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JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 1 / 50 Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to left-turn, failure to yield collisions John G. Daily, M.S.M.E. * Jeremy S. Daily, Ph.D., P.E. IPTM’s Special Problems Conference 21-25 April 2008 * President, Jackson Hole Scientific Investigations, Inc. Assistant Professor in Mechanical Engineering at the University of Tulsa

Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

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Page 1: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 1 / 50

Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application

to left-turn, failure to yield collisions

John G. Daily, M.S.M.E.∗

Jeremy S. Daily, Ph.D., P.E.†

IPTM’s Special Problems Conference

21-25 April 2008

∗President, Jackson Hole Scientific Investigations, Inc.†Assistant Professor in Mechanical Engineering at the University of Tulsa

Page 2: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Abstract

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 2 / 50

A case study in which a straight truck turned left into the pathof an oncoming motorcycle, killing both the rider andpassenger on the motorcycle will be examined. The speed ofthe truck was not high but it had quantifiable angularmomentum because of its turning movement. The truck’sfront end was further displaced laterally by the impact of themotorcycle. Using concepts from planar impact mechanicsenables us to determine the impact speed of the motorcycle. Adiscussion of sensitivity and uncertainty accompanies thespeed analysis.

Page 3: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Introduction

• Abstract

Introduction

• Motivation

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 3 / 50

Page 4: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Motivation

• Abstract

Introduction

• Motivation

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 4 / 50

• The principle of the Conservation of LinearMomentum (COLM) requires external force to besmall compared to collision forces.

m1v1,in + m2v2,in = m1v1,out + m2v2,out

does not include rotational aspects of planarimpact mechanics.

• Including rotation and external forces fromfriction enable us to solve for impact speeds innon-traditional situations

• Demonstration of this procedure is given using acase study.

Page 5: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Case Study

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

• Synopsis

• Scene Photo

• Skidmark Photo• ReconstructionObjectives• On-siteInvestigation• Positions at Timeof Impact• Determine TruckPosition

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 5 / 50

Page 6: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Synopsis

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

• Synopsis

• Scene Photo

• Skidmark Photo• ReconstructionObjectives• On-siteInvestigation• Positions at Timeof Impact• Determine TruckPosition

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 6 / 50

• Mack delivery truck turns left in front of amotorcycle

• Driver claims to have never seen them• Also claims to be stopped while in turn• Rural highway

◦ 700 ft sight distance◦ 55 mph speed limits

• Fatal for the motorcycle driver and passenger• Original vehicles and crash site are available

Page 7: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Scene Photo

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 7 / 50

Page 8: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Skidmark Photo

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

• Synopsis

• Scene Photo

• Skidmark Photo• ReconstructionObjectives• On-siteInvestigation• Positions at Timeof Impact• Determine TruckPosition

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 8 / 50

Page 9: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Reconstruction Objectives

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

• Synopsis

• Scene Photo

• Skidmark Photo• ReconstructionObjectives• On-siteInvestigation• Positions at Timeof Impact• Determine TruckPosition

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 9 / 50

1. Determine motorcycle speed at the beginning ofthe skid mark.

2. Determination of the motorcycle distance fromimpact at certain time intervals.

3. Comment concerning the cause of the crash.

Page 10: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

On-site Investigation Objectives

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

• Synopsis

• Scene Photo

• Skidmark Photo• ReconstructionObjectives• On-siteInvestigation• Positions at Timeof Impact• Determine TruckPosition

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 10 / 50

1. Determine the amount the truck was displacedfrom the impact of the motorcycle.

2. Measure the weights on each wheel on the Macktruck.

3. Demonstrate a likely sight picture of the truckdriver and motorcycle driver at different speeds.

4. Identify the location of impact of the motorcyclewith respect to the ground and with respect to thetruck.

5. Measure physical truck dimensions.6. Assess damage and deformation of the

motorcycle.

Page 11: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

On-Site Investigation

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

• Synopsis

• Scene Photo

• Skidmark Photo• ReconstructionObjectives• On-siteInvestigation• Positions at Timeof Impact• Determine TruckPosition

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 11 / 50

Examined both vehicles involved in the crash.Initial evidence was still at the crash site 9 monthslater.Officer who made the scene measurements assisted.The final position of the truck could be located.The area of impact is accurately determined due toM/C rear wheel skid mark.

