42
1 Achievement and equity: Achievement and equity: Where is Australia at? Where is Australia at? Brisbane, Australia Brisbane, Australia 2 2 - - 3 June 2005 3 June 2005 Barry McGaw Barry McGaw Director for Education Director for Education Organisation for Economic Co Organisation for Economic Co - - operation and Development operation and Development 2005 Curriculum Corporation Conference 2005 Curriculum Corporation Conference Curriculum and assessment: Curriculum and assessment: Closing the gap Closing the gap

Achievement and equity - curriculum.edu.au · Director for Education ... Finland Korea Netherlands Japan Canada Belgium Switzerland ... Greece Serbia Turkey Uruguay Thailand Mexico

  • Upload
    vuliem

  • View
    213

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

1

Achievement and equity:Achievement and equity:Where is Australia at?Where is Australia at?

Brisbane, AustraliaBrisbane, Australia22--3 June 20053 June 2005

Barry McGawBarry McGawDirector for EducationDirector for Education

Organisation for Economic CoOrganisation for Economic Co--operation and Developmentoperation and Development

2005 Curriculum Corporation Conference2005 Curriculum Corporation Conference

Curriculum and assessment:Curriculum and assessment:Closing the gapClosing the gap

2

OECD’s Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA)

3

OECD surveys of student performanceProgramme for International Student Assessment

?

Science

Maths

Reading

2012

?ICTliteracy

Problem solving

ScienceScienceScienceScience

MathsMathsMathsMaths

ReadingReadingReadingReading

2009200620032000

Country participation

Google on PISA – We are number 1.

431528

2000

1111

2000+

584132Total28114Other303028OECD

200620032000

4

Key features of PISA 2003 assessmentInformation collected

Volume of questions– 3½ hours of mathematics assessment– 1 hour for each of reading, science and problem solving

From each student– 2 hours on paper-and-pencil tasks (subset of all questions)– ½ hour for questionnaire on background, learning habits, learning

environment, engagement and motivationFrom school principals

– questionnaire (school demography, learning environment quality)

Geographic coverage275,000 15-year-old students randomly sampled

Curriculum relevance of assessmentsNOT curriculum contentBUT capacity to use knowledge and competencies

5

PISA’s messages about quality.

6

Mathematical literacy

7

Unable to use mathematical skills in ways required by easiest PISA tasks.

Answer questions in familiar contexts where all relevant information present.

Carry out routine procedures.

OECD Conceptualise, generalise and use information based on investigations and modelling of complex problems. Link and

move between different information sources and representations.

Level 6

Level 5

Level 4

Level 3

Level 2

Level 1

BelowLevel 1

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world, Table 2.5a, p.354.

PISA Proficiency Levels in Mathematics

15%

21%

22%

18%

10%

4%

11%

Extract and use relevant information from single source. Employ basic

algorithms, formulae, procedures.

8

% at mathematics proficiency levels (OECD)

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Finl

and

Kore

aN

ethe

rlan

dsJa

pan

Cana

daBe

lgiu

mSw

itze

rlan

dA

ustr

alia

New

Zea

land

Czec

h Re

pIc

elan

dD

enm

ark

Fran

ceSw

eden

Aus

tria

Germ

any

Irel

and

Slov

ak R

epN

orwa

yLu

xem

bour

gPo

land

Hun

gary

Spai

nU

SAPo

rtug

alIt

aly

Gree

ceTu

rkey

Mex

ico

Level 3

Level 1

Below Level 1

Level 6

Level 5

Level 4

Level 2

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world, Table 2.5a, p.354.

USA:2% at Level 6

26% below Level 210% below Level 1

Finland:7% at Level 6

7% below Level 21.5% below Level

1

Australia:6% at Level 6

14% below Level 24% below Level 1

9

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Hon

g Ko

ng-C

hina

Finl

and

Kore

aN

ethe

rlan

dsLi

echt

enst

ein

Japa

nCa

nada

Belg

ium

Mac

ao-C

hina

Swit

zerl

and

Aus

tral

iaN

ew Z

eala

ndCz

ech

Repu

blic

Icel

and

Denm

ark

Fran

ceSw

eden

Aus

tria

Germ

any

Irel

and

Slov

ak R

epub

licN

orwa

yLu

xem

bour

gPo

land

Hun

gary

Spai

nLa

tvia

Uni

ted

Stat

esRu

ssia

n Fe

dera

tion

Port

ugal

Ital

yGr

eece

Serb

iaTu

rkey

Uru

guay

Thai

land

Mex

ico

Indo

nesi

aTu

nisi

aBr

azil

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world, Table 2.5a, p.354.

