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Accelerating a broadband future: Designing spectrum awards to meet mobile broadband requirements Peter Dunn – Cullen International © Cullen International SA 20

Accelerating a broadband future: Designing spectrum awards to meet mobile broadband requirements Peter Dunn – Cullen International © Cullen International

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Page 1: Accelerating a broadband future: Designing spectrum awards to meet mobile broadband requirements Peter Dunn – Cullen International © Cullen International

Accelerating a broadband future:

Designing spectrum awards to meet mobile broadband requirements

Peter Dunn – Cullen International

© Cullen International SA 2012

Page 2: Accelerating a broadband future: Designing spectrum awards to meet mobile broadband requirements Peter Dunn – Cullen International © Cullen International

© Cullen International SA 2012

shape marketvia:

- award- licence

One-off opportunity to shape market

demand

Clarify policy priorities:• coverage, universality• quality of service• competition

Page 3: Accelerating a broadband future: Designing spectrum awards to meet mobile broadband requirements Peter Dunn – Cullen International © Cullen International

© Cullen International SA 2012

•what the market can take

•how mobile BB is used

market understanding

•spectrum goes to existing operators

•market consolidation

no new entry

•innovative conditions applied

•rural first

coverage

•12x more for 800 MHz

•scarcity, band properties

low frequencies high value

Trends

Page 4: Accelerating a broadband future: Designing spectrum awards to meet mobile broadband requirements Peter Dunn – Cullen International © Cullen International

© Cullen International SA 2012

•in award or including existing holdings

•different by spectrum band and assignment

•different if existing or new operator

spectrum caps

•ensure all operators are sustainable

•assumes very good market knowledge

•moving towards market design?

minimum packages

•less regulatory involvement in market design

•risk of strengthening dominance

•risk of non-sustainable operators

let market decide

Competition

Page 5: Accelerating a broadband future: Designing spectrum awards to meet mobile broadband requirements Peter Dunn – Cullen International © Cullen International

© Cullen International SA 2012

Coverage

obligations:• population• targeted• rural first• data rate

spectrum

network sharing

costs

• awards• refarming

Page 6: Accelerating a broadband future: Designing spectrum awards to meet mobile broadband requirements Peter Dunn – Cullen International © Cullen International

Coverage obligations in Germany

© Cullen International SA 2012

GSM UMTS

Page 7: Accelerating a broadband future: Designing spectrum awards to meet mobile broadband requirements Peter Dunn – Cullen International © Cullen International

Coverage obligations in Germany

© Cullen International SA 2012

GSM UMTS LTE

Page 8: Accelerating a broadband future: Designing spectrum awards to meet mobile broadband requirements Peter Dunn – Cullen International © Cullen International

THANK [email protected]

© Cullen International SA 2012

Page 9: Accelerating a broadband future: Designing spectrum awards to meet mobile broadband requirements Peter Dunn – Cullen International © Cullen International

Awards of 800 MHz and 2.6 GHz

Date 800 MHz 2.6 GHz paired

2.6 GHzunpaired

Coverage obligations

Germany 5/2010 €3,576m €252m €85m 800 MHz only

Sweden 3/2011 €195m €216m €18m 800 MHz only

Spain 7/2011 €1,305m €173m €16m 800 MHz only

Italy 9/2011 €2,962m €432m €74m both bands

Portugal 11/2011 €270m €36m €3m 800 MHz only

France 12/2011 €2,639m €936m - both bands

Switzerland 2/2012 €810m in total for all bands 800 MHz only

The only new market entry has been for unpaired 2.6 GHz and for regional

2.6 GHz licences in Spain

Innovative coverage obligations have focused on 800 MHz band and provision of broadband to rural areas

© Cullen International SA 2012

Page 10: Accelerating a broadband future: Designing spectrum awards to meet mobile broadband requirements Peter Dunn – Cullen International © Cullen International

800 MHz 12x higher value than 2.6 GHz

Germany Sweden Spain Italy Portugal France0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

Cost (€) per capita per MHz

800 MHz 2.6 GHz (paired)

SE awarded2.6 GHz in May 2008

Average differential between800 MHz

and 2.6 GHzis 12x

(€0.67 to €0.05)

© Cullen International SA 2012