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REPORT LAUNCH 30 October 2018, Geneva, Switzerland Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair Seoul National University

Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions · Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions . Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair . Seoul

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Page 1: Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions · Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions . Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair . Seoul

REPORT LAUNCH 30 October 2018, Geneva, Switzerland

Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions Presenta tion by Profes sor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair Seoul National Univers ity

Page 2: Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions · Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions . Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair . Seoul

AIR POLLUTION IS A SERIOUS HEALTH CRISIS ACROSS ASIA AND THE PACIFIC

<8% of people in Asia Pacific enjoy clean air In 2015, 4 billion people were exposed to high levels of air pollution Highest numbers in South and East Asia

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Page 3: Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions · Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions . Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair . Seoul

Current policies have an effect on air quality levels by decoupling emissions from economic growth

CONSIDERABLE POLLUTION REDUCTION ACHIEVED

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Page 4: Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions · Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions . Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair . Seoul

Full scale implementation and the 80% expected economic growth forecas t could result in no further increase in a ir pollution while lifting tens of millions out of poverty, But…. 4 billion will remain exposed to health-damaging levels of a ir pollution

CURRENT POLICIES WILL AVOID FURTHER LARGE-SCALE DETERIORATION BUT NOT ACHIEVE AIR QUALITY STANDA

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Page 5: Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions · Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions . Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair . Seoul

Implemented policies have reduced burden that would have been experienced in 2030

But this means increase from 2 million in 2015 to

2.5 million premature deaths in 2030 because of growing

and aging population

If fully implemented by countries that adopted recent policies , this will

reduce exposure in 2030 to the s ame level as

2015 despite projected 80% economic growth

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Page 6: Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions · Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions . Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair . Seoul

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ASIA-WIDE FULL APPLICATION OF CONVENTIONAL

MEASURES

NEXT STAGE AIR QUALITY MEASURES THAT ARE NOT YET MAJOR COMPONENTS

OF CLEAN AIR POLICIES

MEASURES WHICH CONTRIBUTE TO DEVELOPMENT

PRIORITIES WITH AIR QUALITY BENEFITS

Looking for measures that • Lead to largest reduction in population exposed to PM2.5 • Plus methane measures to reduce tropospheric ozone • And HFCs which reduce near-term warming

WE NEED MORE AMBITION TO REDUCE HEALTH IMPACTS IN THE NEXT DECADES

Page 7: Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions · Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions . Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair . Seoul

Top clean air 25 measures will provide clean a ir [<10µg m-3]

to 1 billion people in 2030

And reduce number of people facing the highes t WHO

Interim Target (35µg m-3) by 80%

Next

Full

Develop.

7 BENEFITS FOR HEALTH

Page 8: Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions · Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions . Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair . Seoul

PM2.5 after implementation of

the Top 25 Meas ures

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Page 9: Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions · Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions . Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair . Seoul

…..compared to the bas eline ….

…..a big

improvement!

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Page 10: Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions · Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions . Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair . Seoul

25 clean air measures would avoid one third of premature deaths from ambient PM2.5 pollution… …. and about 2 million from indoor a ir pollution every year

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Page 11: Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions · Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions . Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair . Seoul

25 clean air meas ures could reduce crop los s es of maize, rice, s oy, and wheat by 45%

11 BENEFITS FOR FOOD SECURITY

Page 12: Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions · Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions . Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair . Seoul

All measures link to key SDGs atta inment All 25 meas ures reduce: CO2 by ~ 20% CH4 by ~ 40% BC by ~ 70% HFC by ~ 80%

12 HELPING ACHIEVE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS

Page 13: Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions · Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions . Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair . Seoul

25 clean air measures could avoid 0.3˚C of warming by 2050

13 BENEFITS FOR CLIMATE

Page 14: Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions · Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions . Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair . Seoul

25 clean air measures cos t $300-600 billion

per year which in 2030 is equal to 5% of the increas e in wealth

(GWP) by 2030

Structural change in energy – less need for expensive pollution control

14 COST FOR IMPLEMENTATION

Page 15: Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions · Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions . Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair . Seoul

15 LET’S MAKE IT HAPPEN FOR HEALTHY PEOPLE AND ENVIRONMENT

COOPERATION IS KEY The successful adoption and effective implementation of the measures requires concerted efforts and integrated action from governments, businesses and civil society.

BENEFITS OUTWEIGH THE COST Implementing the measures is projected to cost US $ 300-600 billion per year. This is only about one twentieth of the annual increase of US $ 12 trillion in GDP that is projected by 2030 and will deliver substantial benefits – human health, food production, environmental protection and climate change mitigation – including savings on pollution control.

FINANCING FOR THE MEASURES Many measures are aligned with national development priorities and could be supported from domestic public finance. Private sector and businesses are ready to invest in cleaner technologies, provided a favourable enabling environment is in place. Climate finance mechanisms are available for measures that reduce air pollution and mitigate greenhouse gases.

Page 16: Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions · Air Pollution in Asia Pacific: Science-based Solutions . Presentation by Professor Yun-Chul Hong, Report Co-Chair . Seoul

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THANK YOU!