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The Journal of Academic Social Science Studies
International Journal of Social Science
Doi number:http://dx.doi.org/10.9761/JASSS3633
Number: 50 , p. 169-182, Autumn II 2016
Yayın Süreci
Yayın Geliş Tarihi / Article Arrival Date - Yayınlanma Tarihi / The Published Date
29.07.2016 31.10.2016
ABSENTEEISM ATTITUDES OF UNIVERSITY STUDENTS:
LOGISTIC PREDICTION BETWEEN VARIABLES ÜNİVERSİTE ÖĞRENCİLERİNİN DEVAMSIZLIK TUTUMLARI:
DEĞİŞKENLER ARASI LOJİSTİK YORDAYICILIK Asst. Prof. Dr. Hatice Gonca USTA
Cumhuriyet University Faculty of Education Department of Educational Sciences
Assoc. Dr. Celal Teyyar UĞURLU
Cumhuriyet University Faculty of Education Department of Educational Sciences
Res. Assist. Ahmet Salih ŞİMŞEK
Cumhuriyet University Faculty of Education Department of Educational Sciences
Abstract
The aim of the education is to create a permanent behavioral changes in stu-
dents. Inducing lasting behavioral changes in students is largely dependent on experi-
ence-based and constructivist environments. Especially in formal education, the stu-
dents’ levels of attendance has a fairly important effect on their level of learning. ). Edu-
cational institutions should pay close attention to student absenteeism, and consider the
factors that ensure attendance. Absenteism can change according to school success,
school climate, socioeconomic conditions, teacher support, academic knowledge, com-
munication problems and anxiety. In this study, data on absenteeism attitudes obtained
from students studying at Cumhuriyet University during the 2013-2014 academic year
were analyzed statistically. “Absenteism Attitue Scale” (AAS) was used in the study as a
scale. Also datas prapered for the analysis analysed missing value and extreme value.
The absenteeism attitudes of the students were separated into three groups, which were
the low, medium and high level groups. Two-stage clustering analysis was employed
when performing this distinction. Since the dependent variable had an ordinal structure
with three categories, ordinal logistic regression analysis was used. Study results re-
vealed that the students’ weekly course hours, weekly hours of absence, and satisfaction
with the department variables have a significant effect on their attitude towards absen-
teeism.
Keywords: Absenteeism Attitude, Logistic Regression, Hours of Absence,
Course Hours, Satisfaction with the Department
Öz
Eğitimin amacı bireyde kalıcı izli istendik davranış değiştirmektir. Öğrencil-
170
Hatice Gonca USTA & Celal Teyyar UĞURLU & Ahmet Salih UĞURLU
erdeki bu davranış değişikliklerinin kalıcı izli olması yaşantıya dayalı ve yapılandırmacı
ortamlardan etkilenir. Öğrencilerin okula devam durumları söz konusu davranış değişi-
kliğinin yaşanması bakımından önemlidir. Eğitim kurumları öğrencilerin okula de-
vamları ile yakından ilgilenmeli ve devamı sağlayan etkenlerin neler olduğu üzerinde
düşünmelidirler. Devamsızlık başarı, okul iklimi, Sosyo-ekonomik koşullar, öğretmen
desteği, akademik bilgi, iletişim sorunları, anksiyete gibi farklı olgu ya da durumlara
bağlı olarak değişebilmektedir. Bu çalışmada Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi’nde 2013-2014
eğitim öğretim yılında öğrenim gören öğrencilerin devamsızlık tutumları ile ilişkili
değişkenler (Cinsiyet, Sınıf düzeyi, Öğrenim zamanı, Genel Not Ortalaması, Bölümden
Memnuniyet, Haftalık Ders Saati, Haftalık Devamsızlık Saati ve İkamet) istatistiksel
olarak analiz edilmiştir. Araştırmada veri toplama aracı olarak öğrencilerin devamsızlık
tutumlarını belirlemek amacıyla geliştirilen “Devamsızlık Tutumu Ölçeği” (DTÖ)
kullanılmıştır. Veriler analize hazır hale getirmek için uç değer ve kayıp değer analizleri
yapılmıştır. Öğrencilerin Devamsızlık Tutumları düşük, orta ve yüksek tutum düzeyi
olarak üç gruba ayrılmıştır. Bu ayrım gerçekleştirilirken iki aşamalı kümeleme analizi
kullanılmıştır. Bağımlı değişkenin üç kategorili ve sıralı bir yapıda olmasından dolayı da
sıralı lojistik regresyon analizi kullanılmıştır. Sıralı lojistik regresyon analizi için gerekli
varsayımlar sınanmıştır. Analiz sonuçlarına göre öğrencilerin haftalık ders saati, haftalık
devamsızlık saati ve bölümden memnuniyet değişkenlerinin devamsızlığa ilişkin tutum
üzerinde manidar olduğu ortaya çıkmıştır.
