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5/13/2018 A Study on Portfolio Construction - slidepdf.com
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Chapter-1
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
INTRODUCTION TO THE INDUSTRY:
The project entitled “A Study on Portfolio Construction and Evaluation of Five
securities in NSE at Geojit Financial services Ltd” deals with the construction of
different portfolios on the basis of risk-return evaluation and loss minimization.
The companies are selected from the top list of NSE CNX NIFTY on a random
basis. The study gives a better understanding of security analysis and portfolio
construction and evaluation.
Company name: GEOJIT FINANCIAL SERVICES Ltd
SELECTED COMPANIES: ITC,HERO HONDA,TATA MOTORS,BPCL,WIPRO
Statement of the Problem:
The problem under study is to construct different portfolios considering the risk
return factors of the securities and the market as a whole and to evaluate then to find out
best out of them. The evaluation provides necessary feedback for better designing of
portfolio next around.
Title of the study:
“A Study on Portfolio Construction and Evaluation of Five Securities in NSE at Geojit
Financial Services Limited, Calicut”
Objective of the research:
To construct three portfolios with five major securities in different sectors by
using three different criteria.
To perform the risk return analysis of the securities constructed.
To evaluate the performance of the portfolios so constructed.
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Scope of the study:
The study is only to the Indian capital market situations. The methods and
techniques followed in the study are highly relevant and efficient. Therefore the study
can give a basic picture of portfolio construction and evaluation.
Research methodology:
Research design:
Firstly, the determinations of the following are done;
a. Return of securities
b. Risk of securitiesc. Beta value of securities
d. Alpha value of securities
e. Systematic risk and unsystematic risk (residual variance) of securities
Secondly,
a. By giving equal weight to each of security
b .By giving weight to each security based on Price-Earnings Ratio.
C .By giving weight to each security on the basis of random number.
Then the third step, evaluation of the portfolio is done to find out the best portfolio
1.Sharpe ratio
2.Treynor ratio
3.Jensen measure
DATA SOURCES AND COLLECTION
The movement of NSE Nifty index is the fundamental data for the study. The companies are
selected from the top list of NSE CNX NIFTY on a random basis.
PERIOD OF THE STUDY
The study was carried for a period of 45 days
TOOLS FOR ANALYSIS
The collected data has been analyzed using basic statistical tools like Ratios,Charts and Formulas.
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Chapter 2
GENERAL INTRODUCTION
An investor means people who invest their savings. Investment is an activity,
which is different from savings. Savings are generated when a person abstains from
present consumption for a future use. Savings kept as cash are burden and do not earn
anything. Hence the saver has to find a temporary repository for his saving until they
are required for the future. This results in investment. Today, investment has become a
household word and is very popular with people from all walks of like. It is because of
increase in working population, higher family incomes and consequent savings,
availability of large and attractive investment alternatives, increase in investment
related publicity and so on.
Due to the extreme volatility of today’s capital market conditions the investors
are facing much complexity in making decisions regarding their investment. They are
interested to achieve their investment goals without losing their money. Since the return
and risk are the major factors influencing the decisions of the investors, they are
seeking an effective trade-off between them. The art of investment focuses on an
optimal compromise between return and risk.
The project entitled “A study on Portfolio Construction and Evaluation of Five
securities in NSE at Geojit Financial services Ltd deals with the construction of different
portfolios on the basis of risk-return evaluation and loss minimization. The companies
are selected from the top list of NSE CNX NIFTY on a random basis. The study uses
various methods of creating portfolios like equal weights, random numbers and P/E
ratio. The study also analyses these portfolios by using different analysis tools like
SHARPE ratio etc.The study also generate the best portfolio and evaluating the return
of the securities.
The study gives a better understanding of security analysis and portfolio
construction and evaluation. The study also helps to become familiar with various tools,
methods and techniques which are used to reach at effective decisions in the capital
market.
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INDUSTRY PROFILE
INDIAN CAPITAL MARKET
The capital market is a place where the suppliers and users of capital meet to
share one another’s views, and where a balance is sought to be achieved among diverse
market participants. Or in other words, Capital market is the place wherein funds are
raised for companies for meeting their long-term requirements. It is a mechanism which
co-ordinates the demand and supply forces of long-term capital. The capital market is
classified into primary market and secondary market. Primary market is one in whichlong term capital is raised by corporations directly from the public. The secondary
market refers to the stock market where the financial instruments or securities are
traded. Thus capital market is the market for:
Raising long term capital; through the issue of financial instruments or financial
assets;
Liquidating the issued or subscribed financial assets or financial instruments
like shares or debentures.
The primary market in which public issue of securities is made through
a prospectus is a retail market and there is no physical location. Offer for subscription
to securities is made to investing community. The secondary market or stock exchange
is a market for trading and settlement of securities that have already been issued. The
investors holding securities sell securities through registered brokers or sub-brokers of
the exchange. It may have a physical location like a stock exchange or a trading floor.
Since 1995, trading in securities is screen based and internet based trading has also
made an appearance in India.
The secondary market consists of 22 stock exchanges including NSE and BSE.
The secondary market provides a trading place for the securities already issued, to be
bought and sold. It also provides liquidity to the initial buyers in the primary market to
re offer the securities to any interested buyer at any price, if mutually accepted.
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An active secondary market actually promotes the growth of the primary market
and capital formation because investors in the primary market are assured of a
continuous market and they can liquidate their investments.
Development of Indian Capital Market:
The roots of a stock market in India began in the 1860s during the American
Civil War that led to a sudden surge in the demand for cotton from India resulting in
setting up of a number of joint stock companies that issued securities to raise finance.
This trend was akin to the rapid growth of securities markets in Europe and the North
America in the background of expansion of railroads and exploration of natural
resources and land development.
Historical records show that as early as 1864, there were about 1,000 brokers
with the stock markets functioning from three places in Mumbai; between 9 am to 7 pm
at the junction of Meadows Street and Rampart Row, from day break till 9 am and from
7 pm to early hours of next morning at Bazar gate.
Share prices rose sharply even at that time. A share of Colaba Land Company
during the boom period of the 1860s rose from Rs 10,000 at par to Rs 120,000 and that
of Back bay Shares went up from Rs 2,000 to Rs 54,000. Bombay, at that time, was a
major financial centre having housed 31 banks, 20 insurance companies and 62 joint
stock companies.
A new phase in the Indian stock markets began in the 1970s, with the
introduction of Foreign Exchange Regulation Act (FERA) that led to divestment of
foreign equity by the multinational companies, which created a surge in retail investing.
The early 1980s witnessed another surge in stock markets when major companies such
as Reliance accessed equity markets for resource mobilization that evinced huge
interest from retail investors.
