AIR NEW ZEALAND CUP Round Eleven Form Teams Latest Match P W L D

LastMet

Win%

TABOdds

ValueOdds

ASAPMargin Ratings Trend Match Day Form

30-07-09 04-10-09

Round 11 - 7:35pm Thursday October 8, Napier - Sky Sport 1

The ‘Bay’ took advantage of BOP’serratic defence to just get up. Theycould possibly drop one and still makethe semis but it wouldn’t want to bethis. With Waldrom, Guilford and Daggexcelling and Berquist’s accuracythat’s unlikely, albeit the carelesshandling and option issues. Countiesagain showed their talent for turningscraps into points out wide vCanterbury, but lack 80 minute grunt.

Round 11 - 7:35pm Friday October 9, Christchurch - Sky Sport 1

Despite an 11th table position andearly positives, the ‘ASAP Ratings’have Manawatu second last. They’vefought hard and got a few individualsbut they couldn’t compete up front orout back with Wellington. Canterburywere patchy away v Counties but willplan their run at the title now. Withplenty of ABs back and at home witha shield to protect you’d expect acomfortable win.

Round 11 - 7:35pm Friday October 9, Nplymouth - Sky Sport 2 (Replayed 9.30pm Sky Sport 1)

This should end the slim semi chancesof one. Taranaki brought cohesion,defence and some width v Otago ledby Tony Penn and Jason Eaton.Ripia’s territorial grasp continues togrow and that game would reallytrouble Auckland. The latter broughtsome urgency for a change and foundenough running chances to get over aflat Southland. Kaino. Afoa, andMoeke looked good but the team willface real unity here.

Round 11 - 2:35pm Saturday October 10, Dunedin - Sky Sport 1

Otago fought hard on Taranaki’s day.With Thompson inspiring they bringplenty to the breakdown and thelineout. Down south they’ll make ittough for Waikato who are now 5 from6. They’re looking more stable withLeonard, Donald and De Malmancheback. Sweeney is in everything and ifthey can lower the error rate and closesome holes they could make thesemis.

Round 11 - 5:30pm Saturday October 10, Invercargill - Sky Sport 1

Expect a gut buster. Both desperatelyneed this for the semis and playsimilar no nonsense rugby. Southlandwere flat, even Robinson’s kicking wasoff, v Auckland. Back home they’llshow, driven by the work rates ofRutledge and McIntosh. Tasmanagain adapted best to ugly conditionsin Whangarei. MacDonald, Goodman,Petenise and Cook are firing butmainly they bring team and can winthis too.

Round 11 - 7:35pm Saturday October 10, Albany - Sky Sport 1

BOP are another who remain in thesemi race. They battled tough v the‘Bay’, but defensive lapses eventuallycost them. NH were also downed in aclose one v Waikato. They pounce onerrors, can find wide and will havetargeted this. Still, you’d think theability of Bourke and Delaney tocontrol options will give them territoryand they’ll look to expose Harbour’soften sleepy defence.

Round 11 - 2:35pm Sunday October 11, Whangarei - Sky Sport 1

The stiff 1st half wind didn’t fazeNorthland who put in again vCanterbury. The reality is they lack theclass to break good line defences.They haven’t beaten Wellington since2000 and its difficult to see thatchanging here. The latter are findingsome shape despite missing ABs andinjury forced re-shuffles. Schwalger,Vito, Ramasy, Leuia, and Mathewsonare all standing up and Jane isexceptional.

