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A turning point in adjuvant A turning point in adjuvant therapy:therapy:Optimizing use of aromatase Optimizing use of aromatase inhibitorsinhibitors
P PronzatoP Pronzato
GenovaGenova
Invasive Breast Cancer by Age Invasive Breast Cancer by Age and ER-PR status. (Year 1998)and ER-PR status. (Year 1998)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
20-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+
Perc
en
tag
e
ER-/PR- ER+/PR+ Other
Li CL et al. J Clin Oncol 2003, 1:28
Mortalità per cancro negli ultimi 50 Mortalità per cancro negli ultimi 50 annianni
EBCTCG, Lancet 2005
Anastrozole or Letrozole or Exemestane
Tam +/-LHRHa or AI
+ LHRHa
UPFRONT or
SWITCH How long?
Tam +/-LHRHa or AI
+ LHRHa
UPFRONT or
SWITCH How long?
Anastrozole or Letrozole or Exemestane
OptimizationOptimization
Premenopause (+ LHRHa)Premenopause (+ LHRHa) Upfront vs early switchUpfront vs early switch Duration after switchDuration after switch Which AIWhich AI Selection of ptsSelection of pts
Tumor characteristicsTumor characteristics Pt CharacteristicsPt Characteristics
The Intergroup Exemestane The Intergroup Exemestane Study (IES): Mature AnalysisStudy (IES): Mature Analysis
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
Pro
bab
ility
of
Ove
rall
Su
rviv
al
WeeksOS, overall survival.
Kaufmann, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2000;18:1399-1411.
All end points, including OS, successfully acheived All end points, including OS, successfully acheived in advanced breast cancer in advanced breast cancer
Exemestane Is Effective Exemestane Is Effective After Prior TamoxifenAfter Prior Tamoxifen
Exemestane
P-value
0.039
E
Not Reached
M
123.4 weeks
Megestrol acetateMedian survivalMedian survival
Exemestane as Initial Therapy for MBC: Randomized Exemestane as Initial Therapy for MBC: Randomized EORTC Phase II/III TrialEORTC Phase II/III Trial
ExemestaneExemestane TamoxifenTamoxifen
PFS mediana PFS mediana (mesi)(mesi)
9.9 9.9 5.85.8
% PFS a 6 % PFS a 6 mesimesi
66%66% 49%49%
% PFS a 12 % PFS a 12 mesimesi
42%42% 31%31%
Risposte Risposte ObiettiveObiettive
46%46% 31%31%
Clinical Clinical BenefitBenefit
66%66% 49%49%
R Paridaens, ASCO 2004R Paridaens, ASCO 2004
10-Year Follow-up: Long-Term Efficacy 10-Year Follow-up: Long-Term Efficacy of of ~2 Years of Adjuvant Tamoxifen~2 Years of Adjuvant Tamoxifen
Early Breast Cancer Trialists’ Collaborative Group. Lancet. 1998;351:1451-1467.
00 10+10+55
4040
2020
00
8080
6060
100100
ControlControl
TamoxifenTamoxifen~ 2 years~ 2 years
ControlControl
TamoxifenTamoxifen~ 2 years~ 2 years
YearsYears
Node -Node -
Node +Node +
Node – : 2.3% Node – : 2.3% SDSD 1.3: 2p = 0.06 1.3: 2p = 0.06Node + : 7.2% Node + : 7.2% SDSD 1.2: 2p < 0.00001 1.2: 2p < 0.00001
69.7%69.7%
48.2%48.2%
74.3%74.3%
55.4%55.4%
88.9%88.9%
76.8%76.8%
90.6%90.6%
79.0%79.0%
00 10+10+55
4040
2020
00
8080
6060
100100
ControlControl
TamoxifenTamoxifen~ 2 years~ 2 years
ControlControl
TamoxifenTamoxifen~ 2 years~ 2 years
(%)
(%)
YearsYears
Node -Node -
Node +Node +
Node – : 5.6% Node – : 5.6% SDSD 1.3: 2p < 0.00001 1.3: 2p < 0.00001Node + : 10.0% Node + : 10.0% SDSD 1.2: 2p < 0.00001 1.2: 2p < 0.00001
51.4%51.4%
39.5%39.5%
63.5%63.5%
49.5%49.5%
81.4%81.4%
72.6%72.6%
87.1%87.1%
78.2%78.2%
Recurrence as Recurrence as first eventfirst event
MortalityMortality
(%)
(%)
Results of the Results of the Intergroup Exemestane Study (IES)Intergroup Exemestane Study (IES)
TAMOXIFENTAMOXIFEN
ExemestaneExemestane(n=2352)(n=2352)
TamoxifenTamoxifen(n=2372)(n=2372)
RRAANNDDOOMMI I ZZEE
Post Post Treatment Treatment Follow-upFollow-up
2-3 years2-3 years study
treatment
Diagnosis Start of study
Total 5 years endocrine therapy
IES Trial DesignIES Trial Design
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
• 56 months median follow-up 56 months median follow-up • Over 99% of patients have completed treatmentOver 99% of patients have completed treatment
More than 2 years of post-treatment
follow-up
IES: The Pivotal Study of Switching IES: The Pivotal Study of Switching Adjuvant Therapy in Breast CancerAdjuvant Therapy in Breast Cancer
• Double-blind, prospective randomized trialDouble-blind, prospective randomized trial
• 4724 patients*4724 patients*
• 20 cooperative groups 20 cooperative groups
• 37 countries37 countries
• 366 centers366 centers
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
*Intent-to-treat (ITT) population
IES Eligibility CriteriaIES Eligibility Criteria
• Key inclusion criteria:Key inclusion criteria:– 2 to 3 years of adjuvant tamoxifen therapy2 to 3 years of adjuvant tamoxifen therapy– ER-positive or unknown breast cancerER-positive or unknown breast cancer– Confirmed postmenopausal statusConfirmed postmenopausal status– Previous chemotherapy permittedPrevious chemotherapy permitted
• Key exclusion criteria:Key exclusion criteria:– Known ER-negative statusKnown ER-negative status– Clinical evidence of local relapse or distant Clinical evidence of local relapse or distant
metastasesmetastases– Osteoporosis and/or osteoporotic fracturesOsteoporosis and/or osteoporotic fractures
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
IES Study End PointsIES Study End Points
Primary end point:Primary end point: • Disease-free survival (DFS), Disease-free survival (DFS), defined as:defined as:
• Breast cancer recurrence (local or distant)Breast cancer recurrence (local or distant)• Contralateral breast cancerContralateral breast cancer• Death from any cause Death from any cause
Secondary end points:Secondary end points:• Overall survival (OS)Overall survival (OS)• Contralateral breast cancerContralateral breast cancer• Long-term tolerability and safety Long-term tolerability and safety
Additional end points:Additional end points:• Breast Cancer Free Survival (BCFS)Breast Cancer Free Survival (BCFS)• Time To Distant Recurrence (TTDR)Time To Distant Recurrence (TTDR)
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
IES Patient Demographics IES Patient Demographics ExemestaneExemestane
(n=2352)(n=2352)
TamoxifenTamoxifen
(n=2372)(n=2372)
Median Age - years, n (range)Median Age - years, n (range) 63.9 (38.2 – 96.1)63.9 (38.2 – 96.1) 63.8 (31.7 – 90.6)63.8 (31.7 – 90.6)
Nodal StatusNodal Status
NegativeNegative 51.7 %51.7 % 51.9 %51.9 %
PositivePositive 44.6 %44.6 % 43.8 %43.8 %
Missing/UnknownMissing/Unknown 3.7 %3.7 % 4.3 %4.3 %
Prior ChemotherapyPrior Chemotherapy
YesYes 32.9 %32.9 % 32.4 %32.4 %
NoNo 67.1 %67.1 % 67.6 %67.6 %
Receptor StatusReceptor Status
ER + & PR +ER + & PR + 57.0 %57.0 % 56.0 %56.0 %
ER + & PR - / UnknownER + & PR - / Unknown 29.0 %29.0 % 29.2 %29.2 %
ER & PR Unknown ER & PR Unknown 11.7 %11.7 % 12.0 %12.0 %
ER - ER - 2.4 %2.4 % 2.8 %2.8 %
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
Efficacy in the Intergroup Efficacy in the Intergroup Exemestane Study (IES) Exemestane Study (IES)
Does Exemestane Improve Does Exemestane Improve Disease-Free Survival?Disease-Free Survival?
En
d o
ftreatm
ent
0
10
2030
40
50
60
7080
90
100
0 1 2 3 4 5
Time since randomization (years)
% s
urv
ivin
g d
isease f
ree
Intent to Treat
HR = 0.76HR = 0.76
95% CI (0.66 – 0.88)95% CI (0.66 – 0.88)
PP-value-value 0.00010.0001
354 events2352 at risk
454 events2372 at risk
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
Exemestane
Tamoxifen
2.5 years2.5 years
3.2 (1.6 – 4.9)3.2 (1.6 – 4.9)
5 years5 years
3.4 (0.1 – 6.8)3.4 (0.1 – 6.8)% absolute difference (95% CI)% absolute difference (95% CI)
Does Exemestane ImproveDoes Exemestane ImproveDisease-Free Survival?Disease-Free Survival?