A new set of economic and financial sector reforms that began in the early
1990s gave further impetus to the growth of the stock markets in India. As a part of the
reform process, it became imperative to strengthen the role of the capital markets that
could play an important role in efficient mobilization and allocation of financial
resources to the real economy. Towards this end, several measures were taken to
streamline the processes and systems including setting up an efficient market
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infrastructure to enable Indian finance to grow further and mature. The importance of
an efficient micro market infrastructure came into focus following the incidence of
market abuses in securities and banking markets in 1991 and 2001 that led to extensive
investigations by two respective Joint Parliamentary Committees.
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), which was set up in 1988
as an administrative arrangement, was given statutory powers with the enactment of the
SEBI Act, 1992. The broad objectives of the SEBI include
To protect the interests of the investors in securities
To promote the development of securities markets and to regulate the securities
markets
The scope and functioning of the SEBI has greatly expanded with the rapid
growth of securities markets in India in the last fifteen years.
Faster and efficient securities settlement system is an important ingredient of a
successful stock market. To speed the securities settlement process, The Depositories
Act 1996 was passed that allowed for dematerialization (and re-materialization) of
securities in depositories and the transfer of securities through electronic book entry.
The National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) set up by leading financial
institutions,
Trading Pattern of the Indian Stock Market
Trading in Indian stock exchanges are limited to listed securities of public
limited companies. They are broadly divided into two categories, namely, specified
securities (forward list) and non-specified securities (cash list). Equity shares of
dividend paying, growth-oriented companies with a paid-up capital of at least Rs.50
million and a market capitalization of at least Rs.100 million and having more than
20,000 shareholders are, normally, put in the specified group and the balance in non-
specified group.
Two ty pes of transactions can be carried out on the Indian stock exchanges: (a)
spot delivery transactions "for delivery and payment within the time or on the date
stipulated when entering into the contract which shall not be more than 14 days
following the date of the contract" : and (b) forward transactions "delivery and payment
can be extended by further period of 14 days each so that the overall period does not
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exceed 90 days from the date of the contract". The latter is permitted only in the case of
specified shares. The brokers who carry over the out standings pay carry over charges
(cantango or backwardation) which are usually determined by the rates of interest
prevailing.
A member broker in an Indian stock exchange can act as an agent, buy and sell
securities for his clients on a commission basis and also can act as a trader or dealer as a
principal, buy and sell securities on his own account and risk, in contrast with the
practice prevailing on New York and London Stock Exchanges, where a member can
act as a jobber or a broker only.
National Stock Exchange (NSE)
There are two kinds of players in NSE:
(a) Trading members and
(b) Participants.
Recognized members of NSE are called trading members who trade on behalf
of themselves and their clients. Participants include trading members and large players
like banks who take direct settlement responsibility.
Trading at NSE takes place through a fully automated screen-based trading
mechanism which adopts the principle of an order-driven market. Trading members can
stay at their offices and execute the trading, since they are linked through a
communication network. The prices at which the buyer and seller are willing to transact
will appear on the screen. When the prices match the transaction will be completed and
a confirmation slip will be printed at the office of the trading member.
It is all about your money, being managed by the experts, while you continue with your
routine life. Isn't it simple and totally hassle free.
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What's more, you can keep track of your dividends / bonus / rights issues with
paperless tracking. So you always know how fast your investment is growing. It
basically means assigning the right job to the right person.
COMPANY PROFILE
GEOJIT FINANCIAL SERVICES LIMITETD, CALICUT, KERALA.
Geojit financial services limited is a one-stop financial services shop, most
respected for quality of its advice, personalized service and cutting-edge technology.
Geojit financial services Ltd is listed on both the leading stock exchanges in
India, viz. the Stock Exchange, Mumbai (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange
(NSE). The Geojit financial services ltd is comprising the holding company, Geojit
financial services Ltd and its subsidiaries, straddles the entire financial services space
with offerings ranging from Equity research, Equities and derivatives trading,
Commodities trading, Portfolio Management Services, Mutual Funds, Life Insurance,
Fixed deposits, and other small savings instruments to loan products and Investment
banking. Geojit financial services ltd also owns and manages the websites,
www.Geojit.com.
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Geojit financial services ltd Ltd, being a listed entity, is regulated by SEBI
(Securities and Exchange Board of India). It undertakes equities research which is
acknowledged by none other than Forbes as 'Best of the Web' and '…a must read for
investors in Asia'
SAILENT FEATURES
Expert team of Research Analysts
Stock Picking done by the Investment Committee
Dedicated Relationship Manager
Technology and Service driven Back-Office
STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
The problem under study is to construct different portfolios considering the risk
return factors of the securities and the market as a whole and to evaluate then to find out
best out of them. As the economy and financial markets are dynamic, changes take
place almost daily. Therefore the security which is attractive today will not be the one
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which is favorable tomorrow. New securities with promises of high return with low risk
may emerge. Then the advisor cannot stick-on in his current portfolio, he will be forced
to revise the current portfolio in the light of the emerging conditions in the market.
Therefore, the portfolio management is an ongoing process in this volatile market. This
process starts with security analysis, proceeds to portfolio construction and continues
with portfolio revision and evaluation.
The evaluation provides necessary feedback for better designing of portfolio
next around. Superior performance will be achieved through continual refinement of
portfolio management skills. While investing in a single security, it may bring a higher
risk to the investor due to the extreme volatility of the market. So, a thinking investor
may construct an optimal portfolio to achieve his investment goals and diversify the
risk factor of the volatile market.
OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
The study entitled “A Study on Portfolio Construction and Evaluation of Five
Securities in NSE at Geojit Financial Services Limited, Calicut”
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The study has the following objectives.
To construct three portfolios with five major securities in different sectors by
using three different criteria.
To perform the risk return analysis of the securities constructed.
To evaluate the performance of the portfolios so constructed.
SCOPE OF THE STUDY
Recently the number of investors in the capital market is increasing day-by-day.
Therefore a study related to the capital market activities has a high relevance. Sincealmost all of the investors are interested to diversify their risk by constructing suitable
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portfolios, the study “A Study on Portfolio Construction and Evaluation of Five
Securities in NSE at Geojit Financial Services Ltd” has a considerable relevance in
the current market scenario. Since time immemorial, human beings have tried to
manage risk faced in their day-to-day life. The study helps to understand how to
allocate the fund in the best way so that risk and return get balanced.
The study is only to the Indian capital market situations. The methods and
techniques followed in the study are highly relevant and efficient. Therefore the study
can give a basic picture of portfolio construction and evaluation.
