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A PROTOTYPE MODEL TO ESTIMATE
PROVINCIAL AND NATIONAL
PAKISTAN NET FARM INCOME
Donald W Lybecker
Economic Analysis Network Project Auqust 1989
A PROTOTYPE MODEL TO ESTIMATE PROVINCIAL AND NATIONAL PAKISTAN NET FARM INCOME
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page
Table of Contents
List o Tables and Figures ii
Eneuuive Summary
Introduction and Justification 2
Methodology 3 Introduction 3 Cropping Zones 5 Crops 5 Farm Size Categories and Distribution 5 Study Years 5 Cropping Pattern Changes 5 Yield Changes 6 Intermediate Products 8 Fertilizer and Manure 8
Seed 8 Festicides 9 Labor 10
10 oI rL-isa 11
Land Taxes 11 CrediL and Interest 11 Depreciation 12 Land Rent 12 Supplemental Water (Tube Wells) 12 Livestock 13 Product Prices 13
Concerns and Limitations 13
MdQ] Operation and Organization 14
R v er e-nc es 17
Appendix 20
LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES
Tab 1e 1 Sind districts cotton and their
their crop
roportion of rice production zone
and 3
Table 2 Hectares and percentage of Kharif and Rabi season area cropped by small medium and large farms 6
Table 3 Cropping patterns in Sind by cropping zones farm size and season 7
Tabl- 4 Reported applications of crops in Pakistan
fertilizer to principal
9
Tab1e 5 Total Si ze
hours of labor required by crop and farm 10
Fiqu r e 1 The cotton and rice cropping zones of Sind 4
FiLure 2 Orianization of the uata and associated outputs
files model templates
15
ii
A PROTOTYPE MODEL TO ESTIMATE PROVINCIAL AND NATIONAL
PAKISTAN NET FARM INCOME
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A model was developed for Sind which is designed to estimateNet Farm Income for the province Net Farm Income is defined asthe return to the farmers and their families for the resourcest he Provide--Land Labor Capital and Management It can bei oked upon as measure of health of the agricultural sector
The province is divided into two zones the cotton zoneircludes those districts where the hectares of cotton is qreaterthai-n rice and the rice zone includes those districts where morehectares of rice are grown than cotton In addition three farm-ize (small medium and large) are defined for each zoneEleven [harif crops are included in the analysis and 9 Rabirnns
Two template models are developed The first template ar ea and production by farm size The second
template Uses the adjusted area and production data (two files)pluc fn r additional data files (information on input pricesproCfuct prices livestock and credit and interest) and generates a summary report LOTUS is used for the templates and the macrofeature permits easy combining of the data into the template pr rp- am
The input cost data is still being developed at this time anaysis of the five years (1983-84 through 1987-88) is not
pnssible Example input data and Lhe summary results generated Ih- rnrr are presented in the appendix
A PROTOTYPE MODEL TO ESTIMATE PROVINCIAL AND NATIONAL PAKISTAN NET FARM INCOME
INTRODUCTION
Knowledgle and measurement of the health of the farmingrduction aqricuiture) sector is critical in a nation like
Pm i tani which has more than half of its workforce employed in the primar-y industries One important measure which provides an indication of the health of the agricultural industry is National int F Trrcnoine National Net Farm Income is defined as the
rEtiiurr to farmers their for thethU and families labor capital nd d manaqement thev provide This is not an measurement of
qrqgifo profits from agriculture because the costs of the farm prrvi fled resources are not esti ted However given assumptionsr r crirl rthe value of -farm labor an opportunity cost for equityrapital and a return to land a residual return to management and risk kprorfit) provided by the farmers could be developed
This sudv develops a methodology for estimating Net Farm Income nd uses data from Sind as an example When parallelmodels =or the other provinces are developed the provincial data can be aciciregated and an estimate of Pakistan Net Farm Income provided Although beyond the time available and scope of this study appropriate opportunity costs for farm farmlabor equityrapital and land would provide an estimate of return to management and risk in the agricultural industry
The methodology developed used an electronic spreadsheet (LOTLIS) which combines information of crop area crop production product prices and input prices and quantities to estimate Net Farm Income Once the model is developed input data for any year can be used to calculate Net Farm Income Tha models assume that an embodied technology (input-output relationships) remain
-nAnt - the quantities of seed and labor are unchanged and that technology has not changed) The model is developed for an eN post analysis--thus crop area level of production quantitiesof fertilizer pesticides credit and input and product prices bull3 -inoVJn The model can be used in a predictive mode if e c iniates of these variables are developed This for examplewJould permit an approximate evaluation of anticipated Net Farm Income for the coming year or an indication of a proposed policy
] terna1-i ye
A section describing how to operate the models is included The appendix tables show the input data adjustment and computational LOTUS models and the result summaries
2
METHODOLOGY
THe following sections will describe the methodology used in developinq the LOTUS model for estimating Sind Net Farm Income In general the quantities of the principal inputs and outputs forthe important crops in two cropping regions for the Kharif and Rabi seasons have been specified A given years crop areali vesEck numbers and production is allocated between regions and plusmnr sizes (3ross farm income costs and net farm income are esti mated by enterprise and agqregated for the province
CROPPING ZONES
Iwo cropping zones are defined for Sind -shy a rice productioncin- and a cotton production zone The zones are aggregates of
ll i stri cts E-sed on the 198X Fakistan Census of -qr i-ul ture those districts in Sind that showed a croppingpal(nrri which included more rice than cotton during the kfharif shy ro i nc 1uded in the ri ce zone Similarly those
djTricts with more acres of cotton than rice were included inhp Fnln oe Table 1 shows the districts in Sind their --r tfnn c-rir and cotton and their assigred zone Figure 1
show the ocation of the rice and cotton zones in Sind
TatI J Sind districts their proportion of rice and cotton and l-ir cron production one
Cropped Area in Croppingri-tri- t Rice Cotton Zone
E7ad3 16 Rice Thiat ta 86 1 Rice [ 9 7arac h i Rice Oadit 64 5 Rice LarIana 99 C Rice 3) 1arpur 99 0 Rice Jaccnbabad 99 ( Rice
Tharparkar 1 16 Cotton Hyderabad 27 57 Cotton har 1 85 Cotton
iawab shah 2 7(-) Cotton Khai rpur 2 74 Cotton
7 68 Cotton
SoLure Census of Agriculture 1980 Sind
3
REFERENCES o Rke-BOUNDARY INTERNATIONAL
PROVINCE
DISTRICT
LA KANA
00 Y
CCA suUR -U
01
IZ
~ ( KNAIRPUR
ft -
THARPARKAR
Figure 1 The cotton and rice cropping zones of Sind
4
CROPS
iroLr-5 included in the analysis are the principalr0roduced in cropsthe cropping zones Only those crops whichcontributec at least one percent of the seasonal (Kharif or Rabi)cropped acre are included The Kharif crops aresIiqar cane oilseeds pulses rice cotton
fodders vegetables and roughqrains (caize iawar and bajra) The Rabi crops are wheatbarley oilseeds gram other Tohacco
pulses fodders and vegetableswas combined with other crops For both seasonsother crops are proportionately combined (on the basis of area)Lji h tne crops included
The kharif fruits were defined as mangoes bananas anddat es AIll others were considered Rabi fruits Kharif oilseedsinclude groundnut sesamum linseed castorseed rapeseed andmustard Rharif pulses include mung mash and other Kharifpulses Kharif vegetables include coriander chilies andtutrirFeric Rabi pulses include 7iasoor and other Rabi pulsesRabi vegetables include sugarbeet onion potato peas andgar i i c
FARM SIZE CATEGORIES AND THEIR DISTRIBUTION
The sudy was specified to include small mediumfarms Small and largefarms operated less than 5 hectares medium farmfrom 5 to 10 hectares and large farms are greater than 10hectares These size categories conform with those used in theensus of A-qricultLtre (18) Agricultural Statistics (21) andseveral other data sources
The area of crop production in each of the crop sizec-toqories was computed from the 1980 Census of Agriculture (18)It is assumed that the same proportional distribution of croppedarea is maintained for each crop year analyzed Table 2 showsthc- d stributjon of the iKharif season cropped area by farm size bull nd -r-oppinci one
STUDY EARS
The years 1983-84 through 1987-88 are to be considered inthe stucy Data is being collected for these years but duetime constraints and incomplete data collection only to
an exampleof the model for the year 1933-84 is included When the data iscomplete and verified a detailed analysis can be undertaken
CROPPING PATTERN CHANGES
The cropping pattern of 1980 by farmseason is shown in Table size and cropping
3 Because the cropping pattern isdi fferent for the small medium and large farms the analysis wasundertaken to limit the deviations from these cropping patterns
5
Table 2 Hectares and percentage of Kharif and Rabi season area
cropped by small medium and large farms
RICE ZONE COTTON ZONE
Farm Size Farm Size
Smal l Medium Lai ce Small Medium Largeh arif Season
(iC10C0 Ha) 1307 587 505 1461 853 1079
545 245 210 431 252 318
Rabi Season
(1(-)0C0 Ha) 1053 408 319 1365 554
592 229 179 558 226 216
Source Census of Agriculture 1980 Sind
However over time the cropping pattern will change but the datadoes not reflect the changes by farm size The study adjustedthe croppinq pattern so that the total area of a given cropmairtained (because this is known each year) and is
the distributionbetween farm size categories is based upon the base informationfrom 1980 Appendix A shows the LOTUS program developed tomaintain this balance
YIELD CHANGES
Yield changes are handled in a manner parallel(hanqes in to that forthe cropping pattern The total production (knowninformation) is maintained but this production is distributedbetween the farm sizes in a manner that is consistent witharea ard a thebasic yield distribution Based on a study of(2) cottonand rapeseed and mustard (3) it was assumed that allWOUlid show relative y-ields crops
of 90 for small farms 100mediitri -ar-ms forand 120 for large farms The LOTUS templatedf- vIoped to make the production (yield) distributions betweenIhe different farm sizes is designed to accommodate differenceshv crup rather all the crops being subject to thedistribution same yieldWhen additional information is available regardingcrcp yields by farm size it can easily be included
529
Table 3 Cropping patterns in Sind by cropping zones farm size
and season
RICE ZONE
Farm Size
SmallI Medium Lar e
KHARIF-shy ---------------------
Rice 907 858 751
Maize 0 I 0 () 03
Javar 23 32 46
Cot ton 22 2e 35
27 49 104
OiJseeds C)2 () 2 07
PuIses 0 0 0 1 03
k 1 L 1 (8 19 29
Veqetables 04 0 8 0 8
Others () 00 C 2
RA B I- - shy- - - -- - - --
Wheat 424 430 477
Ba r l e v 4 ) 41 48
Tobacco 0) () C 0 0 (
0i I seeds 78 79 69
Gram 73 61 65
Other Pulses 2307 231 166
Fodders 10)8 105 10 1
Veqetables 19 22 44
Other 27 3 ( 21
Sourc-e Census of Agriculture 198)
COTTON ZONE
Farm Size
Small Medium Large
-------shy
63 48 29
03 07 04
142 290 331
615 414 315
51 48 47
0 2 28 77
0 8 15 21
79 136 151
31 13 17
00 05 04
- - - - - - - - shy
810 77 1 767
02 02 08
0 0 o 0 0 0
28 53 65
16 20 14
23 8 17
10 2 113 103
15 20 24
0 0 02 00
Sind
INTERMEDIATE PRODUCTS
BecaLse the crop by products are typically livestock feedAhtGvre not valued Instlead it is assumed that they are anintc rmcdiete product and fed to livestock and poultry Thusr1hr 1han xValue by products and then charge them as a livestockf-d thcv are assumed to be feed to livestock However grains~~~ fd to ]ivestock
I Iv or used fnr human consumption are ld and that portion which i fed is valued at the
bull rc l price
FERTILIZER AND MANURE
The total quantity of fertilizer applied in the province isknown thus the problem is that of allocation between crops andFarm sies Fertilizer quantities were allocated between cropsbased upon their reported use (18) Table 4 shows the kgha ofnitrogen fertilizer applied and the relative quantity (wheatgiven an index of 10() is
Por a given crop the same quantity offertilizer was used regardless of farm size Cropsetplicitly notlisted below were considered to have the same level offertiliEer as wheat For simplicity phosphorus and potash are- located in the same proportions as nitrogen Manure is notinciu3dd a a cost in estimating aggregate provincial or nationiiiccrmne because it is an intermediate input--that is manure is1-arm produced and farm consumed It is recognized that smallqtaRFtities cf manure may be generated off the farm (in the large
cities) but these small quantities are ignored
The prices used for nitrogen was the weighted average (bytons applied) of urea ammonium nitrate and ammonium sulphateTl~e is some variation by year but about 88 of the singlenutriunt nitroqen fertilizer applied is urea about 10 ammoniumnitrfte and the residual ammonium sulphate Sulphate of potash was the only source of potash considered Phosphate price wasderived by pricing the nitrogen at its single nutrient price andusing the residual value as the cost of phosphate in nitrophos(27 N and 2 F) Single super phosphate was the second sourceconsiderpd On average about 80 of the phosphate was fromnitr-phos and 20 from single super phosphate
SEEDS
The quantities of seeds used in the analysis are based onthose reported in the United Consultants report on the impact ofechanization on productivity and employment (11) In RdditioniiL was assumed that the seed requirements (kgha) for barley were ekiivalent to wheat oilseeds iniawar- and baira
Rabi were equivalent to Kharifare similar to maize and that all pulses havethe same seed requirements Although it is appreciated that
8
Table 4 Reported applications of fertilizer to principal crops
in Pakistan
Cro g Nha of Wheat
Wheat 744 lOt0
Rice 417 56
Cotton 924 124
Sugarcane 1073 144
Maize 742 100
Frui t 741 100
Source Agricultural Census 1980 Bind
important differences exist between traditional vs improvedvarieties both with respect to cost and potential yieldsimplicitv required so such distinctions in this study
PESTICIDES
Little information regarding pesticide use in a desirable fnrmat wa lr-ocated The Agriculture Statistics of Sind (21 22)provides information on the number of hectares by crop that receive either preventative or curative The proportioan of cropped hectares treated by pesticides multiplied by the averagecost oF a pesticide treatment is used to estimate the cost perhectare for pesticides for the included crops The treated area noted as other crops or misc is combined and allocated to the ma1ie-jawar enterprise The average cost per hectare treated iscomputed by dividing the national cost of imported pesticides bythe hectares treated In 1986-87 and 1987-88 when data wasmi isinq the previous years growth rate was assumed for hectares rcrFre and imported cost of pesticides The hectares of wheat treated beyond 1984-85 was assumed to be the same as the averagepercent for the first two years times the hectares of wheat -r-own The last three years of pesticide treated crops is thegroLtnd applied hectares plus 3 133 and 08 of the hectares qro-in of rice sugarcane and fruits and vegetablesrespectfully Twenty percent of the fruit and vegetablenrst cid e treated hectares are assumed to be fruit and 80
SfIt is assumed that the pesticide costshectare are h same tfor all crops Also the same percent of crop hectares are treated by farm size are the same for all farm sizes
9
LABOR
rotal labor requirements (family plus hired) are reported bycr-p in Table 5 The labor requirements are the same for allfarm sizes except for cotton where 90 and 120 of the statedhours were used for the small and large farms respectfully Thehours of labor are based on information from the MechanizationStudy (11) Pakistan Census of Agriculture (18) providedinformation regarding the number of permanent hired workers byfarmrn size Hired labor was 57 156 and (27 of the totalhourshectare for the small medium and large farmsrespectfullV The perc-t of hired labor for a given farm sizewitil ossumed
to be the same for all crops The hours worked per- by arD a cultural workers was estimated at 2300 usingirfor mation on the percentage of workers working a given numbert)f hours in the surveyed week (9) Parttime family members wereassLirfled to wiork half the hours of full time family workersHirrd viorks and futllv time family workers were both assumed to pr- year A single waqe rate is used inidI 1J the model with1oti etIn ti- 7t VoJ1jaCeas a percent of the hi red
j tc r vi LI(i
bl5 5 Total hours of labor required by crop and farm size
Crop Farm Size HoursHectare
Cotton Small (S) 694Cotton Medium (M) 771Cot tcon Large (L) 925Ri ce S M L 430Sugjarc ane S M L 1171Wheat S M L 412Vegetab Ies S M L 489Fruit S M L 514Bar]ev S M L 412Oilseeds S M L 148Pulses S M L 161Maize S M L 380Fodder-Rabi S M L 489Fodder-1hari f S M L 385
POWER AND MACHINERY
The Mechanization Study (11) was the source for datapownr and machinery requirements on
Power requirements are meteither by bltlocks or by tractors It is assumed that bullocksWr provided by the farmer thus the cost will be reflected inthe livestock cost section Tractors and machinery (primarily-hra hrs and combines) may or may not be owned by the farmerbut the charge will reflect both the variable costs (fuel oil
10
and repairs) as well as the fixed costs Because a larger-ro - r- rn of the small farmers would rent tractoirs and other1A chieVEV and the driveroperator) th costs to them ishilqher than themedium farms and the large 10
farms cost is 10 1 ower
PAYMENTS TO ARTISANS
Data from the Mechanization Study (11) is the basis for thecoefficients for payments to artisans The average of the Zone 5and 6 All Technology is used for all reported crops For thecrops not reporting a payment to artisans the average of the Alllechnoloq y for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same value as wheat An index (1986-97 = 100)provided to allow proportionate changing of is
the expenses between
LAND TAXES
Data from the mechanization Study (11) was the basis for theo--fficierts for- land taxes The average of the Zones 5 andfor Lhe All1 Ilechnology Is used 6
for all reported crops For the-rops not reporting a land revenue the average of the AllTechnology for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same coefficient as wheat no data was available forpulses thus the same value as fnr oilseeds is used An index1986--87 = 0) is provided allow proportionate changesbetween years
INTEREST AND CREDIT
Credit is provided to farms from a number of institutionaland private sources Pakistan Agricultural Statistics (7)reports credit transactions (quantities) for the AgriculturalDevelopment Bank of Pakistan (ADBP) Commercial Banks TaccaviLoans and Cooperative Loans Advanced For ADBP and CommercialBank loans information on loan terms and farm size distributions are shown Medium and long term loans were combined so thatloanIs could be classified as either short term or longloans Loans to term
landless tenant and farms with less than 5hectates were considered small farms One third of the loanolume of the farm size classification 5 to 20 hectares is usedmedium sized farms (farms from 5 to 10 hectares) Theresidual l oanls are classified as loans to large farmsConmercial Bank loans are classified as farm (really crop loans)and non--farm loans---those for poultry and livestock CommercialBank poultry loans are considered short term and livestock loansare classified as long term loans The non-farm loans used thesame farm size distribution as for farm loans Taccavi Loanswere distributed by farm size and loan type the same as ADBPloans Cooperative loans were distributed by farm size and loantype the same as Commercial Bank loans
11
The Cooperatives and Commercial Banks provide some Mark-LIpFree (no interest) loans Data is reported on the otal Rs andRs of Mark-up Free loans (10) This proportion vari-s by yearand is assumed to be the same for both short and long term loansIt is assumed that Traccavi Loans are at the same interest ratesas (ADBP loans Also that the interest rate for Mark-up loans bythe Commercial Banks was 1) for short term loans (the minimumthe (an charge) and 13 for the long term loans (the maximum t hey can charqe) Interest rates used are those reported in the(nnual Report of the State Bar of Pakistan and shown in (10)
IriLLi est rates arid qLIantities from non-institutional sourcesIs ellusive It is assumed that private lenders will charge thesme rate as Mark-up loans by Commercial Banks Also that theo(rcent of capital borrowed from institutions is 14 34 and7 fcr small medium and large farms respectfully (10 page II-
DEPREC IAT ION
A char qe must be included for depreciation of capitalassets--breeding and power livestock machinery and -quipmentHowever information on the value of the capital stock and itsra-te of depreciation is not available Thus the approach wasadopted that depreciation is associated with longterm loans Afactor of 20 35 and 25 of the total Rs of long term loans isLI cd to reflect the consumption of capitol resources by smallmedi m and ]arge farms respectfully Total depreciation for aQ E1 f rm size is divided equally between all cultivatedhectares in both the Rabi and tKharif seasons This approachallows depreciation to vary with long term loans (which areInvestments in capital stock) The capital consumption factorsare Drbitrary however they appear to reflect relatively correctaI ues---i ncreases in depreciation as farm size increasesindicatinq a substitution of capital for human and animal power
LAND RENT
A charqe is made for land rent which tenant will have to-ed on the 1980 Census of Aqriculture it was calculated cc 464 and 247 of the cultivable islandrentedleased to tenant by small medium and large farmsrespectfully It is assumed that large farmers will pay 15 morerent than small and medium farmers (20)
SUPPLEMENTAL WATER
The hours of additional water (tube wells) was based -in dataPresF-nted in the Mechanization Study (11) The cost of thes=ippi emental water was based on a cost of Rshr 20 for 1987-88and iehr nhler ytears are indeed based upoi the cost of diesel and
12
Fne-tricit weighted by the number of tube wells using each powerSO Ur ce
LIVESTOCK
The Livestock budgets were based upon those presented in thePak~iLan lvestrock Sector Study (16) Livestock was classifiediFntn buffalo cattle and sheep and goats The unit of buffalotthe market integrated shallholder (Annex 10 Table 3) thee3tl unit is a weighted average of shallholder on irrigated35i and Barani lands [1] (Anne 10 Table 4) and thecdntary sheep and goat enterprise (Annex 10 Table 6) The-B h - c--mputed by using theriiwiirlir cd animals in Pakistan (7) and allocating 19 17 and19 of buffalo cattle and sheep and goats respectfully toijnd fhese percentages are based upon the percentages bypr-(tinc For 1976 (the latest year for which the provinciald i--tr ibuti on was reported) The livestock budgets are for 1985shy36 Frodiuct prices and costs are indexed using 1985-86 =These budqets do not include forages as
100 an expense this isbecaLiuse the cost of forage production is reflected inpriJductio sector the cropand not valued and then repurchased in thelieuro(s- sec r of theotock model
PRODUCT PRICES
The product prices developed are the average ofprincipa] marketing season price the
Where crops are aggregated (egjr pllses) a weiqhted average based on production of the(7c r- si1tused Khar- -eetabl es used the weightedaveracie of chillies coriander and turmeric Rabi vegetablessed the weighted average of potatoes onions sugarbeets andpeas Kharif fruit (major fruit) is the weighted average priceof -nan1 banana and dates Product price for the Rabi (minor)fruit htas not been computed at the time of this report
CONCERNS AND LIMITATIONS
A number of concerns and limitations are apparent in themethodology Time limitations preclude efforts to resolvehitl they are
them noted for the concerned reader
1 The input-output coefficients need to be reviewedThey were developed using the best known sourceshowever review modification and updating should not be overlooked
2 Aggreqate data (eg totr production in Sind) has beendistributed based upon relationships that are reportedin the 1980 Census of Agriculture It is assumed that thle relationships continue
13
Some data was aggreg ed (eg vegetable and fruit production) Review of the aggregation procedureincluding tne weights used may be usefula refinement
4 The importance of non-institutional (private) credit isnot wel1 understood or documented Given the importance of this relationship and the apparentlimited information it may be useful to devote research resoutrces to better understand it
5 Farm income is understated in that non cultivated land in excluded as a source of revenue and expense
Two cropping zones three farm sizes and 23 cropenterprises require the development of 138 crop budgetsfor Sind The lack of disaggregated data results in anillusion of greater information than is justified Indeveloping the models for the other provinces it maybe dEsirable to include fewer enterprise divisions
uonsider pricing seed as a percentage of the previous years price
8 Add a value and production for cotton stalks--since they are not used for animal feed but rather for fueltheir value should be reflected in Net Farm Income
9 Ali the data input range names are the year of production eg 1983-84 or 1987-66
I0 Lack of data iimited the detail that would be desirable in the livestock sector of the model
II Lack of information by farm size required assumptionst provide differential input-output coefficients Frequently no farm size differentials were used (egfertilizer use rates by farm size) When this data become available the model will accommodate this ref i nement
12 The greatest reliability should be accorded the provincial estimates Reliability decreases if aggregation by season crop and farm size are undertaken
MODEL OPERATION AND ORGANIZATION
The Farm Income Model is a series of two templates (inLOTUS) with six data files which provide the yearly coefficients The first template (Filename = FIN-l) adjusts and distributes
14
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
A PROTOTYPE MODEL TO ESTIMATE PROVINCIAL AND NATIONAL PAKISTAN NET FARM INCOME
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page
Table of Contents
List o Tables and Figures ii
Eneuuive Summary
Introduction and Justification 2
Methodology 3 Introduction 3 Cropping Zones 5 Crops 5 Farm Size Categories and Distribution 5 Study Years 5 Cropping Pattern Changes 5 Yield Changes 6 Intermediate Products 8 Fertilizer and Manure 8
Seed 8 Festicides 9 Labor 10
10 oI rL-isa 11
Land Taxes 11 CrediL and Interest 11 Depreciation 12 Land Rent 12 Supplemental Water (Tube Wells) 12 Livestock 13 Product Prices 13
Concerns and Limitations 13
MdQ] Operation and Organization 14
R v er e-nc es 17
Appendix 20
LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES
Tab 1e 1 Sind districts cotton and their
their crop
roportion of rice production zone
and 3
Table 2 Hectares and percentage of Kharif and Rabi season area cropped by small medium and large farms 6
Table 3 Cropping patterns in Sind by cropping zones farm size and season 7
Tabl- 4 Reported applications of crops in Pakistan
fertilizer to principal
9
Tab1e 5 Total Si ze
hours of labor required by crop and farm 10
Fiqu r e 1 The cotton and rice cropping zones of Sind 4
FiLure 2 Orianization of the uata and associated outputs
files model templates
15
ii
A PROTOTYPE MODEL TO ESTIMATE PROVINCIAL AND NATIONAL
PAKISTAN NET FARM INCOME
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A model was developed for Sind which is designed to estimateNet Farm Income for the province Net Farm Income is defined asthe return to the farmers and their families for the resourcest he Provide--Land Labor Capital and Management It can bei oked upon as measure of health of the agricultural sector
The province is divided into two zones the cotton zoneircludes those districts where the hectares of cotton is qreaterthai-n rice and the rice zone includes those districts where morehectares of rice are grown than cotton In addition three farm-ize (small medium and large) are defined for each zoneEleven [harif crops are included in the analysis and 9 Rabirnns
Two template models are developed The first template ar ea and production by farm size The second
template Uses the adjusted area and production data (two files)pluc fn r additional data files (information on input pricesproCfuct prices livestock and credit and interest) and generates a summary report LOTUS is used for the templates and the macrofeature permits easy combining of the data into the template pr rp- am
The input cost data is still being developed at this time anaysis of the five years (1983-84 through 1987-88) is not
pnssible Example input data and Lhe summary results generated Ih- rnrr are presented in the appendix
A PROTOTYPE MODEL TO ESTIMATE PROVINCIAL AND NATIONAL PAKISTAN NET FARM INCOME
INTRODUCTION
Knowledgle and measurement of the health of the farmingrduction aqricuiture) sector is critical in a nation like
Pm i tani which has more than half of its workforce employed in the primar-y industries One important measure which provides an indication of the health of the agricultural industry is National int F Trrcnoine National Net Farm Income is defined as the
rEtiiurr to farmers their for thethU and families labor capital nd d manaqement thev provide This is not an measurement of
qrqgifo profits from agriculture because the costs of the farm prrvi fled resources are not esti ted However given assumptionsr r crirl rthe value of -farm labor an opportunity cost for equityrapital and a return to land a residual return to management and risk kprorfit) provided by the farmers could be developed
This sudv develops a methodology for estimating Net Farm Income nd uses data from Sind as an example When parallelmodels =or the other provinces are developed the provincial data can be aciciregated and an estimate of Pakistan Net Farm Income provided Although beyond the time available and scope of this study appropriate opportunity costs for farm farmlabor equityrapital and land would provide an estimate of return to management and risk in the agricultural industry
The methodology developed used an electronic spreadsheet (LOTLIS) which combines information of crop area crop production product prices and input prices and quantities to estimate Net Farm Income Once the model is developed input data for any year can be used to calculate Net Farm Income Tha models assume that an embodied technology (input-output relationships) remain
-nAnt - the quantities of seed and labor are unchanged and that technology has not changed) The model is developed for an eN post analysis--thus crop area level of production quantitiesof fertilizer pesticides credit and input and product prices bull3 -inoVJn The model can be used in a predictive mode if e c iniates of these variables are developed This for examplewJould permit an approximate evaluation of anticipated Net Farm Income for the coming year or an indication of a proposed policy
] terna1-i ye
A section describing how to operate the models is included The appendix tables show the input data adjustment and computational LOTUS models and the result summaries
2
METHODOLOGY
THe following sections will describe the methodology used in developinq the LOTUS model for estimating Sind Net Farm Income In general the quantities of the principal inputs and outputs forthe important crops in two cropping regions for the Kharif and Rabi seasons have been specified A given years crop areali vesEck numbers and production is allocated between regions and plusmnr sizes (3ross farm income costs and net farm income are esti mated by enterprise and agqregated for the province
CROPPING ZONES
Iwo cropping zones are defined for Sind -shy a rice productioncin- and a cotton production zone The zones are aggregates of
ll i stri cts E-sed on the 198X Fakistan Census of -qr i-ul ture those districts in Sind that showed a croppingpal(nrri which included more rice than cotton during the kfharif shy ro i nc 1uded in the ri ce zone Similarly those
djTricts with more acres of cotton than rice were included inhp Fnln oe Table 1 shows the districts in Sind their --r tfnn c-rir and cotton and their assigred zone Figure 1
show the ocation of the rice and cotton zones in Sind
TatI J Sind districts their proportion of rice and cotton and l-ir cron production one
Cropped Area in Croppingri-tri- t Rice Cotton Zone
E7ad3 16 Rice Thiat ta 86 1 Rice [ 9 7arac h i Rice Oadit 64 5 Rice LarIana 99 C Rice 3) 1arpur 99 0 Rice Jaccnbabad 99 ( Rice
Tharparkar 1 16 Cotton Hyderabad 27 57 Cotton har 1 85 Cotton
iawab shah 2 7(-) Cotton Khai rpur 2 74 Cotton
7 68 Cotton
SoLure Census of Agriculture 1980 Sind
3
REFERENCES o Rke-BOUNDARY INTERNATIONAL
PROVINCE
DISTRICT
LA KANA
00 Y
CCA suUR -U
01
IZ
~ ( KNAIRPUR
ft -
THARPARKAR
Figure 1 The cotton and rice cropping zones of Sind
4
CROPS
iroLr-5 included in the analysis are the principalr0roduced in cropsthe cropping zones Only those crops whichcontributec at least one percent of the seasonal (Kharif or Rabi)cropped acre are included The Kharif crops aresIiqar cane oilseeds pulses rice cotton
fodders vegetables and roughqrains (caize iawar and bajra) The Rabi crops are wheatbarley oilseeds gram other Tohacco
pulses fodders and vegetableswas combined with other crops For both seasonsother crops are proportionately combined (on the basis of area)Lji h tne crops included
The kharif fruits were defined as mangoes bananas anddat es AIll others were considered Rabi fruits Kharif oilseedsinclude groundnut sesamum linseed castorseed rapeseed andmustard Rharif pulses include mung mash and other Kharifpulses Kharif vegetables include coriander chilies andtutrirFeric Rabi pulses include 7iasoor and other Rabi pulsesRabi vegetables include sugarbeet onion potato peas andgar i i c
FARM SIZE CATEGORIES AND THEIR DISTRIBUTION
The sudy was specified to include small mediumfarms Small and largefarms operated less than 5 hectares medium farmfrom 5 to 10 hectares and large farms are greater than 10hectares These size categories conform with those used in theensus of A-qricultLtre (18) Agricultural Statistics (21) andseveral other data sources
The area of crop production in each of the crop sizec-toqories was computed from the 1980 Census of Agriculture (18)It is assumed that the same proportional distribution of croppedarea is maintained for each crop year analyzed Table 2 showsthc- d stributjon of the iKharif season cropped area by farm size bull nd -r-oppinci one
STUDY EARS
The years 1983-84 through 1987-88 are to be considered inthe stucy Data is being collected for these years but duetime constraints and incomplete data collection only to
an exampleof the model for the year 1933-84 is included When the data iscomplete and verified a detailed analysis can be undertaken
CROPPING PATTERN CHANGES
The cropping pattern of 1980 by farmseason is shown in Table size and cropping
3 Because the cropping pattern isdi fferent for the small medium and large farms the analysis wasundertaken to limit the deviations from these cropping patterns
5
Table 2 Hectares and percentage of Kharif and Rabi season area
cropped by small medium and large farms
RICE ZONE COTTON ZONE
Farm Size Farm Size
Smal l Medium Lai ce Small Medium Largeh arif Season
(iC10C0 Ha) 1307 587 505 1461 853 1079
545 245 210 431 252 318
Rabi Season
(1(-)0C0 Ha) 1053 408 319 1365 554
592 229 179 558 226 216
Source Census of Agriculture 1980 Sind
However over time the cropping pattern will change but the datadoes not reflect the changes by farm size The study adjustedthe croppinq pattern so that the total area of a given cropmairtained (because this is known each year) and is
the distributionbetween farm size categories is based upon the base informationfrom 1980 Appendix A shows the LOTUS program developed tomaintain this balance
YIELD CHANGES
Yield changes are handled in a manner parallel(hanqes in to that forthe cropping pattern The total production (knowninformation) is maintained but this production is distributedbetween the farm sizes in a manner that is consistent witharea ard a thebasic yield distribution Based on a study of(2) cottonand rapeseed and mustard (3) it was assumed that allWOUlid show relative y-ields crops
of 90 for small farms 100mediitri -ar-ms forand 120 for large farms The LOTUS templatedf- vIoped to make the production (yield) distributions betweenIhe different farm sizes is designed to accommodate differenceshv crup rather all the crops being subject to thedistribution same yieldWhen additional information is available regardingcrcp yields by farm size it can easily be included
529
Table 3 Cropping patterns in Sind by cropping zones farm size
and season
RICE ZONE
Farm Size
SmallI Medium Lar e
KHARIF-shy ---------------------
Rice 907 858 751
Maize 0 I 0 () 03
Javar 23 32 46
Cot ton 22 2e 35
27 49 104
OiJseeds C)2 () 2 07
PuIses 0 0 0 1 03
k 1 L 1 (8 19 29
Veqetables 04 0 8 0 8
Others () 00 C 2
RA B I- - shy- - - -- - - --
Wheat 424 430 477
Ba r l e v 4 ) 41 48
Tobacco 0) () C 0 0 (
0i I seeds 78 79 69
Gram 73 61 65
Other Pulses 2307 231 166
Fodders 10)8 105 10 1
Veqetables 19 22 44
Other 27 3 ( 21
Sourc-e Census of Agriculture 198)
