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National Key Result Area (NKRA)
Agriculture Lab
1
Executive summary
▪ Agriculture contributes 24% to the real GDP of Tanzania, and accounts for 75% of workforce employment. However, growth in the sector is hindered by a number of critical challenges along the value chain, such as access to land, infrastructure, credit, improved inputs, access to market, farmer practices and human resource development
▪ The objective of the lab is to address these challenges in order to increase agriculture GDP growth, improve smallholder incomes and ensure food security by 2015. Growth in GDP will be driven by commercial farming models, while increased smallholder incomes will be achieved through smallholder aggregation. Both models will contribute to addressing the question of food security. Social inclusion and sustainability are at the heart of these models
▪ The lab has focused on an initial 3 priority crops: maize, rice and sugarcane as they are of high strategic importance to contribute to food security and import substitution for the country. The initiatives developed by the lab can be extended to other crops
▪ We will achieve these objectives through 3 big ideas:
– Closing 25 Commercial farming deals
– Enhancing 78 Smallholder rice irrigation and marketing schemes through professional management
– Developing 275 Collective warehouse based marketing schemes (COWABAMA) targeted at linking maize farmers to the market
▪ A total budget of TZS 14,310 billion is required to implement all the initiatives, 4% of which will require input from the public sector
▪ The success of these initiatives relies on firm government cooperation and support, institutional strengthening and ensuing that the enabling policy environment is attractive both to potential investors as well as smallholder farmers
2
50 lab members covering more than 31 agencies participated in the agriculture lab to design the initiatives and the implementation plans
ACT ANSAF
BAKHRESA
Bill & Melinda
Gates Foundation EPZA
MAFC MIT MLHHSD MLFD MVIWATA NARCO POPC PMO-
RALGRUBADA
SAGCOT SUA TIB TIC TPSF Techno
Serve
World
Bank
UDSM USAID
3
Abbreviations
� ACT - Agriculture Council of Tanzania� ANSAF - Agricultural Non State Actors
Forum� CCRO - Certificate of Customary Right of
Occupancy� COWABAMA - Collective warehouse based
marketing schemes� DP - Development Partner� EPZA - Export Processing Zones Authority� FBO - Farmer-Based Organisation� IO - Irrigators Organisation� KPI – Key Performance Indicator� LGA - Local Government Authority� M&E - Monitoring & Evaluation� MAFC- Ministry of Agriculture, Food
Security and Co-operatives� MDA - Ministries, Departments and
Agencies� MIT - Ministry of Industry and Trade
MLHHSD - Ministry of Lands, Housing and Human Settlement Development
� MVIWATA - Mtandao wa Vikundi vyaWakulima Tanzania
� NARCO - National Ranching Company� NEMC - National Environment
Management Council� NISC - National Investment Steering
Committee� NKRA – National Key Result Area� PDB - President Delivery Bureau� PMO-RALG - Prime Minister's Office -
Regional Administrative and Local Government
� POPC - President's Office, Planning Commission
� RUBADA - Rufiju Development Authority� RUDI - Rural Urban Development
Initiatives� SAGCOT - Southern Agricultural Growth
Corridor of Tanzania� TDV - Tanzania Development Vision � TIB- Tanzania Investment Bank� TIC - Tanzania Investment Centre� TPSF - Tanzania Private Sector
Foundation� UDSM - University of Dar Es Salaam
4
Contents
Context, case for change and analysis of problem
Results plan, timeline, quick wins/milestones
Budget
Closing
Minister’s KPIs
Overview of solutions
Governance structure
Stakeholder sign-off
5
Agriculture accounts for roughly 24% of GDP and employs 75% of the workforce
SOURCE: Kilimo Kwanza, ASDP, ASDS, CAADP Compact. CIA Factbook
Real GDP breakdown by sector Percent
Workforce breakdown by sectorPercent, 2009
With a strong majority of the workforce employed by agriculture, this sector will be critical to reducing poverty
Services
Industry
Agriculture
Other
5
100% =
Agriculture
Industry
Services
2009
20.3 million
employed
75
20
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Industry
Agriculture
Others
Services
8
6
15
Crops
Livestock
Hunting
And forestry
Fishing
2010
100% =
TZS 4.1 tril.
