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A86045 Accoun,ng and Financial Repor,ng (2014/2015) Session 3 Financial Analysis Cont’d Paul G. Smith B.A., F.C.A.

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A86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng  (2014/2015)  

Session  3  Financial  Analysis  Cont’d  

Paul  G.  Smith  B.A.,  F.C.A.  

Course  Objec,ves  

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   2  

At  the  end  of  this  course  students  will  be  able  to:  •  Read  and  perform  a  high  level  interpreta2on  of  the  financial  statements  of  companies  applying  interna9onal  accoun9ng  standards  

•  Iden2fy  and  evaluate  the  impact  on  a  companies  accounts  of  alterna9ve  accoun9ng  methods  

•  Carry  out  a  high  level  assessment  of  the  the  economic-­‐  financial  posi9on  of  a  company  repor9ng  under  IAS/IFRS.  

Course  Overview  

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   3  

1.  Financial  repor,ng  under  IFRS   13.  Accounts  receivable  

2.  Financial  analysis  and  ra,os   14.  Inventories  

3.  Financial  analysis  and  ra,os  cont’d   15.  Review  

4.  Review   16.  Taxa,on  (direct  and  indirect)  

5.  Revenues   17.  Non-­‐financial  liabili,es  

6.  Costs  and  expenses   18.  Review  

7.  Intangible  assets   19.  Review  

8.  Tangible  assets   20.  Cash  Flow  Statement  

9.  Impairment  of  assets/Review   21.  Review  

10.  Financial  leases   22.  Group  accounts  

11.  Review   23.  Business  combina,ons  

12.  Non-­‐current  financial  assets/liabili,es   24.  Review  

Mid  term  test   Final  test  

SESSION  3  OVERVIEW  

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   4  

Session  3  Overview  

Mins  

Session  overview  and  objec,ves   5  

Review  of  pre-­‐work  and  session  2  recap   5  

Ra,o  analysis  –  Recap  Session  2   45  

Trend  analysis  –  Using  RA2   35  

Common  size  analysis  –  Using  RA1   35  

Required  reading  and  assignment  for  next  session   5  

Summary  and  valida,on,  overview  of  session  4   5  

135  

5  A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng  

Objec,ves  of  Session  3  

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   6  

At  the  end  of  this  session  session  students  will  be  able  to:  •  Apply  the  basic  techniques  of  financial  analysis  

•  Ra,o  analysis  •  Trend  analysis  •  Common  size  analysis  

•  Perform  a  high  level  assessment  of  a  company’s:  •  Profitability  •  Liquidity  •  Efficiency  •  Investment  

SESSION  2  RECAP  AND  PRE-­‐WORK  

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   7  

Session  2  summary  

•  Financial  analysis  •  Ra,o  analysis  – profitability  –  liquidity  – Efficiency  –  investment  

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   8  

Pre-­‐work  for  Session  3  

•  Using  the  Annual  Report  for  your  chosen  company  and  the  template  you  prepared  aber  session  1  complete  Research  Assignment  Template  RA2  and  perform  the  following:  – Prepare  a  three  year  trend  analysis  of  the  key  income  statement  and  two  year  balance  sheet  ra,os  as  per  the  template  provided.  

– Try  and  understand  from  the  Annual  Report  the  reasons  for  any  significant  fluctua,ons  

N.B.  This  will  be  the  basis  for  Session  3  A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  

Repor,ng   9  

RATIO  ANALYSIS    

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   10  

Ra,o  analysis  •  Profitability  

–  Gross  margin  –  Opera,ng  margin  –  Net  profit  margin  –  Return  on  capital  employed  (ROCE)  –  Return  on  equity  (ROE)  

•  Liquidity        –  Current  ra,o  –  Quick  ra,o  (acid  test)  

•  Efficiency  –  Asset  turnover  –  Inventory  turnover  /DOI  –  Accounts  receivable  turnover/DSO  –  Accounts  payable  turnover/DPO  

•  Investment  ra,os  –  Earnings  per  share  (EPS)  –  Price  earnings  ra,o  (P/E)  –  Dividend  cover  –  Dividend  yield  –  Capital  Gearing/Leverage  –  Interest  cover  

 

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   11  

Ra2os  are  useful  to  understand  a  company’s  situa2on.  However,  they  can  be  even  more  useful  if  we  compare  and  confront  them  both  over  2me  and  with  other  companies.  