COTTON ZONE
Farm Size
Small Medium Large
-------shy
63 48 29
03 07 04
142 290 331
615 414 315
51 48 47
0 2 28 77
0 8 15 21
79 136 151
31 13 17
00 05 04
- - - - - - - - shy
810 77 1 767
02 02 08
0 0 o 0 0 0
28 53 65
16 20 14
23 8 17
10 2 113 103
15 20 24
0 0 02 00
Sind
INTERMEDIATE PRODUCTS
BecaLse the crop by products are typically livestock feedAhtGvre not valued Instlead it is assumed that they are anintc rmcdiete product and fed to livestock and poultry Thusr1hr 1han xValue by products and then charge them as a livestockf-d thcv are assumed to be feed to livestock However grains~~~ fd to ]ivestock
I Iv or used fnr human consumption are ld and that portion which i fed is valued at the
bull rc l price
FERTILIZER AND MANURE
The total quantity of fertilizer applied in the province isknown thus the problem is that of allocation between crops andFarm sies Fertilizer quantities were allocated between cropsbased upon their reported use (18) Table 4 shows the kgha ofnitrogen fertilizer applied and the relative quantity (wheatgiven an index of 10() is
Por a given crop the same quantity offertilizer was used regardless of farm size Cropsetplicitly notlisted below were considered to have the same level offertiliEer as wheat For simplicity phosphorus and potash are- located in the same proportions as nitrogen Manure is notinciu3dd a a cost in estimating aggregate provincial or nationiiiccrmne because it is an intermediate input--that is manure is1-arm produced and farm consumed It is recognized that smallqtaRFtities cf manure may be generated off the farm (in the large
cities) but these small quantities are ignored
The prices used for nitrogen was the weighted average (bytons applied) of urea ammonium nitrate and ammonium sulphateTl~e is some variation by year but about 88 of the singlenutriunt nitroqen fertilizer applied is urea about 10 ammoniumnitrfte and the residual ammonium sulphate Sulphate of potash was the only source of potash considered Phosphate price wasderived by pricing the nitrogen at its single nutrient price andusing the residual value as the cost of phosphate in nitrophos(27 N and 2 F) Single super phosphate was the second sourceconsiderpd On average about 80 of the phosphate was fromnitr-phos and 20 from single super phosphate
SEEDS
The quantities of seeds used in the analysis are based onthose reported in the United Consultants report on the impact ofechanization on productivity and employment (11) In RdditioniiL was assumed that the seed requirements (kgha) for barley were ekiivalent to wheat oilseeds iniawar- and baira
Rabi were equivalent to Kharifare similar to maize and that all pulses havethe same seed requirements Although it is appreciated that
8
Table 4 Reported applications of fertilizer to principal crops
in Pakistan
Cro g Nha of Wheat
Wheat 744 lOt0
Rice 417 56
Cotton 924 124
Sugarcane 1073 144
Maize 742 100
Frui t 741 100
Source Agricultural Census 1980 Bind
important differences exist between traditional vs improvedvarieties both with respect to cost and potential yieldsimplicitv required so such distinctions in this study
PESTICIDES
Little information regarding pesticide use in a desirable fnrmat wa lr-ocated The Agriculture Statistics of Sind (21 22)provides information on the number of hectares by crop that receive either preventative or curative The proportioan of cropped hectares treated by pesticides multiplied by the averagecost oF a pesticide treatment is used to estimate the cost perhectare for pesticides for the included crops The treated area noted as other crops or misc is combined and allocated to the ma1ie-jawar enterprise The average cost per hectare treated iscomputed by dividing the national cost of imported pesticides bythe hectares treated In 1986-87 and 1987-88 when data wasmi isinq the previous years growth rate was assumed for hectares rcrFre and imported cost of pesticides The hectares of wheat treated beyond 1984-85 was assumed to be the same as the averagepercent for the first two years times the hectares of wheat -r-own The last three years of pesticide treated crops is thegroLtnd applied hectares plus 3 133 and 08 of the hectares qro-in of rice sugarcane and fruits and vegetablesrespectfully Twenty percent of the fruit and vegetablenrst cid e treated hectares are assumed to be fruit and 80
SfIt is assumed that the pesticide costshectare are h same tfor all crops Also the same percent of crop hectares are treated by farm size are the same for all farm sizes
9
LABOR
rotal labor requirements (family plus hired) are reported bycr-p in Table 5 The labor requirements are the same for allfarm sizes except for cotton where 90 and 120 of the statedhours were used for the small and large farms respectfully Thehours of labor are based on information from the MechanizationStudy (11) Pakistan Census of Agriculture (18) providedinformation regarding the number of permanent hired workers byfarmrn size Hired labor was 57 156 and (27 of the totalhourshectare for the small medium and large farmsrespectfullV The perc-t of hired labor for a given farm sizewitil ossumed
to be the same for all crops The hours worked per- by arD a cultural workers was estimated at 2300 usingirfor mation on the percentage of workers working a given numbert)f hours in the surveyed week (9) Parttime family members wereassLirfled to wiork half the hours of full time family workersHirrd viorks and futllv time family workers were both assumed to pr- year A single waqe rate is used inidI 1J the model with1oti etIn ti- 7t VoJ1jaCeas a percent of the hi red
j tc r vi LI(i
bl5 5 Total hours of labor required by crop and farm size
Crop Farm Size HoursHectare
Cotton Small (S) 694Cotton Medium (M) 771Cot tcon Large (L) 925Ri ce S M L 430Sugjarc ane S M L 1171Wheat S M L 412Vegetab Ies S M L 489Fruit S M L 514Bar]ev S M L 412Oilseeds S M L 148Pulses S M L 161Maize S M L 380Fodder-Rabi S M L 489Fodder-1hari f S M L 385
POWER AND MACHINERY
The Mechanization Study (11) was the source for datapownr and machinery requirements on
Power requirements are meteither by bltlocks or by tractors It is assumed that bullocksWr provided by the farmer thus the cost will be reflected inthe livestock cost section Tractors and machinery (primarily-hra hrs and combines) may or may not be owned by the farmerbut the charge will reflect both the variable costs (fuel oil
10
and repairs) as well as the fixed costs Because a larger-ro - r- rn of the small farmers would rent tractoirs and other1A chieVEV and the driveroperator) th costs to them ishilqher than themedium farms and the large 10
farms cost is 10 1 ower
PAYMENTS TO ARTISANS
Data from the Mechanization Study (11) is the basis for thecoefficients for payments to artisans The average of the Zone 5and 6 All Technology is used for all reported crops For thecrops not reporting a payment to artisans the average of the Alllechnoloq y for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same value as wheat An index (1986-97 = 100)provided to allow proportionate changing of is
the expenses between
LAND TAXES
Data from the mechanization Study (11) was the basis for theo--fficierts for- land taxes The average of the Zones 5 andfor Lhe All1 Ilechnology Is used 6
for all reported crops For the-rops not reporting a land revenue the average of the AllTechnology for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same coefficient as wheat no data was available forpulses thus the same value as fnr oilseeds is used An index1986--87 = 0) is provided allow proportionate changesbetween years
INTEREST AND CREDIT
Credit is provided to farms from a number of institutionaland private sources Pakistan Agricultural Statistics (7)reports credit transactions (quantities) for the AgriculturalDevelopment Bank of Pakistan (ADBP) Commercial Banks TaccaviLoans and Cooperative Loans Advanced For ADBP and CommercialBank loans information on loan terms and farm size distributions are shown Medium and long term loans were combined so thatloanIs could be classified as either short term or longloans Loans to term
landless tenant and farms with less than 5hectates were considered small farms One third of the loanolume of the farm size classification 5 to 20 hectares is usedmedium sized farms (farms from 5 to 10 hectares) Theresidual l oanls are classified as loans to large farmsConmercial Bank loans are classified as farm (really crop loans)and non--farm loans---those for poultry and livestock CommercialBank poultry loans are considered short term and livestock loansare classified as long term loans The non-farm loans used thesame farm size distribution as for farm loans Taccavi Loanswere distributed by farm size and loan type the same as ADBPloans Cooperative loans were distributed by farm size and loantype the same as Commercial Bank loans
11
The Cooperatives and Commercial Banks provide some Mark-LIpFree (no interest) loans Data is reported on the otal Rs andRs of Mark-up Free loans (10) This proportion vari-s by yearand is assumed to be the same for both short and long term loansIt is assumed that Traccavi Loans are at the same interest ratesas (ADBP loans Also that the interest rate for Mark-up loans bythe Commercial Banks was 1) for short term loans (the minimumthe (an charge) and 13 for the long term loans (the maximum t hey can charqe) Interest rates used are those reported in the(nnual Report of the State Bar of Pakistan and shown in (10)
IriLLi est rates arid qLIantities from non-institutional sourcesIs ellusive It is assumed that private lenders will charge thesme rate as Mark-up loans by Commercial Banks Also that theo(rcent of capital borrowed from institutions is 14 34 and7 fcr small medium and large farms respectfully (10 page II-
DEPREC IAT ION
A char qe must be included for depreciation of capitalassets--breeding and power livestock machinery and -quipmentHowever information on the value of the capital stock and itsra-te of depreciation is not available Thus the approach wasadopted that depreciation is associated with longterm loans Afactor of 20 35 and 25 of the total Rs of long term loans isLI cd to reflect the consumption of capitol resources by smallmedi m and ]arge farms respectfully Total depreciation for aQ E1 f rm size is divided equally between all cultivatedhectares in both the Rabi and tKharif seasons This approachallows depreciation to vary with long term loans (which areInvestments in capital stock) The capital consumption factorsare Drbitrary however they appear to reflect relatively correctaI ues---i ncreases in depreciation as farm size increasesindicatinq a substitution of capital for human and animal power
LAND RENT
A charqe is made for land rent which tenant will have to-ed on the 1980 Census of Aqriculture it was calculated cc 464 and 247 of the cultivable islandrentedleased to tenant by small medium and large farmsrespectfully It is assumed that large farmers will pay 15 morerent than small and medium farmers (20)
SUPPLEMENTAL WATER
The hours of additional water (tube wells) was based -in dataPresF-nted in the Mechanization Study (11) The cost of thes=ippi emental water was based on a cost of Rshr 20 for 1987-88and iehr nhler ytears are indeed based upoi the cost of diesel and
12
Fne-tricit weighted by the number of tube wells using each powerSO Ur ce
LIVESTOCK
The Livestock budgets were based upon those presented in thePak~iLan lvestrock Sector Study (16) Livestock was classifiediFntn buffalo cattle and sheep and goats The unit of buffalotthe market integrated shallholder (Annex 10 Table 3) thee3tl unit is a weighted average of shallholder on irrigated35i and Barani lands [1] (Anne 10 Table 4) and thecdntary sheep and goat enterprise (Annex 10 Table 6) The-B h - c--mputed by using theriiwiirlir cd animals in Pakistan (7) and allocating 19 17 and19 of buffalo cattle and sheep and goats respectfully toijnd fhese percentages are based upon the percentages bypr-(tinc For 1976 (the latest year for which the provinciald i--tr ibuti on was reported) The livestock budgets are for 1985shy36 Frodiuct prices and costs are indexed using 1985-86 =These budqets do not include forages as
100 an expense this isbecaLiuse the cost of forage production is reflected inpriJductio sector the cropand not valued and then repurchased in thelieuro(s- sec r of theotock model
PRODUCT PRICES
The product prices developed are the average ofprincipa] marketing season price the
Where crops are aggregated (egjr pllses) a weiqhted average based on production of the(7c r- si1tused Khar- -eetabl es used the weightedaveracie of chillies coriander and turmeric Rabi vegetablessed the weighted average of potatoes onions sugarbeets andpeas Kharif fruit (major fruit) is the weighted average priceof -nan1 banana and dates Product price for the Rabi (minor)fruit htas not been computed at the time of this report
CONCERNS AND LIMITATIONS
A number of concerns and limitations are apparent in themethodology Time limitations preclude efforts to resolvehitl they are
them noted for the concerned reader
1 The input-output coefficients need to be reviewedThey were developed using the best known sourceshowever review modification and updating should not be overlooked
2 Aggreqate data (eg totr production in Sind) has beendistributed based upon relationships that are reportedin the 1980 Census of Agriculture It is assumed that thle relationships continue
13
Some data was aggreg ed (eg vegetable and fruit production) Review of the aggregation procedureincluding tne weights used may be usefula refinement
4 The importance of non-institutional (private) credit isnot wel1 understood or documented Given the importance of this relationship and the apparentlimited information it may be useful to devote research resoutrces to better understand it
5 Farm income is understated in that non cultivated land in excluded as a source of revenue and expense
Two cropping zones three farm sizes and 23 cropenterprises require the development of 138 crop budgetsfor Sind The lack of disaggregated data results in anillusion of greater information than is justified Indeveloping the models for the other provinces it maybe dEsirable to include fewer enterprise divisions
uonsider pricing seed as a percentage of the previous years price
8 Add a value and production for cotton stalks--since they are not used for animal feed but rather for fueltheir value should be reflected in Net Farm Income
9 Ali the data input range names are the year of production eg 1983-84 or 1987-66
I0 Lack of data iimited the detail that would be desirable in the livestock sector of the model
II Lack of information by farm size required assumptionst provide differential input-output coefficients Frequently no farm size differentials were used (egfertilizer use rates by farm size) When this data become available the model will accommodate this ref i nement
12 The greatest reliability should be accorded the provincial estimates Reliability decreases if aggregation by season crop and farm size are undertaken
MODEL OPERATION AND ORGANIZATION
The Farm Income Model is a series of two templates (inLOTUS) with six data files which provide the yearly coefficients The first template (Filename = FIN-l) adjusts and distributes
14
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES
Tab 1e 1 Sind districts cotton and their
their crop
roportion of rice production zone
and 3
Table 2 Hectares and percentage of Kharif and Rabi season area cropped by small medium and large farms 6
Table 3 Cropping patterns in Sind by cropping zones farm size and season 7
Tabl- 4 Reported applications of crops in Pakistan
fertilizer to principal
9
Tab1e 5 Total Si ze
hours of labor required by crop and farm 10
Fiqu r e 1 The cotton and rice cropping zones of Sind 4
FiLure 2 Orianization of the uata and associated outputs
files model templates
15
ii
A PROTOTYPE MODEL TO ESTIMATE PROVINCIAL AND NATIONAL
PAKISTAN NET FARM INCOME
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A model was developed for Sind which is designed to estimateNet Farm Income for the province Net Farm Income is defined asthe return to the farmers and their families for the resourcest he Provide--Land Labor Capital and Management It can bei oked upon as measure of health of the agricultural sector
The province is divided into two zones the cotton zoneircludes those districts where the hectares of cotton is qreaterthai-n rice and the rice zone includes those districts where morehectares of rice are grown than cotton In addition three farm-ize (small medium and large) are defined for each zoneEleven [harif crops are included in the analysis and 9 Rabirnns
Two template models are developed The first template ar ea and production by farm size The second
template Uses the adjusted area and production data (two files)pluc fn r additional data files (information on input pricesproCfuct prices livestock and credit and interest) and generates a summary report LOTUS is used for the templates and the macrofeature permits easy combining of the data into the template pr rp- am
The input cost data is still being developed at this time anaysis of the five years (1983-84 through 1987-88) is not
pnssible Example input data and Lhe summary results generated Ih- rnrr are presented in the appendix
A PROTOTYPE MODEL TO ESTIMATE PROVINCIAL AND NATIONAL PAKISTAN NET FARM INCOME
INTRODUCTION
Knowledgle and measurement of the health of the farmingrduction aqricuiture) sector is critical in a nation like
Pm i tani which has more than half of its workforce employed in the primar-y industries One important measure which provides an indication of the health of the agricultural industry is National int F Trrcnoine National Net Farm Income is defined as the
rEtiiurr to farmers their for thethU and families labor capital nd d manaqement thev provide This is not an measurement of
qrqgifo profits from agriculture because the costs of the farm prrvi fled resources are not esti ted However given assumptionsr r crirl rthe value of -farm labor an opportunity cost for equityrapital and a return to land a residual return to management and risk kprorfit) provided by the farmers could be developed
This sudv develops a methodology for estimating Net Farm Income nd uses data from Sind as an example When parallelmodels =or the other provinces are developed the provincial data can be aciciregated and an estimate of Pakistan Net Farm Income provided Although beyond the time available and scope of this study appropriate opportunity costs for farm farmlabor equityrapital and land would provide an estimate of return to management and risk in the agricultural industry
The methodology developed used an electronic spreadsheet (LOTLIS) which combines information of crop area crop production product prices and input prices and quantities to estimate Net Farm Income Once the model is developed input data for any year can be used to calculate Net Farm Income Tha models assume that an embodied technology (input-output relationships) remain
-nAnt - the quantities of seed and labor are unchanged and that technology has not changed) The model is developed for an eN post analysis--thus crop area level of production quantitiesof fertilizer pesticides credit and input and product prices bull3 -inoVJn The model can be used in a predictive mode if e c iniates of these variables are developed This for examplewJould permit an approximate evaluation of anticipated Net Farm Income for the coming year or an indication of a proposed policy
] terna1-i ye
A section describing how to operate the models is included The appendix tables show the input data adjustment and computational LOTUS models and the result summaries
2
METHODOLOGY
THe following sections will describe the methodology used in developinq the LOTUS model for estimating Sind Net Farm Income In general the quantities of the principal inputs and outputs forthe important crops in two cropping regions for the Kharif and Rabi seasons have been specified A given years crop areali vesEck numbers and production is allocated between regions and plusmnr sizes (3ross farm income costs and net farm income are esti mated by enterprise and agqregated for the province
CROPPING ZONES
Iwo cropping zones are defined for Sind -shy a rice productioncin- and a cotton production zone The zones are aggregates of
ll i stri cts E-sed on the 198X Fakistan Census of -qr i-ul ture those districts in Sind that showed a croppingpal(nrri which included more rice than cotton during the kfharif shy ro i nc 1uded in the ri ce zone Similarly those
djTricts with more acres of cotton than rice were included inhp Fnln oe Table 1 shows the districts in Sind their --r tfnn c-rir and cotton and their assigred zone Figure 1
show the ocation of the rice and cotton zones in Sind
TatI J Sind districts their proportion of rice and cotton and l-ir cron production one
Cropped Area in Croppingri-tri- t Rice Cotton Zone
E7ad3 16 Rice Thiat ta 86 1 Rice [ 9 7arac h i Rice Oadit 64 5 Rice LarIana 99 C Rice 3) 1arpur 99 0 Rice Jaccnbabad 99 ( Rice
Tharparkar 1 16 Cotton Hyderabad 27 57 Cotton har 1 85 Cotton
iawab shah 2 7(-) Cotton Khai rpur 2 74 Cotton
7 68 Cotton
SoLure Census of Agriculture 1980 Sind
3
REFERENCES o Rke-BOUNDARY INTERNATIONAL
PROVINCE
DISTRICT
LA KANA
00 Y
CCA suUR -U
01
IZ
~ ( KNAIRPUR
ft -
THARPARKAR
Figure 1 The cotton and rice cropping zones of Sind
4
CROPS
iroLr-5 included in the analysis are the principalr0roduced in cropsthe cropping zones Only those crops whichcontributec at least one percent of the seasonal (Kharif or Rabi)cropped acre are included The Kharif crops aresIiqar cane oilseeds pulses rice cotton
fodders vegetables and roughqrains (caize iawar and bajra) The Rabi crops are wheatbarley oilseeds gram other Tohacco
pulses fodders and vegetableswas combined with other crops For both seasonsother crops are proportionately combined (on the basis of area)Lji h tne crops included
The kharif fruits were defined as mangoes bananas anddat es AIll others were considered Rabi fruits Kharif oilseedsinclude groundnut sesamum linseed castorseed rapeseed andmustard Rharif pulses include mung mash and other Kharifpulses Kharif vegetables include coriander chilies andtutrirFeric Rabi pulses include 7iasoor and other Rabi pulsesRabi vegetables include sugarbeet onion potato peas andgar i i c
FARM SIZE CATEGORIES AND THEIR DISTRIBUTION
The sudy was specified to include small mediumfarms Small and largefarms operated less than 5 hectares medium farmfrom 5 to 10 hectares and large farms are greater than 10hectares These size categories conform with those used in theensus of A-qricultLtre (18) Agricultural Statistics (21) andseveral other data sources
The area of crop production in each of the crop sizec-toqories was computed from the 1980 Census of Agriculture (18)It is assumed that the same proportional distribution of croppedarea is maintained for each crop year analyzed Table 2 showsthc- d stributjon of the iKharif season cropped area by farm size bull nd -r-oppinci one
STUDY EARS
The years 1983-84 through 1987-88 are to be considered inthe stucy Data is being collected for these years but duetime constraints and incomplete data collection only to
an exampleof the model for the year 1933-84 is included When the data iscomplete and verified a detailed analysis can be undertaken
CROPPING PATTERN CHANGES
The cropping pattern of 1980 by farmseason is shown in Table size and cropping
3 Because the cropping pattern isdi fferent for the small medium and large farms the analysis wasundertaken to limit the deviations from these cropping patterns
5
Table 2 Hectares and percentage of Kharif and Rabi season area
cropped by small medium and large farms
RICE ZONE COTTON ZONE
Farm Size Farm Size
Smal l Medium Lai ce Small Medium Largeh arif Season
(iC10C0 Ha) 1307 587 505 1461 853 1079
545 245 210 431 252 318
Rabi Season
(1(-)0C0 Ha) 1053 408 319 1365 554
592 229 179 558 226 216
Source Census of Agriculture 1980 Sind
However over time the cropping pattern will change but the datadoes not reflect the changes by farm size The study adjustedthe croppinq pattern so that the total area of a given cropmairtained (because this is known each year) and is
the distributionbetween farm size categories is based upon the base informationfrom 1980 Appendix A shows the LOTUS program developed tomaintain this balance
YIELD CHANGES
Yield changes are handled in a manner parallel(hanqes in to that forthe cropping pattern The total production (knowninformation) is maintained but this production is distributedbetween the farm sizes in a manner that is consistent witharea ard a thebasic yield distribution Based on a study of(2) cottonand rapeseed and mustard (3) it was assumed that allWOUlid show relative y-ields crops
of 90 for small farms 100mediitri -ar-ms forand 120 for large farms The LOTUS templatedf- vIoped to make the production (yield) distributions betweenIhe different farm sizes is designed to accommodate differenceshv crup rather all the crops being subject to thedistribution same yieldWhen additional information is available regardingcrcp yields by farm size it can easily be included
529
Table 3 Cropping patterns in Sind by cropping zones farm size
and season
RICE ZONE
Farm Size
SmallI Medium Lar e
KHARIF-shy ---------------------
Rice 907 858 751
Maize 0 I 0 () 03
Javar 23 32 46
Cot ton 22 2e 35
27 49 104
OiJseeds C)2 () 2 07
PuIses 0 0 0 1 03
k 1 L 1 (8 19 29
Veqetables 04 0 8 0 8
Others () 00 C 2
RA B I- - shy- - - -- - - --
Wheat 424 430 477
Ba r l e v 4 ) 41 48
Tobacco 0) () C 0 0 (
0i I seeds 78 79 69
Gram 73 61 65
Other Pulses 2307 231 166
Fodders 10)8 105 10 1
Veqetables 19 22 44
Other 27 3 ( 21
Sourc-e Census of Agriculture 198)
COTTON ZONE
Farm Size
Small Medium Large
-------shy
63 48 29
03 07 04
142 290 331
615 414 315
51 48 47
0 2 28 77
0 8 15 21
79 136 151
31 13 17
00 05 04
- - - - - - - - shy
810 77 1 767
02 02 08
0 0 o 0 0 0
28 53 65
16 20 14
23 8 17
10 2 113 103
15 20 24
0 0 02 00
Sind
INTERMEDIATE PRODUCTS
BecaLse the crop by products are typically livestock feedAhtGvre not valued Instlead it is assumed that they are anintc rmcdiete product and fed to livestock and poultry Thusr1hr 1han xValue by products and then charge them as a livestockf-d thcv are assumed to be feed to livestock However grains~~~ fd to ]ivestock
I Iv or used fnr human consumption are ld and that portion which i fed is valued at the
bull rc l price
FERTILIZER AND MANURE
The total quantity of fertilizer applied in the province isknown thus the problem is that of allocation between crops andFarm sies Fertilizer quantities were allocated between cropsbased upon their reported use (18) Table 4 shows the kgha ofnitrogen fertilizer applied and the relative quantity (wheatgiven an index of 10() is
Por a given crop the same quantity offertilizer was used regardless of farm size Cropsetplicitly notlisted below were considered to have the same level offertiliEer as wheat For simplicity phosphorus and potash are- located in the same proportions as nitrogen Manure is notinciu3dd a a cost in estimating aggregate provincial or nationiiiccrmne because it is an intermediate input--that is manure is1-arm produced and farm consumed It is recognized that smallqtaRFtities cf manure may be generated off the farm (in the large
cities) but these small quantities are ignored
The prices used for nitrogen was the weighted average (bytons applied) of urea ammonium nitrate and ammonium sulphateTl~e is some variation by year but about 88 of the singlenutriunt nitroqen fertilizer applied is urea about 10 ammoniumnitrfte and the residual ammonium sulphate Sulphate of potash was the only source of potash considered Phosphate price wasderived by pricing the nitrogen at its single nutrient price andusing the residual value as the cost of phosphate in nitrophos(27 N and 2 F) Single super phosphate was the second sourceconsiderpd On average about 80 of the phosphate was fromnitr-phos and 20 from single super phosphate
SEEDS
The quantities of seeds used in the analysis are based onthose reported in the United Consultants report on the impact ofechanization on productivity and employment (11) In RdditioniiL was assumed that the seed requirements (kgha) for barley were ekiivalent to wheat oilseeds iniawar- and baira
Rabi were equivalent to Kharifare similar to maize and that all pulses havethe same seed requirements Although it is appreciated that
8
Table 4 Reported applications of fertilizer to principal crops
in Pakistan
Cro g Nha of Wheat
Wheat 744 lOt0
Rice 417 56
Cotton 924 124
Sugarcane 1073 144
Maize 742 100
Frui t 741 100
Source Agricultural Census 1980 Bind
important differences exist between traditional vs improvedvarieties both with respect to cost and potential yieldsimplicitv required so such distinctions in this study
PESTICIDES
Little information regarding pesticide use in a desirable fnrmat wa lr-ocated The Agriculture Statistics of Sind (21 22)provides information on the number of hectares by crop that receive either preventative or curative The proportioan of cropped hectares treated by pesticides multiplied by the averagecost oF a pesticide treatment is used to estimate the cost perhectare for pesticides for the included crops The treated area noted as other crops or misc is combined and allocated to the ma1ie-jawar enterprise The average cost per hectare treated iscomputed by dividing the national cost of imported pesticides bythe hectares treated In 1986-87 and 1987-88 when data wasmi isinq the previous years growth rate was assumed for hectares rcrFre and imported cost of pesticides The hectares of wheat treated beyond 1984-85 was assumed to be the same as the averagepercent for the first two years times the hectares of wheat -r-own The last three years of pesticide treated crops is thegroLtnd applied hectares plus 3 133 and 08 of the hectares qro-in of rice sugarcane and fruits and vegetablesrespectfully Twenty percent of the fruit and vegetablenrst cid e treated hectares are assumed to be fruit and 80
SfIt is assumed that the pesticide costshectare are h same tfor all crops Also the same percent of crop hectares are treated by farm size are the same for all farm sizes
9
LABOR
rotal labor requirements (family plus hired) are reported bycr-p in Table 5 The labor requirements are the same for allfarm sizes except for cotton where 90 and 120 of the statedhours were used for the small and large farms respectfully Thehours of labor are based on information from the MechanizationStudy (11) Pakistan Census of Agriculture (18) providedinformation regarding the number of permanent hired workers byfarmrn size Hired labor was 57 156 and (27 of the totalhourshectare for the small medium and large farmsrespectfullV The perc-t of hired labor for a given farm sizewitil ossumed
to be the same for all crops The hours worked per- by arD a cultural workers was estimated at 2300 usingirfor mation on the percentage of workers working a given numbert)f hours in the surveyed week (9) Parttime family members wereassLirfled to wiork half the hours of full time family workersHirrd viorks and futllv time family workers were both assumed to pr- year A single waqe rate is used inidI 1J the model with1oti etIn ti- 7t VoJ1jaCeas a percent of the hi red
j tc r vi LI(i
bl5 5 Total hours of labor required by crop and farm size
Crop Farm Size HoursHectare
Cotton Small (S) 694Cotton Medium (M) 771Cot tcon Large (L) 925Ri ce S M L 430Sugjarc ane S M L 1171Wheat S M L 412Vegetab Ies S M L 489Fruit S M L 514Bar]ev S M L 412Oilseeds S M L 148Pulses S M L 161Maize S M L 380Fodder-Rabi S M L 489Fodder-1hari f S M L 385
POWER AND MACHINERY
The Mechanization Study (11) was the source for datapownr and machinery requirements on
Power requirements are meteither by bltlocks or by tractors It is assumed that bullocksWr provided by the farmer thus the cost will be reflected inthe livestock cost section Tractors and machinery (primarily-hra hrs and combines) may or may not be owned by the farmerbut the charge will reflect both the variable costs (fuel oil
10
and repairs) as well as the fixed costs Because a larger-ro - r- rn of the small farmers would rent tractoirs and other1A chieVEV and the driveroperator) th costs to them ishilqher than themedium farms and the large 10
farms cost is 10 1 ower
PAYMENTS TO ARTISANS
Data from the Mechanization Study (11) is the basis for thecoefficients for payments to artisans The average of the Zone 5and 6 All Technology is used for all reported crops For thecrops not reporting a payment to artisans the average of the Alllechnoloq y for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same value as wheat An index (1986-97 = 100)provided to allow proportionate changing of is
the expenses between
LAND TAXES
Data from the mechanization Study (11) was the basis for theo--fficierts for- land taxes The average of the Zones 5 andfor Lhe All1 Ilechnology Is used 6
for all reported crops For the-rops not reporting a land revenue the average of the AllTechnology for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same coefficient as wheat no data was available forpulses thus the same value as fnr oilseeds is used An index1986--87 = 0) is provided allow proportionate changesbetween years
INTEREST AND CREDIT
Credit is provided to farms from a number of institutionaland private sources Pakistan Agricultural Statistics (7)reports credit transactions (quantities) for the AgriculturalDevelopment Bank of Pakistan (ADBP) Commercial Banks TaccaviLoans and Cooperative Loans Advanced For ADBP and CommercialBank loans information on loan terms and farm size distributions are shown Medium and long term loans were combined so thatloanIs could be classified as either short term or longloans Loans to term
landless tenant and farms with less than 5hectates were considered small farms One third of the loanolume of the farm size classification 5 to 20 hectares is usedmedium sized farms (farms from 5 to 10 hectares) Theresidual l oanls are classified as loans to large farmsConmercial Bank loans are classified as farm (really crop loans)and non--farm loans---those for poultry and livestock CommercialBank poultry loans are considered short term and livestock loansare classified as long term loans The non-farm loans used thesame farm size distribution as for farm loans Taccavi Loanswere distributed by farm size and loan type the same as ADBPloans Cooperative loans were distributed by farm size and loantype the same as Commercial Bank loans
11
The Cooperatives and Commercial Banks provide some Mark-LIpFree (no interest) loans Data is reported on the otal Rs andRs of Mark-up Free loans (10) This proportion vari-s by yearand is assumed to be the same for both short and long term loansIt is assumed that Traccavi Loans are at the same interest ratesas (ADBP loans Also that the interest rate for Mark-up loans bythe Commercial Banks was 1) for short term loans (the minimumthe (an charge) and 13 for the long term loans (the maximum t hey can charqe) Interest rates used are those reported in the(nnual Report of the State Bar of Pakistan and shown in (10)
IriLLi est rates arid qLIantities from non-institutional sourcesIs ellusive It is assumed that private lenders will charge thesme rate as Mark-up loans by Commercial Banks Also that theo(rcent of capital borrowed from institutions is 14 34 and7 fcr small medium and large farms respectfully (10 page II-
DEPREC IAT ION
A char qe must be included for depreciation of capitalassets--breeding and power livestock machinery and -quipmentHowever information on the value of the capital stock and itsra-te of depreciation is not available Thus the approach wasadopted that depreciation is associated with longterm loans Afactor of 20 35 and 25 of the total Rs of long term loans isLI cd to reflect the consumption of capitol resources by smallmedi m and ]arge farms respectfully Total depreciation for aQ E1 f rm size is divided equally between all cultivatedhectares in both the Rabi and tKharif seasons This approachallows depreciation to vary with long term loans (which areInvestments in capital stock) The capital consumption factorsare Drbitrary however they appear to reflect relatively correctaI ues---i ncreases in depreciation as farm size increasesindicatinq a substitution of capital for human and animal power
LAND RENT
A charqe is made for land rent which tenant will have to-ed on the 1980 Census of Aqriculture it was calculated cc 464 and 247 of the cultivable islandrentedleased to tenant by small medium and large farmsrespectfully It is assumed that large farmers will pay 15 morerent than small and medium farmers (20)
SUPPLEMENTAL WATER
The hours of additional water (tube wells) was based -in dataPresF-nted in the Mechanization Study (11) The cost of thes=ippi emental water was based on a cost of Rshr 20 for 1987-88and iehr nhler ytears are indeed based upoi the cost of diesel and
12
Fne-tricit weighted by the number of tube wells using each powerSO Ur ce
LIVESTOCK
The Livestock budgets were based upon those presented in thePak~iLan lvestrock Sector Study (16) Livestock was classifiediFntn buffalo cattle and sheep and goats The unit of buffalotthe market integrated shallholder (Annex 10 Table 3) thee3tl unit is a weighted average of shallholder on irrigated35i and Barani lands [1] (Anne 10 Table 4) and thecdntary sheep and goat enterprise (Annex 10 Table 6) The-B h - c--mputed by using theriiwiirlir cd animals in Pakistan (7) and allocating 19 17 and19 of buffalo cattle and sheep and goats respectfully toijnd fhese percentages are based upon the percentages bypr-(tinc For 1976 (the latest year for which the provinciald i--tr ibuti on was reported) The livestock budgets are for 1985shy36 Frodiuct prices and costs are indexed using 1985-86 =These budqets do not include forages as