72
Out of
which
56% are
women
6
91% of agriculture land in use is driven by smallholders; only 9% of land is used commercially
SOURCE: National Sample Census of Agriculture 2007/2008
14 million hectaresSmallholders▪ Smallholders average farm
size is 0.2 to 2 hectares
▪ The main source of income
is sales of food crops
44 million hectaresArable land
1.5 million hectaresCommercial farming1
▪ There are 1,006 large
scale farms in Tanzania
with the average size of
1,107 hectares
1 Commercial farms are defined as land size 20 Ha and above
7
Food crops market value TZS bil
Maize Rice Sorghum Cassava
Cash crops market value TZS bil
Tobacco Coffee Cashew nuts Cotton
Subsistence farming dominates Tanzania’s rural agricultural sector, with maize being the major food crop
SOURCE: Ministry of Agriculture, Food Security and Co-operatives, Bank of Tanzania, Tanzania Revenue Authority, FAO Stats
2007 664
2008 929
2009 1,504
2010 1,664
2011 1,871
667
1,750
1,189
1,130
607 229
251
339
444
446
424
500
474
602
8305,240
4,340
4,475
3,326
3,556
1,128
1,461
1,700
886
875
843
807
789
768
861
1,857
1,549
1,464
1,972
1,797
2007 142
2008 212
2009 129
2010 201
2011 195
152
167
232
146
124
52
82
119
178
195
88
163
161
142
11094
61
55
51
51
57
35
69
44
121
75
79
92
93
163
267
369
201
55 130
xxx Production ‘000 MT
8
Maize YieldsMt / ha, 2011
Rice yields (paddy)Mt / ha, 2011
Yields are very low indicating high potential for growth
SOURCE: Ministry of Agriculture, Food Security and Co-operatives, Bank of Tanzania, Tanzania Revenue Authority, FAO Stats
1 Least developed countries
1.3
1.6
1.7
1.9
2.2
3.0
4.2
4.3
5.2
5.7
Vietnam
World
China
Kenya
LDC
Africa
Malawi
Inida
Brazil
Tanzania
2.4
3.0
3.5
3.5
4.0
4.4
5.5
2.0
LDC
India
Kenya
Tanzania
Africa
Thailand
World
Vietnam
9
Although Tanzania is considered to be generally food secure, regions within the country suffer from food insecurity
SOURCE: Tanzania Poverty and Human Development Report 2009; WFP Draft CFSVA 2010; CAADP Brief No. 4; Policy Forum
2009
Food insecure areas
identified by Rapid
Vulnerability survey in 2008
Food security and malnutrition
▪ Total food requirements are ~10.53 million tons/year; estimated 08/09 production was 10.8 million tons
▪ Food insecurity remains as high as 45% in some regions
▪ 4.1% of households have poor food consumption; 18.9% of households have borderline food consumption
▪ Tanzania’s food security relies heavily on domestic food production which is highly vulnerable to weather variability
Mara
Tanga
Lindi
MtwaraRuvuma
Iringa
Morogoro
Pwani
DodomaSingida
Rukwa
Mbeya
Kigoma
Tabora
Shinyanga
Kagera
Manyara
Dar Es Salaam
Zanzibar
Kilimanjaro
ArushaMwanza
10
Growth in the agricultural sector is hindered by a number of bottlenecks along the value chain and beyond
SOURCE: Team analysis
▪ Basic
infrastruc-
ture is
lacking
▪ Only 3% of
area
planted is
irrigated
▪ Poor
access to
inputs
results in
low yields
▪ 17% use
of
improved
seeds
▪ Only 9
kg/ha of
fertiliser
used
▪ Extension
service
staff
decreased
in
numbers
▪ 62% use
hand hoes
▪ Less than
1% have
access to
proper
storage
facilities
▪ Limited
aggregatio
n/ trading
▪ 15 step
process to
obtain a land
title
▪ Confusion
among land
implemen-
ting agencies
▪ Majority of
produce
for home
consump-
tion
▪ Limited
invest-
ment in
value
addition
(e.g., agro-
process-
ing)
Operational challenges
Infrastruc-ture
Land Inputs ProductionAggrega-tion/ distribution
Processing and retail
Enablers ▪ Lack or inappropriate agricultural financing mechanisms for households
▪ Lack of consistency and transparency in policy environment
▪ Lack of transparent information on market prices, process, incentives for both smallholder
farmers and potential commercial investors
▪ Inadequate coordination of sector-wide agriculture programs
11
The lab aims to address these challenges for Tanzania to achieve its TDV2025 vision
By 2015, to ensure increase in output and
the quality of all products for which the
country enjoys a comparative and
competitive advantage and position itself to become the food basket for the East Africa region and beyond
By 2025, to commercialise the sector to
ensure nationwide food security and food self-sufficiency, while increasing incomesthrough viable internal and international
trade
12
Contents
Context, case for change and analysis of problem
Results plan, timeline, quick wins/milestones
Budget
Closing
Minister’s KPIs
Overview of solutions
Governance structure
