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Agricultural Economics 29 (2003) 99–109 Access to credit, plot size and cost inefficiency among smallholder tobacco cultivators in Malawi Gautam Hazarika a,, Jeffrey Alwang b,1 a Department of Business Administration, The University of Texas at Brownsville, 80 Fort Brown, Brownsville, TX 78520, USA b Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA 24060, USA Received 8 May 2001; received in revised form 14 August 2002; accepted 15 August 2002 Abstract Using data from the Malawi Financial Markets and Household Food Security Survey, this paper examines the effect of access to credit from formal sources, and tobacco plot size, on cost inefficiency among Malawian smallholder tobacco cultivators. Farm-specific cost inefficiency is estimated within the framework of stochastic frontier analysis. Access to credit is measured as the sum of household members’ self-reported credit limits at credit organisations, arguably a truer measure of an exogenous credit constraint than credit program participation or actual loan uptake. It is found that tobacco cultivation is significantly less cost inefficient per acre on larger plots. While access to credit by itself has no statistically discernible effect on cost inefficiency, it reduces the gain in cost efficiency from a larger plot size. © 2003 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. JEL classification: O130; Q120 Keywords: Tobacco; Malawi; Plot size; Agricultural finance; Cost efficiency 1. Introduction Improvement in the efficiency of agricultural pro- duction, including productivity growth, is an es- sential component of any rural growth strategy. In sub-Saharan Africa, where price-based adjustment policies have not led to broad-based economic growth, gain in the efficiency of agricultural production is viewed as necessary for economic growth and the alleviation of rural poverty. Rural finance may con- tribute by facilitating the purchase of costly inputs and Corresponding author. Tel.: +1-956-544-8953; fax: +1-956-548-8736. E-mail addresses: [email protected] (G. Hazarika), [email protected] (J. Alwang). 1 Tel.: +1-540-231-6517; fax: +1-540-231-7417. the adoption of alternative crops. Besides, financial services may be packaged to deliver technical exper- tise. Improved access to rural finance may, thus, be associated with increased productivity and decreases in cost inefficiencies. Conditions in Malawi underscore the potential ben- efits of improved efficiency in agricultural produc- tion. Malawi is among the 10 poorest countries in the world, with a GNP per capita estimated at US$ 190 (World Bank, 2000) and social indicators that are consistent with widespread poverty. The country is predominantly rural: <25% of the population resides in urban centres—and agriculture dominates the rural economy. Malawian agriculture is characterised by ex- treme dualism: smallholders under traditional tenure on the one hand, and either lease- or free-held es- tate farms on the other, constitute the major tenure 0169-5150/03/$ – see front matter © 2003 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/S0169-5150(03)00020-3

Access to credit, plot size and cost inefficiency among smallholder tobacco cultivators in Malawi

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Page 1: Access to credit, plot size and cost inefficiency among smallholder tobacco cultivators in Malawi

Agricultural Economics 29 (2003) 99–109

Access to credit, plot size and cost inefficiency amongsmallholder tobacco cultivators in Malawi

Gautam Hazarikaa,∗, Jeffrey Alwangb,1a Department of Business Administration, The University of Texas at Brownsville, 80 Fort Brown, Brownsville, TX 78520, USA

b Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA 24060, USA

Received 8 May 2001; received in revised form 14 August 2002; accepted 15 August 2002

Abstract

Using data from the Malawi Financial Markets and Household Food Security Survey, this paper examines the effect of accessto credit from formal sources, and tobacco plot size, on cost inefficiency among Malawian smallholder tobacco cultivators.Farm-specific cost inefficiency is estimated within the framework of stochastic frontier analysis. Access to credit is measuredas the sum of household members’ self-reported credit limits at credit organisations, arguably a truer measure of an exogenouscredit constraint than credit program participation or actual loan uptake. It is found that tobacco cultivation is significantlyless cost inefficient per acre on larger plots. While access to credit by itself has no statistically discernible effect on costinefficiency, it reduces the gain in cost efficiency from a larger plot size.© 2003 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

JEL classification: O130; Q120

Keywords: Tobacco; Malawi; Plot size; Agricultural finance; Cost efficiency

1. Introduction

Improvement in the efficiency of agricultural pro-duction, including productivity growth, is an es-sential component of any rural growth strategy. Insub-Saharan Africa, where price-based adjustmentpolicies have not led to broad-based economic growth,gain in the efficiency of agricultural production isviewed as necessary for economic growth and thealleviation of rural poverty. Rural finance may con-tribute by facilitating the purchase of costly inputs and

∗ Corresponding author. Tel.:+1-956-544-8953;fax: +1-956-548-8736.E-mail addresses: [email protected] (G. Hazarika),[email protected] (J. Alwang).

1 Tel.: +1-540-231-6517; fax:+1-540-231-7417.

the adoption of alternative crops. Besides, financialservices may be packaged to deliver technical exper-tise. Improved access to rural finance may, thus, beassociated with increased productivity and decreasesin cost inefficiencies.