Anahtar Kelimeler: Devamsızlık Tutumu, Devamsızlık Saati, Ders Saati,
Bölümden Memnuniyet, Lojistik Regresyon
INTRODUCTION
The quality of education is affected by
many different variables. Educational institu-
tions may induce behavioral changes in an
effective environment, and the motivation
level of students may have a positive effect on
the quality of education. Students’ attitudes
towards their teachers, administrators and
peers, their relationships and behavioral pat-
terns may have an impact on their commit-
ment and confidence. Inducing lasting beha-
vioral changes in students is largely depen-
dent on experience-based and constructivist
environments. Especially in formal education,
the students’ levels of attendance has a fairly
important effect on their level of learning.
Absenteeism can be defined as non-
attendance to school or courses without pa-
rental consent or any legal justification. Other
definitions of absenteeism include non-
attendance to classes on a regular basis (Kear-
ney and Silverman, 1990); unexcused non-
attendance without any legal reason (Stoll,
1990); and occasional or regular non-
attendance to school (Ministry of National
Education, 2009).
Absenteeism from school can be re-
garded as a factor that prevents in students
the behavioral changes induced by experien-
ce. According to Austin and Totaro (2011),
qualified attendance to educational activities
can improve performance outcomes. Signifi-
cant changes in student behaviors can also
affect their level of absenteeism (Uğurlu, Koç,
Usta and Şimşek, 2012). Educational instituti-
ons should pay close attention to student ab-
senteeism, and consider the factors that ensu-
re attendance. Schools have a close interest in
their students’ academic achievements. In
fact, academic achievement often precede
many other forms of achievement. According
to Silah (2003); by taking an interest in stu-
dents’ academic achievements, educational
institutions assume the task of ensuring that
students develop more qualified behaviors in
their areas of interest. It is often mentioned
that there are many variables that influence
students’ academic achievement.
Absenteeism may change according
to different conditions or situations (Yıldız
and Şanlı Kula, 2012; Altınkurt, 2008; Özbaş,
2010). For instance, the relationship between
Absenteeism Attitudes Of Universıty Students: Logistic Prediction Between Variables 171
absenteeism and academic achievement (Kab-
lan, 2009; Yalnızkurt, 2008; Rothman, 2001),
absenteeism and school performance (Snyder
et al., 2010; Scarpa, 1978), absenteeism and
sexual minorities (Bui, 2009), and absenteeism
and school climate (Gaziel, 2004) are several
examples of such conditions and situations.
Different factors can be mentioned in relation
to student absenteeism, such as socioecono-
mic conditions, teacher support, academic
knowledge, communication problems and
anxiety. Ingul et al. (2011) suggested that fac-
tors such as family structure, individual cha-
racteristics, socioeconomic status also affect
student absenteeism. Altınkurt (2008), on the
other hand, analyzed six dimensions of stu-
dent absenteeism by utilizing data from vari-
ous different studies. These dimensions are;
reasons associated with administrators, rea-
sons associated with teachers, reasons associa-
ted with family, reasons associated with envi-
ronment, reasons associated with academic
anxiety, and personal reasons. The disposition
of students to absenteeism can be evaluated
based on these reasons. Different reasons of
absenteeism can determine students’ disposi-
tions towards absenteeism. Özbaş (2010) and
Tutar (2002) also explained student absente-
eism based on a similar classification. The
absenteeism of university students is also
categorized in a similar manner (Bülbül,
2012).
