A Multi-Modal Rapid Rail Transit Network Should Be in DC's Transportation Future

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    AMulti-ModalRapidRailTransitNetwork

    ShouldBeinDCsTransportationFuture

    September2011

    J.OtavioThompson

    Washington,DCInfoCenter

    [email protected]

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    Summary

    ImportanceofTransitInfrastructureAsa cityaspiring toraiseitsstatustoa levelonparwiththeworlds leadingglobalcities,Washington,

    D.C.wouldbenefitenormouslybymodelingitsfuturemass transitexpansionplansaftertop-tierglobalcitieswithextensivemulti-modaldedicatedright-of-wayrailnetworks.Whilebuildingastreetcarsystem

    in Washington, D.C. is to be applauded and will undoubtedly provide a higher quality and more

    environmentally-friendlymode ofmass transit than bus service, there is still a growing need for the

    developmentofamulti-modalrapid-railtransitsystemtocomplementtheexistingheavy-railnetworkin

    thecity. InorderforD.C.tobeabletoreachitsfullresidentialandemploymentgrowthpotentialover

    the next 40 years and retain its competitive advantage in the D.C. region with regard to transit

    infrastructure, the city should increase its financial commitment to Metrorail to remedy its critical

    maintenancebacklog,becomemore proactive inthe planning process toidentifyandimplementlong-

    termsolutionstocurrentMetrorailcongestion,expanditsrapid-railmasstransitnetwork,andestablisha

    permanenttransitinfrastructureenhancementandexpansionfund.

    Thegoalsofrapid-railmasstransitexpansioninD.C.shallbe: Tomatchthefrequency,breadth,andeaseofmasstransitservicealreadyfoundintop-tiercitiesaroundtheglobe

    ToexpandmasstransitcapacityinthecoreoftheD.C.regionsexistingheavyrailnetwork Tointroducerapid-railmass transitservice incorridorswherenone currentlyexistand also topopulardestinationswhererapid-railmasstransitshouldalreadyexist

    Tofacilitateeconomicdevelopmentandpopulationgrowthinunder-developedcorridorsinanefforttosignificantlyexpandthecitystaxbase

    TobecomealeaderamongU.S.citiesthataspiretodevelopfirst-ratemasstransitnetworksthatproperlyaligntransitneedswithappropriatetransitmodes.

    Afullyurban-focusedrapid-railnetworkwouldbeawiseandforward-thinkinginvestmenttoaugmentthe

    D.C. regionspartiallycommuter-focusedMetrorailservice. A lightormedium-capacitynetworkwould

    addcapacityandspeedypoint-to-pointtravelthatmixed-trafficstreetcarservicecannotprovide.

    Complementarylightormedium-capacityrailservicewouldprovidemuchneededcapacityexpansionand

    redundancy to the core ofthe regionsheavy rail networkwhilemoreproperly aligningthe needsof

    individualcorridorstothetransitmode.ThecityshouldconsidertheGeorgiaAvenueandWoodleyPark-

    Brooklandcorridorsithasidentifiedforstreetcarserviceandplantobuildthemasdedicatedright-of-way

    lightormedium-capacityraillinesinstead.

    Going forward, theadequate andtimelymaintenanceof current transit infrastructure inWashington,

    D.C., along with thoughtful planning for mass transit expansion and enhancement, will be critically

    important to and most certainly will affect the economic viability of the city and the mobility of its

    residents,employees,andvisitors.

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    Demographics

    ResidentialWitharesidentialpopulationnowover600,000,

    1Washington,D.C.isgainingmomentumasanattractive

    placetolive,work,andvisit.Washington,D.C.isthecommercial,cultural,andentertainmentheartoftheD.C.regionwithgreataccesstoamenitiesnoteasilyfoundincitiesofthesamesize.D.C.spopulationis

    expectedtorisetoabout650,000residentsby2015.2Butevenwiththisgrowth,thecityhasahigher

    potential that isnot being realized. The city needs to significantlyexpand its tax base to become a

    financiallysustainablecityinthelongterm.