Conditions in Malawi underscore the potential ben-efits of improved efficiency in agricultural produc-tion. Malawi is among the 10 poorest countries inthe world, with a GNP per capita estimated at US$190 (World Bank, 2000) and social indicators that areconsistent with widespread poverty. The country ispredominantly rural:<25% of the population residesin urban centres—and agriculture dominates the ruraleconomy. Malawian agriculture is characterised by ex-treme dualism: smallholders under traditional tenureon the one hand, and either lease- or free-held es-tate farms on the other, constitute the major tenure

0169-5150/03/$ – see front matter © 2003 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.doi:10.1016/S0169-5150(03)00020-3

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100 G. Hazarika, J. Alwang / Agricultural Economics 29 (2003) 99–109

types. Estate farms were viewed through the 1970’sand 1980’s as the engines of rural growth, and theformer Banda dictatorship used policies that favouredthe estates. These policies included exclusive market-ing rights for high-value crops, other marketing poli-cies that squeezed smallholders, and access to sub-sidised inputs and credit. While Malawian agricul-tural growth was fairly strong during the 1970’s andearly 1980’s, this growth was illusory since it did notspread to the smallholder sector. Smallholders cur-rently constitute around 70% of the Malawian popu-lation and about 90% of the country’s poor. The me-dian area under cultivation by smallholders is a mere0.6 ha (World Bank, 1995). The high concentrationof poor in rural areas with small landholdings helpsjustify the government’s current focus on agriculturalintensification among smallholders as an engine ofpoverty-reducing growth.

Recent policy reforms designed to benefit small-holders have focused on two crops: hybrid maize va-rieties and burley tobacco. Malawian smallholders de-vote some 70% of their land to maize, mostly localvarieties. Hybrid maize has not been widely adoptedfor several reasons, including the fact that the pre-ferred flinty hybrids only became available in the early1990’s, the high relative cost of fertiliser, and lack ofcredit. The new policy reforms are expected to pro-mote uptake of hybrid maize and, thus, release landfor production of more profitable and mostly exportcrops. Burley tobacco is the most likely candidate toreplace maize acreage. Burley tobacco is currentlygrown on some 150,000 ha of land and accounts forat least 70% of Malawi’s foreign exchange earnings(about US$ (mUS$) 375 million, annually). The im-portance of this crop to the Malawian economy hasearned it the sobriquet ‘green gold’.

Until recently, the Government of Malawi promotedproduction of high-value cash crops like tobacco in theestate sector. Prior to 1990, under the Special CropsAct of 1972, smallholders were prohibited from mar-keting tobacco. Smallholders’ share of tobacco quotashas, however, increased since 1990. Smallholder mar-keting quotas were first offered in the post-reformera to members of tobacco growers’ clubs. An inter-mediate buyer program was introduced in 1993 thatallowed even non-members of tobacco clubs to selltobacco to registered traders. The number of small-holders producing tobacco has significantly increased

as a result of these policy changes (Zeller et al.,1997).

The smallholder burley tobacco program reflects asubstantial change in the Malawian agricultural devel-opment strategy away from estate-led growth towarda broad-based smallholder focus. Burley tobacco isnow seen as an engine that will provide resources tocash-starved smallholders, will integrate them into thecash economy, and allow flexibility and experimenta-tion in the rural sector. The success of the programdepends upon the spread of burley tobacco productionto resource-poor farmers, the ability of smallholdersto efficiently produce high-quality tobacco products,and complementaries between tobacco production andother on-farm enterprises.

By examining the relationship between plot sizeand cost inefficiency per acre in tobacco production,this paper aims to discover whether the government’spromotion of smallholder tobacco cultivation has in-volved an equity-efficiency trade-off. A negative re-lation between cost inefficiency and tobacco plot sizewould suggest that the policy of de-emphasising to-bacco production in the estate sector while encour-aging it in smallholdings has fostered equity at theexpense of efficiency.

This paper also examines the effect of smallholders’access to credit upon their efficiency in tobacco pro-duction. It is well known that the capital requirementsof tobacco farming are substantial. For example,Zelleret al. (1997)find that input expenditures per hectarein Malawi are much greater for tobacco than formaize or most other crops and that the cropping shareof tobacco in smallholdings is positively and signifi-cantly correlated with farmer access to credit. Hence,improving access to credit may be a necessary steptoward achieving more widespread burley tobacco pro-duction. However, besides encouraging the spread oftobacco production, improved credit access may raiseefficiency in tobacco farming by enabling farmers tobetter purchase inputs in cost minimising proportionsand to avail of improvements in production technol-ogy. The relationship between credit availability andeconomic efficiency in the Malawian smallholdertobacco sector has not previously been thoroughlyinvestigated.

The paper’s empirical strategy, utilising data fromthe Malawi Financial Markets and Household FoodSecurity Survey, consists of two steps, though in

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keeping with recent econometric advances, the paperlater attempts to combine the two steps into a singlestep. First, farm-specific cost inefficiency per acre isestimated within the framework of stochastic frontieranalysis (e.g.Parikh et al., 1995). Next, the estimatedcost inefficiency is related to farm and householdcharacteristics including tobacco plot size and accessto credit from formal sources. It is found that costinefficiency is negatively and significantly correlatedwith tobacco acreage. Hence, the government’s focuson smallholder led growth may indeed have involvedan equity-efficiency trade-off. It is also found thatwhile access to credit by itself has no statistically sig-nificant effect on cost inefficiency, credit availabilityhas the counter-productive effect of reducing the gainin cost efficiency from an increase in tobacco acreage.