METHODOLOGY
CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
12
Portfolio Management
Security analysisP/E RatioPortfolio Evaluation Sharpe RatioTreynor RatioJensen Measure
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RESEARCH DESIGN
This research is designed in such a way that to make the interpretation easily by anyone
who goes through this. The researcher here tried to make it very simple to understand
the research very clearly.
13
Portfolio construction
Equal weight
Random Number
Portfolio selection
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Firstly, the determinations of the following are done;
Return of securities
Risk of securities
Beta value of securities
Alpha value of securities
Systematic risk and unsystematic risk (residual variance) of securities
Secondly, after determining the above values the portfolio construction is done.
Portfolios were constructed according to;
By giving equal weight to each of security
By giving weight to each security based on Price-Earnings Ratio.
By giving weight to each security on the basis of random number.
After the portfolio construction the determination of portfolio risk and return is done.
Then the third step, evaluation of the portfolio is done to find out the best portfolio. For
that purpose the following measures or ratios were used;
Sharpe ratio
Treynor ratio
Jensen measure
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ANALYSIS PLAN
Researcher here uses a number of formulas to find out different values;
Microsoft Excel is used for computation purpose.
Beta of Security
βi = (n∑xy - ∑x∑y) / (n∑x2 – (∑x)2)
Where;
x = Market return
y = Stock return
n = No. of trading days in a year
Alpha of Security
αi = R i – (βi × R m)
Where;
R i = Return of the security
βi = Beta of the security
R m = Return of the market index
Systematic risk of security
Systematic risk = βi² × σm2
βi = Beta of the security
σm2 = Variance of the market index
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Residual variance of security
σ²ei = σ²i – (β²і × σ²m)
σ²i = Stock variance
Portfolio Alpha
α p = ∑ωi × αi
Where;
ωi = Weight of the security
αi = Alpha of the security
Portfolio Beta
β p = ∑ωi × βi
Where;
ωi = Weight of the security
βi = Beta of the security
Portfolio Return
R p = α p + (β p × R m)
Where;
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α p = Alpha value of the portfolio
β p = Beta value of the portfolio
R m = Return of the market index
Portfolio Risk
σ p2 = β p
2σm2 + ∑ωi
2σei2
Where;
β p = Beta value of the portfolio
σm2 = Variance of the market index
ωi = Weight of the security
σei2 = Residual variance
Sharpe Ratio
SR = (R p – R f ) / σ p
Where;
R p = Return of the portfolio
R f = Risk free rate of return
σ p = Standard deviation of the portfolio
Treynor Ratio
TR = (R p – R f ) / β p
Where;
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R p = Return of the portfolio
R f = Risk free rate of return
β p = Beta value of the portfolio
Jensen Measure
JM = R p – E (R p)
Where,
E (R p) = R f + β p (R m-R f )
R f = Risk free rate of return
R m = Return of the market index
β p = Beta value of the portfolio
DATA SOURCES AND COLLECTION
The movement of NSE Nifty index is the fundamental data for the study. The
companies are selected from the top list of NSE CNX NIFTY on a random basis. The
nature of data source is secondary. The information is mainly collected from websites.
References are made from Newspapers, Magazines and Journals.
PERIOD OF THE STUDY
The study was carried for a period of 45 days
TOOLS FOR ANALYSIS
The collected data has been analyzed using basic statistical tools like Ratios, Charts and
Formulas.
LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY
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The study entitled ““A Study on Portfolio Construction and Evaluation of Five
Securities in NSE at Geojit Financial Services Limited, Calicut”.
Data considered only for past three year period.
Data collected is secondary in nature.
Only 5 securities are considered.
The duration of the study was limited to 45 days so that an extensive and deepstudy could not be possible.
Chapter- 3
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ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION
PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
Investing in securities such as shares, debentures and bonds are profitable as
well as exciting. It is needed rewarding, but involves a great deal of risk and calls for
scientific knowledge as well as artistic skill. In such investments, both rational as well
as emotional responses are involved. Investing in financial securities is now considered
to be one of the best avenues for investing one's savings while it is acknowledged to be
one of the most risky avenues of investment. It is rare to find investors investing their
entire savings in a single security. Instead, they tend to invest in a group of securities.
Such a group of securities are called portfolio management.
Creation of a portfolio helps to reduce risk without sacrificing returns. Portfolio
management deals with the analysis of individual securities as well as with the theory
and practice of optimally combining securities into portfolios. The risk and return
characteristics of a portfolio differ from those of individual securities combining toform a portfolio. The investor tries to choose the optimal portfolio taking into
consideration the risk-return characteristics of all possible portfolios.
PHASES IN PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
There are five phases in portfolio management
Security Analysis
Portfolio Analysis
Portfolio Selection
Portfolio Revision
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Portfolio Evaluation
PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS
A portfolio is a group of securities held together as investment. Investors invest
their funds in a portfolio of securities rather than in a single security because they are
risk-averse. By constructing a portfolio investors attempt to spread risk by not putting
all their eggs into one basket. Diversification of one's holdings is intended to reduce
risk in the investment.
By the security analysis process an investor can reach at asset of worth while or
desirable securities. From these set of securities an indefinitely large number of
portfolios can be constructed by choosing different set of securities and also by varying
the proportion of investment in each security. Each individual security has its own risk
return characteristics, which can be measured and expressed punitively. Each portfolio
constructed by combining the individual securities has its own specific risk return
characteristics, which have not just the aggregate of individual security’s
characteristics. The risk and return of each portfolio has to be calculated mathematically
and expressed quantitatively. Portfolio analysis phase of portfolio management consists
of identifying the range of portfolios that can be constituted from a given set of
securities and calculating their return and risk for further analysis.
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PORTFOLIO SELECTION
Portfolio analysis provides the input for the next phase of portfolio
management, which is portfolio selection. The proper goal of portfolio construction is
to generate a portfolio that provides highest return at a given level of risk. A portfolio
having these characteristics is known as efficient portfolio. Impute from portfolio
analysis can be used to identify the set of efficient portfolios. From these set of
portfolios, optimal portfolio has to be selected for investment.
PORTFOLIO REVISION
Having constructed the optimal portfolio; the investor has to constantly monitor
the portfolio to ensure that it continues to be optimal. As the economy and the financial
markets are dynamic, changes take almost daily. As time passes securities which were
ones attractive may seize to so. New securities, which promise high returns and low
risk, may emerge.
The investor has to revise his portfolio in the light of the developments in themarket. This leads to purchase of some new securities and sale of some of the existing
securities from the portfolio.
The mix of securities and their proportion in their portfolio changes as a result of
the revision. Whatever is the reason for portfolio revision it has to be done scientifically
and objectively so as to ensure the optimality of revised portfolio. Portfolio revision is
not a casual process to be casual out without much care. In fact, in the entire process of
portfolio management, portfolio revision is as important as portfolio analysis and
selection.