    Washington,DCaccountsforabout11percentofthetotalD.C.areapopulationyetholds24percentof

    thejobsintheregion.3Withtrafficcongestionandcommutetimesintheregionrankingamongtheworst

    intheentirenation,thereisanopportunitytoencouragemorepeopleintheD.C.regionwhoalready

    workinWashington,DCtoalsoliveinthecity.Thereissurelyenoughunder-utilizedandvacantlandand

    properties in the city to accommodate another 300,000 residents within 40 years for a total D.C.

    populationofaround900,000residentsby2050.D.C.spopulationreachedapeakof802,178residentsin

    1950

    4

    ,andthecityshouldendeavortobecomeoneofthe15largestU.S.citiesby2050.

    Oneofthecitysprimarycompetitiveadvantagesisaccesstomasstransitascomparedtothesurrounding

    jurisdictions.D.C.couldeasilymanagesomeofthisnewpopulationgrowthbycarefullyincreasingdensity

    arounditscurrentMetrorailstationswhilesimultaneouslydevelopingalong-rangeplantoexpandaccess

    tohighercapacitymasstransitinmoreareasofthecityasthecitygrows. Thesenewlightormedium-

    capacityrapid-raillinesshouldconnectseamlesslyanddirectlywiththeexistingheavyrailnetwork.

    Former D.C. Mayor Anthony Williams, in 2003, began his second term in office with a lofty goal of

    attracting100,000netnewresidentstothecitywithin10yearsbyinstitutinganaggressivehousingpolicy

    andcallingonthetensofthousandsofresidentswholeftthecitytoreturn.Thecurrentadministration

    couldbuildon MayorWilliams lofty goal by seeking to add 300,000 net new residents by2050and

    aligning that goal with a complementary land-use and re-zoning effort for the areas immediately

    surroundingMetrorailstations.D.C.mustbeabletoleveragethesignificantinvestmentmadetobuilditsheavyrailtransitnetwork. ThecityshouldalsosetagoalthatMetrorailstationslocatedincommercial

    andresidential zones shouldhave atleast12,000residentslivingwithin ahalf-mile radius. Numerous

    Metrorail stationswithinD.C. still fall well short of this very reasonable goal, such as theDeanwood,

    Anacostia,CongressHeights,BenningRoad,Takoma,andTenleytownstops,tonameafew.5

    ThecitymustplaceitselfinapositiontocaptureahigherpercentageofresidentsmovingtotheD.C.

    region.TheD.C.regionisforecasttoaddnearlytwomillionnetnewresidentsby2040.6D.C.leadership

    shouldimmediatelycraftaplantocaptureatleast13%ofnewDCarearesidentsthrough2040.Basedon

    current guidance, D.C. is forecast to capture only about eight percent of net new DC area residents

    through2040.

    1U.S.CensusBureau,ResidentPopulationData,1910-20102MetropolitanWashingtonCouncilofGovernments,Round8.0Forecast,Fall20102MetropolitanWashingtonCouncilofGovernments,Round8.0Forecast,Fall20103U.S.BureauofLaborStatistics,USCensusBureau,GeorgeMasonUniversityCenterforRegionalAnalysis4U.S.CensusBureau,ResidentPopulationData,1910-201052011NeighborhoodProfiles,Washington,DCEconomicPartnership,www.wdcep.com/dc-profile/neighborhoods6MetropolitanWashingtonCouncilofGovernments,Round8.0Forecast,Fall2010

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    Table1. PopulationDensityofSelectNeighborhoodsWithinOne-HalfMileof

    D.C.MetrorailStationsMetroStation Avg.Weekday

    Ridership

    7

    Centerof

    Half-MileRadius

    2010

    Population

    8

    2015

    Population

    2020

    Population

    Anacostia 7,719MLKAveandGood

    HopeRoad,SE6,176 7,512 9,144

    ColumbiaHeights 11,990 14thandIrving,NW 37,181 40,016 41,528

    DuPontCircle 47,925 DuPontCircle 19,797 20,332 21,002

    FortTotten 14,259SouthDakotaand

    Galloway,NE7,416 9,075 11,103

    FriendshipHeights 19,117Wisconsinand

    MilitaryRoad,NW9,209 10,105 10,356

    GalleryPlace 53,331 7thandH,NW 9,777 14,304 15,115

    NavyYard 15,292 3rdandI,SE 5,819 9,014 12,208

    NewYorkAvenue 8,812 FirstandK,NE 8,761 12,570 18,584

    CommercialThe Districtof Columbia is the largest employment center in the D.C.metropolitan region with over

    700,000 jobs.9 The citywill remain the largest employment center in the region for the foreseeable

    future.10Thecitycurrentlycontains,however,disproportionallymorejobsthanitsresidentlaborforce.