WLWWWW Hawke's Bay W 22-19 v BOP 10 6 3 1 45 - 14 60% $1.05 $1.30 W by 16

LLWLLL C-Manukau L 17-28 v Canterbury 10 2 8 0 14/9/08 20% $8.00 $4.00

WLWWWW Canterbury W 28-17 v Counties 10 8 2 0 24 - 25 80% $1.05 $1.15 W by 21

LLLLLL Manawatu L 15-43 v Wellington 10 3 7 0 2/8/08 30% $8.00 $8.00

WWWLLW Taranaki W 38-10 v Otago 10 5 4 1 6 - 22 50% $1.90 $2.10

WWWLLW Auckland W 27-13 v Southland 10 5 5 0 10/8/08 50% $1.85 $1.90 W by 1

WLLLWL Otago L 10-38 v Taranaki 10 3 7 0 10 - 39 30% $2.35 $2.10

WWLWWW Waikato W 33-22 v N Harbour 10 6 4 0 26/9/08 60% $1.55 $1.90 W by 1

WDWWLL Southland L 13-27 v Auckland 10 6 3 1 6 - 3 60% $1.55 $2.10

LWWLWW Tasman W 21-16 v Northland 10 6 4 0 19/9/08 60% $2.35 $1.90 W by 2

LLLWWL Nth Harbour L 22-33 v Waikato 10 3 7 0 31 - 38 30% $2.00 $2.10

LWLWLL BOP L 19-22 v Hawkes Bay 10 6 4 0 16/8/08 60% $1.75 $1.90 W by 8

LDLWLL Northland L 16-21 v Tasman 10 3 6 1 27 - 43 30% $5.50 $4.00

LWLLWW Wellington W 43-15 v Manawatu 10 6 4 0 13/8/05 60% $1.13 $1.30 W by 13

Source: The All Sports and Prices Index (ASAP Index) produced by Cogito Limited. ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. After each game teams record a computerised rating. This rating is based on the scoring mechanism of the sport. Factors which go towards the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The Graph: The graph tracks the trend of the ratings between the displayed dates and predicts the future margin before the addition of home advantage points for today’s game. Key: The form column indicates the last 6 matches. The home team is listed first. The ‘Value odds’ column indicates the odds required to gain value according to the ‘ASAP Ratings’. The ‘ASAP Margin’ forecasts the likely winning margin based on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. All Sports And Prices Index © Copyright 2009.

AIR NEW ZEALAND CUP Round Eleven Form Teams Latest Match P W L D

LastMet

Win%

TABOdds

ValueOdds

ASAPMargin Ratings Trend Match Day Form

30-07-09 04-10-09

Round 11 - 7:35pm Thursday October 8, Napier - Sky Sport 1

The ‘Bay’ took advantage of BOP’serratic defence to just get up. Theycould possibly drop one and still makethe semis but it wouldn’t want to bethis. With Waldrom, Guilford and Daggexcelling and Berquist’s accuracythat’s unlikely, albeit the carelesshandling and option issues. Countiesagain showed their talent for turningscraps into points out wide vCanterbury, but lack 80 minute grunt.

Round 11 - 7:35pm Friday October 9, Christchurch - Sky Sport 1

Despite an 11th table position andearly positives, the ‘ASAP Ratings’have Manawatu second last. They’vefought hard and got a few individualsbut they couldn’t compete up front orout back with Wellington. Canterburywere patchy away v Counties but willplan their run at the title now. Withplenty of ABs back and at home witha shield to protect you’d expect acomfortable win.

Round 11 - 7:35pm Friday October 9, Nplymouth - Sky Sport 2 (Replayed 9.30pm Sky Sport 1)

This should end the slim semi chancesof one. Taranaki brought cohesion,defence and some width v Otago ledby Tony Penn and Jason Eaton.Ripia’s territorial grasp continues togrow and that game would reallytrouble Auckland. The latter broughtsome urgency for a change and foundenough running chances to get over aflat Southland. Kaino. Afoa, andMoeke looked good but the team willface real unity here.

Round 11 - 2:35pm Saturday October 10, Dunedin - Sky Sport 1

Otago fought hard on Taranaki’s day.With Thompson inspiring they bringplenty to the breakdown and thelineout. Down south they’ll make ittough for Waikato who are now 5 from6. They’re looking more stable withLeonard, Donald and De Malmancheback. Sweeney is in everything and ifthey can lower the error rate and closesome holes they could make thesemis.

Round 11 - 5:30pm Saturday October 10, Invercargill - Sky Sport 1

Expect a gut buster. Both desperatelyneed this for the semis and playsimilar no nonsense rugby. Southlandwere flat, even Robinson’s kicking wasoff, v Auckland. Back home they’llshow, driven by the work rates ofRutledge and McIntosh. Tasmanagain adapted best to ugly conditionsin Whangarei. MacDonald, Goodman,Petenise and Cook are firing butmainly they bring team and can winthis too.

Round 11 - 7:35pm Saturday October 10, Albany - Sky Sport 1

BOP are another who remain in thesemi race. They battled tough v the‘Bay’, but defensive lapses eventuallycost them. NH were also downed in aclose one v Waikato. They pounce onerrors, can find wide and will havetargeted this. Still, you’d think theability of Bourke and Delaney tocontrol options will give them territoryand they’ll look to expose Harbour’soften sleepy defence.

Round 11 - 2:35pm Sunday October 11, Whangarei - Sky Sport 1

The stiff 1st half wind didn’t fazeNorthland who put in again vCanterbury. The reality is they lack theclass to break good line defences.They haven’t beaten Wellington since2000 and its difficult to see thatchanging here. The latter are findingsome shape despite missing ABs andinjury forced re-shuffles. Schwalger,Vito, Ramasy, Leuia, and Mathewsonare all standing up and Jane isexceptional.