PORTFOLIO EVALUATION
The objective of constructing a portfolio and revising periodically is to earn a
maximum return with a minimum risk. Portfolio evaluation is a process, which isconcerned with assessing the performance of the portfolio. Alternative measures of
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Performance evaluations have been developed for the use of investors and portfolio
managers. Portfolio evaluation is useful in yet another way. It provides mechanism for
identifying weakness in the investment process and for improving these deficient areas.
It provides the feedback mechanism for improving the entire portfolio management
process. It is an ongoing process. It starts with security analysis proceeds to portfolio
construction and continues with portfolio revision and evaluation. The evaluation
provides the necessary feedback for better designing of the next time around. Superior
performance is achieved through continual refinement of portfolio management skills.
Portfolio evaluation refers to the evaluation of the performance of portfolio. It is
the process of comparing the return earned on a portfolio with the return earned on one
or more portfolios or a benchmark portfolio..
RISK AND RETURN OF SECURITIES
Risk means possibility of loss or injury. Often the risk is interchangeably used
with uncertainty. In uncertainty, the possible events and probabilities of their
occurrence are not known. Before investing his or her invisible wealth in the stock, he
or she analyses the risk associated with the particular stock. The actual return he
receives from a stock may vary from his expected return and the risk is expressed in
terms of variability of return.
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Whereas return is the after effect of the risk. It is directly related with the risk
factor. The return is calculated upon the amount of risk suffered by the investor. The
return from the security includes both current income and capital gain caused by the
appreciation of the price. The income and capital gain are expressed as a percentage of
money invested in the beginning.
Return and risk has a direct relationship. When risk of a security is high the
return will also be in a high level and vice versa. While analyzing the securities an
investor will select such type of securities which are affordable to him in terms of risk
and return. He will select the point where there is a tradeoff between risk and return.
BETA of Security
The Beta value indicates the measure of systematic risk of the security. Beta
describes the relationship between the stock return and the market index return. Beta of
security may be positive, negative, or zero. “The beta of an asset is a measure of
variability of that asset relative to the variability of the market as a whole”. Beta is an
index of the systematic risk of an asset.
Where;
N = Number of Observations = 744
Y = Current Stock Price – Yesterday’s Stock Price × 100
Yesterday’s Stock Price
X = Current Market Index – Yesterday’s Market Index × 100
Yesterday’s Market Index
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ALPHA of Security
The alpha value indicates the extra return earned by the stock over and above
the market return. Alpha measures the unsystematic risk of a security.
Return of Stock = Alpha + (Beta × Market return per year)
R i = αi + (βi × R m)
So,
Alpha (αi) = R i - (βi × R m)
Where,
αi = Alpha of the security
R i = Return of the security
βi = Beta of the security
R m = Return of the market
RISK AND RETURN OF PORTFOLIO
When we consider risk and return of a portfolio it is some what related with the
risk and return of securities. Simply because, portfolio is a collection of securities. The
risk and return of a security will reflect in a portfolio directly. But the difference will
happen when we combine different securities having different risk and return into a
single portfolio. The risk of the securities is traded off with each other and it will reduce
the risk and increase the return. The process of reducing the risk of a portfolio by
varying the securities and their proportion is known as diversification of risk.
The risk and return of portfolios are calculated as follows;
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Portfolio Return
R p = α p + (β p × R m)
Where;
α p = Alpha value of the portfolio
β p = Beta value of the portfolio
R m = Return of the market index
Portfolio Risk
σ p2 = β p
2σm2 + ∑ωi
2σei2
Where;
β p = Beta value of the portfolio
σm2 = Variance of market index
ωi = Weight of the security
σei2 = Residual variance of the security
POTRFOLIO EVALUATION
Evaluation is the appraisal of the performance. Portfolio evaluation refers to the
evaluation of the performance of the portfolio. It is the process of comparing the return
earned on a portfolio with the return earned on one or more other portfolios.
The different methods used for evaluation are;
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Sharpe Ratio
Treynor Ratio
Jensen Measure
Sharpe Ratio
The performance measured by William Sharpe is referred to as the Sharpe ratio
or the reward to variability ratio. It is the reward or risk premium to the variability of
return or risk as measured by the standard deviation of return. If the portfolios are not
well diversified then this ratio is an appropriate measure of portfolio evaluation.
Sharpe Ratio (SR) = R p – R f
σp
Where;
R p = Realized return on the portfolio
R f = Risk free rate of return
σ p = Standard deviation of portfolio return
Treynor Ratio
The performance measure developed by Jack Treynor is referred to as Treynor
ratio or reward to volatility ratio. It is the ratio of the reward or risk premium to
volatility of return as measured by the portfolio beta.
Treynor Ratio (TR) = R p – R f
βp
Where;
R p = Realized return on the portfolio
R f = Risk free rate of return
β p = Portfolio beta
Jensen Measure
Another type of risk adjusted performance measure has been developed by
Michael Jensen and is referred to as Jensen Measure ratio or Differential return. This
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ratio attempts to measure the differential between actual return earned on a portfolio
and the return expected from the portfolio given its level of risk.
Jensen Measure, αp = R p – E(R p)
Where;
α p = Differential return earned (Jensen ratio)
R p = Actual return earned on the portfolio
E(R p) = Expected return
Expected return of the portfolio can be calculated as follows.
E(Rp) = R f + βp (R m – R f )
Where;
E(R p) = Expected portfolio return
R f = Risk-free rate
R m = Return on market index
β p = Systematic risk of the portfolio
The alpha value in Jensen measure can be tested for its degree of significance
from a value of zero by statistical methods. This means, an analyst can determine
whether the differential return could have occurred by chance or whether it is
significantly different from zero in a statistical sense.
INTRODUCTION TO THE ANALYSIS
The analysis part involves various processes required to reach at the objectives
of the study. These processes are divided in to two parts namely analysis I and analysis
II and are arranged in a sequential order starts from security analysis and it ends with
evaluation and selection of best portfolio. The order of arrangement of activities is;
Analysis I
A. Determine Return of each security
B. Determine Risk of selected securities
C. Determine Beta value of each security
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D. Determine Alpha value of each security
E. Determine Unsystematic risk of each security
Analysis II
F. Construction of three portfolios.
By giving equal weight to each security in the portfolio
By giving weight based on price earnings ratio
By giving weight on the basis of Random numbers
G. Calculate the Return and risk of each portfolio.
H. Select the portfolio using Sharper ratio, Treynor ratio, Jenson measure and.
From these analysis processes various findings are derives and these are listed
in the conclusion part of the study.