    Washington,D.C.containsabout107millionsquarefeetofleasablecommercialofficespace.11Thisranks

    D.C. ashaving the thirdlargestofficemarket in the country,behindNew York Cityand Chicago. Bycomparison,SeattleinWashingtonState, a city of similarresidential population asD.C., hasabout 45

    millionsquarefeetofleasablecommercialofficespace.12

    Inessence,Washington,D.C.hastheofficebaseofalargecitylikeChicagobutaresidentialpopulationof

    amedium-sizedcity likeDenver.With totalD.C.employmentincreasingtoaroundonemillion jobsby

    2040,13thecityshouldbeginnowtodevelopa long-termplan forrebalancingthedisparitybetween its

    officeandresidentialmarkets.Withoutamoreaggressive,coordinatedhousingpolicy,thedisparitythat

    existsnowwillmostlylikelyremainthesameevenasthecitygrows.Thisdisparitywillundoubtedlyput

    an even greater strain on the Metro system, as well as streets and highways, to efficiently move

    commuters in and out of the city. An urban-focused, rapid rail network, aswell as better land-use

    planning, zoning,betterpublic schools,moreefficientpermittingprocesses, designreview,andfurther

    crime reduction all shouldbe thecornerstoneofa long-term, concerted effort tomakethe citymore

    attractivetocurrentandfutureresidentsandemployers.

    7WashingtonMetropolitanAreaTransitAuthority8NeighborhoodProfiles2010,WashingtonDCEconomicPartnership9D.C.DepartmentofEmploymentServices,WageandSalaryEmploymentbyIndustryandPlaceofWork201010MetropolitanWashingtonCouncilofGovernments,Round8.0Forecast,Fall2010

    11Grubb&Ellis,OfficeTrendsReportFourthQuarter2010,WashingtonDCMetro

    12Grubb&Ellis,OfficeTrendsReportFourthQuarter2010,Seattle,WA13MetropolitanWashingtonCouncilofGovernments,Round8.0Forecast,Fall2010

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    Isthereadifferencebetweenlightrailandstreetcars?Yes,thereis.Whilethevehiclesusedonstreetcarandlightrailsystemsaremoresimilarthannot,the

    mostimportantdeterminantishowthevehiclesareused.Streetcarsarenotaformoflightrail,andthe

    two termsshould not beusedinterchangeably. The term light rail should beused for transit that is

    attemptingto berapid inat leasthalf ofitsroute length. Light railis a companion toheavyrail and

    medium-capacitysystems.Lightrailcoverslongdistancesfasterthanstreetcarsbecauseitisoperatedin

    adedicatedright-of-wayandwithlongerdistancesbetweenstops.Streetcarsoperateinmixedtrafficbutmayalsobeoperatedin quasi-dedicatedright-of-way. TheK StreetCenterwayproposalin downtown

    D.C.isanexampleofaquasi-dedicatedright-of-waywherethestreetcarwillshareitsrightofwaywith

    localMetrobusesbutwillstillhavetocrossstandardintersectionswherevehiculartrafficisinoperation.

    Streetcars, evenwhile having stops farther apart than busses, still provide a low-capacity, local-stop

    service. Longer trips are more sensitive to speed and reliability, and this is what makes streetcars

    unattractive for longer trips. Streetcars are more suited for connecting neighborhoods, meaning

    neighborhoodsthatcloselybordereachother,ratherthanforcrosstownservice.

    DistrictofColumbiaAlternativeAnalysis(DCAA)TheDistrictDepartmentofTransportation(DDOT)conductedtheDCAAtoidentifytransitimprovements

    that would enhance mobility options for DC residents, accommodate population and employmentgrowth,andconnectneighborhoodsandactivitycenters. Theanalysiswasfirstcompletedin2005and

    thenupdatedin2008and2010.