WLWWWW Hawke's Bay W 22-19 v BOP 10 6 3 1 45 - 14 60% $1.05 $1.30 W by 16

LLWLLL C-Manukau L 17-28 v Canterbury 10 2 8 0 14/9/08 20% $8.00 $4.00

WLWWWW Canterbury W 28-17 v Counties 10 8 2 0 24 - 25 80% $1.05 $1.15 W by 21

LLLLLL Manawatu L 15-43 v Wellington 10 3 7 0 2/8/08 30% $8.00 $8.00

WWWLLW Taranaki W 38-10 v Otago 10 5 4 1 6 - 22 50% $1.90 $2.10

WWWLLW Auckland W 27-13 v Southland 10 5 5 0 10/8/08 50% $1.85 $1.90 W by 1

WLLLWL Otago L 10-38 v Taranaki 10 3 7 0 10 - 39 30% $2.35 $2.10

WWLWWW Waikato W 33-22 v N Harbour 10 6 4 0 26/9/08 60% $1.55 $1.90 W by 1

WDWWLL Southland L 13-27 v Auckland 10 6 3 1 6 - 3 60% $1.55 $2.10

LWWLWW Tasman W 21-16 v Northland 10 6 4 0 19/9/08 60% $2.35 $1.90 W by 2

LLLWWL Nth Harbour L 22-33 v Waikato 10 3 7 0 31 - 38 30% $2.00 $2.10

LWLWLL BOP L 19-22 v Hawkes Bay 10 6 4 0 16/8/08 60% $1.75 $1.90 W by 8

LDLWLL Northland L 16-21 v Tasman 10 3 6 1 27 - 43 30% $5.50 $4.00

LWLLWW Wellington W 43-15 v Manawatu 10 6 4 0 13/8/05 60% $1.13 $1.30 W by 13

Ratings Performance MeterRANKINGS – RATINGS – ODDSRatings

RankLast

Week Teams P W L D StreakPtsFor

PtsAgst

AveScore

%Win

BonPts

CompPts

CompRank

ASAPRatings

TABOdds

1 1 Canterbury 10 8 2 0 W4 289 176 29 80% 5 37 1 33.5 $2.152 2 Wellington 10 6 4 0 W2 262 203 26 60% 5 29 3 28.7 $4.003 3 Auckland 10 5 5 0 W1 199 191 20 50% 6 26 7 26.7 $9.004 4 Hawke's Bay 10 6 3 1 W4 266 208 27 60% 4 30 2 25.3 $9.005 8 Taranaki 10 5 4 1 W1 209 188 21 50% 2 24 9 24.7 $30.006 5 Tasman 10 6 4 0 W2 229 174 23 60% 4 28 4 24.2 $30.007 6 BOP 10 6 4 0 L2 209 182 21 60% 2 26 6 23.9 $12.008 7 Southland 10 6 3 1 L2 181 173 18 60% 2 28 5 21.5 $12.009 10 Waikato 10 6 4 0 W3 205 223 21 60% 2 26 8 20.4 $9.00

10 9 Otago 10 3 7 0 L1 188 229 19 30% 6 18 10 19 n/a11 11 Nth Harbour 10 3 7 0 L1 187 234 19 30% 4 16 12 15.8 n/a12 12 Northland 10 3 6 1 L2 187 241 19 30% 2 16 13 15.6 n/a13 13 Manawatu 10 3 7 0 L6 210 268 21 30% 5 17 11 12.6 n/a14 14 C-Manukau 10 2 8 0 L3 192 323 19 20% 3 11 16 9.6 n/a

Copyright ASAP Index © 2009

ASAP Rating Graph Form Guide Key

AUCKLAND

TEAMS

HAWKE’S BAY

OTAGO

BAY OF PLENTY

MANAWATU TURBOS

SOUTHLAND

CANTERBURY

NORTH HARBOUR

TARANAKI

COUNTIES-MANAKU STEELERS

NORTHLAND TASMAN

WAIKATO

WELLINGTON

From: Tevita Mailau, Pauliasi Manu, Charlie Faumuina , Paea Fa’anunu, Francis Smith, Tom McCartney, Kurtis Haiu, Jay Williams, Andrew Van der Heijden, Dean Budd, Chris Lowrey, Peter Saili, Onosa’i Auva’a, Hamish Paterson, Taniela Moa, Grayson Hart, Ash Moeke, Daniel Bowden, Benson Stanley, Winston Stanley, Jamie Helleur, Teddy Stanaway , Thomas Timani, Dave Thomas, Atieli Pakalani, Paul Williams, John Afoa, Jerome Kaino, Keven Mealamu, Joe Rokocoko, Isaia Toeava