It is possible to say that the problema-
tic nature of absenteeism gets much more
pronounced at different levels for students,
society, schools and families. Society, educa-
tors, psychologists and psychiatrists have
eventually started to consider the underlying
causes of student absenteeism as an important
problem (Nair, 2010). Reasons of absenteeism
problems include sickness (Hill, Standen and
Tattersfield, 2014), familial issues, low socioe-
conomic status, dissonance among peers, and
minority status (Moonie, Sterling, Figgs and
Costro, 2008). Skipping school, student absen-
teeism, and their outcomes with respect to
academic achievement can be considered as
evidence of a dysfunctional relationship
between the school and the student. Such
evidence are also indicative of an inferior
school climate, of student apathy, and of other
school-related factors. Most factors related
with absenteeism suggest that greater atten-
tion should be devoted to students, and strict
attention should be paid to satisfy their vari-
ous needs (Rothman, 2001). This is because
student absenteeism has been on the rise,
gradually becoming a more aggravated prob-
lem, and leading to low academic performan-
ce. It was determined that the rate of absente-
eism in higher education has reached nearly
40% (Arulampalam, Naylor and Smith, 2012).
In this context, this study investigated
through logistic estimation student absente-
eism attitude levels with respect to variables
such as gender, grade level, time of education,
cumulative grade point average, satisfaction
with the department, weekly course hours,
weekly hours of absence, and place of resi-
dence.
Knowing the underlying reasons of an
issue as important as absenteeism is key to
minimizing it and increasing the level of
school attendance in formal education. Even
though school attendance is important at all
levels, ensuring greater attendance in higher
education - which has a considerable impact
on the rest of an individual’s life - is relatively
more significant. Diplomas given by formal
education institutions to undergraduate stu-
dents are bestowed based on the assumptions
that the students have attended their classes;
interacted with other students, the class envi-
ronment and the professors; and passed
his/her classes as a result of these interactions.
Therefore, it is rather important to determine
the predictive power and level of importance
of variables such as gender, grade level, time
of education, cumulative grade point average,
weekly course hours, weekly hours of absence
172
Hatice Gonca USTA & Celal Teyyar UĞURLU & Ahmet Salih UĞURLU
and place of residence on university students’
attitudes towards absenteeism. The main
purpose of this study was to identify the vari-
ables associated with university students’
attitudes towards school attendance, since
there is no study in the current literature add-
ressing this problem.
METHOD
Research Model
This is a correlational study in which
the correlations between two or more variab-
les are investigated without any intervention.
The purpose of correlational studies is to re-
veal the covariation of or correlations among
variables (Karasar, 2003).
The logistic regression model estab-
lished within the scope of this research is
shown in Figure 1.
Figure 1. Logistic Regression Model
Figure 1 shows the predictor variables
of the regression model, which are Gender
(Male/Female), Grade Level (1-2-3-4), Time of
Education (Daytime Education/Evening Edu-
cation), Cumulative Grade Point Average
(Continuous), Level of Satisfaction with the
Department (Not Satisfied-Partly Satisfied-
Completely Satisfied), Weekly Course Hours
(Continuous), Weekly Hours of Absence
(Continuous), and Place of Residence. On the
other hand, the predicted variable of the mo-
del is Absenteeism Attitude (Low, Medium or
High).
Study Group
The study group comprised underg-
raduate students from four different depart-
ments (education, engineering, literature) at
Cumhuriyet University. Maximum variation
sampling - which is a purposeful sampling
method - was employed when forming the
study group. To ensure variation in the study
group; faculty, department, time of education
and gender variables were taken into account.
Although a larger number of students were
included into the study, a dataset that compri-
sed of 447 students was used in the logistic
regression analysis after extreme value and
missing value analyses.