% at mathematics proficiency levels (All)

Level 4

Level 3

Level 2

Level 5

Non OECD countries shaded.

Below Level 1

Level 1

Level 6

10

Mean mathematical literacy (OECD)

350

400

450

500

550

600

Finl

and

Kore

aN

ethe

rland

sJa

pan

Cana

daBe

lgiu

mSw

itzer

land

Aust

ralia

New

Zea

land

Czec

h Re

p.Ic

elan

dDe

nmar

kFr

ance

Swed

enAu

stri

aGe

rman

yIr

elan

dSl

ovak

Rep

.N

orwa

yLu

xem

bour

gPo

land

Hun

gary

Spai

nUS

APo

rtug

alIt

aly

Gree

ceTu

rkey

Mex

ico

Australia between

4th and 11th

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world, Table 2.5c, p.356.

11

Some rankings on mathematical literacy scalesSubscales

2124222424USA

16712610Czech Rep

69898Australia

78514Japan

21341Finland

Un-certaintyQuantity

Change&

relation-ships

Space&

shape

Overallscale

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world, Tables 2.5c, p.356; 2.1c, p.342; 2.2c, p.346; 2.3c, p.350; 2.4c, p.352.

12

Problem solving

13

% at problem solving proficiency levels (OECD)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Finl

and

Kore

aJa

pan

Aus

tral

iaN

ew Z

eala

ndCa

nada

Belg

ium

Swit

zerl

and

Fran

ceD

enm

ark

Net

herl

ands

Czec

hGe

rman

ySw

eden

Icel

and

Aus

tria

Hun

gary

Irel

and

Luxe

mbo

urg

Slov

akN

orwa

yPo

land

Spai

nU

SAIt

aly

Port

ugal

Gree

ceTu

rkey

Mex

ico

Level 1

Level 3

Level 2

OECD (2004), Problem solving for tomorrow’s world, Table 2.1, p.144.

Below Level 1

14

% at problem solving proficiency levels (All)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Finl

and

Kore

aH

ong

Kong

-Chi

naJa

pan

Mac

ao-C

hina

Aus

tral

iaN

ew Z

eala

ndCa

nada

Liec

hten

stei

nBe

lgiu

mSw

itze

rlan

dFr

ance

Den

mar

kN

ethe

rlan

dsCz

ech

Repu

blic

Germ

any

Swed

enIc

elan

dA

ustr

iaH

unga

ryIr

elan

dLu

xem

bour

gSl

ovak

Rep

ublic

Nor

way

Pola

ndSp

ain

Latv

iaRu

ssia

nU

SAIt

aly

Port

ugal

Gree

ceU

rugu

ayTh

aila

ndSe

rbia

Turk

eyM

exic

oBr

azil

Indo

nesi

aTu

nisi

a

Level 1

Level 3

Level 2Non-OECD countries shaded

Below Level 1

OECD (2004), Problem solving for tomorrow’s world, Table 2.1, p.144.

15 Source: OECD (2001) Knowledge and skills for life: First results from PISA 2000, Fig. 2.4, p.53

Mean problem solving scores (OECD)

350

400

450

500

550

600

Kore

aFi

nlan

dJa

pan

NZ

Aust

ralia

Cana

daBe

lgiu

mSw

itzer

land

Net

herla

nds

Fran

ceCz

ech

Rep

Denm

ark

Germ

any

Swed

enAu

stri

aIc

elan

dH

unga

ryIr

elan

dLu

xem

bour

gSl

ovak

Rep

Nor

way

Pola

ndSp

ain

USA

Port

ugal

Ital

yGr

eece

Turk

eyM

exic

o

Australia between

4th and 9th

16

PISA’s messages about qualityfor Australia.

Australian education, at least to age 15, is of high quality by international standards, in

• mathematics• problem solving

AND• reading• science

17

PISA’s messages about equity.

18

Link between social background & achievement:Reading literacy – PISA 2000

19

Social background & reading literacy (2000)

SocialAdvantagePISA Index of social background

Each dot in this diagram represents 20,000 students in

the OECD area.

HighRe

adin

g lit

erac

y

LowSource: OECD (2001) Knowledge and skills for life, Appendix B1, Table 8.1, p.308

Social background has a strong relationship

with student performance(Parental occupation, wealth, cultural resources, parental education, family structure,

immigrant status)

But disadvantaged background is not

necessarily associated with poor performance.