    Thedocumentstates, insection2.2,thatthereisaneedforhigh-capacitytransit servicethatcanoffer

    crosstowntrippatterns.Thebasicproblemwiththeanalysisisthatitdoesntseriouslyconsidertheforms

    ofmasstransitthatwouldbegintosatisfytheneedforhighcapacitytransit.Streetcarsandenhancedbus

    servicewillundoubtedlyimprovethequalityofthetransitnetworkinthecity,buttherearedefinitelimits

    tothelevelofservicetheycanprovidegivenourcurrentstreetgrid.Ifthereisaneedformorehigh-

    capacity transitin thecity,thenmass transitoptions thatcanenablehigh-capacityridershipshouldbe

    whatareconsidered.Astreetcarlineabsolutelydoesnotandcannotprovidehigh-capacitytransitnoris

    itasubstituteforheavyrailservice.

    TheDCAAalsostatesthatthereisaneedtoprovideMetrorailcoverageandrelieftocorecapacity.The

    tunnelthatcarriestheBlueandOrangelinesbetweenD.C.andArlington,VAisnearingcapacityandwill

    mostlikelyexceedcapacityby2025.14Alow-capacitystreetcarlineinD.C.willdoverylittletorelieve

    congestiononthiscorridorbecauseitsimplydoesnotprovidethesamelevelofservicethatisindemand.

    And,whatisindemandisforarapid,high-capacitymodeoftravelbetweenthejurisdictions.Ultimately,

    thecapacityproblemsoftheRosslyn-FoggyBottomtracksegmentwillhavetobesolvedwiththefunding

    andconstructionof anotherhigh-capacitylinethroughthecenterofthecity.WMATAsOfficeofLong

    RangePlanningisalreadyconductingmodelinganalysisandevaluationforaseparatedBlueLineaswellas

    other long-term options to relieveMetrorail congestion.15 The study to produce the findings for the

    RegionalTransitServicePlan (RTSP)shouldbe complete inthespringof 2011andwillincludetimefor

    publicengagementtodiscusstheresultsandfuturesteps.

    DDOTshouldupdatetheDCAAsoas toprovidea full-scopeanalysisofcurrentandfuturetransitissuesandneedsacrossalltransitmodes. Thedesire toenhanceaccesstoqualityandefficienttransitfor all

    D.C. residents is admirable, but DDOT must adequately address transit connections to surrounding

    jurisdictions and ways to provide speedy crosstown service. For instance, a dedicated east-west

    crosstownroutewouldbeespeciallyusefultothenorthofthedowntownservicearea.

    14MetrorailStationAccessandCapacityStudy,April2008,WMATA

    15OfficeofLongRangePlanning,WMATA,October21,2010PresentationtotheTechnicalAdvisoryGroup

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    LightRailSystemsLight rail lineshave thelowestcapacity forboardings in thefamilyof rapid-railtransitsystems. They

    usuallyoperateindedicatedright-of-waysforatleasthalfoftheirroutelengthandwithmulti-cartrain

    sets.Thetermlightrailwasdevelopedinthe1970sspecificallytobetheantithesistoheavyrail.

    Streetcars predate theexistence of light rail. Nevertheless,lightrail,medium-capacity, andheavy rail

    systems are in the same family because they all provide rapid-rail transit but with differing levels of

    boardingcapacity.

    Thereare27systemsthatareclassifiedaslightrailintheU.S.currently.16

    Table2. ProjectedWashington,D.C.AreaMassTransitModeShareby2030

    Mode Boardings PercentageofTotal

    Mass-TransitUsage

    Metrorail 1,100,000 51%

    CommuterRail 50,000 2%

    LightRail 100,000 5%

    Streetcar 164,000 8%

    Metrobus 540,000 25%

    OtherBus 190,000 9%

    Total 2,144,000 100.00%

    16AmericanPublicTransportationAdministrationFourthQuarter2010TransitRidershipReport,www.apta.com

    Metrorail

    51%

    CommuterRail

    2%

    LightRail

    5%

    Streetcar

    8%

    Metrobus

    25%

    OtherBus

    9%

    DCAreaTransitModeShareby2030

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    Medium-capacitySystemsAmedium-capacitysystem,alsoknowninEuropeasLightMetro,hasaboardingcapacityinbetweenlight

    rail and heavy rail and almost always operates in its own dedicated right-of-way. Medium-capacity

    systemsareusuallydesignedtoboardbetween15,000and30,000passengersperhourperdirectionwith

    servicefrequenciesasfastas60seconds.Thesesystemsusuallyoperatewith3-or4-carconsists.Some

    medium-capacitysystemusedriverless,fullyautomatedtrains.And,asubsetofthesehaverubber-tired

    vehiclesinsteadofsteelwheels.

