Actual and Potential GNP - FRASER · Chart El ACTUAL AND POTENTIAL GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT Gross National Product in 1958 dollars (ann. rate, bil. dol.) 205. Actual GNP J/Trend line

Chart El ACTUAL AND POTENTIAL GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT

Gross National Product in 1958 dollars (ann. rate, bil. dol.)

205. Actual GNP

J/Trend line of 3V2 percent per year through middle of 1955 from 1st quarter 1952 to 4th quarter 1962, 3 3/4 percent from 4th quarter 1962 to 4th quarter 1965, and 4 percent thereafter.

BtJ) NOVEMBER 1968 55Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

November 1968

ANALYTICAL MEASURES

Yearand

quarter

1966

First quarterSecond quarter.Third quarterFourth quarter

1967

First quarterSecond quarter. ....Third quarterFourth quarter

1968


1969

First quarterSecond quarterThird quarterFourth quarter

QH ACTUAL AND POTENTIAL GNP

Gross national product in constant ( 1958) dollars

205. Actual value

(Ann. rate, bit. dol.)

648.6653.3659.5667.1

665.7669.2675-6681.8

692.7703.4

r712.3

206. Potential level

(Ann. rate, bil. dol.)

637.6643.9650.2656.6

663.166Q.6676.2682.9

689.6696.4703.3710.2

207. Gap (potential less actual)


-11.0-9.4-9-3

-10.5

-2.6+0.4+0.6+1.1

-3.1-7.0-9.0

ItO NOVEMBER 1968Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

November 1968

ANALYTICAL MEASURES

Yearand

quarter

1966

First QuarterSecond Quarter. ....Third quarterFourth quarter

1967


1968

First quarter . . .Second quarter.Third quarterFourth quarter

1969


[jQj ACTUAL AND POTENTIAL GNP

Gross national product in constant (1958) dollars

205. Actual value


648.6653.3659.5667.1

665.7669.2675.6681.8

692.7703.4712.3



637.6643.9650.2656.6

663.166Q.6676.2682.9

689.6696.4703.3710.2



-11.0-9.4-9.3

-10.5

-2.6+0.4+0.6+1.1

-3.1-7.0-9.0

ItO DECEMBER 1968Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

December 1968

ANALYTICAL MEASURES

Yearand

quarter

1966First quarterSecond quarter. ....Third quarterFourth quarter

1967First quarterSecond quarter.Third quarter. . « . * .Fourth quarter


1969First quarterSecond quarter ....Third quarter.Fourth quarter

Q ACTUAL AND POTENTIAL GNP


205. Actual value


643.6653.3659.5667.1

665.7669.2675.6681.8

692.7703 .4712,3

P719.1



637.6643.9650.2656.6

663.1669.6676.2682.9

689.6696.4703.3710.2



-11.0-9.4-9.3

-10.5

-2.640.4+0.6+1.1

-3.1-7.0-9,0

P-8.9

JANUARY 1969

Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

January 1969

ANALYTICAL MEASURES

Yearand

quarter

1966

First quarterSecond quarter. —Third quarterFourth quarter

1967


1968

First quarterSecond quarter. ....

Fourth quarter

1969

First quarter. .....Second quarterThird quarterFourth quarter

Q| ACTUAL AND POTENTIAL GNP


205. Actual value

(Ann, rate, bit. dol.)

648.6653.3659.5667.1

665.7669.2675.6681. a

692,7703. 4712.3r?l8.4



637.6643.9650.2656,6

663.1669.6676.2682.9

689.6696.4703.3710.2

207, Gap (potential less actual)

(Ann. rate, bil. do!.)

-11,0-9.4-9.3

-10.5

-2.6

•K). 4+0.6+1.1

-3.1-7.0-9.0

r-8.,2

NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ®. Series numbers are foridentification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book, The V indicates revised; "p", preliminary;"e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available.1 Based on a trend line of 3-1/2 percent per year through middle of 1955 from 1st quarter 1952 to 4th quarter 1962, 3-3/4. per-

cent from 4-th quarter 1962 to 4th quarter 1965, and 4 percent thereafter.

FEBRUARY 1969 BCDDigitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

February 1969

ANALYTICAL MEASURES

Yearand

quarter

1966First quarterSecond quarter. —Third quarterFourth quarter

1967

First quarterSecond quarter. ....Third quarter ....Fourth quarter

1968

First quarter . , .Second quarter.Third quarterFourth quarter. . * .