Stakeholder sign-off
13
The Agriculture Lab focused on 3 objectives achieved through commercial farming and smallholder aggregation
Impact
Impact
Impact
Increase agriculture
GDP growth
Increase smallholder
income
Increase food
security
Social inclusion &
sustainability
Commercialfarming
Smallholderaggregation
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
14
We want to achieve Big Results Now by 2015
1 Not including area occupied by outgrowers
2 Second wave of priority crops to include horticulture, oil seeds
350,000 hectares1
new commercial farm land
330,000 hectares smallholder farm land enhanced
400,000smallholders involved in
commercial and smallholder
schemes
290,000 tonnesnew rice production
100,000 tonnesnew maize production
150,000 tonnessugar crop planted
Initial focus on 3 crops: initiative benefits extend throughout the
sector2
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
15
Excess supply will feed the large regional demand
Sudan
Ethiopia
Uganda
Somalia
Kenya
TanzaniaDemocratic Republic of the Congo
Zambia Malawi
Mozambique
Rwanda
SOURCE: ITC calculations based on UN COMTRADE statistics; WITS
470,000 MT of sugar currently imported annually
553,000 MT of maize currently imported annually
541,000 MT of rice currently imported annually
16
We have 3 big ideas to transform agriculture in Tanzania
Commercial farming
Smallholder aggregation
25 Commercial
farming deals for paddy and sugarcane
1
78 Professionally
managed collective rice irrigation and marketing schemes
2
275 Collective
warehouse based marketing schemes “COWABAMA”
3
17
Commercial farming
Smallholder aggregation
25 Commercial
farming deals for paddy and sugarcane
1
78 Professionally
managed collective rice irrigation and marketing schemes
2
275 Collective
warehouse based marketing schemes “COWABAMA”
3
18
25 commercial farming deals for paddy and sugar have been identified
11
1 Bagomoyo site not included in list as deal is close to being complete
Pilot sites
Mara
Tanga
Lindi
MtwaraRuvuma
IringaMorogoro
Pwani
Dodoma
Singida
Rukwa
Mbeya
KigomaTabora
Shinyanga
Kagera
Manyara
Dar Es
Salaam
Zanzibar
Kilimanjaro
ArushaMwanza
A
B
C
D
F
G
H
I
J
K
Districts identified for commercial paddy and sugarcane Land size of nucleus farmCropSite
Site No
Land size of smallholder District
SugarcaneKumsenga/Kibwie3 20,000 5,000
SugarcaneKiberege4 20,000 10,000
PaddyKihansi,5 5,200 8,000
Paddy6 5,128 16,203
SugarcaneRuipa7 13,000 6,500
PaddyKisegese8 10,000 15,188
SugarcaneManda9 20,000 5,000
SugarcaneKisaki10 20,000 10,000
SugarcaneMkulazi11 50,000 25,000
SugarcaneMkulazi12 50,000 25,000
SugarcaneMvuha13 20,000 10,000
SugarcaneMahurungu14 3,000 2,000
SugarcaneIkongo15 12,000 3,000
SugarcanePangani16 3,200 1,200
PaddyLukulilo 8,000 4,000
SugarcaneMkongo18 22,000 7,000
SugarcaneMuhoro
17
19 20,000 16,000
PaddyRufiji Delta20 5,000 13,500
SugarcaneTawi/Utunge21 20,000 5,000
PaddyItete22 10,000 30,000
PaddyKilosa kwa mpepo23 5,000 18,000
PaddyMisegese24 5,000 15,000
PaddyNgohelanga25 6,000 15,000
SugarcaneKitengule1 16,000 2,000
SugarcaneKasulu2 20,000 2,000Kasulu
Kibondo
Kilombero
Ludewa
Morogoro
Mtwara
Musoma
Pangani
Rufiji
Ulanga
KaragweA
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
E
Mpanga-Ngalimila
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
19
We are doing things differently to ensure success11
Focus solving issues such
as land, extension, inputs
etc. across the sector
Focus on getting deals done and solving for
issues specific to sites
Agencies and ministries
working in silos and not
communicating well
Getting the right people from different agencies/ministries in
the room at the same time to work together
Working with government lens
Adopting investor’s lens
Investing only in things (e.g. equipment and
infrastructure)
Investing in people and increasing their capabilities
From… To…
20
Access to land and an enabling business environment are needed to ensure investments into 25 sites
11
▪ A temporary cross-agency team to accelerate
securing land title, building infrastructure and
conducting agro-ecological studies for 25 land
parcels
Create a Special Lands and Infrastructure Task Force
i
▪ Conduct “pre engagement” training to
educate communities on business, good
agriculture practices and farmer organization
Conduct community engagement
ii
Action Description Result
▪ Create standard meritocracy assessment criteria to award sites to investors