Data Collection Tool
To assess absenteeism attitude, which
was the predicted variable of this study, the
“Absenteeism Attitude Scale” (AAS) develo-
ped by Usta, Uğurlu and Şimşek (2014) was
used. On the other hand, to determine the
Absenteeism Attitudes Of Universıty Students: Logistic Prediction Between Variables 173
predictor variables, a structured questionnaire
was employed. AAS is a three-dimensional
attitude scale consisting of 19 items that expla-
ins 54% of the variation in absenteeism attitu-
des among university students. The first order
CFA results regarding the validity of AAS
revealed that the scale has high validity (AGFI
= .91, CFI = .98, SRMR = 0.046, RMSEA = 0.06),
while the Cronbach’s Alpha analysis carried
out to determine the level of reliability indica-
ted that the scale had a high degree of reliabi-
lity (r = .91) (Usta, Uğurlu and Şimşek, 2014).
High AAS scores indicate positive attitudes
towards class attendance, whereas low scores
indicate negative attitudes towards class at-
tendance (in other words, positive attitudes
towards absenteeism).
Data Analysis
In order to use the predicted variable
(i.e. the absenteeism attitude) in the logistic
regression analysis, students were grouped as
low, medium and high groups with respect to
their absenteeism attitude levels. To this end,
a “Two-Stage Clustering Analysis” was emp-
loyed for the identification of students catego-
ries. Thus, homogeneous classes were obtai-
ned from the heterogeneous dataset (Kayri,
2007, p. 97). The results of two-stage cluste-
ring analysis are shown in Table 1.
Table 1.Results of two-stage clustering analysis
Variable Cluster F % Mean Standard
deviation
Dependent
variable
1 130 29.08 45.15 6.65
2 214 47.87 63.44 5.47
3 103 23.04 80.18 5.96
According to two-stage clustering
analysis results shown in Table 1, the mean
and standard deviation of absenteeism attitu-
de score of the 130 students (29.08%) in the
first group were 45.15 and 6.65, respectively;
the mean and standard deviation of absente-
eism attitude scores of the 214 students
(47.87%) in the second group were 63.44 and
5.47, respectively; and the mean and standard
deviation of absenteeism attitude scores of the
103 students (23.04%) in the third group were
80.18 and 5.96, respectively. The first cluster
indicated students with “low” level absente-
eism attitude, the second cluster indicated
those with “medium” level absenteeism atti-
tude, and the third cluster indicated those
with “high” level absenteeism attitude. Thus,
a dependent variable with three categories
was obtained.
Logistic regression analysis is named
according to the dependent variable on which
logit transformation is applied. In cases where
the dependent variable is an ordinal and cate-
gorical variable with at least three categories,
an “Ordinal (Ordered) Logistic Regression
Analysis” will be used (Çokluk, 2010, p. 1362;
Ayhan, 2006, p. 19). In ordinal logistic regres-
sion analysis, categories should be coded ac-
cording to an ascending order (Ayhan, 2006,
p. 19). In this study, “Ordinal (Ordered) Lo-
gistic Regression Analysis” was preferred,
since the categorical dependent variable – i.e.
absenteeism attitude – was transformed into a
variable with three categories.
174
Hatice Gonca USTA & Celal Teyyar UĞURLU & Ahmet Salih UĞURLU
In the study where “Ordinal (Orde-
red) Logistic Regression Analysis” was used
since the dependent variable had three cate-
gories, students with high absenteeism attitu-
de were taken as the “reference category”.
Therefore, the obtained coefficients indicate
the likelihood that students had a high level
of attendance attitude – or, in other words, a
negative attitude towards absenteeism beha-
vior.
Preparation of Data: Before starting
the analyses, extreme value and missing value
analyses were carried out primarily for each
variable within the scope of the study. Based
on the missing value analysis, missing values
related to academic achievement and the sa-
tisfaction level with the department were
excluded from the scope of analysis. As a
result of the extreme value analysis concer-
ning weekly hours of absence and weekly
course hours, data were identified outside the
[-3,+3] interval. The model was tested over 447
data points obtained through extreme value
and missing data analyses.