1969




205. Actual value


648.6653.3659.5667.1

665.7669.2675.6681.8

692.7703.4712.3718.4

206. Potential level l


637.6643.9650.2656.6

663.166s. 6676.2682.9

689.6696.4703.3710.2



-11.0-9.4-9-3

-10.5

-2.6•K5.4H0.6•M.I

-3.1»7.0-9.0-8,2

NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ©. Series numbers are foridentification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The Y indicates revised; "p", preliminary;"e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available.

1 Based on a trend line of 3-1/2 percent per year through middle of 1955 from 1st quarter 1952 to 4th quarter 1962, 3-3/4 per-cent from 4th quarter 1962 to 4th quarter 1965, and 4 percent thereafter.

MARCH 1969 KCIIDigitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

March 1969

ANALYTICAL MEASURES

Yearand

quarter

1966First quarter. ......Second quarter. ....Third quarterFourth quarter. .....

1967First quarterSecond quarter.Third quarterFourth quarter


1969First quarterSecond quarter ....Third quarter.Fourth quarter



205. Actual value

(Ann. rate, fail, dol.)

648.6653.3659.5667.1

665.7669.2675.6681.8

692.7703.4712.3718.4

P723.6

206. Potential level 1


637.6643.9650.2656.6

663.1669.6676.2682.9

689.6696.4703.3710.2

(NA)



-11.0-9.4-9.3

-10.5

-2.6•K>.4HO. 6+1.1

-3.1»7.0-9,0-8,2

(NA)

NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ®. Series numbers are foridentification only and dp not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The V indicates revised; "p", preliminary;"e", estimated; V, anticipated; and MNA", not available.1 Based on a trend line of 3-1/2 percent per year through middle of 1955 from 1st quarter 1952 to 4th quarter 1962, 3-3/4 per-

cent from 4th quarter 1962 to 4th quarter 1965, and 4 percent thereafter.

APRIL 1969


April 1969

ANALYTICAL MEASURES

Yearand

quarter

1966First quarterSecond quarter. ....Third quarterFourth Quarter


1968First quarterSecond quarter.

Fourth quarter1969

First quarterSecond quarter ....Third quarter.Fourth quarter

Gross national product t

205. Actual value


64£ 6653.3iCQ C°?7OAA7 T

665 7669.2A7* AAA1 A

AQ9 1oy*i. /703.4712.3718.4

r-723.5

Qj ACTUAL AND POTENTIAL 6NP

i constant (1958) dollars



6*37 6643.9f.cr\ 9

A*A A

663 1669.6A^A 9Att5 Q

AOo A

696.4703.3710.2

717.4



-ii n-9.4

O Q~7O•1 f\ £

-10.5

-0 A

40.4L/> ZrH).OIT Trl.l

-3.1-7.0-9,0-8,2

-6.1

NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ©. Series numbers are foridentification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The V indicates revised; "p", preliminary;"e", estimated; V, anticipated; and "NA", not available.

1Based on a trend line of 3-1/2 percent per year through middle of 1955 from 1st quarter 1952 to 4th quarter 1962, 3-3/4 per-cent from 4th quarter 1962 to 4th quarter 1965, and 4 percent thereafter.

MAY 1969 ltd*Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

May 1969

ANALYTICAL MEASURES

Yearand

quarter




1969First quarterSecond quarter —Third quarterFourth quarter

Gross national product i

205. Actual value


648 6653.3A eg cAA7 1

665 7669.2A7* AAftl ft

AQO 7V7<-* f703,4ryi o Q712.3

718.4

723.5


i constant (1958) dollars

206. Potential level l


6^7 6643.9A«;n 9AsA A

663 1669.6LriL o

AftO Q

Afto A

696.4703.3710.2

717 4



11 r\

-9.4O Q-y.j

T A C-10.5

0 £

40.4, j-i X+0.61 1 i+1 . 1

-3.1-7.0-9.0-a ..2

-6 1

NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ®. Series numbers are foridentification only and dp not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The Y indicates revised; "p", preliminary;"e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available.

1 Based on a trend line of 3-1/2 percent per year through middle of 1955 from 1st quarter 1952 to 4th quarter 1962, 3-3/4 per-cent from 4th quarter 1962 to 4th quarter 1965, and 4 percent thereafter.

