Upload
the-globe-and-mail
View
222
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
1/27
Title:
A suicide barrier on a bridge and its impact on suicide rates in Toronto: a
natural experiment
Authors:
Mark Sinyor, resident physician1
, Anthony J Levitt, psychiatrist-in-chief2
1. Department of Psychiatry, University of Toronto. 250 College Street, Toronto, Canada, M5T
1R8.
2. Department of Psychiatry, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre and Womens College
H it l 2075 B i A T t C d M4N 3M5
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
2/27
H it l 2075 B i A T t C d M4N 3M5
We thank Dr. James Edwards, Regional Supervising Coroner for Toronto East, and the entire
staff at the Office of the Chief Coroner of Ontario, including Dorothy Zwolakowski, June
Lindsell, Tina Baker and Karen Bridgman-Acker, without whom this research would not have
been possible. We further thank Dr. Ian Johnson and the Determinants of Community Health
course at the University of Toronto Medical School for facilitating the genesis of this project.
Finally, we thank Dr. Alex Kiss of the Department of Research Design and Biostatistics at
Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre for performing some of the statistical analyses as well as Dr.
Donald Redelmeier, Director of the Clinical Epidemiology Unit at Sunnybrook Health Sciences
Centre and Dr. David Streiner, Senior Scientist at the Kunin-Lunenfeld Applied Research Unit at
Baycrest for their advice and counsel.
Contributors: MS developed the idea for this study. MS contributed to the design of the study,
analysed the data, interpreted the results, and drafted the manuscript. AJL contributed to the
design of the study, interpreted the results, and critically revised the manuscript. MS is guarantor.
Funding: This study did not receive funding.
Competing interests: All authors have completed the Unified Competing Interest form at
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
3/27
All authors had full access to all of the data (including statistical reports and tables) in the study
and can take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.
ABSTRACT
Objective To determine whether suicide rates in Toronto changed after a suicide barrier was
erected at the Bloor Street Viaduct, the bridge with the second highest yearly rate of suicide by
jumping in the world next to the Golden Gate Bridge in San Francisco.
Design A natural experiment.
Setting City of Toronto and Province of Ontario, Canada; records at the Office of the Chief
Coroner of Ontario from 1993-2001 (9 years pre-barrier) and from July 2003-June 2007 (4 years
post-barrier)
Participants Individuals who died by suicide in the city of Toronto and in the rest of the
Canadian Province of Ontario.
Main outcome measures Changes in yearly rates of suicide by jumping at the Bloor Street
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
4/27
Conclusions Although the barrier prevented suicides at the Bloor Street Viaduct, there was no
change in the rate of suicide by jumping in Toronto. This lack of change in the overall rate of
suicide by jumping may have been due to a reciprocal increase in suicides from other bridges and
buildings. This suggests that the Bloor Street Viaduct was not a uniquely attractive location for
suicide and that suicide barriers on bridges like the Bloor Street Viaduct may not alter absolute
suicide rates by jumping when there are other comparable bridges nearby.
INTRODUCTION
It is well recognized that by restricting access to a means of suicide it may be possible to
delay or even prevent suicide among vulnerable individuals.1 This principle has been
demonstrated in the United Kingdom with successful programs to reduce suicides by switching
to carbon monoxide-free sources of gas,2 restricting package sizes of acetaminophen and
3 4 5
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
5/27
Golden Gate Bridge in San Francisco, the suicide hotspot with the highest annual rate of suicide
by jumping in the world.10
In one study, four of six surviving jumpers said that they would not
have attempted suicide at any location other than the Golden Gate Bridge and all six favoured the
construction of a suicide barrier at the bridge.12 Another study of 515 individuals who had been
prevented from jumping from the Golden Gate Bridge found that only 6% of them had gone on
to suicide at a later time.13 Despite this evidence, a recent U.S. telephone survey found that 74%
of respondents believed that most or all individuals prevented from suicide by a barrier at the
Golden Gate Bridge would find another way to complete suicide.14 Several studies looking at the
introduction of suicide barriers at the Memorial Bridge in Augusta, Maine,15 and the Clifton
Suspension Bridge in Bristol, England16 as well as the introduction of a safety net at Muenster
Terrace in Bern, Switzerland17 found reductions in suicides at each of these locations (decreases
of 0.6/year, 4.2/year and 2.5/year respectively). Each article examined the change in rates of
suicides by jumping from nearby bridges and/or buildings and concluded that little, if any,
location substitution was occurring. However, these studies lack statistical power due to the
relatively small yearly decreases in suicides at each bridge as well as low rates of suicide in
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
6/27
the dubious distinction of being the second most popular suicide bridge studied in the world
behind the Golden Gate Bridge.10
A suicide-prevention barrier was constructed at the Bloor
Street Viaduct between April 2002 and June 2003. The barrier is approximately 5 meters in
height and consists of thousands of thin steel rods spaced closely together supported externally
by an angled steel frame.20 It is not known whether the barrier has had any impact on Torontos
overall rate of suicides and on the rate of suicides by jumping. The current study aims to
examine coroners data, both pre-barrier and post-barrier, to determine if there has been any
change in suicide rates and whether or not people have substituted different locations or methods
for the Bloor Street Viaduct.