Since logistic regression analysis is
very sensitive to correlations between inde-
pendent variables, there should not be any
multicollinearity among variables. Multicolli-
nearity arises when correlations between va-
riables are high (r > .90) (Tabachnick and Fi-
dell, 1996). As correlation values were r < .90
in this study, a problem of multicollinearity
was not encountered in the current study.
In order to detect whether there was
multicollinearity between the predictor vari-
ables in the analysis, the value of the increase
in tolerance and variance were examined.
Having a VIF below 10 or tolerance value over
0.2 indicates that there is no multicollinearity
(Field, 2009; Green and Salkind, 2010). It was
observed that predictor variables employed in
the study did not have a multicollinearity
problem. Tolerance and VIF values for predic-
tor variables are given in Table 2.
Table 2. Results of Multicollinearity Assumption Between
Independent Variables
Variables TOLERANCE VIF
Gender .916 1.092
Cumulative Grade Point Average .890 1.124
Weekly Course Hours .835 1.197
Weekly Hours of Absence .925 1.081
Time of Education .889 1.125
Grade Level .875 1.143
Satisfaction with the Current De-
partment
.971 1.030
Place of Residence .794 1.259
The results shown in Table 2 indicate
that the tolerance value was .916 for the gen-
der variable, .814 for the cumulative grade
point average, .835 for the weekly course ho-
urs, .925 for weekly hours of absence, .889 for
time of education, .875 for grade level, .971 for
satisfaction with the current department, and
.794 for place of residence. All tolerance va-
Absenteeism Attitudes Of Universıty Students: Logistic Prediction Between Variables 175
lues were greater than .02. A look at the VIF
values reveals that it was 1.092 for the gender
variable, 1.124 for the cumulative grade point
average, 1.197 for weekly course hours, 1.081
for weekly hours of absence, 1.125 for time of
education, 1.143 for grade level, 1.030 for sa-
tisfaction with the current department, and
1.259 for place of residence. All VIF values
were smaller than 10. It was thus concluded
that relevant assumptions were satisfied.
Another significant assumption that
should be satisfied in Ordinal (Ordered) Lo-
gistic Regression analysis is the assumption of
parallelism. While determining the most app-
ropriate logit models, parallelisms between
sub-models are analyzed by defining the same
number of models equal to the binary combi-
nations of the number of categories (Özda-
mar, 1997, p. 463-464). The assumption of
parallelism requires estimated values of pa-
rameters to pass the same cut-off point for all
categories of the dependent variable (Akın
and Şentürk, 2012, p. 189). Chi-square test was
employed to test the validity of the assump-
tion of parallelism, and the obtained results
are shown in Table 3.
Table 3. Results of the Assumption of Parallelism in Ordinal
Logistic Regression
Model
-2 Loglikeli-
hood
(-2LL)
2 Sd P
Null Hypothe-
sis 860.055
Overall 845.731 14.324 10 .159
H0 = Parameter estimates pass from the same cut-off point.
H1 = Parameter estimates pass from different cut-off points.
Table 3 shows that the result of the as-
sumption of parallelism obtained with the chi-
square test (2= 14.324,p= .159> 0.05). In Ordi-
nal Logistic Regression, the significance level
of the assumption of parallelism should be
greater than .05 (Akın and Şentürk, 2012, p.
189; Şenel and Alatlı, 2014, p. 41). It is thus
possible to say that H0 hypothesis was accep-
ted, indicating that the assumption of paralle-
lism for the model was satisfied. This implies
that each category of the dependent variable – in
other words, of the absenteeism attitude variab-
le – are equal to each other. More generally, as
all assumptions were satisfied, it was decided to
apply ordinal logistic regression analysis in the
study.
FINDINGS
The findings of the ordinal logistic reg-
ression analysis are presented in this section.
The model fit table obtained from the analysis
provides -2 loglikelihood (-2 LL) values for the
model formed without independent variables
and the model formed with the inclusion of
independent variables. Model fit data are given
in the table below.
