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African Risk Capacity (ARC) Risk Management In Agriculture November 2016

African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

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Page 1: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

African Risk Capacity (ARC)

Risk Management In Agriculture

November 2016

Page 2: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

Disaster Management Response

ARC aims to provide cost-effective contingency funding to protect livelihoods and development gains

Page 3: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

Value for Member States

A Specialised Agency of the African Union, established in 2012, is governed by a board of African ministers and experts

The ARC Agency’s first financial affiliate, ARC Insurance Company Limited, was established in early 2014

Through its unique structure, ARC bring together three critical elements to create a powerful value proposition for it participants and their partners:

• Early Warning: Africa RiskView

• Response: Contingency Planning

• Insurance: Index-based insurance and risk pooling

As a result a dollar spent on drought response through ARC saves $4.40 in traditional humanitarian assistance costs

Page 4: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

Household and National Level Impacts

Cost by household* of delaying response until X months after the harvest

*Based on average household of 6 individuals

Months 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Cost Negligible cost US$ 49 US$ 1,294

Assistance needs to reach the affected population before month four to prevent the impact of reduced food intake or at least by month six to prevent asset sales

Page 5: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

Pan-African Solidarity Makes Financial Sense

Page 6: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

Cost Benefit Analysis: Value Multiplier

Financial benefit of improved risk

management:

• Low operating costs for the ARC, thus lower

premiums for countries

• Better conditions on insurance markets

• Focusing on more extreme coverage >

1-in-5 year events better value

Estimated benefit for every US$ 1 spent on ARC compared to giving budget

support and current responses:

Approximately US$ 4.401 plus additional direct cost savings2

Development benefit of planning and

early response:

• Protect lives and livelihoods

• Protect development gains

• Maintain economic growth

• Scaling up social safety nets and contingent

transfers most effective

Enables

1 Clarke/Hill, Cost-Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1-in-5 year return period, country “risk aversion” of 2, ARC

premium multiple of 1.2, payout-to-need correlation of 75%, scaling up social safety nets and contingent transfers the selected response mechanisms 2 Direct cost savings include lower food cost, lower administrative cost, transport savings, etc.

Page 7: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

32 Current ARC Member States

Additional Signatories (date signed)

19.Kenya (28 January 2013)

20.Mauritania (28 January 2013)

21.Côte d'Ivoire (6 February 2013)

22.Comoros (15 February 2013)

23.Gabon (30 January 2014)

24.Madagascar (31 January 2014)

25. Benin (27 June 2014)

26. Nigeria (4 December 2014)

27. Mali (27 May 2015)

28. Ghana (28 January 2016)

29. Guinea Bissau (29 January 2016)

30. Sao Tome and Principe (29 January 2016)

31. Sierra Leone (29 January 2016)

32. Zambia (29 January 2016)

Original Signatories (23

November 2012)

1.Burkina Faso

2.Burundi

3.Central African Republic

4.Chad

5.Republic of Congo

6.Djibouti

7.Gambia

8.Guinea

9.Liberia

10.Libya

11.Malawi

12.Mozambique

13.Niger

14.Rwanda

15.Sahrawi Arab Democratic

Republic

16.Senegal

17.Togo

18.Zimbabwe

Page 8: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

ARC’s Institutional Structure

Governed by Member States

Page 9: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

ARC Agency Board Members

Hon. Dr. Ngozi Okonjo

Iweala

(AU Commission)

Hon. Diombar Thiam

(North Africa)

Mr. Tosi Mpanu-Mpanu

(AU Commission)

Mr. Birama Sidibe

(West Africa)

Mr. Ouhoumoudou

Mahamadou

(Central Africa)

Hon. Professor Peter

Mwanza

(Southern Africa)

Hon. Dr. Agnes Kalibata

(East Africa)

Mr. Mohamed Beavogui

(ARC Director General – Non

voting)

Page 10: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

ARC Ltd Board Members

Dr Lars Thunell (Chair)

Former CEO of the IFC/

Executive Vice

President, World Bank

Group

Dr. Dolika Banda (CEO)

Former IFC Director

Mr. Wise Chigudu

CEO, Impi Risk Soultions,

Former Head of Risk and

Interim Director of Ceded

Reinsurance at Argo

Insurance Group

Mr. Dele Babade

CEO ACL Capital

Partners

Mr. Hans-Peter Gerhardt

Former CEO of AXA Re and

Paris Re

Mr. Vincent Rague

Former CIO and Global

Head of Property

Finance at IFC

Mr. Amadou Diallo

CEO, DHL Freight

International

Dr. Richard Wilcox

Assistant Secretary

General, WFP

Page 11: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

ARC Capacity Building Programme

Page 12: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

- Valid 2 years

- Possible amendments

Work Stream 2: Contingency Planning

Page 13: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

Pool 1 & 2 Experience

Page 14: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

Pool 1: Payout Implementation

Payouts triggered at end 2014 due to West Africa drought Funds in national accounts before UN Sahel appeal launched

Page 15: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

Lessons Learned

• ARC is a good and existing and operational example of:

• Play a critical role in leveraging discussions on investment in resilience in broader policy and

budgetary planning processes of governments

• There is a demand from countries for:

– Contextually appropriate products and tools for managing risk

– Risk Information for ACTION and DECISION MAKING

– Risk financing tools

– Premium financing

– Capacity building (technical assistance)

South-South

cooperation

Public-Private

partnership

Leveraging domestic

resources

Innovation Efficient use/leveraging

of donor resources

Page 16: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

Support

• Premium Financing to allow for high risk countries with low resilience to join ARC

– Financing for countries that have operational capacity to use payouts but lack

funding to pay premium

– Exploring with AfDB, EU and others

• Capacity Building

• Research & Development

• Extreme Climate Facility

• Replica coverage

– To allow humanitarian actors to leverage ARC’s country built risk management

architecture to scale up coverage and boost timely response

– WFP and Start Network

Page 17: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

Pool Expansion: Flood, Cyclone, Drought

ARC aims to insure nearly 30 countries with USD 1.5b in coverage against droughts, floods and cyclones by 2020*:

• In addition ARC plans to pilot outbreak and epidemic insurance in select countries in 2017 • Extreme Climate Facility (XCF) • Replica Coverage

Page 18: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

Long-term impact

Risk management and investment increase resilience and growth

Page 19: African Risk Capacity (ARC)transfers most effective Enables 1 Clarke/Hill, Cost -Benefit Analysis of the African Risk Capacity Facility, 2012. Assumptions made: 1 in 5 year return

Website: www.africanriskcapacity.org

Twitter: @ARCapacity