8
ADVENTURES IN ECONOMICS ADITH VENUGOPAL* Abstract The invisible hand- 1776 Adam smith suggest leave self-interested traders to compete with one another. The Paradox of Thrift Savings and spending habits that influence the economy. The Philips Curve- Balance of inflation rate and Unemployment rate. John Maynard Keynes Theory to overcome great depression. John Nash Theory- Equilibrium theory. *MBA student, SNGCE, Kolenchery Key words; Equilibrium, savings & investment, wages & employment, market structure.

ADVENTURES IN ECONOMICS ,,,,Paper

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • ADVENTURES IN ECONOMICS

    ADITH VENUGOPAL*

    Abstract

    The invisible hand- 1776 Adam smith suggest leave self-interested

    traders to compete with one another.

    The Paradox of Thrift Savings and spending habits that influence the

    economy.

    The Philips Curve- Balance of inflation rate and Unemployment rate.

    John Maynard Keynes Theory to overcome great depression.

    John Nash Theory- Equilibrium theory.

    *MBA student, SNGCE, Kolenchery

    Key words; Equilibrium, savings & investment, wages & employment,

    market structure.

  • INTRODUCTION

    Adventures in economics

    Economics is a dynamic science - changing to reflect the shifting trends

    in economic affairs, in the environment, in the world economy, and in society at

    large. According to Adam smith who is known as the father of economics, he

    told that economy is concerned with an enquiry into the nature and causes of

    wealth of nations. The early economists called economics, the science of

    wealth. The study of economics has passed through several decades merging

    with several theories that made the wealth and welfare of the world, is cracking

    with new inventions. We here interested to familiarise the major adventures

    theories related to the wealth of our nations contributed by them, which is

    directly related to the wealth of each of people in the nation . In this literature

    review we make an attempt to familiarise the theory of invisible hand,

    Keynesian theory, the paradox of thrift theory, john nashs equilibrium theory

    and the Philips curve. Adam smith in his work the wealth of nations he

    formulated the key theories of market driven economics. Then we go through

    the theory of j.M Keynesian. He criticised says low supply create its own

    demand. The Philips curve shows the relationship between employment rate

    and inflation and its reflection on growth of the Nations. In 1949, an economist

    wrote a paper which 45 years later was to win a Nobel prize for economics. He

    earned a doctorate in 1950 with a dissertation on non-cooperative games. He is

    none other than John Nash. His theory is renowned as Nashs Equilibrium

    theory.

  • Need for Study

    The study is to make an awareness about the most famous as well as relevant in

    our current economic scenario. as we are the core part of the economy we must

    have the knowledge about the different adventures and brilliant works by the

    devoted personalities in the world. We horned them with the Nobel Prize. The

    efforts and sacrifices they had taken are appreciated and we are bound to receive

    and recognise their adventures contributions .here we try to expose the major

    adventures in the economics by some of the economic scholars

  • John Maynard Keynes

    John Maynard Keynes is considered by many to be the greatest economist

    of the twentieth century. His major work, the general Theory of Employment,

    Interest, and Money, had a profound impact on macroeconomics, both thought

    and policy. Keynes was born in Cambridge, England, on June 5, 1883. He

    studied economics at Cambridge University, where he became a lecturer in

    economics in 1908. During the World War I, Keynes worked for the British

    treasurys representative at the Versailles Peace Conference. He resigned from

    the British delegation at the conference to protest the harsh terms being imposed

    on the defeated countries. His resignation and the publication of the Economic

    Consequences of the Peace (1919) made him an international celebrity.

    In 1936, Keynes published The General Theory. It was a time of world

    recession (it has been estimated that around one-quarter of the U.S labour force

    was unemployed at the height of the Depression) and Policymakers were

    searching for ways to explain the persistent unemployment. In the book, Keynes

    suggested that an economy could come to equilibrium at less than potential

    GDP. More important, he argued that government policy could be altered to end

    recession. His analysis emphasized aggregate expenditures. If private

    expenditures were not sufficient to create equilibrium at potential GDP,

    government expenditures could be increased to stimulate income and output.

    This was a startling concept. Most economists of the time believed that

    government should not take an active role in the economy. With his General

    Theory, Keynes started a revolution in macroeconomics

  • The Paradox of thrift

    People generally believe that saving is good and that more saving is better.

    However, if every family increased its saving, the result could be less income

    for the economy as a whole. In fact, increased saving could actually lower

    savings for all households. An increase in saving may provide an example of the

    paradox of thrift. A paradox is a true proposition that seems to contradict

    common beliefs. We believe that we will be better off by increased saving, but

    in the aggregate, increased saving could cause the economy to be worse off. The

    paradox of thrift is a fallacy of composition: the assumption that what is true of

    a part is true of the whole. It often is unsafe to generalize from what is true at

    the micro level to what is true at the macro level.