The remainder of this paper is organised as fol-lows. Section 2presents a discussion of the relationbetween credit access and cost efficiency in agricul-ture. The section also discusses empirical issues in themeasurement of access to credit.Section 3presentsthe econometric model and discusses estimation. Thedata are described inSection 4, as are the empiricalresults.Section 5presents a summary of the findingsand the paper’s conclusion.

2. Credit programs and cost efficiency inagriculture

Cost efficiency results from both technical effi-ciency and allocative efficiency. Technical efficiencyrefers to a producer’s ability to obtain the highest pos-sible output from a quantity of inputs. Consider a unitisoquant with capital and labour as the inputs. Thisisoquant is the locus of the minimum capital–labourcombinations necessary to produce a unit of output.Hence, production is technically efficient along it. Theproducer of a unit of output using a capital–labourcombination that lies above this isoquant is, therefore,technically inefficient.

Allocative efficiency refers to a producer’s ability tomaximise profit given technical efficiency. A producermay be technically efficient but allocatively inefficient.For example, the producer in the preceding paragraphmay put forth a unit of output using a combination ofcapital and labour that lies on the unit isoquant but thatis more expensive than a different combination of in-

puts on the isoquant. The cheapest input combinationwould, of course, be the point of tangency betweenan isocost line and the unit isoquant. Allocative effi-ciency also applies to the producer’s ability to choosethe optimal level of output, or even the optimal outputmix.

Access to credit may raise allocative efficiency inagriculture. For example, a farmer unable to obtainmarket inputs in sufficient quantities may substitutenon-market inputs such as the labour of family mem-bers. However, given the opportunity cost of familylabour, the farmer’s input combination may be morecostly than an alternative combination consisting ofmore purchased inputs and less family labour. Creditmay allow the farmer to utilise market and non-marketinputs in a cost minimising combination. Credit mayalso raise allocative efficiency by increasing a farmer’sability to bear risk. For example, a farmer with ac-cess to credit may become willing to adopt riskier butpotentially more profitable technologies, or to plant amore drought prone but higher value crop.

Credit access may also raise the farmer’s level oftechnical efficiency. For example, credit may enable afarmer to adopt more capital-intensive methods of pro-duction, i.e. to purchase more machines, a market in-put. If the farmer purchased new machines embodyingimproved technology, his level of technical efficiencywould rise. Further, to the extent that credit access iscorrelated with the provision of technical assistance(agricultural extension services) by credit organisa-tions, farmers’ technical efficiency will increase. Notethat it is not necessary for a farmer to actually borrowto benefit from credit access. For example, the mereoption of borrowing may lead a farmer to avoid suchrisk reducing but unprofitable strategies as precaution-ary saving and the production of hardier but lowervalue crops. Hence, a farmer with the option to borrowmay become willing to put the proverbial roll of billsin his mattress to a more productive use on the farm.

Access to credit has generally been measured in twoways in the literature, namely, dichotomous member-ship in credit programs, and actual loan uptake. Boththese measures may be unsuitable for estimating thetrue causal effect of credit access on economic out-comes (e.g.David and Meyer, 1980; Feder et al., 1990;Zeller et al., 1996). First, since credit program partic-ipation and loan uptake are voluntary, the measuresare potentially endogenous with outcomes such as

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102 G. Hazarika, J. Alwang / Agricultural Economics 29 (2003) 99–109

productivity and income. A farmer who avails of loansfrom a credit agency may be found to be more pro-ductive, but it may not be concluded that loans leadto higher productivity since it is plausible that farmerswith more ambition and ability are likelier to seek outloans. Such traits, being unobserved, are unlikely tobe controlled for in a regression relating agriculturalproductivity to farmer loan uptake, with the result thatthe regression’s error term, consisting partially of un-observed farmer traits, will be correlated with loan up-take. Bias in the OLS estimate of the effect of farmerloan uptake on agricultural productivity is, therefore,likely.

Even if the potential endogeneity of actual loan up-take were dealt with, difficulties with this measure ofcredit access would persist. For example, inherent init is the erroneous assumption that individuals withno loan uptake are without access to credit. However,this would only be true if they were denied loans.More generally, actual loan uptake would be an ac-curate measure of credit access only if credit limitswere universally binding, i.e. if everyone’s loan uptakewere equivalent to her credit limit. In reality, individ-uals often do not fully exercise their option to borrow.Indeed, as discussed earlier, an individual who doesnot at all exercise the option to borrow may yet ben-efit from that option, for example, by feeling secureenough to adopt potentially more profitable but riskierstrategies.