    Therearemorethanadozencitiesaroundtheglobethatusemedium-capacitytransitsystemsforsome,

    ifnotall,oftheirdedicatedfixed-guidewaymasstransitrequirements.Manyglobalcitieswithextensive

    masstransitnetworksdosupplementtheirheavy-railnetworkswithmedium-capacityandlightraillines

    wheredemandforheavy-railisnotjustifiedbutfutureridershippotentialexceedsthecapacitythreshold

    ofstreetcarorbusservice.

    Table3. Comparison of Mass Transit Modes by Same Level of Frequency

    (Theoretical)Mode Max

    passengers

    Vehicle

    configuration

    Headway Maxcapacityper

    hourperdirection

    Maxcapacity

    5amto12am

    Standard40ftBus 70 Singlebus 90 2,800 53,200

    Articulated60ftBus 105 Singlebus 90 4,200 79,800

    Bi-ArticulatedBus 200 Singlebus 90 8,000 152,000

    Streetcar 168 Singlecar 90 6,720 127,680

    LightRail 175 Twocars 90 14,000 266,000

    Medium-capacity 175 Threecars 90 21,000 399,000

    Medium-capacity 175 Fourcars 90 28,000 532,000

    HeavyRail 180 Eightcars 90 57,600 1,094,400

    HeavyRail 180 Twelvecars 90 86,400 1,641,600

    InTable3above,theactualnatureoftravelisnotassumed(dedicatedright-of-way,mixedtraffic,etc.).

    The modeswere comparedusing the same level of frequency with eachmodes vehicle consistently

    arriving every 90 seconds. Factors suchas fleet size, fare collectionmethod, andoperation inmixed

    trafficordedicatedright-of-wayallservetomakeahugeimpactonactualcapacity.

    InEurope,Copenhagensmasstransit system inDenmarkincorporatesa 12.7-mile, two-line driverless

    LightMetrothatsupplementstheirlargerS-trainrapid transitsystem. TheLightMetro inCopenhagen

    currentlyregistersabout137,000ridesperday.Thereareatotalof22stations,ofwhichninestationsare

    locatedunderground.Thetrainsareusedina3-carconfigurationwithheadwaysanywherebetweentwo

    andtwentyminutes. Expansionplanning isunderwayin Copenhagenfor theimminentconstructionof

    two9.6-miletunnelstobeusedforacirclelineunderneaththecenterofthecity.

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    LightMetroinCopenhagen,DenmarkPhotoCredit:Eugenia

    HeavyRailSystemsHeavyrailsystemshavethehighestboardingcapacityinthefamilyofrapid-railtransitsystems.Thereare

    15suchsystemsinoperationacrosstheU.S.17Heavyraillinesareusuallydesignedtoboardinexcessof

    30,000passengersperhourperdirectionwithservice frequenciesas fastas60secondswithadvanced

    technologies.

    These systems operate in right-of-ways that are completely separated from other uses. Heavy rail

    systemsarepoweredwithathirdrailalongsidethetraintracks,andthetrainlengthsrangefromsixto12

    carslong.Thestationsarebuiltsoastoallowpassengerstoenterandleavethestationsandboardthe

    trainsveryquicklyandinlargegroups.Dwelltimesinstationsarelowandthetrainscanaccelerateand

    deceleratequickly.

    HeavyrailinNewYorkCityPhotoCredit:NaokiTai

    17AmericanPublicTransportationAdministrationFourthQuarter2010TransitRidershipReport,www.apta.com

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    CurrentD.C.AreaRapid-RailExpansionThemostprominenttransitexpansionprojectunderwayintheD.C.regionisaheavyrailextensiontothe

    DullesCorridor.18The23-mileextensionwillinclude11newstationsandbebuiltintwophases.Thefirst

    phasewilltaketheextensionfromtheEastFallsChurchMetrostopontheOrangeLinetoWiehleAvenue.