HR = 0.75HR = 0.75
95% CI (0.65 – 0.87)95% CI (0.65 – 0.87)
PP-value-value 0.00010.0001
En
d o
ftreatm
ent
0
10
20
30
4050
60
70
80
90
100
0 1 2 3 4 5
Time since randomization (years)
% s
urv
ivin
g d
isease f
ree
ER+/Unknown Patients
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
339 events2296 at risk
Exemestane
Tamoxifen438 events2306 at risk
2.5 years2.5 years
3.4 (1.8 – 5.1)3.4 (1.8 – 5.1)
5 years5 years
3.5 (0.1 – 6.9)3.5 (0.1 – 6.9)% absolute difference (95% CI)% absolute difference (95% CI)
Does Exemestane Improve Does Exemestane Improve Disease-Free Survival? Disease-Free Survival?
En
d o
ftreatm
ent
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0 1 2 3 4 5
Time since randomization (years)
Cu
mu
lati
ve R
ate
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
Annual Hazard Rate, % (95% CI)Annual Hazard Rate, % (95% CI)
ExemestaneExemestane 2.5 (1.9, 3.2)2.5 (1.9, 3.2) 3.0 (2.3, 3.8)3.0 (2.3, 3.8) 4.1 (3.3, 5.0)4.1 (3.3, 5.0) 4.0 (3.1, 5.0)4.0 (3.1, 5.0) 4.4 (3.4, 5.9)4.4 (3.4, 5.9)
TamoxifenTamoxifen 3.6 (2.9, 4.4)3.6 (2.9, 4.4) 4.7 (3.9, 5.8)4.7 (3.9, 5.8) 5.0 (4.1, 6.1)5.0 (4.1, 6.1) 4.2 (3.3, 5.3)4.2 (3.3, 5.3) 4.6 (3.4, 6.0)4.6 (3.4, 6.0)
354 events2352 at risk
454 events2372 at risk
Exemestane
Tamoxifen
Intent to Treat, Cumulative Hazard Rate
En
d o
ftreatm
ent
ER+/Unknown, Cumulative Hazard Rate
Exemestane
Tamoxifen438 events2306 at risk
339 events2296 at risk
Does Exemestane ImproveDoes Exemestane ImproveDisease-Free Survival? Disease-Free Survival?
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0 1 2 3 4 5
Time since randomization (years)
Cu
mu
lati
ve R
ate
Does Exemestane Reduce First Events?Does Exemestane Reduce First Events?
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Nu
mb
er o
f F
irst
Eve
nts
Local Local RecurrenceRecurrence
Contralateral Contralateral Breast CancerBreast Cancer
Distant Distant RecurrenceRecurrence
TamoxifenTamoxifenExemestaneExemestane
Intercurrent Intercurrent DeathsDeaths
6868
256256
214214
35351818
95957373
4949
Is Exemestane Consistent Across Is Exemestane Consistent Across Subgroups for DFS?Subgroups for DFS?
0.74 (0.58, 0.95)0.71 (0.59, 0.84)
0.74 (0.62, 0.89)0.76 (0.61, 0.95)
0.75 (0.64, 0.87)0.79 (0.55, 1.14)
0.76 (0.63, 0.92)0.74 (0.60, 0.92)
0.79 (0.61, 1.03)0.68 (0.54, 0.85)0.83 (0.64, 1.07)
0.74 (0.64, 0.85)
Coombes, ASCO 2006.CT, chemotherapy; *Adjusted for nodal status, chemotherapy use, & HRT use.
Hazard ratio (95% CI)0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2
DFS (Adjusted)*
Age >70 yrs (1153) Age 60-69 yrs (1969)
Age <60 yrs (1480)
Prior tam >2.5 yrs (1838) Prior tam <=2.5 yrs (2764)
ER unknown (560) ER positive (4042)
Previous CT (1499) No previous CT (3103)
Nodes positive (2038) Nodes negative (2384)
P<0.0001
HR (95% CI)
Favors TamoxifenFavors Exemestane
ER+/UnknownER+/Unknown
How Does Exemestane Impact How Does Exemestane Impact Different Efficacy End Points?Different Efficacy End Points?
Favors TamoxifenFavors Exemestane
Hazard ratio (95% CI)
ITT (E=20, T=35)
Time to Contralateral BC
ER+/UNK (E=238, T=285)
Time to Distant Recurrence
Breast Cancer-Free Survival
Disease-Free Survival
0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2
ER+/UNK (E=20, T=35)
ITT (E=249, T=297)
ITT (E=354, T=454)
ITT (E=289, T=374)
ER+/UNK (E=277, T=361)
ER+/UNK (E=339, T=438) 0.75 (0.65, 0.87)
0.75 (0.64, 0.87)
0.82 (0.69, 0.98)
0.56 (0.33, 0.98)
0.76 (0.66, 0.88)
0.76 (0.65, 0.88)
0.83 (0.70, 0.98)
0.57 (0.33, 0.98)
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
HR (95% CI)
Does Exemestane Improve Does Exemestane Improve Overall Survival?Overall Survival?
En
d o
ftreatm
ent
0
10
20
30
4050
60
70
80
90
100
0 1 2 3 4 5
Time since randomization (years)
Wo
men
ali
ve (
%)
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
HR = 0.85HR = 0.85
95% CI (0.71 – 1.02)95% CI (0.71 – 1.02)
PP value value 0.080.08
222 events2352 at risk
Exemestane
261 events2372 at risk
Tamoxifen
2.5 years2.5 years
0.8 (-0.4 – 1.9)0.8 (-0.4 – 1.9)
5 years5 years
1.2 (-1.5 – 3.9)1.2 (-1.5 – 3.9)% absolute difference (95% CI)% absolute difference (95% CI)
Intent to Treat
Does Exemestane Improve Does Exemestane Improve Overall Survival?Overall Survival?
En
d o
ftreatm
ent
0
1020
3040
50
6070
8090
100
0 1 2 3 4 5
Time since randomization (years)
Wo
men
ali
ve (
%)
HR = 0.83HR = 0.83
95% CI (0.69 – 1.00)95% CI (0.69 – 1.00)
PP-value-value 0.050.05
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
ER+/Unknown
2.5 years2.5 years
0.7 (-0.4 – 1.9)0.7 (-0.4 – 1.9)
5 years5 years
1.6 (-1.2 – 4.3)1.6 (-1.2 – 4.3)% absolute difference (95% CI)% absolute difference (95% CI)
210 events2296 at risk
Exemestane
251 events2306 at risk
Tamoxifen
Does Exemestane Improve Does Exemestane Improve Overall Survival?Overall Survival?
En
d o
ftreatm
ent
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
0 1 2 3 4 5
Time since randomization (years)
Cu
mu
lati
ve R
ate
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
Annual Hazard Rate, % (95% CI)Annual Hazard Rate, % (95% CI)
ExemestaneExemestane 0.8 (0.5, 1.2)0.8 (0.5, 1.2) 1.8 (1.3, 2.5)1.8 (1.3, 2.5) 2.2 (1.6, 2.9)2.2 (1.6, 2.9) 3.6 (2.8, 4.5)3.6 (2.8, 4.5) 2.3 (1.6, 3.4)2.3 (1.6, 3.4)
TamoxifenTamoxifen 1.0 (0.7, 1.5)1.0 (0.7, 1.5) 2.4 (1.8, 3.1)2.4 (1.8, 3.1) 2.5 (2.0, 3.3)2.5 (2.0, 3.3) 3.2 (2.5, 4.1)3.2 (2.5, 4.1) 2.9 (2.1, 4.1)2.9 (2.1, 4.1)
Exemestane222 events2352 at risk
Tamoxifen261 events2372 at risk
Intent to Treat, Cumulative Hazard Rate
Does Exemestane Improve Does Exemestane Improve Overall Survival?Overall Survival?
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
En
d o
ftreatm
ent
ER+/Unknown, Cumulative Hazard Rate
210 events2296 at risk
Exemestane
251 events2306 at risk
Tamoxifen
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
0 1 2 3 4 5
Time since randomization (years)
Cu
mu
lati
ve R
ate
IES Efficacy SummaryIES Efficacy Summary**
• Death: 17% (Death: 17% (PP=0.05)=0.05)17% (17% (PP=0.04), adjusted=0.04), adjusted
• Recurrence and deaths: 25% (Recurrence and deaths: 25% (PP=0.0001)=0.0001)
• Contralateral breast cancer: 44% (95% CI, 0.33-0.98)Contralateral breast cancer: 44% (95% CI, 0.33-0.98)
• Distant recurrence: 18% (95% CI, 0.69-0.98)Distant recurrence: 18% (95% CI, 0.69-0.98)
Switching to exemestane reduces the risk of:Switching to exemestane reduces the risk of:
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
*Note: ER+/Unknown patients.
Safety and Tolerability in the Safety and Tolerability in the Intergroup Exemestane Study (IES)Intergroup Exemestane Study (IES)
Cardiovascular and Thromboembolic Cardiovascular and Thromboembolic Adverse EventsAdverse Events
22.1% v 20.9%
1.8% v 1.8%
1.0% v 0.8%
2.5% v 2.4%
1.9% v 3.1%*
0.1% v 0.1%
9.9% v 8.6%1.3% v 0.8%
11.3% v 11.2%
Exemestane v Tamoxifen
Favors TamoxifenFavors Exemestane
Odds Ratio (99% CI)
Thromboembolic
Other cardiac
Sudden death
CVA
Peripheral Vascular Disease
Heart failure
Angina MI
Ischemic cardiac
All CV/TE
0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.82.0
7.1% v 6.5%
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
*P=0.01.