Next, membership in a credit program often con-fers benefits unrelated to credit access such as liter-acy classes and business training. For example, mem-bers of the Malawi Rural Finance Company’s (MRFC)credit program are provided with agricultural exten-sion services. These secondary benefits of credit pro-gram participation arguably confound the true causaleffect of access to credit. Finally, mere membershipin a credit program may not guarantee ready accessto credit. Indeed, many group-based credit programsstipulate that only half of a group’s members may re-ceive credit at any time. Even credit programs dis-avowing this rule rarely provide their members withcertain access to credit.

Hence,Diagne (1998)andDiagne and Zeller (2001)argue that the credit limit, the maximum amount thatmay be borrowed as self-reported by survey partici-pants, is a better measure of credit access. The au-thors reason that unlike credit program participation

or actual loan uptake, which are related to demand forcredit, the credit limit, reflecting mainly supply-sidefactors such as the availability of credit programs andthe financial resources of lenders, is a truer measure ofan exogenous credit constraint. Thus, this paper mea-sures a tobacco producing household’s access to creditby the sum of the credit limits of its members at creditorganisations.

To be sure, this relatively novel measure of creditaccess is not unambiguously exogenous (uncorrelatedwith unobserved borrower characteristics). For exam-ple,Diagne (1998)accedes that the maximum amountthat lenders are willing to lend will mirror their assess-ment of the likelihood of default and other borrowercharacteristics. Hence, an efficient tobacco farmer mayhave a higher self-assessed credit limit than an ineffi-cient one. The OLS estimated effect of credit accesson cost inefficiency might, thus, be biased downward.On the other hand, since an objective of non-profitagro-financial institutions in LDCs may be the reduc-tion of economic inefficiency, more inefficient farm-ers may be rendered greater assistance. The OLS es-timated effect of credit access on cost inefficiencymight, as a result, even be biased upward. Neverthe-less, it is plausible that the credit limit measure ofaccess to credit is relatively more exogenous than ac-tual loan uptake or dichotomous membership in creditprograms, which are deliberate acts on the part of bor-rowers and, therefore, almost certainly correlated withtheir unobserved attributes.

3. The econometric model

Consider the stochastic cost function based on thecomposed error model (e.g.Aigner et al., 1977);

lnCi = α+ β lnQi +n∑j=1

δj lnPij + εi (1)

whereCi represents householdi’s cost per acre of to-bacco production,Qi denotes the value in monetaryunits of the household’s tobacco output per acre,2 Pij

signifies the household-specific price of variable input

2 The existence of multiple tobacco types necessitates measure-ment of tobacco output per acre in monetary rather than physicalunits.

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G. Hazarika, J. Alwang / Agricultural Economics 29 (2003) 99–109 103

i, andεi is a disturbance term consisting of two inde-pendent elements as follows:

εi = Vi + Ui (2)

Vi, assumed to be independently and identically dis-tributed asN(0, σ2

V ), represents random variation incost per acre due to extraneous factors such as theweather and crop diseases. The termUi is taken torepresent cost inefficiency relative to the stochasticcost frontier,α + β lnQi +

∑nj=1δj lnPij + Vi. It is,

therefore, one-sided as opposed to being symmetri-cally distributed about the origin. In other words,Ui =0 if costs are, ceteris paribus, as low as can be, andUi > 0 if cost efficiency is imperfect.Ui is assumedto be identically and independently distributed as trun-cations (at 0) of the normal distributionN(µ, σ2

U).The stochastic cost function (1), may be estimated bymaximum-likelihood. Given the above distributionalassumptions,

E(Ui/εi) = σλ

(1 + λ2)

[φ(µ∗

i )

1 −Φ(µ∗i )

− µ∗i

](3)

whereφ andΦ denote, respectively, the standard nor-mal p.d.f. and the standard normal c.d.f.,λ = σU/σV ,

σ =√σ2U + σ2

V , andµ∗i = (εiλ/σ) + (µ/σλ). Re-

placing εi in the above expression by the regressionresidual and the other parameters by their ML esti-mates yields an estimate,Ui, of farm-specific cost in-efficiency (Jondrow et al., 1982).

Next, the equation,

Ui = Aiγ1 + Liγ2 +Xiγ3 + ei (4)

is estimated by OLS, whereAi denotes householdi’stobacco acreage,Li represents the household’s accessto credit from formal sources measured as the sum ofits members’ self reported credit limits, variablesXiconsist of other farm and household characteristics,andei denotes the regression error. In order to exam-ine whether the effect of tobacco plot size on cost in-efficiency is influenced by credit access, the equation,

Ui = Aiπ1 + AiLiπ2 + Liπ3 +Xiπ4 + ei (5)

is also estimated. Statistical significance of the interac-tion between tobacco acreage and credit access,AiLi,will yield the conclusion that access to credit influ-ences the marginal effect of tobacco acreage on costinefficiency.