Ra,o  analysis  –  Recap  Session  2  

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   12  

Company  Year  ended  

Income  Statement   €  millions   Statement  of  financial  posiBon   €  millions  Non-­‐current  assets  

Net  sales   Goodwill  Other  revenues       Intangible  assets  

Total  Revenues   0   Property,  plant  &  equipment  Cost  of  sales       Investments  

Gross  profit   0   Loans/advances  to  customers  Opera,ng  expenses   Deferred  taxes  Research  &  development   Other        Selling,  general  and  administra,ve  expenses   0  Other  income  (expense)       Current  assets  

Opera9ng  profit   0   Inventories/LT  contracts  Finance  income  (expense)   Trade  receivables  Share  of  result  of  JVs  and  associated  companies       Loans  /advances  to  customers  

Pre-­‐tax  income   0   Other  current  assets  Income  tax       Short-­‐term  investments  

Net  profit  con9nuing  opera9ons   0   Cash  Discon,nued  opera,ons   Assets  held  for  disposal      

Net  profit   0   0  

Total  assets   0  

Current  liabiliBes  Short-­‐term  borrowings  Trade  payables  Consumer  credit  finance  Income  taxes  Provisions  Other  current  liabili,es  Liabili,es  held  for  disposal      

0  Non-­‐current  liabiliBes  Long-­‐term  borrowings  Provisions  Pensions  and  employee  benefits  Consumer  credit  finance  Other        

0  Shareholders'  equity  Total  equity  and  liabili,es   0  

Session  3  SM  1  Ra,o  analysis  Europe’s  Top  50  Companies  

 

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   13  

For  your  chosen  company,  compare  with  your    classifica,on  of  the  input  data  and  the  calcula,ons  of  the  ra,os.    Bring  any  ques,ons  to  our  next  Review  Session  

TREND  ANALYSIS  

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   14  

Trend  analysis  •  Profitability  

–  Gross  margin  –  Opera,ng  margin  –  Net  profit  margin  –  Return  on  capital  employed  (ROCE)  –  Return  on  equity  (ROE)  

•  Liquidity        –  Current  ra,o  –  Quick  ra,o  (acid  test)  

•  Efficiency  –  Asset  turnover  –  Inventory  turnover  /DOI  –  Accounts  receivable  turnover/DSO  –  Accounts  payable  turnover/DPO  

•  Investment  ra,os  –  Earnings  per  share  (EPS)  –  Price  earnings  ra,o  (P/E)  –  Dividend  cover  –  Dividend  yield  –  Capital  Gearing/Leverage  –  Interest  cover  

 

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   15  

Ask  students,  using  their  pre-­‐work  RA  2  Template  to  comment  on  the  trends  for  each  ra2o  for  the  last  two/three  years  and  any  rela2onships/trends  that  emerge.  