▪ Create prototype Term Sheet including
“investment incentive package”, terms and
conditions and KPIs
Develop standard tender assessment criteria and Term Sheet
iii
▪ Dedicated unit within TIC responsible for
attracting investors, coordinating applications,
addressing complains and monitoring
compliance
Uplift mandate of TIC and Investor Complain Bureau
iv
Together with selected interventions – ensuring availability of rice seed and developing industry associations – we believe that 25 deals can be pushed through the pipeline by 2015
▪ 25 sites ready for investment
▪ CCROs for smallholders
▪ Communities readyfor engagement with investors
▪ 25 high quality commercial agriculture investors
▪ Efficient “one stop center” for investors, and avenue to address investor issues
21
The new land task force will conduct at least 4 visits to each site to prepare the community for incoming investors
iiii
Visit no. Purpose of visit Length of visit Team conducting visit
▪ Meet with District Council and Village Assembly to inform them of investment plans
▪ Reconnaissance survey to confirm availability of land and infrastructure needs
8 days ▪ Subset of Task Force
▪ Verification of Land Use Plans▪ Community consultant on Customary
Certificate of Right of Occupancy▪ Demarcate site and erect beacons
7 days ▪ Subset of Task Force▪ Technical team
Conduct▪ Soil survey▪ Environmental analysis▪ Social analysis▪ Training needs assessment
14 days ▪ Soil survey team▪ Environmental
analysis team▪ Social analysis team▪ Training needs team
“Pre-engagement” training on the issues of ▪ Environmental sustainability▪ Conducting businesses▪ Farmer organization▪ Good agriculture practices
16 days ▪ Consultant team
1
2
3
4
Additional visit to conduct other activities (e.g. compensation and resettlement) will take place as necessary
22
Existing agencies must be improved to effectively facilitate investments
iviv
TO…Proposed changes
Investors Complaint Bureau
FROM…Current mandate
▪ Bureau disciplined to meet monthly ▪ Meets on an ad hoc basis, subject to the Prime Minister’s availability
▪ Implement online tracking system to show complains that need to be addressed and how long they have been in the pipeline
▪ No transparency on complaints in the pipeline that needs to be addressed
▪ No mandate to grant approvals or oversee applications in line ministries
▪ Unit implements online tracking system with line ministries to show where applications are sitting, relevant person in charge and how long application has been pending
▪ A facilitation body that assists investors in necessary applications
Tanzania Investment Centre
▪ Dedicated unit, overseen by PDB, to receive and take ownership of all applications (forwards them to line ministries and ensures that applications are processed in due time)
▪ Current “14 day system” that automatically grants approval if line ministries do not respond within 14 days is not enforced
▪ Automatically raises issues to Investors Complain Bureau if applications have taken longer than allocated time
▪ Raises other complaints e.g. sudden policy changes, to Investors Complain Bureau
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
23
v
The Agriculture Lab has already resolved some of the bottlenecks to closing the Bagamoyo Eco-Energy project
11
Large scale iconic project in Tanzania,
with high potential impact
▪ Production of 150,000T of sugar,
11,000cbm ethanol and 32MW electricity ▪ 2,300 direct jobs, 10,000 indirect jobs
▪ 2,000 outgrowers producing about 300-
400tonnes of sugar
At risk because of bureaucracy and Government inefficiency
The lab used a “pressure cooker” to resolve issues
Ensured AG Chambers provided immediate feedback on Land lease and Right of Occupancy
Negotiated water rights from 5 years to 30 years on behalf of Investor
Part of working group to accelerate Implementation and Shareholder’s Agreement
Raised issue to the President to increase pressure and awareness
SOURCE: Eco Energy
24
Commercial farming
Smallholder aggregation
25 Commercial
farming deals for paddy and sugarcane
1
78 Professionally
managed collective rice irrigation and marketing schemes
2
275 Collective
warehouse based marketing schemes “COWABAMA”
3
25
78 rice smallholder irrigation sites have been identifiedto be professionally managed
2
Existing rice irrigation schemes have a lot of potential as farmers are organisedand infrastructure is already in place
However … WHAT’S DIFFERENT?