20

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

-2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

Social background & reading literacy (2000)

Source: OECD (2001) Knowledge and skills for life, Appendix B1, Table 8.1, p.308

SocialAdvantagePISA Index of social backgroundLow

Read

ing

liter

acy

High

Finland

GermanyUnitedStates

UnitedKingdom

Korea

This gap is in the order of 3 years of

schooling.

Australia

Steeper slope = less equitable results

21

Germany HungaryCzech RepublicSwitzerland

Luxembourg

Denmark

PortugalGreecePoland

Mexico

Italy

United Kingdom

BelgiumUnited StatesFrance

AustraliaNew Zealand

AustriaNorway

IrelandCanada

Sweden

Finland

Iceland

KoreaJapan

Spain

420

440

460

480

500

520

540

560

-20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25

Social equity & reading literacy (2000)

Social equity (OECD regression slope – country regression slope)

Read

ing

liter

acy

Source: OECD (2001) Knowledge and skills for life, Table 2.3a, p.253.

High qualityLow equity

High qualityHigh equity

Low qualityLow equity

Low qualityHigh equity

22

PISA’s messages about equityfor Australia: reading literacy 2000

Australian education is relatively low equity, including in comparison with some other high quality countries like Canada, Ireland, Sweden, Finland, Japan, Korea.

23

Link between social background & achievement:Mathematics literacy – PISA 2003

24

United States

Turkey

Switzerland

Sweden

Spain

Slovak Republic

Portugal

PolandNorway

New Zealand

Netherlands

Mexico

Luxembourg

KoreaJapan

Italy

IrelandIceland

Hungary

Greece

GermanyFrance

Finland

DenmarkCzech Republic

CanadaBelgium

Austria

Australia

375

400

425

450

475

500

525

550

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15

Social equity & mathematics literacy (2003) - 1

Source: OECD (2004) Learning for tomorrow’s world, Table 4.3a, p.397.

Social equity (OECD regression slope – country regression slope)

Mat

hem

atic

s lit

erac

yHigh qualityLow equity

High qualityHigh equity

Low qualityLow equity

Low qualityHigh equity

25

Two indices of equity

SocialAdvantagePISA Index of social background

HighRe

adin

g lit

erac

y

LowSource: OECD (2001) Knowledge and skills for life, Appendix B1, Table 8.1, p.308

Slope of the line:How much increase in

achievement is associated with a given increment in

social background.Steep slope = low equity

Extent of spread about the line:How well the line summarises the relationship OR how much of

variance in reading literacy is captured by the line.Small spread (large variance accounted for) = low equity

26

Relationship of two measures of equity

United States

TurkeySwitzerlandSweden

Spain

Slovak Republic

PortugalPoland

Norway

New ZealandNetherlands

MexicoLuxembourg

Korea

JapanItaly

Ireland

Iceland

Hungary

Greece

Germany

France

Finland

DenmarkCzech Republic

Canada

Belgium

Austria

Australia

5

10

15

20

25

302530354045505560

Social equity (Regression slope: maths literacy on social background)

Source: OECD (2004) Learning for tomorrow’s world, Table 4.3a, p.397.

Soci

al e

quit

y(%

of

mat

hs li

tera

cy v

aria

nce

acco

unte

d fo

r by

SES

) Australia in maths literacy:slope of line: average equityspread about line: above average equity

27

Social equity & mathematics literacy (2003) - 2

Australia

Austria

Belgium CanadaCzech RepublicDenmark

Finland

FranceGermany

Greece

Hungary

Iceland

Ireland

Italy

JapanKorea

Luxembourg

Mexico

Netherlands

New Zealand

NorwayPoland

Portugal

Slovak RepublicSpain

Sweden

Switzerland

Turkey

United States

375

400

425

450

475

500

525

550

51015202530

Mat

hem

atic

s lit

erac

y

Social equity (per cent of mathematics literacy variance accounted for by SES)

Source: OECD (2004) Learning for tomorrow’s world, Table 4.3a, p.397.

High qualityLow equity

High qualityHigh equity

Low qualityLow equity

Low qualityHigh equity

28

PISA’s messages about equityfor Australia: mathematics literacy 2003

Average increases in mathematics literacy associated with increases in advantage of social background.Relatively low proportion of variation in mathematics literacy explained by differences in social background.

Australian education is of moderate equity in having, compared with other OECD countries:

29

Link between social background & achievement and school organisation:

Mathematical literacy – PISA 2003

30

Variation in mathematics performance

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Turk

ey

Hun

gary

Ja

pan

Belg

ium

Ital

y Ge

rman

y A

ustr

ia

Net

herl

ands

Cz

ech

Repu

blic

Ko

rea

Slov

ak R

epub

licGr

eece

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Luxe

mbo

urg

Port

ugal

Mex

ico

Uni

ted

Stat

es

Aus

tral

ia

New

Zea

land

Sp

ain

Cana

da

Irel

and

Den

mar

k Po

land

Swed

en

Nor

way

Finl

and

Icel

and

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world, Table 4.1a, p.383.