9.2% v 7.2%*
Musculoskeletal and Other Musculoskeletal and Other Adverse EventsAdverse Events
17.5% v 14.6%†
7.0% v 4.9%†
0.6% v 0.4%0.6% v 0.2%1.1% v 1.3%5.0% v 3.4%†
25.7% v 20.3%†
20.8% v 15.1%†
2.0% v 1.1%*2.5% v 4.4%†
1.2% v 0.3%†
2.8% v 0.4%†
Favors TamoxifenFavors Exemestane
Odds Ratio (99% CI)
Musculoskeletal pain
Carpal tunnel
Gastric ulcer
Muscle cramps Joint stiffness
Arthralgia
Arthritis (All types) Osteoporosis
Other Wrist Spine
Hip Fracture
0.4 0.8 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 6.0 8.00.6
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
Exemestane v Tamoxifen
*P≤0.01; †P≤0.001.
Gynecologic Adverse EventsGynecologic Adverse Events
Favors TamoxifenFavors Exemestane
6.4% v 9.8%*
Odds Ratio (99% CI)
Endometrial cancer
Uterine D&C‡
Hysterectomy
Uterine polyps/fibroids
Endometrial hyperplasia
Vaginal bleeding
Serious gynecologic
0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.01.2
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
4.8% v 7.1%*
0.2% v 1.0%*
1.4% v 4.0%*
0.9% v 1.5%
0.7% v 1.5%†
0.4% v 0.7%
Exemestane v Tamoxifen
*P≤0.001; †P=0.006; ‡dilation and curettage.
Sites of Other Invasive CancersSites of Other Invasive Cancers
ExemestaneExemestane TamoxifenTamoxifen
UterusUterus 99 1717
GIGI 1818 2828
LungLung 99 1515
MelanomaMelanoma 44 55
OvaryOvary 66 44
OtherOther 2626 3838
Total Non-Breast Second PrimariesTotal Non-Breast Second Primaries 7272 107107
ITT
Coombes, ASCO 2006.
IES Substudy ResultsIES Substudy Results
IES Quality of Life SubstudyIES Quality of Life Substudy
To compare and describe the quality of life (QOL) of women allocated to To compare and describe the quality of life (QOL) of women allocated to tamoxifen or exemestane within the IES tamoxifen or exemestane within the IES
Trial Outcome Index (TOI), which incorporates Trial Outcome Index (TOI), which incorporates PPhysical Well-Being,hysical Well-Being, Functional Functional Well-Being, and Breast Cancer Subscale Well-Being, and Breast Cancer Subscale
Total Functional Assessment of Total Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Breast and Endocrine Cancer Therapy-Breast and Endocrine Subscale (Subscale (FACTFACT--B B ++ ES) scores ES) scores
Individual endocrine symptomsIndividual endocrine symptoms
Fallowfield, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2006;24:910-917.
RationaleRationaleRationaleRationale
Primary End PointPrimary End PointPrimary End PointPrimary End Point
Secondary End PointsSecondary End PointsSecondary End PointsSecondary End Points
IES Quality of Life Substudy MethodsIES Quality of Life Substudy Methods
• 582 consenting patients 582 consenting patients from 8 countriesfrom 8 countries
• 22 year year follow-up follow-up
• 3, 6, 9, and 12 months 3, 6, 9, and 12 months
• 6 monthly until 36 months6 monthly until 36 months
• Yearly until 60 months Yearly until 60 months
• 1-month post-recurrence1-month post-recurrence
SampleSampleSampleSample
AssessmentsAssessmentsAssessmentsAssessments
ResultsResultsResultsResults
Fallowfield, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2006;24:910-917.
IES Quality of Life Substudy OutcomesIES Quality of Life Substudy Outcomes
Fallowfield, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2006;24:910-917.
No significant differenceNo significant difference in QOL in QOL for for ttamoxifen and exemestane patientsamoxifen and exemestane patientsNo significant differenceNo significant difference in QOL in QOL for for ttamoxifen and exemestane patientsamoxifen and exemestane patients
BaselineBaseline 3 Months3 Months 6 Months 6 Months 9 Months 9 Months 12 Months 12 Months
Me
an
Ch
an
ge
Fro
m
Me
an
Ch
an
ge
Fro
m
Bas
eli
ne
Bas
eli
ne
-5-5
-4-4
-3-3
-2-2
-1-1
00
11
22
33
44
55
18 Months 18 Months 24 Months 24 Months
TamoxifenTamoxifenExemestaneExemestane
BaselineBaseline 3 Months3 Months 6 Months 6 Months 9 Months 9 Months 12 Months 12 Months
Me
an
Ch
an
ge
Fro
m
Me
an
Ch
an
ge
Fro
m
Bas
eli
ne
Bas
eli
ne
-5-5
-4-4
-3-3
-2-2
-1-1
00
11
22
33
44
55
18 Months 18 Months 24 Months 24 Months
TamoxifenTamoxifenExemestaneExemestane
Trial Outcome Index (TOI) Scores
Endocrine Subscale Scores
IES Quality of Life Substudy:IES Quality of Life Substudy:Endocrine SymptomsEndocrine Symptoms
Fallowfield, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2006;24:910-917.
Hot FlashesHot Flashes
Cold SweatsCold Sweats
Night SweatsNight Sweats
Sleeping Sleeping DifficultiesDifficulties
Vasomotor SymptomsVasomotor Symptoms Neuropsychological SymptomsNeuropsychological Symptoms
No difference between No difference between treatment groupstreatment groups
No difference between No difference between treatment groupstreatment groups
OROR E (%)E (%) T (%)T (%)
1.10 (0.78 to 1.54)1.10 (0.78 to 1.54)1.22 (0.72 to 2.05)1.22 (0.72 to 2.05)0.85 (0.58 to 1.25)0.85 (0.58 to 1.25)
1.12 (0.76 to 1.65) 1.12 (0.76 to 1.65)
46.046.019.419.432.232.234.634.6
44.744.718.418.434.834.834.534.5
.05.05 0.50.5 1.01.0 1.51.5 2.02.0 2.52.5 3.03.0
Odds Ratio (95% CI) – Log ScaleOdds Ratio (95% CI) – Log Scale
Favors Exemestane
Favors Tamoxifen
Lack of EnergyLack of Energy
Nervous FeelingNervous Feeling
HeadachesHeadaches
Feeling IrritableFeeling Irritable
OROR E (%)E (%) T (%)T (%)
1.17 (0.84 to 1.65)1.17 (0.84 to 1.65)0.93 (0.58 to 1.50)0.93 (0.58 to 1.50)0.69 (0.39 to 1.24)0.69 (0.39 to 1.24)1.38 (0.86 to 2.21)1.38 (0.86 to 2.21)1.02 (0.63 to 1.64)1.02 (0.63 to 1.64)
1.03 (0.57 to 1.86) 1.03 (0.57 to 1.86)
37.737.719.719.711.411.418.318.320.820.816.616.6
34.134.119.819.812.012.015.015.019.819.815.015.0
.05.05 0.50.5 1.01.0 1.51.5 2.02.0 2.52.5 3.03.0
Odds Ratio (95% CI) – Log ScaleOdds Ratio (95% CI) – Log Scale
Mood SwingsMood Swings
Light-Headed ‘Dizzy’Light-Headed ‘Dizzy’
Favors Exemestane
Favors Tamoxifen
IES Quality of Life Substudy:IES Quality of Life Substudy:Endocrine SymptomsEndocrine Symptoms
Fallowfield, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2006;24:910-917.
Bloated FeelingBloated Feeling
DiarrheaDiarrhea
Gastrointestinal SymptomsGastrointestinal Symptoms Gynecologic SymptomsGynecologic Symptoms
No difference between No difference between treatment groupstreatment groups
Vaginal discharge less frequent for Vaginal discharge less frequent for exemestane (exemestane (PP<0.001)<0.001)
No difference between treatment No difference between treatment groups for other GYN symptomsgroups for other GYN symptoms
NauseaNausea
Gained WeightGained Weight
OROR E (%)E (%) T (%)T (%)
1.21 (0.49 to 2.99)1.21 (0.49 to 2.99)0.96 (0.68 to 1.34)0.96 (0.68 to 1.34)0.75 (0.21 to 2.63)0.75 (0.21 to 2.63)0.87 (0.40 to 1.19)0.87 (0.40 to 1.19)
0.79 (0.52 to 1.19) 0.79 (0.52 to 1.19)
5.25.246.746.72.12.16.66.6
23.523.5
.05.05 0.50.5 1.01.0 1.51.52.02.0 2.52.5 3.03.0
Odds Ratio (95% CI) – Log ScaleOdds Ratio (95% CI) – Log Scale
VomitingVomiting
4.84.848.148.12.12.17.27.2
28.028.0
Vaginal DischargeVaginal Discharge
Discomfort IntercourseDiscomfort Intercourse
Lost Interest in SexLost Interest in Sex
Breast TendernessBreast Tenderness
Vaginal IrritationVaginal Irritation
OROR E (%)E (%) T (%)T (%)
0.25 (0.14 to 0.46)0.25 (0.14 to 0.46)0.65 (0.34 to 1.23)0.65 (0.34 to 1.23)0.29 (0.09 to 1.01)0.29 (0.09 to 1.01)1.14 (0.73 to 1.77)1.14 (0.73 to 1.77)0.96 (0.56 to 1.65)0.96 (0.56 to 1.65)1.03 (0.70 to 1.50)1.03 (0.70 to 1.50)
1.16 (0.73 to 1.87) 1.16 (0.73 to 1.87)
7.67.69.39.32.12.1
23.523.514.914.941.241.219.419.4
.05.05 0.50.5 1.01.0 1.51.5 2.02.0 2.52.5 3.03.0
Odds Ratio (95% CI) – Log ScaleOdds Ratio (95% CI) – Log Scale
17.117.112.612.63.43.4
26.326.315.015.045.445.422.522.5
Vaginal BleedingVaginal Bleeding
Vaginal DrynessVaginal Dryness
Favors Exemestane
Favors Tamoxifen
Favors Exemestane
Favors Tamoxifen
IES Endometrial SubprotocolIES Endometrial Subprotocol
Tamoxifen induces uterine abnormalities detectable in Tamoxifen induces uterine abnormalities detectable in postmenopausal women. postmenopausal women.
