A3M Mexico 8-13 for Publication

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    Permanently Installed Guided Wave

    Pipeline Monitoring

    A. Galvagni and A. Demma

    Implementacion de sistemas de monitoreo

    adentro de los planes de integridad

    Mexico 22/8/2013

    Alessandro Demma

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    A3Monitoring

    Monitoring

    ReducedRisk

    Reducedcost

    Improved

    performance

    Codecompliance

    Asseteasily

    managed

    Companyimage

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    Implementation of monitoring

    Integritystudy

    Identify threatand target area

    Feasibilitymonitoring

    Select sensors+ parameters

    Statisticalanalysis

    DataFusion

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    Target areas ID by RBI or similar methodology

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    Define critical defect size

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    Feasibility

    Which type of sensor could detect damage?UT

    GW long range

    GW short range

    AE

    Fibre optics

    Etc..

    How many sensors?

    How frequent data gathering?

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    Both bare and buried pipes

    3 inches and above

    Temp from -10C to 120C

    Mobile comms

    .

    UT monitoring on bare and buried pipes

    Buried

    Buried

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    UT monitoring high temp

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    Long Range Guided Wave Monitoring

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    the GW sensor transmits a

    torsional wave packetalong the pipe

    Corrosion

    Patch

    damage, such as corrosion patches, cracks, etc.,

    reflect a portion of the transmitted wave packet

    back to the GW sensor in proportion to its cross-section

    Weld

    Cap

    other pipeline features, such as flanges,

    weld caps, supports, etc., also reflect a portion ofthe transmitted wave packet back to the GW sensor

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    Long range GW Monitoring

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    Short Range Guided Wave

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    Inspection vs Monitoring

    Inspection concentrates on coveringmany areas

    Monitoring concentrates on inspection of

    critical or high risk/consequence areas

    Monitoring can provide better sensitivity,

    reliability and efficiency if appropriately

    used

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    GWhow to use multiple readings

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    call level is 6dB above noise, but at features call level is undefined

    1.0%

    Sensitivity

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    Multiple Readings

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    several readings are collected from each GW sensor

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    Maximize monitoring benefit

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    Data shown here after compensation. When do you say that a change is relevant?

    For example the point at 600 days is acceptable or not? We deal with this previously

    unresolved challenge. Algorithm works also at supports, welds and bends. Here weld example

    ?

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    Statistical Analysis

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    future samples outside change

    thresholds is inconsistent with

    baselines, i.e. CHANGE

    future samples inside no changethresholds is consistent with

    baselines, i.e. NO CHANGE

    other future samples cannot be

    classified, i.e.

    MORE SAMPLES NEEDED

    We can say if a change is relevant or not with assigned confidence value

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    Sequential Analysis

    17Guided Wave Pipeline Monitoring

    What influences change / no change thresholds?

    1. Number & quality of baseline samples. Environmental compensation reduce baseline point variance, tightens thresholds.

    2. False call & detection probabilities. Lower false call probabilities widen thresholds.

    Higher detection probabilities tighten thresholds.

    3. Number of current samples available.

    More samples represent more evidence and tighten thresholds.

    new current

    samples

    o

    2% detection

    target

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    Sequential Analysis

    18Guided Wave Pipeline Monitoring

    What influences change / no change thresholds?

    1. Number & quality of baseline samples. Environmental compensation reduce baseline point variance, tightens thresholds.

    2. False call & detection probabilities. Lower false call probabilities widen thresholds.

    Higher detection probabilities tighten thresholds.

    3. Number of current samples available.

    More samples represent more evidence and tighten thresholds.

    new current

    samples

    o o

    2% detection

    target

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    Sequential Analysis

    19Guided Wave Pipeline Monitoring

    What influences change / no change thresholds?

    1. Number & quality of baseline samples. Environmental compensation reduce baseline point variance, tightens thresholds.

    2. False call & detection probabilities. Lower false call probabilities widen thresholds.

    Higher detection probabilities tighten thresholds.

    3. Number of current samples available.

    More samples represent more evidence and tighten thresholds.

    new current

    samples

    o o o

    2% detection

    target

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    3. Number of current samples available.

    More samples represent more evidence and tighten thresholds.

    20 Current Samplesnow possible to detect target!

    Sequential Analysis

    20Guided Wave Pipeline Monitoring

    What influences change / no change thresholds?

    1. Number & quality of baseline samples. Environmental compensation reduce baseline point variance, tightens thresholds.

    2. False call & detection probabilities. Lower false call probabilities widen thresholds.

    Higher detection probabilities tighten thresholds.

    2% detection

    target

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    A3Monitoring Software analysis

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    Here there was a defect 0.75%

    cross section loss

    shieldCube automatically highlights zones of concern along the pipeline and reports the

    estimated cross-sectional area loss rate, subject to:The desired confidence level.The

    minimum cross-sectional area loss rate that is acceptable.

    The algorithms of shieldCube guided wave monitoring have been extensively field

    tested.It has been proven during field trials that:For a given number of readings,shieldCube maximises the probability of detecting damage and corrosion.shieldCube

    can predict in advance the minimum loss rate that can be detected within a given period

    of time and with a given number of readings.

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    A3Monitoring Software analysis online

    22

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    shieldCube Thickness Monitoring

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    shieldCube Thickness Monitoring

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    shieldCube Thickness Monitoring

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    shieldCube Thickness Monitoring

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    shieldCube Thickness Monitoring

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    shieldCube Data Fusion

    The data fusion concept stems from the recognition that

    corrosion monitoring must rely on many different tools.

    As in medical science, no single test can diagnose all

    possible

    Tools include:

    Non-Intrusive Sensors

    UT, LRGW, SRGW, etc.

    Intrusive Sensors

    ER, LPR, Coupons, ILI, etc.

    Corrosion Models

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    Data Fusion is achieved by combining the effectdifferent measurements have on the PDFs at eachnode.

    Data Fusion

    imagine associatingprobability density functionsto each node

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    The result is a heat map of the most likely corrosionrate, remaining wall thickness and pit depth at allpositions along the pipe, leveraging on all theinformation from sensors and models.

    Data Fusion

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    How do you manage visually the monitoringinformation?