1953)

A scaled-down human

Page 13: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Miss Allometry

Raquel Welch

Movies spanning > 15 orders of magnitude of body mass!

Page 14: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

1 Million B.C. (1970)

Page 15: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Fantastic Voyage (1964)

Page 16: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Alien (1979) Antz (1998)

Hollywood (Finally) Learns Some Biology

Page 17: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Hollywood’s Allometric Hypothesis:

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

Log (M)

Log (Y)

b = 1.0

Page 18: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Surface/Volume Hypothesis

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

Log (M)

Log (Y)

b = 2/3

Surface area length2 Volume length3

Page 19: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Surface/Volume Hypothesis

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

Log (M)

Log (Y)

b = 2/3

Surface area length2 Volume length3

Microsoft Design Flaw!

Page 20: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

New allometric theory of the 1990s

• Theoretical models of universal quarter-power scaling relationships– Predict b = 3/4– Efficient space-filling energy transport

(West et al. 1997)– Fractal dimensions (West et al. 1999)– Metabolic Theory of Ecology (Brown

2004)

Page 21: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Theoretical Predictions

• b = 3/4– Maximize internal exchange efficiency– Space-filling fractal distribution networks (West et al.

1997, 1999)

• b = 2/3– Exterior exchange geometric constraints– Surface area (length2): volume (length3)

Page 22: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Research QuestionsMeta-analysis of published exponents

1. Is the calculated allometric exponent (b) correlated with features of the sample?

2. Mean and confidence interval for published values?

3. Likelihood that b = 3/4 vs. 2/3?

4. Why are estimates often < 3/4?

Page 23: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Allometric exponent

Species in sample

Taxon Source

0.71 391 mammals (Heusner 1991)

0.713 321 mammals (McNab 1988)

0.69 487 mammals (Lovegrove 2000)

0.737 626 mammals (Savage et al. 2004)

0.74 10 mixed (Kleiber 1932)

0.76 228 mammals (West et al. 2002)

0.724 35 passerine birds

(Lasiewski and Dawson 1967)

Page 24: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Research Questions

1. Is the calculated allometric exponent (b) correlated with features of the sample?

2. Calculate mean & confidence interval for published values?

3. Likelihood that b = 3/4 vs. 2/3

4. Why are estimates often < 3/4?

Page 25: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Question 1

• Can variation in published allometric exponents be attributed to variation in– sample size– average body size– range of body sizes measured

Page 26: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Allometric exponent as a function of number of species in sample

Other

P = 0.6491

0 100 300 500 7000.60

0.65

0.70

0.75

0.80

0.85

0.90

Number of species in sample

Mammals

Allo

met

ric E

xpon

ent

Page 27: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Allometric exponent as a function of midpoint of mass

P = 0.5781

Weighted by sample size P = 0.565

0 500 1000 1500 20000.60

0.65

0.70

0.75

0.80

0.85

0.90

Midpoint of mass

Mammals

Other

Allo

met

ric E

xpon

ent

Page 28: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Allometric exponent as a function of log(difference in mass)

P = 0.5792

Weighted by sample size: P = .649

Mammals

Other

0 1 2 3 4 5 60.60

0.65

0.70

0.75

0.80

0.85

0.90

Log(difference in mass)

Allo

met

ric E

xpon

ent

Page 29: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Non-independence in Published Allometric Exponents

• phylogenetic non-independence – species within a study exhibit varying levels of

phylogenetic relatednessBokma 2004, White and Seymour 2003

• data on the same species are sometimes used in multiple studies

Page 30: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Independent Contrast Analysis

• Paired studies analyzing related taxa (Harvey and Pagel 1991)

– e.g., marsupials and other mammals

• Each study was included in only one pair• No correlation (P > 0.05) between difference in the

allometric exponent and– difference in sample size,

– midpoint of mass

– range of mass

Page 31: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Question 1: Conclusions

• Allometric exponent was not correlated with– sample size– midpoint of mass– range of body size