100 an expense this isbecaLiuse the cost of forage production is reflected inpriJductio sector the cropand not valued and then repurchased in thelieuro(s- sec r of theotock model
PRODUCT PRICES
The product prices developed are the average ofprincipa] marketing season price the
Where crops are aggregated (egjr pllses) a weiqhted average based on production of the(7c r- si1tused Khar- -eetabl es used the weightedaveracie of chillies coriander and turmeric Rabi vegetablessed the weighted average of potatoes onions sugarbeets andpeas Kharif fruit (major fruit) is the weighted average priceof -nan1 banana and dates Product price for the Rabi (minor)fruit htas not been computed at the time of this report
CONCERNS AND LIMITATIONS
A number of concerns and limitations are apparent in themethodology Time limitations preclude efforts to resolvehitl they are
them noted for the concerned reader
1 The input-output coefficients need to be reviewedThey were developed using the best known sourceshowever review modification and updating should not be overlooked
2 Aggreqate data (eg totr production in Sind) has beendistributed based upon relationships that are reportedin the 1980 Census of Agriculture It is assumed that thle relationships continue
13
Some data was aggreg ed (eg vegetable and fruit production) Review of the aggregation procedureincluding tne weights used may be usefula refinement
4 The importance of non-institutional (private) credit isnot wel1 understood or documented Given the importance of this relationship and the apparentlimited information it may be useful to devote research resoutrces to better understand it
5 Farm income is understated in that non cultivated land in excluded as a source of revenue and expense
Two cropping zones three farm sizes and 23 cropenterprises require the development of 138 crop budgetsfor Sind The lack of disaggregated data results in anillusion of greater information than is justified Indeveloping the models for the other provinces it maybe dEsirable to include fewer enterprise divisions
uonsider pricing seed as a percentage of the previous years price
8 Add a value and production for cotton stalks--since they are not used for animal feed but rather for fueltheir value should be reflected in Net Farm Income
9 Ali the data input range names are the year of production eg 1983-84 or 1987-66
I0 Lack of data iimited the detail that would be desirable in the livestock sector of the model
II Lack of information by farm size required assumptionst provide differential input-output coefficients Frequently no farm size differentials were used (egfertilizer use rates by farm size) When this data become available the model will accommodate this ref i nement
12 The greatest reliability should be accorded the provincial estimates Reliability decreases if aggregation by season crop and farm size are undertaken
MODEL OPERATION AND ORGANIZATION
The Farm Income Model is a series of two templates (inLOTUS) with six data files which provide the yearly coefficients The first template (Filename = FIN-l) adjusts and distributes
14
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
A PROTOTYPE MODEL TO ESTIMATE PROVINCIAL AND NATIONAL
PAKISTAN NET FARM INCOME
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A model was developed for Sind which is designed to estimateNet Farm Income for the province Net Farm Income is defined asthe return to the farmers and their families for the resourcest he Provide--Land Labor Capital and Management It can bei oked upon as measure of health of the agricultural sector
The province is divided into two zones the cotton zoneircludes those districts where the hectares of cotton is qreaterthai-n rice and the rice zone includes those districts where morehectares of rice are grown than cotton In addition three farm-ize (small medium and large) are defined for each zoneEleven [harif crops are included in the analysis and 9 Rabirnns
Two template models are developed The first template ar ea and production by farm size The second
template Uses the adjusted area and production data (two files)pluc fn r additional data files (information on input pricesproCfuct prices livestock and credit and interest) and generates a summary report LOTUS is used for the templates and the macrofeature permits easy combining of the data into the template pr rp- am
The input cost data is still being developed at this time anaysis of the five years (1983-84 through 1987-88) is not
pnssible Example input data and Lhe summary results generated Ih- rnrr are presented in the appendix
A PROTOTYPE MODEL TO ESTIMATE PROVINCIAL AND NATIONAL PAKISTAN NET FARM INCOME
INTRODUCTION
Knowledgle and measurement of the health of the farmingrduction aqricuiture) sector is critical in a nation like
Pm i tani which has more than half of its workforce employed in the primar-y industries One important measure which provides an indication of the health of the agricultural industry is National int F Trrcnoine National Net Farm Income is defined as the
rEtiiurr to farmers their for thethU and families labor capital nd d manaqement thev provide This is not an measurement of
qrqgifo profits from agriculture because the costs of the farm prrvi fled resources are not esti ted However given assumptionsr r crirl rthe value of -farm labor an opportunity cost for equityrapital and a return to land a residual return to management and risk kprorfit) provided by the farmers could be developed
This sudv develops a methodology for estimating Net Farm Income nd uses data from Sind as an example When parallelmodels =or the other provinces are developed the provincial data can be aciciregated and an estimate of Pakistan Net Farm Income provided Although beyond the time available and scope of this study appropriate opportunity costs for farm farmlabor equityrapital and land would provide an estimate of return to management and risk in the agricultural industry
The methodology developed used an electronic spreadsheet (LOTLIS) which combines information of crop area crop production product prices and input prices and quantities to estimate Net Farm Income Once the model is developed input data for any year can be used to calculate Net Farm Income Tha models assume that an embodied technology (input-output relationships) remain
-nAnt - the quantities of seed and labor are unchanged and that technology has not changed) The model is developed for an eN post analysis--thus crop area level of production quantitiesof fertilizer pesticides credit and input and product prices bull3 -inoVJn The model can be used in a predictive mode if e c iniates of these variables are developed This for examplewJould permit an approximate evaluation of anticipated Net Farm Income for the coming year or an indication of a proposed policy
] terna1-i ye
A section describing how to operate the models is included The appendix tables show the input data adjustment and computational LOTUS models and the result summaries
2
METHODOLOGY
THe following sections will describe the methodology used in developinq the LOTUS model for estimating Sind Net Farm Income In general the quantities of the principal inputs and outputs forthe important crops in two cropping regions for the Kharif and Rabi seasons have been specified A given years crop areali vesEck numbers and production is allocated between regions and plusmnr sizes (3ross farm income costs and net farm income are esti mated by enterprise and agqregated for the province
CROPPING ZONES
Iwo cropping zones are defined for Sind -shy a rice productioncin- and a cotton production zone The zones are aggregates of
ll i stri cts E-sed on the 198X Fakistan Census of -qr i-ul ture those districts in Sind that showed a croppingpal(nrri which included more rice than cotton during the kfharif shy ro i nc 1uded in the ri ce zone Similarly those
djTricts with more acres of cotton than rice were included inhp Fnln oe Table 1 shows the districts in Sind their --r tfnn c-rir and cotton and their assigred zone Figure 1
show the ocation of the rice and cotton zones in Sind
TatI J Sind districts their proportion of rice and cotton and l-ir cron production one
Cropped Area in Croppingri-tri- t Rice Cotton Zone
E7ad3 16 Rice Thiat ta 86 1 Rice [ 9 7arac h i Rice Oadit 64 5 Rice LarIana 99 C Rice 3) 1arpur 99 0 Rice Jaccnbabad 99 ( Rice
Tharparkar 1 16 Cotton Hyderabad 27 57 Cotton har 1 85 Cotton
iawab shah 2 7(-) Cotton Khai rpur 2 74 Cotton
7 68 Cotton
SoLure Census of Agriculture 1980 Sind
3
REFERENCES o Rke-BOUNDARY INTERNATIONAL
PROVINCE
DISTRICT
LA KANA
00 Y
CCA suUR -U
01
IZ
~ ( KNAIRPUR
ft -
THARPARKAR
Figure 1 The cotton and rice cropping zones of Sind
4
CROPS
iroLr-5 included in the analysis are the principalr0roduced in cropsthe cropping zones Only those crops whichcontributec at least one percent of the seasonal (Kharif or Rabi)cropped acre are included The Kharif crops aresIiqar cane oilseeds pulses rice cotton
fodders vegetables and roughqrains (caize iawar and bajra) The Rabi crops are wheatbarley oilseeds gram other Tohacco
pulses fodders and vegetableswas combined with other crops For both seasonsother crops are proportionately combined (on the basis of area)Lji h tne crops included
The kharif fruits were defined as mangoes bananas anddat es AIll others were considered Rabi fruits Kharif oilseedsinclude groundnut sesamum linseed castorseed rapeseed andmustard Rharif pulses include mung mash and other Kharifpulses Kharif vegetables include coriander chilies andtutrirFeric Rabi pulses include 7iasoor and other Rabi pulsesRabi vegetables include sugarbeet onion potato peas andgar i i c
FARM SIZE CATEGORIES AND THEIR DISTRIBUTION
The sudy was specified to include small mediumfarms Small and largefarms operated less than 5 hectares medium farmfrom 5 to 10 hectares and large farms are greater than 10hectares These size categories conform with those used in theensus of A-qricultLtre (18) Agricultural Statistics (21) andseveral other data sources
The area of crop production in each of the crop sizec-toqories was computed from the 1980 Census of Agriculture (18)It is assumed that the same proportional distribution of croppedarea is maintained for each crop year analyzed Table 2 showsthc- d stributjon of the iKharif season cropped area by farm size bull nd -r-oppinci one
STUDY EARS
The years 1983-84 through 1987-88 are to be considered inthe stucy Data is being collected for these years but duetime constraints and incomplete data collection only to
an exampleof the model for the year 1933-84 is included When the data iscomplete and verified a detailed analysis can be undertaken
CROPPING PATTERN CHANGES
The cropping pattern of 1980 by farmseason is shown in Table size and cropping
3 Because the cropping pattern isdi fferent for the small medium and large farms the analysis wasundertaken to limit the deviations from these cropping patterns
5
Table 2 Hectares and percentage of Kharif and Rabi season area
cropped by small medium and large farms
RICE ZONE COTTON ZONE
Farm Size Farm Size
Smal l Medium Lai ce Small Medium Largeh arif Season
(iC10C0 Ha) 1307 587 505 1461 853 1079
545 245 210 431 252 318
Rabi Season
(1(-)0C0 Ha) 1053 408 319 1365 554
592 229 179 558 226 216
Source Census of Agriculture 1980 Sind
However over time the cropping pattern will change but the datadoes not reflect the changes by farm size The study adjustedthe croppinq pattern so that the total area of a given cropmairtained (because this is known each year) and is
the distributionbetween farm size categories is based upon the base informationfrom 1980 Appendix A shows the LOTUS program developed tomaintain this balance
YIELD CHANGES
Yield changes are handled in a manner parallel(hanqes in to that forthe cropping pattern The total production (knowninformation) is maintained but this production is distributedbetween the farm sizes in a manner that is consistent witharea ard a thebasic yield distribution Based on a study of(2) cottonand rapeseed and mustard (3) it was assumed that allWOUlid show relative y-ields crops
of 90 for small farms 100mediitri -ar-ms forand 120 for large farms The LOTUS templatedf- vIoped to make the production (yield) distributions betweenIhe different farm sizes is designed to accommodate differenceshv crup rather all the crops being subject to thedistribution same yieldWhen additional information is available regardingcrcp yields by farm size it can easily be included
529
Table 3 Cropping patterns in Sind by cropping zones farm size
and season
RICE ZONE
Farm Size
SmallI Medium Lar e
KHARIF-shy ---------------------
Rice 907 858 751
Maize 0 I 0 () 03
Javar 23 32 46
Cot ton 22 2e 35
27 49 104
OiJseeds C)2 () 2 07
PuIses 0 0 0 1 03
k 1 L 1 (8 19 29
Veqetables 04 0 8 0 8
Others () 00 C 2
RA B I- - shy- - - -- - - --
Wheat 424 430 477
Ba r l e v 4 ) 41 48
Tobacco 0) () C 0 0 (
0i I seeds 78 79 69
Gram 73 61 65
Other Pulses 2307 231 166
Fodders 10)8 105 10 1
Veqetables 19 22 44
Other 27 3 ( 21
Sourc-e Census of Agriculture 198)
COTTON ZONE
Farm Size
Small Medium Large
-------shy
63 48 29
03 07 04
142 290 331
615 414 315
51 48 47
0 2 28 77
0 8 15 21
79 136 151
31 13 17
00 05 04
- - - - - - - - shy
810 77 1 767
02 02 08
0 0 o 0 0 0
28 53 65
16 20 14
23 8 17
10 2 113 103
15 20 24
0 0 02 00
Sind
INTERMEDIATE PRODUCTS
BecaLse the crop by products are typically livestock feedAhtGvre not valued Instlead it is assumed that they are anintc rmcdiete product and fed to livestock and poultry Thusr1hr 1han xValue by products and then charge them as a livestockf-d thcv are assumed to be feed to livestock However grains~~~ fd to ]ivestock
I Iv or used fnr human consumption are ld and that portion which i fed is valued at the
bull rc l price
FERTILIZER AND MANURE
The total quantity of fertilizer applied in the province isknown thus the problem is that of allocation between crops andFarm sies Fertilizer quantities were allocated between cropsbased upon their reported use (18) Table 4 shows the kgha ofnitrogen fertilizer applied and the relative quantity (wheatgiven an index of 10() is
Por a given crop the same quantity offertilizer was used regardless of farm size Cropsetplicitly notlisted below were considered to have the same level offertiliEer as wheat For simplicity phosphorus and potash are- located in the same proportions as nitrogen Manure is notinciu3dd a a cost in estimating aggregate provincial or nationiiiccrmne because it is an intermediate input--that is manure is1-arm produced and farm consumed It is recognized that smallqtaRFtities cf manure may be generated off the farm (in the large
cities) but these small quantities are ignored
The prices used for nitrogen was the weighted average (bytons applied) of urea ammonium nitrate and ammonium sulphateTl~e is some variation by year but about 88 of the singlenutriunt nitroqen fertilizer applied is urea about 10 ammoniumnitrfte and the residual ammonium sulphate Sulphate of potash was the only source of potash considered Phosphate price wasderived by pricing the nitrogen at its single nutrient price andusing the residual value as the cost of phosphate in nitrophos(27 N and 2 F) Single super phosphate was the second sourceconsiderpd On average about 80 of the phosphate was fromnitr-phos and 20 from single super phosphate
SEEDS
The quantities of seeds used in the analysis are based onthose reported in the United Consultants report on the impact ofechanization on productivity and employment (11) In RdditioniiL was assumed that the seed requirements (kgha) for barley were ekiivalent to wheat oilseeds iniawar- and baira
Rabi were equivalent to Kharifare similar to maize and that all pulses havethe same seed requirements Although it is appreciated that
8
Table 4 Reported applications of fertilizer to principal crops
in Pakistan
Cro g Nha of Wheat
Wheat 744 lOt0
Rice 417 56
Cotton 924 124
Sugarcane 1073 144
Maize 742 100
Frui t 741 100
Source Agricultural Census 1980 Bind
important differences exist between traditional vs improvedvarieties both with respect to cost and potential yieldsimplicitv required so such distinctions in this study
PESTICIDES
Little information regarding pesticide use in a desirable fnrmat wa lr-ocated The Agriculture Statistics of Sind (21 22)provides information on the number of hectares by crop that receive either preventative or curative The proportioan of cropped hectares treated by pesticides multiplied by the averagecost oF a pesticide treatment is used to estimate the cost perhectare for pesticides for the included crops The treated area noted as other crops or misc is combined and allocated to the ma1ie-jawar enterprise The average cost per hectare treated iscomputed by dividing the national cost of imported pesticides bythe hectares treated In 1986-87 and 1987-88 when data wasmi isinq the previous years growth rate was assumed for hectares rcrFre and imported cost of pesticides The hectares of wheat treated beyond 1984-85 was assumed to be the same as the averagepercent for the first two years times the hectares of wheat -r-own The last three years of pesticide treated crops is thegroLtnd applied hectares plus 3 133 and 08 of the hectares qro-in of rice sugarcane and fruits and vegetablesrespectfully Twenty percent of the fruit and vegetablenrst cid e treated hectares are assumed to be fruit and 80
SfIt is assumed that the pesticide costshectare are h same tfor all crops Also the same percent of crop hectares are treated by farm size are the same for all farm sizes
9
LABOR
rotal labor requirements (family plus hired) are reported bycr-p in Table 5 The labor requirements are the same for allfarm sizes except for cotton where 90 and 120 of the statedhours were used for the small and large farms respectfully Thehours of labor are based on information from the MechanizationStudy (11) Pakistan Census of Agriculture (18) providedinformation regarding the number of permanent hired workers byfarmrn size Hired labor was 57 156 and (27 of the totalhourshectare for the small medium and large farmsrespectfullV The perc-t of hired labor for a given farm sizewitil ossumed
to be the same for all crops The hours worked per- by arD a cultural workers was estimated at 2300 usingirfor mation on the percentage of workers working a given numbert)f hours in the surveyed week (9) Parttime family members wereassLirfled to wiork half the hours of full time family workersHirrd viorks and futllv time family workers were both assumed to pr- year A single waqe rate is used inidI 1J the model with1oti etIn ti- 7t VoJ1jaCeas a percent of the hi red
j tc r vi LI(i
bl5 5 Total hours of labor required by crop and farm size
Crop Farm Size HoursHectare
Cotton Small (S) 694Cotton Medium (M) 771Cot tcon Large (L) 925Ri ce S M L 430Sugjarc ane S M L 1171Wheat S M L 412Vegetab Ies S M L 489Fruit S M L 514Bar]ev S M L 412Oilseeds S M L 148Pulses S M L 161Maize S M L 380Fodder-Rabi S M L 489Fodder-1hari f S M L 385
POWER AND MACHINERY
The Mechanization Study (11) was the source for datapownr and machinery requirements on
Power requirements are meteither by bltlocks or by tractors It is assumed that bullocksWr provided by the farmer thus the cost will be reflected inthe livestock cost section Tractors and machinery (primarily-hra hrs and combines) may or may not be owned by the farmerbut the charge will reflect both the variable costs (fuel oil
10
and repairs) as well as the fixed costs Because a larger-ro - r- rn of the small farmers would rent tractoirs and other1A chieVEV and the driveroperator) th costs to them ishilqher than themedium farms and the large 10
farms cost is 10 1 ower
PAYMENTS TO ARTISANS
Data from the Mechanization Study (11) is the basis for thecoefficients for payments to artisans The average of the Zone 5and 6 All Technology is used for all reported crops For thecrops not reporting a payment to artisans the average of the Alllechnoloq y for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same value as wheat An index (1986-97 = 100)provided to allow proportionate changing of is
the expenses between
LAND TAXES
Data from the mechanization Study (11) was the basis for theo--fficierts for- land taxes The average of the Zones 5 andfor Lhe All1 Ilechnology Is used 6
for all reported crops For the-rops not reporting a land revenue the average of the AllTechnology for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same coefficient as wheat no data was available forpulses thus the same value as fnr oilseeds is used An index1986--87 = 0) is provided allow proportionate changesbetween years
INTEREST AND CREDIT
Credit is provided to farms from a number of institutionaland private sources Pakistan Agricultural Statistics (7)reports credit transactions (quantities) for the AgriculturalDevelopment Bank of Pakistan (ADBP) Commercial Banks TaccaviLoans and Cooperative Loans Advanced For ADBP and CommercialBank loans information on loan terms and farm size distributions are shown Medium and long term loans were combined so thatloanIs could be classified as either short term or longloans Loans to term
landless tenant and farms with less than 5hectates were considered small farms One third of the loanolume of the farm size classification 5 to 20 hectares is usedmedium sized farms (farms from 5 to 10 hectares) Theresidual l oanls are classified as loans to large farmsConmercial Bank loans are classified as farm (really crop loans)and non--farm loans---those for poultry and livestock CommercialBank poultry loans are considered short term and livestock loansare classified as long term loans The non-farm loans used thesame farm size distribution as for farm loans Taccavi Loanswere distributed by farm size and loan type the same as ADBPloans Cooperative loans were distributed by farm size and loantype the same as Commercial Bank loans
11
The Cooperatives and Commercial Banks provide some Mark-LIpFree (no interest) loans Data is reported on the otal Rs andRs of Mark-up Free loans (10) This proportion vari-s by yearand is assumed to be the same for both short and long term loansIt is assumed that Traccavi Loans are at the same interest ratesas (ADBP loans Also that the interest rate for Mark-up loans bythe Commercial Banks was 1) for short term loans (the minimumthe (an charge) and 13 for the long term loans (the maximum t hey can charqe) Interest rates used are those reported in the(nnual Report of the State Bar of Pakistan and shown in (10)
IriLLi est rates arid qLIantities from non-institutional sourcesIs ellusive It is assumed that private lenders will charge thesme rate as Mark-up loans by Commercial Banks Also that theo(rcent of capital borrowed from institutions is 14 34 and7 fcr small medium and large farms respectfully (10 page II-
DEPREC IAT ION
A char qe must be included for depreciation of capitalassets--breeding and power livestock machinery and -quipmentHowever information on the value of the capital stock and itsra-te of depreciation is not available Thus the approach wasadopted that depreciation is associated with longterm loans Afactor of 20 35 and 25 of the total Rs of long term loans isLI cd to reflect the consumption of capitol resources by smallmedi m and ]arge farms respectfully Total depreciation for aQ E1 f rm size is divided equally between all cultivatedhectares in both the Rabi and tKharif seasons This approachallows depreciation to vary with long term loans (which areInvestments in capital stock) The capital consumption factorsare Drbitrary however they appear to reflect relatively correctaI ues---i ncreases in depreciation as farm size increasesindicatinq a substitution of capital for human and animal power
LAND RENT
A charqe is made for land rent which tenant will have to-ed on the 1980 Census of Aqriculture it was calculated cc 464 and 247 of the cultivable islandrentedleased to tenant by small medium and large farmsrespectfully It is assumed that large farmers will pay 15 morerent than small and medium farmers (20)
SUPPLEMENTAL WATER
The hours of additional water (tube wells) was based -in dataPresF-nted in the Mechanization Study (11) The cost of thes=ippi emental water was based on a cost of Rshr 20 for 1987-88and iehr nhler ytears are indeed based upoi the cost of diesel and
12
Fne-tricit weighted by the number of tube wells using each powerSO Ur ce
LIVESTOCK
The Livestock budgets were based upon those presented in thePak~iLan lvestrock Sector Study (16) Livestock was classifiediFntn buffalo cattle and sheep and goats The unit of buffalotthe market integrated shallholder (Annex 10 Table 3) thee3tl unit is a weighted average of shallholder on irrigated35i and Barani lands [1] (Anne 10 Table 4) and thecdntary sheep and goat enterprise (Annex 10 Table 6) The-B h - c--mputed by using theriiwiirlir cd animals in Pakistan (7) and allocating 19 17 and19 of buffalo cattle and sheep and goats respectfully toijnd fhese percentages are based upon the percentages bypr-(tinc For 1976 (the latest year for which the provinciald i--tr ibuti on was reported) The livestock budgets are for 1985shy36 Frodiuct prices and costs are indexed using 1985-86 =These budqets do not include forages as
100 an expense this isbecaLiuse the cost of forage production is reflected inpriJductio sector the cropand not valued and then repurchased in thelieuro(s- sec r of theotock model
PRODUCT PRICES
The product prices developed are the average ofprincipa] marketing season price the
Where crops are aggregated (egjr pllses) a weiqhted average based on production of the(7c r- si1tused Khar- -eetabl es used the weightedaveracie of chillies coriander and turmeric Rabi vegetablessed the weighted average of potatoes onions sugarbeets andpeas Kharif fruit (major fruit) is the weighted average priceof -nan1 banana and dates Product price for the Rabi (minor)fruit htas not been computed at the time of this report
CONCERNS AND LIMITATIONS
A number of concerns and limitations are apparent in themethodology Time limitations preclude efforts to resolvehitl they are
them noted for the concerned reader
1 The input-output coefficients need to be reviewedThey were developed using the best known sourceshowever review modification and updating should not be overlooked
2 Aggreqate data (eg totr production in Sind) has beendistributed based upon relationships that are reportedin the 1980 Census of Agriculture It is assumed that thle relationships continue
13
Some data was aggreg ed (eg vegetable and fruit production) Review of the aggregation procedureincluding tne weights used may be usefula refinement
4 The importance of non-institutional (private) credit isnot wel1 understood or documented Given the importance of this relationship and the apparentlimited information it may be useful to devote research resoutrces to better understand it
5 Farm income is understated in that non cultivated land in excluded as a source of revenue and expense
Two cropping zones three farm sizes and 23 cropenterprises require the development of 138 crop budgetsfor Sind The lack of disaggregated data results in anillusion of greater information than is justified Indeveloping the models for the other provinces it maybe dEsirable to include fewer enterprise divisions
uonsider pricing seed as a percentage of the previous years price
8 Add a value and production for cotton stalks--since they are not used for animal feed but rather for fueltheir value should be reflected in Net Farm Income
9 Ali the data input range names are the year of production eg 1983-84 or 1987-66
I0 Lack of data iimited the detail that would be desirable in the livestock sector of the model
II Lack of information by farm size required assumptionst provide differential input-output coefficients Frequently no farm size differentials were used (egfertilizer use rates by farm size) When this data become available the model will accommodate this ref i nement
12 The greatest reliability should be accorded the provincial estimates Reliability decreases if aggregation by season crop and farm size are undertaken
MODEL OPERATION AND ORGANIZATION
The Farm Income Model is a series of two templates (inLOTUS) with six data files which provide the yearly coefficients The first template (Filename = FIN-l) adjusts and distributes
14
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
A PROTOTYPE MODEL TO ESTIMATE PROVINCIAL AND NATIONAL PAKISTAN NET FARM INCOME
INTRODUCTION
Knowledgle and measurement of the health of the farmingrduction aqricuiture) sector is critical in a nation like
Pm i tani which has more than half of its workforce employed in the primar-y industries One important measure which provides an indication of the health of the agricultural industry is National int F Trrcnoine National Net Farm Income is defined as the
rEtiiurr to farmers their for thethU and families labor capital nd d manaqement thev provide This is not an measurement of
qrqgifo profits from agriculture because the costs of the farm prrvi fled resources are not esti ted However given assumptionsr r crirl rthe value of -farm labor an opportunity cost for equityrapital and a return to land a residual return to management and risk kprorfit) provided by the farmers could be developed
This sudv develops a methodology for estimating Net Farm Income nd uses data from Sind as an example When parallelmodels =or the other provinces are developed the provincial data can be aciciregated and an estimate of Pakistan Net Farm Income provided Although beyond the time available and scope of this study appropriate opportunity costs for farm farmlabor equityrapital and land would provide an estimate of return to management and risk in the agricultural industry
The methodology developed used an electronic spreadsheet (LOTLIS) which combines information of crop area crop production product prices and input prices and quantities to estimate Net Farm Income Once the model is developed input data for any year can be used to calculate Net Farm Income Tha models assume that an embodied technology (input-output relationships) remain
-nAnt - the quantities of seed and labor are unchanged and that technology has not changed) The model is developed for an eN post analysis--thus crop area level of production quantitiesof fertilizer pesticides credit and input and product prices bull3 -inoVJn The model can be used in a predictive mode if e c iniates of these variables are developed This for examplewJould permit an approximate evaluation of anticipated Net Farm Income for the coming year or an indication of a proposed policy
] terna1-i ye
A section describing how to operate the models is included The appendix tables show the input data adjustment and computational LOTUS models and the result summaries
2
METHODOLOGY
THe following sections will describe the methodology used in developinq the LOTUS model for estimating Sind Net Farm Income In general the quantities of the principal inputs and outputs forthe important crops in two cropping regions for the Kharif and Rabi seasons have been specified A given years crop areali vesEck numbers and production is allocated between regions and plusmnr sizes (3ross farm income costs and net farm income are esti mated by enterprise and agqregated for the province
CROPPING ZONES
Iwo cropping zones are defined for Sind -shy a rice productioncin- and a cotton production zone The zones are aggregates of
ll i stri cts E-sed on the 198X Fakistan Census of -qr i-ul ture those districts in Sind that showed a croppingpal(nrri which included more rice than cotton during the kfharif shy ro i nc 1uded in the ri ce zone Similarly those
djTricts with more acres of cotton than rice were included inhp Fnln oe Table 1 shows the districts in Sind their --r tfnn c-rir and cotton and their assigred zone Figure 1
show the ocation of the rice and cotton zones in Sind
TatI J Sind districts their proportion of rice and cotton and l-ir cron production one
Cropped Area in Croppingri-tri- t Rice Cotton Zone
E7ad3 16 Rice Thiat ta 86 1 Rice [ 9 7arac h i Rice Oadit 64 5 Rice LarIana 99 C Rice 3) 1arpur 99 0 Rice Jaccnbabad 99 ( Rice
Tharparkar 1 16 Cotton Hyderabad 27 57 Cotton har 1 85 Cotton
iawab shah 2 7(-) Cotton Khai rpur 2 74 Cotton
7 68 Cotton
SoLure Census of Agriculture 1980 Sind
3
REFERENCES o Rke-BOUNDARY INTERNATIONAL
PROVINCE
DISTRICT
LA KANA
00 Y
CCA suUR -U
01
IZ
~ ( KNAIRPUR
ft -
THARPARKAR
Figure 1 The cotton and rice cropping zones of Sind
4
CROPS
iroLr-5 included in the analysis are the principalr0roduced in cropsthe cropping zones Only those crops whichcontributec at least one percent of the seasonal (Kharif or Rabi)cropped acre are included The Kharif crops aresIiqar cane oilseeds pulses rice cotton
fodders vegetables and roughqrains (caize iawar and bajra) The Rabi crops are wheatbarley oilseeds gram other Tohacco
pulses fodders and vegetableswas combined with other crops For both seasonsother crops are proportionately combined (on the basis of area)Lji h tne crops included
The kharif fruits were defined as mangoes bananas anddat es AIll others were considered Rabi fruits Kharif oilseedsinclude groundnut sesamum linseed castorseed rapeseed andmustard Rharif pulses include mung mash and other Kharifpulses Kharif vegetables include coriander chilies andtutrirFeric Rabi pulses include 7iasoor and other Rabi pulsesRabi vegetables include sugarbeet onion potato peas andgar i i c
FARM SIZE CATEGORIES AND THEIR DISTRIBUTION
The sudy was specified to include small mediumfarms Small and largefarms operated less than 5 hectares medium farmfrom 5 to 10 hectares and large farms are greater than 10hectares These size categories conform with those used in theensus of A-qricultLtre (18) Agricultural Statistics (21) andseveral other data sources
The area of crop production in each of the crop sizec-toqories was computed from the 1980 Census of Agriculture (18)It is assumed that the same proportional distribution of croppedarea is maintained for each crop year analyzed Table 2 showsthc- d stributjon of the iKharif season cropped area by farm size bull nd -r-oppinci one
STUDY EARS
The years 1983-84 through 1987-88 are to be considered inthe stucy Data is being collected for these years but duetime constraints and incomplete data collection only to
an exampleof the model for the year 1933-84 is included When the data iscomplete and verified a detailed analysis can be undertaken
CROPPING PATTERN CHANGES
The cropping pattern of 1980 by farmseason is shown in Table size and cropping
3 Because the cropping pattern isdi fferent for the small medium and large farms the analysis wasundertaken to limit the deviations from these cropping patterns
5
Table 2 Hectares and percentage of Kharif and Rabi season area
cropped by small medium and large farms
RICE ZONE COTTON ZONE
Farm Size Farm Size
Smal l Medium Lai ce Small Medium Largeh arif Season
(iC10C0 Ha) 1307 587 505 1461 853 1079
545 245 210 431 252 318
Rabi Season
(1(-)0C0 Ha) 1053 408 319 1365 554
592 229 179 558 226 216
Source Census of Agriculture 1980 Sind
However over time the cropping pattern will change but the datadoes not reflect the changes by farm size The study adjustedthe croppinq pattern so that the total area of a given cropmairtained (because this is known each year) and is
the distributionbetween farm size categories is based upon the base informationfrom 1980 Appendix A shows the LOTUS program developed tomaintain this balance
YIELD CHANGES
Yield changes are handled in a manner parallel(hanqes in to that forthe cropping pattern The total production (knowninformation) is maintained but this production is distributedbetween the farm sizes in a manner that is consistent witharea ard a thebasic yield distribution Based on a study of(2) cottonand rapeseed and mustard (3) it was assumed that allWOUlid show relative y-ields crops
of 90 for small farms 100mediitri -ar-ms forand 120 for large farms The LOTUS templatedf- vIoped to make the production (yield) distributions betweenIhe different farm sizes is designed to accommodate differenceshv crup rather all the crops being subject to thedistribution same yieldWhen additional information is available regardingcrcp yields by farm size it can easily be included
529
Table 3 Cropping patterns in Sind by cropping zones farm size
and season
RICE ZONE
Farm Size
SmallI Medium Lar e
KHARIF-shy ---------------------
Rice 907 858 751
Maize 0 I 0 () 03
Javar 23 32 46
Cot ton 22 2e 35
27 49 104
OiJseeds C)2 () 2 07
PuIses 0 0 0 1 03
k 1 L 1 (8 19 29
Veqetables 04 0 8 0 8
Others () 00 C 2
RA B I- - shy- - - -- - - --
Wheat 424 430 477
Ba r l e v 4 ) 41 48
Tobacco 0) () C 0 0 (
0i I seeds 78 79 69
Gram 73 61 65
Other Pulses 2307 231 166
Fodders 10)8 105 10 1
Veqetables 19 22 44
Other 27 3 ( 21
Sourc-e Census of Agriculture 198)
COTTON ZONE
Farm Size
Small Medium Large
-------shy
63 48 29
03 07 04
142 290 331
615 414 315
51 48 47
0 2 28 77
0 8 15 21
79 136 151
31 13 17
00 05 04
- - - - - - - - shy
810 77 1 767
02 02 08
0 0 o 0 0 0
28 53 65
16 20 14
23 8 17
10 2 113 103
15 20 24
0 0 02 00
Sind
INTERMEDIATE PRODUCTS
BecaLse the crop by products are typically livestock feedAhtGvre not valued Instlead it is assumed that they are anintc rmcdiete product and fed to livestock and poultry Thusr1hr 1han xValue by products and then charge them as a livestockf-d thcv are assumed to be feed to livestock However grains~~~ fd to ]ivestock
I Iv or used fnr human consumption are ld and that portion which i fed is valued at the
bull rc l price
FERTILIZER AND MANURE
The total quantity of fertilizer applied in the province isknown thus the problem is that of allocation between crops andFarm sies Fertilizer quantities were allocated between cropsbased upon their reported use (18) Table 4 shows the kgha ofnitrogen fertilizer applied and the relative quantity (wheatgiven an index of 10() is