METHODS
Study design
Records at the Office of the Chief Coroner (OCC) of Ontario covering all suicides in Ontario
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
7/27
All suicides in Ontario (excluding Toronto), all suicides in Toronto, suicides in Toronto by
jumping (where jumping implies from a height i.e. subway jumpers do not fall into this
category) and suicides in Toronto by means other than jumping. Charts were examined for all
Toronto suicides coded as fall/jump from height to determine whether the suicide was from a
bridge or a building. The name and location of the bridge from which the deceased jumped was
also obtained.
The barrier was under construction from April 2002-June 2003 (as per correspondence
between the OCC and Mike Laidlaw, one of the barriers engineers). Accordingly, the 9 years
from 1993-2001 were classified as pre-barrier and the 4 years from July 1, 2003-June 30, 2007
were classified as post-barrier. Postal codes of home residence for individuals who jumped to
their deaths from bridges were obtained for 1999-2001 and July 1, 2003-June 30, 2007 to
determine if there was any change in the region from which they came.
Census data was also obtained from Statistics Canada for the years 1996, 2001 and 2006 to
determine the population of Ontario and Toronto.21 These data were used to correct suicide rates
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
8/27
Poisson regression analyses were conducted to examine differences between pre-barrier
and post-barrier suicide rates. Demographic data were analyzed using two-tailed, independent
sample t tests for continuous variables and 2-sided chi-squared tests for categorical variables.
Postal code data were analyzed using a 1-sided chi-squared test with the hypothesis that more
individuals would travel from outside the city limits to die by suicide at the Bloor Street Viaduct
(pre-barrier) than at other bridges in the post-barrier period. Statistical significance was set at
p=.05.
RESULTS
Suicide Rates
Rates of suicide by jumping in Toronto were statistically identical pre- and post-barrier
(56.4/year vs. 56.6/year, p=0.95) (Table 1)(Figure 1). There were 9.3 suicides/year from the
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
9/27
253.4/year vs. 225.4/year, p=0.05; Toronto suicides by other means: 197.0/year vs. 168.8/year
p=0.04). The decrease in overall rate of suicide in Toronto bordered on statistical significance
while the decrease in the rate of suicides by other means was significant. The overall rate of
suicides in Ontario (excluding Toronto) also decreased significantly in the post-barrier period
(836.4/year vs. 752.5/year p=0.01).
Demographics
People who died by suicide by other means post-barrier in Toronto were older than those
who did so in the pre-barrier period (48.0 vs. 45.8 yrs, p
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
10/27
To demonstrate that the Bloor Street Viaduct suicide barrier achieved the aims of its
advocates, one has to show that it prevented suicides at that location and that there were no
reciprocal increases in suicides by jumping at other locations or by other means. Based on the
first criterion, the barrier was a resounding success with no suicides there in the post-barrier
period of July 2003- June 2007. Clearly something about the barriers architectural design, its
aesthetic and/or the publicity surrounding its construction was sufficient to dissuade individuals
considering suicide at the Bloor Street Viaduct. This result is in keeping with previous work
showing that barriers help to prevent suicides at the location where they are placed.15-18,22-23 The
overall rate of suicide in Ontario decreased significantly in the post-barrier period. A similar
trend was observed in Toronto with a decrease in the overall suicide rate which bordered on
significance. This decrease in Torontos overall suicide rate of 28 suicides/year was
accompanied by a statistically significant decrease of the same number of suicides/year by means
other than jumping. There was no reduction in the yearly rate of suicide by jumping in Toronto.
