Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
New venture knowledge appropriation and sustainability of regional entrepreneurial activity
Mike Provance, Ph.D. Old Dominion University
Elias Carayannis, Ph.D. George Washington University
9 August 2010 · AoM · Montreal
© Mike Provance and Elias Carayannis, 2010
New ventures and regional sustainability
2
How does knowledge appropriation influence the level of sustained new venture formation in a region?
Knowledge perspective on entrepreneurship
·∙ Knowledge spillover : agglomeration economies – Klepper and Sleeper, 2005; Krugman, 1991; Ács and
Varga, 2005 ·∙ Overcoming localized spillover : social capital
– Almeida and Kogut, 1999; Rosenkopf and Almeida, 2003, Saxenian, 1994
·∙ Absorptive capacity in new venture formation – McKelvie, Wiklund, and Short, 2007; Todorova and
Durisin, 2008 ·∙ Heterogeneous systems of knowledge flow
– Carayannis and Campbell, 2007; Santarelli and Vivarelli, 2004
·∙ Leads to regional sustainability of entrepreneurial activity – Carayannis, 2009
INTRODUCTION
New ventures and regional sustainability
3
Focus on the sustainability of entrepreneurship in regions
·∙ Entrepreneurship historically a vehicle for economic recovery in down markets
·∙ Permanent shift in labor base of many cities in U.S. and abroad (Canada, Europe, Japan)
– Santarelli and Vivarelli, 2004 ·∙ Entrepreneurial system of activity
– Carayannis, 2009; Krueger, Reilly, and Carsrud, 2000
FORMATION THRESHOLD
A B
INTRODUCTION
New ventures and regional sustainability
4
(0) Founder commitment and new venture creation
(1) Capability generation
(2) New venture transition to incumbent firm
(3) Incumbent firm product innovation
(4) Product innovation adoption
(5) Buyer resolution
(6) Institutional knowledge mediation
SIMULATION DESIGN
New ventures and regional sustainability
5
Design specification of Stage 1 ·∙ Six configurations of 20x20 LP torus landscape ·∙ Four runs of each configuration – >1,000,000 observations ·∙ ANOVA with Bonferroni procedure identified two focal configurations
for further analysis
SIMULATION STAGE 1
New ventures and regional sustainability SIMULATION DESIGN
6
STAGE 1 !
STAGE 2 !
New ventures and regional sustainability
7
STAGE 1 RESULTS
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 7 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 8 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0
10 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 17 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 18 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 19 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
Spatial distribution of new ventures in Configuration B
New ventures and regional sustainability
8
STAGE 1 RESULTS
New ventures and regional sustainability
9
STAGE 1 RESULTS
New ventures and regional sustainability
10
STAGE 1 RESULTS
New ventures and regional sustainability
11
STAGE 1 RESULTS
Results of Tobit Regression Analysis for Conditional Probability of New Venture Formation
CONFIGURATION A CONFIGURATION B
Variable 1 2 3 4 5 6
P [serendipity for knowledge transformation] 0.018** 0.013** 0.010 0.010 0.011* 0.008
Network size -0.127*** -0.265*** -0.125*** -0.268***
Network density 0.081*** -0.288* 0.051** -0.107
Network size2 0.023*** 0.023***
Network density2 0.311** 0.128
Netw. size of new ventures normalized for age -0.207*** -0.235***
Netw. size of new ventures, normalized for age2 0.024*** 0.031***
Number of left-censored observations 664 664 664 667 667 667
Number of uncensored observation 936 936 936 933 933 933
Number of right-censored observations 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pseudo R2 19.970 26.308 14.760 17.445 23.748 13.527
LR Chi2 1,488.19 1,960.36 1,100.19 1,460.36 1,987.96 1,132.35
* p < 0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p < 0.005
New ventures and regional sustainability
12
Design specification of Stage 2 ·∙ Introduces institutional knowledge mediation ·∙ Three configurations of 20x20 LP torus landscape ·∙ Three runs of each configuration – >150,000 observations ·∙ Stability of results across location and configuration
SIMULATION STAGE 2
New ventures and regional sustainability
13
STAGE 2 RESULTS
Cumulative # of!New Ventures!
Prob [New!Venture !Formation]!
New ventures and regional sustainability
14
STAGE 2 RESULTS
New ventures and regional sustainability
15
Initial conclusions
·∙ Formal knowledge acquisition more influential (in unexpected ways) – Smaller, denser networks – Network building is a cost before it generates returns
·∙ Knowledge diversity leads to localization
·∙ Regional entrepreneurial support can’t build networks for entrepreneurs – other way around
·∙ Institutions may aid or constrain regional sustainability – depending on mission
– Knowledge variation inducing increases probability of formation – Know. standardizing and producing decreases probability
WHAT DID WE LEARN?
THANK YOU.
16