Por a given crop the same quantity offertilizer was used regardless of farm size Cropsetplicitly notlisted below were considered to have the same level offertiliEer as wheat For simplicity phosphorus and potash are- located in the same proportions as nitrogen Manure is notinciu3dd a a cost in estimating aggregate provincial or nationiiiccrmne because it is an intermediate input--that is manure is1-arm produced and farm consumed It is recognized that smallqtaRFtities cf manure may be generated off the farm (in the large
cities) but these small quantities are ignored
The prices used for nitrogen was the weighted average (bytons applied) of urea ammonium nitrate and ammonium sulphateTl~e is some variation by year but about 88 of the singlenutriunt nitroqen fertilizer applied is urea about 10 ammoniumnitrfte and the residual ammonium sulphate Sulphate of potash was the only source of potash considered Phosphate price wasderived by pricing the nitrogen at its single nutrient price andusing the residual value as the cost of phosphate in nitrophos(27 N and 2 F) Single super phosphate was the second sourceconsiderpd On average about 80 of the phosphate was fromnitr-phos and 20 from single super phosphate
SEEDS
The quantities of seeds used in the analysis are based onthose reported in the United Consultants report on the impact ofechanization on productivity and employment (11) In RdditioniiL was assumed that the seed requirements (kgha) for barley were ekiivalent to wheat oilseeds iniawar- and baira
Rabi were equivalent to Kharifare similar to maize and that all pulses havethe same seed requirements Although it is appreciated that
8
Table 4 Reported applications of fertilizer to principal crops
in Pakistan
Cro g Nha of Wheat
Wheat 744 lOt0
Rice 417 56
Cotton 924 124
Sugarcane 1073 144
Maize 742 100
Frui t 741 100
Source Agricultural Census 1980 Bind
important differences exist between traditional vs improvedvarieties both with respect to cost and potential yieldsimplicitv required so such distinctions in this study
PESTICIDES
Little information regarding pesticide use in a desirable fnrmat wa lr-ocated The Agriculture Statistics of Sind (21 22)provides information on the number of hectares by crop that receive either preventative or curative The proportioan of cropped hectares treated by pesticides multiplied by the averagecost oF a pesticide treatment is used to estimate the cost perhectare for pesticides for the included crops The treated area noted as other crops or misc is combined and allocated to the ma1ie-jawar enterprise The average cost per hectare treated iscomputed by dividing the national cost of imported pesticides bythe hectares treated In 1986-87 and 1987-88 when data wasmi isinq the previous years growth rate was assumed for hectares rcrFre and imported cost of pesticides The hectares of wheat treated beyond 1984-85 was assumed to be the same as the averagepercent for the first two years times the hectares of wheat -r-own The last three years of pesticide treated crops is thegroLtnd applied hectares plus 3 133 and 08 of the hectares qro-in of rice sugarcane and fruits and vegetablesrespectfully Twenty percent of the fruit and vegetablenrst cid e treated hectares are assumed to be fruit and 80
SfIt is assumed that the pesticide costshectare are h same tfor all crops Also the same percent of crop hectares are treated by farm size are the same for all farm sizes
9
LABOR
rotal labor requirements (family plus hired) are reported bycr-p in Table 5 The labor requirements are the same for allfarm sizes except for cotton where 90 and 120 of the statedhours were used for the small and large farms respectfully Thehours of labor are based on information from the MechanizationStudy (11) Pakistan Census of Agriculture (18) providedinformation regarding the number of permanent hired workers byfarmrn size Hired labor was 57 156 and (27 of the totalhourshectare for the small medium and large farmsrespectfullV The perc-t of hired labor for a given farm sizewitil ossumed
to be the same for all crops The hours worked per- by arD a cultural workers was estimated at 2300 usingirfor mation on the percentage of workers working a given numbert)f hours in the surveyed week (9) Parttime family members wereassLirfled to wiork half the hours of full time family workersHirrd viorks and futllv time family workers were both assumed to pr- year A single waqe rate is used inidI 1J the model with1oti etIn ti- 7t VoJ1jaCeas a percent of the hi red
j tc r vi LI(i
bl5 5 Total hours of labor required by crop and farm size
Crop Farm Size HoursHectare
Cotton Small (S) 694Cotton Medium (M) 771Cot tcon Large (L) 925Ri ce S M L 430Sugjarc ane S M L 1171Wheat S M L 412Vegetab Ies S M L 489Fruit S M L 514Bar]ev S M L 412Oilseeds S M L 148Pulses S M L 161Maize S M L 380Fodder-Rabi S M L 489Fodder-1hari f S M L 385
POWER AND MACHINERY
The Mechanization Study (11) was the source for datapownr and machinery requirements on
Power requirements are meteither by bltlocks or by tractors It is assumed that bullocksWr provided by the farmer thus the cost will be reflected inthe livestock cost section Tractors and machinery (primarily-hra hrs and combines) may or may not be owned by the farmerbut the charge will reflect both the variable costs (fuel oil
10
and repairs) as well as the fixed costs Because a larger-ro - r- rn of the small farmers would rent tractoirs and other1A chieVEV and the driveroperator) th costs to them ishilqher than themedium farms and the large 10
farms cost is 10 1 ower
PAYMENTS TO ARTISANS
Data from the Mechanization Study (11) is the basis for thecoefficients for payments to artisans The average of the Zone 5and 6 All Technology is used for all reported crops For thecrops not reporting a payment to artisans the average of the Alllechnoloq y for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same value as wheat An index (1986-97 = 100)provided to allow proportionate changing of is
the expenses between
LAND TAXES
Data from the mechanization Study (11) was the basis for theo--fficierts for- land taxes The average of the Zones 5 andfor Lhe All1 Ilechnology Is used 6
for all reported crops For the-rops not reporting a land revenue the average of the AllTechnology for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same coefficient as wheat no data was available forpulses thus the same value as fnr oilseeds is used An index1986--87 = 0) is provided allow proportionate changesbetween years
INTEREST AND CREDIT
Credit is provided to farms from a number of institutionaland private sources Pakistan Agricultural Statistics (7)reports credit transactions (quantities) for the AgriculturalDevelopment Bank of Pakistan (ADBP) Commercial Banks TaccaviLoans and Cooperative Loans Advanced For ADBP and CommercialBank loans information on loan terms and farm size distributions are shown Medium and long term loans were combined so thatloanIs could be classified as either short term or longloans Loans to term
landless tenant and farms with less than 5hectates were considered small farms One third of the loanolume of the farm size classification 5 to 20 hectares is usedmedium sized farms (farms from 5 to 10 hectares) Theresidual l oanls are classified as loans to large farmsConmercial Bank loans are classified as farm (really crop loans)and non--farm loans---those for poultry and livestock CommercialBank poultry loans are considered short term and livestock loansare classified as long term loans The non-farm loans used thesame farm size distribution as for farm loans Taccavi Loanswere distributed by farm size and loan type the same as ADBPloans Cooperative loans were distributed by farm size and loantype the same as Commercial Bank loans
11
The Cooperatives and Commercial Banks provide some Mark-LIpFree (no interest) loans Data is reported on the otal Rs andRs of Mark-up Free loans (10) This proportion vari-s by yearand is assumed to be the same for both short and long term loansIt is assumed that Traccavi Loans are at the same interest ratesas (ADBP loans Also that the interest rate for Mark-up loans bythe Commercial Banks was 1) for short term loans (the minimumthe (an charge) and 13 for the long term loans (the maximum t hey can charqe) Interest rates used are those reported in the(nnual Report of the State Bar of Pakistan and shown in (10)
IriLLi est rates arid qLIantities from non-institutional sourcesIs ellusive It is assumed that private lenders will charge thesme rate as Mark-up loans by Commercial Banks Also that theo(rcent of capital borrowed from institutions is 14 34 and7 fcr small medium and large farms respectfully (10 page II-
DEPREC IAT ION
A char qe must be included for depreciation of capitalassets--breeding and power livestock machinery and -quipmentHowever information on the value of the capital stock and itsra-te of depreciation is not available Thus the approach wasadopted that depreciation is associated with longterm loans Afactor of 20 35 and 25 of the total Rs of long term loans isLI cd to reflect the consumption of capitol resources by smallmedi m and ]arge farms respectfully Total depreciation for aQ E1 f rm size is divided equally between all cultivatedhectares in both the Rabi and tKharif seasons This approachallows depreciation to vary with long term loans (which areInvestments in capital stock) The capital consumption factorsare Drbitrary however they appear to reflect relatively correctaI ues---i ncreases in depreciation as farm size increasesindicatinq a substitution of capital for human and animal power
LAND RENT
A charqe is made for land rent which tenant will have to-ed on the 1980 Census of Aqriculture it was calculated cc 464 and 247 of the cultivable islandrentedleased to tenant by small medium and large farmsrespectfully It is assumed that large farmers will pay 15 morerent than small and medium farmers (20)
SUPPLEMENTAL WATER
The hours of additional water (tube wells) was based -in dataPresF-nted in the Mechanization Study (11) The cost of thes=ippi emental water was based on a cost of Rshr 20 for 1987-88and iehr nhler ytears are indeed based upoi the cost of diesel and
12
Fne-tricit weighted by the number of tube wells using each powerSO Ur ce
LIVESTOCK
The Livestock budgets were based upon those presented in thePak~iLan lvestrock Sector Study (16) Livestock was classifiediFntn buffalo cattle and sheep and goats The unit of buffalotthe market integrated shallholder (Annex 10 Table 3) thee3tl unit is a weighted average of shallholder on irrigated35i and Barani lands [1] (Anne 10 Table 4) and thecdntary sheep and goat enterprise (Annex 10 Table 6) The-B h - c--mputed by using theriiwiirlir cd animals in Pakistan (7) and allocating 19 17 and19 of buffalo cattle and sheep and goats respectfully toijnd fhese percentages are based upon the percentages bypr-(tinc For 1976 (the latest year for which the provinciald i--tr ibuti on was reported) The livestock budgets are for 1985shy36 Frodiuct prices and costs are indexed using 1985-86 =These budqets do not include forages as
100 an expense this isbecaLiuse the cost of forage production is reflected inpriJductio sector the cropand not valued and then repurchased in thelieuro(s- sec r of theotock model
PRODUCT PRICES
The product prices developed are the average ofprincipa] marketing season price the
Where crops are aggregated (egjr pllses) a weiqhted average based on production of the(7c r- si1tused Khar- -eetabl es used the weightedaveracie of chillies coriander and turmeric Rabi vegetablessed the weighted average of potatoes onions sugarbeets andpeas Kharif fruit (major fruit) is the weighted average priceof -nan1 banana and dates Product price for the Rabi (minor)fruit htas not been computed at the time of this report
CONCERNS AND LIMITATIONS
A number of concerns and limitations are apparent in themethodology Time limitations preclude efforts to resolvehitl they are
them noted for the concerned reader
1 The input-output coefficients need to be reviewedThey were developed using the best known sourceshowever review modification and updating should not be overlooked
2 Aggreqate data (eg totr production in Sind) has beendistributed based upon relationships that are reportedin the 1980 Census of Agriculture It is assumed that thle relationships continue
13
Some data was aggreg ed (eg vegetable and fruit production) Review of the aggregation procedureincluding tne weights used may be usefula refinement
4 The importance of non-institutional (private) credit isnot wel1 understood or documented Given the importance of this relationship and the apparentlimited information it may be useful to devote research resoutrces to better understand it
5 Farm income is understated in that non cultivated land in excluded as a source of revenue and expense
Two cropping zones three farm sizes and 23 cropenterprises require the development of 138 crop budgetsfor Sind The lack of disaggregated data results in anillusion of greater information than is justified Indeveloping the models for the other provinces it maybe dEsirable to include fewer enterprise divisions
uonsider pricing seed as a percentage of the previous years price
8 Add a value and production for cotton stalks--since they are not used for animal feed but rather for fueltheir value should be reflected in Net Farm Income
9 Ali the data input range names are the year of production eg 1983-84 or 1987-66
I0 Lack of data iimited the detail that would be desirable in the livestock sector of the model
II Lack of information by farm size required assumptionst provide differential input-output coefficients Frequently no farm size differentials were used (egfertilizer use rates by farm size) When this data become available the model will accommodate this ref i nement
12 The greatest reliability should be accorded the provincial estimates Reliability decreases if aggregation by season crop and farm size are undertaken
MODEL OPERATION AND ORGANIZATION
The Farm Income Model is a series of two templates (inLOTUS) with six data files which provide the yearly coefficients The first template (Filename = FIN-l) adjusts and distributes
14
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
METHODOLOGY
THe following sections will describe the methodology used in developinq the LOTUS model for estimating Sind Net Farm Income In general the quantities of the principal inputs and outputs forthe important crops in two cropping regions for the Kharif and Rabi seasons have been specified A given years crop areali vesEck numbers and production is allocated between regions and plusmnr sizes (3ross farm income costs and net farm income are esti mated by enterprise and agqregated for the province
CROPPING ZONES
Iwo cropping zones are defined for Sind -shy a rice productioncin- and a cotton production zone The zones are aggregates of
ll i stri cts E-sed on the 198X Fakistan Census of -qr i-ul ture those districts in Sind that showed a croppingpal(nrri which included more rice than cotton during the kfharif shy ro i nc 1uded in the ri ce zone Similarly those
djTricts with more acres of cotton than rice were included inhp Fnln oe Table 1 shows the districts in Sind their --r tfnn c-rir and cotton and their assigred zone Figure 1
show the ocation of the rice and cotton zones in Sind
TatI J Sind districts their proportion of rice and cotton and l-ir cron production one
Cropped Area in Croppingri-tri- t Rice Cotton Zone
E7ad3 16 Rice Thiat ta 86 1 Rice [ 9 7arac h i Rice Oadit 64 5 Rice LarIana 99 C Rice 3) 1arpur 99 0 Rice Jaccnbabad 99 ( Rice
Tharparkar 1 16 Cotton Hyderabad 27 57 Cotton har 1 85 Cotton
iawab shah 2 7(-) Cotton Khai rpur 2 74 Cotton
7 68 Cotton
SoLure Census of Agriculture 1980 Sind
3
REFERENCES o Rke-BOUNDARY INTERNATIONAL
PROVINCE
DISTRICT
LA KANA
00 Y
CCA suUR -U
01
IZ
~ ( KNAIRPUR
ft -
THARPARKAR
Figure 1 The cotton and rice cropping zones of Sind
4
CROPS
iroLr-5 included in the analysis are the principalr0roduced in cropsthe cropping zones Only those crops whichcontributec at least one percent of the seasonal (Kharif or Rabi)cropped acre are included The Kharif crops aresIiqar cane oilseeds pulses rice cotton
fodders vegetables and roughqrains (caize iawar and bajra) The Rabi crops are wheatbarley oilseeds gram other Tohacco
pulses fodders and vegetableswas combined with other crops For both seasonsother crops are proportionately combined (on the basis of area)Lji h tne crops included
The kharif fruits were defined as mangoes bananas anddat es AIll others were considered Rabi fruits Kharif oilseedsinclude groundnut sesamum linseed castorseed rapeseed andmustard Rharif pulses include mung mash and other Kharifpulses Kharif vegetables include coriander chilies andtutrirFeric Rabi pulses include 7iasoor and other Rabi pulsesRabi vegetables include sugarbeet onion potato peas andgar i i c
FARM SIZE CATEGORIES AND THEIR DISTRIBUTION
The sudy was specified to include small mediumfarms Small and largefarms operated less than 5 hectares medium farmfrom 5 to 10 hectares and large farms are greater than 10hectares These size categories conform with those used in theensus of A-qricultLtre (18) Agricultural Statistics (21) andseveral other data sources
The area of crop production in each of the crop sizec-toqories was computed from the 1980 Census of Agriculture (18)It is assumed that the same proportional distribution of croppedarea is maintained for each crop year analyzed Table 2 showsthc- d stributjon of the iKharif season cropped area by farm size bull nd -r-oppinci one
STUDY EARS
The years 1983-84 through 1987-88 are to be considered inthe stucy Data is being collected for these years but duetime constraints and incomplete data collection only to
an exampleof the model for the year 1933-84 is included When the data iscomplete and verified a detailed analysis can be undertaken
CROPPING PATTERN CHANGES
The cropping pattern of 1980 by farmseason is shown in Table size and cropping
3 Because the cropping pattern isdi fferent for the small medium and large farms the analysis wasundertaken to limit the deviations from these cropping patterns
5
Table 2 Hectares and percentage of Kharif and Rabi season area
cropped by small medium and large farms
RICE ZONE COTTON ZONE
Farm Size Farm Size
Smal l Medium Lai ce Small Medium Largeh arif Season
(iC10C0 Ha) 1307 587 505 1461 853 1079
545 245 210 431 252 318
Rabi Season
(1(-)0C0 Ha) 1053 408 319 1365 554
592 229 179 558 226 216
Source Census of Agriculture 1980 Sind
However over time the cropping pattern will change but the datadoes not reflect the changes by farm size The study adjustedthe croppinq pattern so that the total area of a given cropmairtained (because this is known each year) and is
the distributionbetween farm size categories is based upon the base informationfrom 1980 Appendix A shows the LOTUS program developed tomaintain this balance
YIELD CHANGES
Yield changes are handled in a manner parallel(hanqes in to that forthe cropping pattern The total production (knowninformation) is maintained but this production is distributedbetween the farm sizes in a manner that is consistent witharea ard a thebasic yield distribution Based on a study of(2) cottonand rapeseed and mustard (3) it was assumed that allWOUlid show relative y-ields crops
of 90 for small farms 100mediitri -ar-ms forand 120 for large farms The LOTUS templatedf- vIoped to make the production (yield) distributions betweenIhe different farm sizes is designed to accommodate differenceshv crup rather all the crops being subject to thedistribution same yieldWhen additional information is available regardingcrcp yields by farm size it can easily be included
529
Table 3 Cropping patterns in Sind by cropping zones farm size
and season
RICE ZONE
Farm Size
SmallI Medium Lar e
KHARIF-shy ---------------------
Rice 907 858 751
Maize 0 I 0 () 03
Javar 23 32 46
Cot ton 22 2e 35
27 49 104
OiJseeds C)2 () 2 07
PuIses 0 0 0 1 03
k 1 L 1 (8 19 29
Veqetables 04 0 8 0 8
Others () 00 C 2
RA B I- - shy- - - -- - - --
Wheat 424 430 477
Ba r l e v 4 ) 41 48
Tobacco 0) () C 0 0 (
0i I seeds 78 79 69
Gram 73 61 65
Other Pulses 2307 231 166
Fodders 10)8 105 10 1
Veqetables 19 22 44
Other 27 3 ( 21
Sourc-e Census of Agriculture 198)
COTTON ZONE
Farm Size
Small Medium Large
-------shy
63 48 29
03 07 04
142 290 331
615 414 315
51 48 47
0 2 28 77
0 8 15 21
79 136 151
31 13 17
00 05 04
- - - - - - - - shy
810 77 1 767
02 02 08
0 0 o 0 0 0
28 53 65
16 20 14
23 8 17
10 2 113 103
15 20 24
0 0 02 00
Sind
INTERMEDIATE PRODUCTS
BecaLse the crop by products are typically livestock feedAhtGvre not valued Instlead it is assumed that they are anintc rmcdiete product and fed to livestock and poultry Thusr1hr 1han xValue by products and then charge them as a livestockf-d thcv are assumed to be feed to livestock However grains~~~ fd to ]ivestock
I Iv or used fnr human consumption are ld and that portion which i fed is valued at the
bull rc l price
FERTILIZER AND MANURE
The total quantity of fertilizer applied in the province isknown thus the problem is that of allocation between crops andFarm sies Fertilizer quantities were allocated between cropsbased upon their reported use (18) Table 4 shows the kgha ofnitrogen fertilizer applied and the relative quantity (wheatgiven an index of 10() is
Por a given crop the same quantity offertilizer was used regardless of farm size Cropsetplicitly notlisted below were considered to have the same level offertiliEer as wheat For simplicity phosphorus and potash are- located in the same proportions as nitrogen Manure is notinciu3dd a a cost in estimating aggregate provincial or nationiiiccrmne because it is an intermediate input--that is manure is1-arm produced and farm consumed It is recognized that smallqtaRFtities cf manure may be generated off the farm (in the large
cities) but these small quantities are ignored
The prices used for nitrogen was the weighted average (bytons applied) of urea ammonium nitrate and ammonium sulphateTl~e is some variation by year but about 88 of the singlenutriunt nitroqen fertilizer applied is urea about 10 ammoniumnitrfte and the residual ammonium sulphate Sulphate of potash was the only source of potash considered Phosphate price wasderived by pricing the nitrogen at its single nutrient price andusing the residual value as the cost of phosphate in nitrophos(27 N and 2 F) Single super phosphate was the second sourceconsiderpd On average about 80 of the phosphate was fromnitr-phos and 20 from single super phosphate
SEEDS
The quantities of seeds used in the analysis are based onthose reported in the United Consultants report on the impact ofechanization on productivity and employment (11) In RdditioniiL was assumed that the seed requirements (kgha) for barley were ekiivalent to wheat oilseeds iniawar- and baira
Rabi were equivalent to Kharifare similar to maize and that all pulses havethe same seed requirements Although it is appreciated that
8
Table 4 Reported applications of fertilizer to principal crops
in Pakistan
Cro g Nha of Wheat
Wheat 744 lOt0
Rice 417 56
Cotton 924 124
Sugarcane 1073 144
Maize 742 100
Frui t 741 100
Source Agricultural Census 1980 Bind
important differences exist between traditional vs improvedvarieties both with respect to cost and potential yieldsimplicitv required so such distinctions in this study
PESTICIDES
Little information regarding pesticide use in a desirable fnrmat wa lr-ocated The Agriculture Statistics of Sind (21 22)provides information on the number of hectares by crop that receive either preventative or curative The proportioan of cropped hectares treated by pesticides multiplied by the averagecost oF a pesticide treatment is used to estimate the cost perhectare for pesticides for the included crops The treated area noted as other crops or misc is combined and allocated to the ma1ie-jawar enterprise The average cost per hectare treated iscomputed by dividing the national cost of imported pesticides bythe hectares treated In 1986-87 and 1987-88 when data wasmi isinq the previous years growth rate was assumed for hectares rcrFre and imported cost of pesticides The hectares of wheat treated beyond 1984-85 was assumed to be the same as the averagepercent for the first two years times the hectares of wheat -r-own The last three years of pesticide treated crops is thegroLtnd applied hectares plus 3 133 and 08 of the hectares qro-in of rice sugarcane and fruits and vegetablesrespectfully Twenty percent of the fruit and vegetablenrst cid e treated hectares are assumed to be fruit and 80
SfIt is assumed that the pesticide costshectare are h same tfor all crops Also the same percent of crop hectares are treated by farm size are the same for all farm sizes
9
LABOR
rotal labor requirements (family plus hired) are reported bycr-p in Table 5 The labor requirements are the same for allfarm sizes except for cotton where 90 and 120 of the statedhours were used for the small and large farms respectfully Thehours of labor are based on information from the MechanizationStudy (11) Pakistan Census of Agriculture (18) providedinformation regarding the number of permanent hired workers byfarmrn size Hired labor was 57 156 and (27 of the totalhourshectare for the small medium and large farmsrespectfullV The perc-t of hired labor for a given farm sizewitil ossumed
to be the same for all crops The hours worked per- by arD a cultural workers was estimated at 2300 usingirfor mation on the percentage of workers working a given numbert)f hours in the surveyed week (9) Parttime family members wereassLirfled to wiork half the hours of full time family workersHirrd viorks and futllv time family workers were both assumed to pr- year A single waqe rate is used inidI 1J the model with1oti etIn ti- 7t VoJ1jaCeas a percent of the hi red
j tc r vi LI(i
bl5 5 Total hours of labor required by crop and farm size
Crop Farm Size HoursHectare
Cotton Small (S) 694Cotton Medium (M) 771Cot tcon Large (L) 925Ri ce S M L 430Sugjarc ane S M L 1171Wheat S M L 412Vegetab Ies S M L 489Fruit S M L 514Bar]ev S M L 412Oilseeds S M L 148Pulses S M L 161Maize S M L 380Fodder-Rabi S M L 489Fodder-1hari f S M L 385
POWER AND MACHINERY
The Mechanization Study (11) was the source for datapownr and machinery requirements on
Power requirements are meteither by bltlocks or by tractors It is assumed that bullocksWr provided by the farmer thus the cost will be reflected inthe livestock cost section Tractors and machinery (primarily-hra hrs and combines) may or may not be owned by the farmerbut the charge will reflect both the variable costs (fuel oil
10
and repairs) as well as the fixed costs Because a larger-ro - r- rn of the small farmers would rent tractoirs and other1A chieVEV and the driveroperator) th costs to them ishilqher than themedium farms and the large 10
farms cost is 10 1 ower
PAYMENTS TO ARTISANS
Data from the Mechanization Study (11) is the basis for thecoefficients for payments to artisans The average of the Zone 5and 6 All Technology is used for all reported crops For thecrops not reporting a payment to artisans the average of the Alllechnoloq y for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same value as wheat An index (1986-97 = 100)provided to allow proportionate changing of is
the expenses between
LAND TAXES
Data from the mechanization Study (11) was the basis for theo--fficierts for- land taxes The average of the Zones 5 andfor Lhe All1 Ilechnology Is used 6
for all reported crops For the-rops not reporting a land revenue the average of the AllTechnology for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same coefficient as wheat no data was available forpulses thus the same value as fnr oilseeds is used An index1986--87 = 0) is provided allow proportionate changesbetween years
INTEREST AND CREDIT
Credit is provided to farms from a number of institutionaland private sources Pakistan Agricultural Statistics (7)reports credit transactions (quantities) for the AgriculturalDevelopment Bank of Pakistan (ADBP) Commercial Banks TaccaviLoans and Cooperative Loans Advanced For ADBP and CommercialBank loans information on loan terms and farm size distributions are shown Medium and long term loans were combined so thatloanIs could be classified as either short term or longloans Loans to term
landless tenant and farms with less than 5hectates were considered small farms One third of the loanolume of the farm size classification 5 to 20 hectares is usedmedium sized farms (farms from 5 to 10 hectares) Theresidual l oanls are classified as loans to large farmsConmercial Bank loans are classified as farm (really crop loans)and non--farm loans---those for poultry and livestock CommercialBank poultry loans are considered short term and livestock loansare classified as long term loans The non-farm loans used thesame farm size distribution as for farm loans Taccavi Loanswere distributed by farm size and loan type the same as ADBPloans Cooperative loans were distributed by farm size and loantype the same as Commercial Bank loans
11
The Cooperatives and Commercial Banks provide some Mark-LIpFree (no interest) loans Data is reported on the otal Rs andRs of Mark-up Free loans (10) This proportion vari-s by yearand is assumed to be the same for both short and long term loansIt is assumed that Traccavi Loans are at the same interest ratesas (ADBP loans Also that the interest rate for Mark-up loans bythe Commercial Banks was 1) for short term loans (the minimumthe (an charge) and 13 for the long term loans (the maximum t hey can charqe) Interest rates used are those reported in the(nnual Report of the State Bar of Pakistan and shown in (10)
IriLLi est rates arid qLIantities from non-institutional sourcesIs ellusive It is assumed that private lenders will charge thesme rate as Mark-up loans by Commercial Banks Also that theo(rcent of capital borrowed from institutions is 14 34 and7 fcr small medium and large farms respectfully (10 page II-
DEPREC IAT ION
A char qe must be included for depreciation of capitalassets--breeding and power livestock machinery and -quipmentHowever information on the value of the capital stock and itsra-te of depreciation is not available Thus the approach wasadopted that depreciation is associated with longterm loans Afactor of 20 35 and 25 of the total Rs of long term loans isLI cd to reflect the consumption of capitol resources by smallmedi m and ]arge farms respectfully Total depreciation for aQ E1 f rm size is divided equally between all cultivatedhectares in both the Rabi and tKharif seasons This approachallows depreciation to vary with long term loans (which areInvestments in capital stock) The capital consumption factorsare Drbitrary however they appear to reflect relatively correctaI ues---i ncreases in depreciation as farm size increasesindicatinq a substitution of capital for human and animal power
LAND RENT
A charqe is made for land rent which tenant will have to-ed on the 1980 Census of Aqriculture it was calculated cc 464 and 247 of the cultivable islandrentedleased to tenant by small medium and large farmsrespectfully It is assumed that large farmers will pay 15 morerent than small and medium farmers (20)
SUPPLEMENTAL WATER
The hours of additional water (tube wells) was based -in dataPresF-nted in the Mechanization Study (11) The cost of thes=ippi emental water was based on a cost of Rshr 20 for 1987-88and iehr nhler ytears are indeed based upoi the cost of diesel and
12
Fne-tricit weighted by the number of tube wells using each powerSO Ur ce
LIVESTOCK
The Livestock budgets were based upon those presented in thePak~iLan lvestrock Sector Study (16) Livestock was classifiediFntn buffalo cattle and sheep and goats The unit of buffalotthe market integrated shallholder (Annex 10 Table 3) thee3tl unit is a weighted average of shallholder on irrigated35i and Barani lands [1] (Anne 10 Table 4) and thecdntary sheep and goat enterprise (Annex 10 Table 6) The-B h - c--mputed by using theriiwiirlir cd animals in Pakistan (7) and allocating 19 17 and19 of buffalo cattle and sheep and goats respectfully toijnd fhese percentages are based upon the percentages bypr-(tinc For 1976 (the latest year for which the provinciald i--tr ibuti on was reported) The livestock budgets are for 1985shy36 Frodiuct prices and costs are indexed using 1985-86 =These budqets do not include forages as
100 an expense this isbecaLiuse the cost of forage production is reflected inpriJductio sector the cropand not valued and then repurchased in thelieuro(s- sec r of theotock model
PRODUCT PRICES
The product prices developed are the average ofprincipa] marketing season price the
Where crops are aggregated (egjr pllses) a weiqhted average based on production of the(7c r- si1tused Khar- -eetabl es used the weightedaveracie of chillies coriander and turmeric Rabi vegetablessed the weighted average of potatoes onions sugarbeets andpeas Kharif fruit (major fruit) is the weighted average priceof -nan1 banana and dates Product price for the Rabi (minor)fruit htas not been computed at the time of this report
CONCERNS AND LIMITATIONS
A number of concerns and limitations are apparent in themethodology Time limitations preclude efforts to resolvehitl they are
them noted for the concerned reader
1 The input-output coefficients need to be reviewedThey were developed using the best known sourceshowever review modification and updating should not be overlooked
2 Aggreqate data (eg totr production in Sind) has beendistributed based upon relationships that are reportedin the 1980 Census of Agriculture It is assumed that thle relationships continue
13
Some data was aggreg ed (eg vegetable and fruit production) Review of the aggregation procedureincluding tne weights used may be usefula refinement
4 The importance of non-institutional (private) credit isnot wel1 understood or documented Given the importance of this relationship and the apparentlimited information it may be useful to devote research resoutrces to better understand it
5 Farm income is understated in that non cultivated land in excluded as a source of revenue and expense
Two cropping zones three farm sizes and 23 cropenterprises require the development of 138 crop budgetsfor Sind The lack of disaggregated data results in anillusion of greater information than is justified Indeveloping the models for the other provinces it maybe dEsirable to include fewer enterprise divisions
uonsider pricing seed as a percentage of the previous years price
8 Add a value and production for cotton stalks--since they are not used for animal feed but rather for fueltheir value should be reflected in Net Farm Income
9 Ali the data input range names are the year of production eg 1983-84 or 1987-66
I0 Lack of data iimited the detail that would be desirable in the livestock sector of the model
II Lack of information by farm size required assumptionst provide differential input-output coefficients Frequently no farm size differentials were used (egfertilizer use rates by farm size) When this data become available the model will accommodate this ref i nement
12 The greatest reliability should be accorded the provincial estimates Reliability decreases if aggregation by season crop and farm size are undertaken
MODEL OPERATION AND ORGANIZATION
The Farm Income Model is a series of two templates (inLOTUS) with six data files which provide the yearly coefficients The first template (Filename = FIN-l) adjusts and distributes
14
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
REFERENCES o Rke-BOUNDARY INTERNATIONAL
PROVINCE
DISTRICT
LA KANA
00 Y
CCA suUR -U
01
IZ
~ ( KNAIRPUR
ft -
THARPARKAR
Figure 1 The cotton and rice cropping zones of Sind
4
CROPS
iroLr-5 included in the analysis are the principalr0roduced in cropsthe cropping zones Only those crops whichcontributec at least one percent of the seasonal (Kharif or Rabi)cropped acre are included The Kharif crops aresIiqar cane oilseeds pulses rice cotton
fodders vegetables and roughqrains (caize iawar and bajra) The Rabi crops are wheatbarley oilseeds gram other Tohacco
pulses fodders and vegetableswas combined with other crops For both seasonsother crops are proportionately combined (on the basis of area)Lji h tne crops included
The kharif fruits were defined as mangoes bananas anddat es AIll others were considered Rabi fruits Kharif oilseedsinclude groundnut sesamum linseed castorseed rapeseed andmustard Rharif pulses include mung mash and other Kharifpulses Kharif vegetables include coriander chilies andtutrirFeric Rabi pulses include 7iasoor and other Rabi pulsesRabi vegetables include sugarbeet onion potato peas andgar i i c
FARM SIZE CATEGORIES AND THEIR DISTRIBUTION
The sudy was specified to include small mediumfarms Small and largefarms operated less than 5 hectares medium farmfrom 5 to 10 hectares and large farms are greater than 10hectares These size categories conform with those used in theensus of A-qricultLtre (18) Agricultural Statistics (21) andseveral other data sources
The area of crop production in each of the crop sizec-toqories was computed from the 1980 Census of Agriculture (18)It is assumed that the same proportional distribution of croppedarea is maintained for each crop year analyzed Table 2 showsthc- d stributjon of the iKharif season cropped area by farm size bull nd -r-oppinci one
STUDY EARS
The years 1983-84 through 1987-88 are to be considered inthe stucy Data is being collected for these years but duetime constraints and incomplete data collection only to
an exampleof the model for the year 1933-84 is included When the data iscomplete and verified a detailed analysis can be undertaken
CROPPING PATTERN CHANGES
The cropping pattern of 1980 by farmseason is shown in Table size and cropping
3 Because the cropping pattern isdi fferent for the small medium and large farms the analysis wasundertaken to limit the deviations from these cropping patterns