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Positions at Time of Impact

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

• Synopsis

• Scene Photo

• Skidmark Photo• ReconstructionObjectives• On-siteInvestigation• Positions at Timeof Impact• Determine TruckPosition

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 12 / 50

Page 13: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Determine Truck Position

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

• Synopsis

• Scene Photo

• Skidmark Photo• ReconstructionObjectives• On-siteInvestigation• Positions at Timeof Impact• Determine TruckPosition

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 13 / 50

• Reverse the truck from its documented final restposition.

• Steering angle assumed constant during postimpact travel.

• Investigating Officer confirmed steering angle.• This shows the area of impact on the truck was

moved 13 inches.• The impact rotated the truck about its rear axle.

Page 14: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Properties of the

Vehicles

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles• Mack TruckDimensions• Harley DavidsonMotorcycle

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 14 / 50

Page 15: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Mack Truck Dimensions

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles• Mack TruckDimensions• Harley DavidsonMotorcycle

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 15 / 50

d = wb(W f

W

)

= 204(

680015, 250

)

= 91 in

Page 16: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Harley Davidson Motorcycle

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles• Mack TruckDimensions• Harley DavidsonMotorcycle

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 16 / 50

Weighed 667 lb and had an “always on” headlight asshown by hot shock.

Page 17: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Motorcycle Speed

Determination

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

• Solution Strategy

• Angle of Rotation

• Work-Energy

• Delta Omega

• Turn Radius

• Angular velocity

• Friction & Torque

• Yaw Moment

• Angular Impulse

• M/C Delta V

• Impact Speed

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 17 / 50

Page 18: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Solution Strategy

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

• Solution Strategy

• Angle of Rotation

• Work-Energy

• Delta Omega

• Turn Radius

• Angular velocity

• Friction & Torque

• Yaw Moment

• Angular Impulse

• M/C Delta V

• Impact Speed

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 18 / 50

• Newton’s 2nd Law of Motion:

impulse = [∑ F]∆t = m∆v (1)

angular impulse = [∑ τo]∆t = Io∆ω (2)

where ∑ F is the sum of the external forces and

∑ τo is the sum of external torques or moments.• Newton’s 3rd Law of Motion:

◦ For every action there is an equal but oppositereaction.

◦ If we find the impulse on the truck, we candetermine the impulse on the M/C.

Page 19: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Eccentric Collision Analysis

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

• Solution Strategy

• Angle of Rotation

• Work-Energy

• Delta Omega

• Turn Radius

• Angular velocity

• Friction & Torque

• Yaw Moment

• Angular Impulse

• M/C Delta V

• Impact Speed

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 19 / 50

Motorcycle traveling straight at the time of impact

The lateral displacement of the area of impact wasmeasured to be 13.5 inches.

Page 20: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Angle of Rotation

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

• Solution Strategy

• Angle of Rotation

• Work-Energy

• Delta Omega

• Turn Radius

• Angular velocity

• Friction & Torque

• Yaw Moment

• Angular Impulse

• M/C Delta V

• Impact Speed

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 20 / 50

• Angular displacement can be determined.• The center of rotation is the center of the rear

axles.• The angle is small and can be estimated by the arc

length:

θ =sr

=13.5246

= 0.05488 radians

where θ is the displacement angle, s is the arclength, and r is the distance from the center of therear axle to the area of impact.

Page 21: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Work-Energy Theorem for Rotation

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

• Solution Strategy

• Angle of Rotation

• Work-Energy

• Delta Omega

• Turn Radius

• Angular velocity

• Friction & Torque

• Yaw Moment

• Angular Impulse

• M/C Delta V

• Impact Speed

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 21 / 50

Energy in = Energy out + work done

12

Iω22 − τθ =

12

Iω21 (3)

where I is the yaw moment of inertia about the centerof the rear axle,ω2 = ω1 + ∆ω is the post impact angular velocity ofthe truck,ω1 is the angular velocity of the truck due to turning,andτ is the torque from friction.

Page 22: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Change in Angular Velocity

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

• Solution Strategy

• Angle of Rotation

• Work-Energy

• Delta Omega

• Turn Radius

• Angular velocity

• Friction & Torque

• Yaw Moment

• Angular Impulse

• M/C Delta V

• Impact Speed

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 22 / 50

Rewrite Eq. (3) as:

12

I(ω1 + ∆ω)2 − τθ =12

Iω21 (4)

where ∆ω is the change in angular velocity due to theexternal impulse (collision+).

∆ω =

ω21 +

2τθ

I− ω1 (5)

Therefore, the angular velocity of the truck in theturn, ω1, is needed.