The above two-stage method, consisting of ML es-timation of a stochastic cost frontier followed by OLSestimation of an equation relating predicted cost in-efficiency to the potential determinants of cost ineffi-ciency, has lately been criticised. For one, a regressionmodel of predicted inefficiency effects in Stage 2 con-tradicts the assumption in Stage 1 of identically dis-tributed inefficiency effects (Battese and Coelli, 1995).Hence, the twin steps are alternatively combined into asingle step according the model byBattese and Coelli(1995). It is continued to be assumed thatVi, randomvariation in cost per acre due to extraneous factorssuch as the weather, is independently and identicallydistributed asN(0, σ2

V ). However,Ui, the cost inef-ficiency component, is now assumed to be indepen-dently, but not identically, distributed as truncations(at 0) of the normal distributionN(Ziθ, σU). In otherwords, the mean of the cost inefficiency effect is as-sumed to be a function of variablesZi, taken in theempirical estimation, to be identical to the regressorsin (5). This specification permits the coefficientsθ tobe estimated together with the coefficients of the costfrontier (1).

4. The data and empirical results

Data for the study are drawn from the Malawi Fi-nancial Markets and Household Food Security Surveyconducted jointly in 1995 by the International FoodPolicy Research Institute (IFPRI) and the Departmentof Rural Development (DRP) of the Bunda Collegeof Agriculture of the University of Malawi. A totalof 404 rural households in 45 villages in five districtsof Malawi were surveyed. The yearlong survey (fromFebruary to December) consisted of three rounds. Theempirical analyses are conducted upon data from thesecond round of the survey, since only it containedthe requisite detailed tobacco production data. Whilerarely in household surveys is labour input disaggre-gated by crop, these data permit the valuation of labourexpended in tobacco cultivation alone towards calcu-lation of the cost per acre of tobacco production.

There are four main credit and savings pro-grams currently operating in Malawi: the MalawiRural Finance Company (MRFC), Promotion ofMicro-Enterprises for Rural Women (PMERW), theMalawi Mudzi Fund (MMF), and the Malawi Union

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104 G. Hazarika, J. Alwang / Agricultural Economics 29 (2003) 99–109

of Savings and Credit Co-operatives (MUSCCO).The first three programs are based on the principlesof group lending, while MUSCCO is an individ-ual membership based union organisation. MRFCand MUSCCO provide seasonal agricultural credit,mostly for tobacco and maize, though the former doesnot serve households with less than half a hectare ofland. PMERW and MMF, operating in only a fewdistricts, specialise in credit for off-farm enterprises.There are, in addition, numerous small credit pro-grams run by NGOs and international governmentorganisations.

The above 404 rural households do not constitute arandom sample. Since it was necessary to include suf-ficient numbers of credit program participants in thesurvey, the low participation rate in credit programsin Malawi made random sampling impractical. Hence,the surveyors resorted to stratified random sampling.The 4700 rural households enumerated in the 45 vil-lages covered by the Malawi village census were di-vided into three strata: a stratum consisting of currentparticipants in the above four credit programs, a stra-tum consisting of past participants (mostly in a failedgovernment credit program), and a stratum consistingof households that had never participated in a creditprogram. A random sample was chosen from eachstratum such that about half of the final sample of 404households consisted of current credit program par-ticipants, with past participants and non-participantsmaking up approximately equal portions of the re-mainder. Thus, the survey over samples current creditprogram participants. The empirical estimation incor-porates sampling weights in an attempt to account forthis over sampling.

In each round of the Malawi Financial Markets andHousehold Food Security Survey, respondents over 17years old were queried about the maximum amountthey might conceivably have borrowed during the pe-riod of recall. A household’s access to credit from for-mal sources may, thus, be calculated as the sum of thecredit limits of its members at credit organisations.

The cost per acre of tobacco production is measuredas the sum of the costs of seed, fertiliser, pesticide, andlabour input, and the costs of transporting inputs to thefarm and transporting the crop to market. The inputswhose log prices are included in the specification ofthe stochastic cost function (1), are: labour, seed, fer-tiliser, and pesticide. Farm and household characteris-

tics with plausible bearing upon cost inefficiency, thevariablesXi in (4) and (5), include the value of farmassets, farm size, household size, the average age of12-year-old or older family members, the proportionof family members aged 12 and above able to read andwrite Chichewa, the proportion able to read and writeEnglish, and the proportions with the educational cre-dentials: Primary School Leaving Certificate (Grade8), Junior Certificate (Grade 10), and M.S.C.E. cer-tificate (Grade 12). Relevant data were available for70 tobacco cultivating households. However, it wasdiscovered that tobacco acreage erroneously exceededfarm size in three of these households, no doubt, dueto coding error. The three households were dropped,yielding a final sample of 67 households.Table 1presents the (unweighted) sample means and standarddeviations of the variables.

Table 2presents weighted maximum-likelihood3 es-timates of the stochastic cost frontier. The cost peracre of producing tobacco significantly increases inthe value of output per acre, in the hourly wage, in theprice per kilogram of tobacco seed, and in the priceper kilogram of fertiliser. Cost, however, appears todecrease in the cost per kilogram of pesticide.