From: Hika Elliot, Ash Dixon, Clint Newland, Sona Taumalolo, Josh Keys, Jodi Allen, Ross Kennedy, Bryn Evans, Matt Egan, Michael Johnson, Karl Lowe, Thomas Waldrom, George Naoupu, Adam Bradey, Hugh Reed, Pama Petia, Chris Eaton, Dane Shelford, Matt Berquist, Andrew Horrell, Aayden Clarke, Sam Giddens, Jason Shoemark (captain), Richard Buckman, Mark Jackman, Israel Dagg, Zac Guildford, Jason Kupa, Neil Thomson, Bryn Evans

From: Keith Cameron, Tom Donnelly, Paul Grant, Sam Hibbard, Eben Joubert, Seko Kalou, Jason Macdonald, Hoani Matenga, Kees Meeuws, Peter Mirrielees, Ben Nolan, Charlie O’Connell, Steven Setephano, Alando Soakai (Captain), Adam Thomson, Hayden Triggs, Sean Romans (Vice Captain), Johnny Legg, Chris Noakes, Aaron Bancroft, Luke Herden, Glenn Dickson, Andrew Parata, Brett Mather, Karne Hesketh, Lucky Mulipola, Fetu’u Vainikolo, Ben Smith, Ryan Shortland, Michael Witt

From: James McGougan, Marcel Cummings-Toone, Culum Rettalick, Luke Braid, Joe Savage, Matt Vant Leven, Josh Hohneck, Zac Hohneck, Josh Olsen, John Moore, Ted Tauroa, Colin Bourke, John Pareanga , Josh Katene, Solomon King, Junior Poluleuligaga, Josh Hall, Phil Burliegh, Mike Delaney, Cory Aporo, Zar Lawrence, Lance MacDonald, Jason Hona, Wayne Hughson, Clinton Toopi, Nick McCashin, Nigel Hunt, Tanerau Latimer, Andre Ellison (ol), Ben Smith (ol)

From: Grant Polson, Talau Hala, David Te Moana, Ma’afu Fia, Sean O’Connor, Rob Foreman, James Goode, Reece Robinson, Lisiate Fa’aoso, Michael FitzgeraldNick Crosswell, Hamish Gosling, Josh Bradnock, Doug Tietjens, Bertus MulderBrent Thompson, Aaron Smith, Aaron Good, Aaron Cruden, Isaac Thompson,Francis Bryant, Johnny Leota, Tavita Taufui, Andre Taylor, Lote Raikabula, Tomasi Cama, Kurt Baker, Casey Stone

From: Andrew Olorenshaw, Rodney Ah You,Peter Borlase, Corey Flynn, Ti’i Paulo, Will Catherwood, Luke Romano, James Broadhurst, Sam Whitelock, Matt Todd, Michael Paterson, George Whitelock, Ash Parker, Nasi Manu, Willie Heinz, Tyson Keats, Andy Ellis, Dan Carter, Colin Slade, Stephen Brett, Tim Bateman, Ryan Crotty, Adam Whitelock, Casey Laulala, Chris Small, Sean Maitland, Tu Umaga-Marshall, James Paterson, Sam Monaghan, Isaac Ross, Brad Thorn, Owen Franks, Kieran Read, Richie McCaw, Wyatt Crockett

From: Andrew Olorenshaw, Rodney Ah You,Peter Borlase, Corey Flynn, Ti’i Paulo, Will Catherwood, Luke Romano, James Broadhurst, Sam Whitelock, Matt Todd, Michael Paterson, George Whitelock, Ash Parker, Nasi Manu, Willie Heinz, Tyson Keats, Andy Ellis, Dan Carter, Colin Slade, Stephen Brett, Tim Bateman, Ryan Crotty, Adam Whitelock, Casey Laulala, Chris Small, Sean Maitland, Tu Umaga-Marshall, James Paterson, Sam Monaghan, Isaac Ross, Brad Thorn, Owen Franks, Kieran Read, Richie McCaw, Wyatt Crockett