• Reported values not statistical artifacts

Page 32: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Research Questions

1. Is the calculated allometric exponent (b) correlated with features of the sample?

2. Calculate mean & confidence interval for published values?

3. Likelihood that b = 3/4 vs. 2/3

4. Why are estimates often < 3/4?

Page 34: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Allo

met

ric E

xpon

ent

Mammals Birds Reptiles

0.60

0.65

0.70

0.75

0.80

0.85

0.90

b = 3/4

b = 2/3

Page 35: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Allo

met

ric E

xpon

ent

Mammals Birds Reptiles

0.60

0.65

0.70

0.75

0.80

0.85

0.90

b = 2/3

b = 3/4

Page 36: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Allo

met

ric E

xpon

ent

Mammals Birds Reptiles

0.60

0.65

0.70

0.75

0.80

0.85

0.90

b = 2/3

b = 3/4

Page 38: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Research Questions

1. Is the calculated allometric exponent (b) correlated with features of the sample?

2. Calculate mean & confidence interval for published values?

3. Likelihood that b = 3/4 vs. 2/3?

4. Why are estimates often < 3/4?

Page 39: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Question 3: Likelihood Ratio

b = 3/4 : b = 2/3

All species 16 074

Mammals 105

Birds 7.08

Reptiles 2.20

Page 40: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Research Questions

1. Is the calculated allometric exponent (b) correlated with features of the sample?

2. Calculate mean & confidence interval for published values?

3. Likelihood that b = 3/4 vs. 2/3?

4. Why are estimates often < 3/4?

Page 41: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Allo

met

ric E

xpon

ent

Mammals Birds Reptiles

0.60

0.65

0.70

0.75

0.80

0.85

0.90

b = 3/4

b = 2/3

Question 4: estimates often < 3/4?

Page 42: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Linear Regression

• Most published exponents based on linear regression • Assumption: x variable is measured without error • Measurement error in x may bias slope estimates

Page 43: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Measurement Error

• Limits measurement of true species mean mass

• Includes seasonal variation

• Systematic variation

• “Classic” measurement errors

Page 44: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Simulation: Motivatione.g. y = 2xtrue

0 20 40 60 80 100

0

50

100

150

200

True measurement

Slope = 2.0

Slope = 1.8

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

0

50

100

150

200

Error in measurement

Page 45: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Simulation: Assumptions

Assumed modelYi = mi 0.75

Add variation in measurement of mass

Yi = (mi + Xi)b

Simulate error in measurement

Xi = KmiZ

Z ~ N(0,1)

Y = met. Rate

m = mass

X = error term (can be positive or negative)

b = exponent

K = % measurement error

Z = a random number

Page 46: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Circles: mean of 100 trialsTriangles: estimated parametric confidence intervals

Allo

met

ric E

xpon

ent

0.05 0.10 0.15 0.200.70

0.71

0.72

0.73

0.74

0.75

0.76

Proportion Measurement Error

Page 47: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Question 4: Conclusions

• Biases slope estimates down

• Never biases slope estimates up

• Parsimonious explanation for discrepancy between observed and predicted allometric exponents for homeotherms.

Page 48: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Slope Estimates Revisited

• Other methods than least-squares can be used to fit slopes to regression data

• “Model II Regression” does not assume that error is only in the y variable

• Equivalent to fitting principal components

Page 49: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Ordinary Least-Squares Regression

• Most published exponents based on OLS • Assumption: x variable is measured without error • Fitted slope minimizes vertical residual deviations

from line

Page 50: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Reduced Major Axis Regression

• Minimizes perpendicular distance of points to line • Does not assume all error is contained in y variable • “Splits the difference” between x and y errors

Page 51: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Reduced Major Axis Regression

• Slope of Major Axis Regression is always > slope of OLS Regressions

• Major Axis Regression slope = b / r2

increasing b

Page 52: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Re-analysis of Data• Adjusted slope for n = 5 mammal data sets

Page 53: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Conclusions

• Measured allometric exponents not correlated with features of sample

• Published exponents cluster tightly for homeotherms – values slightly lower than the

predicted b = 3/4.

• Published exponents highly variable for poikilotherm studies

Page 54: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Conclusions

• Body mass measurement error always biases least-squares slope estimates downward

• Observed allometric exponents closer to 3/4 than 2/3

Page 55: Allometric exponents support a 3/4 power scaling law Catherine C. Farrell Nicholas J. Gotelli Department of Biology University of Vermont Burlington, VT

Acknowledgements

Gordon Research Conference Committee

Metabolic Basis of Ecology

Bates College

July 4-9, 2004