176
Hatice Gonca USTA & Celal Teyyar UĞURLU & Ahmet Salih UĞURLU
Table 4. Model Fit Data
Model -2 LL 2 Sd P
Only Intercept Point 934.578
Final 860.055 74.523 10 .000
Table 4 indicates that there is a signifi-
cant difference between the model formed
with the inclusion of independent variables
and the null model formed without including
independent variables (2=934.578-860.055=
74.523, p=.000). This indicates a correlation
between the dependent variable and inde-
pendent variables. As the following next step,
the goodness of fit of the model was analyzed.
Pearson’s chi-square and deviation statistics
evaluate the model fit using the difference
between observed and expected values (Şenel
and Alatlı, 2014, p. 40). The results of the go-
odness of fit test are presented in Table 5
Table 5. Goodness of Fit Test Results
2 Sd P
Pearson 896.126 .868 .247
Deviation 855.896 .868 .609
H0 = The model represents the data.
H1 = The model does not represent the data.
Table 5 provides the significance values,
Pearson 2= 896.126,p= .247 > 0.05) and Devia-
tion (2= 855.896, p= .609> 0.05) for the mo-
del’s goodness of fit. The model’s goodness of
fit indicates the fit of the data with the model,
and it should have a significance value greater
than .05 (Akın and Şentürk, 2012, p. 189; Şenel
and Alatlı, 2014, p. 41). Hence, it can be said
that the model fits the data and that the H0
hypothesis was accepted.
In this study, the model’s goodness of
fit was analyzed through the pseudo-R2 value.
Pseudo-R2 is a tool for measuring and asses-
sing the strength of the relationship between
independent variables. The most commonly
used pseudo-R2 statistics are McFadden, Cox-
Snell and Nagelkerke R2 statistics. Outcomes
of the analysis are shown in Table 6 below.
Table 6. Pseudo-R2 Statistics
Cox and Snell Nagelkerke McFadden
.154 .175 .079
Absenteeism Attitudes Of Universıty Students: Logistic Prediction Between Variables 177
As shown in Table 6, the pseudo-R2 va-
lues were obtained as Cox and Snell (.154),
Nagelkerke (.175) and McFadden (.079). Since
the interpretation of Cox and Snell value
among the different pseudo-R2 values is diffi-
cult, it is common practice to check the Na-
gelkerke value (Field, 2009, p. 269), which
indicates the percentage of dependent variab-
le explained by independent variables (Oruç
and Özen Kutanis, 2015, p. 41). As R2 values
are not a good criteria for logistic regression
analysis, their values tend to be low in this
type of regression analysis (Akın and Şentürk,
2012, p. 190). As such, it was determined that
independent variables of the model explained
17.5% of the dependent variable. In this study;
gender, cumulative grade point average, we-
ekly course hours, weekly hours of absence,
time of education, grade level, satisfaction
with the department and place of residence
were taken into consideration as independent
variable. It is possible to define in this study
the factors that are likely to have an effect on
absenteeism as exogenous factors. However,
endogenous factors (motivation, interest, affi-
nity to school etc.) that might affect students’
absenteeism attitudes should not be ignored.
Furthermore, the characteristics of the city
where the university is located, the university
campus and the academic staff are also impor-
tant. In this context, we suggest that the
explanatory power of the model could be
improved by diversifying the independent
variables.
In this study, the Wald test was used
to determine whether the independent variab-
les were significant or not. Testing logistic
regression analysis with the Wald test provi-
des the advantage of concluding the analysis
with less biased parameter findings (Çokluk,
2010: 1394). To interpret the model, the odds
ratio should be calculated by taking ”the
exponential” of the Wald statistic. The results
obtained by using this approach are shown in
Table 7.
