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Agulhas Leakage depends on the Westerlies Jonathan Durgadoo Arne Biastoch ICSHMO 2012 New Caledonia 23 Apr 2012 Summarised version of presentation More details: [email protected]

Agulhas Leakage depends on the Westerlies · INALT01 • Global (0.5 deg. horizontal resolution) • 45 km resolution over Agulhas domain. • Global Base = ORCA05. • Coupled Nest

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Page 1: Agulhas Leakage depends on the Westerlies · INALT01 • Global (0.5 deg. horizontal resolution) • 45 km resolution over Agulhas domain. • Global Base = ORCA05. • Coupled Nest

Agulhas Leakage depends on the Westerlies

Jonathan Durgadoo

Arne Biastoch

ICSHMO 2012

New Caledonia

23 Apr 2012

Summarised version of presentation More details: [email protected]

Page 2: Agulhas Leakage depends on the Westerlies · INALT01 • Global (0.5 deg. horizontal resolution) • 45 km resolution over Agulhas domain. • Global Base = ORCA05. • Coupled Nest

Agulhas Current System: An Apercu.

Agulhas Current

What does the Leakage depend on?

Strong year-to-year variability!

How does the magnitude of the Leakage vary?

Sources of Agulhas Current

Page 3: Agulhas Leakage depends on the Westerlies · INALT01 • Global (0.5 deg. horizontal resolution) • 45 km resolution over Agulhas domain. • Global Base = ORCA05. • Coupled Nest

Leakage Dependency

Agulhas Current Winds Patterns

Inertia at Separation

Zero-Curl Position

How does the wind field affect the Agulhas leakage?

Page 4: Agulhas Leakage depends on the Westerlies · INALT01 • Global (0.5 deg. horizontal resolution) • 45 km resolution over Agulhas domain. • Global Base = ORCA05. • Coupled Nest

INALT01

• Global (0.5 deg. horizontal resolution) • 45 km resolution over Agulhas domain.

• Global Base = ORCA05. • Coupled Nest (0.1 deg. horizontal resolution) • 8oN – 50oS; 70oW – 70oE. • 9 km resolution over Agulhas domain.

ORCA05 does not resolve mesoscale.

resolves the mesoscale. Grid Size (km)

• z-coordinate (46 levels), partial cells

• Tri-polar horizontal grid

– Mercator south of 20oN

• LIM2 sea-ice model

• ETOPO2 bathymetry (Nest)

Grid Size (km)

Page 5: Agulhas Leakage depends on the Westerlies · INALT01 • Global (0.5 deg. horizontal resolution) • 45 km resolution over Agulhas domain. • Global Base = ORCA05. • Coupled Nest

Experiment Strategy. How do the wind patterns affect the Agulhas Leakage?

Indian Ocean Zonally averaged Wind Stress τx (Nm-2)

± 2o

± 4o

± 20%

± 40%

± 2o

± 4o

± 20%

± 40%

Trad

es

We

ste

rlie

s Wind Stress (Nm-2)

Design considerations.

• (Intensities) Geometric. • (Shifts) Constant energy input. • No abrupt change in curl. • Anomalies only applied to τx. • No change over Agulhas Current latitudes

(32–35oS).

50 years SPIN-UP

Application of wind anomaly

Analyse 20 years Mean-State

Climatologically forced CORE dataset (Large & Yeager, 2009)

10 years adaptation

Page 6: Agulhas Leakage depends on the Westerlies · INALT01 • Global (0.5 deg. horizontal resolution) • 45 km resolution over Agulhas domain. • Global Base = ORCA05. • Coupled Nest

Leakage Dependency

Agulhas Current

Inertia at Separation

Leakage v/s Position

Leakage v/s Intensity

Resolution independent

Trades change ≡ Change in Inertia ≠ Leakage change

Equator Pole

Strong Weak

Anomalies to Trades

More details: [email protected]

Page 7: Agulhas Leakage depends on the Westerlies · INALT01 • Global (0.5 deg. horizontal resolution) • 45 km resolution over Agulhas domain. • Global Base = ORCA05. • Coupled Nest

Anomalies to Westerlies

Leakage v/s Position

Leakage v/s Intensity

Equator Pole

By construction, NO change in Agulhas Current Transport

Westerlies change ≡ Leakage change

Strong Weak

Leakage Dependency

More details: [email protected]

Page 8: Agulhas Leakage depends on the Westerlies · INALT01 • Global (0.5 deg. horizontal resolution) • 45 km resolution over Agulhas domain. • Global Base = ORCA05. • Coupled Nest

Change in Trades (position and intensity)

Change in Agulhas Transport

NO Change in Agulhas Leakage

1

3 Resolution has little effect Long term average

2 Change in Westerlies

(position and intensity) Pronounced Change in

Agulhas Leakage

Local Change Direct & Symmetric

Basin-wide Change

Weak Westerlies

Strong Westerlies

decrease Leakage

increase Leakage

decrease Leakage

increase Variability

More details: [email protected]