2013    2012    2011  

SM  2  Company  summaries  

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   16  

RA2$Research$assignment$template$

A86045$Accounting$and$Financiakl$Reporting Paul$G.$Smith

Research$assignment$templateCompany$Siemens %$Change %$Change %$Change

On$PY 2013 On$PY 2012 2011 On$PY 2013 2012Income.Statement Statement.of.financial.position €$millions €$millions

€$millions €$millions €$millions Non5current.assetsNet$sales G2% 75,882 7% 77,395 72,526 Goodwill 5% 17,883 17,069Other$revenues #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Intangible$assets 10% 5,057 4,595

Total&revenues G2% 75,882 7% 77,395 72,526 Property,$plant$&$equipment G9% 9,815 10,763Cost$of$sales G1% (55,053) 10% (55,470) (50,619) Investments G32% 3,022 4,436

Gross&profit G5% 20,829 0% 21,925 21,907 Other$financial$assets 3% 15,117 14,666Operating$expenses Deferred$taxes G14% 3,234 3,748Research$&$development (4,291) (4,245) (3,903) Other$ 3% 871 846Selling,$general$and$administrative$expenses 2% (11,286) 9% (11,043) (10,146) G2% 54,999 56,123Depreciation,$ammortization$and$provisions #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Current.assetsOther$income$(expense) G52% 76 193% 158 54 Inventories/LongGterm$contracts G1% 15,560 15,679

Operating&profit G22% 5,328 G14% 6,795 7,912 Trade$receivables G2% 14,853 15,220Finance$income$(expense) G97% 5 G75% 174 705 Other$financial$assets 12% 3,250 2,901Share$of$result$of$associated$companies G253% 510 G328% (333) 146 Other$current$assets G1% 2,091 2,113

Pre4tax&profit G12% 5,843 G24% 6,636 8,763 ShortGterm$investments 15% 600 524Income$tax G18% (1,630) G7% (1,994) (2,137) Cash G16% 9,190 10,891

Net&profit&continuing&operations G9% 4,213 G30% 4,642 6,626 Assets$held$for$disposal G71% 1,393 4,799Discontinued$operations G155% 197 G50% (360) (727) G10% 46,937 52,127

Net&profit 3% 4,410 G27% 4,282 5,899Total$assets G6% 101,936 108,250

ProfitabilityGross$margin 27% 28% 30% Current.liabilitiesOperating$margin 7% 9% 11% ShortGterm$Borrowings G49% 1,944 3,826Net$profit$margin 6% 6% 8% Trade$payables G5% 7,599 8,036Return$on$equity 15% 14% Other$financial$liabilities 4% 1,515 1,460Return$on$Capital$employed$(ROCE) 11% 14% Income$taxes G2% 2,151 2,204

Provisions G6% 4,485 4,750Liquidity Other$current$liabilities G3% 19,701 20,302Current$ratio 1.2 1.2 Liabilities$held$for$disposal G77% 473 2,049Quick$ratio 0.8 0.9 G11% 37,868 42,627

Non5current.liabilitiesEfficiency.ratios LongGterm$Borrowings 10% 18,509 16,880Asset$Turnover 1.4 1.4 Provisions 0% 3,907 3,908Inventory$holding$period$(DOI) 103 103 Other$financial$liabilities 9% 1,184 1,083Inventory$turnover 3.5 3.5 Pensions$and$employee$benefits G5% 9,265 9,801Trade$receivables$collection$period$(DSO) 71.4 71.8 Other$ 2% 2,578 2,528Trade$payable$payment$period$(DPO) 50.4 52.9 35,443 34,200

Shareholders'$equity G9% 28,625 31,423Investment.ratios Total$equity$and$liabilities G6% 101,936 108,250Earnings$per$share$(EPS) 5.30 4.74 4.74Price$Earnings$ratio$(P/E) 16.8 16.4Dividend$cover 1.77 1.58 Number$of$shares$outstanding 0% 881,000,000 881,000,000Dividend$yield 3% 4% Share$price 15% 89.06 77.61Debt/Equity$ratio$(Gearing) 0.4 0.3 Market$capitalization 15% 78,462 68,374Interest$cover (1,065.6) (39.1) (11.2) Dividend$per$share 0% 3.00 3.00

OtherEffective$tax$rate 28% 30% 24%R&D$as$a$%$of$revenues 6% 5% 5%Intangibles$as$a$%$of$total$assets 23% 20%Intangibles$as$a$%$of$equity 80% 69%

NB..In.the.income.statement.insert.negaEve.numbers.with.a.minus.sign.