Table 3presents weighted OLS estimates of (4) and(5). It is assumed that tobacco acreage is an exoge-nous regressor, or that farmers first allocate land be-tween tobacco and other crops and only subsequentlymake their tobacco inputs application decisions. Thisis a plausible assumption in the Malawian context.The average cropping share of tobacco in Malawiansmallholdings is only about 2% (Diagne and Zeller,2001). Diagne and Zeller (2001)argue that thissmall cropping share is due to smallholders’ desirefor self-sufficiency in maize, the Malawian dietarystaple. It is significant in this context that 90% ofMalawian smallholders in a study bySmale and Phiri(1998)declared that the ability to produce maize forself-consumption was their most important criterionof well being. Diagne and Zeller (2001)argue thatsuch self-sufficiency may be necessary in the face ofthe malfunctioning of rural maize markets, caused bya lack of marketable surplus of maize in smallholdingsand an inadequate transportation infrastructure. Thus,

3 The weighted log-likelihood function is simply the sum overall i of wi log(pi), wherewi is the sampling weight associated withthe ith tobacco farming household andpi is theith log probability.

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G. Hazarika, J. Alwang / Agricultural Economics 29 (2003) 99–109 105

Table 1Sample means and standard deviations (unweighted)

Variable Mean Standard deviation

ln(cost of producing tobacco per acre) 6.815 0.927ln(value of tobacco production per acre) 7.529 1.278ln(hourly wage) −0.770 0.946ln(price of seed/kg) 7.158 0.499ln(price of fertiliser/kg) 0.678 0.184ln(price of pesticide/kg) 4.769 1.407Household credit limit at formal credit institutions 278.508 540.351Tobacco acreage 1.612 1.314Household credit limit at formal credit institutions× tobacco acreage 738.209 2770.504Farm acreage 4.809 2.617Value of farm assets 740.731 1232.080Household size 6.328 2.338Average age of+12-year-old household members 30.453 8.762Proportion of+12-year-old household members literate in Chichewa 0.282 0.319Proportion of+12-year-old household members literate in English 0.161 0.225Proportion of+12-year-old household members with Primary School Leaving Certificate 0.147 0.209Proportion of+12-year-old household members with Junior Certificate 0.030 0.100Proportion of+12-year-old household members with M.S.C.E. certificate 0.014 0.059

N 67

Note: All monetary values are in current Malawi Kwacha (MK).

it is credible that smallholders’ food security concernslead them to first allocate the bulk of their land tomaize, leaving but little for tobacco, and only then tomake their tobacco inputs application decisions.

It is found that cost inefficiency per acre signifi-cantly decreases in tobacco acreage. This suggests thatthe government’s policy of promoting tobacco culti-vation in smallholdings as opposed to tobacco estateshas made production of this premier cash crop morecost inefficient, even if it has promoted equity in therural economy. An inverse relation between cost ineffi-ciency and tobacco plot size is consistent withDiagne

Table 2Weighted ML estimates of the stochastic cost frontier

Variable Coefficient

Constant 0.434 (0.435)ln(value of tobacco production per acre) 0.409 (10.470)ln(hourly wage) 0.483 (7.726)ln(price of seed/kg) 0.353 (2.337)ln(price of fertiliser/kg) 1.297 (5.873)ln(price of pesticide/kg) −0.113 (−1.859)

log-likelihood −43.514

Note: Numbers in parentheses denotet-ratios.

and Zeller’s (2001)finding that Malawian smallhold-ers, particularly those farming plots of a total size of<0.25 ha (0.62 acres), are prone to applying excessivequantities of inputs, particularly fertiliser. The authorsargue that farmers may be attempting to compensatefor the scarcity of land by the over-use of inputs, andthat this may be particularly true in tobacco farmingsince the crop is allocated only about 2% of the aver-age 0.7 ha (1.73 acres) of land cultivated by a small-holder. Thus, increase in tobacco acreage may reducethis compensatory over-use of inputs, causing a de-cline in cost inefficiency per acre. This has the im-portant implication that if the mean cropping share oftobacco in smallholdings were, by a combination ofincentives, raised from its current low value of 2%,average cost efficiency in smallholder tobacco produc-tion would rise. Since a likely reason for this low crop-ping share is smallholders’ desire for self-sufficiencyin maize, with roots in the poor functioning of ruralmaize markets, tobacco’s cropping share in smallhold-ings might increase if the government improved thefunctioning of rural maize markets, e.g. by upgradingthe rural transportation infrastructure.

The estimates inTable 3also indicate that a tobaccofarming household’s credit limit at credit organisations

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106 G. Hazarika, J. Alwang / Agricultural Economics 29 (2003) 99–109

Table 3Determinants of cost inefficiency: weighted OLS estimates

Variable CoefficientsEq. (4) CoefficientsEq. (5)

Constant −0.560 (−1.696) −0.440 (−1.369)Household credit limit at formal credit institutions 0.0002 (1.025) −0.0002 (−0.962)Tobacco acreage −0.283 (−3.215) −0.400 (−4.085)Household credit limit at formal credit institutions× tobacco acreage 0.0001 (2.369)Value of farm assets 0.00004 (0.491) 0.00002 (0.226)Farm acreage 0.074 (2.390) 0.078 (2.637)Household size 0.089 (3.035) 0.093 (3.289)Average age of+12-year-old household members 0.029 (3.643) 0.030 (3.898)Proportion of+12-year-old household members literate in Chichewa −0.574 (−2.288) −0.616 (−2.550)Proportion of+12-year-old household members literate in English 1.016 (2.911) 1.058 (3.151)Proportion of+12-year-old household members with Primary School Leaving Certificate−0.073 (−0.189) −0.208 (−0.555)Proportion of+12-year-old household members with Junior Certificate −0.026 (−0.027) 0.053 (0.058)Proportion of+12-year-old household members with M.S.C.E. certificate −1.190 (−1.006) −1.148 (−1.009)