From: James Afoa, Mike Reid, Ben Afeaki, James Parsons, Michael Mayhew, Anthony Boric, Filo Paulo, James King, Chris Smith, Malakai Ravulo, Tom Chamberlain, Richard Mayhew, Robbie Colhoun, Vili Ma’afu , Chris Smylie, Matt France, Mike Harris, Ben Botica, Andrew Mailei,, Anthony Tuitavake, George Pisi , Nafi Tuitavake, Josh York, Rudi Wulf, Jack McPhee, Ken Pisi, Tony Woodcock, Luke McAlister

From: T. Penn (Captain), C. Carmichael, L. Corlett, J. Hincho, T. Tutavaha, A. Hore,S. Cleaver, M. Bent, N. Soqeta, C. Clark (vice Captain), L. Power, J. EatonJ. Willis, B. Souness, C. Walker, S. Waldrom, J. Hoeata, S. Vunisa, B. Goodin, B. Phillips, K. O’ Donnell, W. Ripia, J. Hayward, J. Cameron, N. Hohaia, W. Rickardsm, S. Austin, P. Perez, E. Jenkins, A. Malo, Andrew Hore, Jason Eaton

From: Cody Martin, Courtney McKay, Sikeli Nabou, Sherwin Stowers, Matt Holloway, Augustine Pulu, DJ Forbes, Siale Piutau, Waka Setitaia, Josh Hall, Ahsee Tuala,Fritz Lee, Jamie Metcalf, Lelia Masaga, Mark Selwyn, Samisoni Fisilau, Tim Nanai Williams, Siua Halanukonuka, Ilisa Maasi, Jason Roache, Rees Logan, Viliami Fihaki, David Raikuna, Graham Dewes, Jamie Chipman, Seremaia Tagicakibau, Kojak Faioso, Notise Tauafao, Simon Lemalu, Tasesa Lavea, Josh Hall (ol), Matt Holloway (ol)

From: Baker Steve Caine Rhyan, Carpenter Derek Clutterbuck Matt, Collins Justin, Collins Nick, Davies Justin, Dow Tim, Eyre Cameron, Fakafanua Damien, Fonua Sione, Gadolo Eroni, Gilmore Brook, Goodwin Dan, Griffin Roy, Haitana Karl, Hamilton Luke, Jowitt Cameron, McKenty Joel, Munroe Lachie, Murray Bronson, O’Connor Pat, Payne Jared, Ranger Rene, Tuu’u Mikaele, Wallis Matt, Woodman Troy, Elrick Jon

From: Hamish Cochrane, Ben Franks, Tristan Moran, Sakaria Taulafo, Quentin MacDonald, Daniel Perrin, Alex Ainley, Anthony Elisala, James Foster, Joseph Wheeler, Mark Bright, Daniel Crichton, Glen Gregory, Daniel Hyatt, Jonathan Poff, Zane Winslade, Shaun Begg, Kahn Fotualii, Matty James, James Marshall, Andrew Goodman, Sione Holani, Ammon Matuauto, Mike Pehi, Kade Poki, Blair Cook, James Kamana, Afeleki Pelenise, Robbie Malneek.

From: Ole Avei, Vern Kamo, Hikairo Forbes, Ben May, Kieran Ramage, Nathan White, Kent Fife, Romana Graham, Toby Lynn, Kevin O’Neill, Ray Allen, Jack Lam, Sione Lauaki, Liam Messam (captain), Jordan Smiler, Dominiko Waqaniburotu, David Bason, Josh Sutherland, Sam Christie, Trent Renata, Callum Bruce, Roimata Hansell-Pune, Jackson Willison, Tim Mikkelson, Henry Speight, Dwayne Sweeney, Savenaca Tokula, Sosene Anesi, Aled de Malmanche, Stephen Donald, Brendon Leonard, Mils Muliaina, Sitiveni Sivivatu

From: Adrian Barone, Anthony Bradshaw, Dane Coles, Arden David, Fa’atonu Fili, Scott Fuglistaller, Kaipati Gaualofa, Joe Hill, Michael Hobbs, Daniel Kirkpatrick, Alapati Leiua, Faifili Levave, Serge Lilo, Matt Luamanu, Motu Matu’u, Chris Middleton, Api Naikatini, Charlie Ngatai, Tomasi Palu, Anthony Perenise, Brett Pigott, Buxton Popoalii, Daniel Ramsey, Mark Reddish, Ged Robinson, Julian Savea, David Smith, Apoua Stewart, Shaun Treeby, Frae Wilson, Rodney So’oialo, Neemia Tialata, Hosea Gear, Cory Jane, Ma’a Nonu, Conrad Smith, Piri Weepu