Acb III-cashflow Estimation

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    CASHFLOW

    ESTIMATION

    Cashflow Vs profit

    Incremental cash flowComponents of cash flow

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    INTRODUCTION

    The most important, but the most difficult step

    in capital budgeting is estimating projects

    cash flows.

    Evaluation techniques requires cash flows for

    making investment decisions.

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    INTRODUCTION

    The difficulty in estimating cash flows arises

    because of

    Uncertainty and accounting ambiguities.

    Requires considerable time, effort and money

    in obtaining correct estimates of cashflows

    Requires the participation of many individuals

    and departments in the process

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    CASHFLOWS

    It is the inflow and outflow of cash.

    It is the cash, which a firm can invest or pay

    to creditors to discharge its obligations or

    distribute to shareholders as dividends.

    Cashflow should not be confused with profit.

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    CASHFLOWS VS. PROFIT

    Cashflow is different from profit at least for

    two reasons

    Profit, as measured by an accountant is

    based on accrualconcept.

    For computing profit, expenditures are

    arbitrarily divided into revenue and capital

    expenditure

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    CASHFLOWS VS. PROFIT

    Revenue expenditures are entirely charged to

    profits while capital expenditures are not.

    Only depreciation is charged to profit.

    Profit = Revenue- expenses depreciation

    Cashflow = Revenue expenses- capital expenditure

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    INCREMENTAL CASHFLOWS

    A cashflow stream is a series of cash receipts

    and payments over the life of an investment.

    The estimates of amounts should be made on

    incremental basis.

    Every investment involves a comparison of

    alternatives.

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    INCREMENTAL CASHFLOWS

    Suppose, a company is introducing a new

    product, the incremental cash flows in this

    case will be determined by comparing cash

    flows resulting with or without introduction ofthe new project.

    When incremental cash flows are calculated

    by comparing with a hypothetical zero-

    cashflow project called absolute cash flows

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    INCREMENTAL CASHFLOWS

    When incremental cash flows are determined

    by comparison between two real alternatives

    can be called relative cash flows

    Incremental cash flows assume greater

    importance in case of replacement decisions.

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    PROBLEMS IN DETERMINATION

    OF INCREMENTAL CASH FLOWS

    There are three main problems

    1. Sunk cost A sunk cost is an outlay already

    occurred, hence not affected by the

    decision.

    2. Opportunity cost for ex- Cash flows that

    could be generated from an asset the firm

    already owns.

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    PROBLEMS IN DETERMINATION

    OF INCREMENTAL CASH FLOWS

    3. Effects on other parts of the firm /

    externalities

    Cannibalization

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