Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
A Nuclear Industry
Readiness Strategy
for South Africa
Thermal Energy Renewable Energy Nuclear Energy
R e c o g n i s i n g t h e n e e d f o r a B a l a n c e d a n d S u s t a i n a b l e E n e r g y P o r t f o l i o f o r S o u t h e r n A f r i c a
“ B r i d g i n g t h e N u c l e a r R e a d i n e s s G a p ”
General Concerns about Nuclear Energy in SA
Corruption
Excess Energy
Can We Afford It?
Safety & Waste Management
What’s Next?
…. and why are the Facts ignored?
Ph
ysic
al P
lan
t b
acke
d u
p b
y a
ctive
an
d p
assiv
e s
afe
ty p
rote
ctio
n s
yste
ms
Spent Fuel Dry Storage Casks
Koeberg
Spent Fuel
Te
nn
is
C
ou
rt
How Can SA Inc. Participate in a Nuclear New Build Program?
20
Nuclear Island – Mainly Safety Class 1 & 2
Primary Circuit
Conventional Island – Mainly Safety Class 2 & 3
Secondary CircuitSome Facts You Shouldn’t Know……
EPC costs ~R60Bn/GW
40% Localisation ~R24Bn/GW
Early Infrastructure Works ~R20Bn
Vendor Funding Options Available
E&C Lead Time 8 to 10 years
Spend Ramped up over 4 years
Highest Employment Density
Most Competitive Electricity Prices
Balance of PlantMainly Safety Class 3 ~ ISO 9001
Tertiary Circuit
“Strong Nuclear Safety Culture” “Nuclear Safety Culture”
“Safety Culture”
25% Localisation = 15% of EPC Cost 50% Localisation = 12% of EPC Cost
66% Localisation = 13% of EPC Cost
40% Potential for Localisation of the First Two Units (Stretch!)
2018 202720262025202420232022202120202019 2028 2029 2030
Postulated NPP Build
Key Milestone Dates
IRP
RF
P
Site L
icense
Vendor
Sele
cte
d
Early I
nfr
a W
ork
s
Ven.
Contr
act
Aw
ard
Constr
. Lic
ense
First N
u C
oncre
te
U1
CO
D
Loc.
Contr
act
Aw
ard
U2
CO
D
Key Steps to Preparing a Local Industry for a Nuclear New Build Program (35 to 40%)
Postulated
COD
(with Local
Content)
Commissioning
NPP Engineering – Manufacturing - Construction
Industry Development
HP & Skills Training
Site Mobilisation
Early Eng, Manuf. & Infra. Works
Base Load Margin Erosion
“Paris Agreement” 20%<
Reversed Construction Timeline
Orientation
Education &
Qualification
Alignment
Realistic Industry Readiness Timeline
Debt Re-Payments
Tendering
Partnering
Contracting
Potential Localisation Expansion
Old Coal Decommissioning and Emergence of Electric Cars on the Grid
“The Degree of Localisation will be Dependent on
the Local Industry’s State of Readiness when the
Nuclear Vendor is Selected”
E & Q
Adding a Nuclear Capability to your Business
A Nuclear Capability is something you should augment from an
existing and successful Capability in your Organisation.
The dynamics of a Nuclear business are different from conventional
operations and should be managed separately but remain
connected to the top of the Organisation. (Governance)
A Nuclear Capability only operates successfully within a robust
Nuclear Safety Culture maintained by its Leadership and Staff.
A Nuclear Capability in your Organisation will influence and
enhance the overall performance and recognition of your business.
INR Group - Nuclear Industry Orientation Workshop
Profile on your Organisation and its Aspirations
Industrial Overview of a Nuclear Build in SA
Potential Scope for Localising a Nuclear Build
Nuclear Vendor Expectations from our Industry.
Why Nuclear Energy makes sense for SA’s future.
Can SA Inc participate in a Nuclear Build and How?
Adding a Nuclear Capability to your Business
Structural Overview of the SA Nuclear Industry.
Analysis of Nuclear Safety, its Cultures and Why?
Roadmap to Qualifying for our Nuclear Industry
Two Way Communication for clarity and next steps
High Level Assessment & Fitness for Nuclear Index
Nuclear Orientation Workshop Certificates
N u c l e a r I n d u s t r y S e c t o r A l i g n m e n t s
International
Nuclear
Vendors
Th
e I
NR
G
ro
up
Dr. Yves Guenon
• PhD in Physics and Engineering Graduate from INSA France
• 37 years Global Experience in Major Energy Project Development
• 16 years Experience as a leading Nuclear Vendor in South Africa
• Led the 2007 “Nuclear One” offer for the French Nuclear Partners
• Independent Nuclear Industry Consultant (Izibani Consultancy)
Des Muller
• Electrical and Thermal Power Process Engineer
• 37 Years in Power Developments, Construction & Commissioning
• Experienced in Thermal, Renewable and Nuclear Energy Projects
• Established a Level 1 Nuclear Construction Business in SA.
• Sustainable Energy Consultant (NuEnergy Developments)
Wo
rk
sh
op
S
co
pe
W h o S h o u l d A t t e n d ?
• Visionary and Innovative Industry Leaders
• Their Organisational Line Managers
• And SHEQ Managers are Mandatory
W o r k s h o p O b j e c t i v e s• Leadership who are equipped to make informed
decisions on embarking on nuclear industry
opportunities and understand the commitment
needed from their organisations. “ O v e r 1 0 0 Y e a r s o f R e l e v a n t I n d u s t r y E x p e r i e n c e ”
A Balanced and Sustainable Energy Portfolio for South Africa - Industrialising a Viable Nuclear New Build Program in South Africa
The Anatomy of a Nuclear New Build Program – A Customer and Nuclear Vendor’s Perspective on Localisation – Potential Scope for your Co
Dr. Dieter Tillwick
• PhD in Physics and approved ASME NQA-1 Lead Auditor
• 35 years experience in Senior Management Positions at Necsa
• Assisted in certifying Necsa as the first ASME III Manufacturer
• Qualified a local construction company for the Nuclear Build Prog
• SHEQ Manager for Koeberg SGR and QMS Consultant for SKA Nuclear Industry Standards. How do they Differ and Why? – A Roadmap to Augmenting your Systems and Standards for Nuclear.
YG
DM
DT
Quality
Accreditation
Bodies
“ T h e s u r e s t w a y t o P r e d i c t t h e F u t u r e i s t o C r e a t e O n e ”
K e y I n g r e d i e n t s : A n E n a b l i n g E n v i r o n m e n t – A n E n g a g e d I n d u s t r y – T h e R i g h t P a r t n e r s
Thank You
“The Facts of Nuclear Energy alone are enough to Earn the World’s Confidence”
Members of:
References:
NERSA Reason for Decision – Eskom 2018 – Revenue Determination
OECD-NEA – The Full Cost of Energy Provision