Indeed, suicides from other bridges in Toronto showed a statistically significant increase of 5.5
suicides/year post-barrier (a 63% increase from the pre-barrier rate of 8.7 suicides/year).
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
11/27
substitution. As mentioned, no study of a suicide barrier has been able to demonstrate a
statistically significant drop in overall suicide rates in the vicinity. Of note, a study of the
removalof a suicide barrier on the Grafton Bridge in Auckland, New Zealand found that suicides
there increased significantly. However, suicides by jumping from other locations decreased by
the same number resulting in an unchanged total rate of suicide by jumping. 22 As mentioned, the
suggestion that suicide barriers on bridges would be effective comes from studies conducted in
San Francisco, however these studies examined individuals who had either jumped from the
Golden Gate Bridge and survived12 or those who had contemplated suicide or made a suicidal
gesture there and had thereby come to the attention of the police or an emergency room.13 These
two groups may be qualitatively different from individuals who have been prevented from
jumping at a location due to a physical barrier alone. Though some have argued that bridge
barriers are effective suicide prevention tools,24 the evidence in the literature in favour of such
barriers reducing absolute rates of suicide when there are other available buildings or bridges is
weak, in part due to the scarcity of bridges with pre-barrier suicide rates of sufficient magnitude
to make statistical calculations plausible.
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
12/27
The evidence presented here demonstrates that the Bloor Street Viaduct, despite being the second
most popular bridge for suicide, was a relatively weak magnet. There are a number of factors
that might make a bridge a stronger magnet. Ease of pedestrian access, perceived lethality of a
jump off the bridge and unique geographical features such as a bridge over water might all be
important factors which might influence an individuals preference for one bridge over another.
The Bloor Street Viaduct is easily accessed, jumps from the bridge are highly lethal and it is over
major highways. However, there are numerous other bridges in Toronto which fit this
description. Another consideration would be the bridges aesthetic and that of the surrounding
environment. While the Bloor Street Viaduct was likely viewed as an impressive structure when
completed in 1918, it is not aesthetically grand by 21st century standards and there are nearby
bridges of similar scale and that afford a similar view. A final consideration is the notoriety of
the bridge. While the Bloor Street Viaduct is a sufficiently notorious suicide location to have
become a minor pop culture reference, notably being featured in a song by the Barenaked
Ladies25 and a book by Michael Ondaatje26, it is not a cultural icon like the Golden Gate Bridge.
Images and news about the Bloor Street Viaduct are not ubiquitous in Toronto in comparison to
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
13/27
compared to only 38% of individuals who died by jumping from a nearby bridge.27 However,
this pattern was not observed with the Bloor Street Viaduct. Indeed, postal code data show that
significantly more people traveled from outside the city limits to jump from other bridges in the
post-barrier period than to jump from the Bloor Street Viaduct in the pre-barrier period
(p=0.049).
A third explanation is that the Bloor Street Viaduct suicide barrier could have decreased
rates of suicide by jumping under different circumstances. It is important to note that the barrier
was a standalone intervention. It has been argued that optimal suicide prevention programs
involve comprehensive strategies to provide education, combat stigma and improve accessibility
of services to individuals contemplating suicide.28 It is unclear whether a different result would
have been observed if the Bloor Street Viaduct suicide barrier had been part of a more
comprehensive suicide prevention program for suicide by jumping in Toronto. Furthermore, at
least one prominent newspaper article published shortly after the barriers construction
speculated that it did not prevent suicides because individuals were jumping at other locations.29
I S t b 2003 th ti l t d th t i di id l h d t l t d i id t th Bl
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
14/27
Bloor Street Viaduct during the study (19 suicides) were 1998 and 2002, the year in which the
coroners inquest into suicide at the Bloor Street Viaduct occurred and the year in which the
barrier was constructed respectively. This suggests that, at least in those instances, publicity may
have influenced patterns of suicide by jumping in Toronto.