COMMON  SIZE  ANALYSIS  

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   17  

Common  size  analysis  •  Profitability  

–  Gross  margin  –  Opera,ng  margin  –  Net  profit  margin  –  Return  on  capital  employed  (ROCE)  –  Return  on  equity  (ROE)  

•  Liquidity        –  Current  ra,o  –  Quick  ra,o  (acid  test)  

•  Efficiency  –  Asset  turnover  –  Inventory  turnover  /DOI  –  Accounts  receivable  turnover/DSO  –  Accounts  payable  turnover/DPO  

•  Investment  ra,os  –  Earnings  per  share  (EPS)  –  Price  earnings  ra,o  (P/E)  –  Dividend  cover  –  Dividend  yield  –  Capital  Gearing/Leverage  –  Interest  cover  

 

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   18  

Use  Session  3  SM  2  Common  Size  Ra2o    Analysis  to  review  the  latest  year’s  raBos  for  each  of  the  companies  selected  by  the  students  

Company  1    Company  2    Company  3  

Session  3  SM  3  Common  size  analysis  

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   19  

Session'3'SM'2'Common'size'analysis

A86045'Accounting'and'Financial'Reporting Paul'G.'Smith

Siem

ens

Novartis

Vodafone

'

Telefonica

Shell

BP ENI

BG'Group

Total

LVMH

L'Oreal

Nestlé

Unilever

Inditex

H&M

Volksw

agen

BMW

BNP'Parib

as

HSBC

Rio'Tinto'

RatiosProfitabilityGross'Margin 27% 68% 31% 0% 22% 21% 28% 85% 29% 66% 71% 48% 41% 59% 59% 18% 18% 68% 83% 82%Operating'margin 7% 19% \4% 17% 6% 8% 8% 19% 10% 20% 16% 14% 15% 18% 17% 6% 6% 14% 28% 15%Net'profit'margin 11% 16% 2% 9% 4% 6% 4% 13% 5% 14% 13% 11% 11% 14% 13% 5% 7% 9% 25% 2%Return'on'capital'employed'(ROCE) 9% 7% 0% 4% 5% 8% 4% 3% 5% 7% 9% 9% 12% 17% 26% 3% 7% 0% 1% 1%Return'on'equity 15% 12% 1% 18% 9% 18% 8% 7% 12% 14% 13% 16% 36% 26% 38% 10% 27% 6% 9% 2%LiquidityCurrent'ratio 1.24 1.16 0.75 1.00 1.11 1.33 1.44 1.72 1.37 1.37 1.42 0.91 0.70 1.95 2.25 1.03 1.07 0.85 0.77 1.45Quick'ratio 0.83 0.88 0.73 0.97 0.79 0.93 1.19 1.61 1.01 0.64 1.09 0.66 0.47 1.47 1.29 0.79 0.80 0.85 0.77 1.08EfficiencyAsset'turnover 1.38 0.46 0.31 0.48 1.26 1.24 0.82 0.29 0.99 0.52 0.73 0.77 1.09 1.22 1.96 0.97 0.63 0.03 0.03 0.46Inventory'holding'period'(DOI) 103 135 5 31 36 37 101 48 312 119 64 49 90 116 65 58 0 0 222Inventory'turnover 3.54 7.97 98.77 57.93 15.04 12.97 13.37 22.90 10.71 3.39 10.64 10.99 12.65 9.97 7.70 6.88 6.72 8.92Trade'receivables'collection'(DSO) 60 52 64 51 43 32 76 109 30 23 43 40 30 15 7 21 74 0 0 28Trade'payables'payment'(DPO) 62 114 194 72 58 103 681 65 120 185 122 146 179 34 41 45 0 0 325Investment8ratiosEarning'per'share 5.3 3.76 0.87 1.01 2.60 123.87 1.42 64.8 3.73 6.87 5.13 3.14 1.71 3.81 10.36 18.63 8.10 3.69 0.84 198Price'earnings'ratio'P/E 16.80 18.94 214.48 11.72 27.41 17.46 12.68 0.20 11.94 19.30 24.89 20.57 37.40 29.06 26.83 10.96 10.52 15.35 13.08 0.28Dividend'cover 1.77 1.53 0.09 2.89 1.44 5.29 1.29 2.25 1.57 2.29 2.05 1.46 1.63 1.57 1.09 4.66 3.09 2.46 1.75 1.03Dividend'yield 3% 3% 5% 3% 3% 1% 6% 221% 5% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 4% 340%Debt/Equity'ratio'(Gearing) 0.65 0.15 0.40 1.86 0.20 0.31 0.31 0.53 0.33 0.15 0.00 0.16 0.51 0.00 0.00 1.46 0.78 0.00 0.00 0.46Interest'cover 1,170'' 13 1 1 19 19 13 33 31 28 93 21 12 169 64 3 16 0OtherEffective'tax'rate 28% 13% 79% 21% 51% 21% 64% 43% 56% 31% 26% 24% 26% 22% 24% 26% 33% 34% 21% 69%Intangibles'as'%'Total'Assets 23% 47% 37% 35% 1% 11% 3% 6% 8% 38% 29% 36% 46% 6% 3% 0% 18% 1% 1% 6%Intangibles'as'%'of'Equity 80% 79% 72% 153% 2% 26% 7% 12% 18% 77% 40% 68% 141% 9% 5% 0% 65% 14% 16% 13%R&D'as'%'of'Revenues 6% 17% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