Page 23: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Determining the Turn Radius

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 23 / 50

If the path of travel of the truck is approximated by a circulararc, then three points can determine the radius of that circle.

Right Front Left Front Right Rear Left Rear

Point 1 (62.3, -4.15) (67.5, -7.95) (72.8, 7.4) (78.9, 4.1)

Point 2 (66.8, 7.4) (70.25, 2.15) (81.5, 16.0) (85.3, 9.4)

Point 3 (79.0, 18.5) (79.0, 12.1) (95.8, 19.3) (95.8, 11.7)

Radius 31.6 26.3 27.9 20.2

Page 24: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Plotting the Travel Path

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

• Solution Strategy

• Angle of Rotation

• Work-Energy

• Delta Omega

• Turn Radius

• Angular velocity

• Friction & Torque

• Yaw Moment

• Angular Impulse

• M/C Delta V

• Impact Speed

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 24 / 50

RF1

RR1

LF1

LR1

RF2

RR2

LF2

LR2

RF3 RR3

LF3LR3

r = 24.1 ft

Page 25: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Turn Radius Calculation

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 25 / 50

r2 = (x1 − h)2 + (y1 − k)2 (6)

r2 = (x2 − h)2 + (y2 − k)2 (7)

r2 = (x3 − h)2 + (y3 − k)2 (8)

Subtracting Eq (6) from Eqs. (7) and (8) followed byexpanding and simplifying gives:

x21 − x2

2 + y21 − y2

2 = (x2 − x1)h + (y2 − y1)k (9)

x21 − x2

3 + y21 − y2

3 = (x3 − x1)h + (y3 − y1)k (10)

This is a linear equation with two unknowns.

Page 26: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Angular velocity

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

• Solution Strategy

• Angle of Rotation

• Work-Energy

• Delta Omega

• Turn Radius

• Angular velocity

• Friction & Torque

• Yaw Moment

• Angular Impulse

• M/C Delta V

• Impact Speed

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 26 / 50

• Average angular velocity in the curve is ω1 = vr

where v is the forward velocity of the vehicle.• Slide-to-stop equation v =

√2 f gd where f = 0.5

is the drag factor of a truck with motorcyclewedged under the right front tire.

• The truck traveled about d = 10 ft after thecollision, so

ω1 =

√2 f gdr

=

2(0.5)(32.2)(10)

24.1= 0.7446 rad/s

Page 27: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Torque from Friction

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 27 / 50

The torque applied to the truck to resist rotation about thecenter of the rear axles comes from the lateral friction from thefront tires.

τ = wb × Ff riction (11)

where the wheelbase wb = 204 inches.

Ff riction = f W f = 0.6(7050) = 4230 lb (12)

where f = 0.6 is an acceptable drag factor for a commercialvehicle tire. This means the applied torque on the truck afterimpact is

τ = 204(4230) = 862, 920 in-lb (13)

Page 28: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Yaw Moment of Inertia of Mack Truck

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

• Solution Strategy

• Angle of Rotation

• Work-Energy

• Delta Omega

• Turn Radius

• Angular velocity

• Friction & Torque

• Yaw Moment

• Angular Impulse

• M/C Delta V

• Impact Speed

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 28 / 50

• University of Michigan Transportation ResearchInstitute reports the yaw moment of inertia isnearly 177,000 in-lb-sec2 about the COM.

• Parallel axis theorem:

I = IG + md2 (14)

I = 177, 000 +

(15, 250386.4

)

(91)2 = 503, 830 in-lb-sec2

(15)

Page 29: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Change in Angular Velocity

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 29 / 50

With all values determined, the change in angular velocity asa result of the impact can be determined for the truck usingEq. (5):

∆ω =

ω21 +

2τθ

I− ω1 (16)

=

0.74462 +2(862, 920)(0.05488)

503, 830− 0.7446 (17)

= 0.1170 rad/s (18)

The change in angular velocity comes from an externallyapplied angular impulse.

Page 30: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Angular Impulse and Momentum

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

• Solution Strategy

• Angle of Rotation

• Work-Energy

• Delta Omega

• Turn Radius

• Angular velocity

• Friction & Torque

• Yaw Moment

• Angular Impulse

• M/C Delta V

• Impact Speed

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 30 / 50

Fundamental text in dynamics [2] says:

Iω1︸︷︷︸

Momentum In

+ ∑ τ∆t︸ ︷︷ ︸

External Impulse

= I(ω1 + ∆ω)︸ ︷︷ ︸

Momentum Out

(19)

The external impulse on the truck comes from thecollision force of the motorcycle (Newton’s ThirdLaw) and the friction of the front tires on the ground.