Whether the Bloor Street Viaduct suicide barrier has had an impact on factors other
than rates of completed suicide is outside the scope of this research. Nonetheless, it is important
to note that there may be other reasons why one might want to prevent suicides at a particular
location. Several of the charts reviewed for this study noted vehicular trauma to the bodies of the
deceased. This underscores the fact that there may be social consequences to people jumping
onto busy highways including psychological or physical morbidity as well as mortality risk to
bystanders as a result of motor vehicle collisions, damage to property, disruption to travel
networks and impact on the economy. By eliminating all suicides at the Bloor Street Viaduct in
the post-barrier period, the suicide barrier prevented such negative social consequences from
occurring at that location. However, it may be that there was an increase in similar negative
outcomes at other bridges and buildings where suicides increased.
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
15/27
the Bloor Street Viaduct (median age 36, 79% male) were similar to data recently reported for
Golden Gate Bridge jumpers (median age 40, 74% male).21
However, as in any natural
experiment, this research comes with many uncontrolled variables. First, despite the relatively
high rate of suicides by jumping at this site, the absolute numbers may have been too low to
achieve adequate power in a study of this kind. Second, despite the relative comprehensiveness
of the OCC records, it is possible that suicide rates by all causes were over-estimated and/or
under-estimated in the pre-barrier and/or post-barrier period due to incompleteness or inaccuracy
of records kept by the OCC. Third, there is the possibility of bias in the OCC records because
deceased individuals found beneath certain bridges or indeed after falling from any bridge or
building may be more likely to have been ruled as having died by suicide than by other causes
such as misadventure, homicide or accidental death. Finally, it is also possible that an ecological
fallacy is operating. Suicide in itself is a rare event and suicides by jumping are uncommon to an
even greater extent. Despite the remarkably stable number of suicides by jumping in Toronto
pre-barrier, one cannot discount the possibility that rates of suicide at other bridges increased
post-barrier for reasons other than location substitution. These might include chance fluctuations
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
16/27
statistically significant rise in suicides by jumping from other bridges and a non-significant rise
in suicides by jumping from buildings. This suggests that the availability of the Bloor Street
Viaduct was not an essential element for suicide among individuals contemplating suicide by
jumping in Toronto. The authors speculate that a different result may be observed if a bridge
holds a more powerful influence on suicidal individuals. This may be the case for the Golden
Gate Bridge in San Francisco for example, though further evidence is needed. A safety net
might be installed at the Golden Gate Bridge in the near future,24 so it may be possible to
undertake research similar to the present study in San Francisco. However, there may be greater
logistical challenges since the major bridges in San Francisco are over water making it more
difficult to obtain accurate suicide counts. This research demonstrates that constructing a suicide
barrier on a bridge with a high pre-barrier rate of suicide by jumping is likely to dramatically
reduce or eliminate suicides at that bridge but that it may not alter absolute suicide rates by
jumping when there are other comparable bridges nearby.
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
17/27
WHAT THIS STUDY ADDS
There were no suicides at the Bloor Street Viaduct in Toronto, previously the bridge with the
second highest yearly rate of suicide next to the Golden Gate Bridge, after a barrier was
erected.
Suicide rates were unchanged due to a corresponding increase in jumps from other bridges
and buildings in the area.
This suggests that barriers may not decrease suicide rates when other, similar jumping
locations are available though we speculate that the Golden Gate Bridge might be an
exception given evidence that it holds a special meaning for some individuals contemplating
suicide.
REFERENCES
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
18/27
4. Hawton, K, Townsend, E, Deeks, J. et al. Effects of legislation restricting pack sizes of
paracetamol and salicylate on self poisoning in the UK: before and after study. BMJ
2001;322: 1203-1207.
5. Amos T, Appleby L, Kiernan K. Changes in rates of suicide by car exhaust asphyxiation
in England and Wales. Psychol Med 2001;31(5):935-9.
6. Beautrais AL, Fergusson DM, Horwood LJ. Firearms legislation and reductions in
firearm-related suicide deaths in New Zealand. Australian and New Zealand Journal of
Psychiatry 2006;40:253-259.
7. Leenaars AA, Moksony F, Lester D, Wenckstern S. The impact of gun control (Bill C-
51) on suicide in Canada. Death Stud 2003;27(2):103-24.
