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A Methodology for Deriving a Renewable Energy
Market Competence Index with Application to
CSP Technology
By
Hatem Elsayed Hany Elrefaei
submitted to
Faculty of Engineering, Cairo University
and
Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University of Kassel
in partial fulfillment of the requirements for M.Sc. degree in Renewable Energy and
Energy Efficiency for the MENA Region
REMENA
Faculty of Engineering, Cairo University
Giza, Egypt
March 2012
A Methodology for Deriving a Renewable Energy
Market Competence Index with Application to
CSP Technology
By
Hatem Elsayed Hany Elrefaei submitted to
Faculty of Engineering, Cairo University
and
Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University of Kassel
in partial fulfillment of the requirements for M.Sc. degree in Renewable Energy and
Energy Efficiency for the MENA Region
REMENA
Under supervision of
Faculty of Engineering, Cairo University
Giza, Egypt
2012
Mohamed ElSobki Mohab Hallouda Professor
in Electrical Power and Machines Department Faculty of Engineering
Cairo University
Professor in Electrical Power and Machines Department
Faculty of Engineering Cairo University
A Methodology for Deriving a Renewable Energy
Market Competence Index with Application to
CSP Technology By
Hatem Elsayed Hany Elrefaei submitted to
Faculty of Engineering, Cairo University
and
Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University of Kassel
in partial fulfillment of the requirements for M.Sc. degree in Renewable Energy and
Energy Efficiency for the MENA Region
REMENA
Approved by the Examining Committee:
Dr. Hany Nokrashy, Member
Professor Dirk Dahlhaus, Member
Professor Mohamed ElSobki, Thesis Advisor
Professor Mohab Hallouda, Thesis Advisor
Faculty of Engineering, Cairo University
Giza, Egypt 2012
i
Contents
List of Tables............................................................................................................................. iv
List of Figures ........................................................................................................................... vii
List of Symbols ......................................................................................................................... viii
List of Abbreviations................................................................................................................ ix
Acknowledgment ...................................................................................................................... xi
Abstract ..................................................................................................................................... xii
1. Chapter 1: Introduction ..................................................................................................... 1 2. Chapter 2: Political, Economic, Social, and Energy Indices .......................................... 3
2.1 Introduction.................................................................................................................. 3
2.2 What is Index?.......................................................................................................... 3
2.2.1 Definition of the word Index........................................................................ 3
2.2.2 Other related terms: Indicator and Coefficient ......................................... 4
2.2.3 What is not an Index?................................................................................... 4
2.2.4 From Statistical Data to Indices....................................................................... 5
2.2.5 Score and Rank................................................................................................ 6
2.3 Important and Relevant Indices ................................................................................... 6
2.3.1 Political Indices ............................................................................................... 7
2.3.1.1 The Political Instability Index ........................................................ 7
2.3.1.2 Corruption Perceptions Index......................................................... 10
2.3.1.3 Freedom Country Index.................................................................. 12
2.3.1.4 Press Freedom Index ...................................................................... 14
2.3.2 Economics ....................................................................................................... 16
2.3.2.1 Gini Index....................................................................................... 16
2.3.2.2 Index of Economic Freedom .......................................................... 18
2.3.2.3 Global Competitive Index .............................................................. 20
2.3.3 Human development........................................................................................ 22
2.3.3.1 Human Development Index............................................................ 22
2.3.3.2 Global Gender Gap Index............................................................... 24
ii
2.3.3.3 Global Wellbeing Index ................................................................. 26
2.3.4 Energy.............................................................................................................. 29
2.3.4.1 Fossil Fuel Sustainability Index ..................................................... 29
2.3.4.2 Renewable Energy Countries Attractiveness Indices..................... 30
2.4 Conclusion ................................................................................................................... 31
3. Chapter 3: Index Construction ......................................................................................... 33 3.1 Introduction.................................................................................................................. 33
3.2 Gini Index .................................................................................................................... 34
3.3 Fossil Fuel Sustainability Index................................................................................... 35
3.4 Press Freedom Index.................................................................................................... 37
3.5 Renewable Energy Countries Attractiveness Indices .................................................. 39
3.6 Conclusion ................................................................................................................... 42
4. Chapter 4: Driving a Methodology for Renewable Energy Market Competence Index.............................................................................................................................................. 43
4.1 Introduction.................................................................................................................. 43
4.2 Index Type and Score Range ....................................................................................... 43
4.3 Assumptions in Countries Governments .................................................................... 44
4.4 Addressed Countries .................................................................................................... 45
4.5 Renewable Energy Market Competence Index Hierarchy........................................... 46
4.6 Data Sources, Values, Scores, and Challenges ............................................................ 47
4.7 Political and Economic Indicators ............................................................................... 47
4.8 Energy Sector Indicators.............................................................................................. 49
4.8.1 Energy Intensity Indicator .............................................................................. 50
4.8.2 Non Electricity Final Indicator ....................................................................... 51
4.8.3 Electricity Consumption Growth Indicator .................................................... 53
4.8.4 Net Imported Electricity Indicator.................................................................. 54
4.8.5 Non-RE Electricity Production Indicator ....................................................... 56
4.8.6 Oil and Gas Insecurity Indicator..................................................................... 57
4.8.7 RE Target Indicator ........................................................................................ 61
4.9 Financial and Environmental Indicators (2 indicators)................................................ 64
4.9.1 Financial Indicator .......................................................................................... 64
iii
4.9.2 Environmental Indicator ................................................................................. 67
4.10 Logarithmic Scale of Some Indicators......................................................................... 68
4.11 Technology Specific Indicators .................................................................................... 73
4.11.1 Manuf