Does switching to exemestane impact the uterus?Does switching to exemestane impact the uterus?
Endometrial thickness Endometrial thickness ≥≥5 mm after 2 years of randomized 5 mm after 2 years of randomized treatmenttreatment
Transvaginal ultrasound changes, mean uterine volume, Transvaginal ultrasound changes, mean uterine volume, presence of polyps, fibroids, ovarian cystspresence of polyps, fibroids, ovarian cysts
Histologic and immunohistochemical findings in patients who Histologic and immunohistochemical findings in patients who undergo biopsy or hysterectomyundergo biopsy or hysterectomy
RationaleRationaleRationaleRationale
Primary End PointPrimary End PointPrimary End PointPrimary End Point
Secondary End PointsSecondary End PointsSecondary End PointsSecondary End Points
Bertelli, et al. SABCS. 2004.
IES Endometrial SubstudyIES Endometrial Substudy
-35%
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
ExemestaneExemestanen=47n=47
TamoxifenTamoxifenn=43n=43
31.0%31.0%
5.3%5.3%
Ch
ang
e F
rom
Bas
elin
e (%
)C
han
ge
Fro
m B
asel
ine
(%)
Endometrial thickening was reversed to normal for Endometrial thickening was reversed to normal for 50% of patients treated with exemestane50% of patients treated with exemestane
Data on file, Pfizer Inc.
Median Change in Endometrial Thickness at 2 Median Change in Endometrial Thickness at 2 YYearsears
IES Bone SubstudyIES Bone Substudy
•• Tamoxifen may have bone-sparing properties Tamoxifen may have bone-sparing properties •• Bone loss has been established for AIsBone loss has been established for AIs•• Does switching to exemestane impact bone mineral density and bone Does switching to exemestane impact bone mineral density and bone
biomarkers? biomarkers?
• • Annual changes from baseline in lumbar spine and total hip bone Annual changes from baseline in lumbar spine and total hip bone mineral density (BMD)mineral density (BMD)
•• BMD between treatment groups at 12 and 24 months BMD between treatment groups at 12 and 24 months •• Changes in biochemical markers of bone turnoverChanges in biochemical markers of bone turnover•• Assess relationship between change in biochemical markers and BMDAssess relationship between change in biochemical markers and BMD•• Effects on fracture incidenceEffects on fracture incidence
Coleman, SABCS. 2005.
RationaleRationaleRationaleRationale
Primary End PointPrimary End PointPrimary End PointPrimary End Point
Secondary End PointsSecondary End PointsSecondary End PointsSecondary End Points
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
IES Bone Substudy: Bone Mineral DensityIES Bone Substudy: Bone Mineral Density
Lumbar Spine
% C
ha
ng
e F
rom
Ba
se
lin
e 15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
TamoxifenExemestane
6 months
12 months
24 months
% C
ha
ng
e F
rom
Ba
se
lin
e
Total Hip
Coleman, SABCS. 2005.
-0.768-0.768
-2.887-2.887 -3.197-3.197 -3.642-3.642
-0.164-0.164 -0.178-0.178 -0.594-0.594
-1.577-1.577 -2.136-2.136 -2.398-2.3980.0000.000 -0.340-0.340
Exemestane Tamoxifen Patients enrolled, E=100, T=106.
IES Bone Substudy: Changes in Bone BiomarkersBone Biomarkers
ALP, alkaline phosphatase. Coleman, SABCS. 2005.
Exemestane (n=93)
0
5
10
15
0 3 6 9 12 18 24
DP
D/C
r (n
M/m
M)
Bone Resorption Bone Resorption
01020304050
0 3 6 9 12 18 24Time since randomization (months)
Bo
ne
AL
P (
U/L
) Bone Formation Bone Formation
Tamoxifen (n=103)
Normal range in healthy postmenopausal women
Exemestane (n=93)
Tamoxifen (n=102)
Independent Exemestane Independent Exemestane Cost-Effectiveness Studies Cost-Effectiveness Studies
Definition of Quality Adjusted Life Year Definition of Quality Adjusted Life Year
• Quality Adjusted Life Year (QALY)Quality Adjusted Life Year (QALY): A year of : A year of life adjusted for its quality. life adjusted for its quality.
• QALY exampleQALY example: : – A year in perfect health is considered equal to A year in perfect health is considered equal to
1.0 QALY1.0 QALY
– A year bedridden might have a value equal to A year bedridden might have a value equal to 0.5 QALY0.5 QALY
Source: www.medterms.com.
Overview of Cost-Effectiveness:Overview of Cost-Effectiveness:Exemestane Below Range Exemestane Below Range
CountryCountry AuthorAuthor US$/QALYUS$/QALY
Generally accepted rangeGenerally accepted range NANA $50,000 - $100,000 $50,000 - $100,000
BelgiumBelgium SkedgelSkedgel $18,156$18,156
USAUSA ThompsonThompson $15,300$15,300††
UKUK WordsworthWordsworth $12,809$12,809
CanadaCanada RisebroughRisebrough $15,516$15,516
*TAM-EXE versus TAM at 10 years; *TAM-EXE versus TAM at 10 years; ††ER-positive only patients.ER-positive only patients.QALY, Quality-adjusted life-year; based on DFS. QALY, Quality-adjusted life-year; based on DFS. Calculated in US dollars based on exchange rates as of May 31, 2006.
Skedgel, et al. EBCC. 2006; Thompson, et al. SABCS. 2005; Wordsworth, et al. EBCC. 2006; Risebrough, et al. SABCS. 2005.
PremenopausePremenopause
Role of Ovarian Ablation in Role of Ovarian Ablation in Absence of ChemotherapyAbsence of Chemotherapy
15-15-yearyear
DFSDFS
Risk Risk reductioreductio
nn
15-15-yearyear
OS*OS*
Risk Risk reductireducti
on*on*
OvxOvx 59.059.0%%
31% SE 31% SE 88
P=0.000P=0.0000606
59.459.4%%
31% SE 31% SE 77
P=0.00P=0.00003003
ContrControlol
45.645.6%%
49.149.1%%
Fifth Main Meeting of theEarly Breast Cancer Trialists’ Collaborative Group
Oxford, 21-23 September 2000
*Breast deaths inc. unk.
Goserelin vs Not: Goserelin vs Not: RecurrencesRecurrences
Chemotherapy versus LHRH Chemotherapy versus LHRH analogues in premenopausal analogues in premenopausal breast cancer patients breast cancer patients
TrialTrial PatientsPatients: : number number selectioselectionn
ChemotherChemotherapyapy
Follow-Follow-up up (years)(years)
ResultResult
ZEBRAZEBRA11
1640/1640/
ER±ER±CMF x 6CMF x 6
days 1 + 8days 1 + 855 NS for NS for
ER+ER+
TABLETABLE22 600/600/
ER+/ER+/PgR+PgR+
CMF x 6CMF x 6
days 1 + 8days 1 + 822 NSNS
1Eur J Cancer 2000; 36 (Suppl 5): S67; 2Proc ASCO 2001; 20: 34a
ZEBRA Trial
15-15-yearyear
DFSDFS
Risk Risk reductireducti
onon
15-15-yearyear
OS*OS*
Risk Risk reductireducti
on*on*
OvxOvx 52.552.5%%
7% SE 7% SE 77
P=nsP=ns
52.452.4%%
3% SE 73% SE 7
P=nsP=nsContrControlol
55.855.8%%
47.147.1%%
*Breast deaths inc. unk.