Page 31: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Linear Impulse to Angular Impulse

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

• Solution Strategy

• Angle of Rotation

• Work-Energy

• Delta Omega

• Turn Radius

• Angular velocity

• Friction & Torque

• Yaw Moment

• Angular Impulse

• M/C Delta V

• Impact Speed

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 31 / 50

Radius vector is cross multiplied by the impulsevector. Therefore, the external impulse on the truck is:

∑ τ ∆t = rhit × m∆v − τ∆t (20)

The magnitude of the cross product is:

|rhit × m∆v| = m|rhit||∆v| sin θ (21)

Page 32: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Motorcycle Velocity Change

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 32 / 50

Eqs. (19)-(21) give an expression for the ∆v of the motorcycle:

∆v =I∆ω + τ∆tmrhit sin θ

(22)

∆t is the duration of the crash (approx 0.150 seconds)m is the mass of the motorcycle and riders,rhit is the distance from the rear axle to the center of pressureof the impact area (246 inches),θ is the angle between the ∆v vector and the center line of thetruck.

Page 33: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Mass of Motorcycle

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

• Solution Strategy

• Angle of Rotation

• Work-Energy

• Delta Omega

• Turn Radius

• Angular velocity

• Friction & Torque

• Yaw Moment

• Angular Impulse

• M/C Delta V

• Impact Speed

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 33 / 50

The weight of the motorcycle and rider combinationis the sum of the the motorcycle weight, the driver’sweight, and the passenger’s weight. Therefore, thetotal mass is determined as

m =wmotorcycle + wdriver + wpassenger

g(23)

=667 + 195 + 240

386.4 in/s2 (24)

= 2.8520 lb-sec2/in (25)

The angleθ between the radius and the ∆v vectormust be estimated.

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Impact Speed

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

• Solution Strategy

• Angle of Rotation

• Work-Energy

• Delta Omega

• Turn Radius

• Angular velocity

• Friction & Torque

• Yaw Moment

• Angular Impulse

• M/C Delta V

• Impact Speed

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 34 / 50

The calculated impact speed for the motorcycle is

∆v =I∆ω + τ∆tmrhit sin θ

(26)

=(503, 830)(0.1170) + 862, 920(0.150)

(2.8520)(246) sin(30)(27)

= 546.03 in/sec (28)

= 45.50 ft/sec (29)

= 31.03 mph (30)

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Speed at the Beginning of the Skid

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

• Solution Strategy

• Angle of Rotation

• Work-Energy

• Delta Omega

• Turn Radius

• Angular velocity

• Friction & Torque

• Yaw Moment

• Angular Impulse

• M/C Delta V

• Impact Speed

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 35 / 50

Combining this impact speed with the speed lossfrom skidding (using a 0.7 for the drag factor), thespeed the motorcycle was going at the time of theimpending skid is

S =√

30d f + S2impact (31)

=√

30(40)(0.7) + 31.032 (32)

= 42.46 mph (33)

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Sensitivity and

Uncertainty Analysis

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty• PropagatingUncertainty• DifferentialMethods

• Monte Carlo

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 36 / 50

Page 37: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Types of Uncertainty

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty• PropagatingUncertainty• DifferentialMethods

• Monte Carlo

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 37 / 50

1. Aleatory (denoted with a P)Uncertainty from inherent randomness ofphenomena. It can be quantified using repeatedmeasurements and statistics. Synonyms include:

(a) Random uncertainty(b) Precision uncertainty

2. Epistemic (denoted with a B)

(a) Systematic Uncertainty(b) Bias Uncertainty

Page 38: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Types of Uncertainty Analysis

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty• PropagatingUncertainty• DifferentialMethods

• Monte Carlo

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 38 / 50

1. Differential Methods2. Monte Carlo Sampling Methods3. Response Surface Techniques4. Fourier Amplitude Sensitivity

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Uncertainty and Error

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty• PropagatingUncertainty• DifferentialMethods

• Monte Carlo

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 39 / 50

Uncertainty analysis is the process of giving boundsto the unknown measurement error.

x µx

ε

Estimated Average True Average

Unknown Error

Page 40: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

Propagating Uncertainty

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty• PropagatingUncertainty• DifferentialMethods

• Monte Carlo

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 40 / 50

slope =

∂y

∂x

y = f (x)

x x+2sxx−2sx

y

Uncertainty in y

y

x

sx is the standard deviation of x and ¯(·) represents themean. The dashed line is from a differential analysis,the thin line is from a Monte Carlo Analysis.