    ThesecondphasewillextendthelinefromWiehleAvenuetoAshburninLoudounCountyandconnects

    DullesInternationalAirporttotherapid-railtransitnetwork.

    TheMarylandTransitAdministration(MTA)isplanninga16.3-milelightrailline,dubbedthePurpleLine

    totravel inaneast-westroutefromtheBethesdaMetrorail stationinMontgomeryCountytotheNew

    CarrolltonMetrorail station in Prince Georges County.19 Revenue service on this line is expected to

    commencearound2018.Direct,seamlessconnectionstoMetrorailstationsarecriticaltothesuccessofa

    multi-layeredrapid-railtransitnetwork.ThelocallypreferredalternativeforthePurpleLineincorporates

    adirectelevatorconnectiontotheMetrorailRedLineattheBethesdametrostop,agoodbutless-direct

    connectiontotheSilverSpringMetrorailstopatthe futureSilverSpringTransitCenter,andagoodbut

    less-directconnectiontotheOrangeLineattheNewCarrolltonmetrostop.

    Table4. AverageSpeedComparisonofDifferentMobilityModes

    Mode AverageSpeed

    Walking 2.5to4m.p.h.Jogging 6m.p.h.

    Bus 9m.p.h.

    Streetcar 9m.p.h.

    LightRail 20m.p.h.

    HeavyRail 33m.p.h.

    Theaveragespeedofthemasstransitmodeslistedaboveincludesstationstops.

    FutureD.C.Rapid-RailExpansionPossibilitiesAccesstomasstransitisoneofthecityscompetitiveadvantagesinthisregion.Tokeepthiscompetitive

    advantagewellintothefuture,thecityshouldplantobuildatleastfournewrapid-raillinesby2050,and

    theplanningforthemshouldgetunderwaynow.

    Asafirststepinthisdirection,thecityshouldbemoreproactiveintheplanningprocesstoidentifylong-

    termwaysto relievecongestionontheRosslyn-FoggyBottomtrack segmentthattheOrangeandBlue

    Linesshare.Forinstance,buildingaseparatetunnelfortheBlueLinethroughthecenterofthecitywould

    opennewareasofthecitytorapid-railtransitinadditiontofindingalastingwaytorelievecongestionon

    trainsbetweencentralD.C.andnorthernVirginia.Whilethisprojectwouldundoubtedlybeexpensive,

    thecitycannotaffordto ignoretheproblemgoingforward. Streetcarscannotsolvethisproblem. The

    cityshouldplantohaveaseparateBlueLinebuiltandinoperationby2028.ThereismorethanenoughtimebetweennowandthentosolidifytheplanningthatWMATAhasalreadystarted,identifythefunding

    sources,andbuildthenewlineifthecityisseriousaboutsatisfyingthedemandforhigh-capacitytransit

    asstatedintheDCAA.ThisnewlinewoulddramaticallyimprovedirectaccesstoUnionStation,increase

    redundancy and capacity at the core of theMetrorail system,andprovide rapid-rail transit access to

    Georgetown,theAtlasDistrict,andneighborhoodsinnearNortheastD.C.

    18MetropolitanWashingtonAirportsAuthority,www.dullesmetro.com

    19MarylandTransitAdministration,MarylandDepartmentofTransportation,www.purplelinemd.com

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    AftertheseparatedBlueLineisinoperation,D.C.shouldthenturnitsattentiontowardbuildingthefirst

    dedicatedlightormedium-capacityrapidraillineinthecity.

    DDOT should study the transit usefulness of an urban-focused, light or medium-capacity rapid rail

    underground linealongGeorgiaAvenue. The5.7-mile linewouldbeanorth/southbranch connection

    withanorthterminusattheSilverSpringMetrorailstopandasouthterminusattheShawMetrorailstop.

    Thelinewouldprovidea localroutefortravelersontheGeorgiaAvenuecorridoraswellasa rapid-railalternate route intodowntownD.C.fromMontgomeryCountyinMaryland. TheWalterReedcampus,

    prominentlylocatedalongGeorgiaAvenue,currentlyhasmoretransitdemandthanavailablecapacity.20

    ThislinewouldalsoprovideHowardUniversitywithatransitstopclosertothecenteroftheircampus.