    Nash Equilibrium

    In game theory, the Nash equilibrium is a solution concept of a non-

    cooperative game involving two or more players, in which each player is

    assumed to know the equilibrium strategies of the other players, and no player

    has anything to gain by changing only their own strategy. If each player has

    chosen a strategy and no player can benefit by changing strategies while the

    other players keep their unchanged, then the current set of strategy choices and

    the corresponding payoffs constitute a Nash equilibrium.

    Stated simply, Amy and Will are in Nash equilibrium if Amy is making the best

    decision she can, taking into account Will's decision, and Will is making the

    best decision he can, taking into account Amy's decision. Likewise, a group of

    players are in Nash equilibrium if each one is making the best decision that he

    or she can, taking into account the decisions of the others in the game

    Applications

    Game theorists use the Nash equilibrium concept to analyze the outcome of

    the strategic interaction of several decision makers. In other words, it provides a

    way of predicting what will happen if several people or several institutions are

    making decisions at the same time, and if the outcome depends on the decisions

    of the others. The simple insight underlying John Nash's idea is that one cannot

    predict the result of the choices of multiple decision makers if one analyzes

  • those decisions in isolation. Instead, one must ask what each player would

    do, taking into account the decision-making of the others.

    Nash equilibrium has been used to analyze hostile situations like war and arms

    races (see prisoner's dilemma), and also how conflict may be mitigated by

    repeated interaction (see tit-for-tat). It has also been used to study to what extent

    people with different preferences can cooperate (see battle of the sexes), and

    whether they will take risks to achieve a cooperative outcome (see stag hunt). It

    has been used to study the adoption of technical standards, and also the

    occurrence of bank runs and currency crises (seecoordination game). Other

    applications include traffic flow (see Wardrop's principle), how to organize

    auctions (see auction theory), the outcome of efforts exerted by multiple parties

    in the education process, regulatory legislation such as environmental

    regulations (see tragedy of the Commons), and even penalty kicks

    in soccer (see matching pennies).

    The invisible Hand

    In economics, the invisible hand of the market is a metaphor used by Adam

    Smith to describe the self-regulating behaviour of the marketplace. Individuals

    can make profit, and maximize it without the need for government intervention.

    The exact phrase is used just three times in Smith's writings, but has come to

    capture his important claim that individuals' efforts to maximize their own gains

    in a free market may benefit society, even if the ambitious have no benevolent

    intentions

    He suggested that the self interested trades compete with one another, the

    invisible hands shows who charge less. Leave people alone to buy and sell

    products. That means the tendency of market drive towards an equilibrium

    point. Where MB=MC.

    - Free individuals expressing themselves the freedom of choice - Free individuals expressing themselves using there resources in freedom

    of enterprise.

    This free people with that government intervention

  • (from graph) in surplus

    This free people with that government intervention with that anything like

    that happening, having a tendency to drive equilibrium to these particular point.

    In shortage: Free individuals when there is a shortage have a tendency to arrive

    equilibrium point. The invisible hand automatically drive them towards these

    points.

    These individuals (customers and business) going to do that best for them. In

    terms of freedom of choice.

    Business- Going to do that best for them in terms of freedom of enterprise

    Customers- Going to do best for them in terms of freedom of enterprise

    If the market do not in equilibrium the invisible hand forces to the equilibrium point.

    Philips curve

    Alban William Housego (A. W. Bill Phillips), MBE (18 November 1914 4

    March 1975) was an influential New Zealand economist who spent most of his

  • academic career at the London School of Economics (LSE). His best-known

    contribution to economics is the Phillips curve, which he first described in 1958.

    An economic concept developed by A. W. Phillips stating that inflation and

    unemployment have a stable and inverse relationship. According to the Phillips

    curve, the lower an economy's rate of unemployment, the more rapidly wages

    paid to labor increase in that economy. The theory states that with economic

    growth comes inflation, which in turn should lead to more jobs and less

    unemployment. However, the original concept has been somewhat disproven

    empirically due to the occurrence of stagflation in the 1970s, when there were

    high levels of both inflation and unemployment.

    CONCLUSION

    The theories we have presented are from to the major stream of economics

    which forms the fundamentals of the study of wealth of Nation. In the theory of

    invisible hand, Adam Smith suggested that to leave self interested traders to

    compete with one another. The findings of this theory are still evident in our

    economy. In Paradox of thrift theory we have a clear explanation on the

    relations between savings habit and employment rate in an economy .In

    Keynesian theory, John Maynard Keynes inferred that a proper balance should

    be maintained between aggregate supply and aggregate demand for the

    incremental growth of the GDP. All the above mention; theories have a greater

    impact on the smooth and efficient functioning of an economy.