29
© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 1 Affordable Housing Update Concurrent Session Tuesday, May 23, 2017

Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 1

Affordable Housing Update

Concurrent SessionTuesday, May 23, 2017

Page 2: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 2

Angela KelcherDirector of Production

[email protected]

www.fanniemaemultifamilyaffordable.com

Brian WolfDirector of Credit/UW

[email protected]

Page 3: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 36/12/2017Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

The MAH StandardMay 23, 2017 Issue: WOW2017ROCKS

Six MonthLockout Now

Available!FORWARD THINKINGFannie Mae offers new options

for 4% and 9% LIHTC Deals

MAHExpands Definition!

The Flexible Choice Bridge is even more flexible with this feature targeting deals that are pursuing resyndication.

20% at 80% AMI qualifies under the Special Public Purpose Definition of MAH and volume has increased!

Page 4: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 46/12/2017

Why do we CARE about AFFORDABLE?

How do we WIN this BUSINESS?

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

Page 5: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 56/12/2017

Why do we care about affordable?

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

MAHMarket Opportunity

Credit Strengths

Book Performance

Housing Goals

Cap Exemption

Page 6: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 66/12/2017

The Easy Path from Conventional to Affordable

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

Conventional Special Public Purpose

Workforce Housing & Naturally Occurring Affordable Housing

Affordable

Vouchers

Regulatory Agreement

Tax Abatements / Sub Debt / Inclusionary Zoning

LIHTC / HAP

Market Opportunity

Page 7: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 76/12/2017

The Affordable Market Opportunity is BIG

Sources: National Low Income Housing Preservation Database, American Community Survey (2015)Note that conventional figures are estimates.

4.4 million units MAH

20%

6.0 million units ABOVE 80% AMI,

28%

1.1 million units Public Housing

5%

10.0 million units BELOW 80% AMI

47%

Market Opportunity

Page 8: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 86/12/2017

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

Num

ber o

f Uni

ts

Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-2012; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations.

* Estimates only based on HFA allocations. Integratec assumed 15% of the current year allocations, 60% of the prior year allocations and 25% of two years prior allocations would be placed in service. For example, 2014 reflects 15% of the 2014 allocations, 60% of the 2013 allocations, and 25% of the 2012 allocations.

Low Income Housing Tax Credit Units (LIHTC) Projects placed in Service since 2000

New Supply of Affordable DiminishingMarket

Opportunity

Page 9: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 96/12/2017

Affordable Vacancy Rates are Very Low

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018* 2019*

Class A Class B/C Market Rate LIHTC REIS Subsidized

Forecast

Sources: LIHTC – Integratec Tax Credit Central. Reis, Inc. for all other. Note that Subsidized based on vacancies at LIHTC and Project Based Section 8 Properties. * Projected

Vacancies for Affordable properties are typically lower than market rate properties by approximately 150 – 300 bps, depending on the property type.

Credit Strengths

Page 10: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 106/12/2017

Affordable Rent Growth is Very Stable

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

Source: Reis, Inc. Subsidized based on vacancies at LIHTC and Project Based Section 8 Units. * Projected

Rent growth for Affordable properties is forecast around 2%over the next few years.

-3%-2%-1%0%1%2%3%4%5%6%7%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018* 2019*

Market Rate REIS Subsidized

Forecast

Credit Strengths

Page 11: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 116/12/2017

Why do Sponsors pursue MAH business?

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

Market- Level Rents

Project-Based Housing Assistance Payment (HAP) Contracts

Section 8 Vouchers

Subsidies

Low Income Housing Tax Credits

Subordinate Debt and Grants

Tax Abatements and Exemptions

Credit Strengths

Page 12: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 126/12/2017Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

Strong Credit and a Growing Book of Business

Book Performance

Book of Business

• $32.4B as of 1Q 2017• 12.8% of Total Multifamily BoB• BoB growth of 13% since 2014

Credit Quality

• Credit Losses in 2014 - 1Q 2017: ($5M) (Gain)• SDQ: 0.05% as of 3/31/2017

Business Mix

• Fixed Rate vs. Variable Rate• New Products (M.TEB, DPP, Small)• Loan Terms > 10 years

Page 13: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 136/12/2017

MAH’s Contribution to Housing Goals

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

2013 2014 2015 2016

Very Low Income units Low Income unitsVery Low Income (MAH %) Low Income (MAH %)

# of Units

% ofMF Total

Low Income Units (80% AMI or less)

~52,000 units

15% of total LI units for MF

Very Low Income Units (50% AMI or less)

~28,000 units

42% of total VLI units for MF

Housing Goals

Page 14: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 146/12/2017

Which Types of Business are Cap Exempt?

Deals with affordability restrictions are at least 50% cap exempt

Manufactured Housing

Communities

MultifamilyAffordable

Housing (MAH)

Green Rewards

Workforce Housing, including

Special Public Purpose

Cap Exemption

Page 15: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 156/12/2017

How do we WIN this BUSINESS?

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

Page 16: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 166/12/2017

MAH Strategy

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

Getting the

Business Done

Getting the Word Out

Getting the

Business

People&

Process

Promotion, Marketing& Communications

Partners, Products

&Pricing

Page 17: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 176/12/2017

MAH Production 2013 – 1Q 2017 ($Billions)

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

$2.3

$2.6

$3.0

$4.3

$1.8

2013 2014 2015 2016 1Q 17

Through 1Q 2017

87% Growth!

Page 18: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 186/12/2017

Top MAH Lenders of 2016

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

1st Wells Fargo Multifamily Capital

2nd Pillar Multifamily, a division of SunTrust Bank

3rd Greystone Servicing Corporation, Inc.