Fifth Main Meeting of theEarly Breast Cancer Trialists’ Collaborative Group
Oxford, 21-23 September 2000
Role of Ovarian Ablation Role of Ovarian Ablation in Presence of in Presence of Chemotherapy Chemotherapy
Incidence of Chemotherapy-Incidence of Chemotherapy-induced induced AmenorrheaAmenorrhea
RegimenRegimen CMF x 6-12CMF x 6-12 53-89%53-89% CEF x 6CEF x 6 61%61% ETET 40%40% ACAC 34%34% MFMF 9% 9%
AgeAge ≤ ≤ 40 years40 years 22-61%22-61% > 40 years> 40 years 61-97%61-97%
Role of Ovarian Ablation Role of Ovarian Ablation in Presence of in Presence of Chemotherapy Chemotherapy
StudyStudy StatStatusus
PtsPts OutcomeOutcome
Int-0101Int-0101
(3 arms)(3 arms)N+ N+ HR+HR+
15015044
G+CAF=CAFG+CAF=CAF
IBCSG IBCSG 11-11-9393
N+ N+
HR+HR+174174 G+TG+T==G+T+ACG+T+AC
IBCSG IBCSG VIIIVIII
(3 arms)(3 arms)
N-N-
ER+/ER+/--
10610633
ER+ ER+ GG+CMF=CMF+CMF=CMF
Adjuvant AI after Adjuvant AI after chemotherapy induced chemotherapy induced amenorrhoea : results from amenorrhoea : results from an auditan audit
IE Smith, J Clin Oncol 2006
45 patients (39-52 years)
12 showed a return of ovarian function
(10 renewed menses, 1 biochemically premenopausal and 1 pregnancy)
Adjuvant AI after Adjuvant AI after chemotherapy induced chemotherapy induced amenorrhoea amenorrhoea Most women older than age 40 treated with Most women older than age 40 treated with
CT will develop permanent amenorrhoeaCT will develop permanent amenorrhoea But in a minority amenorrhoea may be But in a minority amenorrhoea may be
temporary (0-11%)temporary (0-11%) The incidence of recovery may be The incidence of recovery may be
increased by AIs (27% in the report by increased by AIs (27% in the report by Smith)Smith)
Predicting which pts will have return of Predicting which pts will have return of ovarian function is not possible (a single ovarian function is not possible (a single measurement of FSH, LH and E2 reflects measurement of FSH, LH and E2 reflects function only that time point)function only that time point)
Aromatase Aromatase Inhibitors Inhibitors Adjuvant TrialsAdjuvant Trials
AI Adjuvant AI Adjuvant Trials. Trials. Disease Free SurvivalDisease Free Survival
StudyStudy n. n. ptspts
FUFU
YrsYrs
DFS – HRDFS – HR
(95% CI)(95% CI)Abs. Abs. Diff.Diff.
ATACATAC Lancet 05Lancet 05 93693666
5.75.7 0.87 0.87 (0.78-(0.78-0.97)0.97)
2.8%2.8%
BIG1-98BIG1-98 NEJM 05NEJM 05 80180100
2.22.2 0.81 0.81 (0.70-(0.70-0.93)0.93)
2.6%2.6%
IESIES NEJM 04NEJM 04 47447422
2.72.7 0.68 0.68 (0.56-(0.56-0.82)0.82)
4.7%4.7%
ARNO/ABCSGARNO/ABCSG Lancet 05Lancet 05
32232244
2.32.3 0.60 0.60 (0.44-(0.44-0.81)0.81)
3.1%3.1%
ITAITA JCO 05JCO 05 448448 3.03.0 0.35 0.35 (0.18-(0.18-0.68)0.68)
5.3%5.3%
MA 17MA 17 JNCI 05JNCI 05 51851877
2.52.5 0.58 0.58 (0.45-(0.45-0.76)0.76)
4.6%4.6%
Receptors Profile & Treatment Receptors Profile & Treatment SelectionSelection
Hormonotherapy + Hormonotherapy + ChemotherapyChemotherapy
Tamoxifen and/or Aromatase Tamoxifen and/or Aromatase InhibitorsInhibitors
Receptors Profile & Treatment Receptors Profile & Treatment SelectionSelection
Hormonotherapy + ChemotherapyHormonotherapy + Chemotherapy Tamoxifen and/or Aromatase Tamoxifen and/or Aromatase
InhibitorsInhibitors
CLINICAL CASE 1: CLINICAL CASE 1: ADJUVANT ENDOCRINE THERAPYADJUVANT ENDOCRINE THERAPY
55-year old, 55-year old, postmenopausalpostmenopausalinv. ductal Cainv. ductal Ca
RiskRisk : : sentinel node –sentinel node –
Size = 1.1cmSize = 1.1cmGrade 1Grade 1
ResponsivenessResponsiveness : : ER 8/8, PgR 8/8ER 8/8, PgR 8/8HER2 negativeHER2 negative
Grade 1Grade 1
St.Gallenexperts
Otherexperts
Youngexperts
TAM x 5y
TAM x 5yAI
ANYAITAM x 2-3yAI
M. Piccart, SABCS 2005
Adjuvant Aromatase Adjuvant Aromatase InhibitorsInhibitors
StudyStudy therapytherapy f.u.f.u. HRHR Abs dAbs d
ATAC 03ATAC 03 upfrontupfront 44 0.820.82 3%3%
ITA 04ITA 04 switchswitch 33 0.360.36 5.3%5.3%
IES 04IES 04 switchswitch 2.72.7 0.680.68 4.7%4.7%
MA17 04MA17 04 extendedextended 2.52.5 0.580.58 5 %5 %
ARNO -ARNO -ABCSG 04 ABCSG 04
switchswitch 0.60.6 3%3%
BIG 05BIG 05 upfrontupfront 2.42.4 0.810.81 2.6%2.6%
Adjuvant Aromatase Adjuvant Aromatase InhibitorsInhibitors
StudyStudy therapytherapy f.u.f.u. HRHR Abs dAbs d
ATAC 03ATAC 03 upfrontupfront 44 0.820.82 3%3%
ITA 04ITA 04 switchswitch 33 0.360.36 5.3%5.3%
IES 04IES 04 switchswitch 2.72.7 0.680.68 4.7%4.7%
MA17 04MA17 04 extendedextended 2.52.5 0.580.58 5 %5 %
ARNO -ARNO -ABCSG 04 ABCSG 04
switchswitch 0.60.6 3%3%
BIG 05BIG 05 upfrontupfront 2.42.4 0.810.81 2.6%2.6%
Adjuvant Aromatase Adjuvant Aromatase InhibitorsInhibitors
StudyStudy therapytherapy f.u.f.u. HRHR Abs dAbs d
ATAC 03ATAC 03 upfrontupfront 44 0.820.82 3%3%
ITA 04ITA 04 switchswitch 33 0.360.36 5.3%5.3%
IES 04IES 04 switchswitch 2.72.7 0.680.68 4.7%4.7%
MA17 04MA17 04 extendedextended 2.52.5 0.580.58 5 %5 %
ARNO -ARNO -ABCSG 04 ABCSG 04
switchswitch 0.60.6 3%3%
BIG 05BIG 05 upfrontupfront 2.42.4 0.810.81 2.6%2.6%
Primarysurgery
R a
n d
o m
I z a
t I o n
Tamoxifen (5 years) to start within 6 weeks of surgery
Tamoxifen (2 years)
Anastrozole (3 years)
Switching period
Sequencing period
ABCSG 8 trial structureABCSG 8 trial structure
ABCSG Trial 8 analysisABCSG Trial 8 analysis3901 patients screened
180 patients not meeting entry criteria
2926 patients eligible for the sequencing analysis
795 patients with a switch date after presentation of the ABCSG / ARNO
combined analyses (SABCS 2004) & the IDMC recommendation to stop the trial
1472 patients randomized to receive 2 years’ tamoxifen then 3 years‘ anastrozole
1454 patients randomized to receive 5 years’ tamoxifen
2529 patients eligible for the switching analysis
397 patients had a BC specific event, a secondary carcinoma, died or withdrew
during the initial 2-year tamoxifen period
Event-free survival following surgery: Event-free survival following surgery: ABCSG 8ABCSG 8(n = 2926)(n = 2926)
0
75
80
85
90
95
100
0 12 24 36 48 60 72
Time since surgery (months)
EFS(%)
Therapy switch
TA
29Events
HR
p-value
T
24
1.19
0.519
First 2 years
98.3%
98.0%TAT
Event-free survival following surgery: Event-free survival following surgery: ABCSG 8ABCSG 8(n = 2926)(n = 2926)
0
75
80
85
90
95
100
0 12 24 36 48 60 72
Time since surgery (months)
EFS(%)
Therapy switch
Events
HR
p-value
T
77
0.63
0.010
A
50
After switch
TAT
Event-free survival following surgery: Event-free survival following surgery: ABCSG 8ABCSG 8(n = 2926)(n = 2926)
0
75
80
85
90
95
100
0 12 24 36 48 60 72
Time since surgery (months)
EFS(%)
HR
0.76Events
p-value
0.068
T
101
TA
79
94.4%
92.9%
TAT
CLINICAL CASE 1: CLINICAL CASE 1: ADJUVANT ENDOCRINE THERAPYADJUVANT ENDOCRINE THERAPY
55-year old, 55-year old, postmenopausalpostmenopausalinv. ductal Cainv. ductal Ca
RiskRisk : : sentinel node –sentinel node –
Size = 1.1cmSize = 1.1cmGrade 1Grade 1
ResponsivenessResponsiveness : : ER 8/8, PgR 8/8ER 8/8, PgR 8/8HER2 negativeHER2 negative
Grade 1Grade 1 12%12% 12%12%
47%47%
17%17%11%11%
11%11%
16%16%
26%26%
20%20%
33%33%
32%32%
5%5%
25%25%
32%32%
0%0%
St.Gallenexperts
Otherexperts
Youngexperts
TAM x 5y
TAM x 5yAI
ANYAITAM x 2-3yAI
M. Piccart, SABCS 2005
Recurrence Hazard Rates for Breast Cancer After Primary Therapy
Saphner et al. J Clin Oncol 1996;14:2738-2746.