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Differential Methods

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 41 / 50

Given a function y = f (x1, x2, · · · xn), we can estimate theuncertainty in y if we know the uncertainties in x.

1. Compute sensitivity gradients analytically ∂y∂xi

or using

finite differences y(x)−y(x+∆x)∆x

2. Combine elemental uncertainty as:

uy =

√√√√

n

∑i=1

{(∂y∂xi

Bi

)2

+

(

tν,95%∂y∂xi

Pi

)2}

(34)

where Bi are the “bias” uncertainties and Pi are the“precision” uncertainties.

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Monte Carlo Techniques

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty• PropagatingUncertainty• DifferentialMethods

• Monte Carlo

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 42 / 50

Basic Procedure

1. Assign each input variable a distribution2. Sample from each distribution at random and

combine to form a result3. Repeat many times to generate a result

distribution4. Construct uncertainty intervals based on final

distribution

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Monte Carlo Example

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 43 / 50

Input variables:Variable High Low

θ 50 30

I 553,830 453,830

rturn 26.1 22.1

fmotorcycle 0.8 0.6

flateral 0.7 0.5

Variable High Low

fpost 0.6 0.5

wcycle 697 637

s 15 13

∆t 0.200 0.100

rhit 252 24650,000 samples were taken from uniform distributions.All ranges based on “expert” opinion.

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Monte Carlo Results

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty• PropagatingUncertainty• DifferentialMethods

• Monte Carlo

Discussion andConclusions

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 44 / 50

25 30 35 40 45 50 550

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

Speed at Impending Skid (mph)

Cou

nt o

ut o

f 500

00

Histogram of possible motorcycle speeds

Initial speed was between 33.1 mph and 44.2 mph.

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Discussion and

Conclusions

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions• What Does ThisShow?

• Limitations

• Conclusions

• References

• Any Questions?

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 45 / 50

Page 46: Accounting for Impulse and Rotation: An application to ......impulse = [åF]Dt = mDv (1) angular impulse = [åto]Dt = IoDw (2) where å F is the sum of the external forces and å to

What Does This Show?

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions• What Does ThisShow?

• Limitations

• Conclusions

• References

• Any Questions?

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 46 / 50

• Including variation in the inputs still lead to aviable analysis

• Accounting for external impulse enables solution• Thorough scene documentation is needed to

perform reconstruction• Using the actual vehicles makes for a compelling

case• Rotational motion is not coupled to translation• The M/C has angular momentum even when

traveling straight (depends on radius).

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Limitations

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions• What Does ThisShow?

• Limitations

• Conclusions

• References

• Any Questions?

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 47 / 50

• Planar impact mechanics solution: All verticalprojections are considered negligible.

• May be a prohibitive technique without using theactual vehicles and being able to shut down theroad.

• Expensive in time and manpower.

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Conclusions

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions• What Does ThisShow?

• Limitations

• Conclusions

• References

• Any Questions?

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 48 / 50

1. The M/C was traveling nearly 31 mph at impact.2. The M/C was likely traveling 42 mph at the

beginning of the skid.3. The sight distance provided ample time for the

driver of the truck to see the M/C.4. Evidence suggests the headlight of the motorcycle

was on at the time of the crash.5. The scrape marks, post impact travel, and the fact

that the bike was wedged under the right fronttire indicates the truck was moving forward at thetime of impact.

6. Analysis resulted in a conviction of the Macktruck driver.

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References

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 49 / 50

[1] W. Bartlett, “Conducting monte Carlo analysis withspreadsheet programs,” SAE Technical Paper Series, no.2003-01-0487, 2003.

[2] F. P. Beer and E. R. Johnston Jr., Vector Mechanics forEngineers: Dynamics, 5th ed. McGraw Hill, 1988.

[3] J. G. Daily, N. Shigemura, and J. S. Daily, Fundamentals ofTraffic Crash Reconstruction, ser. Traffic CrashReconstruction. Jacksonville, Florida: Institute of PoliceTechnololgy and Managment, University of North Florida,2006, vol. 2.

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Any Questions?

• Abstract

Introduction

Case Study

Properties of theVehicles

Motorcycle SpeedDetermination

Uncertainty

Discussion andConclusions• What Does ThisShow?

• Limitations

• Conclusions

• References

• Any Questions?

JHSI, Inc. Special Problems 2008 – 50 / 50