86 JUNE 1969 ltd*Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

June 1969

ANALYTICAL MEASURES

Yearand

quarter

1966

First tjuarterSecond quarterThird quarterFourth Quarter

1967


1968

First quarterSecond quarter* * • • •Third quarterFourth quarter

1969


Gross national product

205. Actual value


Revised'5^

649.1655.0660.2668.1

666.5670.56?8.0683.5

693.370S A712 &718.5

7?^ 1P727.3


in constant (1958) dollars

206. Potential level x

(Ann. rate, bil. dol,)

637.6643.9650.2656.6

663.1669.66?6.2682.9

689.6696.4703.3710.2

r?l? . 2724.3


(Ann. rate, bil. c!oL)

Revised1

-11.5-11.1-10,0-11.5

-3-4-0.9-1.8-D.6

-3.7-9.4-9.5-8.3

-5.9p-3.0

NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ©. Series numbers are foridentification only and dp not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The V indicates revised; "p", preliminary;V, estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available.

1 Based on a trend line of 3-1/2 percent per year through middle of 1955 from 1st quarter 1952 to 4th quarter 1962, K3/A per-cent from 4th quarter 1962 to 4th quarter 1965, and 4 percent from 4th quarter 1965 to date.

'"•See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii.

86 JULY 1959 ItCII


July 1969

ANALYTICAL MEASURES

Yearand

quarter

1966


1967


1968


1969

First quarterSecond quarterThird quarter.Fourth quarter

Qj ACTUAL AND POTENTIAL GNP


205. Actual value


649.1655.0660.2668.1

666.5670.5678.0683.5

693.3705.8712.8718.5

723.1r726.7



637.6643.9650.2656.6

663.1669.6676.2682.9

689.6696.4703.3710.2

717.2724.3



-H.5-ll.l-10.0-11.5

-3.4-0.9-1.8-0.6

-3.7-9.4-9.5-8.3

-5.9r-2.4

NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by @. Series numbers are foridentification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The V indicates revised; "p", preliminary;"e", estimated; V, anticipated; and "NA", not available.1 Based on a trend line of 3-1/2 percent per year through middle of 1955 from 1st quarter 1952 to 4th quarter 1962, 3-3/4 per-

cent from 4th quarter 1962 to 4th quarter 1965, and 4 percent from 4th quarter 1965 to date.

86 AUGUST 1969Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

August 1969

OTHER KEY INDICATORS

Yearand

month

1967JanuaryFebruaryMarch

Apr i lMayJune

July ,.AugustSeptember

OctoberNovember .December


A p r i lMayJune

JulyAugustSeptember

October... .NovemberDecember


A p r i lMayJune

JulyAugustSeptember

OctoberNovemberDecember

Q PRICE MOVEMENTS

Consumer price indexes

781. All items®

(1957-59=100)

U4.7114.8115.0

115.3115.6116.0

116.5116.9117.1

117. 5117.8118.2

118.6119.0119.5

119.9120.3120.9

121.5121.9122.2

122.9123.4123.7

124.1124.6125.6

126.4126.8127.6

128.2128.7

782. Food

(1957-59=100)

114.9114,3114.5

114.0114.4U5.1

UL5.2115.8H5.6

115.7116.1116.6

117.2117.5118.2

118. 7119.3119.1

D.9.2119.5120.0

120.8121.0121.6

122.2122.0122.8

123.6124.2125.5

125.8126.4

783. Commodi-ties less foods

(1957-59-100)

107.4107.8108.0

108.4108.7108.9

109.2109.6110.1

110.4110.7110.9

111.3111.7112.1

112.2112.5113.0

113.3113.7114.0

114.4114.8115.0

115.1115.9117.0

117.2117.5118.0

118.2118.4

784. Services®

(1957-59=100)

125.5125.9126.3

126.6127.0127.4

127.7128.2128.7

129.1129.6130.1

130.8131.3132.1

132.5133.0133.9

134.9135.5136.0

136.6137.4138.1

139.0139.7140.9

342.0142.7143.3

144.0145.0

Wholesale price indexes

750. All commod-ities®

(1957-59-100)

106.2106.0105.7

105.3105.8106.3

106.5106.1106.2

106.1106.2106.8

107.2108.0108.2

108.3108.5108.7

109.1108.7109.1

109.1109.6109.8

110.7111.1111.7

111.9112.8H3.2

113.3113.4

PH3.5

58. Manufac-tured goods®

(1957-59=100)