    Figure1. MetrorailMapwith SeparatedBlueLine, Purple Line,CommuterRail,

    andDulles(Silver)Line

    20DCsTransitFutureSystemPlanFinalReport,April2010,DistrictDepartmentofTransportation

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    AlthoughthestreetwidthofGeorgiaAvenueismostlikelynotsufficientenoughtoinstallsurface-based

    dedicatedlanes,thecitycanstillplantoputalightormedium-capacityraillineunderground.Although

    the cost would be higher than a surface-running line, the benefits to the city and region would be

    substantial.Washington,DChasanalreadydense,tightstreetgridinmanyofitsmajorcorridors,butthis

    shouldnotprecludethecityfromplanningforundergroundrapid-rail.

    DDOTshouldalsostudythetransitusefulnessofanurban-focused,rapidrailundergroundlinethroughsomeofthedensestneighborhoodsinthecity.This3.7-milelinewouldhaveawestterminusatthe

    DuPontCircleorWoodleyParkmetrostopandaneastterminusattheBrooklandmetrostop. Thisline

    wouldconnectto both sidesof the Red Lineand wouldsatisfythe need for a rapid, higher capacity

    crosstownroutetothenorthofdowntownD.C.AdamsMorgancurrentlyhasninetimesgreatertransit

    demand than available capacity,19 soD.C. should strive to connect this neighborhood to its rapid-rail

    transitnetworkassoonaspossible.

    D.C.slargestmedicalcentercomplex,comprisedoftheChildrensNationalMedical Center,Washington

    HospitalCenter,andtheWashingtonDCVAMedicalCenter,currentlyhasfivetimesmoretransitdemand

    thanavailable capacity.19 ChildrensNationalMedicalCenterhas about 5,300employees andreceives

    about190,000outpatientvisitsperyearatthislocation.21WashingtonHospitalCenterhasabout7,600

    staff and associates and receives about 400,000 outpatient visits per year at this location.22 The

    WashingtonDCVAMedicalCenterhasabout1,700staffandreceivesover500,000outpatientvisitsper

    yearatthislocation.23Withacombinedemployeebaseofnearly15,000,over3,000-outpatientvisitsper

    day,andnumerousotherdailyvisits, itisunfathomable that there isnota higher-capacitymasstransit

    optionservingthisveryimportantmedicalcentercomplex.AdamsMorganandthemedicalcenterwould

    beincorporatedintotheWoodleyPark-Brooklandrapid-railcrosstownconnector.

    A direct, platform-over-platform transfer between the two aforementioned rapid-rail lines could be

    providedwithastationinthevicinityofGeorgiaAvenueandColumbiaRoad,NW.

    WMATAsOfficeofLongRangePlanninghasrecentlyconcludedayearlongseriesofanalysesthatfocused

    onenhancedsurfacetransit, newMetrorail lines through thecore, andMetrorail extensions, andthe

    officehasjuststartedpresentingtheirfindingstotheMetroBoardaspartoftheorganizationsstrategic

    planning process.24

    Part of the research included model analyses of separated blue and yellow linescenariosandhowtheycouldimproveMetrorailcongestionandrelievestressonthekeytransferstations

    locatedinthecoreoftheMetrorailsystem.

    Table5. PossibleMaintenanceandRapid-RailExpansionTimeline

    Project Completion

    EliminateMaintenanceBacklog 2016

    St.ElizabethsCampusIn-FillStation 2018

    SeparatedBlueMetrorailLine 2028

    WoodleyPark-BrooklandLRRTorMCTLine25 2035

    GeorgiaAvenueCorridorLRRTorMCTLine 2040

    SeparatedYellowMetrorailLine 2050

    21ChildrensNationalMedicalCenter,www.childrensnational.org/about/Facts/

    22WashingtonHospitalCenter,www.whcenter.org/body.cfm?id=556522

    23WashingtonDCVAMedicalCenter,www.washingtondc.va.gov/about/

    24WMATAOfficeofLongRangePlanning,http://planitmetro.com/2011/09/22/metro-board-kicks-off-strategic-

    planning-process/25LLRTisanacronymforLightRailRapidTransit;MCTisanacronymforMedium-capacitytransit

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    PotentialIn-FillStationsD.C.hasalreadyhadtremendoussuccessfromaddingastationtoapre-existingMetrorailline.Thecity

    starteddevelopingplansinthemid-1990sforanewMetrorailstationinthevicinityofNewYorkand

    FloridaAvenuesasawaytospurgrowthinthisrun-downindustrialareaofthecity.Propertyowners

    withinahalf-mileradiusofthenewstationagreedtopayforsomeofthecostofaddingthisnewstation.