8. Sloan JH, Rivara FP, Reay DT, Ferris JA, Kellermann AL. Firearm regulations and rates
of suicide. A comparison of two metropolitan areas. N Engl J Med 1990;322(6):369-73.
9. Rich CL, Young JG, Fowler RC, Wagner J, Black NA. Guns and suicide: possible effects
of some specific legislation. Am J Psychiatry. 1990;147(3):342-6.
10.Gunnell D, Nowers M. Suicide by jumping. Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica 1997;96(1)1-
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12675070?ordinalpos=4&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_DefaultReportPanel.Pubmed_RVDocSumhttp://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12675070?ordinalpos=4&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_DefaultReportPanel.Pubmed_RVDocSumhttp://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2393410?ordinalpos=1&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_DefaultReportPanel.Pubmed_RVDocSumhttp://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2393410?ordinalpos=1&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_DefaultReportPanel.Pubmed_RVDocSumhttp://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2309953?ordinalpos=3&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_DefaultReportPanel.Pubmed_RVDocSumhttp://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2309953?ordinalpos=3&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_DefaultReportPanel.Pubmed_RVDocSumhttp://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12675070?ordinalpos=4&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_DefaultReportPanel.Pubmed_RVDocSumhttp://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12675070?ordinalpos=4&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_DefaultReportPanel.Pubmed_RVDocSumhttp://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2393410?ordinalpos=1&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_DefaultReportPanel.Pubmed_RVDocSumhttp://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2393410?ordinalpos=1&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_DefaultReportPanel.Pubmed_RVDocSumhttp://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2309953?ordinalpos=3&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_DefaultReportPanel.Pubmed_RVDocSumhttp://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2309953?ordinalpos=3&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_DefaultReportPanel.Pubmed_RVDocSum8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
19/27
14.Miller M, Azrael D, Hemenway D. Belief in the inevitability of suicide: results from a
national survey. Suicide and Life-Threatening Behavior 2006;36:1-11.
15. Pelletier AR. Preventing suicide by jumping: the effect of a bridge safety fence. Injury
Prevention 2007;13:5759.
16.Bennewith O, Nowers M, Gunnell D. Effect of barriers on the Clifton suspension bridge,
England, on local patterns of suicide: Implications for prevention.British Journal of
Psychiatry 2007;190(3):266-267.
17.Reisch T, Michel K. Securing a Suicide Hot Spot: Effects of a Safely Net at the Bern
Muenster Terrace. Suicide and Life-Threatening Behavior 2005;35(4): 460-467.
18.Glenn WM. The Magnet and the Veil. MD Canada 2003; May/June:36-42.
19.Bloor Street Viaduct suicide barrier designed. University of Waterloo News Release.
(Accessed April 1,2010 at http://newsrelease.uwaterloo.ca/archive/news.php?id=2379)
20.The Luminous Veil Prince Edward Viaduct Safety Barriers. University of Waterloo
School of Architecture(Accessed April 1,2010
http://www.architecture.uwaterloo.ca/faculty_projects/terri/steel/veil.html)
http://newsrelease.uwaterloo.ca/archive/news.php?id=2379http://newsrelease.uwaterloo.ca/archive/news.php?id=23798/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
20/27
24. Blaustein M, Fleming A. Suicide from the Golden Gate Bridge. American Journal of
Psychiatry, 2009: 166(10):1111-6.
25. Barenaked Ladies. War on drugs. In: Everything to Everyone. Reprise Records, 2003.
26. Ondaatje M. In the skin of a lion. Vintage Canada, 1996.
27. Cantor CH, Hill MA. Suicide from river bridges. Aust N Z J Psychiatry 1990;24(3):377-
80.
28. Cole-King A, Lepping P. Suicide mitigation: time for a more realistic approach. BJGP.
2010; 60,570:3-4.
29. Harding K. The new suicide bridge. The Globe and Mail. September 6, 2003:M1.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/pubmed/19797444?itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_RVDocSum&ordinalpos=5http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/pubmed/2241722?ordinalpos=1&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_DefaultReportPanel.Pubmed_RVDocSumhttp://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/pubmed/19797444?itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_RVDocSum&ordinalpos=5http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/pubmed/2241722?ordinalpos=1&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_DefaultReportPanel.Pubmed_RVDocSum8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
21/27
Table 1. Poisson Regression Analysis of Yearly Suicide Rates by Jumping and by Other Means in Ontario and Toronto Pre-Barrier
(1993-2001) and Post-Barrier (July 2003-June 2007).