Table 7. Expressing the Significance of Model Parameters
Variables Β Wald Odds ratio
(eβ) P
Dependent
variable
1 (Low) -.048 .003 - .957
2 (Medium) 2.334 6.778 - .009
Independent
variable
GEND (1) -.311 2.100 0.733 .147
GEND (2) 0 - - -
GPA .369 2.417 1.446 .120
CLASS_HOUR .056 4.232 1.058 .040
ABSENT_HOUR -.379 34.450 .685 .000
TIME_EDUC (1) -.295 1.992 .745 .158
178
Hatice Gonca USTA & Celal Teyyar UĞURLU & Ahmet Salih UĞURLU
TIME_EDUC (2) 0 - - -
GRD_LEV (2) .299 1.166 1.349 .280
GRD_LEV (3) -.071 .098 .931 .754
GRD_LEV (4) 0 - - -
SATIS (1) -1.526 13.024 .217 .000
SATIS (2) -.304 2.436 .738 .119
SATIS (3) 0 - - -
RES (1) .054 .071 1.055 .790
RES (2) 0 - - -
Based on an examination of the fin-
dings obtained through the significance
analysis of the model parameters, it was ob-
served that weekly course hours (p=.040),
weekly hours of absence (p=.000) and satisfac-
tion with the current department (p=.000)
variables had significant effects on students’
absenteeism attitudes. The parameter signifi-
cance values corresponding to these statistics
should be smaller than .05 (Akın and Şentürk,
2012: 190; Field, 2009: 259). It is described that
the interpretation of ordinal logistic regres-
sion analysis parameters is more difficult and
complicated than binary and multinomial
logistic regression, and it is necessary to
“exponentiate” the estimated parameter va-
lues and also to specify reference categories in
order to interpret them properly. In other
words, interpretation should be made accor-
ding to the reference category. Such an
examination of parameter significance is cal-
led “interpretation in terms of odds ratio”
(Akın and Şentürk, 2012: 190; Garson, 2012:
44). Field (2009, p. 942) recommended interp-
retation in terms of odds ratio as well. In this
respect, “exponential” values were calculated
for interpretation in Table 7.
In the interpretation of odds ratio, Field (2009:
786) referred to a resulting rate of increase
when the odds ratio is greater than 1 and a
resulting rate of decrease when the odds ratio
is smaller than 1. In this respect, examination
of Table 7 reveals that a unit increase in
students’ weekly course hours increases the
odds of having a high level attitude of
attendance by .056 units Looking at the odds
ratio of the weekly course hours variable, it
can be seen that it is equal to 1.058 – in other
words, larger than 1. This implies that a unit
increase in students’ weekly course hours
increases their attitude level towards
attendance by 1.06. It thus appears that
increasing the weekly course hours at school
is a factor that reduces student absenteeism. A
unit increase in students’ weekly hours of
absence, in turn, reduces the odds of having a
high level attitude of attendance by .379 units
An evaluation of the odds ratio of weekly
hours of absence shows that it is equal to .685
– in other words, smaller than 1 – and that a
unit increase in students’ weekly hours of
absence reduces the degree of having a high
level attitude regarding attendance by .69. As
such, students who had a high absence rate
Absenteeism Attitudes Of Universıty Students: Logistic Prediction Between Variables 179
were also those who had a lower tendency to
adopt a positive attitude towards attending
classes. Among the different variables
considered within the scope of the study, the
last variable that appeared to be significant
was satisfaction with the department. This is a
categorical variable, in which the category
“Fairly Satisfied” was chosen as the reference
category. In this case, being “Not Satisfied At
All” from the current department was
determined to be significant. In other words,
the odds of having a high attitude level
towards attendance among students who
were not satisfied at all from their current
departments were 1.526 times lower than
students who were satisfied with their
departments. The Odds ratio of the
satisfaction with the current department
variable was .217 – in other words, smaller
than 1 – and it is possible to say that the
attitudes towards attendance of students who
were not satisfied with their current
departments were .22 times lower compared
to satisfied students.
Pearson’s correlation coefficient
was calculated to analyze the relationship
between the CGPA (Cumulative Grade Point
Average) and the weekly hours of absence
variables with absenteeism attitude. It was
observed that there was a low, positive
correlation between Absenteeism Attitude
(AA) and Cumulative Grade Point Average
(CGPA) (r=.15), and a low negative correlation
between AA and Hours of Absence (HA) (r=-
.33). In addition, the correlation between
students’ hours of absence and their CGPA
was low and negative (r=-.19). These findings
indicate that greater hours of absence were
associated with lower cumulative grade point
average and that low cumulative grade point
average was associated with low attitude
towards attendance. Since cumulative grade
point average occurs after the behavior of
absenteeism, it was suggested that the
relationship between cumulative grade point
average and absenteeism attitude was due to
the mediation effect of hours of absence. Since
the necessary assumption for forming a
structural equation model to analyze the
mediation effect of the hours of absence were
not satisfied, the partial correlation coefficient
between CGPA and AA was estimated while
taking the hours of absence under control.