▪ Capacity of the Irrigators Organisation(IO) to properly manage irrigation services is low
▪ A professional private service provider builds capacity of the IO
▪ Irrigation infrastructure needs rehabilitation
▪ Irrigation infrastructure rehabilitated and extended for identified schemes
▪ No support for farmers and their ability
to access inputs, extension services and
finances is low
▪ A full range of services required by the farmers is provided and managed by the IO
▪ No marketing structures ▪ Establishment of warehouses and linkages to buyers managed by IO
Yields and incomes are low Improved yields and higher incomes
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
26
The smallholder farmers will have a ‘one stop shop’ for all the services they require
2
Existing structure Proposed model
▪ IO services are boosted by professional management from private service provider
▪ Farmers can rely on IO for support
▪ IO currently only manages irrigation services
▪ Farmers do not receive support, and must fend for themselves
Input supplier
Buyer/processors
Extension services Warehousing
Financial services
Aggregated smallholder
farmers
Irrigators Organisation(IO)supported byProfessional management
Input supplier
Extension services
Financial services
Warehousing
Buyers/processors
Smallholder farmers
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
27
The professional service provider will play a catalytic role in transforming and building capabilities in the Irrigators Organisation
2
One contracted Professional Service Provider per District
Irrigators Organisation
▪ Leads the IO team
▪ Organises bulk purchase of inputs
▪ Identifies and engages mechanization services
▪ Links IOs to financial institutions
▪ Establishes contract with processors, branding companies and buyers
▪ Link Ios to the Commodity Exchange(once established)
Extension Officer
▪ Establishes farmers field school
▪ Trains farmers on Good Agricultural Practices (GAP)
Irrigation Technician
▪ Supervises management of irrigation infrastructure and irrigation water utilisation
Technical Manager
Warehouse Operator
▪ Manages warehouse operation
Professional service provider aims to build IO capability to take over management of scheme after 2 years
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
28
We have selected the following districts to pilot the smallholder irrigation schemes for paddy
4.1
3.6
4.2
4.3
3.9
3.9
3.4
4.2
Iringa R
Kilombero
Kilosa
Kyela
Mbarali
MorogoroR
MpandaDC
Mvomero
Smallholder paddy pilot districts
Mpanda
Mbarali
Kyela
Iringa Rural
Kilombero
MorogoroRuralMorogoroRural
Mvomero Kilosa
11
8
8
2
35
4
7
3
Iringa R
Kilombero
Kilosa
Kyela
Mbarali
Morogoro R
Mpanda DC
Mvomero
Number of schemes Current yield (MT/ha)
2
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
29
1 Based on assumption that farmer’s consumption is fired at 1 ton
2 Based on recommended seed and fertilizer usage
1.60.8Amount consumed1 (tons/ha):
6.43.2Marketed amount (tons/ha):
800800Farm-gate price (‘000 TZS/ton):
5,1202,560Cash revenue (‘000 TZS/ha):
950 2,360Cash cost2 (‘000/ha):
1,610 2,760Cash profit (‘000 TZS/ha):
Yield (tons/ha): 8.04.0
Yield of ~8 tons per ha
Yield of ~4 tons per ha
Income statement for a smallholder rice farmer What’s different?Before
By 2015, yield in these schemes will increase to 8MT/ha2
71%
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
30
Commercial farming
Smallholder aggregation
25 Commercial
farming deals for paddy and sugarcane
1
78 Professionally
managed collective rice irrigation and marketing schemes
2
275 Collective
warehouse based marketing schemes “COWABAMA”
3
31
275 collective warehouse based marketing schemes will provide farmers with access to the market
Maize farmers lose out to the market because of high post-harvest losses and low farm gate prices …
Farmers receive a higher farm gate price, maize production will be more profitable thereby encouraging them to invest more to grow their business
WHAT’S DIFFERENT? … we believe that developing a ‘demand pull’ model is essential to increase smallholder incomes
Professional Service Provider organises and trains farmers, manages warehouse operations, facilitates links to key services and links farmers to buyers
3
Existing warehouses are rehabilitated
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
32
Farmers aggregate around a collective warehouse based marketing scheme “COWABAMA”…
MAFC
▪ Assessment and profiling of existing warehouses
▪ Rehabilitate warehouses
Financial institutions
▪ Enables smallholder financing using stock as collateral
Input suppliers
▪ Warehouse facilitates bulk purchases of inputs
Farmer Based Organisations Village warehouses
▪ Operated by a trained manager
▪ Provides modern sorting to improve the quality of grain
▪ Provides better storage facilities
Marketintelligence platform
▪ Enables warehouses and buyers to share trade information
▪ Increases farmer bargaining power through bulk and seasonal sales
Local andRegional buyers
▪ Linked to aggregated quantities of product
▪ Deposit grain in warehouse
▪ Make collective decisions on sales
3
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
33
… kick started by a Service Provider
MAFC▪ Contracts Service Provider▪ Conducts monitoring and
evaluation of Service Provider
Financial institutions
▪ Facilitate link between FBOs and financial institutions
Input suppliers
▪ Facilitate bulk purchases of inputs on behalf of FBO
Farmer Based Organisations Village warehouses
▪ Recruit and train warehouse manager
▪ Support and supervise performance of warehouse operations
Marketintelligence platform
▪ Perform market analysis
▪ Develop regional market intelligence platform
Local andRegional buyers
▪ Sensitise farmers about the scheme
▪ Assist willing farmers to form FBO
▪ Provide training for FBO leaders
Service Provider
▪ Identify and negotiate with buyers
Service Provider builds local capabilities to enable the FBO to graduate and eventually run the
scheme themselves
3
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
34