Patients (%)
Follow-up time (years)
20
25HR
0.74HR+
95% CI
(0.64–0.87)
p-value
0.0002
A
282
T
370
At risk:A 2618 2540 2448 2355 2268 2014 830T 2598 2516 2398 2304 2189 1932 774
ATAC: recurrences* before 2.5 ATAC: recurrences* before 2.5 years years (HR+ patients)(HR+ patients)
* Censoring non-BC deaths before recurrence
0
5
10
15
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
‘Arimidex’ (A)Tamoxifen (T)
BIG 1-98: cumulative incidence of BIG 1-98: cumulative incidence of breast cancer relapsebreast cancer relapse
Proportionfailing(%)
Time since randomisation (years)
5-year difference (L-T) = -3.4% (SE 1.2)Cuminc p=0.0002
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5
10
15
20
13.6%
10.2%
6.2%
8.1%
Letrozole (L)
Tamoxifen (T)
SE = standard error
Thürlimann B et al. The Breast 2005;14:S3, abs S4
%RFS
100
80
0 1 2 3 4 5
years
90
70
100
6 7 7.5
%RFS
100
80
0 1 2 3 4 5
years
90
70
100
6 7 7.5
HR Profile : prognosis and hormone-resistance
ER+/PR- breast cancer: biologic characteristics
ER+/PR- ER+/PR+ P value
No. Pts 31403 13399
Median level of ER (fmol/mg)
(Range)
47
(3-2211)
103
(3-3290)
<.001
HER1 expression* 25% 8% <.001
HER2 overexpression* 21% 14% <.001
* no. Patients: 1306 and 634. Arpino et al. JNCI 2005
Response by PgR Allred expression category
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
tamoxifenletrozole
Allred PgR Score
Res
pons
e ra
te
25.4 6.2 8.0 11.2 8.0 14.1 8.7 18.5
% of cases in each category
Copyright © American Society of Clinical Oncology
Bardou, V.-J. et al. J Clin Oncol; 21:1973-1979 2003
Fig 1. (A) Disease-free survival and (B) overall survival according to estrogen receptor/progesterone receptor status, in the first database Program Project
patients who received no systemic adjuvant therapy
Copyright © American Society of Clinical Oncology
Bardou, V.-J. et al. J Clin Oncol; 21:1973-1979 2003
Fig 3. Overall survival according to estrogen receptor/progesterone receptor status in the second database Specialized Program of Research Excellence
patients who received systemic endocrine therapy
Copyright restrictions may apply.
Dowsett, M. et al. Ann Oncol 2006 17:818-826; doi:10.1093/annonc/mdl016
Relapse free survival for the patients available for biomarker analysis from the NATO and CRC adjuvant trials
Tovey S. et al, Clin Cancer Res 2005
Factors predicting resistance to Tamoxifen
Copyright restrictions may apply.
Dowsett, M. et al. Ann Oncol 2006 17:818-826; doi:10.1093/annonc/mdl016
Relapse free survival according to PgR status
HER-2 in HR+: prognosis and hormone-resistance
Tovey S. et al, Clin Cancer Res 2005
Factors predicting resistance to Tamoxifen
Copyright restrictions may apply.
Arpino, G. et al. J Natl Cancer Inst 2005;97:1254-1261
Kaplan-Meier curves for disease-free survival in tamoxifen-treated patients
ER+/PR+ ER+/PR-
Dowset M, SABCS 2003A
BIG 1-98 DFS by Central Pathological Assessment
Favors L Favors T
1.00.5 0.75 1.25 1.5
Hazard Ratio (L:T)
ER+ / HER2+ (n=234)
ER+ / HER2- (n=3971)
0.68
0.72
All patients (n=4399)0.71
IES : subgroups
RC Coombes SABCS 2004
Copyright restrictions may apply.
Dowsett, M. et al. Ann Oncol 2006 17:818-826; doi:10.1093/annonc/mdl016
Relative risk of relapse according to HER2 positivity in steroid receptor positive subgroup
SafetySafety
Effects of estrogens in Effects of estrogens in different organ systemsdifferent organ systems
Influence on moodInfluence on mood NeuroprotectionNeuroprotection Reduction of intraocular pressureReduction of intraocular pressure Amelioration of skin agingAmelioration of skin aging Maintenance of Bone DensityMaintenance of Bone Density Arterial VasodilationArterial Vasodilation CardioprotectionCardioprotection Growth and proliferation of breast tissue; risk factors Growth and proliferation of breast tissue; risk factors
for breast cancerfor breast cancer Increase production livel proteins such as coagulation Increase production livel proteins such as coagulation
factors and hepatic lipoprotein receptorsfactors and hepatic lipoprotein receptors Putative reduction in risk of colon cancerPutative reduction in risk of colon cancer Growth and differentiation of and water retention in Growth and differentiation of and water retention in
primary sex organs; risk factor for endometrial cancerprimary sex organs; risk factor for endometrial cancer
CJ Gruber, NEJM 2002
Cognitive Function in HRT Cognitive Function in HRT trialstrials
During a mean follow-up of 5.4 years During a mean follow-up of 5.4 years 3MSE scores were lower for ERT 3MSE scores were lower for ERT than for placebo (risk of having a 10 than for placebo (risk of having a 10 unit decrease in 3MSE scores = 1.47)unit decrease in 3MSE scores = 1.47)
Pooled data of ERT and ERPT show Pooled data of ERT and ERPT show an increase risk for dementia and an increase risk for dementia and Mild Cognitive ImpairmentMild Cognitive Impairment
M Espeland, JAMA 2004
S Shumaker, JAMA 2004
Copyright restrictions may apply.
Fisher, B. et al. J Natl Cancer Inst 2005;97:1652-1662
Comparison of relative risks (with 95% confidence intervals) of benefits and undesirable effects of tamoxifen from the initial and updated results of NSABP P-1
AIs versus Placebo:AIs versus Placebo:Letrozole in Tam pretreated Letrozole in Tam pretreated patientspatients
Letrozole vs Placebo (MA-Letrozole vs Placebo (MA-17)17)
90% of AEs grade 1 or 2.
Letrozole Letrozole PlaceboPlacebo PP Value Value
Hot flashesHot flashes 5858 5454 0.0030.003
Arthritis/arthralgiaArthritis/arthralgia 2525 2121 < 0.0001< 0.0001
Muscle painMuscle pain 1515 1212 0.040.04
Vaginal bleedingVaginal bleeding 66 88 0.0050.005
HypercholesterolemiaHypercholesterolemia 1616 1616 0.790.79
Cardiovascular eventsCardiovascular events 66 66 0.760.76
OsteoporosisOsteoporosis 88 66 0.0030.003
Discontinuations due to adverse eventDiscontinuations due to adverse event 55 44 0.020.02
Discontinuations due to other reasonsDiscontinuations due to other reasons 44 55 0.10.1
% of Patients
Adapted from Goss. ASCO, 2004.
Letrozole vs Placebo (MA-Letrozole vs Placebo (MA-17)17)
90% of AEs grade 1 or 2.
Letrozole Letrozole PlaceboPlacebo PP Value Value
Hot flashesHot flashes 5858 5454 0.0030.003
Arthritis/arthralgiaArthritis/arthralgia 2525 2121 < 0.0001< 0.0001
Muscle painMuscle pain 1515 1212 0.040.04
Vaginal bleedingVaginal bleeding 66 88 0.0050.005
HypercholesterolemiaHypercholesterolemia 1616 1616 0.790.79
Cardiovascular eventsCardiovascular events 66 66 0.760.76
OsteoporosisOsteoporosis 88 66 0.0030.003
Discontinuations due to adverse eventDiscontinuations due to adverse event 55 44 0.020.02
Discontinuations due to other reasonsDiscontinuations due to other reasons 44 55 0.10.1
% of Patients
Adapted from Goss. ASCO, 2004.
Letrozole vs Placebo (MA-Letrozole vs Placebo (MA-17)17)
90% of AEs grade 1 or 2.
Letrozole Letrozole PlaceboPlacebo PP Value Value
Hot flashesHot flashes 5858 5454 0.0030.003
Arthritis/arthralgiaArthritis/arthralgia 2525 2121 < 0.0001< 0.0001
Muscle painMuscle pain 1515 1212 0.040.04
Vaginal bleedingVaginal bleeding 66 88 0.0050.005
HypercholesterolemiaHypercholesterolemia 1616 1616 0.790.79
Cardiovascular eventsCardiovascular events 66 66 0.760.76
OsteoporosisOsteoporosis 88 66 0.0030.003
Discontinuations due to adverse eventDiscontinuations due to adverse event 55 44 0.020.02
Discontinuations due to other reasonsDiscontinuations due to other reasons 44 55 0.10.1
% of Patients
Adapted from Goss. ASCO, 2004.