106.4106.4106.3

106.2106.3106.6

106.8106.8107.1

107.1107.3107.6

108.1108.7108.9

109.1109.1109.4

109.7109.5109.9

no.o110.3110.5

111.3111.7112.2

112.4112.8113.2

113.5113.6

pl!3.8

751. Processedfoods andfeeds

(1957-59-100)

13J2.2U1.5HI. 2

111.0111.6112.3

112,0111 4 9

111,9

111,7111,5111.7

112.1113,1113,6

114. 1134.4113.9

114. 6134.6114*5

134.51-15.3134.9

115*7116.1117.1

118.6120.2120,7

120.7121.1

752. Farm prod-ucts

(1957-59-100)

102.5100.599.3

97.2100.1102.7

101.199.198.0

98.397.699.7

99.3100.8101.8

101.7102.8102.6

102.1101.2102.7

102.7104,. 7103.9

105.3104.5106.2

105.1109.6111.3

108.5108.7

NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ©. Series numbers are foridentification only.and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The V indicates revised; "p" f preliminary;"e", estimated; V, anticipated; and "NA", not available.

86 SEPTEMBER 1969 ltd*Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

September 1969

ANALYTICAL MEASURES

Yearand

quarter

1966


1967

First quarter. .....Second quarter. ....Third quarterFourth quarter

1968

First quarterSecond quarter-... .

Fourth quarter1969

First quarterSecond quarterThird quarter.Fourth quarter



205. Actual value


649.1655.0660.2668.1

666.5670.5673.0683.5

693.3705.8712.8718.5

723.1726.7

P730.4

206. Potential level1


637.6643.9650.2656.6

663.1669.6676.2682.9

689.6696.4703.3710.2

717.2724.3731.4


(Ann. rate, bi!. dol.)

-11.5-ll.l-10.0-11.5

-3.4-0.9-1.8-0.6

-3.7-9.4-9.5-8.3

-5.9-2.4

p-1.0

NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by @. Series numbers are foridentification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The V indicates revised; "p", preliminary;V, estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available.1 Based on a trend line of 3-1/2 percent per year through middle of 1955 from 1st quarter 1952 to 4th quarter 1962, 3-3/4 per-


ItCII OCTOBER 1969 87Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

October 1969

ANALYTICAL MEASURES

Yearand

quarter

1966


1967


1968


1969

First quarterSecond quarter ....Third quarterFourth quarter

U ACTUAL AND POTENTIAL GNP


205. Actual value


649.1655.0660.2668.1

666.5670.5678.0683.5

693.3705.8712.8718.5

723.1726.7

r730.6

206. Potential level x


637.6643.9650.2656.6

663.1669.6676.2682.9

689.6696.4703.3710.2

717.2724.3731.4



-11.5-ll.l-10.0-11.5

-3.4-0.9-1.8-0.6

-3.7-9.4-9.5-8.3

-5.9-2.4

r+0.8

NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ©. Series numbers are foridentification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The V indicates revised; °p", preliminary;"e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available.1 Based on a trend line of 3-1/2 percent per year through middle of 1955 from 1st quarter 1952 to 4th quarter 1962, 3-3/4 per-


ItCII NOVEMBER 1969 87Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

November 1969

ANALYTICAL MEASURES

Yearand

quarter


1967


1968

First quarterSecond quarter.....Third quarterFourth quarter

1969First quarterSecond quarterThird quarterFourth quarter



205. Actual value


649.1655.0660.2668.1

666.5670.5678.0683-5

693-3705.8712.8718.5

723.1726.7730.6



637.6643.9650.2656.6

$

663.1669.6676.2682.9

689.6696.4703.3710.2

717.2724.3731.4



-11.5-ll.l-10.0-11.5

-3.4-0.9-1.8-0.6

-3.7-9.4-9.5-8.3

-5.9-2.4+0.8

NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ®. Series numbers are foridentification only and dp not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The V indicates revised; "p", preliminary;V, estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available,

1 Based on a trend line of 3-1/2 percent per year through middle of 1955 from 1st quarter 1952 to 4th quarter 1962, 3-3/4 per-cent from 4th quarter 1962 to 4th quarter 1965, and 4 percent from 4th quarter 1965 to date.

DECEMBER 1969 87Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

December 1969

Documents

Actual and Potential GNP - FRASER · Chart El ACTUAL AND POTENTIAL GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT Gross National Product in 1958 dollars (ann. rate, bil. dol.) 205. Actual GNP J/Trend line