We have selected 8 districts covering 165,000 smallholders
Districta
Area cultiva-ted (‘000 ha)
Current produ-ction
Number of ware-houses
Average ware-house capacity (tons)
Total number of households to be impacted
Iringa 63.1 87.8 16 200 - 350 9,600
Mufindi 66.4 93.8 35 300 21,000
Njombe 76.3 89.2 35 300 21,000
Mbeya 52.7 89.2 20 300 12,000
Mbozi 68.9 109.1 60 300 36,000
Sumbawanga
76.5 145.1 37 300 22,200
Mpanda 55.8 98.3 18 300 10,800
Songea 33.2 69.1 54 300 32,400
492.9 781.6 275 300 165,000
Smallholder maize pilot districts
Mpanda
Iringa
RuralSumbawanga
Rural
Mbozi
Mbeya
Rural
Mufindi
Njombe
Songea
Rural
3
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
35
By 2015, farmgate price will increase by 50% and yield to 2.5 tons per ha
1 Based on assumption that farmer’s consumption is fired at 1 ton
2 Based on recommended seed and fertilizer usage
50%
1.01.0Amount consumed1 (tons/ha):
1.50.3Marketed amount (tons/ha):
450300Farm-gate price (‘000 TZS/ton):
67590Cash revenue (‘000 TZS/ha):
305 500Cash cost2 (‘000/ha):
-215 175 Cash profit (‘000 TZS/ha):
Yield (tons/ha): 2.51.3
3
Yield of ~2.5 tons per ha
Yield of ~1.3 tons per ha
Income statement for a smallholder maize farmer What’s different?Before
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
36
Contents
Context, case for change and analysis of problem
Results plan, timeline, quick wins/milestones
Budget
Closing
Minister’s KPIs
Overview of solutions
Governance structure
Stakeholder sign-off
37
Results schedule for first 6 to 12 months
Jul 2013
Oct2013
Jan 2014
Apr2014
Jul2014
Set up interim ‘Land and Infrastructure task force’ to accelerate process of acquiring titles to 5 pilot sites
Set up Special Land and Infra-structure Task Force
Close contracts with investors on 5 sites
Prepared proposal for maize warehouses and secured potential start up resources
Pushed Bagamoyodeal, hosted negotiations and fast tracked key documents
78 rice irrigation schemes identified and mapped in detail
Finalise tender process, assessment criteria and standard term sheet for investors
Private service provider for rice schemes contracted
Contract COWABAMAservice providerComplete assessment of maize warehouses and farmer profiling
Completion of rehabili-tationon 100 warehouses100 farmer organisationsformed
Complete infra-structure construction on 5 sites
Completed construction of rice irrigation and warehouse infrastructure
Obtain title for 5 sites
In the lab
Commercial farming
Smallholder aggregation models
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
38
Critical activities to enable processing of the 25 deals must start immediately
11
AugJulJunMayApr
201520142013
NovSepAugJunNovOct JulApr OctMar May DecAprMarFebJanDecNovOctSepMaySep JunFebJanDec AugJul
– Upscale TIC and Investors'
Complaint Bureau
▪ Obtain land title and build infrastructure
– Create standard incentive
package and term sheet
▪ Attract and retain investors
▪ Ensure seed availability
▪ Conduct community engagement
▪ Ensure soil and water suitability
– Construction of infrastructure
– Finalize and syndicate budget
needed for infrastructure
development
– Titling of farm lands
– Gazetment of area to change
status from village land to
general land
– M&E of investors
– Conduct field visits
– Finalize Land for Equity Principles
and Guidelines for dissemination
to stakeholders
– Create a Special land and
Infrastructure task force
– Tender and award sites
Activity
– Compensation and Resettlement
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
39
Most activities to establish the smallholder rice irrigation and warehouse scheme will occur in the coming year
22
Q2
2015
Q4
2013
Q2Q1 Q3 Q3Q2
2014
Q1Q4Q3
LGA▪ Construction of
infrastructure
Ministry of Lands▪ Land use planning
and titiling
MAFC, LGA▪ Implementation of model
▪ Warehouses management
and market linkages
▪ Inclusion of rice in
commodity exchange
Private Service
Provider
Ministry of
Industry and Trade
Key Activities Responsible
Executive
Committee (IO),
Technical Manager
▪ Contracting input
suppliers, mechanisation
and financial institutions
Private Service
Provider
▪ Capacity building
of extension
service providers
MAFC, LGA▪ Sensitisation of model
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
40
The implementation of collective warehouse based marketing system will take place in two waves
DecAug Mar AprSep NovOct FebJanDec MayAprMarJul NovOctMayJun JulJul AugJun SepMayApr
201520142013
FebJun JanDecNovOctSepAugActivity
Changes in enabling environment
Monitoring and evaluation
Service Provider facilitates trade
Inception meeting with
key stakeholders
Service Provider
recruits warehouse manager
Farmers organised into FBOs
Service Provider sensitises
and mobilises
farmers
MAFC tenders for
Service Provider
MAFC tenders contract
for assessment
and profiling warehouses
Consultant undertakes
assessment and profiling
MAFC tenders for warehouse
rehabilitation and equipment
supply
Service Provider
supervises warehouse operations
Wave 1 – 100 warehouses
Wave 2 – 175 warehouses3
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
41
Contents
Context, case for change and analysis of problem
Results plan, timeline, quick wins/milestones
Budget
Closing
Minister’s KPIs
Overview of solutions
Governance structure
Stakeholder sign-off
42
The overall programme will cost over TZS 14 Trillion over 3 years …
No
TZS million
1
2
3
4
Initiatives
Commercial farms pilot deals
(x5)
Commercial farms roll out
deals (x20)
Smallholder rice irrigation
schemes (x78)
Smallholder collective
marketing schemes (x275)
RE
1,196
4,843
40,761
19,505
66,305
DE
312,623
1,350,015
253,975
8,893
1,925,505
2,687,961
11,266,176
324,797
31,337
14,310,272
2,374,143
9,911,318
30,061
2,939
12,318,461
TotalPrivate
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
43
… the bulk of which will be funded by the Private Sector
TotalBudget
14,310,271
14,243,966
66,30528,465
Development Partners
Govt of Tanzania
539,236
Development Partners
1,386,269
PrivateSector
12,318,461
Govt of Tanzania
37,841
Total Dev.Required
Total Rec.Required
RequestedRec.