Cholesterol levels in MA.17Cholesterol levels in MA.17
MA.17 MA.17
(30 mos FU)(30 mos FU)LET LET
(n=2575)(n=2575)Placebo Placebo
(n=2582)(n=2582)
HypercholesterolemiHypercholesterolemiaa
(all grades)(all grades)
16%16% 16%16%
Goss et al. Proc ASCO 2004;23:87(Abstract 847)
Letrozole did not adversely affect lipid levels compared with placebo (p = 0.79) in whole study population
MA.17L HDL:LDL ratio MA.17L HDL:LDL ratio throughout study periodthroughout study period
Goss et al. Proc ASCO 2004;23:87(Abstract 847)
0,47 0,47 0,490,47 0,48
0,58
0,45
0,55
0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
Month 0 Month 6 Month 12 Month 24
Letrozole
Placebo
HD
L:L
DL
rat
io
*p values refer to change from baseline
p = 0.282* p = 0.351 p = 0.962
MA.17: Ischemic cardiovascular MA.17: Ischemic cardiovascular diseasedisease
Goss et al. Proc ASCO 2004;23:87(Abstract 847)
Compared with placebo, letrozole had no detrimental effect Compared with placebo, letrozole had no detrimental effect on CV disease in >5000 patientson CV disease in >5000 patients
144 (5.6%)144 (5.6%)149 (5.8%)149 (5.8%)CV disease, all gradesCV disease, all grades
Placebo Placebo (n = 2582)(n = 2582)
LetrozoleLetrozole(n = 2575)(n = 2575)
MA.17 MA.17 (30 mo FU)(30 mo FU)22
Letrozole vs Placebo (MA-Letrozole vs Placebo (MA-17)17)
90% of AEs grade 1 or 2.
Letrozole Letrozole PlaceboPlacebo PP Value Value
Hot flashesHot flashes 5858 5454 0.0030.003
Arthritis/arthralgiaArthritis/arthralgia 2525 2121 < 0.0001< 0.0001
Muscle painMuscle pain 1515 1212 0.040.04
Vaginal bleedingVaginal bleeding 66 88 0.0050.005
HypercholesterolemiaHypercholesterolemia 1616 1616 0.790.79
Cardiovascular eventsCardiovascular events 66 66 0.760.76
OsteoporosisOsteoporosis 88 66 0.0030.003
Discontinuations due to adverse eventDiscontinuations due to adverse event 55 44 0.020.02
Discontinuations due to other reasonsDiscontinuations due to other reasons 44 55 0.10.1
% of Patients
Adapted from Goss. ASCO, 2004.
MA.17 Safety profile: Bone MA.17 Safety profile: Bone
* Patient-reported
137
209
119
155
0
50
100
150
200
New osteoporosis* Fractures
Letrozole
Placebo
No
. of
pa
tie
nts
(p = 0.25)
(p = 0.003)
(8%)
(5.3%)
(6%)
(4.6%)
Adapted from Goss. ASCO, 2004
AIs versus AIs versus Placebo:Placebo:ExemestaneExemestane
Exemestane vs placebo: Exemestane vs placebo: BMD & lipids resultsBMD & lipids results
Annual rate of BMD loss was significantly p Annual rate of BMD loss was significantly p <0.05) higher in the femoral neck and not in <0.05) higher in the femoral neck and not in the lumbar spinethe lumbar spine
Increase of bone resorption and formation Increase of bone resorption and formation markers; return to baseline within 6 monthsmarkers; return to baseline within 6 months
Modest reduction of HDL-cholelesterol Modest reduction of HDL-cholelesterol (p<0.001) and Apolipoprotein A1 (p= 0.004)(p<0.001) and Apolipoprotein A1 (p= 0.004)
No effect on other lipid parameters, No effect on other lipid parameters, homocysteine levels or coagulation homocysteine levels or coagulation parametersparameters
P Lonning, JCO 2005 & ASCO 2005
AIs versus AIs versus TamoxifenTamoxifen
Arthritis/Arthritis/ArthralgiasArthralgias
Joint SymptomsJoint SymptomsArthralgiArthralgiaa
ArthritiArthritiss
ArthrosArthrosisis
Joint Joint disorderdisorder
AnastrozoAnastrozolele
15.1%15.1% 16.6%16.6% 6.7%6.7% 6.0%6.0%
TamoxifeTamoxifenn
11.1%11.1% 14.4%14.4% 5.0%5.0% 5.2%5.2%
50% recovered in 6 months and 75% recovered in 18 months
60% received treatment (>90% NSAI)
2% with Ana and 0.9% with Tam withdrew
AU Buzdar, ASCO 2006
Gynecological Gynecological ProblemsProblems
Gynecological issues with Gynecological issues with TamTam
Higher incidence of endometrial cancerHigher incidence of endometrial cancer Related to duration (OR 1.9 for 2-4 years of Related to duration (OR 1.9 for 2-4 years of
Tam)Tam) Related to “time since last use known”Related to “time since last use known”
Poorer prognosis endometrial cancer?Poorer prognosis endometrial cancer? Higher incidence of vaginal bleedingHigher incidence of vaginal bleeding Greater endometrial thickness (lower Greater endometrial thickness (lower
sensitivity, specificity and PPV)sensitivity, specificity and PPV)
Swerdlow, JNCI 2005;Bergman, Lancet 2000; Duffy, Human Reprod 2005
““Endometrial events” :Endometrial events” :Tamoxifen vs Aromatase Tamoxifen vs Aromatase InhibitorInhibitor
HysterectoHysterectomymy
EndometriEndometrialal
biopsiesbiopsies
ATACATAC 5% vs 1%5% vs 1%
BIG 1BIG 1 7.2% vs 7.2% vs 1.9%1.9%
Effect of AIs Effect of AIs on the lipid on the lipid profileprofile
Hypercholesterolemia Hypercholesterolemia reported in adjuvant AI reported in adjuvant AI trialstrials
Refs.: ATAC Trialists’ Group Lancet 2005;356:60–2, Thürlimann et al. www.ibscg.org, Coombes et al. N Engl J Med 2004;350:1081–92, Boccardo et al Clin Breast Cancer 2004;5:S13–7;Goss et al. N Engl J Med 2003;349:1793–802.
* Not systematically collected
Study FU(MO) AI Ref. Drug Event AI vs Ref. (%) p
ATAC BIG 1-98
60
26
Anastrozole
Letrozole
Tamoxifen
Tamoxifen
All grades Grade I
6.8 vs 2.6*
43.5 vs 19.1 38.1 vs 17.3
NI NI
IES
ITA
31
52
Exemestane
Anastrazole
Tamoxifen
Tamoxifen
Not reported
8 vs 3
0.01
Serum cholesterol levels in Serum cholesterol levels in BIG 1-98BIG 1-98Median change (%) versus Median change (%) versus baselinebaseline
Letrozole Tamoxifen
6 months N 2234 2201 Median 0% -12.1% 12 months N 2230 2201 Median 0% -13.6% 24 months N 1818 1810 Median -1.9% -14.7% 36 months N 933 914 Median -6.6% -9.2% 48 months N 461 474 Median -5.4% -13.5% 60 months N 290 266 Median -2.1% -15.4% Source: Appendix 8, Table 10-3k
Tamoxifen & LipidsTamoxifen & Lipids
Review by Herrington of the effects of SERMs (2001) :Tamoxifen, raloxifen, droloxifenEffect on lipids (cholesterol, HDL, LDL, triglycerides, Lp(a), Apo A-I, Apo-BCoagulationEndothelial cells
Effect of tamoxifen:10 studies (6 against placebo), n = 644
Decrease of cholesterol seen in all studiesMedian decrease: 12.5% (range 3-17%)Decrease is due to LDL cholesterol
Effect of AIs on Effect of AIs on CVDCVD
Summary: Incidence of CVD Summary: Incidence of CVD in adjuvant AI trialsin adjuvant AI trials
ATAC Trialists’ Group Lancet 2005;365:60; Thürlimann et al. www.ibcsg.org. Coombes et al. N Engl J Med 2004;350:1081; Coombes et al. Breast Cancer Res Treatm 2004;88:S7(Abstract 3); Jakesz et al. Breast Cancer Res Treatm 2004;88:S7(Abstract 2); Goss et al. Proc ASCO 2004;23:87(Abstract 847).