N:B:  Even  though  all  these  companies  are  of  varying  sizes  and  the  underlying  data  is  in  the  repor9ng  currency  of  each  of  the  companies  i.e  €,  $,  £,  CHF,  SEK,  they  can  easily  be  compared  using  these  ra9os  

SUMMARY,  VALIDATION  AND  PRE-­‐WORK  SESSION  4  

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   20  

Sessions  1-­‐3  Summary  

•  The  4  basic  financial  statements,  presenta,on  op,ons  and  basic  underlying  assump,ons  

•  Linkages  between  the  financial  statements  •  Basic  bookkeeping  •  Financial  analysis,  ra,o  analysis,  common  size  analysis  and  trend  analysis  

•  Importance  of  industry  context  and  understanding  

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   21  

Session  Valida,on  

•  Name  the  4  financial  statements  required  by  IFRS  and  the  presenta,on  op,ons  available  for  each  of  these  

•  What  is  meant  by  a  company’s  “Gearing”  ra,o?  

•  What  is  the  defini,on  of  a  current  asset  or  current  liability?  

•  What  is  “DSO”  and  what  is  the  op,mum  DSO  for  a  company?  

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   22  

Overview  of  Session  4  

•  In  Session  4  we  will  Review  what  we  have  done  so  far  

•  Work  through  the  examples  that  have  been  provided  for  your  chosen  company  and  come  prepared  with  ques,ons  for  anything  that  you  don’t  understand.  

•  We  will  use  some  addi,onal  companies  to  understand  some  industry  differences  

A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   23  

Required  Reading  Recap  

•  Reading  – Melville  

•  Chapter  3  –  Presenta,on  of  Financial  Statements  •  Chapter  9  –  Accoun,ng  policies,  accoun,ng  es,mates  and  errors  

•  Chapter  22  -­‐  Ra,o  Analysis  

–  IFRS    •  IAS  1Presenta,on  of  Financial  Statements  •  IASB  Technical  summaries  IAS  8,  IFRS  5,  IFRS  8,  IAS  10,  IAS  20,  IAS  21,  IAS  24,  IAS  33,  IAS  34    

  A  86045  Accoun,ng  and  Financial  Repor,ng   24