RequestedDev.
Major spend items relate to construction of basic infrastructure for commercial farm deals and irrigation infrastructure for smallholder schemes
Mil TZS
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
44
Contents
Context, case for change and analysis of problem
Results plan, timeline, quick wins/milestones
Budget
Closing
Minister’s KPIs
Overview of solutions
Governance structure
Stakeholder sign-off
45
Initiative indicators
KPI description
Rice
Sugar
Maize
Unit 2013 Target 2014 Target 2015 Target
▪ Number of smallholders participating in BRN schemes
# '000 0 20 138
▪ Average increase in income per smallholder TZS mil/ha 1.6 2.2 2.8
▪ Increase in yield MT/ha 4 6 8
▪ Increase in production MT 120 290
▪ Increased area of commercialized farm land ha 33000 130000 45000
▪ Number of smallholders participating in BRNschemes
# '000 0 28 110
▪ Increase in production ('000 MT) MT 0 0 150000
▪ Increased area of commercialised farm land ha 90000 185000 114000
▪ Number of smallholders participating in BRN schemes
# '000 0 70 165
▪ Average increase in income per smallholder MT Baseline pending
30% 50%
▪ Increase in production (MT) TZS'000 0 0 100000
▪ Increase in quantity of grain sold %/MT baseline 10% 20%
▪ Increase in investment in improved inputs %/MT baseline 10% 20%
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
46
Initiative indicators
KPI description Unit 2013 Target 2014 Target 2015 Target
25 Commercial farming deals
78 Smallholder rice irrigation and warehousing schemes
275 Collective warehouse based marketing schemes
▪ Number of land titles secured # 5 20
▪ Number of sites with infrastructure construction completed
# 5 20
▪ Number of successful investments secured through open tender
# 15 10
▪ Number of schemes operational # 0 78 78
▪ Number of warehouses operational # 0 100 275
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
47
Contents
Context, case for change and analysis of problem
Results plan, timeline, quick wins/milestones
Budget
Closing
Minister’s KPIs
Overview of solutions
Governance structure
Stakeholder sign-off
48
Post lab : Governance Structure
Owners:
▪ MAFC
▪ PMO-RALG
Rice irrigation and warehousing
Members:▪ Minister of Agriculture
▪ Permanent Secretary MAFC
▪ Permanent Secretary of PMO
▪ Permanent Secretary of PMO-RALG
▪ Permanent Secretary of MLHHSD
▪ Permanent Secretary of MIT
▪ Permanent secretary of Ministry of Finance
Members:▪ Minister of Agriculture
▪ Permanent Secretary MAFC
▪ Permanent Secretary of PMO
▪ Permanent Secretary of PMO-RALG
▪ Permanent Secretary of MLHHSD
▪ Permanent Secretary of MIT
▪ Permanent secretary of Ministry of Finance
NKRA Steering CommitteeChair: PresidentDeputy Chair: Minister of Agriculture
NKRA Steering Committee level: Meet once a month
▪ Workstream / initiative owners to provide progress updates
▪ Make decisions and provides guidance / direction to the team
▪ Resolves conflicts
▪ Oversees all other matters related to NKRA
Working level:Meet more frequently (i.e. fortnightly)
▪ Liaise directly with Ministry’s Delivery Unit and respective PDBdirectors
▪ TIC Executive Director
▪ Exec Secretary of POPC
Owners:
▪ MAFC
▪ MLHSSD
▪ PMO
▪ TIC
Commercial farming
Owners:
▪ MAFC
▪ MIT
▪ PMO-RALG
Collective warehousing
Secretariat:Ministry Delivery Unit
(supported by PDB)
Secretariat:Ministry Delivery Unit
(supported by PDB)
EXAMPLE
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
494
The Agriculture Delivery Agency is a special initiative and will be the nexus between investors, aggregators, communities, smallholders, government and donors
SOURCE: Lab team analysis
Development Partners
Communities and Smallholders Investors and Aggregators
Government
Agriculture Delivery Agency
l
▪ Works with communities to define and formalise their land
▪ Supports communities and smallholders in their negotiations with investors and aggregators
▪ Arbitrates in disputes with investors and aggregators
▪ Advocates for policy changes needed by stakeholders
