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Overview of Agricultural Research for Development
in the Asia‐Pacific Region
R.B. Singh
Overview
1.
Present Realities• AP agricultural features
• Hunger and poverty
2. Emerging Trends and Challenges of A4D• Integrated on‐farm, off‐farm, and non‐farm employment and income security
3. Emerging Trends and Challenges of AR4D• Do we have a mega innovation to lead AR4D?
4. E‐consultation: Voices of the stakeholders
5. F2F: Evolving the ANRR agenda for reaching the unreached to take AP to
new heights
Asia Pacific – Vital Statistics
Of the World:• 58 % Population• 74% Agricultural population• 38 % Arable Land• 66 Irrigated• 91 % Rice Production• 45‐71 % of Cereals, Vegetables, Fruits, Oilseeds,
Pulses and Meat• Over 90% of Fisher folk and Aquaculture • Over 80% of the small farmers
Poverty prevalence and absolute numbers (< $1.25 per day, ca. 2005)
prevalence
absolute
Fig 3. Estimated regional distribution of hunger in 2009 (in mil.) and increase from 2008 levels (in %)
642(+10.5%)
265(+11.8%)
53(12.8%)
15(+15.4%)
42(+13.5%) Asia and the Pacific
Sub-Saharan Africa
Latin America and theCaribbeanNear East and NorthAfricaDeveloped Countries
For the first time > 1 billion people are undernourished
Source: FAO, 2009
Nutrition Problem Zone “under–two”
worst in Asia
Source: Shrimpton et al. 2001.Source: Shrimpton et al. 2001.
Weight for age by regionWeight for age by region
-2
-1.75
-1.5
-1.25
-1
-0.75
-0.5
-0.25
0
0.25
0.5
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60
Age (months)
Z-sc
ore
(NC
HS)
Africa Latin America and Caribbean Asia
Fig 4. The number of poor rose in South Asia
0
100
200
300
400
500
Sub-Saharan
Africa
South Asia East Asia &Pacific
Middle East& NorthAfrica
Europe &CentralAsia
LatinAmerica &Caribbean
Mill
ions
of p
eopl
e be
low
$1
-a-d
ay p
over
ty li
ne 19932002
Source: ASTI, 2008
Country Overallvulnerability index
Micro-vulnerability index
Macro- vulnerability index
Population(mil.)
Bangladesh 1.24 1.77 0.23 156.0Myanmar 1.16 0.53 2.45 48.4Cambodia 1.06 1.57 0.05 14.2Sri Lanka 0.97 0.73 1.48 19.9
Food price shocks: Some Asian countries are among the most vulnerable
Source: Headey and Fan 2008Source: Headey and Fan 2008.
Fig 9. Yield growth rates by region, all cereals
0
1
2
3
4
East Asia South Asia SoutheastAsia
LatinAmerica
Developedcountries
WestAsia/North
Africa
Sub-Saharan
Africa
Perc
ent p
er y
ear
1967-821982-971997-2020
Source: ASTI, 2008
Asia-Pacific Fostered the Green Revolution
Agricultural productivity growth in developing countries
%East AsiaEast Asia 2.72.7South AsiaSouth Asia 1.01.0East AfricaEast Africa 0.40.4West AfricaWest Africa 1.61.6Southern AfricaSouthern Africa 1.31.3Latin AmericaLatin America 2.72.7North Africa & West AsiaNorth Africa & West Asia 1.41.4All regionsAll regions 2.12.1
Annual total factor productivity growth, 1992Annual total factor productivity growth, 1992‐‐20032003
Source: von Braun et al. 2008.Source: von Braun et al. 2008.
Agricultural growth has large poverty reduction impact
Poverty reduction elasticities of agricultural growthPoverty reduction elasticities of agricultural growth
SSA -1.83South Asia -1.73East Asia and Pacific -1.44Eastern and Central Europe -1.57Latin America -1.11Middle East and North Africa -0.92All Low Income Countries -1.6Source: Christaensen et al (2005)
Low Income Countries
Agricultural potential and market access
Notes: Rainfed agriculture potential(crops, grazing, forest) is classified as high, medium or low (H,M,L). Rainfed potential, closed forest, intensively irrigated, and protected areas are all classified into high (H) and low (L) market access areas. Thus ML is medium rainfed agricultural potential areas with low market access.
E‐
Consultation Participation
• 300 responses from 50 countries– 93 voices scientists from NARS
– 66 from NGOs
– 47 from CGIAR
– 35 from public sector and extension agents,
– 17 from CSOs
and Farmers’
Organizations
– 15 from private sector and industry
– 27 Unclassified
Key Agricultural development Issues
• 16 main drivers and 53 specific challenges• Key Issues
– Fighting Stubbornly High Hunger and Poverty– Synergizing Productivity, Sustainability and Equity –
Towards Evergreen Revolution– Can Small Always be Beautiful – The Crisis of Entitlement– Research – The Engine of Growth and Development– Technology Transfer Gaps– Linking Farmers with markets with value addition– Policy Support – A Must for Science‐led Development– Human capital eroding
Key Feedback
• Needs of the resource poor not well addressed• Inability to adopt high inputs cost and high risks technology not
internalized in research agendas
• Underinvestment in Horticulture,
livestock and fisheries rain fed, socio‐
economic and NRM research, maintenance research and human capital
formation
• Emerging challenges – climate change adaptation – water scarcity– declining soil fertility – biodiversity erosion– gaps in institutional and human resources development– increasing biotic stresses – lack of biosecurity
• Main Research Uptake and Innovation• Investment Intensity and Management• Research Management• Research‐Extension‐Farmer Linkage Management• Feminization of Agriculture• Agricultural Education and Human Resource Management• Investing in the Poor• Improving Entitlement of the Poor• Enhancing Income of Farmers • Linking Farmers with Market and Value Chain
Key Research Challenges
Paradigm shifts
•Shift in research approach from a single commodity based and monodisciplinary
to a
farming system based and multidisciplinary.
•A change from a top‐down (training and visit system) extension approach to a participatory (effective research‐extension‐farmer‐market
interface) approach of technology assessment, refinement and transfer.
Paradigm shifts
•Integration of molecular biology, bio‐technology and bio‐
information with conventional technology as well
as with indigenous knowledge for speedy and more precise gains.
•Greater congruence between productivity and sustainability and creation of enabling mechanisms for
adoption of new technologies. Cost‐effectiveness of production, quality and safety in food and other
products, and GMO biosafety
and biosecurity, are important in the globalized and liberalized world.
Considering the ongoing ARDs, the priority‐setting exercises, and the future challenges, the top
priorities on Agricultural Research for Development (AR4D) should include:
• Focus on the agricultural system of the poor• Forging coherence among productivity, sustainability, and
biosecurity• Managing climate change• Balancing bioenergy
and food needs
• Volatile food prices and food security• Political economy and institutional reforms and enabling
environment
Flow of the Face to Face Consultation
Group Discussions on Sub-Regional Reports
Plenary Session on Group Discussions on Sub-Regional Reports
Group Discussions on Thematic and Cross CuttingIssues
Plenary Session on Thematic and Cross CuttingIssues
Consolidation
Thank You