SECURITY ANALYSIS
Rational investor makes his investment decision based on the risk and return of
a security. He would also be interested in identifying mix-priced securities so that he
conveys under priced security and sell overpriced securities. For this purpose he has to
determine the intrinsic value of security. Security analysis involves evaluation of the
risk and return of the security and determination of intrinsic value of securities.
RETURN AND RISK OF SECURITIES
The return of the security is measured by the arithmetic mean of its return. The
risk of security is measured by the variance or standard deviation of the return of the
security.
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The table given below shows the return and risk of all the selected securities.
Table No.1
RETURN AND RISK OF THE SECUTIRIES
SECURITY RETURN (%) RISK (%)
I T C 11.758 36.715
HERO HONDA 6.686 47.719
TATA MOTORS -41.799 47.954
BPCL 9.448 36.715
WIPRO -18.642 45.530
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
RETURN(%) 11.758 6.686 -41.799 9.448 -18.642
RISK (%) 36.715 47.719 47.954 36.715 45.53
I T C HERO
HONDA
TATA
MOTORS BPCL WIPRO
INFERENCES:
IT C has the maximum return 11.758% and TATA MOTORS has the minimum return
-41.79.%.
TATA MOTORS has the maximum risk 47.954% and HERO HONDA has the
minimum risk 34.68%
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BETA (β)
Beta describes the relationship between the stock return and the market index
return. This can be positive of negative. If Beta is one, one percent changes in the
market index return causes exactly one percent changes in the stock return. It indicates
that the stock moves in tandem with the market. If the portfolio is efficient, the Beta
measures the systematic risk effectively.
β = (n∑xy - ∑x∑y) / (n∑x2 – (∑x)2)
The table given below shows the beta values of all the selected securities.
Table No. 2
BETA VALUE OF SECURITIES
SECURITY BETA
I T C 0.670
HERO HONDA 0.416
TATA MOTORS 0.216
BPCL 0.615
WIPRO 0.175
Chart No. 2
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The chart given below shows the Beta values of all the selected
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
BETA
BETA 0.67 0.416 0.216 0.615 0.175
I T C HERO HONDA TATAMOTORS
BPCL WIPRO
INFERENCE:
The BETA value indicated measure of systematic risk of a security. From the
above table it can be inferred that I T C( 0.67 )indicating that it has maximum
systematic risk. The Beta value is minimum for WIPRO (0.52) indicating that the
security is having the minimum systematic risk.
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ALPHA VALUES OF SECURITIES (α)
Table No. 3
Chart No. 3
The chart given below shows the Alpha values of all the selected securities
SECURITY ALPHA
ITC 8.6841
HERO HONDA 4.7802
TATA MOTORS -42.7915
BPCL 6.6269
WIPRO -19.448
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-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
ALPHA
ALPHA 8.6841 4.7802 -42.7915 6.6269 -19.448
ITC HERO
HONDA
TATA
MOTORSBPCL WIPRO
INFERENCE: ITC has the maximum alpha of 8.6841, indicating that it has the
maximum extra return. From the above table it is also inferred that TATA MOTORS has
the minimum Alpha value -42.80%
DECOMPOSITION OF TOTAL RISK OF SECURITIES
The total risk of security can be resolved in to two components; the systematic
or market risk, which cannot be diversified, and the unsystematic or specific risk, which
can be diversified by construction of the portfolio. An investor would be interested in
knowing these two risks of the security in order to plan his portfolio. For the purpose of
the analysis the systematic and unsystematic risk of the securities are measured by
using Sharpe’s single index model. According to Sharpe index model:
Systematic risk =βi
2σ
2m
Unsystematic risk = σ2
- βi
2σ
2m
SYSTEMATIC RISK
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The imapct of economic, political and social changes is system wide and that
portion of total variablility in secutiry return caused by such system wide factors is
referred to as systematic risk.systematic risk is further subdivided in to interest rate risk,
market risk and purchasing power risk.
The table given below shows the systematic risk of all the selected securities.
SYSTEMATIC RISK OF THE SECUTIRIES
Table No. 4
Security βi βi² σm
Market
variance
(σ²m)
Systematic
risk
(βi².σ²m)
ITC 0.6702 0.44916804 35.77725 1280.0116 574.940309
HEROHONDA 0.4154 0.17255716 35.77725 1280.0116 220.875169
TATA MOTORS 0.2164 0.04682896 35.77725 1280.0116 59.9416128
BPCL 0.6152 0.37847104 35.77725 1280.0116 484.447328
WIPRO 0.1758 0.03090564 35.77725 1280.0116 39.5595782
TOTAL 1379.764
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Systematic risk (βi².σ²m)
Systematic risk (βi².σ²m) 574.94031 220.87517 59.941613 484.44733 39.559578 1379.764
ITC HEROHO
NDA
TATA
MOTORSBPCL WIPRO TOTAL
Chart no; 4
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INFERENCES:
Systematic risk of non-diversifiable risk is the component of the total risk,
which cnanot be diversified. From the above table it is clear that I T C has the
maximum systmatic risk ie. 574.940 And WIPRO has the minimum systematic risk is.
39.559.
RESIDUAL VARIANCE
The return from a security may sometimes vary because of certain factors
affecting only the company issuing such security. When variability of returns occurs
because of such firm- specific factors, it is known as unsystematic risk. This risk is
unique or peculiar to a company or industry and affects it in addition to the systematic
risk affecting all securities.
The unsystematic risk affecting specific securities arises from two sources: (i)
the operating environment of the company, and (ii) the financing pattern adopted by the
company. These two types of unsystematic risk are referred to as business risk and
financial risk respectively.
The table below shows the unsystematic risk or the residual variance of all the
selected securities.
UNSYSTEMATI RISK OF THE SECURITY
Table No. 5
Security σі
Security
variance
(σ²і)
Systematic
risk
(βi².σ²m)
Unsystematic
risk
(σ²ei=σ²i-
β²іσ²m)
ITC 36.7146 1347.9619 574.94031 773.02154
HEROHONDA 47.7192 2277.122 220.87517 2056.2469
TATA MOTORS 47.955 2299.682 59.941613 2239.7404BPCL 36.7146 1347.9619 484.44733 863.51453
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WIPRO 45.5302 2072.9991 39.559578 2033.4395
TOTAL 7965.9629
CHART NO: 5
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Unsystematic risk (σ²ei=σ²i-β²іσ²m)
Unsystematic risk
(σ²ei=σ²i-β²іσ²m)
773.021544 2056.24688 2239.74041 863.514525 2033.43953
ITC HEROHON
DA
TATA
MOTORSBPCL WIPRO
INFERENCES:
The residual variance for TATA MOTORS is highest ie. 1939.08 % and the ITC is
having lowest ie. 905.31%.