R2 0.608 0.645

Note: Numbers in parentheses denotet-ratios; dependent variable= estimated farm-specific cost inefficiency; weighted sample mean ofdependent variable= 0.646.

does not by itself significantly affect cost inefficiency.However, the sign of the estimated coefficient of theinteraction between tobacco acreage and credit access,together with the statistical significance of this vari-able, implies that the beneficial effect of a larger to-bacco plot size on cost inefficiency is eroded by accessto credit. Credit in Malawi is often disbursed in theform of agricultural inputs like fertiliser. The fertiliserpackages are standardised for only a small number ofplot sizes with the result that a farmer may be lentan excessive quantity of fertiliser (Diagne and Zeller,2001). To the extent that a household’s credit limit iscorrelated with its actual loan uptake,4 this type of loandisbursement may contribute to the above negative ef-fect of the credit limit upon the gain in cost efficiencyfrom a larger tobacco plot size. In other words, thecompensatory over-use of inputs may reduce with in-creased tobacco acreage, but a simultaneous increasein access to credit may contribute to persistence infarmers’ excessive input application per tobacco acre.

There are a number of other findings of interest. Forexample, controlling for tobacco acreage, total farmacreage and cost inefficiency in tobacco production arepositively related. Holding tobacco acreage constant,larger farms naturally have more land under crops

4 Sample correlation between the household credit limit andactual loan uptake is 0.764.

other than tobacco, such as maize, the major Malawianfood crop. To the extent that these crops require largeapplications of market inputs like fertiliser,5 that farm-ers are resource strapped, and that market inputs are inrelatively short supply, the quantities per acre of suchinputs applied to tobacco may be inversely related toacreage under other crops. Allocative inefficiency ininput application may result. For example, the reduceduse of market inputs in tobacco may be accompaniedby a compensatory over-application of non-market in-puts such as household labour. Cost inefficiency peracre may consequently rise. It is notable in this con-nection that the estimates inTable 3are indicative of atendency toward the over-use of family labour on to-bacco plots, in that cost inefficiency per acre increasesin the number of household members. Similarly, an in-crease in the average age of household members olderthan 11, consistent with a rise in the number of mem-bers of working age, raises cost inefficiency per acrein tobacco cultivation. There is indication that costinefficiency is inversely related to household humancapital measured as the proportion of household mem-bers older than 11 who are literate in Chichewa, thelocal language. It is puzzling, however, that cost ineffi-ciency significantly increases in the proportion literate

5 Hybrid maize, for instance, requires large and timely fertiliserapplications.

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in English. Perhaps non-farm earnings opportunitiesincrease in English literacy so that households with agreater proportion of members literate in English areless reliant upon farm incomes and, therefore, moreprone to inefficiency in tobacco cultivation.

Table 4presents joint ML estimates of the stochas-tic cost frontier and the determinants of mean cost in-efficiency, pertaining to the stochastic frontier modelby Battese and Coelli (1995). Unfortunately, samplingweights could not be incorporated in the estimationgiven the limitations of the Fortran program (FrontierVersion 4.1) developed by these authors. Hence, thepoint estimates inTable 4are often markedly differentfrom those inTables 2 and 3even if they are indica-tive of the same broad trends. The cost per acre of to-bacco production significantly increases in the valueof tobacco output per acre, in the hourly wage rate,in the price per kilogram of seed and in the price perkilogram of fertiliser. As before, cost appears nega-tively related to the price per kilogram of pesticidethough the variable not statistically significant by theseunweighted estimates. Mean cost inefficiency appears

Table 4The stochastic cost frontier and determinants of mean cost inefficiency estimated jointly: unweighted ML estimates

Variable Coefficient

Estimates of the stochastic cost frontierConstant 1.216 (1.636)ln(value of tobacco production Per acre) 0.328 (6.058)ln(hourly wage) 0.518 (5.137)ln(price of seed/kg) 0.257 (2.342)ln(price of fertiliser/kg) 1.327 (3.581)ln(price of pesticide/kg) −0.032 (−0.466)

Determinants of mean cost inefficiencyConstant 0.610 (0.726)Household credit limit at formal credit institutions 0.00007 (0.194)Tobacco acreage −0.722 (−2.073)Household credit limit at formal credit institutions× tobacco acreage 0.0002 (1.684)Value of farm assets −0.00005 (−0.286)Farm acreage 0.058 (0.972)Household size 0.038 (0.708)Average age of+12-year-old household members 0.019 (1.220)Proportion of+12-year-old household members literate in Chichewa −0.346 (−0.673)Proportion of+12-year-old household members literate in English 0.752 (1.264)Proportion of+12-year-old household members with Primary School Leaving Certificate −0.391 (−0.563)Proportion of+12-year-old household members with Junior Certificate −0.227 (−0.189)Proportion of+12-year-old household members with M.S.C.E. certificate −0.092 (−0.037)

log-likelihood 49.247

Note: Numbers in parentheses denotet-ratios.

negatively and significantly related to tobacco plotsize, and, as before, there is indication that the gain incost efficiency from a larger plot size is reduced by ac-cess to credit, though credit access by itself has no sta-tistically discernible effect on mean cost inefficiency.In sum, the major findings inTable 3are upheld.