31

Variation in mathematics performance

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

Turk

ey

Hun

gary

Japa

n Be

lgiu

m

Ital

y

Germ

any

Aus

tria

N

ethe

rlan

ds

Czec

h Re

publ

ic

Kore

aSl

ovak

Rep

ublic

Gree

ce

Swit

zerl

and

Luxe

mbo

urg

Port

ugal

M

exic

o

Uni

ted

Stat

es

Aus

tral

ia

New

Zea

land

Spai

n Ca

nada

Ir

elan

d D

enm

ark

Pola

nd

Swed

en

Nor

way

Finl

and

Icel

and

Variation of performance between schools

Variation of performance within schools

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world, Table 4.1a, p.383.

In some countries (including high quality ones), schools are similar.

In some, most of the variation lies between schools.

32

Variation in mathematics performance

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

Turk

ey

Hun

gary

Japa

n Be

lgiu

m

Ital

y

Germ

any

Aus

tria

N

ethe

rlan

ds

Czec

h Re

publ

ic

Kore

aSl

ovak

Rep

ublic

Gree

ce

Swit

zerl

and

Luxe

mbo

urg

Port

ugal

M

exic

o

Uni

ted

Stat

es

Aus

tral

ia

New

Zea

land

Spai

n Ca

nada

Ir

elan

d D

enm

ark

Pola

nd

Swed

en

Nor

way

Finl

and

Icel

and

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world, Table 4.1a, p.383.

Variation explained by socio-economic level of students and schools.

Variation of performance within schools

Variation of performance between schools

In countries with highly stratified schools, much of the intended variation between schools can be explained by socio-economic inequalities among schools and students.

33

Apparent consequences ofgrouping students in schools:

Mathematical literacy – PISA 2003

34

250

375

500

625

750

-2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

School: point proportional to size

Stud

ent

perf

orm

ance

AdvantagePISA Index of social background

Disadvantage

High

Low

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world, Figure 4.13, pp.199-203.

Performance vs socio-economic backgroundGermany

Student performance and SES - overall

Student performance and SES - within schools

School performance and SES

Overall regression as in PISA 2000

Regression based on school means

Regression based on students within

schools

35

250

375

500

625

750

-2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

Performance vs socio-economic backgroundJapan

Stud

ent

perf

orm

ance

AdvantagePISA Index of social background

Disadvantage

High

Low

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world, Figure 4.13, pp.199-203.

Student performance and SES - overall

Student performance and SES - within schools

School performance and SES

School: point proportional to size

36

250

375

500

625

750

-2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

Performance vs socio-economic backgroundCanada

Stud

ent

perf

orm

ance

AdvantagePISA Index of social background

Disadvantage

High

Low

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world, Figure 4.13, pp.199-203.

Student performance and SES - overall

Student performance and SES - within schools

School performance and SES

School: point proportional to size

37

250

375

500

625

750

-2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

Performance vs socio-economic backgroundAustralia

Stud

ent

perf

orm

ance

AdvantagePISA Index of social background

Disadvantage

High

Low

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world, Figure 4.13, pp.199-203.

Student performance and SES - overall

Student performance and SES - within schools

School performance and SES

School: point proportional to size

38

Less related to social background than in Japan or Germany.More related to social background than in Canada.Moderately equitable.

Grouping of Australian students into schools is:

PISA’s messages about equity and school organisation for Australia:mathematics literacy 2003.

39

Do the differences betweengovernment and non-government schools

create inequities?

40

-100 -50 0 50 100

ObservedAdj student SESAdj student & school SES

0 20 40 60 80 100

LuxembourgJapanItaly

SwitzerlandFinland

DenmarkCzech Republic

SwedenHungaryAustriaPortugal

United StatesNetherlands

Slovak RepublicKorea

IrelandSpain

CanadaMexico

New ZealandGermany

OECDUnited Kingdom

GovtGovt dependentPrivate

Private schools perform better Public

schools perform

better

What is the benefit of private schooling?

41

None, because the identifiers of school type are suppressed in the PISA data by Australia.

PISA’s messages about government and non-government schooling for Australia.

42

Further informationWebsites

OECD work on education: www.oecd.org/eduOECD/PISA: www.pisa.oecd.org

– All national and international publications– Complete micro-level database

Staff contacts at [email protected]@[email protected]