Adaptation and Health Impact Assessment

Martin BirleyBirleyHIA

www.BirleyHIA.co.uk

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Contents

About healthHealth impacts of CCEnergy needs of adaptationHealth impacts of adaptation

CC and health literature

Managing the health effects of climate change, Costello et al, Lancet (2009)The Anatomy of A Silent Crisis, Global Humanitarian Forum (2009) Health Effects of Climate Change in the UK, Ed. Kovats (2008)

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Health definition

Health is not merely the absence of disease and infirmity, but a state of complete physical, mental, social, and spiritual well-being

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Health determinants

Environmental Social

Temperature as health determinant

1ºC UK1-3% All cause mortality4.5% Food poisoning6.0% Respiratory cause mortality

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Current annual health effect of CC

300,000 deaths325 million seriously affected4 billion people vulnerable500 million at extreme riskInequality

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Global Humanitarian Forum (2009)Anatomy of A Silent Crisis www.ghfgeneva.org

Inequality and health

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Healt

h

Wealth

CC amplifies existing health risks and

inequalities

Migration as adaptation

Matter of choice or survival?25-50M by 2010, 200-700M by 2050Mental health impacts

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http://wakeupfreakout.org/

Energy needs of adaptation

“The world’s energy system is at a crossroads.

Current global trends in energy supply and consumption are patently

unsustainable.”

International Energy Agency – World Energy Outlook, Nov 2008

Source: David Murphy – The Oil Drum. http://tinyurl.com/l5gpcb

Energy intensity

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Energy gap UK

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-100%

-90%

-80%

-70%

-60%

-50%

-40%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

0 20 40 60 80 100

Years

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Emissions,Availability

Renewables

Policy/projectlifetime

Gap

Health co-benefits of adaptation example

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Housing planned round public transport, cycling, local shops and home-working

Reduce premature death from air pollution

Improved physical, social and mental health and well-being

Conclusion

Adaptation strategies should beAssessed for health impactsAssessed for inequality impactsLow emissionEnergy constrained

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END