The above findings may be contrasted with the re-sults from two other studies relating efficiency in agri-cultural production, measured within the frameworkof stochastic frontier analysis, to credit availability andplot size.Parikh et al. (1995)examine the determinantsof cost inefficiency, including credit availability andfarm size, in Pakistani agriculture. Credit availabilityis defined as actual loan uptake per farm acre. Theauthors find that farmers with greater loan uptake areless cost inefficient. However, since this measure ofcredit access is potentially endogenous as discussed,the above finding may not be relied upon. The authorsalso find that cost inefficiency increases in farm size.Note, though, that the authors aggregate across at leastfour crops, namely, wheat, maize, sugarcane, and veg-etables. This study, on the other hand, focuses upon a

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single crop. Therefore, the finding that Malawian to-bacco cultivation is less cost inefficient in larger plotsmay not be directly compared with the above findingthat cost inefficiency in Pakistani agriculture increasesin holding size.

Ali and Flinn (1989) examine profit, not cost,efficiency among basmati rice producers in the Pun-jab province of Pakistan. Still, there are similaritiesbetween the notions of cost efficiency and profitefficiency in that both arise from technical as wellas allocative efficiency. Farmers, in this study, wereasked if a lack of credit hampered their purchase offertiliser. Hence, a dichotomous indicator of creditnon-availability measures access to credit. Creditnon-availability was positively and significantly re-lated to profit inefficiency. Since a farmer citing creditnon-availability is one who has attempted to borrow,this measure of credit access is, like actual loan up-take, potentially endogenous. The authors also findthat profit inefficiency increases in farm size, thoughnot significantly so.

5. Conclusion

The promotion of tobacco cultivation is a key com-ponent of the Malawian strategy of smallholder-ledgrowth. Given the substantial capital requirements oftobacco farming, improving farmers’ access to creditmay be necessary toward achieving more widespreadburley tobacco production. Indeed, there is evidenceof positive correlation between access to credit andthe cropping share of tobacco in smallholdings (Zelleret al., 1997). However, this paper finds no evidence ofa positive relation between access to credit from for-mal sources and efficiency in tobacco farming. Thus,improving farmers’ access to credit in Malawi willlikely promote tobacco cultivation only along the ex-tensive margin.

Unlike most analyses of the effects of credit, thispaper measures household access to credit from for-mal sources as the sum of members’ self-reportedcredit limits at credit organisations. It has previouslybeen argued that the credit limit is a truer measureof an exogenous credit constraint since it reflectsmostly supply-side factors such as the availability ofcredit programs and the financial resources of lenders(Diagne, 1998; Diagne and Zeller, 2001).

The paper also finds that tobacco cultivation is lesscost inefficient on larger plots. This may be takenas indicative of an equity-efficiency trade-off in theMalawian tobacco sector. The finding suggests thatthe Government of Malawi’s policy of encouraging to-bacco production by smallholders as opposed to sup-porting the erstwhile monopoly of the tobacco estates,has led to declining cost efficiency in the production ofthis premier cash crop, even if it has promoted equityin the rural economy. It also suggests that increasingthe cropping share of tobacco in smallholdings fromits current low levels will tend to raise the economicefficiency of tobacco production.

The paper also uncovers evidence that access tocredit retards the gain in cost efficiency from an in-crease in tobacco acreage. This suggests that the meth-ods of credit disbursement in rural Malawi are faulty.Indeed, faulty credit disbursement mechanisms maypartially explain why access to credit by itself, despiteits potential benefits, has no statistically discernibleeffect on cost inefficiency.

Our findings have two broad policy implications.As argued, an increase in the cropping share of to-bacco in smallholdings may reduce cost inefficiencyin the production of this crop. Therefore, policies thatrid farmers of their tendency to allocate the bulk oftheir landholdings to maize may raise efficiency in to-bacco production. Such policies may include efforts toimprove the functioning of rural maize markets so asto reduce the need for self-sufficiency in maize. Next,credit disbursement mechanisms in Malawi may re-quire a degree of reform. It ought to be ensured thatfarmers are not lent excessive quantities of costly in-puts. Tobacco is an extremely important cash crop tothe Malawian economy and it is advisable that theGovernment of Malawi vigorously pursue policies toraise economic efficiency in its production.

Uncited references

Diagne et al. (1995), CIMMYT (1998).

Acknowledgements

Helpful comments from Winford Masanjala aregratefully acknowledged.

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