COMPOSITION OF TOTAL RISK OF THE SECURITIES
Table No. 6
Security
Systematic risk
(βi².σ²m)
Unsystematic
risk
(σ²ei=σ²i-β²іσ²m)
TOTAL
RISK
ITC 574.9403 773.0215 1347.9618
HEROHONDA 220.8751 2056.2469 2277.122
TATA MOTORS 59.94161 2239.7404 2299.68201
BPCL 484.447 863.5145 1347.9615WIPRO 39.5595 2033.4395 2072.999
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CHART NO:6
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
TOTAL RISK
TOTAL RISK 1347.9618 2277.122 2299.68201 1347.9615 2072.999
ITC HEROHOND
A
TATA
MOTORSBPCL WIPRO
INFERENCES:
From the above chart the total risk for HERO HONDAis high 2277.122 and the risk for BPCL is minimum of 1202.93 compared to others
PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS
Portfolio analysis phase of portfolio management consist of identifying the
range of portfolios that can be constituted from a given set of securities and calculating
their return and risk for further analysis. It is better to invest in a group of securities
rather than a single security. Such a group of securities held together as an investment is
known as a portfolio. A rational investor attempts to find out the most efficient
portfolio. The efficiency can be evaluated only in terms of the expected return and risk
of different portfolio
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PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
Portfolio construction refers to the allocation of the funds among the variety of
financial assets open for investment. The objective of the portfolio construction is
diversification of risk. In order to reduce the risk ideally a portfolio should be
constructed with assets having opposite characteristics of with negative correlation of
the return.
The five securities are bundled to form a portfolio. A Tangent portfolio and
three other different portfolios are constructed by flexing the weights they carry in order
to compare the performance. These portfolios are constructed by applying the following
three criteria.
CONSTRUCTION OF THREE PORTFOLIOS
In order to evaluate and select an optimal portfolio, three different portfolios areconstructed using different criteria. These three portfolios are then compared using
Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio, Jensen Measure. The best portfolio is then selected on the
basis of ratios generated by these evaluation tools.The criteria used for the construction
of these portfolios are,
1. By giving equal weight to each of security
2. By giving weight to each security based on Price-Earnings Ratio.
3. By giving weight to each security on the basis of random number.
FIRST PORTFOLIO
BY GIVING EQUAL WEIGHT TO EACH STOCK
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PORTFOLIO ALPHA
The table given below shows the alpha value of the first portfolio constructed by
giving equal weight to the all securities involved in the portfolio. In order to determine
the portfolio alpha all the security alphas are multiplied with the fixed weight i.e. 0.2
and then added.
Portfolio-A Alpha (αp)
Table No. 7
SECURITY αi WEIGHT (ωi) ωi.αp
ITC 8.6841 0.2 1.73682
HERO HONDA 4.7801 0.2 0.95602
TATA MOTORS -42.7915 0.2 -8.5583
BPCL 6.627 0.2 1.3254
WIPRO -19.4485 0.2 -3.8897Portfolio Albha 1 -8.42976
PORTFOLIO ALPHA (α p) = ∑ ωi αi
PORTFOLIO ALPHA = -8.42976
PORTFOLIO-A BETA
The table given below shows the Beta value of the first portfolio constructed by
giving equal weight to the all securities involved in the portfolio. In order to determine
the portfolio Beta all the security Betas are multiplied with the fixed weight i.e. 0.2 and
then added.
Table no: 8
SECURITY βi WEIGHT (ωi) ωi x βi
ITC 0.6702 0.2 0.13404HEROHONDA 0.4154 0.2 0.08308
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TATA MOTORS 0.2164 0.2 0.04328
BPCL 0.6152 0.2 0.12304
WIPRO 0.1758 0.2 0.03516
PORTFOLIO BETA (βp) = ∑ωiβi
PORTFOLIO BETA = .4186
Table No. 9
SYSTEMATIC RISK OF PORTFOLIO-A
Table No. 9
PORTFOLIO β²p σ²mSYSTEMATIC
RISK
PORTFOLIO - A .17522 1280.0116 224.2836
The table given below shows the Unsystematic risk of Residual variance of the
first portfolio constructed by giving equal weight to the all securities involved in the
portfolio. In order to determine the portfolio Unsystematic risk all the security
Unsystematic risks are multiplied with the fixed weight i.e. 0.2 and then added.
PORTFOLIO-A RESIDUAL VARIANCE
Table No. 10
SECURITY WEIGHT ωi²
(σ²ei=σ²i-
β²іσ²m) ωi ²x σ²
ei
ITC 0.2 0.04 773.0215 30.9209
HERO HONDA 0.2 0.04 2056.2469 82.2499TATA MOTORS 0.2 0.04 2239.7404 89.5896
BPCL 0.2 0.04 863.5145 34.5406
WIPRO 0.2 0.04 2033.439 81.3376
Portfolio residual variance 318.638
PORTFOLIO RESIDUAL VARIANCE = ∑ωi².σ²ei
PORTFOLIO RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 318.638
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MEASURING PORTFOLIO RETURN AND RISK
PORTFOLIO RETURN (R p)
Portfolio return = portfolio alpha + (portfolio beta * market return)
α p = -8.1429
β p = 0.4186
R m = 4.586
PORTFOLIO RETURN ( R p) = - 10.025
PORTFOLIO RISK (α²p)
β²p =.17522
σ²m =1280.0116
∑ ωi²σ²ei =318.638
PORTFOLIO RISK = 23.301
SECOND PORTFOLIO
GIVING WEIGHT TO EACH SECURITY BASED ON PRICE-EARNINGS
RATIO
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Second portfolio is constructed by using Price Earnings ratio of the five
securities and then the portfolio Alpha, Portfolio Beta and weighted residual Variance
are calculated to arrive portfolio return and risk.
The table given below shows the weight assigned to each of the securities
involved in the proposed portfolio as per their P/E ratio. These weights are then used to
measure the Beta, Alpha and residual values of the portfolio. Here weights are arrived
by dividing the each individual P/E ratio value from the total value of the P/E ratios.
WEIGHT BASED ON P/E RATIO OF SECURITIES
Table No. 11
SECURITY P/E WEIGHT (ωi)
ITC 18.7 0.281118461
HERO HONDA 15.81 0.23767288
TATA MOTORS 7.43 0.111695731
BPCL 14.4 0.216476248
WIPRO 10.18 0.153036681
Total 66.52 1
Portfolio-B Alpha (αp)
The table given below shows the Alpha values of the portfolio constructed bygiving price earning values to the all securities involved in the portfolio
Table No. 12
SECURITY αi WEIGHT (ωi) ωi.αi
ITC 8.6841 0.2811846 2.441835185
HERO HONDA 4.7801 0.23767288 1.136100134
TATA MOTORS -42.7915 0.111694763 -4.779586451
BPCL 6.627 0.2164763 1.43458844
WIPRO -19.4485 0.15303668 -2.976333871
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Portfolio Alpha 2 -2.743396563
PORTFOLIO ALPHA (α p) = ∑ ωi αi
PORTFOLIO ALPHA = -2.7434
PORTFOLIO B BETA
The table given below shows the Beta value of the second portfolio constructed
by giving P/E to the all securities involved in the portfolio.