    Withafinalcostofabout$104million,theD.C.governmentpaidabout$54millionofthetotalcost,and

    thefederalgovernmentandprivatelandownerseachcontributed$25million.Thistypeofpublic-privatepartnershipshouldbereplicatedasD.C.lookstoidentifyfundingsourcestoexpandandimprovetransit

    infrastructureacrossthecity.TheNewYorkAvenue-FloridaAvenuestationopenedinlate2004,andthe

    NoMaBusinessImprovementDistrictwasestablishedafewyearslatertoboosttheimageandeconomic

    viabilityofthearea. Today,NoMaispresumablythefastestgrowingresidentialandbusinesscenterin

    theentirecity.

    Building uponthe successof theMetrorail systemsfirst in-fill station, thecity shouldplan to identify

    fundingsourcestoconstructanin-fillMetrorailstationonthecampusoftheoldSt.ElizabethsHospital

    by2018.Thisin-fillstation,tobelocatedontheGreenLinebetweentheAnacostiaandCongressHeights

    stops,shouldsatisfytheneedforhigh-capacitytransitservicetothenew$3.4billionheadquartersforthe

    DepartmentofHomelandSecurity.About14,000employeeswilldescenduponthenewcampusdailyin

    southeastD.C.whenconstructioniscompleteonthe4.5millionsquarefeetofofficespace.Ifamajorityoftheseemployeesopttodrivetoworkduetoalackofacentrallylocatedmasstransitoptiononthe

    campus, the efficiency of traffic circulation patterns the roads around this facility shall most likely

    deteriorate.

    RapidRailTransitasaCompetitiveAdvantageD.C.hasheldacompetitiveadvantagefordecadeswithrespecttomasstransitaccess,butthisadvantage

    willnotlastunlesselectedofficialsanditsresidentsgetbehindrapid-railexpansion.LeadersinNorthern

    Virginia pushed hard to bring the Dulles Line to fruition. Business leaders and elected officials

    representing Tysons Corner, amajor business and retail district along the future Dulles Line, seek to

    repositionitasamoredenseandurbandestination. Rapidrailwillundoubtedlybethecenterpieceof

    thateffort.TheDullesLinewill,however,putanevengreaterstrainonthecoreoftheMetrorailsystem

    thanexiststoday.TheDullesLineshouldhavebeenplannedinconjunctionwithaseparateBlueLineor

    itsequivalentinordertoincreasecapacitythroughthecenterofthecity.But,thatisnotwhathappened.

    The leaders of Northern Virginia successfully pushed for the Dulles Line, irrespective of the regional

    consequenceswithintheMetrorail systemasawhole,whilethe leadersofWashington,D.C. remained

    largelysilent.WMATAsMetrorailStationAccessandCapacityStudyfromApril2008revealedthatthe

    trunkbetweenArlington,VAanddowntownD.C.wouldbeoverburdenedasearlyas2020.

    Over thenextfewdecades,D.C.scompetitiveadvantageinmass transitshall slowlyerodewhilebeing

    replicatedacrosstheregion.NorthernVirginiaspushforrapid-railtransitwillmostlikelynotceasewhen

    theDullesLineiscomplete.Congressionalmembersfromthecommonwealth,eventoday,arepushing

    for extensions to existingMetrorail lines. There is acknowledgement in the original D.C. Alternative

    Analysis and System Plan, completed in 2005, that there is indeed a need for high-capacity transit

    expansionwithinthecity.D.C.shouldproceedwithbuildinganetworkofstreetcarlineswhileplanningto

    expandaccesstorapidrailtransitinmoreareasofthecity.

    D.C.s Transit Future System Plan should include short and long range plans for expansion and

    improvementacrossalltransitmodes,notjustsurface-basedtransit.