4th Jones Lang LaSalle Multifamily, LLC

5th Berkeley Point Capital, LLC

Page 19: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 196/12/2017

Great Products For Every Need

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

New Construction

Near-Stab

MBS Forward Commitment for

LIHTC

Moderate Rehab

Mod-Rehab

Mod-Rehab Supplemental

ROARM.TEB

Other

Credit FacilityGreenSmall

ARM 7-6SARM

DPPARM 7-4

SARM 80% LTV6 month Lockout

Index Bonds

Additional products for

MAH

Available for Conventionaland MAH!

– & More with MAH!

Page 20: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 206/12/2017

What is Special Public Purpose?

Use Conventional 4660 Underwriting Standards for Special Public Purpose deals

Special Public Purpose Eligibility:

3rd party restrictions Monitored by Public Entity Minimum 20% of the units

affordable at 80% AMI Automatic 10 bps pricing

discount

$684

$1,300

$0$200$400$600$800

$1,000$1,200$1,400

2015 2016

Special Public Purpose Production, in $ millions

Page 21: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 216/12/2017

Special Public Purpose – Two Deal Examples

Property Characteristics #1 Property Characteristics #2

Features Used #2Features Used #1

285 units in High Cost East Coast Market Tier 2 Acquisition28% at 80% AMI & 63% at 100% AMI50% of UPB excluded from the FHFA cap

Special Public Purpose Waiver

40 bps Waiver off Conventional Grid

7 year fixed rate loan with 3 years IO

Underwritten as Conventional loan

354 unit property in a California town.

Tier 4 Refinance from bank bridge loan

20.3% of units affordable at 80% AMI

Municipal Sponsorship, Tax abatement

Special Public Purpose Waiver

10 year full Interest Only loan

10 bps pricing waiver

Underwritten as Conventional loan

Page 22: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 226/12/2017

Flexible Choice Bridge: You Decide!

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

ARM 7-6

ARM 7-4

SARM

Bridge Loan to Resyndication

Rehab, Reposition, & Re-Leverage

Convert Any Option to Fixed

Long Term

• Up to 80% LTV• Embedded or Third-Party Cap

• 7 and 10 year terms• 1 year Lock Out, 1% thereafter

New6-month Lockout Option

Page 23: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 236/12/2017

Flexible Choice Bridge to Resyndication Example

Property Characteristics Features Used

120 units in Strong West Coast Market

Tier 2 Acquisition

Existing HAP Contract in place

Property Built in 1984 and in need of Rehabilitation

Borrower intention to use LIHTC to pursue the rehab

7-4 ARM Option chosen

20 bps pricing waiver to meet competition

80% LTV

Bridge to Resyndication Takeout to M.TEB

Fully Cap-Exempt and Housing Goal Rich

Page 24: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 246/12/2017

MBS as Tax-Exempt Bond Collateral (M.TEB)

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

MBSBuyers

M.TEB Buyers

The MBS has wide appeal in the taxable investor community, and the M.TEB brings those investors to the municipal bond market.

Municipal Bond

Buyers

Page 25: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 256/12/2017

WOW! Low M.TEB Spreads and Pass Through Rates!

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

3.00%

3.45%

2.85% 2.80%2.63% 2.60%

3.40%3.10%

2.89%

1.13% 1.15% 1.17% 1.11% 1.08%0.93% 0.88%

0.70% 0.63%

0.00%

0.50%

1.00%

1.50%

2.00%

2.50%

3.00%

3.50%

4.00%

Fullerton *Williamsburg WoodlandTowers

Crossing ofEast

Ravenwood

Gates Manor Skyline Place TimberwoodTrace

Watts Arms AvaireApartments

Pass-Through Rate Spread to 10 year Treasury Spread to 10 year

*Williamsburg bonds were marketed at a 101% premium to generate additional proceeds with a slightly higher interest rate.

Page 26: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 266/12/2017

M.TEB Example: Avaire Apartments

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

Property Characteristics Features Used

Lender: Bellwether

Sponsor: Shelter Resources

Property: 96 units

Location: Everett, WA

Affordability: 100% at 60% AMI

Total Costs: $17.4 million

Bond Issuance: $11.0 million

Term/Amort: 17 / 35 Years

Interest Only: Two Years

Minimum DSCR: 1.15X

Maximum LTV: 90%

Interest Rate: 3.89%

COI Reimbursement: 75 bps

Page 27: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 276/12/2017

Choose Fannie Mae and the M.TEB

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

No hidden costs

Wide investor base offering attractive pricing due to the appeal of the MBS

Declining prepayment options OR yield

maintenance

Pricing, credit and legal transparency

Well defined process

Uniform communication across

lender platform

Consistent response times

Available for taxable as well as tax-exempt

bonds

Predictable execution

The industry’s most experienced Affordable

Housing experts

No other master or special servicer with life-of-loan servicing

Delegated underwriting model provides

certainty of execution

Very Low Rates Superior Execution The DUS® Advantage

Page 28: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 286/12/2017

Getting the Word Out

Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing

www.fanniemaemultifamilyaffordable.com

Page 29: Affordable Housing Update - Fannie Mae...Source: HUD Low Income Tax Credit Database as of October 2000-201 2; Integrsatec Tax Credit Central estimates 2013-2016 based on HFA allocations

© 2016 Fannie Mae. Trademarks of Fannie Mae. 29

Angela KelcherDirector of Production

[email protected]

www.fanniemaemultifamilyaffordable.com

Brian WolfDirector of Credit/UW

[email protected]