The estimated partial correlation coefficient
indicated that the relationship between CGPA
and AA was not significant (r=.09; p>.05)
when controlling the hours of absence. This
implies that the relationship between CGPA
and AA occurs through the mediation of the
hours of absence.
CONCLUSION, DISCUSSION AND
RECOMMENDATIONS
In this study, data on absenteeism at-
titudes obtained from students studying at
Cumhuriyet University during the 2013-2014
academic year were analyzed statistically.
Using two-stage clustering analysis,
absenteeism attitudes of students were sepa-
rated into three groups as low, medium and
high attitude level. Analysis results revealed
that students’ weekly course hours, weekly
hours of absence and satisfaction with the
current department variables had a significant
effect on the attitude towards absenteeism.
There are various studies in the litera-
ture on the variables that explain student ab-
senteeism. These studies evaluate the variab-
les associated with, or which can predict, exp-
lain or affect, the students’ academic achie-
vement. In other words, academic achieve-
ment was the main focus of these studies.
Hours of absence and satisfaction with the
current department are also among significant
variables that have an effect on students’ aca-
demic achievement.
In their study, Özer and Sarı (2009)
investigated the factors that affect university
students’ academic achievement. The study
concluded that an increase in the hours of
180
Hatice Gonca USTA & Celal Teyyar UĞURLU & Ahmet Salih UĞURLU
absence have a negative effect on academic
achievement. Rençber (2012) and Ullah (2007)
obtained similar results in their studies. Ac-
cording to the results of the current study,
there is a close relationship between academic
achievement and the degree of class attendan-
ce, while class attendance has a positive effect
on students’ academic achievement. Further-
more, Kablan (2009) determined that students
who do not believe that class attendance is
important for academic achievement are ab-
sent from school much more frequently,
which in turn leads to lower academic achie-
vement. However, in this study which took
absenteeism as the predicted variable, cumu-
lative grade point average was not found to
be a significant variable.
Satisfaction with the current depart-
ment is another variable which affects stu-
dents’ academic achievement. It is observed
that students who like the department they
are currently enrolled in are more successful
(Özer and Sarı, 2009). Investigating variables
that affect attitudes towards school, Adıgüzel
and Karadaş (2013) indicated that individuals
who have a low attitude towards school were
absent from school more frequently. This
study also concluded that students who were
not satisfied with their departments had a
higher absenteeism attitude compared to tho-
se who were satisfied with their departments.
Various studies (Belloc, Maruotti and
Petrella, 2010; Gury, 2011; Lassibille and
Gómez, 2008; Tinto, 1993) concluded that
students who start to university without a
genuine goal or who get enrolled to a prog-
ram they are not interested in have a higher
frequency of absence from school, which in
turn leads to a higher probability of dropping
out from school.
Considering all these, the results of
the study indicate that, apart from academic
achievement, it is rather important to identify
the factors which determine students’ attitu-
des towards absenteeism. According to the
results of this study, variables that affect atti-
tude towards absenteeism are weekly hours
of absence, weekly course hours and satisfac-
tion with the department.
Since one of the significant variables
affecting attitude towards absenteeism is we-
ekly hours of absence, class environments that
lead to less absenteeism can be created. Furt-
hermore, if students observe that class atten-
dance leads to greater academic achievement,
they may acquire a more positive attitude
towards attendance. In addition, weekly cour-
se hours is another variable that predicts ab-
senteeism attitude. It was observed that ha-
ving more weekly course hours lead to higher
attitudes towards attendance. This might be
associated with having a regular weekly class
schedule. As such, designing more continuous
class schedules in blocks on the weekdays
might serve as a factor that increases the ten-
dency to attend classes.
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