PORTFOLIO-B BETA (βp)
Table No. 13
SECURITY βi P/E WEIGHT (ωi) ωi.βi
ITC 0.803415892 18.7 0.281118461 0.225855039
HERO HONDA 0.591513603 15.81 0.23767288 0.140586742
TATA MOTORS 0.669970017 7.43 0.111695731 0.074832791
BPCL 1.148726058 14.4 0.216476248 0.248671907
WIPRO 0.834912024 10.18 0.153036681 0.127772165
Total 66.52 1 0.817718643
PORTFOLIO BETA (βp) = ∑ωiβi
PORTFOLIO 0f BETA B = .8177
SYSTEMATIC RISK OF PORTFOLIO-B
Table No. 14
PORTFOLIO β²p σ²m SYSTEMATIC RISK
PORTFOLIO - B 0.6686 1280.0116 855.858
SYSTEMATIC RISK = 855.858
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PORTFOLIO-B RESIDUAL VARIANCE
Table No. 15
SECURITY WEIGHT (ωi) ωi² σ²ei ωi² x σ²ei
ITC 0.2811846 0.079064779 773.0215 61.11877427
HERO HONDA 0.23767288 0.056488398 2056.2469 116.154093
TATA MOTORS 0.111694763 0.01247572 2239.7404 27.94237429
BPCL 0.2164763 0.046861988 863.51453 40.46600794
WIPRO 0.15303668 0.023420225 2033.4395 47.62361148
Portfolio Residual variance of Portfolio 2 293.304861
PORTFOLIO RESIDUAL VARIANCE= 293.305
MEASURING PORTFOLIO RETURN AND RISK
PORTFOLIO RETURN (R p)
Portfolio return = portfolio alpha + (portfolio beta * market return)
α p = -2.743
β p = 0.8177
R m = 4.586
PORTFOLIO RETURN R p = 1.0069
PORTFOLIO RISK (α²p)
β² p = 0.6686
σ²m = 1280.0118∑ ωi²σ²ei = 293.31
PORTFOLIO RISK = 33.899 %
THIRD PORTFOLIO
BY GIVING WEIGHT TO EACH SECURITY ON THE BASIS OF RANDOM NUMBER
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Third portfolio is constructed by using random number and then the portfolio
Alpha, Portfolio Beta and weighted residual Variance are calculated to arrive portfolio
return and risk.
The table given below shows the weight assigned to each of the securities
involved in the proposed portfolio as per random number. These weights are then used
to measure the Beta, Alpha and residual values of the portfolio.
WEIGHT BASED ON RANDOM NUMBER
Table No. 16
SECURITY
Random
Number(a) Total(b) Weight(c=a/b)
ITC 70 201 0.348258706
HERO HONDA 42 201 0.208955224
TATA MOTORS 11 201 0.054726368
BPCL 38 201 0.189054726
WIPRO 40 201 0.199004975
TOTAL 201 1
Portfolio-C Alpha (αp)
Table No. 17
SECURITY Weight(c=a/b) αi ωi.αi
ITC 0.3483 8.6841 3.02467203
HERO HONDA 0.20895 4.7801 0.998801895
TATA MOTORS 0.05472 -42.7915 -2.34155088BPCL 0.18905 6.627 1.25283435
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WIPRO ..19900 -19.4485 -3.87034
PORTFOLIO ALPHA (α p) = ∑ ωi αi
PORTFOLIO ALPHA = .9356
PORTFOLIO-C BETA
The table given below shows the Beta value of the third portfolio constructed by
giving random number values to the all securities involved in the portfolio.
PORTFOLIO-C BETA (β p)
Table No. 18
SECURITY Weight(c=a/b) βi αi*β
ITC 0.3483 0.6702 0.23343066
HERO HONDA 0.20895 0.4154 0.08679783
TATA MOTORS 0.05472 0.2164 0.011841408
BPCL 0.18905 0.6152 0.11630356
WIPRO 0.199 0.1758 0.0349842
TOTAL 0.483357658
PORTFOLIO BETA (βp) = ∑ωiβi
PORTFOLIO BETA = 0.483
SYSTEMATIC RISK OF PORTFOLIO-C
Table No. 19
PORTFOLIO β²p σ²m SYSTEMATIC RISK
PORTFOLIO - C 0.2333 1279.49 298.491
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The table given below shows the Unsystematic risk of Residual variance of the
third portfolio constructed by giving random number values to the all securities
involved in the portfolio.
PORTFOLIO-C RESIDUAL VARIANCE
Table No. 20
SECURITY WEIGHT(ΩI) ωi² σ²ei ωi
² .σ²ei
ITC 0.3483 0.121313 773.0215 93.7774722
TATA MOTORS 0.20895 0.04366 2056.2469 89.7759504
WIPRO 0.05472 0.002994 2239.7404 6.7064063
HERO HONDA 0.18905 0.03574 863.51453 30.8619251BPCL 0.199 0.039601 2033.4395 80.5262376
TOTAL 301.647992
PORTFOLIO RESIDUAL VARIANCE = ∑ωi².σ²ei
PORTFOLIO RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 301.65
MEASURING PORTFOLIO RETURN AND RISK
PORTFOLIO RETURN (R p)
Portfolio return = portfolio alpha + (portfolio beta * market return)
α p = 0.9356
β p = 0 .483
R m = 4.586
PORTFOLIO RETURN R p = 3.1506
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PORTFOLIO RISK (α²p)
β²p = 0.2333
σ²m = 1279.49
∑ ωi²σ²ei = 301.65
PORTFOLIO RISK = 24.499%
PORTFOLIO EVALUATION
Portfolio evaluation is the process to determine the performance of the portfolio.
The best measure for evaluation of portfolio is the SHARPE ratio and Treynor ratio.
The following three different evaluation processes are used.
1. SHARPE RATIO
2. TREYNOR RATIO
3. JENSEN MEASURE
After applying these three evaluation measures the best portfolio is selected.
SHARPE RATIO
SHARPE ratio is the ratio of excess return to risk. This measure is developed by
William Sharpe is referred to as the Sharpe ratio or reward to variability ratio. It is the
ratio the reward or risk premium to the variability of return or risk as measured by the
portfolio standard deviation.
