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ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU BH WORKSHOP 10/2/07

ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

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Page 1: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION

Francesco

ShankarIn collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur

CCAPP/OSU BH WORKSHOP 10/2/07

Page 2: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

• EMPIRICALLY CONSTRAIN BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION IN A STATISTICAL SENSE

• WE USE: -LOCAL BH MASS FUNCTION -AGN BOL. LUMINOSITY FUNCTION - AGN CLUSTERING

GOAL:

TOOLS:

Page 3: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

• For All relations convolve with an “intrinsic” scatter!

How many? How Much?How many? How Much?

Φ(L)→Φ(Lbulge)

MBH - Lbulge

Ф(MBH)

MBH - ()= (L) +L-

Page 4: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

The Local Black Hole Mass Function

Systematic and shape uncertainties….

Log MPEAK~8.5

Page 5: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

The Bolometric AGN Luminosity Function

Page 6: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

Soltan argument

maxmax

min0

2

2

),()1(

)1(z

L

LBoltotal

ACCBH

ACCBolBol

dLzLc

L

dz

dtdzK

MM

cMKLL

Single object

maxmax

min0

2

232

2

),(4

)1()1(

)1()1()(

4),(),(

zS

S

Boltotal

A

LA

L

dSSzSnc

zdzc

K

zD

DzdtcDdV

D

LSdz

dz

dVdLzLdzdSzSn

independent of cosm. par. but very dependent on the ratio Kbol/ε !

SMBH from Merging/Dark Accretion or through Visible Accretion detected in the

AGN luminosity Functions?

Page 7: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

Parallel growth of Stars and Black Holes

The ratio <MBH/MSTAR> probably was nearly constantat all times….

Soltan’s constraint: 0.055 < < 0.11

Shankar et al. 2007Shankar & Mathur 2007Shankar, Cavaliere et al. 2007

Page 8: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

Varying the Reference Model…

Page 9: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

Consequences on BH accretion…dm/dt(z)

dm/dt(MBH) Only works with P(z=6)~0.02 and Super-Edd accretion

Page 10: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

Shankar & Ferrarese 2007

Bias in the MBH-n relation??

Page 11: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

The Reference Model matches the Clustering of luminous AGNs

BHHALO M

BHBH

M

HALOHALO dMMndMMn )()(

Page 12: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

CONCLUSIONS

0.06<<0.11

dm/dt~0.5

More Massive+Sub-EddLess Massive+Edd

Merging

+AGN LF

Page 13: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

A Reference Model

Page 14: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU
Page 15: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

CONCLUSIONS

• Normalization --> Radiative Efficiency

0.06<<0.11

• Peak+Clustering --> Edd. ratio of massive BHs dm/dt~0.5 probably

significantly decreasing at z<1

• High End --> Merging events NOT much

Page 16: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

The Effect of Merging…

Negligible effect on accretion histories and duty cycles:

Page 17: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

Further constraints from AGN BIAS

dMzMnzMPzL

dLzL

dLzLzMLbzb

AGN

L

L

MIN

MIN

),(),(),(

),(

),()],[()(

IDEA: Use the duty-cycles as produced from accretion

-Need to relate BHs to Dark Matter-Further independent test for accretion parameters

Shankar & Weinberg 2007

Page 18: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

Varying the accretion rate: L~dm/dtMBH~MH

Page 19: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

Remember: L~(dm/dt)MBH~MH

Page 20: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

Shankar, Miralda-Escude’ et al. 2007

High Duty cycle at z~6 excluded by the bias…

Successful model:P(z=6)~0.5-1dm/dt~1STAR/Vvir~0.55-0.6

Data from Shen et al.

Page 21: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

CONCLUSIONS

•Use of the Local Mass Function and AGN Luminosity Functions to constrain dm/dt and

•Use AGN clustering to constrain further duty-cycles and where Soltan is not sensitive and also probe dependencies on mass/luminosity of dm/dt

FOR THE FUTURE….even worse…

•Towards a multiple dm/dt…build a general P(dm/dt,z,MBH) to compare to the data

•Insert HOD models for AGNs, which could be derived from those of galaxies and apply our average P(M,t)…

Page 22: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

Again Radio AGNs..Clustering useful here as well…

Shankar 2007

A sequence of very strong decreasing dm/dt can explain both Clustering and SED…

Page 23: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

Changing the Luminosity Function of AGNs…

Page 24: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

The Bolometric AGN Luminosity Function

i i

ii aaaxyy2

2321

22 ,....),,;(

Page 25: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

BH

Page 26: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

A First Estimate of Clustering:The Space Density of AGNs Hosts!

Page 27: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

Here I am using an empirical relation calibratedwith a one-to-one approximation…

Page 28: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

The Soltan argument can also be applied toRadio AGNs only…

Shankar, Cavaliere et al. 2007

Lradio~fradioLkin

Lkin ~fkinLL~dm/dt c2

Page 29: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

Constrain the relation between Luminosity and halo mass…

Independent of duty-cycleIt can give “hints” on the best relation between MBH and MH

Which fits the bias…But then take care to fit the LF!!

MIN

MIN

L

L

dLzL

dLzLzMLbzb

),(

),()],[()(

Shankar & Weinberg 2007

Page 30: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

Further constraints from AGN BIAS

MIN

MIN

MIN

MIN

MIN

MH

MH

MAGN

L

L

zMtdMzMnzMtdMzMnzMb

zb

dMzMnzMPz

dLzL

dLzLzMLbzb

),(),(

),(),(),(

)(

),(),()(

),(

),()],[()(

IDEA: Use the duty-cycles as produced from accretion

-Need to relate BHs to Dark Matter-Further independent test for accretion parameters

Shankar & Weinberg 2007

Page 31: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

Massive Dark Objects observed in all bulged-galaxies strong link with the host spheroid M/n/

What are MDOs? How and why are they connected with spheroids and DM? What is their role in shaping galaxies?

Marconi & HuntMBHRe2

Log MBH~0.25 dex

VC+DM profile VVIR(zvir=0)(Mvir )1/3

=kVc

+

Page 32: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

The XRBG is mostly made of..AGNs!!!

Page 33: ACCRETION MODELS FOR BLACK HOLE EVOLUTION Francesco Shankar In collaboration with: D. Weinberg J. Miralda-Escude’ L. Ferrarese A. Cavaliere S. Mathur CCAPP/OSU

Evolving the black hole Accreted Mass Function….

dM

dL

zMn

zLtMP

mtMPtMtm

tt

MtmtMttM

MlmmcML

jjj

s

),(

),(~),(

),(),()(

)()()(

)(1.02

insert and dm/dt

evolve masses at each timestep

average rate proportionalto “probability”

“probability” given bythe fraction of active BHs

Require initial duty-cycle but at z<3.5 mass functionRequire initial duty-cycle but at z<3.5 mass functionevolves INDEPENDENT of the ansatz…evolves INDEPENDENT of the ansatz…