5
Table 2 Hectares and percentage of Kharif and Rabi season area
cropped by small medium and large farms
RICE ZONE COTTON ZONE
Farm Size Farm Size
Smal l Medium Lai ce Small Medium Largeh arif Season
(iC10C0 Ha) 1307 587 505 1461 853 1079
545 245 210 431 252 318
Rabi Season
(1(-)0C0 Ha) 1053 408 319 1365 554
592 229 179 558 226 216
Source Census of Agriculture 1980 Sind
However over time the cropping pattern will change but the datadoes not reflect the changes by farm size The study adjustedthe croppinq pattern so that the total area of a given cropmairtained (because this is known each year) and is
the distributionbetween farm size categories is based upon the base informationfrom 1980 Appendix A shows the LOTUS program developed tomaintain this balance
YIELD CHANGES
Yield changes are handled in a manner parallel(hanqes in to that forthe cropping pattern The total production (knowninformation) is maintained but this production is distributedbetween the farm sizes in a manner that is consistent witharea ard a thebasic yield distribution Based on a study of(2) cottonand rapeseed and mustard (3) it was assumed that allWOUlid show relative y-ields crops
of 90 for small farms 100mediitri -ar-ms forand 120 for large farms The LOTUS templatedf- vIoped to make the production (yield) distributions betweenIhe different farm sizes is designed to accommodate differenceshv crup rather all the crops being subject to thedistribution same yieldWhen additional information is available regardingcrcp yields by farm size it can easily be included
529
Table 3 Cropping patterns in Sind by cropping zones farm size
and season
RICE ZONE
Farm Size
SmallI Medium Lar e
KHARIF-shy ---------------------
Rice 907 858 751
Maize 0 I 0 () 03
Javar 23 32 46
Cot ton 22 2e 35
27 49 104
OiJseeds C)2 () 2 07
PuIses 0 0 0 1 03
k 1 L 1 (8 19 29
Veqetables 04 0 8 0 8
Others () 00 C 2
RA B I- - shy- - - -- - - --
Wheat 424 430 477
Ba r l e v 4 ) 41 48
Tobacco 0) () C 0 0 (
0i I seeds 78 79 69
Gram 73 61 65
Other Pulses 2307 231 166
Fodders 10)8 105 10 1
Veqetables 19 22 44
Other 27 3 ( 21
Sourc-e Census of Agriculture 198)
COTTON ZONE
Farm Size
Small Medium Large
-------shy
63 48 29
03 07 04
142 290 331
615 414 315
51 48 47
0 2 28 77
0 8 15 21
79 136 151
31 13 17
00 05 04
- - - - - - - - shy
810 77 1 767
02 02 08
0 0 o 0 0 0
28 53 65
16 20 14
23 8 17
10 2 113 103
15 20 24
0 0 02 00
Sind
INTERMEDIATE PRODUCTS
BecaLse the crop by products are typically livestock feedAhtGvre not valued Instlead it is assumed that they are anintc rmcdiete product and fed to livestock and poultry Thusr1hr 1han xValue by products and then charge them as a livestockf-d thcv are assumed to be feed to livestock However grains~~~ fd to ]ivestock
I Iv or used fnr human consumption are ld and that portion which i fed is valued at the
bull rc l price
FERTILIZER AND MANURE
The total quantity of fertilizer applied in the province isknown thus the problem is that of allocation between crops andFarm sies Fertilizer quantities were allocated between cropsbased upon their reported use (18) Table 4 shows the kgha ofnitrogen fertilizer applied and the relative quantity (wheatgiven an index of 10() is
Por a given crop the same quantity offertilizer was used regardless of farm size Cropsetplicitly notlisted below were considered to have the same level offertiliEer as wheat For simplicity phosphorus and potash are- located in the same proportions as nitrogen Manure is notinciu3dd a a cost in estimating aggregate provincial or nationiiiccrmne because it is an intermediate input--that is manure is1-arm produced and farm consumed It is recognized that smallqtaRFtities cf manure may be generated off the farm (in the large
cities) but these small quantities are ignored
The prices used for nitrogen was the weighted average (bytons applied) of urea ammonium nitrate and ammonium sulphateTl~e is some variation by year but about 88 of the singlenutriunt nitroqen fertilizer applied is urea about 10 ammoniumnitrfte and the residual ammonium sulphate Sulphate of potash was the only source of potash considered Phosphate price wasderived by pricing the nitrogen at its single nutrient price andusing the residual value as the cost of phosphate in nitrophos(27 N and 2 F) Single super phosphate was the second sourceconsiderpd On average about 80 of the phosphate was fromnitr-phos and 20 from single super phosphate
SEEDS
The quantities of seeds used in the analysis are based onthose reported in the United Consultants report on the impact ofechanization on productivity and employment (11) In RdditioniiL was assumed that the seed requirements (kgha) for barley were ekiivalent to wheat oilseeds iniawar- and baira
Rabi were equivalent to Kharifare similar to maize and that all pulses havethe same seed requirements Although it is appreciated that
8
Table 4 Reported applications of fertilizer to principal crops
in Pakistan
Cro g Nha of Wheat
Wheat 744 lOt0
Rice 417 56
Cotton 924 124
Sugarcane 1073 144
Maize 742 100
Frui t 741 100
Source Agricultural Census 1980 Bind
important differences exist between traditional vs improvedvarieties both with respect to cost and potential yieldsimplicitv required so such distinctions in this study
PESTICIDES
Little information regarding pesticide use in a desirable fnrmat wa lr-ocated The Agriculture Statistics of Sind (21 22)provides information on the number of hectares by crop that receive either preventative or curative The proportioan of cropped hectares treated by pesticides multiplied by the averagecost oF a pesticide treatment is used to estimate the cost perhectare for pesticides for the included crops The treated area noted as other crops or misc is combined and allocated to the ma1ie-jawar enterprise The average cost per hectare treated iscomputed by dividing the national cost of imported pesticides bythe hectares treated In 1986-87 and 1987-88 when data wasmi isinq the previous years growth rate was assumed for hectares rcrFre and imported cost of pesticides The hectares of wheat treated beyond 1984-85 was assumed to be the same as the averagepercent for the first two years times the hectares of wheat -r-own The last three years of pesticide treated crops is thegroLtnd applied hectares plus 3 133 and 08 of the hectares qro-in of rice sugarcane and fruits and vegetablesrespectfully Twenty percent of the fruit and vegetablenrst cid e treated hectares are assumed to be fruit and 80
SfIt is assumed that the pesticide costshectare are h same tfor all crops Also the same percent of crop hectares are treated by farm size are the same for all farm sizes
9
LABOR
rotal labor requirements (family plus hired) are reported bycr-p in Table 5 The labor requirements are the same for allfarm sizes except for cotton where 90 and 120 of the statedhours were used for the small and large farms respectfully Thehours of labor are based on information from the MechanizationStudy (11) Pakistan Census of Agriculture (18) providedinformation regarding the number of permanent hired workers byfarmrn size Hired labor was 57 156 and (27 of the totalhourshectare for the small medium and large farmsrespectfullV The perc-t of hired labor for a given farm sizewitil ossumed
to be the same for all crops The hours worked per- by arD a cultural workers was estimated at 2300 usingirfor mation on the percentage of workers working a given numbert)f hours in the surveyed week (9) Parttime family members wereassLirfled to wiork half the hours of full time family workersHirrd viorks and futllv time family workers were both assumed to pr- year A single waqe rate is used inidI 1J the model with1oti etIn ti- 7t VoJ1jaCeas a percent of the hi red
j tc r vi LI(i
bl5 5 Total hours of labor required by crop and farm size
Crop Farm Size HoursHectare
Cotton Small (S) 694Cotton Medium (M) 771Cot tcon Large (L) 925Ri ce S M L 430Sugjarc ane S M L 1171Wheat S M L 412Vegetab Ies S M L 489Fruit S M L 514Bar]ev S M L 412Oilseeds S M L 148Pulses S M L 161Maize S M L 380Fodder-Rabi S M L 489Fodder-1hari f S M L 385
POWER AND MACHINERY
The Mechanization Study (11) was the source for datapownr and machinery requirements on
Power requirements are meteither by bltlocks or by tractors It is assumed that bullocksWr provided by the farmer thus the cost will be reflected inthe livestock cost section Tractors and machinery (primarily-hra hrs and combines) may or may not be owned by the farmerbut the charge will reflect both the variable costs (fuel oil
10
and repairs) as well as the fixed costs Because a larger-ro - r- rn of the small farmers would rent tractoirs and other1A chieVEV and the driveroperator) th costs to them ishilqher than themedium farms and the large 10
farms cost is 10 1 ower
PAYMENTS TO ARTISANS
Data from the Mechanization Study (11) is the basis for thecoefficients for payments to artisans The average of the Zone 5and 6 All Technology is used for all reported crops For thecrops not reporting a payment to artisans the average of the Alllechnoloq y for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same value as wheat An index (1986-97 = 100)provided to allow proportionate changing of is
the expenses between
LAND TAXES
Data from the mechanization Study (11) was the basis for theo--fficierts for- land taxes The average of the Zones 5 andfor Lhe All1 Ilechnology Is used 6
for all reported crops For the-rops not reporting a land revenue the average of the AllTechnology for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same coefficient as wheat no data was available forpulses thus the same value as fnr oilseeds is used An index1986--87 = 0) is provided allow proportionate changesbetween years
INTEREST AND CREDIT
Credit is provided to farms from a number of institutionaland private sources Pakistan Agricultural Statistics (7)reports credit transactions (quantities) for the AgriculturalDevelopment Bank of Pakistan (ADBP) Commercial Banks TaccaviLoans and Cooperative Loans Advanced For ADBP and CommercialBank loans information on loan terms and farm size distributions are shown Medium and long term loans were combined so thatloanIs could be classified as either short term or longloans Loans to term
landless tenant and farms with less than 5hectates were considered small farms One third of the loanolume of the farm size classification 5 to 20 hectares is usedmedium sized farms (farms from 5 to 10 hectares) Theresidual l oanls are classified as loans to large farmsConmercial Bank loans are classified as farm (really crop loans)and non--farm loans---those for poultry and livestock CommercialBank poultry loans are considered short term and livestock loansare classified as long term loans The non-farm loans used thesame farm size distribution as for farm loans Taccavi Loanswere distributed by farm size and loan type the same as ADBPloans Cooperative loans were distributed by farm size and loantype the same as Commercial Bank loans
11
The Cooperatives and Commercial Banks provide some Mark-LIpFree (no interest) loans Data is reported on the otal Rs andRs of Mark-up Free loans (10) This proportion vari-s by yearand is assumed to be the same for both short and long term loansIt is assumed that Traccavi Loans are at the same interest ratesas (ADBP loans Also that the interest rate for Mark-up loans bythe Commercial Banks was 1) for short term loans (the minimumthe (an charge) and 13 for the long term loans (the maximum t hey can charqe) Interest rates used are those reported in the(nnual Report of the State Bar of Pakistan and shown in (10)
IriLLi est rates arid qLIantities from non-institutional sourcesIs ellusive It is assumed that private lenders will charge thesme rate as Mark-up loans by Commercial Banks Also that theo(rcent of capital borrowed from institutions is 14 34 and7 fcr small medium and large farms respectfully (10 page II-
DEPREC IAT ION
A char qe must be included for depreciation of capitalassets--breeding and power livestock machinery and -quipmentHowever information on the value of the capital stock and itsra-te of depreciation is not available Thus the approach wasadopted that depreciation is associated with longterm loans Afactor of 20 35 and 25 of the total Rs of long term loans isLI cd to reflect the consumption of capitol resources by smallmedi m and ]arge farms respectfully Total depreciation for aQ E1 f rm size is divided equally between all cultivatedhectares in both the Rabi and tKharif seasons This approachallows depreciation to vary with long term loans (which areInvestments in capital stock) The capital consumption factorsare Drbitrary however they appear to reflect relatively correctaI ues---i ncreases in depreciation as farm size increasesindicatinq a substitution of capital for human and animal power
LAND RENT
A charqe is made for land rent which tenant will have to-ed on the 1980 Census of Aqriculture it was calculated cc 464 and 247 of the cultivable islandrentedleased to tenant by small medium and large farmsrespectfully It is assumed that large farmers will pay 15 morerent than small and medium farmers (20)
SUPPLEMENTAL WATER
The hours of additional water (tube wells) was based -in dataPresF-nted in the Mechanization Study (11) The cost of thes=ippi emental water was based on a cost of Rshr 20 for 1987-88and iehr nhler ytears are indeed based upoi the cost of diesel and
12
Fne-tricit weighted by the number of tube wells using each powerSO Ur ce
LIVESTOCK
The Livestock budgets were based upon those presented in thePak~iLan lvestrock Sector Study (16) Livestock was classifiediFntn buffalo cattle and sheep and goats The unit of buffalotthe market integrated shallholder (Annex 10 Table 3) thee3tl unit is a weighted average of shallholder on irrigated35i and Barani lands [1] (Anne 10 Table 4) and thecdntary sheep and goat enterprise (Annex 10 Table 6) The-B h - c--mputed by using theriiwiirlir cd animals in Pakistan (7) and allocating 19 17 and19 of buffalo cattle and sheep and goats respectfully toijnd fhese percentages are based upon the percentages bypr-(tinc For 1976 (the latest year for which the provinciald i--tr ibuti on was reported) The livestock budgets are for 1985shy36 Frodiuct prices and costs are indexed using 1985-86 =These budqets do not include forages as
100 an expense this isbecaLiuse the cost of forage production is reflected inpriJductio sector the cropand not valued and then repurchased in thelieuro(s- sec r of theotock model
PRODUCT PRICES
The product prices developed are the average ofprincipa] marketing season price the
Where crops are aggregated (egjr pllses) a weiqhted average based on production of the(7c r- si1tused Khar- -eetabl es used the weightedaveracie of chillies coriander and turmeric Rabi vegetablessed the weighted average of potatoes onions sugarbeets andpeas Kharif fruit (major fruit) is the weighted average priceof -nan1 banana and dates Product price for the Rabi (minor)fruit htas not been computed at the time of this report
CONCERNS AND LIMITATIONS
A number of concerns and limitations are apparent in themethodology Time limitations preclude efforts to resolvehitl they are
them noted for the concerned reader
1 The input-output coefficients need to be reviewedThey were developed using the best known sourceshowever review modification and updating should not be overlooked
2 Aggreqate data (eg totr production in Sind) has beendistributed based upon relationships that are reportedin the 1980 Census of Agriculture It is assumed that thle relationships continue
13
Some data was aggreg ed (eg vegetable and fruit production) Review of the aggregation procedureincluding tne weights used may be usefula refinement
4 The importance of non-institutional (private) credit isnot wel1 understood or documented Given the importance of this relationship and the apparentlimited information it may be useful to devote research resoutrces to better understand it
5 Farm income is understated in that non cultivated land in excluded as a source of revenue and expense
Two cropping zones three farm sizes and 23 cropenterprises require the development of 138 crop budgetsfor Sind The lack of disaggregated data results in anillusion of greater information than is justified Indeveloping the models for the other provinces it maybe dEsirable to include fewer enterprise divisions
uonsider pricing seed as a percentage of the previous years price
8 Add a value and production for cotton stalks--since they are not used for animal feed but rather for fueltheir value should be reflected in Net Farm Income
9 Ali the data input range names are the year of production eg 1983-84 or 1987-66
I0 Lack of data iimited the detail that would be desirable in the livestock sector of the model
II Lack of information by farm size required assumptionst provide differential input-output coefficients Frequently no farm size differentials were used (egfertilizer use rates by farm size) When this data become available the model will accommodate this ref i nement
12 The greatest reliability should be accorded the provincial estimates Reliability decreases if aggregation by season crop and farm size are undertaken
MODEL OPERATION AND ORGANIZATION
The Farm Income Model is a series of two templates (inLOTUS) with six data files which provide the yearly coefficients The first template (Filename = FIN-l) adjusts and distributes
14
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
CROPS
iroLr-5 included in the analysis are the principalr0roduced in cropsthe cropping zones Only those crops whichcontributec at least one percent of the seasonal (Kharif or Rabi)cropped acre are included The Kharif crops aresIiqar cane oilseeds pulses rice cotton
fodders vegetables and roughqrains (caize iawar and bajra) The Rabi crops are wheatbarley oilseeds gram other Tohacco
pulses fodders and vegetableswas combined with other crops For both seasonsother crops are proportionately combined (on the basis of area)Lji h tne crops included
The kharif fruits were defined as mangoes bananas anddat es AIll others were considered Rabi fruits Kharif oilseedsinclude groundnut sesamum linseed castorseed rapeseed andmustard Rharif pulses include mung mash and other Kharifpulses Kharif vegetables include coriander chilies andtutrirFeric Rabi pulses include 7iasoor and other Rabi pulsesRabi vegetables include sugarbeet onion potato peas andgar i i c
FARM SIZE CATEGORIES AND THEIR DISTRIBUTION
The sudy was specified to include small mediumfarms Small and largefarms operated less than 5 hectares medium farmfrom 5 to 10 hectares and large farms are greater than 10hectares These size categories conform with those used in theensus of A-qricultLtre (18) Agricultural Statistics (21) andseveral other data sources
The area of crop production in each of the crop sizec-toqories was computed from the 1980 Census of Agriculture (18)It is assumed that the same proportional distribution of croppedarea is maintained for each crop year analyzed Table 2 showsthc- d stributjon of the iKharif season cropped area by farm size bull nd -r-oppinci one
STUDY EARS
The years 1983-84 through 1987-88 are to be considered inthe stucy Data is being collected for these years but duetime constraints and incomplete data collection only to
an exampleof the model for the year 1933-84 is included When the data iscomplete and verified a detailed analysis can be undertaken
CROPPING PATTERN CHANGES
The cropping pattern of 1980 by farmseason is shown in Table size and cropping
3 Because the cropping pattern isdi fferent for the small medium and large farms the analysis wasundertaken to limit the deviations from these cropping patterns
5
Table 2 Hectares and percentage of Kharif and Rabi season area
cropped by small medium and large farms
RICE ZONE COTTON ZONE
Farm Size Farm Size
Smal l Medium Lai ce Small Medium Largeh arif Season
(iC10C0 Ha) 1307 587 505 1461 853 1079
545 245 210 431 252 318
Rabi Season
(1(-)0C0 Ha) 1053 408 319 1365 554
592 229 179 558 226 216
Source Census of Agriculture 1980 Sind
However over time the cropping pattern will change but the datadoes not reflect the changes by farm size The study adjustedthe croppinq pattern so that the total area of a given cropmairtained (because this is known each year) and is
the distributionbetween farm size categories is based upon the base informationfrom 1980 Appendix A shows the LOTUS program developed tomaintain this balance
YIELD CHANGES
Yield changes are handled in a manner parallel(hanqes in to that forthe cropping pattern The total production (knowninformation) is maintained but this production is distributedbetween the farm sizes in a manner that is consistent witharea ard a thebasic yield distribution Based on a study of(2) cottonand rapeseed and mustard (3) it was assumed that allWOUlid show relative y-ields crops
of 90 for small farms 100mediitri -ar-ms forand 120 for large farms The LOTUS templatedf- vIoped to make the production (yield) distributions betweenIhe different farm sizes is designed to accommodate differenceshv crup rather all the crops being subject to thedistribution same yieldWhen additional information is available regardingcrcp yields by farm size it can easily be included
529
Table 3 Cropping patterns in Sind by cropping zones farm size
and season
RICE ZONE
Farm Size
SmallI Medium Lar e
KHARIF-shy ---------------------
Rice 907 858 751
Maize 0 I 0 () 03
Javar 23 32 46
Cot ton 22 2e 35
27 49 104
OiJseeds C)2 () 2 07
PuIses 0 0 0 1 03
k 1 L 1 (8 19 29
Veqetables 04 0 8 0 8
Others () 00 C 2
RA B I- - shy- - - -- - - --
Wheat 424 430 477
Ba r l e v 4 ) 41 48
Tobacco 0) () C 0 0 (
0i I seeds 78 79 69
Gram 73 61 65
Other Pulses 2307 231 166
Fodders 10)8 105 10 1
Veqetables 19 22 44
Other 27 3 ( 21
Sourc-e Census of Agriculture 198)
COTTON ZONE
Farm Size
Small Medium Large
-------shy
63 48 29
03 07 04
142 290 331
615 414 315
51 48 47
0 2 28 77
0 8 15 21
79 136 151
31 13 17
00 05 04
- - - - - - - - shy
810 77 1 767
02 02 08
0 0 o 0 0 0
28 53 65
16 20 14
23 8 17
10 2 113 103
15 20 24
0 0 02 00
Sind
INTERMEDIATE PRODUCTS
BecaLse the crop by products are typically livestock feedAhtGvre not valued Instlead it is assumed that they are anintc rmcdiete product and fed to livestock and poultry Thusr1hr 1han xValue by products and then charge them as a livestockf-d thcv are assumed to be feed to livestock However grains~~~ fd to ]ivestock
I Iv or used fnr human consumption are ld and that portion which i fed is valued at the
bull rc l price
FERTILIZER AND MANURE
The total quantity of fertilizer applied in the province isknown thus the problem is that of allocation between crops andFarm sies Fertilizer quantities were allocated between cropsbased upon their reported use (18) Table 4 shows the kgha ofnitrogen fertilizer applied and the relative quantity (wheatgiven an index of 10() is
Por a given crop the same quantity offertilizer was used regardless of farm size Cropsetplicitly notlisted below were considered to have the same level offertiliEer as wheat For simplicity phosphorus and potash are- located in the same proportions as nitrogen Manure is notinciu3dd a a cost in estimating aggregate provincial or nationiiiccrmne because it is an intermediate input--that is manure is1-arm produced and farm consumed It is recognized that smallqtaRFtities cf manure may be generated off the farm (in the large
cities) but these small quantities are ignored
The prices used for nitrogen was the weighted average (bytons applied) of urea ammonium nitrate and ammonium sulphateTl~e is some variation by year but about 88 of the singlenutriunt nitroqen fertilizer applied is urea about 10 ammoniumnitrfte and the residual ammonium sulphate Sulphate of potash was the only source of potash considered Phosphate price wasderived by pricing the nitrogen at its single nutrient price andusing the residual value as the cost of phosphate in nitrophos(27 N and 2 F) Single super phosphate was the second sourceconsiderpd On average about 80 of the phosphate was fromnitr-phos and 20 from single super phosphate
SEEDS
The quantities of seeds used in the analysis are based onthose reported in the United Consultants report on the impact ofechanization on productivity and employment (11) In RdditioniiL was assumed that the seed requirements (kgha) for barley were ekiivalent to wheat oilseeds iniawar- and baira
Rabi were equivalent to Kharifare similar to maize and that all pulses havethe same seed requirements Although it is appreciated that
8
Table 4 Reported applications of fertilizer to principal crops
in Pakistan
Cro g Nha of Wheat
Wheat 744 lOt0
Rice 417 56
Cotton 924 124
Sugarcane 1073 144
Maize 742 100
Frui t 741 100
Source Agricultural Census 1980 Bind
important differences exist between traditional vs improvedvarieties both with respect to cost and potential yieldsimplicitv required so such distinctions in this study
PESTICIDES
Little information regarding pesticide use in a desirable fnrmat wa lr-ocated The Agriculture Statistics of Sind (21 22)provides information on the number of hectares by crop that receive either preventative or curative The proportioan of cropped hectares treated by pesticides multiplied by the averagecost oF a pesticide treatment is used to estimate the cost perhectare for pesticides for the included crops The treated area noted as other crops or misc is combined and allocated to the ma1ie-jawar enterprise The average cost per hectare treated iscomputed by dividing the national cost of imported pesticides bythe hectares treated In 1986-87 and 1987-88 when data wasmi isinq the previous years growth rate was assumed for hectares rcrFre and imported cost of pesticides The hectares of wheat treated beyond 1984-85 was assumed to be the same as the averagepercent for the first two years times the hectares of wheat -r-own The last three years of pesticide treated crops is thegroLtnd applied hectares plus 3 133 and 08 of the hectares qro-in of rice sugarcane and fruits and vegetablesrespectfully Twenty percent of the fruit and vegetablenrst cid e treated hectares are assumed to be fruit and 80
SfIt is assumed that the pesticide costshectare are h same tfor all crops Also the same percent of crop hectares are treated by farm size are the same for all farm sizes
9
LABOR
rotal labor requirements (family plus hired) are reported bycr-p in Table 5 The labor requirements are the same for allfarm sizes except for cotton where 90 and 120 of the statedhours were used for the small and large farms respectfully Thehours of labor are based on information from the MechanizationStudy (11) Pakistan Census of Agriculture (18) providedinformation regarding the number of permanent hired workers byfarmrn size Hired labor was 57 156 and (27 of the totalhourshectare for the small medium and large farmsrespectfullV The perc-t of hired labor for a given farm sizewitil ossumed
to be the same for all crops The hours worked per- by arD a cultural workers was estimated at 2300 usingirfor mation on the percentage of workers working a given numbert)f hours in the surveyed week (9) Parttime family members wereassLirfled to wiork half the hours of full time family workersHirrd viorks and futllv time family workers were both assumed to pr- year A single waqe rate is used inidI 1J the model with1oti etIn ti- 7t VoJ1jaCeas a percent of the hi red
j tc r vi LI(i
bl5 5 Total hours of labor required by crop and farm size
Crop Farm Size HoursHectare
Cotton Small (S) 694Cotton Medium (M) 771Cot tcon Large (L) 925Ri ce S M L 430Sugjarc ane S M L 1171Wheat S M L 412Vegetab Ies S M L 489Fruit S M L 514Bar]ev S M L 412Oilseeds S M L 148Pulses S M L 161Maize S M L 380Fodder-Rabi S M L 489Fodder-1hari f S M L 385
POWER AND MACHINERY
The Mechanization Study (11) was the source for datapownr and machinery requirements on
Power requirements are meteither by bltlocks or by tractors It is assumed that bullocksWr provided by the farmer thus the cost will be reflected inthe livestock cost section Tractors and machinery (primarily-hra hrs and combines) may or may not be owned by the farmerbut the charge will reflect both the variable costs (fuel oil
10
and repairs) as well as the fixed costs Because a larger-ro - r- rn of the small farmers would rent tractoirs and other1A chieVEV and the driveroperator) th costs to them ishilqher than themedium farms and the large 10
farms cost is 10 1 ower
PAYMENTS TO ARTISANS
Data from the Mechanization Study (11) is the basis for thecoefficients for payments to artisans The average of the Zone 5and 6 All Technology is used for all reported crops For thecrops not reporting a payment to artisans the average of the Alllechnoloq y for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same value as wheat An index (1986-97 = 100)provided to allow proportionate changing of is
the expenses between
LAND TAXES
Data from the mechanization Study (11) was the basis for theo--fficierts for- land taxes The average of the Zones 5 andfor Lhe All1 Ilechnology Is used 6
for all reported crops For the-rops not reporting a land revenue the average of the AllTechnology for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same coefficient as wheat no data was available forpulses thus the same value as fnr oilseeds is used An index1986--87 = 0) is provided allow proportionate changesbetween years
INTEREST AND CREDIT
Credit is provided to farms from a number of institutionaland private sources Pakistan Agricultural Statistics (7)reports credit transactions (quantities) for the AgriculturalDevelopment Bank of Pakistan (ADBP) Commercial Banks TaccaviLoans and Cooperative Loans Advanced For ADBP and CommercialBank loans information on loan terms and farm size distributions are shown Medium and long term loans were combined so thatloanIs could be classified as either short term or longloans Loans to term
landless tenant and farms with less than 5hectates were considered small farms One third of the loanolume of the farm size classification 5 to 20 hectares is usedmedium sized farms (farms from 5 to 10 hectares) Theresidual l oanls are classified as loans to large farmsConmercial Bank loans are classified as farm (really crop loans)and non--farm loans---those for poultry and livestock CommercialBank poultry loans are considered short term and livestock loansare classified as long term loans The non-farm loans used thesame farm size distribution as for farm loans Taccavi Loanswere distributed by farm size and loan type the same as ADBPloans Cooperative loans were distributed by farm size and loantype the same as Commercial Bank loans
11
The Cooperatives and Commercial Banks provide some Mark-LIpFree (no interest) loans Data is reported on the otal Rs andRs of Mark-up Free loans (10) This proportion vari-s by yearand is assumed to be the same for both short and long term loansIt is assumed that Traccavi Loans are at the same interest ratesas (ADBP loans Also that the interest rate for Mark-up loans bythe Commercial Banks was 1) for short term loans (the minimumthe (an charge) and 13 for the long term loans (the maximum t hey can charqe) Interest rates used are those reported in the(nnual Report of the State Bar of Pakistan and shown in (10)
IriLLi est rates arid qLIantities from non-institutional sourcesIs ellusive It is assumed that private lenders will charge thesme rate as Mark-up loans by Commercial Banks Also that theo(rcent of capital borrowed from institutions is 14 34 and7 fcr small medium and large farms respectfully (10 page II-
DEPREC IAT ION
A char qe must be included for depreciation of capitalassets--breeding and power livestock machinery and -quipmentHowever information on the value of the capital stock and itsra-te of depreciation is not available Thus the approach wasadopted that depreciation is associated with longterm loans Afactor of 20 35 and 25 of the total Rs of long term loans isLI cd to reflect the consumption of capitol resources by smallmedi m and ]arge farms respectfully Total depreciation for aQ E1 f rm size is divided equally between all cultivatedhectares in both the Rabi and tKharif seasons This approachallows depreciation to vary with long term loans (which areInvestments in capital stock) The capital consumption factorsare Drbitrary however they appear to reflect relatively correctaI ues---i ncreases in depreciation as farm size increasesindicatinq a substitution of capital for human and animal power
LAND RENT
A charqe is made for land rent which tenant will have to-ed on the 1980 Census of Aqriculture it was calculated cc 464 and 247 of the cultivable islandrentedleased to tenant by small medium and large farmsrespectfully It is assumed that large farmers will pay 15 morerent than small and medium farmers (20)
SUPPLEMENTAL WATER
The hours of additional water (tube wells) was based -in dataPresF-nted in the Mechanization Study (11) The cost of thes=ippi emental water was based on a cost of Rshr 20 for 1987-88and iehr nhler ytears are indeed based upoi the cost of diesel and
12
Fne-tricit weighted by the number of tube wells using each powerSO Ur ce
LIVESTOCK
The Livestock budgets were based upon those presented in thePak~iLan lvestrock Sector Study (16) Livestock was classifiediFntn buffalo cattle and sheep and goats The unit of buffalotthe market integrated shallholder (Annex 10 Table 3) thee3tl unit is a weighted average of shallholder on irrigated35i and Barani lands [1] (Anne 10 Table 4) and thecdntary sheep and goat enterprise (Annex 10 Table 6) The-B h - c--mputed by using theriiwiirlir cd animals in Pakistan (7) and allocating 19 17 and19 of buffalo cattle and sheep and goats respectfully toijnd fhese percentages are based upon the percentages bypr-(tinc For 1976 (the latest year for which the provinciald i--tr ibuti on was reported) The livestock budgets are for 1985shy36 Frodiuct prices and costs are indexed using 1985-86 =These budqets do not include forages as
100 an expense this isbecaLiuse the cost of forage production is reflected inpriJductio sector the cropand not valued and then repurchased in thelieuro(s- sec r of theotock model
PRODUCT PRICES
The product prices developed are the average ofprincipa] marketing season price the
Where crops are aggregated (egjr pllses) a weiqhted average based on production of the(7c r- si1tused Khar- -eetabl es used the weightedaveracie of chillies coriander and turmeric Rabi vegetablessed the weighted average of potatoes onions sugarbeets andpeas Kharif fruit (major fruit) is the weighted average priceof -nan1 banana and dates Product price for the Rabi (minor)fruit htas not been computed at the time of this report
CONCERNS AND LIMITATIONS
A number of concerns and limitations are apparent in themethodology Time limitations preclude efforts to resolvehitl they are
them noted for the concerned reader
1 The input-output coefficients need to be reviewedThey were developed using the best known sourceshowever review modification and updating should not be overlooked
2 Aggreqate data (eg totr production in Sind) has beendistributed based upon relationships that are reportedin the 1980 Census of Agriculture It is assumed that thle relationships continue
13
Some data was aggreg ed (eg vegetable and fruit production) Review of the aggregation procedureincluding tne weights used may be usefula refinement
4 The importance of non-institutional (private) credit isnot wel1 understood or documented Given the importance of this relationship and the apparentlimited information it may be useful to devote research resoutrces to better understand it
5 Farm income is understated in that non cultivated land in excluded as a source of revenue and expense
Two cropping zones three farm sizes and 23 cropenterprises require the development of 138 crop budgetsfor Sind The lack of disaggregated data results in anillusion of greater information than is justified Indeveloping the models for the other provinces it maybe dEsirable to include fewer enterprise divisions
uonsider pricing seed as a percentage of the previous years price
8 Add a value and production for cotton stalks--since they are not used for animal feed but rather for fueltheir value should be reflected in Net Farm Income
9 Ali the data input range names are the year of production eg 1983-84 or 1987-66
I0 Lack of data iimited the detail that would be desirable in the livestock sector of the model
II Lack of information by farm size required assumptionst provide differential input-output coefficients Frequently no farm size differentials were used (egfertilizer use rates by farm size) When this data become available the model will accommodate this ref i nement
12 The greatest reliability should be accorded the provincial estimates Reliability decreases if aggregation by season crop and farm size are undertaken
MODEL OPERATION AND ORGANIZATION
The Farm Income Model is a series of two templates (inLOTUS) with six data files which provide the yearly coefficients The first template (Filename = FIN-l) adjusts and distributes
14
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
Table 2 Hectares and percentage of Kharif and Rabi season area
cropped by small medium and large farms
RICE ZONE COTTON ZONE
Farm Size Farm Size
Smal l Medium Lai ce Small Medium Largeh arif Season
(iC10C0 Ha) 1307 587 505 1461 853 1079
545 245 210 431 252 318
Rabi Season
(1(-)0C0 Ha) 1053 408 319 1365 554
592 229 179 558 226 216
Source Census of Agriculture 1980 Sind
However over time the cropping pattern will change but the datadoes not reflect the changes by farm size The study adjustedthe croppinq pattern so that the total area of a given cropmairtained (because this is known each year) and is
the distributionbetween farm size categories is based upon the base informationfrom 1980 Appendix A shows the LOTUS program developed tomaintain this balance
YIELD CHANGES