Subgroup Suicides Pre-barrier
Mean Number Per Year
Suicides Post-barrier
Mean Number Per Year
Regression
Coefficient
Standard
Error
p IRR (95% Cl)
Observed Corrected* Observed Corrected*
Ontario (excluding Toronto) 880.1 836.4 887.5 752.5 -0.11 0.04 0.01 0.90 (0.83 to 0.98)
Toronto (total) 261.2 253.4 241.8 225.4 -0.12 0.06 0.05 0.89 (0.79 to 1.00)
Jumping 58.2 56.4 60.8 56.6 0.00 0.08 0.95 1.00 (0.87 to 1.17)
Building 39.7 38.5 45.8 42.7 0.10 0.10 0.32 1.11 (0.90 to 1.36)
Bridge 18.6 17.9 15.3 14.2 -0.23 0.19 0.22 0.79 (0.55 to 1.15)
Bloor Street Viaduct 9.6 9.3 0 0 -2.92 0.89
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
22/27
22
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
23/27
Table 2. Demographic Characteristics of Individuals Who Died by Suicide by Jumping and by Other Means in Toronto Pre-Barrier
(1993-2001) and Post-Barrier (July 2003-June 2007)
Suicides by Jumping
Building
A
Suicide by Jumping
Bloor Street Viaduct
B
Suicide by
Jumping Other
Bridges
C
Suicide by Other
Means (Non-
Jumping)
D
Statistical
Comparison
Across Rows*
Pre-barrier Mean Age in Years (SD) 43.5 (18) 38.1 (12.5) 38.6 (15.6) 45.8 (17.4) D>A>B=C
Post-barrier Mean Age in Years (SD) 45.8 (17.8) - 38.5 (13.6) 48.0 (17.2) D=A>C
Pre-barrier vs. Post-barrier comparison* Non significant Non significant Significant
Pre-barrier Number of Males (%) 357 (59.4) 86 (79.3) 81 (78.5) 1827 (70.7) B=C>D>A
Post-barrier Number of Males (%) 183 (64.5) - 61 (72.1) 723 (70.1) C=D=A
Pre-barrier vs. Post-barrier comparison* Non significant - Non significant Non significant
*Significant if p
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
24/27
Location of Residence Pre-barrier
N=57
Post-barrier
N=61
Suicide by jumping from
other bridges
N (% post-barrier)
Suicide by jumping from
Bloor Street Viaduct
N (% pre-barrier)
Suicide by jumping from
other bridges
N (% pre-barrier)
Toronto 17 (29.8%) 23 (40.4%) 41 (67.2%)
Suburbs or Beyond 2 (3.5%) 0 (0%) 9 (14.8%)
No Fixed Address/Unknown 4 (7.0%) 11 (19.3%) 11 (18.0%)
*Postal codes were only available for this analysis from 1999 onwards
More individuals travelled from outside the city limits in the post-barrier period, chi-squared=3.8, df=1, p=0.049
24
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
25/27
Figure 1: Toronto Suicides by Jumping and by Other Means Pre-
Barrier (1993-2001) and Post-Barrier (July 2003 - June 2007)*
0
50
100
150
200
250
19921994 1996 1998 2000 20022004 2006 2008
Year
#ofsuicid
es
Other means
Jumping
25
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
26/27
*Corrected per capita to suicides per 1993 population; not age-standardized
26
8/9/2019 A Suicide Barrier on a Bridge and Its Impact on Suicide Rates in Toronto: A Natural Experiment
27/27
Figure 2: Toronto Suicides by Jumping from the Bloor Street
Viaduct and Other Bridges Pre-Barrier (1993-2001) and Post-
Barrier (July 2003 - June 2007)*
0
5
10
15
20
25
1992 199419961998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008
Year
#o
fsuicides
Bloor StreetViaduct
Other Bridges
*Corrected per capita to suicides per 1993 population; not age-standardized
27