Sharpe Ratio SR = (R p – R f ) / σ p
Where,
R p = Return of the portfolio
R f = Risk free rate of return
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σ p = Standard deviation of the portfolio
The following table shows the SHARPE Ratio of each constructed portfolios
Table no:21
PORTFOLIOPortfolioRetur(Rρ) Risk Free (Rf)
Portfoliorisk(σρ)
Sharp's=(Rρ-RF/σρ)
A (EAQUALWEIGHT) 10.025 6.44 24.499 0.146332503
B (P/E) 1.0061 6.44 33.899 -0.160296764
C (RANDOM) 3.1506 6.44 23.301 -0.141169907
INFERENCES:
SHARPE Ratio is maximum for portfolio A (with Equal weight) ie. .14633 and
minimum for portfolio A (p/e) ie. -0.160.
TREYNOR RATIO
Treynor ratio is also the ratio of excess return to risk but here risk is defined as the
systematic risk of market risk on the assumption that the portfolio is well diversified.
Treynor Ratio
TR = (R p – R f ) / β p
Where;
R p = Return of the portfolio
R f = Risk free rate of return
β p = Beta value of the portfolio
TREYNOR RATIO
Table No. 22
PORTFOLIOPortfolioRetur(Rρ) Risk Free (Rf) market risk(βρ)
Treynor's Rρ-RF/βρ
A (EAQUALWEIGHT) 10.025 6.44 0.4186 -5.359615385
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B (P/E) 1.0061 6.44 0.8177 -6.869649052
C (RANDOM) 3.1506 6.44 0.483 -10.18273333
INFERENCES;
Treynor ratio is minimum for portfolio C (Random ), and maximum for
portfolio A (with equal weight).
DIFFRENTIAL RETURN (JENSEN MEASURE)
This performance measure has been developed by Michael Jensen and is
referred to as Jensen Measure ratio or Differential return. This ratio attempts to measure
the differential between actual return earned on a portfolio and the return expected from
the portfolio given its level of risk.
Jensen Measure
JM = R p – E (R p)
Where,
E (R p) = R f + β p (R m-R f )
R f = Risk free rate of return
R m = Return of the market index
β p = Beta value of the portfolio
JENSEN MEASURE
Table No. 23
Portfolio Rρ Rf βρ Rm E(Rρ) Rp-E(Rp)
A (eaqual
weight) 10.025 6.44 0.4186 4.586 5.6639156 4.3610844
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B( P/E) 1.0061 6.44 0.8177 4.586 4.9239842 -3.9178842
C (random) 3.1506 6.44 0.4586 4.586 5.5897556 -2.4391556
INFERENCES:
Jenson measure Portfolio B and C are negative and Portfolio A are positive. The
B and C portfolios indicating that portfolios bringing a lower return and portfolio A
has the highest value of 4.361.
FINDINGS
The study ““A Study on Portfolio Construction and Evaluation of Five Securities in NSE at
Geojit Financial Services Limited, Calicut”
The Study has pointed out many finding throughout the study. The highlights of
the study are briefed below:
SECURITY ANALYSIS
Risk & Return of Securities:
ITC has the maximum return (11.758)
TATA MOTORS has the minimum return (-41.799)
TATA MOTORS has the maximum risk (47.954)
ITC has the minimum risk( 36.715)
Alpha:
ITC has the maximum alpha 8.6841, an indicator of return for the security in
excess of the market return
WIPRO has the minimum Alpha value
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Beta:
Seems to track the movements of the Stock market index showing that the
security is more sensitive to market movements.
Revealed a lower beta value. This indicates that this security is less sensitive to
market movements compared to other four.
ITC has maximum of beta value and minimum is wipro.
Systematic & Unsystematic Risk:
ITC has the maximum systematic risk 574.940, and TATA MOTORS has the
Maximum unsystematic risk 2299.68
PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
Three portfolios are constructed with three different criteria and their risk andreturn has been evaluated.
Return & Risk of Portfolio:
The return is maximum for portfolio A (using Equal weight) and minimum for
portfolio B(P/E).
The risk is maximum for portfolio B (using P/E ratio) and minimum for
portfolio A (using equal weight).
PORTFOLIO EVALUATION AND SELECTION
The portfolios which are evaluated using Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio and Jensen
measure have revealed the following findings.
Sharpe ratio is maximum for portfolio A (.14633), and minimum for portfolio B
(-0.160).
Treynor ratio is maximum for portfolio A and minimum for portfolio C
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Jensen measure is maximum for portfolio B and C are negative portfolio A is
better
From the above evaluation process it is clear that portfolio A (constructed using
equal weight) is superior to all other portfolios. So portfolio a is the best option for the
investor to select.
SUGGESTIONS
The study reveals that different portfolio evaluation measures like Sharpe ratio,
Treynor ratio, Jensen measure, Net selectivity can be applied for scientific selection of
investment portfolios. So the investors are strongly recommended to use the different
portfolio construction techniques and performance measurement for structuring that
portfolio.
The sample companies share prices are decreasing in the recession period
market and the study revealed that, the price will increase in the future. So it is
suggested that the investors should invest as soon as possible to get more advantage in
price movement and don’t expect the price to come down in the near future.
It is suggested that all the potential investors should take necessary precautions
and read the offer document carefully before investing to avoid systematic and
unsystematic risks.
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Chapter-4
CONCLUSION
The project entitled “A Study on Portfolio Construction and Evaluation of Five
securities in NSE at Geojit Financial services Ltd” deals with the construction of
different portfolios on the basis of risk-return evaluation and loss minimization.
The companies are selected from the top list of NSE CNX NIFTY on a random
basis. The study gives a better understanding of security analysis and portfolio
construction and evaluation.
The problem under study is to construct different portfolios considering the risk
return factors of the securities and the market as a whole and to evaluate then to find out
best out of them.
From the above evaluation process it is clear that portfolio A (constructed using
equal weight) is superior to all other portfolios. So portfolio a is the best option for the
investor to select.
Detailed risk-return analysis should be done and scientific performance
measures like Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio and Jensen Measure should be used. Study
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revealed the use of portfolio construction and evaluation technique in the portfolio
selection process and diversification of risk.
The Market is volatile as is in the present scenario; Investors have to make care
full analysis before making any investment decision. For this purpose investors should
use analytical and scientific method for construction and selection of portfolio, in order
to diversify the portfolio risk.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Books
Punithavathi Pandian- Security analysis and Portfolio management- Vikas Publishing
House.
Prasanna Chandra – Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management. TMH- 2
edition,2005
News Paper
Economic Times
Business line
Websites
www.google.com
www.moneycontrol.com
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www.nseindia.com
www.Geojit.com
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