Yield changes are handled in a manner parallel(hanqes in to that forthe cropping pattern The total production (knowninformation) is maintained but this production is distributedbetween the farm sizes in a manner that is consistent witharea ard a thebasic yield distribution Based on a study of(2) cottonand rapeseed and mustard (3) it was assumed that allWOUlid show relative y-ields crops
of 90 for small farms 100mediitri -ar-ms forand 120 for large farms The LOTUS templatedf- vIoped to make the production (yield) distributions betweenIhe different farm sizes is designed to accommodate differenceshv crup rather all the crops being subject to thedistribution same yieldWhen additional information is available regardingcrcp yields by farm size it can easily be included
529
Table 3 Cropping patterns in Sind by cropping zones farm size
and season
RICE ZONE
Farm Size
SmallI Medium Lar e
KHARIF-shy ---------------------
Rice 907 858 751
Maize 0 I 0 () 03
Javar 23 32 46
Cot ton 22 2e 35
27 49 104
OiJseeds C)2 () 2 07
PuIses 0 0 0 1 03
k 1 L 1 (8 19 29
Veqetables 04 0 8 0 8
Others () 00 C 2
RA B I- - shy- - - -- - - --
Wheat 424 430 477
Ba r l e v 4 ) 41 48
Tobacco 0) () C 0 0 (
0i I seeds 78 79 69
Gram 73 61 65
Other Pulses 2307 231 166
Fodders 10)8 105 10 1
Veqetables 19 22 44
Other 27 3 ( 21
Sourc-e Census of Agriculture 198)
COTTON ZONE
Farm Size
Small Medium Large
-------shy
63 48 29
03 07 04
142 290 331
615 414 315
51 48 47
0 2 28 77
0 8 15 21
79 136 151
31 13 17
00 05 04
- - - - - - - - shy
810 77 1 767
02 02 08
0 0 o 0 0 0
28 53 65
16 20 14
23 8 17
10 2 113 103
15 20 24
0 0 02 00
Sind
INTERMEDIATE PRODUCTS
BecaLse the crop by products are typically livestock feedAhtGvre not valued Instlead it is assumed that they are anintc rmcdiete product and fed to livestock and poultry Thusr1hr 1han xValue by products and then charge them as a livestockf-d thcv are assumed to be feed to livestock However grains~~~ fd to ]ivestock
I Iv or used fnr human consumption are ld and that portion which i fed is valued at the
bull rc l price
FERTILIZER AND MANURE
The total quantity of fertilizer applied in the province isknown thus the problem is that of allocation between crops andFarm sies Fertilizer quantities were allocated between cropsbased upon their reported use (18) Table 4 shows the kgha ofnitrogen fertilizer applied and the relative quantity (wheatgiven an index of 10() is
Por a given crop the same quantity offertilizer was used regardless of farm size Cropsetplicitly notlisted below were considered to have the same level offertiliEer as wheat For simplicity phosphorus and potash are- located in the same proportions as nitrogen Manure is notinciu3dd a a cost in estimating aggregate provincial or nationiiiccrmne because it is an intermediate input--that is manure is1-arm produced and farm consumed It is recognized that smallqtaRFtities cf manure may be generated off the farm (in the large
cities) but these small quantities are ignored
The prices used for nitrogen was the weighted average (bytons applied) of urea ammonium nitrate and ammonium sulphateTl~e is some variation by year but about 88 of the singlenutriunt nitroqen fertilizer applied is urea about 10 ammoniumnitrfte and the residual ammonium sulphate Sulphate of potash was the only source of potash considered Phosphate price wasderived by pricing the nitrogen at its single nutrient price andusing the residual value as the cost of phosphate in nitrophos(27 N and 2 F) Single super phosphate was the second sourceconsiderpd On average about 80 of the phosphate was fromnitr-phos and 20 from single super phosphate
SEEDS
The quantities of seeds used in the analysis are based onthose reported in the United Consultants report on the impact ofechanization on productivity and employment (11) In RdditioniiL was assumed that the seed requirements (kgha) for barley were ekiivalent to wheat oilseeds iniawar- and baira
Rabi were equivalent to Kharifare similar to maize and that all pulses havethe same seed requirements Although it is appreciated that
8
Table 4 Reported applications of fertilizer to principal crops
in Pakistan
Cro g Nha of Wheat
Wheat 744 lOt0
Rice 417 56
Cotton 924 124
Sugarcane 1073 144
Maize 742 100
Frui t 741 100
Source Agricultural Census 1980 Bind
important differences exist between traditional vs improvedvarieties both with respect to cost and potential yieldsimplicitv required so such distinctions in this study
PESTICIDES
Little information regarding pesticide use in a desirable fnrmat wa lr-ocated The Agriculture Statistics of Sind (21 22)provides information on the number of hectares by crop that receive either preventative or curative The proportioan of cropped hectares treated by pesticides multiplied by the averagecost oF a pesticide treatment is used to estimate the cost perhectare for pesticides for the included crops The treated area noted as other crops or misc is combined and allocated to the ma1ie-jawar enterprise The average cost per hectare treated iscomputed by dividing the national cost of imported pesticides bythe hectares treated In 1986-87 and 1987-88 when data wasmi isinq the previous years growth rate was assumed for hectares rcrFre and imported cost of pesticides The hectares of wheat treated beyond 1984-85 was assumed to be the same as the averagepercent for the first two years times the hectares of wheat -r-own The last three years of pesticide treated crops is thegroLtnd applied hectares plus 3 133 and 08 of the hectares qro-in of rice sugarcane and fruits and vegetablesrespectfully Twenty percent of the fruit and vegetablenrst cid e treated hectares are assumed to be fruit and 80
SfIt is assumed that the pesticide costshectare are h same tfor all crops Also the same percent of crop hectares are treated by farm size are the same for all farm sizes
9
LABOR
rotal labor requirements (family plus hired) are reported bycr-p in Table 5 The labor requirements are the same for allfarm sizes except for cotton where 90 and 120 of the statedhours were used for the small and large farms respectfully Thehours of labor are based on information from the MechanizationStudy (11) Pakistan Census of Agriculture (18) providedinformation regarding the number of permanent hired workers byfarmrn size Hired labor was 57 156 and (27 of the totalhourshectare for the small medium and large farmsrespectfullV The perc-t of hired labor for a given farm sizewitil ossumed
to be the same for all crops The hours worked per- by arD a cultural workers was estimated at 2300 usingirfor mation on the percentage of workers working a given numbert)f hours in the surveyed week (9) Parttime family members wereassLirfled to wiork half the hours of full time family workersHirrd viorks and futllv time family workers were both assumed to pr- year A single waqe rate is used inidI 1J the model with1oti etIn ti- 7t VoJ1jaCeas a percent of the hi red
j tc r vi LI(i
bl5 5 Total hours of labor required by crop and farm size
Crop Farm Size HoursHectare
Cotton Small (S) 694Cotton Medium (M) 771Cot tcon Large (L) 925Ri ce S M L 430Sugjarc ane S M L 1171Wheat S M L 412Vegetab Ies S M L 489Fruit S M L 514Bar]ev S M L 412Oilseeds S M L 148Pulses S M L 161Maize S M L 380Fodder-Rabi S M L 489Fodder-1hari f S M L 385
POWER AND MACHINERY
The Mechanization Study (11) was the source for datapownr and machinery requirements on
Power requirements are meteither by bltlocks or by tractors It is assumed that bullocksWr provided by the farmer thus the cost will be reflected inthe livestock cost section Tractors and machinery (primarily-hra hrs and combines) may or may not be owned by the farmerbut the charge will reflect both the variable costs (fuel oil
10
and repairs) as well as the fixed costs Because a larger-ro - r- rn of the small farmers would rent tractoirs and other1A chieVEV and the driveroperator) th costs to them ishilqher than themedium farms and the large 10
farms cost is 10 1 ower
PAYMENTS TO ARTISANS
Data from the Mechanization Study (11) is the basis for thecoefficients for payments to artisans The average of the Zone 5and 6 All Technology is used for all reported crops For thecrops not reporting a payment to artisans the average of the Alllechnoloq y for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same value as wheat An index (1986-97 = 100)provided to allow proportionate changing of is
the expenses between
LAND TAXES
Data from the mechanization Study (11) was the basis for theo--fficierts for- land taxes The average of the Zones 5 andfor Lhe All1 Ilechnology Is used 6
for all reported crops For the-rops not reporting a land revenue the average of the AllTechnology for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same coefficient as wheat no data was available forpulses thus the same value as fnr oilseeds is used An index1986--87 = 0) is provided allow proportionate changesbetween years
INTEREST AND CREDIT
Credit is provided to farms from a number of institutionaland private sources Pakistan Agricultural Statistics (7)reports credit transactions (quantities) for the AgriculturalDevelopment Bank of Pakistan (ADBP) Commercial Banks TaccaviLoans and Cooperative Loans Advanced For ADBP and CommercialBank loans information on loan terms and farm size distributions are shown Medium and long term loans were combined so thatloanIs could be classified as either short term or longloans Loans to term
landless tenant and farms with less than 5hectates were considered small farms One third of the loanolume of the farm size classification 5 to 20 hectares is usedmedium sized farms (farms from 5 to 10 hectares) Theresidual l oanls are classified as loans to large farmsConmercial Bank loans are classified as farm (really crop loans)and non--farm loans---those for poultry and livestock CommercialBank poultry loans are considered short term and livestock loansare classified as long term loans The non-farm loans used thesame farm size distribution as for farm loans Taccavi Loanswere distributed by farm size and loan type the same as ADBPloans Cooperative loans were distributed by farm size and loantype the same as Commercial Bank loans
11
The Cooperatives and Commercial Banks provide some Mark-LIpFree (no interest) loans Data is reported on the otal Rs andRs of Mark-up Free loans (10) This proportion vari-s by yearand is assumed to be the same for both short and long term loansIt is assumed that Traccavi Loans are at the same interest ratesas (ADBP loans Also that the interest rate for Mark-up loans bythe Commercial Banks was 1) for short term loans (the minimumthe (an charge) and 13 for the long term loans (the maximum t hey can charqe) Interest rates used are those reported in the(nnual Report of the State Bar of Pakistan and shown in (10)
IriLLi est rates arid qLIantities from non-institutional sourcesIs ellusive It is assumed that private lenders will charge thesme rate as Mark-up loans by Commercial Banks Also that theo(rcent of capital borrowed from institutions is 14 34 and7 fcr small medium and large farms respectfully (10 page II-
DEPREC IAT ION
A char qe must be included for depreciation of capitalassets--breeding and power livestock machinery and -quipmentHowever information on the value of the capital stock and itsra-te of depreciation is not available Thus the approach wasadopted that depreciation is associated with longterm loans Afactor of 20 35 and 25 of the total Rs of long term loans isLI cd to reflect the consumption of capitol resources by smallmedi m and ]arge farms respectfully Total depreciation for aQ E1 f rm size is divided equally between all cultivatedhectares in both the Rabi and tKharif seasons This approachallows depreciation to vary with long term loans (which areInvestments in capital stock) The capital consumption factorsare Drbitrary however they appear to reflect relatively correctaI ues---i ncreases in depreciation as farm size increasesindicatinq a substitution of capital for human and animal power
LAND RENT
A charqe is made for land rent which tenant will have to-ed on the 1980 Census of Aqriculture it was calculated cc 464 and 247 of the cultivable islandrentedleased to tenant by small medium and large farmsrespectfully It is assumed that large farmers will pay 15 morerent than small and medium farmers (20)
SUPPLEMENTAL WATER
The hours of additional water (tube wells) was based -in dataPresF-nted in the Mechanization Study (11) The cost of thes=ippi emental water was based on a cost of Rshr 20 for 1987-88and iehr nhler ytears are indeed based upoi the cost of diesel and
12
Fne-tricit weighted by the number of tube wells using each powerSO Ur ce
LIVESTOCK
The Livestock budgets were based upon those presented in thePak~iLan lvestrock Sector Study (16) Livestock was classifiediFntn buffalo cattle and sheep and goats The unit of buffalotthe market integrated shallholder (Annex 10 Table 3) thee3tl unit is a weighted average of shallholder on irrigated35i and Barani lands [1] (Anne 10 Table 4) and thecdntary sheep and goat enterprise (Annex 10 Table 6) The-B h - c--mputed by using theriiwiirlir cd animals in Pakistan (7) and allocating 19 17 and19 of buffalo cattle and sheep and goats respectfully toijnd fhese percentages are based upon the percentages bypr-(tinc For 1976 (the latest year for which the provinciald i--tr ibuti on was reported) The livestock budgets are for 1985shy36 Frodiuct prices and costs are indexed using 1985-86 =These budqets do not include forages as
100 an expense this isbecaLiuse the cost of forage production is reflected inpriJductio sector the cropand not valued and then repurchased in thelieuro(s- sec r of theotock model
PRODUCT PRICES
The product prices developed are the average ofprincipa] marketing season price the
Where crops are aggregated (egjr pllses) a weiqhted average based on production of the(7c r- si1tused Khar- -eetabl es used the weightedaveracie of chillies coriander and turmeric Rabi vegetablessed the weighted average of potatoes onions sugarbeets andpeas Kharif fruit (major fruit) is the weighted average priceof -nan1 banana and dates Product price for the Rabi (minor)fruit htas not been computed at the time of this report
CONCERNS AND LIMITATIONS
A number of concerns and limitations are apparent in themethodology Time limitations preclude efforts to resolvehitl they are
them noted for the concerned reader
1 The input-output coefficients need to be reviewedThey were developed using the best known sourceshowever review modification and updating should not be overlooked
2 Aggreqate data (eg totr production in Sind) has beendistributed based upon relationships that are reportedin the 1980 Census of Agriculture It is assumed that thle relationships continue
13
Some data was aggreg ed (eg vegetable and fruit production) Review of the aggregation procedureincluding tne weights used may be usefula refinement
4 The importance of non-institutional (private) credit isnot wel1 understood or documented Given the importance of this relationship and the apparentlimited information it may be useful to devote research resoutrces to better understand it
5 Farm income is understated in that non cultivated land in excluded as a source of revenue and expense
Two cropping zones three farm sizes and 23 cropenterprises require the development of 138 crop budgetsfor Sind The lack of disaggregated data results in anillusion of greater information than is justified Indeveloping the models for the other provinces it maybe dEsirable to include fewer enterprise divisions
uonsider pricing seed as a percentage of the previous years price
8 Add a value and production for cotton stalks--since they are not used for animal feed but rather for fueltheir value should be reflected in Net Farm Income
9 Ali the data input range names are the year of production eg 1983-84 or 1987-66
I0 Lack of data iimited the detail that would be desirable in the livestock sector of the model
II Lack of information by farm size required assumptionst provide differential input-output coefficients Frequently no farm size differentials were used (egfertilizer use rates by farm size) When this data become available the model will accommodate this ref i nement
12 The greatest reliability should be accorded the provincial estimates Reliability decreases if aggregation by season crop and farm size are undertaken
MODEL OPERATION AND ORGANIZATION
The Farm Income Model is a series of two templates (inLOTUS) with six data files which provide the yearly coefficients The first template (Filename = FIN-l) adjusts and distributes
14
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
Table 3 Cropping patterns in Sind by cropping zones farm size
and season
RICE ZONE
Farm Size
SmallI Medium Lar e
KHARIF-shy ---------------------
Rice 907 858 751
Maize 0 I 0 () 03
Javar 23 32 46
Cot ton 22 2e 35
27 49 104
OiJseeds C)2 () 2 07
PuIses 0 0 0 1 03
k 1 L 1 (8 19 29
Veqetables 04 0 8 0 8
Others () 00 C 2
RA B I- - shy- - - -- - - --
Wheat 424 430 477
Ba r l e v 4 ) 41 48
Tobacco 0) () C 0 0 (
0i I seeds 78 79 69
Gram 73 61 65
Other Pulses 2307 231 166
Fodders 10)8 105 10 1
Veqetables 19 22 44
Other 27 3 ( 21
Sourc-e Census of Agriculture 198)
COTTON ZONE
Farm Size
Small Medium Large
-------shy
63 48 29
03 07 04
142 290 331
615 414 315
51 48 47
0 2 28 77
0 8 15 21
79 136 151
31 13 17
00 05 04
- - - - - - - - shy
810 77 1 767
02 02 08
0 0 o 0 0 0
28 53 65
16 20 14
23 8 17
10 2 113 103
15 20 24
0 0 02 00
Sind
INTERMEDIATE PRODUCTS
BecaLse the crop by products are typically livestock feedAhtGvre not valued Instlead it is assumed that they are anintc rmcdiete product and fed to livestock and poultry Thusr1hr 1han xValue by products and then charge them as a livestockf-d thcv are assumed to be feed to livestock However grains~~~ fd to ]ivestock
I Iv or used fnr human consumption are ld and that portion which i fed is valued at the
bull rc l price
FERTILIZER AND MANURE
The total quantity of fertilizer applied in the province isknown thus the problem is that of allocation between crops andFarm sies Fertilizer quantities were allocated between cropsbased upon their reported use (18) Table 4 shows the kgha ofnitrogen fertilizer applied and the relative quantity (wheatgiven an index of 10() is
Por a given crop the same quantity offertilizer was used regardless of farm size Cropsetplicitly notlisted below were considered to have the same level offertiliEer as wheat For simplicity phosphorus and potash are- located in the same proportions as nitrogen Manure is notinciu3dd a a cost in estimating aggregate provincial or nationiiiccrmne because it is an intermediate input--that is manure is1-arm produced and farm consumed It is recognized that smallqtaRFtities cf manure may be generated off the farm (in the large
cities) but these small quantities are ignored
The prices used for nitrogen was the weighted average (bytons applied) of urea ammonium nitrate and ammonium sulphateTl~e is some variation by year but about 88 of the singlenutriunt nitroqen fertilizer applied is urea about 10 ammoniumnitrfte and the residual ammonium sulphate Sulphate of potash was the only source of potash considered Phosphate price wasderived by pricing the nitrogen at its single nutrient price andusing the residual value as the cost of phosphate in nitrophos(27 N and 2 F) Single super phosphate was the second sourceconsiderpd On average about 80 of the phosphate was fromnitr-phos and 20 from single super phosphate
SEEDS
The quantities of seeds used in the analysis are based onthose reported in the United Consultants report on the impact ofechanization on productivity and employment (11) In RdditioniiL was assumed that the seed requirements (kgha) for barley were ekiivalent to wheat oilseeds iniawar- and baira
Rabi were equivalent to Kharifare similar to maize and that all pulses havethe same seed requirements Although it is appreciated that
8
Table 4 Reported applications of fertilizer to principal crops
in Pakistan
Cro g Nha of Wheat
Wheat 744 lOt0
Rice 417 56
Cotton 924 124
Sugarcane 1073 144
Maize 742 100
Frui t 741 100
Source Agricultural Census 1980 Bind
important differences exist between traditional vs improvedvarieties both with respect to cost and potential yieldsimplicitv required so such distinctions in this study
PESTICIDES
Little information regarding pesticide use in a desirable fnrmat wa lr-ocated The Agriculture Statistics of Sind (21 22)provides information on the number of hectares by crop that receive either preventative or curative The proportioan of cropped hectares treated by pesticides multiplied by the averagecost oF a pesticide treatment is used to estimate the cost perhectare for pesticides for the included crops The treated area noted as other crops or misc is combined and allocated to the ma1ie-jawar enterprise The average cost per hectare treated iscomputed by dividing the national cost of imported pesticides bythe hectares treated In 1986-87 and 1987-88 when data wasmi isinq the previous years growth rate was assumed for hectares rcrFre and imported cost of pesticides The hectares of wheat treated beyond 1984-85 was assumed to be the same as the averagepercent for the first two years times the hectares of wheat -r-own The last three years of pesticide treated crops is thegroLtnd applied hectares plus 3 133 and 08 of the hectares qro-in of rice sugarcane and fruits and vegetablesrespectfully Twenty percent of the fruit and vegetablenrst cid e treated hectares are assumed to be fruit and 80
SfIt is assumed that the pesticide costshectare are h same tfor all crops Also the same percent of crop hectares are treated by farm size are the same for all farm sizes
9
LABOR
rotal labor requirements (family plus hired) are reported bycr-p in Table 5 The labor requirements are the same for allfarm sizes except for cotton where 90 and 120 of the statedhours were used for the small and large farms respectfully Thehours of labor are based on information from the MechanizationStudy (11) Pakistan Census of Agriculture (18) providedinformation regarding the number of permanent hired workers byfarmrn size Hired labor was 57 156 and (27 of the totalhourshectare for the small medium and large farmsrespectfullV The perc-t of hired labor for a given farm sizewitil ossumed
to be the same for all crops The hours worked per- by arD a cultural workers was estimated at 2300 usingirfor mation on the percentage of workers working a given numbert)f hours in the surveyed week (9) Parttime family members wereassLirfled to wiork half the hours of full time family workersHirrd viorks and futllv time family workers were both assumed to pr- year A single waqe rate is used inidI 1J the model with1oti etIn ti- 7t VoJ1jaCeas a percent of the hi red
j tc r vi LI(i
bl5 5 Total hours of labor required by crop and farm size
Crop Farm Size HoursHectare
Cotton Small (S) 694Cotton Medium (M) 771Cot tcon Large (L) 925Ri ce S M L 430Sugjarc ane S M L 1171Wheat S M L 412Vegetab Ies S M L 489Fruit S M L 514Bar]ev S M L 412Oilseeds S M L 148Pulses S M L 161Maize S M L 380Fodder-Rabi S M L 489Fodder-1hari f S M L 385
POWER AND MACHINERY
The Mechanization Study (11) was the source for datapownr and machinery requirements on
Power requirements are meteither by bltlocks or by tractors It is assumed that bullocksWr provided by the farmer thus the cost will be reflected inthe livestock cost section Tractors and machinery (primarily-hra hrs and combines) may or may not be owned by the farmerbut the charge will reflect both the variable costs (fuel oil
10
and repairs) as well as the fixed costs Because a larger-ro - r- rn of the small farmers would rent tractoirs and other1A chieVEV and the driveroperator) th costs to them ishilqher than themedium farms and the large 10
farms cost is 10 1 ower
PAYMENTS TO ARTISANS
Data from the Mechanization Study (11) is the basis for thecoefficients for payments to artisans The average of the Zone 5and 6 All Technology is used for all reported crops For thecrops not reporting a payment to artisans the average of the Alllechnoloq y for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same value as wheat An index (1986-97 = 100)provided to allow proportionate changing of is
the expenses between
LAND TAXES
Data from the mechanization Study (11) was the basis for theo--fficierts for- land taxes The average of the Zones 5 andfor Lhe All1 Ilechnology Is used 6
for all reported crops For the-rops not reporting a land revenue the average of the AllTechnology for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same coefficient as wheat no data was available forpulses thus the same value as fnr oilseeds is used An index1986--87 = 0) is provided allow proportionate changesbetween years
INTEREST AND CREDIT
Credit is provided to farms from a number of institutionaland private sources Pakistan Agricultural Statistics (7)reports credit transactions (quantities) for the AgriculturalDevelopment Bank of Pakistan (ADBP) Commercial Banks TaccaviLoans and Cooperative Loans Advanced For ADBP and CommercialBank loans information on loan terms and farm size distributions are shown Medium and long term loans were combined so thatloanIs could be classified as either short term or longloans Loans to term
landless tenant and farms with less than 5hectates were considered small farms One third of the loanolume of the farm size classification 5 to 20 hectares is usedmedium sized farms (farms from 5 to 10 hectares) Theresidual l oanls are classified as loans to large farmsConmercial Bank loans are classified as farm (really crop loans)and non--farm loans---those for poultry and livestock CommercialBank poultry loans are considered short term and livestock loansare classified as long term loans The non-farm loans used thesame farm size distribution as for farm loans Taccavi Loanswere distributed by farm size and loan type the same as ADBPloans Cooperative loans were distributed by farm size and loantype the same as Commercial Bank loans
11
The Cooperatives and Commercial Banks provide some Mark-LIpFree (no interest) loans Data is reported on the otal Rs andRs of Mark-up Free loans (10) This proportion vari-s by yearand is assumed to be the same for both short and long term loansIt is assumed that Traccavi Loans are at the same interest ratesas (ADBP loans Also that the interest rate for Mark-up loans bythe Commercial Banks was 1) for short term loans (the minimumthe (an charge) and 13 for the long term loans (the maximum t hey can charqe) Interest rates used are those reported in the(nnual Report of the State Bar of Pakistan and shown in (10)
IriLLi est rates arid qLIantities from non-institutional sourcesIs ellusive It is assumed that private lenders will charge thesme rate as Mark-up loans by Commercial Banks Also that theo(rcent of capital borrowed from institutions is 14 34 and7 fcr small medium and large farms respectfully (10 page II-
DEPREC IAT ION
A char qe must be included for depreciation of capitalassets--breeding and power livestock machinery and -quipmentHowever information on the value of the capital stock and itsra-te of depreciation is not available Thus the approach wasadopted that depreciation is associated with longterm loans Afactor of 20 35 and 25 of the total Rs of long term loans isLI cd to reflect the consumption of capitol resources by smallmedi m and ]arge farms respectfully Total depreciation for aQ E1 f rm size is divided equally between all cultivatedhectares in both the Rabi and tKharif seasons This approachallows depreciation to vary with long term loans (which areInvestments in capital stock) The capital consumption factorsare Drbitrary however they appear to reflect relatively correctaI ues---i ncreases in depreciation as farm size increasesindicatinq a substitution of capital for human and animal power
LAND RENT
A charqe is made for land rent which tenant will have to-ed on the 1980 Census of Aqriculture it was calculated cc 464 and 247 of the cultivable islandrentedleased to tenant by small medium and large farmsrespectfully It is assumed that large farmers will pay 15 morerent than small and medium farmers (20)
SUPPLEMENTAL WATER
The hours of additional water (tube wells) was based -in dataPresF-nted in the Mechanization Study (11) The cost of thes=ippi emental water was based on a cost of Rshr 20 for 1987-88and iehr nhler ytears are indeed based upoi the cost of diesel and
12
Fne-tricit weighted by the number of tube wells using each powerSO Ur ce
LIVESTOCK
The Livestock budgets were based upon those presented in thePak~iLan lvestrock Sector Study (16) Livestock was classifiediFntn buffalo cattle and sheep and goats The unit of buffalotthe market integrated shallholder (Annex 10 Table 3) thee3tl unit is a weighted average of shallholder on irrigated35i and Barani lands [1] (Anne 10 Table 4) and thecdntary sheep and goat enterprise (Annex 10 Table 6) The-B h - c--mputed by using theriiwiirlir cd animals in Pakistan (7) and allocating 19 17 and19 of buffalo cattle and sheep and goats respectfully toijnd fhese percentages are based upon the percentages bypr-(tinc For 1976 (the latest year for which the provinciald i--tr ibuti on was reported) The livestock budgets are for 1985shy36 Frodiuct prices and costs are indexed using 1985-86 =These budqets do not include forages as
100 an expense this isbecaLiuse the cost of forage production is reflected inpriJductio sector the cropand not valued and then repurchased in thelieuro(s- sec r of theotock model
PRODUCT PRICES
The product prices developed are the average ofprincipa] marketing season price the
Where crops are aggregated (egjr pllses) a weiqhted average based on production of the(7c r- si1tused Khar- -eetabl es used the weightedaveracie of chillies coriander and turmeric Rabi vegetablessed the weighted average of potatoes onions sugarbeets andpeas Kharif fruit (major fruit) is the weighted average priceof -nan1 banana and dates Product price for the Rabi (minor)fruit htas not been computed at the time of this report
CONCERNS AND LIMITATIONS
A number of concerns and limitations are apparent in themethodology Time limitations preclude efforts to resolvehitl they are
them noted for the concerned reader
1 The input-output coefficients need to be reviewedThey were developed using the best known sourceshowever review modification and updating should not be overlooked
2 Aggreqate data (eg totr production in Sind) has beendistributed based upon relationships that are reportedin the 1980 Census of Agriculture It is assumed that thle relationships continue
13
Some data was aggreg ed (eg vegetable and fruit production) Review of the aggregation procedureincluding tne weights used may be usefula refinement
4 The importance of non-institutional (private) credit isnot wel1 understood or documented Given the importance of this relationship and the apparentlimited information it may be useful to devote research resoutrces to better understand it
5 Farm income is understated in that non cultivated land in excluded as a source of revenue and expense
Two cropping zones three farm sizes and 23 cropenterprises require the development of 138 crop budgetsfor Sind The lack of disaggregated data results in anillusion of greater information than is justified Indeveloping the models for the other provinces it maybe dEsirable to include fewer enterprise divisions
uonsider pricing seed as a percentage of the previous years price
8 Add a value and production for cotton stalks--since they are not used for animal feed but rather for fueltheir value should be reflected in Net Farm Income
9 Ali the data input range names are the year of production eg 1983-84 or 1987-66
I0 Lack of data iimited the detail that would be desirable in the livestock sector of the model
II Lack of information by farm size required assumptionst provide differential input-output coefficients Frequently no farm size differentials were used (egfertilizer use rates by farm size) When this data become available the model will accommodate this ref i nement
12 The greatest reliability should be accorded the provincial estimates Reliability decreases if aggregation by season crop and farm size are undertaken
MODEL OPERATION AND ORGANIZATION
The Farm Income Model is a series of two templates (inLOTUS) with six data files which provide the yearly coefficients The first template (Filename = FIN-l) adjusts and distributes
14
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
INTERMEDIATE PRODUCTS
BecaLse the crop by products are typically livestock feedAhtGvre not valued Instlead it is assumed that they are anintc rmcdiete product and fed to livestock and poultry Thusr1hr 1han xValue by products and then charge them as a livestockf-d thcv are assumed to be feed to livestock However grains~~~ fd to ]ivestock
I Iv or used fnr human consumption are ld and that portion which i fed is valued at the
bull rc l price
FERTILIZER AND MANURE
The total quantity of fertilizer applied in the province isknown thus the problem is that of allocation between crops andFarm sies Fertilizer quantities were allocated between cropsbased upon their reported use (18) Table 4 shows the kgha ofnitrogen fertilizer applied and the relative quantity (wheatgiven an index of 10() is
Por a given crop the same quantity offertilizer was used regardless of farm size Cropsetplicitly notlisted below were considered to have the same level offertiliEer as wheat For simplicity phosphorus and potash are- located in the same proportions as nitrogen Manure is notinciu3dd a a cost in estimating aggregate provincial or nationiiiccrmne because it is an intermediate input--that is manure is1-arm produced and farm consumed It is recognized that smallqtaRFtities cf manure may be generated off the farm (in the large
cities) but these small quantities are ignored
The prices used for nitrogen was the weighted average (bytons applied) of urea ammonium nitrate and ammonium sulphateTl~e is some variation by year but about 88 of the singlenutriunt nitroqen fertilizer applied is urea about 10 ammoniumnitrfte and the residual ammonium sulphate Sulphate of potash was the only source of potash considered Phosphate price wasderived by pricing the nitrogen at its single nutrient price andusing the residual value as the cost of phosphate in nitrophos(27 N and 2 F) Single super phosphate was the second sourceconsiderpd On average about 80 of the phosphate was fromnitr-phos and 20 from single super phosphate
SEEDS
The quantities of seeds used in the analysis are based onthose reported in the United Consultants report on the impact ofechanization on productivity and employment (11) In RdditioniiL was assumed that the seed requirements (kgha) for barley were ekiivalent to wheat oilseeds iniawar- and baira
Rabi were equivalent to Kharifare similar to maize and that all pulses havethe same seed requirements Although it is appreciated that
8
Table 4 Reported applications of fertilizer to principal crops
in Pakistan
Cro g Nha of Wheat
Wheat 744 lOt0
Rice 417 56
Cotton 924 124
Sugarcane 1073 144
Maize 742 100
Frui t 741 100
Source Agricultural Census 1980 Bind
important differences exist between traditional vs improvedvarieties both with respect to cost and potential yieldsimplicitv required so such distinctions in this study
PESTICIDES
Little information regarding pesticide use in a desirable fnrmat wa lr-ocated The Agriculture Statistics of Sind (21 22)provides information on the number of hectares by crop that receive either preventative or curative The proportioan of cropped hectares treated by pesticides multiplied by the averagecost oF a pesticide treatment is used to estimate the cost perhectare for pesticides for the included crops The treated area noted as other crops or misc is combined and allocated to the ma1ie-jawar enterprise The average cost per hectare treated iscomputed by dividing the national cost of imported pesticides bythe hectares treated In 1986-87 and 1987-88 when data wasmi isinq the previous years growth rate was assumed for hectares rcrFre and imported cost of pesticides The hectares of wheat treated beyond 1984-85 was assumed to be the same as the averagepercent for the first two years times the hectares of wheat -r-own The last three years of pesticide treated crops is thegroLtnd applied hectares plus 3 133 and 08 of the hectares qro-in of rice sugarcane and fruits and vegetablesrespectfully Twenty percent of the fruit and vegetablenrst cid e treated hectares are assumed to be fruit and 80
SfIt is assumed that the pesticide costshectare are h same tfor all crops Also the same percent of crop hectares are treated by farm size are the same for all farm sizes
9
LABOR
rotal labor requirements (family plus hired) are reported bycr-p in Table 5 The labor requirements are the same for allfarm sizes except for cotton where 90 and 120 of the statedhours were used for the small and large farms respectfully Thehours of labor are based on information from the MechanizationStudy (11) Pakistan Census of Agriculture (18) providedinformation regarding the number of permanent hired workers byfarmrn size Hired labor was 57 156 and (27 of the totalhourshectare for the small medium and large farmsrespectfullV The perc-t of hired labor for a given farm sizewitil ossumed
to be the same for all crops The hours worked per- by arD a cultural workers was estimated at 2300 usingirfor mation on the percentage of workers working a given numbert)f hours in the surveyed week (9) Parttime family members wereassLirfled to wiork half the hours of full time family workersHirrd viorks and futllv time family workers were both assumed to pr- year A single waqe rate is used inidI 1J the model with1oti etIn ti- 7t VoJ1jaCeas a percent of the hi red
j tc r vi LI(i
bl5 5 Total hours of labor required by crop and farm size
Crop Farm Size HoursHectare