Study FU(mo) AI Ref. Drug Event AI vs Ref. (%) p
ATAC
BIG 1-98
60
26
Anastrozole
Letrozole
Tamoxifen
Tamoxifen Cardiac (All grades)Cardiac (Grade III–IV)
64.1 vs 3.4
4.1 vs 3.82.1 vs 1.1
NI
NI
IES
ARNO
31
28
Exemestane
Anastrazole
Tamoxifen
Tamoxifen
CVD
Not reported
MA.17 30 Letrozole Placebo 5.8 vs 5.6 0.67
Ischemic CVD 0.1Cardiac death Not reported
CVA/TIA
42.6 vs 39.2 0.2837 MI (All)
MI (on treatment)Cardiac deathVascular death
Ischemic CVD
Cardiac death 0.47 vs 0.78 NI
1.0 vs 1.00.0003
0.9 vs 0.40.7 vs 0.3
0.55 vs 0.500.63 vs 0.29
0.0230.126
NINI
BIG 1-98: Cardiovascular BIG 1-98: Cardiovascular events events (Grade 3–5)(Grade 3–5)
LetrozolLetrozolee
TamoxifTamoxifenen
pp
PatientsPatients 39753975 39883988
CVA/TIA gr 3–5CVA/TIA gr 3–5 1.0%1.0% 1.0%1.0% 1.01.0
Thromboembolic gr 3–5Thromboembolic gr 3–5 0.8%0.8% 2.1%2.1% < 0.0001< 0.0001
Cardiac gr 3–5Cardiac gr 3–5 2.1%2.1% 1.1%1.1% 0.00030.0003
Ischemic heart disease gr Ischemic heart disease gr 3–53–5
1.1%1.1% 0.6%0.6% 0.0130.013
Cardiac failure gr 3–5Cardiac failure gr 3–5 0.5%0.5% 0.1%0.1% 0.0060.006
Thürlimann et al. www.ibcsg.org;
Cardio-protective effect of Cardio-protective effect of tamoxifen tamoxifen MetanalysisMetanalysis
32 trials comparing tamoxifen against a control 32 trials comparing tamoxifen against a control group (metastatic, adjuvant, and prevention group (metastatic, adjuvant, and prevention settings) settings) 12 reported on myocardial infarction death12 reported on myocardial infarction death
> 52,000 patients; 66% postmenopausal; mean > 52,000 patients; 66% postmenopausal; mean age 54.8 yrs; mean treatment duration: 4.3 yrs; age 54.8 yrs; mean treatment duration: 4.3 yrs; mean FU: 5.6 yrsmean FU: 5.6 yrs
Relative risk ratio for fatal MIs (tamoxifen / Relative risk ratio for fatal MIs (tamoxifen / control): 0.62 (95% CI: 0.41-0.93)control): 0.62 (95% CI: 0.41-0.93)
Risk ratio without the Scottish trial: 0.81 (95% Risk ratio without the Scottish trial: 0.81 (95% CI: 0.48-1.37)CI: 0.48-1.37)
Braithwaite et al JGIM 2003;18:937-47
Cardio-protective effect of Cardio-protective effect of tamoxifentamoxifen
Early Breast Cancer Trialists Collaborative Early Breast Cancer Trialists Collaborative Group experience at 15 yrs (Lancet 2005)Group experience at 15 yrs (Lancet 2005)
~ 66,000 women treated with tamoxifen~ 66,000 women treated with tamoxifen Subset of ~15,000 women treated with 5 Subset of ~15,000 women treated with 5
yrs tamoxifen versus control:yrs tamoxifen versus control: 189 vs 169 vascular deaths (tamoxifen vs 189 vs 169 vascular deaths (tamoxifen vs
control, NS)control, NS) Stroke: 54 vs 29 (p=0.07)Stroke: 54 vs 29 (p=0.07) Thromboembolic: 15 vs 8 (NS); Thromboembolic: 15 vs 8 (NS); Cardiac cause: 120 vs 132 (p=0.06) Cardiac cause: 120 vs 132 (p=0.06)
Bone HealthBone Health
AI and fracturesAI and fractures
StudyStudy RxRx % % fracturesfractures
OROR P valueP value
ATACATACLancet 05Lancet 05
TamTam
AnaAna7.77.7
11111.491.49 <.0001<.0001
BIG 1-98BIG 1-98St. Gallen 05St. Gallen 05
TamTam
LetLet4.14.1
5.85.81.441.44 .0006.0006
IESIESASCO 06ASCO 06
TamTam
ExeExe7.07.0
4.94.9nrnr <.01<.01
Tam and fractures (NSABP-P1, JNCI 1998)
Pts > 50 yrs (tam vs placebo) HR: 0.79 (95% CI 0.60-1.05)
AT
30923094
29232932
27242741
25532579
23932401
20702100
845846
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
1 2 3 4 5 6
Time since randomisation (years)
0
Anastrozole (A)
Tamoxifen (T)
At risk:
Annual rates(%)
Fracture risk over time: Fracture risk over time: ATACATAC
A Howell, ASCO 2006
AT
30923094
29232932
27242741
25532579
23932401
20702100
845846
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
1 2 3 4 5 6
Time since randomisation (years)
0
Anastrozole (A)
Tamoxifen (T)
At risk:
Annual rates(%)
Fracture risk over time: Fracture risk over time: ATACATAC
Not only Anastrozole but also age, geographical region as risk factors; lower risk for concomitant statin.
A Howell, ASCO 2006
ATAC bone-substudyATAC bone-substudy
No pt with normal bone became No pt with normal bone became osteoporoticosteoporotic
Slowing down of bone-loss in years Slowing down of bone-loss in years 2-52-5
Correlation of bone markers and Correlation of bone markers and BMD decreaseBMD decrease
Patients at risk of bone loss should Patients at risk of bone loss should be identified and managedbe identified and managed
RE Coleman, ASCO 2006
Quality of LifeQuality of Life
Quality of Life - StudiesQuality of Life - Studies
TrialTrial SamplSample Sizee Size
InstrumeInstrumentnt
OutcomesOutcomes
ATACATAC 10211021 FACT-BFACT-B
Endocrine Endocrine subscalesubscale
No difference in No difference in overall HRLQOL or overall HRLQOL or endocrine subscaleendocrine subscale
IESIES 582582 FACT-BFACT-B
Endocrine Endocrine subscalesubscale
No difference in No difference in overall HRLQOL or overall HRLQOL or endocrine subscaleendocrine subscale
Quality of Life - StudiesQuality of Life - StudiesCOLD COLD SWEATSWEATSS
VAGINAL VAGINAL DISCHARGDISCHARGEE
IRRITATIOIRRITATIONN
VAGINAL VAGINAL DRYNESSDRYNESS
PAIN ON PAIN ON INTERCOURSINTERCOURSEE
LOSS OF LOSS OF SEXUAL SEXUAL INTERESTINTEREST
ANAANA 8%8% 1%1% 3%3% 16%16% 18%18% 16%16%
TAMTAM 11%11% 5%5% 5%5% 8%8% 8%8% 9%9%
pp <0.05<0.05 <0.05<0.05 <0.05<0.05 <0.05<0.05 <0.05<0.05 <0.05<0.05
Quality of Life - StudiesQuality of Life - StudiesCOLD COLD SWEATSWEATSS
VAGINAL VAGINAL DISCHARGDISCHARGEE
IRRITATIOIRRITATIONN
VAGINAL VAGINAL DRYNESSDRYNESS
PAIN ON PAIN ON INTERCOURSINTERCOURSEE
LOSS OF LOSS OF SEXUAL SEXUAL INTERESTINTEREST
ANAANA 8%8% 1%1% 3%3% 16%16% 18%18% 16%16%
TAMTAM 11%11% 5%5% 5%5% 8%8% 8%8% 9%9%
pp <0.05<0.05 <0.05<0.05 <0.05<0.05 <0.05<0.05 <0.05<0.05 <0.05<0.05
Counteracting Counteracting the AIs the AIs negative negative effectseffects
ASCO GuidelinesASCO Guidelines
BMD T –score >-1BMD T –score between
-1 and -2.5BMD T –score ≤-2.5
Provide lifestyle advice including calcium and vitamin D
Provide ReassuranceConsider drug therapy
on an individualized basis
Begin drug therapy-Alendronate-Risendronate-Zoledronate-Raloxifene*
Patient base selection (not Patient base selection (not tumor profile): Tamoxifen to be tumor profile): Tamoxifen to be excludedexcluded
Tam res tumors (ER+PgR-, HER2+, Tam res tumors (ER+PgR-, HER2+, DVT riskDVT risk High metabolizersHigh metabolizers ……..
Selection on the basis of patient Selection on the basis of patient (not tumor profile): Tamoxifen to (not tumor profile): Tamoxifen to be excludedbe excluded
Pre (peri) menopausePre (peri) menopause Osteoporosis??Osteoporosis?? ……..
ConclusionsConclusions
ConclusionsConclusions
Pts at risk of breast cancer relapse and death Pts at risk of breast cancer relapse and death should receive the agent should receive the agent most effectivemost effective and and with the with the most manageable toxicitymost manageable toxicity
Tamoxifen cannot be considered for Tamoxifen cannot be considered for prevention or treatment of diseases of prevention or treatment of diseases of ageing womenageing women For osteopenia/osteoporosis: For osteopenia/osteoporosis: diet, physical diet, physical
activity, bisphosphonatesactivity, bisphosphonates For hypercholesterolemia: For hypercholesterolemia: diet, physical diet, physical
activity, statinsactivity, statins
Relative and absolute risk Relative and absolute risk reductionreduction
Intervention produces a 35% relative risk reduction
Node-negative Node-positive
20%13%
65%
42%
Initial risk
Final risk
Initial risk
Final risk
Difference: 7% 23%
Relative and absolute risk Relative and absolute risk reductionreduction
Intervention produces a 35% relative risk reduction
Node-negative Node-positive
20%13%
65%
42%
Initial risk
Final risk
Initial risk
Final risk
Difference: 7% 23%
- 5%
Relative and absolute risk Relative and absolute risk reductionreduction
Intervention produces a 35% relative risk reduction
Node-negative Node-positive
20%13%
65%
42%
Initial risk
Final risk
Initial risk
Final risk
Difference: 7% 23%NNT 14.2
NNT 4.3