▪ Facilitates taxes and duties
▪ Feeds the NKRAs into the overall policy planning process
▪ Works with DPs to get financial support for initiatives
▪ Uses DP links to find investors
▪ Uses DP to find technical expertise
▪ Helps investors secure land and oversees community engagement
▪ Identifies aggregators and enforces delivery contracts
▪ Arbitrates in disputes with communities and smallholders
50
Special request – legislative items to be considered
▪ Accelerate establishment of Agriculture Delivery Agency
▪ Strengthen capacity of the key institutions (MDA) responsible for implementation of the Ag NKRA
▪ Formalise coordination of multisectoral stakeholders related to land
▪ Accelerate establishment of commodity exchange
▪ Ensure minimum agriculture budget commitment of 10%
▪ Abolish District produce cess
▪ Develop mechanism to ensure predictability of policy
▪ Abolish export ban and importation of duty free food products
▪ Rationalise mushrooming regulatory institutions
▪ Strengthen quality standard enforcement
51
Contents
Context, case for change and analysis of problem
Results plan, timeline, quick wins/milestones
Budget
Closing
Minister’s KPIs
Overview of solutions
Governance structure
Stakeholder sign-off
52
Initiatives Stakeholder 1 Stakeholder 2 Stakeholder 3 Stakeholder 4 Stakeholder 5
Commercial
farming
Hon. Eng Christopher Chiza
Minister
Ministry of Agriculture, Food
Security and Co-operatives
Mr. Mohamed S. Muya
Permanent Secretary
Ministry of Agriculture, Food
Security and Co-operatives
Mr. P. Rutabanzibwa
Permanent Secretary
Ministry of Lands, Housing
&Human Settlements
Development
Mr. Peniel Lyimo
Pemanent Secretray
Prime Minister’s Office
Mr. Raymond Mbilinyi
Executive Director
Tanzania Investment Centre
Smallholder
rice irrigation
schemes
Hon. Eng Christopher Chiza
Minister
Ministry of Agriculture, Food
Security and Co-operatives
Mr. Mohamed S. Muya
Permanent Secretary
Ministry of Agriculture, Food
Security and Co-operatives
Collective
warehouse
maize
marketing
schemes
Hon. Eng Christopher Chiza
Minister
Ministry of Agriculture, Food
Security and Co-operatives
Mr. Mohamed S. Muya
Permanent Secretary
Ministry of Agriculture, Food
Security and Co-operatives
Ms. Joyce K.G. Mapunjo
Permanent Secretary
Ministry of Industry and Trade
Mr. Jumanne Sagini
Permanent Secretary
PMO-RALG
BIG RESULTS NOW LAB: STAKEHOLDER SIGNBIG RESULTS NOW LAB: STAKEHOLDER SIGNBIG RESULTS NOW LAB: STAKEHOLDER SIGNBIG RESULTS NOW LAB: STAKEHOLDER SIGN----OFFOFFOFFOFFBIG RESULTS NOW LAB: STAKEHOLDER SIGNBIG RESULTS NOW LAB: STAKEHOLDER SIGNBIG RESULTS NOW LAB: STAKEHOLDER SIGNBIG RESULTS NOW LAB: STAKEHOLDER SIGN----OFFOFFOFFOFF
I hereby affirm my support for the findings of the Agriculture Lab (conducted between February 22, 2013 – April
12, 2013 and endorse the lab’s recommended initiatives and implementation programme. I also hereby pledge the
efforts of my ministry/department/agency/organization to achieving the initiatives and outcomes detailed in this
report
53
Contents
Context, case for change and analysis of problem
Results plan, timeline, quick wins/milestones
Budget
Closing
Minister’s KPIs
Overview of solutions
Governance structure
Stakeholder sign-off
54
“We felt most privileged to have been chosen to be part of this important process for the development of our country. The challenge now remains to ensure that the lab outputs are implemented, not only in time, but also surpass the set targets.
During the lab process, lab members reiterated the need to ensure compliance to the agreed schedule of activities, availability of resources and the national leadership time and dedication for the lab outputs.
The lab was reassured of such commitment by the Government from the onset of the process because of it being granted a privilege of having its own Agriculture Delivery Agency (ADA).
We pledge our commitment to deliver on the initiatives and look forward to the transformation we envisage for Tanzania”
- Geoffrey Kirenga, Agriculture Lab Leader