Cotton Small (S) 694Cotton Medium (M) 771Cot tcon Large (L) 925Ri ce S M L 430Sugjarc ane S M L 1171Wheat S M L 412Vegetab Ies S M L 489Fruit S M L 514Bar]ev S M L 412Oilseeds S M L 148Pulses S M L 161Maize S M L 380Fodder-Rabi S M L 489Fodder-1hari f S M L 385
POWER AND MACHINERY
The Mechanization Study (11) was the source for datapownr and machinery requirements on
Power requirements are meteither by bltlocks or by tractors It is assumed that bullocksWr provided by the farmer thus the cost will be reflected inthe livestock cost section Tractors and machinery (primarily-hra hrs and combines) may or may not be owned by the farmerbut the charge will reflect both the variable costs (fuel oil
10
and repairs) as well as the fixed costs Because a larger-ro - r- rn of the small farmers would rent tractoirs and other1A chieVEV and the driveroperator) th costs to them ishilqher than themedium farms and the large 10
farms cost is 10 1 ower
PAYMENTS TO ARTISANS
Data from the Mechanization Study (11) is the basis for thecoefficients for payments to artisans The average of the Zone 5and 6 All Technology is used for all reported crops For thecrops not reporting a payment to artisans the average of the Alllechnoloq y for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same value as wheat An index (1986-97 = 100)provided to allow proportionate changing of is
the expenses between
LAND TAXES
Data from the mechanization Study (11) was the basis for theo--fficierts for- land taxes The average of the Zones 5 andfor Lhe All1 Ilechnology Is used 6
for all reported crops For the-rops not reporting a land revenue the average of the AllTechnology for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same coefficient as wheat no data was available forpulses thus the same value as fnr oilseeds is used An index1986--87 = 0) is provided allow proportionate changesbetween years
INTEREST AND CREDIT
Credit is provided to farms from a number of institutionaland private sources Pakistan Agricultural Statistics (7)reports credit transactions (quantities) for the AgriculturalDevelopment Bank of Pakistan (ADBP) Commercial Banks TaccaviLoans and Cooperative Loans Advanced For ADBP and CommercialBank loans information on loan terms and farm size distributions are shown Medium and long term loans were combined so thatloanIs could be classified as either short term or longloans Loans to term
landless tenant and farms with less than 5hectates were considered small farms One third of the loanolume of the farm size classification 5 to 20 hectares is usedmedium sized farms (farms from 5 to 10 hectares) Theresidual l oanls are classified as loans to large farmsConmercial Bank loans are classified as farm (really crop loans)and non--farm loans---those for poultry and livestock CommercialBank poultry loans are considered short term and livestock loansare classified as long term loans The non-farm loans used thesame farm size distribution as for farm loans Taccavi Loanswere distributed by farm size and loan type the same as ADBPloans Cooperative loans were distributed by farm size and loantype the same as Commercial Bank loans
11
The Cooperatives and Commercial Banks provide some Mark-LIpFree (no interest) loans Data is reported on the otal Rs andRs of Mark-up Free loans (10) This proportion vari-s by yearand is assumed to be the same for both short and long term loansIt is assumed that Traccavi Loans are at the same interest ratesas (ADBP loans Also that the interest rate for Mark-up loans bythe Commercial Banks was 1) for short term loans (the minimumthe (an charge) and 13 for the long term loans (the maximum t hey can charqe) Interest rates used are those reported in the(nnual Report of the State Bar of Pakistan and shown in (10)
IriLLi est rates arid qLIantities from non-institutional sourcesIs ellusive It is assumed that private lenders will charge thesme rate as Mark-up loans by Commercial Banks Also that theo(rcent of capital borrowed from institutions is 14 34 and7 fcr small medium and large farms respectfully (10 page II-
DEPREC IAT ION
A char qe must be included for depreciation of capitalassets--breeding and power livestock machinery and -quipmentHowever information on the value of the capital stock and itsra-te of depreciation is not available Thus the approach wasadopted that depreciation is associated with longterm loans Afactor of 20 35 and 25 of the total Rs of long term loans isLI cd to reflect the consumption of capitol resources by smallmedi m and ]arge farms respectfully Total depreciation for aQ E1 f rm size is divided equally between all cultivatedhectares in both the Rabi and tKharif seasons This approachallows depreciation to vary with long term loans (which areInvestments in capital stock) The capital consumption factorsare Drbitrary however they appear to reflect relatively correctaI ues---i ncreases in depreciation as farm size increasesindicatinq a substitution of capital for human and animal power
LAND RENT
A charqe is made for land rent which tenant will have to-ed on the 1980 Census of Aqriculture it was calculated cc 464 and 247 of the cultivable islandrentedleased to tenant by small medium and large farmsrespectfully It is assumed that large farmers will pay 15 morerent than small and medium farmers (20)
SUPPLEMENTAL WATER
The hours of additional water (tube wells) was based -in dataPresF-nted in the Mechanization Study (11) The cost of thes=ippi emental water was based on a cost of Rshr 20 for 1987-88and iehr nhler ytears are indeed based upoi the cost of diesel and
12
Fne-tricit weighted by the number of tube wells using each powerSO Ur ce
LIVESTOCK
The Livestock budgets were based upon those presented in thePak~iLan lvestrock Sector Study (16) Livestock was classifiediFntn buffalo cattle and sheep and goats The unit of buffalotthe market integrated shallholder (Annex 10 Table 3) thee3tl unit is a weighted average of shallholder on irrigated35i and Barani lands [1] (Anne 10 Table 4) and thecdntary sheep and goat enterprise (Annex 10 Table 6) The-B h - c--mputed by using theriiwiirlir cd animals in Pakistan (7) and allocating 19 17 and19 of buffalo cattle and sheep and goats respectfully toijnd fhese percentages are based upon the percentages bypr-(tinc For 1976 (the latest year for which the provinciald i--tr ibuti on was reported) The livestock budgets are for 1985shy36 Frodiuct prices and costs are indexed using 1985-86 =These budqets do not include forages as
100 an expense this isbecaLiuse the cost of forage production is reflected inpriJductio sector the cropand not valued and then repurchased in thelieuro(s- sec r of theotock model
PRODUCT PRICES
The product prices developed are the average ofprincipa] marketing season price the
Where crops are aggregated (egjr pllses) a weiqhted average based on production of the(7c r- si1tused Khar- -eetabl es used the weightedaveracie of chillies coriander and turmeric Rabi vegetablessed the weighted average of potatoes onions sugarbeets andpeas Kharif fruit (major fruit) is the weighted average priceof -nan1 banana and dates Product price for the Rabi (minor)fruit htas not been computed at the time of this report
CONCERNS AND LIMITATIONS
A number of concerns and limitations are apparent in themethodology Time limitations preclude efforts to resolvehitl they are
them noted for the concerned reader
1 The input-output coefficients need to be reviewedThey were developed using the best known sourceshowever review modification and updating should not be overlooked
2 Aggreqate data (eg totr production in Sind) has beendistributed based upon relationships that are reportedin the 1980 Census of Agriculture It is assumed that thle relationships continue
13
Some data was aggreg ed (eg vegetable and fruit production) Review of the aggregation procedureincluding tne weights used may be usefula refinement
4 The importance of non-institutional (private) credit isnot wel1 understood or documented Given the importance of this relationship and the apparentlimited information it may be useful to devote research resoutrces to better understand it
5 Farm income is understated in that non cultivated land in excluded as a source of revenue and expense
Two cropping zones three farm sizes and 23 cropenterprises require the development of 138 crop budgetsfor Sind The lack of disaggregated data results in anillusion of greater information than is justified Indeveloping the models for the other provinces it maybe dEsirable to include fewer enterprise divisions
uonsider pricing seed as a percentage of the previous years price
8 Add a value and production for cotton stalks--since they are not used for animal feed but rather for fueltheir value should be reflected in Net Farm Income
9 Ali the data input range names are the year of production eg 1983-84 or 1987-66
I0 Lack of data iimited the detail that would be desirable in the livestock sector of the model
II Lack of information by farm size required assumptionst provide differential input-output coefficients Frequently no farm size differentials were used (egfertilizer use rates by farm size) When this data become available the model will accommodate this ref i nement
12 The greatest reliability should be accorded the provincial estimates Reliability decreases if aggregation by season crop and farm size are undertaken
MODEL OPERATION AND ORGANIZATION
The Farm Income Model is a series of two templates (inLOTUS) with six data files which provide the yearly coefficients The first template (Filename = FIN-l) adjusts and distributes
14
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
Table 4 Reported applications of fertilizer to principal crops
in Pakistan
Cro g Nha of Wheat
Wheat 744 lOt0
Rice 417 56
Cotton 924 124
Sugarcane 1073 144
Maize 742 100
Frui t 741 100
Source Agricultural Census 1980 Bind
important differences exist between traditional vs improvedvarieties both with respect to cost and potential yieldsimplicitv required so such distinctions in this study
PESTICIDES
Little information regarding pesticide use in a desirable fnrmat wa lr-ocated The Agriculture Statistics of Sind (21 22)provides information on the number of hectares by crop that receive either preventative or curative The proportioan of cropped hectares treated by pesticides multiplied by the averagecost oF a pesticide treatment is used to estimate the cost perhectare for pesticides for the included crops The treated area noted as other crops or misc is combined and allocated to the ma1ie-jawar enterprise The average cost per hectare treated iscomputed by dividing the national cost of imported pesticides bythe hectares treated In 1986-87 and 1987-88 when data wasmi isinq the previous years growth rate was assumed for hectares rcrFre and imported cost of pesticides The hectares of wheat treated beyond 1984-85 was assumed to be the same as the averagepercent for the first two years times the hectares of wheat -r-own The last three years of pesticide treated crops is thegroLtnd applied hectares plus 3 133 and 08 of the hectares qro-in of rice sugarcane and fruits and vegetablesrespectfully Twenty percent of the fruit and vegetablenrst cid e treated hectares are assumed to be fruit and 80
SfIt is assumed that the pesticide costshectare are h same tfor all crops Also the same percent of crop hectares are treated by farm size are the same for all farm sizes
9
LABOR
rotal labor requirements (family plus hired) are reported bycr-p in Table 5 The labor requirements are the same for allfarm sizes except for cotton where 90 and 120 of the statedhours were used for the small and large farms respectfully Thehours of labor are based on information from the MechanizationStudy (11) Pakistan Census of Agriculture (18) providedinformation regarding the number of permanent hired workers byfarmrn size Hired labor was 57 156 and (27 of the totalhourshectare for the small medium and large farmsrespectfullV The perc-t of hired labor for a given farm sizewitil ossumed
to be the same for all crops The hours worked per- by arD a cultural workers was estimated at 2300 usingirfor mation on the percentage of workers working a given numbert)f hours in the surveyed week (9) Parttime family members wereassLirfled to wiork half the hours of full time family workersHirrd viorks and futllv time family workers were both assumed to pr- year A single waqe rate is used inidI 1J the model with1oti etIn ti- 7t VoJ1jaCeas a percent of the hi red
j tc r vi LI(i
bl5 5 Total hours of labor required by crop and farm size
Crop Farm Size HoursHectare
Cotton Small (S) 694Cotton Medium (M) 771Cot tcon Large (L) 925Ri ce S M L 430Sugjarc ane S M L 1171Wheat S M L 412Vegetab Ies S M L 489Fruit S M L 514Bar]ev S M L 412Oilseeds S M L 148Pulses S M L 161Maize S M L 380Fodder-Rabi S M L 489Fodder-1hari f S M L 385
POWER AND MACHINERY
The Mechanization Study (11) was the source for datapownr and machinery requirements on
Power requirements are meteither by bltlocks or by tractors It is assumed that bullocksWr provided by the farmer thus the cost will be reflected inthe livestock cost section Tractors and machinery (primarily-hra hrs and combines) may or may not be owned by the farmerbut the charge will reflect both the variable costs (fuel oil
10
and repairs) as well as the fixed costs Because a larger-ro - r- rn of the small farmers would rent tractoirs and other1A chieVEV and the driveroperator) th costs to them ishilqher than themedium farms and the large 10
farms cost is 10 1 ower
PAYMENTS TO ARTISANS
Data from the Mechanization Study (11) is the basis for thecoefficients for payments to artisans The average of the Zone 5and 6 All Technology is used for all reported crops For thecrops not reporting a payment to artisans the average of the Alllechnoloq y for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same value as wheat An index (1986-97 = 100)provided to allow proportionate changing of is
the expenses between
LAND TAXES
Data from the mechanization Study (11) was the basis for theo--fficierts for- land taxes The average of the Zones 5 andfor Lhe All1 Ilechnology Is used 6
for all reported crops For the-rops not reporting a land revenue the average of the AllTechnology for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same coefficient as wheat no data was available forpulses thus the same value as fnr oilseeds is used An index1986--87 = 0) is provided allow proportionate changesbetween years
INTEREST AND CREDIT
Credit is provided to farms from a number of institutionaland private sources Pakistan Agricultural Statistics (7)reports credit transactions (quantities) for the AgriculturalDevelopment Bank of Pakistan (ADBP) Commercial Banks TaccaviLoans and Cooperative Loans Advanced For ADBP and CommercialBank loans information on loan terms and farm size distributions are shown Medium and long term loans were combined so thatloanIs could be classified as either short term or longloans Loans to term
landless tenant and farms with less than 5hectates were considered small farms One third of the loanolume of the farm size classification 5 to 20 hectares is usedmedium sized farms (farms from 5 to 10 hectares) Theresidual l oanls are classified as loans to large farmsConmercial Bank loans are classified as farm (really crop loans)and non--farm loans---those for poultry and livestock CommercialBank poultry loans are considered short term and livestock loansare classified as long term loans The non-farm loans used thesame farm size distribution as for farm loans Taccavi Loanswere distributed by farm size and loan type the same as ADBPloans Cooperative loans were distributed by farm size and loantype the same as Commercial Bank loans
11
The Cooperatives and Commercial Banks provide some Mark-LIpFree (no interest) loans Data is reported on the otal Rs andRs of Mark-up Free loans (10) This proportion vari-s by yearand is assumed to be the same for both short and long term loansIt is assumed that Traccavi Loans are at the same interest ratesas (ADBP loans Also that the interest rate for Mark-up loans bythe Commercial Banks was 1) for short term loans (the minimumthe (an charge) and 13 for the long term loans (the maximum t hey can charqe) Interest rates used are those reported in the(nnual Report of the State Bar of Pakistan and shown in (10)
IriLLi est rates arid qLIantities from non-institutional sourcesIs ellusive It is assumed that private lenders will charge thesme rate as Mark-up loans by Commercial Banks Also that theo(rcent of capital borrowed from institutions is 14 34 and7 fcr small medium and large farms respectfully (10 page II-
DEPREC IAT ION
A char qe must be included for depreciation of capitalassets--breeding and power livestock machinery and -quipmentHowever information on the value of the capital stock and itsra-te of depreciation is not available Thus the approach wasadopted that depreciation is associated with longterm loans Afactor of 20 35 and 25 of the total Rs of long term loans isLI cd to reflect the consumption of capitol resources by smallmedi m and ]arge farms respectfully Total depreciation for aQ E1 f rm size is divided equally between all cultivatedhectares in both the Rabi and tKharif seasons This approachallows depreciation to vary with long term loans (which areInvestments in capital stock) The capital consumption factorsare Drbitrary however they appear to reflect relatively correctaI ues---i ncreases in depreciation as farm size increasesindicatinq a substitution of capital for human and animal power
LAND RENT
A charqe is made for land rent which tenant will have to-ed on the 1980 Census of Aqriculture it was calculated cc 464 and 247 of the cultivable islandrentedleased to tenant by small medium and large farmsrespectfully It is assumed that large farmers will pay 15 morerent than small and medium farmers (20)
SUPPLEMENTAL WATER
The hours of additional water (tube wells) was based -in dataPresF-nted in the Mechanization Study (11) The cost of thes=ippi emental water was based on a cost of Rshr 20 for 1987-88and iehr nhler ytears are indeed based upoi the cost of diesel and
12
Fne-tricit weighted by the number of tube wells using each powerSO Ur ce
LIVESTOCK
The Livestock budgets were based upon those presented in thePak~iLan lvestrock Sector Study (16) Livestock was classifiediFntn buffalo cattle and sheep and goats The unit of buffalotthe market integrated shallholder (Annex 10 Table 3) thee3tl unit is a weighted average of shallholder on irrigated35i and Barani lands [1] (Anne 10 Table 4) and thecdntary sheep and goat enterprise (Annex 10 Table 6) The-B h - c--mputed by using theriiwiirlir cd animals in Pakistan (7) and allocating 19 17 and19 of buffalo cattle and sheep and goats respectfully toijnd fhese percentages are based upon the percentages bypr-(tinc For 1976 (the latest year for which the provinciald i--tr ibuti on was reported) The livestock budgets are for 1985shy36 Frodiuct prices and costs are indexed using 1985-86 =These budqets do not include forages as
100 an expense this isbecaLiuse the cost of forage production is reflected inpriJductio sector the cropand not valued and then repurchased in thelieuro(s- sec r of theotock model
PRODUCT PRICES
The product prices developed are the average ofprincipa] marketing season price the
Where crops are aggregated (egjr pllses) a weiqhted average based on production of the(7c r- si1tused Khar- -eetabl es used the weightedaveracie of chillies coriander and turmeric Rabi vegetablessed the weighted average of potatoes onions sugarbeets andpeas Kharif fruit (major fruit) is the weighted average priceof -nan1 banana and dates Product price for the Rabi (minor)fruit htas not been computed at the time of this report
CONCERNS AND LIMITATIONS
A number of concerns and limitations are apparent in themethodology Time limitations preclude efforts to resolvehitl they are
them noted for the concerned reader
1 The input-output coefficients need to be reviewedThey were developed using the best known sourceshowever review modification and updating should not be overlooked
2 Aggreqate data (eg totr production in Sind) has beendistributed based upon relationships that are reportedin the 1980 Census of Agriculture It is assumed that thle relationships continue
13
Some data was aggreg ed (eg vegetable and fruit production) Review of the aggregation procedureincluding tne weights used may be usefula refinement
4 The importance of non-institutional (private) credit isnot wel1 understood or documented Given the importance of this relationship and the apparentlimited information it may be useful to devote research resoutrces to better understand it
5 Farm income is understated in that non cultivated land in excluded as a source of revenue and expense
Two cropping zones three farm sizes and 23 cropenterprises require the development of 138 crop budgetsfor Sind The lack of disaggregated data results in anillusion of greater information than is justified Indeveloping the models for the other provinces it maybe dEsirable to include fewer enterprise divisions
uonsider pricing seed as a percentage of the previous years price
8 Add a value and production for cotton stalks--since they are not used for animal feed but rather for fueltheir value should be reflected in Net Farm Income
9 Ali the data input range names are the year of production eg 1983-84 or 1987-66
I0 Lack of data iimited the detail that would be desirable in the livestock sector of the model
II Lack of information by farm size required assumptionst provide differential input-output coefficients Frequently no farm size differentials were used (egfertilizer use rates by farm size) When this data become available the model will accommodate this ref i nement
12 The greatest reliability should be accorded the provincial estimates Reliability decreases if aggregation by season crop and farm size are undertaken
MODEL OPERATION AND ORGANIZATION
The Farm Income Model is a series of two templates (inLOTUS) with six data files which provide the yearly coefficients The first template (Filename = FIN-l) adjusts and distributes
14
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
LABOR
rotal labor requirements (family plus hired) are reported bycr-p in Table 5 The labor requirements are the same for allfarm sizes except for cotton where 90 and 120 of the statedhours were used for the small and large farms respectfully Thehours of labor are based on information from the MechanizationStudy (11) Pakistan Census of Agriculture (18) providedinformation regarding the number of permanent hired workers byfarmrn size Hired labor was 57 156 and (27 of the totalhourshectare for the small medium and large farmsrespectfullV The perc-t of hired labor for a given farm sizewitil ossumed
to be the same for all crops The hours worked per- by arD a cultural workers was estimated at 2300 usingirfor mation on the percentage of workers working a given numbert)f hours in the surveyed week (9) Parttime family members wereassLirfled to wiork half the hours of full time family workersHirrd viorks and futllv time family workers were both assumed to pr- year A single waqe rate is used inidI 1J the model with1oti etIn ti- 7t VoJ1jaCeas a percent of the hi red
j tc r vi LI(i
bl5 5 Total hours of labor required by crop and farm size
Crop Farm Size HoursHectare
Cotton Small (S) 694Cotton Medium (M) 771Cot tcon Large (L) 925Ri ce S M L 430Sugjarc ane S M L 1171Wheat S M L 412Vegetab Ies S M L 489Fruit S M L 514Bar]ev S M L 412Oilseeds S M L 148Pulses S M L 161Maize S M L 380Fodder-Rabi S M L 489Fodder-1hari f S M L 385
POWER AND MACHINERY
The Mechanization Study (11) was the source for datapownr and machinery requirements on
Power requirements are meteither by bltlocks or by tractors It is assumed that bullocksWr provided by the farmer thus the cost will be reflected inthe livestock cost section Tractors and machinery (primarily-hra hrs and combines) may or may not be owned by the farmerbut the charge will reflect both the variable costs (fuel oil
10
and repairs) as well as the fixed costs Because a larger-ro - r- rn of the small farmers would rent tractoirs and other1A chieVEV and the driveroperator) th costs to them ishilqher than themedium farms and the large 10
farms cost is 10 1 ower
PAYMENTS TO ARTISANS
Data from the Mechanization Study (11) is the basis for thecoefficients for payments to artisans The average of the Zone 5and 6 All Technology is used for all reported crops For thecrops not reporting a payment to artisans the average of the Alllechnoloq y for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same value as wheat An index (1986-97 = 100)provided to allow proportionate changing of is
the expenses between
LAND TAXES
Data from the mechanization Study (11) was the basis for theo--fficierts for- land taxes The average of the Zones 5 andfor Lhe All1 Ilechnology Is used 6
for all reported crops For the-rops not reporting a land revenue the average of the AllTechnology for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same coefficient as wheat no data was available forpulses thus the same value as fnr oilseeds is used An index1986--87 = 0) is provided allow proportionate changesbetween years
INTEREST AND CREDIT
Credit is provided to farms from a number of institutionaland private sources Pakistan Agricultural Statistics (7)reports credit transactions (quantities) for the AgriculturalDevelopment Bank of Pakistan (ADBP) Commercial Banks TaccaviLoans and Cooperative Loans Advanced For ADBP and CommercialBank loans information on loan terms and farm size distributions are shown Medium and long term loans were combined so thatloanIs could be classified as either short term or longloans Loans to term
landless tenant and farms with less than 5hectates were considered small farms One third of the loanolume of the farm size classification 5 to 20 hectares is usedmedium sized farms (farms from 5 to 10 hectares) Theresidual l oanls are classified as loans to large farmsConmercial Bank loans are classified as farm (really crop loans)and non--farm loans---those for poultry and livestock CommercialBank poultry loans are considered short term and livestock loansare classified as long term loans The non-farm loans used thesame farm size distribution as for farm loans Taccavi Loanswere distributed by farm size and loan type the same as ADBPloans Cooperative loans were distributed by farm size and loantype the same as Commercial Bank loans
11
The Cooperatives and Commercial Banks provide some Mark-LIpFree (no interest) loans Data is reported on the otal Rs andRs of Mark-up Free loans (10) This proportion vari-s by yearand is assumed to be the same for both short and long term loansIt is assumed that Traccavi Loans are at the same interest ratesas (ADBP loans Also that the interest rate for Mark-up loans bythe Commercial Banks was 1) for short term loans (the minimumthe (an charge) and 13 for the long term loans (the maximum t hey can charqe) Interest rates used are those reported in the(nnual Report of the State Bar of Pakistan and shown in (10)
IriLLi est rates arid qLIantities from non-institutional sourcesIs ellusive It is assumed that private lenders will charge thesme rate as Mark-up loans by Commercial Banks Also that theo(rcent of capital borrowed from institutions is 14 34 and7 fcr small medium and large farms respectfully (10 page II-
DEPREC IAT ION
A char qe must be included for depreciation of capitalassets--breeding and power livestock machinery and -quipmentHowever information on the value of the capital stock and itsra-te of depreciation is not available Thus the approach wasadopted that depreciation is associated with longterm loans Afactor of 20 35 and 25 of the total Rs of long term loans isLI cd to reflect the consumption of capitol resources by smallmedi m and ]arge farms respectfully Total depreciation for aQ E1 f rm size is divided equally between all cultivatedhectares in both the Rabi and tKharif seasons This approachallows depreciation to vary with long term loans (which areInvestments in capital stock) The capital consumption factorsare Drbitrary however they appear to reflect relatively correctaI ues---i ncreases in depreciation as farm size increasesindicatinq a substitution of capital for human and animal power
LAND RENT
A charqe is made for land rent which tenant will have to-ed on the 1980 Census of Aqriculture it was calculated cc 464 and 247 of the cultivable islandrentedleased to tenant by small medium and large farmsrespectfully It is assumed that large farmers will pay 15 morerent than small and medium farmers (20)
SUPPLEMENTAL WATER
The hours of additional water (tube wells) was based -in dataPresF-nted in the Mechanization Study (11) The cost of thes=ippi emental water was based on a cost of Rshr 20 for 1987-88and iehr nhler ytears are indeed based upoi the cost of diesel and
12
Fne-tricit weighted by the number of tube wells using each powerSO Ur ce
LIVESTOCK
The Livestock budgets were based upon those presented in thePak~iLan lvestrock Sector Study (16) Livestock was classifiediFntn buffalo cattle and sheep and goats The unit of buffalotthe market integrated shallholder (Annex 10 Table 3) thee3tl unit is a weighted average of shallholder on irrigated35i and Barani lands [1] (Anne 10 Table 4) and thecdntary sheep and goat enterprise (Annex 10 Table 6) The-B h - c--mputed by using theriiwiirlir cd animals in Pakistan (7) and allocating 19 17 and19 of buffalo cattle and sheep and goats respectfully toijnd fhese percentages are based upon the percentages bypr-(tinc For 1976 (the latest year for which the provinciald i--tr ibuti on was reported) The livestock budgets are for 1985shy36 Frodiuct prices and costs are indexed using 1985-86 =These budqets do not include forages as
100 an expense this isbecaLiuse the cost of forage production is reflected inpriJductio sector the cropand not valued and then repurchased in thelieuro(s- sec r of theotock model
PRODUCT PRICES
The product prices developed are the average ofprincipa] marketing season price the
Where crops are aggregated (egjr pllses) a weiqhted average based on production of the(7c r- si1tused Khar- -eetabl es used the weightedaveracie of chillies coriander and turmeric Rabi vegetablessed the weighted average of potatoes onions sugarbeets andpeas Kharif fruit (major fruit) is the weighted average priceof -nan1 banana and dates Product price for the Rabi (minor)fruit htas not been computed at the time of this report
CONCERNS AND LIMITATIONS
A number of concerns and limitations are apparent in themethodology Time limitations preclude efforts to resolvehitl they are
them noted for the concerned reader
1 The input-output coefficients need to be reviewedThey were developed using the best known sourceshowever review modification and updating should not be overlooked
2 Aggreqate data (eg totr production in Sind) has beendistributed based upon relationships that are reportedin the 1980 Census of Agriculture It is assumed that thle relationships continue
13
Some data was aggreg ed (eg vegetable and fruit production) Review of the aggregation procedureincluding tne weights used may be usefula refinement
4 The importance of non-institutional (private) credit isnot wel1 understood or documented Given the importance of this relationship and the apparentlimited information it may be useful to devote research resoutrces to better understand it
5 Farm income is understated in that non cultivated land in excluded as a source of revenue and expense
Two cropping zones three farm sizes and 23 cropenterprises require the development of 138 crop budgetsfor Sind The lack of disaggregated data results in anillusion of greater information than is justified Indeveloping the models for the other provinces it maybe dEsirable to include fewer enterprise divisions
uonsider pricing seed as a percentage of the previous years price
8 Add a value and production for cotton stalks--since they are not used for animal feed but rather for fueltheir value should be reflected in Net Farm Income
9 Ali the data input range names are the year of production eg 1983-84 or 1987-66
I0 Lack of data iimited the detail that would be desirable in the livestock sector of the model
II Lack of information by farm size required assumptionst provide differential input-output coefficients Frequently no farm size differentials were used (egfertilizer use rates by farm size) When this data become available the model will accommodate this ref i nement
12 The greatest reliability should be accorded the provincial estimates Reliability decreases if aggregation by season crop and farm size are undertaken
MODEL OPERATION AND ORGANIZATION
The Farm Income Model is a series of two templates (inLOTUS) with six data files which provide the yearly coefficients The first template (Filename = FIN-l) adjusts and distributes
14
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
and repairs) as well as the fixed costs Because a larger-ro - r- rn of the small farmers would rent tractoirs and other1A chieVEV and the driveroperator) th costs to them ishilqher than themedium farms and the large 10
farms cost is 10 1 ower
PAYMENTS TO ARTISANS
Data from the Mechanization Study (11) is the basis for thecoefficients for payments to artisans The average of the Zone 5and 6 All Technology is used for all reported crops For thecrops not reporting a payment to artisans the average of the Alllechnoloq y for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same value as wheat An index (1986-97 = 100)provided to allow proportionate changing of is
the expenses between
LAND TAXES
Data from the mechanization Study (11) was the basis for theo--fficierts for- land taxes The average of the Zones 5 andfor Lhe All1 Ilechnology Is used 6
for all reported crops For the-rops not reporting a land revenue the average of the AllTechnology for the other zones is used Barley is assumed tohave the same coefficient as wheat no data was available forpulses thus the same value as fnr oilseeds is used An index1986--87 = 0) is provided allow proportionate changesbetween years
INTEREST AND CREDIT
Credit is provided to farms from a number of institutionaland private sources Pakistan Agricultural Statistics (7)reports credit transactions (quantities) for the AgriculturalDevelopment Bank of Pakistan (ADBP) Commercial Banks TaccaviLoans and Cooperative Loans Advanced For ADBP and CommercialBank loans information on loan terms and farm size distributions are shown Medium and long term loans were combined so thatloanIs could be classified as either short term or longloans Loans to term
landless tenant and farms with less than 5hectates were considered small farms One third of the loanolume of the farm size classification 5 to 20 hectares is usedmedium sized farms (farms from 5 to 10 hectares) Theresidual l oanls are classified as loans to large farmsConmercial Bank loans are classified as farm (really crop loans)and non--farm loans---those for poultry and livestock CommercialBank poultry loans are considered short term and livestock loansare classified as long term loans The non-farm loans used thesame farm size distribution as for farm loans Taccavi Loanswere distributed by farm size and loan type the same as ADBPloans Cooperative loans were distributed by farm size and loantype the same as Commercial Bank loans
11
The Cooperatives and Commercial Banks provide some Mark-LIpFree (no interest) loans Data is reported on the otal Rs andRs of Mark-up Free loans (10) This proportion vari-s by yearand is assumed to be the same for both short and long term loansIt is assumed that Traccavi Loans are at the same interest ratesas (ADBP loans Also that the interest rate for Mark-up loans bythe Commercial Banks was 1) for short term loans (the minimumthe (an charge) and 13 for the long term loans (the maximum t hey can charqe) Interest rates used are those reported in the(nnual Report of the State Bar of Pakistan and shown in (10)
IriLLi est rates arid qLIantities from non-institutional sourcesIs ellusive It is assumed that private lenders will charge thesme rate as Mark-up loans by Commercial Banks Also that theo(rcent of capital borrowed from institutions is 14 34 and7 fcr small medium and large farms respectfully (10 page II-
DEPREC IAT ION
A char qe must be included for depreciation of capitalassets--breeding and power livestock machinery and -quipmentHowever information on the value of the capital stock and itsra-te of depreciation is not available Thus the approach wasadopted that depreciation is associated with longterm loans Afactor of 20 35 and 25 of the total Rs of long term loans isLI cd to reflect the consumption of capitol resources by smallmedi m and ]arge farms respectfully Total depreciation for aQ E1 f rm size is divided equally between all cultivatedhectares in both the Rabi and tKharif seasons This approachallows depreciation to vary with long term loans (which areInvestments in capital stock) The capital consumption factorsare Drbitrary however they appear to reflect relatively correctaI ues---i ncreases in depreciation as farm size increasesindicatinq a substitution of capital for human and animal power
LAND RENT
A charqe is made for land rent which tenant will have to-ed on the 1980 Census of Aqriculture it was calculated cc 464 and 247 of the cultivable islandrentedleased to tenant by small medium and large farmsrespectfully It is assumed that large farmers will pay 15 morerent than small and medium farmers (20)
SUPPLEMENTAL WATER
The hours of additional water (tube wells) was based -in dataPresF-nted in the Mechanization Study (11) The cost of thes=ippi emental water was based on a cost of Rshr 20 for 1987-88and iehr nhler ytears are indeed based upoi the cost of diesel and
12
Fne-tricit weighted by the number of tube wells using each powerSO Ur ce
LIVESTOCK
The Livestock budgets were based upon those presented in thePak~iLan lvestrock Sector Study (16) Livestock was classifiediFntn buffalo cattle and sheep and goats The unit of buffalotthe market integrated shallholder (Annex 10 Table 3) thee3tl unit is a weighted average of shallholder on irrigated35i and Barani lands [1] (Anne 10 Table 4) and thecdntary sheep and goat enterprise (Annex 10 Table 6) The-B h - c--mputed by using theriiwiirlir cd animals in Pakistan (7) and allocating 19 17 and19 of buffalo cattle and sheep and goats respectfully toijnd fhese percentages are based upon the percentages bypr-(tinc For 1976 (the latest year for which the provinciald i--tr ibuti on was reported) The livestock budgets are for 1985shy36 Frodiuct prices and costs are indexed using 1985-86 =These budqets do not include forages as
100 an expense this isbecaLiuse the cost of forage production is reflected inpriJductio sector the cropand not valued and then repurchased in thelieuro(s- sec r of theotock model
PRODUCT PRICES
The product prices developed are the average ofprincipa] marketing season price the
Where crops are aggregated (egjr pllses) a weiqhted average based on production of the(7c r- si1tused Khar- -eetabl es used the weightedaveracie of chillies coriander and turmeric Rabi vegetablessed the weighted average of potatoes onions sugarbeets andpeas Kharif fruit (major fruit) is the weighted average priceof -nan1 banana and dates Product price for the Rabi (minor)fruit htas not been computed at the time of this report
CONCERNS AND LIMITATIONS
A number of concerns and limitations are apparent in themethodology Time limitations preclude efforts to resolvehitl they are
them noted for the concerned reader
1 The input-output coefficients need to be reviewedThey were developed using the best known sourceshowever review modification and updating should not be overlooked
2 Aggreqate data (eg totr production in Sind) has beendistributed based upon relationships that are reportedin the 1980 Census of Agriculture It is assumed that thle relationships continue
13
Some data was aggreg ed (eg vegetable and fruit production) Review of the aggregation procedureincluding tne weights used may be usefula refinement
4 The importance of non-institutional (private) credit isnot wel1 understood or documented Given the importance of this relationship and the apparentlimited information it may be useful to devote research resoutrces to better understand it
5 Farm income is understated in that non cultivated land in excluded as a source of revenue and expense
Two cropping zones three farm sizes and 23 cropenterprises require the development of 138 crop budgetsfor Sind The lack of disaggregated data results in anillusion of greater information than is justified Indeveloping the models for the other provinces it maybe dEsirable to include fewer enterprise divisions
uonsider pricing seed as a percentage of the previous years price
8 Add a value and production for cotton stalks--since they are not used for animal feed but rather for fueltheir value should be reflected in Net Farm Income
9 Ali the data input range names are the year of production eg 1983-84 or 1987-66
I0 Lack of data iimited the detail that would be desirable in the livestock sector of the model
II Lack of information by farm size required assumptionst provide differential input-output coefficients Frequently no farm size differentials were used (egfertilizer use rates by farm size) When this data become available the model will accommodate this ref i nement
12 The greatest reliability should be accorded the provincial estimates Reliability decreases if aggregation by season crop and farm size are undertaken
MODEL OPERATION AND ORGANIZATION
The Farm Income Model is a series of two templates (inLOTUS) with six data files which provide the yearly coefficients The first template (Filename = FIN-l) adjusts and distributes
14
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
The Cooperatives and Commercial Banks provide some Mark-LIpFree (no interest) loans Data is reported on the otal Rs andRs of Mark-up Free loans (10) This proportion vari-s by yearand is assumed to be the same for both short and long term loansIt is assumed that Traccavi Loans are at the same interest ratesas (ADBP loans Also that the interest rate for Mark-up loans bythe Commercial Banks was 1) for short term loans (the minimumthe (an charge) and 13 for the long term loans (the maximum t hey can charqe) Interest rates used are those reported in the(nnual Report of the State Bar of Pakistan and shown in (10)
IriLLi est rates arid qLIantities from non-institutional sourcesIs ellusive It is assumed that private lenders will charge thesme rate as Mark-up loans by Commercial Banks Also that theo(rcent of capital borrowed from institutions is 14 34 and7 fcr small medium and large farms respectfully (10 page II-
DEPREC IAT ION
A char qe must be included for depreciation of capitalassets--breeding and power livestock machinery and -quipmentHowever information on the value of the capital stock and itsra-te of depreciation is not available Thus the approach wasadopted that depreciation is associated with longterm loans Afactor of 20 35 and 25 of the total Rs of long term loans isLI cd to reflect the consumption of capitol resources by smallmedi m and ]arge farms respectfully Total depreciation for aQ E1 f rm size is divided equally between all cultivatedhectares in both the Rabi and tKharif seasons This approachallows depreciation to vary with long term loans (which areInvestments in capital stock) The capital consumption factorsare Drbitrary however they appear to reflect relatively correctaI ues---i ncreases in depreciation as farm size increasesindicatinq a substitution of capital for human and animal power
LAND RENT
A charqe is made for land rent which tenant will have to-ed on the 1980 Census of Aqriculture it was calculated cc 464 and 247 of the cultivable islandrentedleased to tenant by small medium and large farmsrespectfully It is assumed that large farmers will pay 15 morerent than small and medium farmers (20)
SUPPLEMENTAL WATER
The hours of additional water (tube wells) was based -in dataPresF-nted in the Mechanization Study (11) The cost of thes=ippi emental water was based on a cost of Rshr 20 for 1987-88and iehr nhler ytears are indeed based upoi the cost of diesel and
12
Fne-tricit weighted by the number of tube wells using each powerSO Ur ce
LIVESTOCK
The Livestock budgets were based upon those presented in thePak~iLan lvestrock Sector Study (16) Livestock was classifiediFntn buffalo cattle and sheep and goats The unit of buffalotthe market integrated shallholder (Annex 10 Table 3) thee3tl unit is a weighted average of shallholder on irrigated35i and Barani lands [1] (Anne 10 Table 4) and thecdntary sheep and goat enterprise (Annex 10 Table 6) The-B h - c--mputed by using theriiwiirlir cd animals in Pakistan (7) and allocating 19 17 and19 of buffalo cattle and sheep and goats respectfully toijnd fhese percentages are based upon the percentages bypr-(tinc For 1976 (the latest year for which the provinciald i--tr ibuti on was reported) The livestock budgets are for 1985shy36 Frodiuct prices and costs are indexed using 1985-86 =These budqets do not include forages as
100 an expense this isbecaLiuse the cost of forage production is reflected inpriJductio sector the cropand not valued and then repurchased in thelieuro(s- sec r of theotock model
PRODUCT PRICES
The product prices developed are the average ofprincipa] marketing season price the
Where crops are aggregated (egjr pllses) a weiqhted average based on production of the(7c r- si1tused Khar- -eetabl es used the weightedaveracie of chillies coriander and turmeric Rabi vegetablessed the weighted average of potatoes onions sugarbeets andpeas Kharif fruit (major fruit) is the weighted average priceof -nan1 banana and dates Product price for the Rabi (minor)fruit htas not been computed at the time of this report
CONCERNS AND LIMITATIONS
A number of concerns and limitations are apparent in themethodology Time limitations preclude efforts to resolvehitl they are
them noted for the concerned reader
1 The input-output coefficients need to be reviewedThey were developed using the best known sourceshowever review modification and updating should not be overlooked
2 Aggreqate data (eg totr production in Sind) has beendistributed based upon relationships that are reportedin the 1980 Census of Agriculture It is assumed that thle relationships continue
13
Some data was aggreg ed (eg vegetable and fruit production) Review of the aggregation procedureincluding tne weights used may be usefula refinement
4 The importance of non-institutional (private) credit isnot wel1 understood or documented Given the importance of this relationship and the apparentlimited information it may be useful to devote research resoutrces to better understand it
5 Farm income is understated in that non cultivated land in excluded as a source of revenue and expense
Two cropping zones three farm sizes and 23 cropenterprises require the development of 138 crop budgetsfor Sind The lack of disaggregated data results in anillusion of greater information than is justified Indeveloping the models for the other provinces it maybe dEsirable to include fewer enterprise divisions
uonsider pricing seed as a percentage of the previous years price
8 Add a value and production for cotton stalks--since they are not used for animal feed but rather for fueltheir value should be reflected in Net Farm Income
9 Ali the data input range names are the year of production eg 1983-84 or 1987-66
I0 Lack of data iimited the detail that would be desirable in the livestock sector of the model
II Lack of information by farm size required assumptionst provide differential input-output coefficients Frequently no farm size differentials were used (egfertilizer use rates by farm size) When this data become available the model will accommodate this ref i nement
12 The greatest reliability should be accorded the provincial estimates Reliability decreases if aggregation by season crop and farm size are undertaken
MODEL OPERATION AND ORGANIZATION
The Farm Income Model is a series of two templates (inLOTUS) with six data files which provide the yearly coefficients The first template (Filename = FIN-l) adjusts and distributes
14
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
Fne-tricit weighted by the number of tube wells using each powerSO Ur ce
LIVESTOCK
The Livestock budgets were based upon those presented in thePak~iLan lvestrock Sector Study (16) Livestock was classifiediFntn buffalo cattle and sheep and goats The unit of buffalotthe market integrated shallholder (Annex 10 Table 3) thee3tl unit is a weighted average of shallholder on irrigated35i and Barani lands [1] (Anne 10 Table 4) and thecdntary sheep and goat enterprise (Annex 10 Table 6) The-B h - c--mputed by using theriiwiirlir cd animals in Pakistan (7) and allocating 19 17 and19 of buffalo cattle and sheep and goats respectfully toijnd fhese percentages are based upon the percentages bypr-(tinc For 1976 (the latest year for which the provinciald i--tr ibuti on was reported) The livestock budgets are for 1985shy36 Frodiuct prices and costs are indexed using 1985-86 =These budqets do not include forages as
100 an expense this isbecaLiuse the cost of forage production is reflected inpriJductio sector the cropand not valued and then repurchased in thelieuro(s- sec r of theotock model
PRODUCT PRICES
The product prices developed are the average ofprincipa] marketing season price the
Where crops are aggregated (egjr pllses) a weiqhted average based on production of the(7c r- si1tused Khar- -eetabl es used the weightedaveracie of chillies coriander and turmeric Rabi vegetablessed the weighted average of potatoes onions sugarbeets andpeas Kharif fruit (major fruit) is the weighted average priceof -nan1 banana and dates Product price for the Rabi (minor)fruit htas not been computed at the time of this report
CONCERNS AND LIMITATIONS
A number of concerns and limitations are apparent in themethodology Time limitations preclude efforts to resolvehitl they are
them noted for the concerned reader
1 The input-output coefficients need to be reviewedThey were developed using the best known sourceshowever review modification and updating should not be overlooked
2 Aggreqate data (eg totr production in Sind) has beendistributed based upon relationships that are reportedin the 1980 Census of Agriculture It is assumed that thle relationships continue
13
Some data was aggreg ed (eg vegetable and fruit production) Review of the aggregation procedureincluding tne weights used may be usefula refinement
4 The importance of non-institutional (private) credit isnot wel1 understood or documented Given the importance of this relationship and the apparentlimited information it may be useful to devote research resoutrces to better understand it
5 Farm income is understated in that non cultivated land in excluded as a source of revenue and expense
Two cropping zones three farm sizes and 23 cropenterprises require the development of 138 crop budgetsfor Sind The lack of disaggregated data results in anillusion of greater information than is justified Indeveloping the models for the other provinces it maybe dEsirable to include fewer enterprise divisions
uonsider pricing seed as a percentage of the previous years price
8 Add a value and production for cotton stalks--since they are not used for animal feed but rather for fueltheir value should be reflected in Net Farm Income
9 Ali the data input range names are the year of production eg 1983-84 or 1987-66
I0 Lack of data iimited the detail that would be desirable in the livestock sector of the model
II Lack of information by farm size required assumptionst provide differential input-output coefficients Frequently no farm size differentials were used (egfertilizer use rates by farm size) When this data become available the model will accommodate this ref i nement
12 The greatest reliability should be accorded the provincial estimates Reliability decreases if aggregation by season crop and farm size are undertaken
MODEL OPERATION AND ORGANIZATION
The Farm Income Model is a series of two templates (inLOTUS) with six data files which provide the yearly coefficients The first template (Filename = FIN-l) adjusts and distributes
14
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
Some data was aggreg ed (eg vegetable and fruit production) Review of the aggregation procedureincluding tne weights used may be usefula refinement
4 The importance of non-institutional (private) credit isnot wel1 understood or documented Given the importance of this relationship and the apparentlimited information it may be useful to devote research resoutrces to better understand it
5 Farm income is understated in that non cultivated land in excluded as a source of revenue and expense
Two cropping zones three farm sizes and 23 cropenterprises require the development of 138 crop budgetsfor Sind The lack of disaggregated data results in anillusion of greater information than is justified Indeveloping the models for the other provinces it maybe dEsirable to include fewer enterprise divisions
uonsider pricing seed as a percentage of the previous years price
8 Add a value and production for cotton stalks--since they are not used for animal feed but rather for fueltheir value should be reflected in Net Farm Income
9 Ali the data input range names are the year of production eg 1983-84 or 1987-66
I0 Lack of data iimited the detail that would be desirable in the livestock sector of the model
II Lack of information by farm size required assumptionst provide differential input-output coefficients Frequently no farm size differentials were used (egfertilizer use rates by farm size) When this data become available the model will accommodate this ref i nement
12 The greatest reliability should be accorded the provincial estimates Reliability decreases if aggregation by season crop and farm size are undertaken
MODEL OPERATION AND ORGANIZATION
The Farm Income Model is a series of two templates (inLOTUS) with six data files which provide the yearly coefficients The first template (Filename = FIN-l) adjusts and distributes
14
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
provincial area (Filename = AREAX) and production (Filename = PRODUCTX) information between the small medium and large farmSiv( The distributions are based on the farm sizedistributions which existed in the 1980 Census of Agriculture(22) The second template (Filename = FIM-2) combines theinformation about area and production by farm size generated byF[H-1 and combines is with information about input prices(Filename = PRICEI) product prices (Filename = PRICEP) credit-nd interest data (Filename = CREDIT) and livestock data(Filename = LSDATA) Figure 2 shows the organization of the data files and the two templates
DATA FILES TEMPLATE OUTPUT
AREAX gt----- gt Adjusted Area File FIM-I
PRODUCTX shy gt Adjusted Production File
FIM-1 Adjusted Area File --------shy
FTM-1 Adiusted
Produc-tion File--
PRICEI ----------- gt FIM-2 ----- gt Summary Report
(3 Pages)PR ICF------------
CREO IT--------------
ISDATA ------------
Figure 2 Organization of the data files model templates and associated outputs
The two template models are run with macros The user ofneeds only to select the year for which he want to make theanalysis (for example 1983-84) and use 1983-84 as the rangenam when importinq the data for the analysis from the data ii- We data files have range name or five years 1983-84tihrouqh 1997--03 Data for additional years can be easily addedbut must be in the same format The new data will also have tobo qin a range name corresponding to the appropriate added
v I I
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
The two templates are built with blocks of dataprogram on adiacnnal This allows for easily adding new rows or columns InFTIM--2 Lthe Season (KR) Zone (CR) and Farm Size (SML)aciiqreqate budqets are identified by the three letter range namese~q KCS for Vlnarif-Cotton-Small Data and calculations oneunit budqets is shown to for
the right of the aggregate budgets- ---7 rj 5- nt l ocy -r sh ownhr in th e
I shypperidix L ampmple year data +or AREAX and1FIi cTX the input data for the five years for PRICEI PRICEPCREIIT ard LSDATA and an example summary printout (from FIM-2)
16
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
REFERENCES
Chemnnics International Consulting Division Pakistan Fertilizer Policy Review and Analysis Consulting Reportemnic- International Washington DC 1985
Fconomic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Flanninq Unit) Ministry of Fooc Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study ofon CostProduction of Crops Maize (1983-84) ES 79 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operativesGovernment of Fakistan Isi abad 1984
Khshk Ali Mohammad YameenM Memon and Altaf H f(laudhry Rapeseed Mustardand as a Traditional EdibleOilseed in the Irrigated Farming System of the Central SindStaff Paper Agricultural Economics Research UnitAgricultural Research Institute Tandojam 1987
4 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (Planninq Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProduction of Crops Sugarcane (1983-84) ES 80Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Fakistan Islamabad 1984
5 Saleem Mahmood Ali and Mazhar-ul-Haq Farm AccountsFamily Budgets of Rural Families and Cost of Production ofMaior Crops in the Punjab 1982-83 Publication No 214 Funjab Economic Research Institute Lahore 1985
6 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division iPlanning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyop-rtives Government of Pakistan A Study on Cost ofProdLoction of Crops Paddy (1983-84) ES 82 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division (PlanningUnit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Co-operatives Islamabad 1985
7 Economic Studies Section Food and Agriculture Division(Planning Unit) Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Government of Pakistan Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan 1987-88 Ministry of Food Agriculture and Coshyoperatives Food and Agriculture Division (Planning Unit)Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1988
17
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
l
F inace-i1 Division Economics Advisors Wing Government of Fa istan Economic Survey 1988-89 Finance DivisionE (no mi cs Advisor s Wing Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1989
9 Federal BureaL of Statistics Statistics DivisionGovernment of Pakistan Pakistan Statisti cal Yearbook 1988Federal Bureau of Statistics Statistics DivisionG(3overnment of Pakistan Karachi 1988
1t) Scott William E and David A Redding Agricultural Credit i- Fkistar US Agency for International Development I l cAmabad 1988
11 United Consultants (PVT) Ltd Impact of Mechanization onProductivity and Employment by Farm Size and Tenure for Different Ecological Zones Economic Assessment of Various
o Mechanization Second Revised Draft ReportUnited Consultants (PVT) Ltd LaHore 1988
12 FC)iomj Research Service Economic Indicators of the Farm National Financial Summary 1986 ECIFS 6-2
tnited States Department of Agriculture Washington DC 1937
IIni-rsitr of Agriculture Faisalabad Relative Efficiencyof Livestock Management on Pakistani Farms University ofAqriculture Faisalabad Faisalabad 1984
r Iii-id iJaIIACI I-_Nsh-id Ahead Chaudhry andM Iqbal Brula An Appraisal of the Economics of a Cow VsBffalo West Pakistan Agricultural University Lyallpur 1972
15 Amin Mohammad and Mohammad Nishat Economics of Milk Pro-duction in Karachi Discussion Paper No 42 AppliedEcconiics Research Centre University of Karachi Karachi1980
I- FAOAsian Development Eank Cooperative Programme Investment n1 r-v- stan Li vestock Sector Study Phase I Report
Ho 558 AS-FAK 39 Food Arnd Act lture Organization cfthe United Nations Rome 1987
17 J W F Iqrim Assoc iates LTD in association with Malik ridr-Ai aiates D-ver-Fi fication Comparative Advantage
and Efficiency in Agricultur Minor Crops Livestock andPoultry Planning and Development Division Ministry ofF arn inq and Development Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1987
18
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
j Census mrcarizaticn Statistics DivisionGcvernrmen t of Pakistan Fakistan Census of Agriculturet98 Province Report Sind Vol II Part 3 Government of Pakistan Islamabad 1983
19 khushk 01i Mohammad Ashok Kumar Imtiza Pirzada M YameenHemor rd Altaf H Chaudhary Sunflower A PotentialOilseed Crop in the Rice and Cotton Based Cropping Systemsin Sind Agricultural Economics Research Unit (PARC)ar-icultur-a] Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 1987 0 tAl A1i Mohammad Imtiaz Pirzada M Yameen Memon andBokhI H Chakrani Cotton Prltucti on and TechnologyAdoptiorn in Sind Agricultural conomics Research Unit(PARC) Aricultural Research Institute Tandojam Tandojam 190R
21 Bureau o+ Statistics Plan ncj and Development DepartmentGovernment of Sind Agricultural Statistics of Sind 1987Burp-u of Statistics Planning and Development DepartmentGovernrnnnL of Sind Karaczhi 1987
22 Bur eau of Statistics Planning and Development Governmentof Sind Aqri(cultura] Statistics of Sind 1977-78 to 1983shy84 Bhurnau of Statistics Planning and Developmentij rnmnrent uf Sind Kar achi 1985
19
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
APPENDIX
20
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
----------------------------------
----------------------------
--------------------------------------------
INPUT COST OATA Filename = PRICEI
1059 PM 082289
Crop Unit 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
-I Seed2 Rice RsKg 24
3 MaizJawar2 RiceJw RsKg RsKg---- 3------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 22495 Sugarcane RsKg--------------- ---------------------- 307
4 Chrfottseed RsKg------------ -------------------------1307
uKharif RsKg Puldes 9 Kharif Oilegeals RsIKg---- 8 h-------
0 --------------------------- 000
70 Wheati ule RsKg---- ------- ------- -------7
2 kharif Vegetables RsKg ------- ------- 1294to Wheat -- - ----------------------------------8I BarfdE rs RsK q - - - -- -- - - - - - - 1294RsKg---- -------- - - ---------- - - - - - - - -- ---- 2------- ------- -------- - 21313it Barley RslKg ------ ----------- -------- 19812 Rabi Oilseeds RsKg ------ ----------- ----- 381 13 Gram Rskg ----------------------------------14 Other Rabi Pulses RsKg- -- - ----------------------------------
694 375
1 5 R a b i F o d d e r s R s K g 00 0 16 Rabi Vegetables RsKg--- 013 17 Fertilizer 313
Nitcen RsiKg 547 524 530 531 531 56 Shcsohoru RsKg 302 435 430 429 498 54
2o Potash RsKq 160 200 200 240 240 29 21 Suoplementary Water RsHr 1250 1470 1680 1830 2000 122 22 Labor Wage (All Hired) RsHr--- - ----------------------------------- 25
Cotton Wage X of Labor Wage-- -----------------------------------shy 751 24 Farm Power 25 Tractors RsHr 70 26 Other RsHr- - - shy - -- - 104 27 Higher Rate Small Farms I ------- 10 28 Lower Rate Large Farms X-- - ----------------------------------shy 101 9 Fixed Costs 10 7 Rental Rate for Land RsHa 350
Payments to Artsians Index (1986-87=100)-- 100 32 Water rate Index (1986-87=100)----------------------------------shy 100
Land Tax Index (1986-87=100) 100 34 N used inSind Tons 258200 261600 283000 323900 309430 2582585 P used inSind Tons 66200 74000 77400 90900 86250 66225 36 K used inSind Tons 7600 6900 8600 10600 8760 7571 37 PLANT PROTECTION (Ha Treat) 38 Wheat Ha 3800 1086 2481 2494 2467 3800 39 Cotton Ha 322014 651051 702700 791500 1419500 322014 4( Rice Ha 10120 44732 43771 56830 208034 10120 41 Sugarcane Ha 79976 38196 54794 8479 162744 79976 43 Oilseeds Ha 32576 3200 10400 9700 6600 32576 44 Fruits Ha 16394 3862 5453 16446 15441 16394 45 Vegetables Ha 57533 16322 21811 65784 61764 57533 46 Other amp Misc Ha 1801 0 0 0 0 1801 47 Ave Pesticide Cost RsHa 287 344 227 232 265 287
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCT PRICE DATA Filename = PRICEP
1106 PH 082289
Season Crop Unit
fEAR
00
1983-4 1994-85 1985-86 1986-07 1987-88 Test
kharif Rice--Cotton Zone Rice--Rice Zone MaiziJawar--Cotton Zone Maizejwar--Rice Zone Cotton--Cotton Zone Cotton--Rice Zone Sugarcane--Cotton Zone Sugarcane--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton lone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Pulses--Cotton Zone Pulses--Rice Zone
MT MT
HT HT MT MT HT MT MT HT MT HT
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621
629287
23000 20677
22411 24263 15500 27969 3000 3000
61391 36162 59502 78299
20479 27500
26248 2B357 24297 25000 3000 3000 51314 45615 61839 65487
18688 24270
25192 31042 24062 24218 3000 3000 46797 47759 54408 57348
13276 26250
25479 23045 20859 23750 3000 3000 8087
71071 51364 50124
18159 21604
25699 25550 22875 26313 3000 3000
53720 31735 59621 62928
Fodders- Cotton Zone HT Fodders--Rice Zone MT - 00 Vegetables--Cotton loneVegetables--Rice Zone Fruits--Cotton lone Fruits--Rice Zone
MT MT MT MT
97769 110101 58710 54794
85821 111113 39769 58181
70726 80865 52807 64319
102264 141375 53593 62772
138054 97769135378 110101 41326 58710 47547 54794
Rabi Wheat--Cotton Zone Wheat--Rice Zone Barley--Cotton Zone Barley--Rice Zone Oilseeds--Cotton Zone Oilseeds--Rice Zone Gram--Cotton Zone Gram--Rice Zone Other Pulses--Cotton Zone Other Pulses--Rice Zone
HT HT
MT MT MT M
HT MT HT IT
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
194480 20677
19804 24140 42651 43703
39776 39313 68978 68978
19769 23688
23281 27656 40625 36167
53347 62729 132604 141667
21438 20291
20625 17979 36331 32752
56625 50278 101833 105208
20625 18500
15655 18763 97344 111250
41250 45813 B808 56210
17672 16448
17068 14750 32145 28906
51585 59219 31725 27968
Fodders--Cotton Zone HT 00 Fodders--Rice Zone HT
Vegetables--Cotton Zone HT 25928 20115 22557 17175Vegetables--Rice Zone 17352 25928HT 23561 17029 23283 18889 25332 23561 Rabi Fruits--Cotton Zone HT 55000 Rabi Fruits--Rice Zone HT 55000
500
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --- ------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------
-------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
A AREA INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP (Revised August 19 1989) PAGEI Filenaae = AREAX
0134 PM 082069
I KHARIF SEASON FOR 1983-84
HECTARES (000)-------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- 6uarseed I MajorDISTRICT Rice Maize Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Others 1 Fruits
Khairpur 31 04 246 777 155 014 161 0 081 772 1 1388Jaccobabad 1659 9200 04 03 000 003 0 000 000 001 Sukkur 169 07 227 1106 95 009 045 0 644073 193Shikarpur 797 02 0007 10 001 000 0 024 004 057 Nwabshah 57 09 219 1189 340 008 168 0130 806 631Larkana 1773 00 13 02 16 257 000 0 019 000 1 097 Sanqhar 47 35 92 1430 67 311 215 0930 127 1 689Tharoarkar 46 238787 936 115 2316 1253 0 3297 15513 1 914 Uadu 579 05 50 70 59 077 007 0 025 000 1 049 Hvderabad 225 16 148 883 339 018 137 0 696 103 1 1077 Badin 942 11 15 146 470 003 197 0 217 000 1 177Thatta 895 14 16 12 104 004 217 0 124 000 1 370 Karachi 00 00 09 00 00 003 036 0 081 047 1 071------ - - ---------------------------------------------TOTAL 7220 190 3521 6555 30201773 2439 000 4749 18015 1 5713
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PA6E 2
HECTARES (000) ------------------------Mustard Rapeseed Other Vege- 1 MinorDISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodders tables Other I Fruits
Khairpur 910 05 0110 71 24 02 1817 216 1000 226 Jaccobabad 470 00 0000 52 509 00 285 3251 000 1 000 Sukkur 1049 06 0013 125 214 28 972 550 000 1 023 Shikarour 178 10 0009 59 226 18 255 2052 000 008Nawabshah 1887 02 0011 195 21 00 1731 361 000 206 Larkana 533 20 0000 99 55 02 3860 2667 000 101 Sangnar 1492 00 0000 143 04 06 926 337 000 1 081Tharparkar 1482 00 0000 42 01 07 1573 407 000 066Dadu 712 20 0172 84 29 16 1031 582 000 035Hyderabad 9B7 00 0008 33 14 15 670 1099 000 1 200Badin 355 60 0000 44 0B 13 531 398 000 1 012
39 142 0000 14 05 10 397 079 000 046karacni 03 00 0000 0 00 01 330 022 000 059
10107 -- ------- -- -TOTAL 266 0323 96100 110 116 14376 12020 i000 1064
3- -- --shy
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------- ----
-----
B PRODUCRTION INPUT TABLE FOR SIND BY SEASON DISTRICT AND CROP Filename = PRODUCTX
1030 AM 0812089
I HARIF SEASON FOR (YEAR) 1983-84 59 bales = INTON PAGE 1
----------------------------------------------------------- 1000 M TONS-- -------------------------------------
Sugar- Oil- Vege- Buarseed 1 MajorDISTRICT Rice Maiz Jawar Cotton cane seeds Pulses Fodder tables amp Other 1 Fruits
0hairour 43 02 154 222 5454 02 07 00 05 51 Is 8861 Jaccobabad 3823 00 51 01 123 00 00 00 00 00 002Sukkur 316 04 138 327 3554 01 02 0900 39 1 1542 Shikarpur 2040 01 04 00 338 00 00 00 0002 434 Nawabshah 58 05 141 415 14097 00 08 00 02 54 5422 Larkana 4841 00 07 00 537 09 00 00 01 00 729Eanghar 76 18 52 496 2805 57 12 00 13 08 5225 Tharparar 77 45 841 279 4643 155 53 00 399 552 7038
1120 03 27 20 2110 03 00 00 02 00 303 - - 84 276 14771 01 07 00 117 06 9423 Eadn 1026 04 07 21 20817 00 09 00 37 00 1 1452 Thatta 1036 0707 02 4322 00 09 00 13 00 3(57arachi 00 04 00 00 00 02 00 05 02 1 44
TOTAL 14788 98 1517 2058 73571 228 109 00 606 713 1 4393
2 RABI SEASON FOR 1983-84 PAGE 2
1000 M TONS ---------------------------------------
Mustard I Rapeseed Other Vege- I bullMinor
DISTRICT Wheat Barley Tobacco Oilseeds Gram Pulses Fodder tables 1 Fruits
I Khairpur 1631 03 16 43 17 01 6153 44Jaccobabad 1 14244546 0 00 25 393 00 661 152 1 0003 Sukkur 1949 03 00 71 185 13 2864 238 1 0999 Shikarpur 230 05 00 32 195 08 824 214 026 Nawabshah 4389 01 00 128 16 00 7484 194 1 22977 Larkana 746 0012 53 47 01 11260 151 6131 Sanghar 3366 00 8800 02 03 3079 215 447Iharparkar 3069 00 00 28 00 02 5826 282 1 3059 Dadu 959 10 5202 22 07 3839 72 1 1339 Hvderabad 2049 00 00 22 11 07 2919 983 t 9079 Eadin 457 32 00 27 06 05 1828 285 i 035 Thatta 63 71 00 07 04 04 1569 26 1 181 arachi 04 00 00 0 00 00 236 13 1 326S
------------------------------------------------------------------------shymm--TOTAL 19458 137 57618 898 51 48542 2869------------------------------------------------------------- i 680
=-----===== _ -m_
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CREDIT INPUT Filename = CREDIT
1114 PM 082289
Source 1987-68 Pakistan Aq Statistics
From Ag Stat --- -----------Rs Millions--------------
Table 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88
ADBP Short Term Loans 86 3097 4980 6293 5900 7766Medium Term Loans 86 829 1516 2611 2293 3755Long Term Loans B6 4296 4271 5316 6831 7708
Landless Loans 88 450 405 2357 2049 3687506 Ha 88 723 1494 2534 2127 2777202 Ha 88 4286 5970 6045 7200 8264
Commercial Banks 5 0 Ha 93 8980 10200 14667 20780 11387(2023 Ha 93 4101 3973 54984826 3803
Short Term Loans 94 12678 13936 19347 26581 15394Lono Term Loans 94 1213 1586 1211 76 691
Sa Farms--LS 95 14 00 0902 08Sm Farms--Poultry 95 199 359 49t174 224Lq Farms --LS 95 15 00 6100 00Lo Farms--Poultry 95 36 73 416 2159 2394
TaCcavi Loans 96 09 16 10 40 30
Coop Loans Advanced 97 00 499 699 2162 1100
Percent Interest Free Loans--Coops 97 amp98 975Z 849Z 862943 939Percent Interest Free Loans--Coma Banks 93 amp 98 4161 4331 6011 668 676
Percent Interest ADBP 110 110 1201201 120ZPercent Interest Comm Bks--Short Term Loans 10o 1001 1001 100 1001Percent Interest Comm Bks--Long Term Loans 1301 130 130 130 130Percent Interest Coops--Short Term Loans 120 120 1201 1201 120Percent Interest Coops--Long Term Loan 1251 125Z 12 Z 1251 125
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIVESTOCK ENTERPRISE DATA Filename = LSDATA 1116 PM 082289
1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Test
inentory--SINDPuffalo Hd (000) 2455 2512 2571 2632 2693 2571 Cattle Hd (000) 2826 2860 2895 2930 2965 2895 Sheep amp Goats Hd 1000) 10323 10672 11032 11404 11789 11032
Animal Price Index 85-86 = 100 - -------------- 00-00M i lkP r i c e ind e x 8 5 -86 = 10 0 010t oo 00
100-oolPrice Index 85-96 = 100 100 --------------Hair Price Index 85-86 = 10 ----------------- 100 100 Conc Price Index 85-86 = 100 - 100 --------------- 100 Vet k Med InOex 85-86 = 100- --------------- 100 100
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLE 1 NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND
SEASON Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif Kharif ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large
GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2246811 1111031 2388739 1989824 1031644 1309017
e d Rs 181009 129022 156282 67326 56310 100337 262252 171884 265749 104683 50835 52815
- 05808 43120 51615 26261 12753 13249 --K Rs 3980 2608 3121 1588 771 801
Pesticides Rs 2342 1579 1918 1706 775 702 UDWWater Rs 359293 219890 280104 469718 210517 187292 LabRr--Hired s 45571 83099 416349 28404 37467 154291 -vier--Tractor Rs 407605 245282 271218 190228 79092 68199
--Other Rs 45636 26072 24173 533446 205993 140213
--Land Pent Rs 133355 64381 47880 97170 31601 17517 --Land Taxes --Hrt Ial
Rs Rs
9108 148858
4715 84686
5045 93898
5118 94872
2251 41873
1870 35514
-shywater ate -- Interest
Rs Rs
74552 213422
48232 35916
57757 78760
6043 155512
2J312 17629
27510 28815
--Depreciation Rs 64332 44209 81600 46876 21700 29854 TTL CROP EiPENSES Rs
2017195
1204694
177546 c
1883346
797P79
--------------------------------------------------------------------------shy858979
NET FARM CROP INCOME 229615 -93663 613270 106478 233765 450039
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NET FARM CROP INCOME SUMMARY--SIND (Continued)
SEASON Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi SIND ZONE Cotton Cotton Cotton Rice Rice Rice CROP FARMSIZE Small Medium Large Small Medium Large TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------GROSS CROP REVENUE Rs 2891029 727771 925460 3286150 1630518 2857720 41010342
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rs 5750 4671 4745 11478 6678 7565 30974162ii Rs 210265 86856 84210 118249 45816 43575 30872847 --Fs 52748 21789 21125 29665 11494 10931 30172308
-s 3190 1318 1278 1794 695 661 29968437
-ticides Rs 590 244 236 332 128 122 29957220W fzr Rs 252089 105220 105473 162400 63863 64948 30702189 Rs 31265 34454 133996 16168 17559 70077 29278895
s72520 101237 90781 137566 49374 43224 29208415 --Other Rs 210370 78843 681L 117575 41068 35435 28498394
FC--Land Rent Rs 123941 36660 21759 69702 19338 11259 27805520 --Land Taxes Rs 8221 3224 3095 3178 1237 1088 27433658 --Artsians Rs 121080 48059 46834 50372 19811 18549 27710257 --Water Rate Rs 68301 27593 26934 31868 12634 12218 27390104 --Interest Rs 198356 20452 35791 111552 10788 18521 27488764 --Oe5reciation Ps 59791 25174 37082 33625 13279 19188 27146849
TOT4L CROP EXPENSES Rs 1618477 595793 681651 895523 313761 357360 434608020
NET FARM CROP INCOME 1272552 131978 243810 2390628 1316756 2500360 -393597679
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382
---- ------------------------------------
TABLE 2 SUMMARY NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME--SIND (Exciuding Farm Produced Forages)
L-es- -nits Livestock Units
Aniial Sales Revenue Milk Revenue Wool Reenue Hair Revenue
Concentrate Cost VYetamp Med Cost
GROSS iNCOMEUNIT TOTAL EXPENSESUNIT
NET LIVESTOCK INCOMEUNIT
NET FARM LIVESTOCK INCOME
TABLE 3 NET FARM INCOME--SIND
NET FARM INCOME--CROPS NET FARM INCOME--LIVESTOCK
SIND TOTAL NET FARM INCOME
SheepBuffaloes Cattle amp Goats ----------------------------------------------shy514277 578978 551581
1300 758 450 8100 1114
30
450 170 3
9400 1872 4855 620 Ib2 4
2780 1711 4435
4515353458 990370436 244637165
-393597679 7952095061
7558497382